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College Basketball Free Pick: UCLA Bruins at Stanford Cardinal

12.29.2011     12:58 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UCLA at Stanford -6 O/U 127
Recommendation: Stanford


UCLA just spend the better part of December trying to get back in the good graces of the betting markets. Apparently they've done enough to be competitively lined on the road against a quality opponent. But while the Bruins may have built some confidence, it doesn't necessarily mean they are a quality basketball team. The last five opponents were all nowhere near Stanford in terms of ability and they all took place in Los Angeles. UC Irvine, UC Davis, Eastern Washington – those are teams UCLA should be able to beat with their bench alone. Penn and Richmond are halfway decent and UCLA got all they could handle in both contests. Stanford outpaced the market place in November with a 6-0 ATS mark but stumbled last time out against Butler (as a 12.5-point favorite). That loss and UCLA's recent results provide what appears to me to be a decent discount. Lay the points in this PAC-12 opener.




Tags: College Basketbal Stanford Cardinal UCLA Bruins Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting News: Breaking down the PAC-12 Conference

12.13.2011     02:28 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With finals exams upon us, the college basketball card is light so I'll be providing conference breakdowns throughout the week.

PAC-12 - I normally discuss the top teams in the conference and work my way down but there are no "top teams" in the PAC-12 this year. I think some have the potential to be good, but based on what I've seen, not much separates No. 1-No. 8. Record-wise, Stanford is on top at 8-1. The Cardinal have two solid wins over Oklahoma State and NC State and lost to Syracuse by only six. Their non-sexy style paved the way for six straight pointspread covers to open the season. That though led to a bloated -9 against NC State – a game Stanford won by four but trailed for about 33 minutes. Not a team I am particularly eager to back unless I can get a fair price. In California's eight wins, it didn't allowed over 60 points. But when the Golden Bears ventured outside of the state and faced Missouri, they were absolutely manhandled, 92-53. In terms of personnel, I really like this team – good guard play, size in the paint, decent depth. And even though they did it against weaker foes, if the defense can carry over to Read more


Tags: College Basketball PAC-12 Andrew Lange




Handicapping College Football Bowl Games: A look at motivation

12.09.2011     12:40 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Taking a look at the motivational factors for each matchup this college football bowl season. In most cases, the chance to play another game is all these kids and coaches need, but every postseason we see plenty of teams fail to show up.

Temple vs. Wyoming - Both sides should be excited to be in the postseason. The Cowboys are looking to cap off a big turnaround (3-9 to 8-4) while Temple searches for a bowl victory after losing last year to UCLA – the program’s first postseason since 1979.

Utah State vs. Ohio - The Aggies haven't been in the postseason since 1997 so you know they are excited. Ohio meanwhile is 0-3 SU in bowl games under Frank Solich and blew a 20-point second half lead to Northern Illinois in the MAC Championship.

UL-Lafayette vs. San Diego State - Complete motivational mismatch. The Ragin Cajuns' last postseason appearance was 1970 in the Grantland Rice Bowl. They also get to play in their home state. San Diego State meanwhile gets shipped east to face a Sun Belt team? As a favorite no less.

Florida International vs. Marshall - Postseason Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Trends: Taking a look at Over and Under teams

12.08.2011     07:57 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A quick glance at teams that have trended over and under the total thus far and whether or not it will continue.

UNDER TEAMS

Virginia (1-5 O/U) - After being lined 123 against TCU and the game landing 114 back in mid-November, UVA's game have routinely been in the 113-118 price range. The capabilities of opposing offenses will improve once ACC play starts but the Cavaliers play great defense and are more than comfortable playing games with 60 possessions or fewer.

Kansas (1-6 O/U) - Bill Self noted earlier this week that the Jayhawks are going to be forced to win a lot of "ugly games" due to a drop-off in offensive talent. They went flying over the total last time out against Long Beach (145.5, 88-80 final) but the fact remains that KU is relying more on defense and no longer has as much scoring punch.

UConn (1-4 O/U) - The Huskies only "over" came in overtime against Florida State. There would have been some more overs had the games been lined. This small trend seems to be random as UConn is playing at a fairly normal pace and looking to run when given Read more


Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange




College Basketball Handicapping Notes for 11/18/2011

11.18.2011     12:49 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A quick breakdown of tonight's college basketball card.

Ball State has beaten Indiana State two straight times. Billy Taylor's squad showed well at Arizona and has steadily improved on offense the last two years. I grade out the Sycamores as the better team though and lean that way at the current number of -6.

Youngstown State is a team I have check marked though not in this price range. We saw the line dip down to -3.5 but was immediately bet back the Penguins' way. Riverside has some experience and beat YSU by 2 last season.

Expect a fast pace in tonight's Arkansas-Houston game. With the total nearing 150 though, it becomes not only an issue of pace but also shooting. Neither team is particularly efficient which kept me off of the over at this price.

Arizona State is not a good team and points are once again going to be tough to come by. They are also struggling with being asked to play at a faster pace. Asking kids to take quicker shots after playing stall-ball is a tough transition – especially when no one can shoot. New Mexico's preseason expectations and past domination over New Mexico State may have gone to their heads as the Read more


Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Preview: Stanford Cardinal at UC Davis Aggies

11.18.2011     10:04 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Stanford at UC Davis
Recommendation: Under


I watched most of the Stanford-Colorado State game the other night. While the Rams looked to get out in transition, the Cardinal was having none of it. In the second half especially, every Stanford possession featured 5-6 passes and a look towards the post. Stanford's point guard was constantly putting up his arms as to say; let's make sure we run a play. UC Davis has a new head coach, Jim Les. He comes over from Bradley where his teams were typically moderate pace-wise and played solid defense. Four games in, and it is clear to Les that running up and down the court and not playing defense is no way to be successful. In reading some quotes on Tuesday's effort against UC Santa Cruz, it looks as if there are going to be some personnel changes.


"We have to change some habits," Les said. "We've got a lot of guys who are concerned about their offense. To me, to have success at this level, Read more



Tags: College Basketball Stanford Cardinal UC Davis Aggies Andrew Lange




NCAA Basketball Gambling Free Play: Colorado State Rams at Stanford Cardinal

11.15.2011     03:01 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Colorado State +8 at Stanford O/U 138.5
Recommendation: Colorado State


If you've followed the college basketball betting markets over the last few days, you know that there are a TON of opinions out there. I've seen totals move six points to the over, then go back to the opener, and then six points to the under...all within the span of 20 minutes. Later in the season, I'm much more respecting of the market and its movements but this early, no one knows anything and a majority of bets are based on feel rather than hard evidence. That philosophy can be good but it can also offer opportunities for bettors looking for value when lines get too far out of whack. Take tonight's Stanford-Colorado State game for example. The game opened Stanford -4.5/-5 which to me was a fair line. But after a wave of money, we now see the Cardinal an 8-point favorite. Colorado State may not have much size but this is a really good basketball team. In six games against BYU, San Read more


Tags: College Basketball Colorado State Rams Stanford Cardinal Andrew Lange




College Football Odds: Money-making train continues to roll for Stanford

11.04.2011     10:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Stanford -21 at Oregon State O/U 60.5

It has been a full calendar year since Stanford failed to cover a pointspread. Even in laying more than a touchdown (at most shops) in a game that went to overtime, the Cardinal somehow, someway cashed a ticket last week against USC. Could this week's trip to Oregon State finally end the profit-producing mayhem? They are coming off of their biggest win of the season (at the time) and have a monster game on deck with Oregon headed to Palo Alto.


“We know there’s an elephant in the room, you can’t just say, ‘Don’t worry about the rest of the games,’” said sophomore linebacker AJ Tarpley. “We know that [Oregon] is a big game if we can win this game, and so we treat it like every other game. The only way Read more



Tags: College Football Stanford Cardinals Oregon State Beavers PAC-12




College Football Week 5 Betting News and Notes Recap

10.03.2011     11:14 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Northern Illinois allowed 265 points last season but has already given up 198. The Huskies are surrendering nearly 500 ypg of offense. Four of their five games have gone over the total.

Stanford, Wisconsin, Rutgers, Western Michigan and Georgia Tech are all perfect against the spread (a few pushes depending on what line you go with). NC State and Penn State have yet to cover a game.

Texas A&M outscored Oklahoma State and Arkansas by a combined tally of 55-20 in the first half. In the second half of those two games, the Aggies were outscored 52-12.

Ohio State posted 178 yards and 2.8 yards per play in its 10-7 home loss to Michigan State. The Buckeyes punted 10 times.

Boise State has allowed two consecutive backdoor covers as Tulsa scored a late touchdown and Nevada chipped in 10 fourth quarter points. The Broncos outgained both teams by 314 yards.

Shooting oneself in the foot. Notre Dame is 3-of-7 field goals, -9 in turnover margin and 12-of-19, 63% inside the red zone.

With a 27-17 lead in the fourth quarter, Colorado allowed Washington State to go 12 plays and 167 yards combined on its last two touchdown Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




NCAAF Betting Notes: Stanford hasn't needed to show much offense

09.15.2011     07:29 AM     Printer Friendly
Stanford -10 at Arizona O/U 54.5

Arizona head coach Mike Stoops acknowledged that because Stanford rolled over its first two opponents (San Jose State, Duke) the offense wasn't forced to dig very deep into the playbook. The Cardinal have remained 10-point road favorites for much of the week.


"They haven't shown nearly what they did a year ago," he said.

He gets no quarrel from Cardinal coach David Shaw on that score. "That's fair," Shaw said Tuesday.






Tags: College Football Stanford Cardinal Arizona Wildcats PAC-12



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