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NFL Gambling Preview: New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers

09.13.2012     11:20 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New Orleans at Carolina
Teddy Covers' Recommendation:
Lean towards Over
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
New Orleans -3 (+101) O/U 51
CRIS Current: New Orleans -3 O/U 51
Rob Veno's Power Rating: New Orleans -3.5

Not much went right for either of these two teams in their season opener. The Saints defense was picked apart by a rookie QB making his first NFL start; giving up 40 points and 464 yards (a whopping 6.5 yards per snap), unable to stop the run or the pass in Steve Spagnuolo’s first game as the coordinator. Meanwhile, Drew Brees completed less than half of his pass attempts while throwing a pair of interceptions, after throwing only four INTs in his final eight regular season games last year. The Saints gave up on the run rather quickly in a game they trailed from the get-go, with Pierre Thomas and Mark Ingram combining for only 32 yards on ten rushing attempts.

Carolina, too, was gashed by Read more



Tags: NFL New Orleans Saints Carolina Panthers Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Preview: USC Trojans at Stanford Cardinal

09.12.2012     11:29 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
USC at Stanford
Rob Veno's Recommendation:
USC
Saturday, 5:30 pm PT
CRIS Opener:
USC -9 O/U 60
CRIS Current: USC -8 O/U 56
Rob Veno's Power Rating: USC -6.5

Without question this is the top revenge game on the board this week as USC lost a heartbreaker in triple overtime last season. It’s very interesting to note that in last year’s contest, USC held Stanford to 3.9 yards per carry (one of only three teams to do so in 2011) but their secondary was shredded by quarterback Andrew Luck for 330 yards. The Trojans sacked Luck twice in that game after he had been sacked only twice in Stanford's previous seven and they did intercept him for a touchdown. This all becomes relevant because no longer are NFL 1st round OG David DeCastro and 2nd round LT Jonathan Martin run blocking and pass protecting and obviously overall Luck is no longer running the offense. Without that trio, Stanford has faced Read more



Tags: College Football USC Trojans Stanford Cardinal PAC-12 Rob Veno




Western Kentucky head coach not phased by 40-point spread vs. Alabama

09.05.2012     06:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Western Kentucky at Alabama -40 O/U 54

40-point underdogs? Western Kentucky head coach Willie Taggart doesn't want to hear it.


"We’re going out there and we’re gonna go play football," he said. "If anything, let’s go out there and show we’re not gonna lose by 39 points, we’re going to go out there and we're going to win this ballgame.”



We applaud Taggart's fearless nature. Remember, he was on Stanford's coaching staff when the Cardinal beat USC outright as 41-point underdogs back in 2007.

Unfortunately, he also said preparing for Navy's option wasn't that big of a deal heading into last year's meeting. The Midshipmen rolled up 410 yards (7.2 ypc) on the ground and won 40-14 as -9.5 road chalk.





Tags: College Football Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Sun Belt Alabama Crimson Tide SEC




Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: Recapping College Football Week 1

09.03.2012     06:33 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
As I Tweeted (@teddy_covers) this past Sunday, it’s all NFL from here on out for the rest of 2012 – the time for leisurely Sunday’s has come and gone. With my writing focus turning to the NFL as well, I thought this week’s column should be about something else. And with the opening weekend of college football in the books, I figured a random college football observations column made perfect sense at this juncture. So here goes!

There’s an old sports betting adage about not overreacting to the results of a single game. In the middle of the season, I agree 100% – after a team’s mo. is clearly defined. But in Week 1, I think it’s just as important not to underreact either!

When Houston loses at home 30-13 to Texas State as 34.5-point favorites, that’s a meaningful result. It’s meaningful when Oklahoma can’t move the football for extended stretches against UTEP, punting eight times on 13 drives. It’s meaningful when San Jose State outscores Stanford 17-6 after the first quarter and outgains the Cardinal for the full 60 Read more



Tags: College Football Teddy Covers




NIT Betting Notes: Madison Square Garden has a way of holding offenses in check

03.27.2012     12:21 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Some notes regarding tonight’s two semifinal matchups in the NIT. Bettors who have been following these secondary tournaments have either been making money playing OVERS or living under a rock. But based on some of the historical results, I refrained from pulling the trigger on tonight’s two games. In fact, I made half-unit plays on the UNDER after some research. You’ll notice that like clockwork, both games were bet OVER the total just like every other NIT, CBI and CIT game. Here are some of the numbers I found…

The last 14 semifinal matchups at Madison Square Garden produced the following game scores: 123, 119, 131, 135 (OT), 138, 126, 150, 144, 125, 135, 141, 109, 142, and 128. That comes out to about 132 points per game. Only two of those contests went over 143 (Minnesota-Washington total) and one over 149 (UMass-Stanford total).

In terms of O/U numbers, I went back the last 10 semifinal matchups and got 3-7 O/U. But perhaps even more impressive than 70% UNDERS is the manner in which they cashed. The seven UNDERS were by margins of 22, 10.5, 15, 12, 18, 20.5 and 27! That is crazy and certainly not random. And the situations were Read more



Tags: College Basketball Washington Huskies Minnesota Golden Gophers Stanford Cardinal UMass Minutemen Andrew Lange




NCAA Gambling Notes: Oregon admits it is out of PAC-12 race

02.19.2012     07:52 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oregon at Stanford -6 O/U 136

Heading into Thursday's game at Cal, Oregon was right in the thick of the PAC-12 title race. After a tough three-point loss to the Golden Bears, the Ducks dropped to fifth and are all but out of contention. Telling quote from head coach Dana Altman following the loss to Cal…


"We're in bad shape for the (title) race. ... We had to have that one, we knew that," Oregon coach Dana Altman said of the loss to the co-leading Bears. "We can't worry about the race now."






Tags: College Basketball Oregon Ducks Stanford Cardinal




NCAA Basketball Betting Trends: Another late season slide for Stanford

02.16.2012     08:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oregon State at Stanford -4 O/U 143

Article on Stanford's notorious late season slides under head coach Johnny Dawkins. The Cardinal enter tonight's contest against Oregon State having lost five of their last seven (2-5 ATS). Their only wins and covers came against bottom feeders USC and Arizona State. Stanford opened a 5-point favorite but was bet down to -4.


Stanford's recent slump continues a disquieting trend of late-season tail-offs or outright collapses during Dawkins' four years on the Farm. In his first season, the team won its first 10 games and was 13-3 before losing 11 of its last 18. The 2009-10 team was 10-9 before losing nine of its last 13. Last year the Cardinal were 10-5, then lost 11 of 16.







Tags: College Basketball Stanford Cardinals Oregon State Beavers




Final play of Fiesta Bowl tests bettors' ability to not go absolutely crazy

01.03.2012     11:37 AM     Printer Friendly
This Tweet pretty much sums up last night's good for some/bad for others finish to the Fiesta Bowl.

copy_rovell_osu.JPG

 




Tags: College Football Oklahoma State Cowboys Stanford Cardinal




Fiesta Bowl Betting Preview: Stanford Cardinal vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys

01.01.2012     08:33 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

copy_bowl_preview_2011.jpg

Fiesta Bowl
Stanford vs. Oklahoma State
Monday, 5:30 pm PT – ESPN
CRIS Opener: Oklahoma State -3 O/U 76
CRIS Current: Oklahoma State -4 O/U 74
Rob Veno Power Rating: Oklahoma State -3

Rob Veno’s Betting Take: Aside from the national championship game, this is definitely the most anticipated bowl matchup. NFL caliber quarterbacks Andrew Luck and Brandon Weeden lead these explosive offenses which average 43.6 ppg (Stanford) and 49.3 ppg (Oklahoma State). Magnitude of this contest along with the venue limits the exterior angles to virtually zero in this handicap. Each team will be plenty motivated and the conditions will be perfect so we’ll stick to the fundamental, situational and technical aspects.    

Fundamentally, each offense is superior to their opposing defense but there are matchups that Read more



Tags: College Football Oklahoma State Cowboys Stanford Cardinal Rob Veno




College Basketball Free Pick: UCLA Bruins at Stanford Cardinal

12.29.2011     12:58 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UCLA at Stanford -6 O/U 127
Recommendation: Stanford


UCLA just spend the better part of December trying to get back in the good graces of the betting markets. Apparently they've done enough to be competitively lined on the road against a quality opponent. But while the Bruins may have built some confidence, it doesn't necessarily mean they are a quality basketball team. The last five opponents were all nowhere near Stanford in terms of ability and they all took place in Los Angeles. UC Irvine, UC Davis, Eastern Washington – those are teams UCLA should be able to beat with their bench alone. Penn and Richmond are halfway decent and UCLA got all they could handle in both contests. Stanford outpaced the market place in November with a 6-0 ATS mark but stumbled last time out against Butler (as a 12.5-point favorite). That loss and UCLA's recent results provide what appears to me to be a decent discount. Lay the points in this PAC-12 opener.





Tags: College Basketbal Stanford Cardinal UCLA Bruins Andrew Lange



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