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February

27

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Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: Recapping College Football Week 1

09.03.2012     06:33 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
As I Tweeted (@teddy_covers) this past Sunday, it’s all NFL from here on out for the rest of 2012 – the time for leisurely Sunday’s has come and gone. With my writing focus turning to the NFL as well, I thought this week’s column should be about something else. And with the opening weekend of college football in the books, I figured a random college football observations column made perfect sense at this juncture. So here goes!

There’s an old sports betting adage about not overreacting to the results of a single game. In the middle of the season, I agree 100% – after a team’s mo. is clearly defined. But in Week 1, I think it’s just as important not to underreact either!

When Houston loses at home 30-13 to Texas State as 34.5-point favorites, that’s a meaningful result. It’s meaningful when Oklahoma can’t move the football for extended stretches against UTEP, punting eight times on 13 drives. It’s meaningful when San Jose State outscores Stanford 17-6 after the first quarter and outgains the Cardinal for the full 60 Read more


Tags: College Football Teddy Covers




NIT Betting Notes: Madison Square Garden has a way of holding offenses in check

03.27.2012     12:21 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Some notes regarding tonight’s two semifinal matchups in the NIT. Bettors who have been following these secondary tournaments have either been making money playing OVERS or living under a rock. But based on some of the historical results, I refrained from pulling the trigger on tonight’s two games. In fact, I made half-unit plays on the UNDER after some research. You’ll notice that like clockwork, both games were bet OVER the total just like every other NIT, CBI and CIT game. Here are some of the numbers I found…

The last 14 semifinal matchups at Madison Square Garden produced the following game scores: 123, 119, 131, 135 (OT), 138, 126, 150, 144, 125, 135, 141, 109, 142, and 128. That comes out to about 132 points per game. Only two of those contests went over 143 (Minnesota-Washington total) and one over 149 (UMass-Stanford total).

In terms of O/U numbers, I went back the last 10 semifinal matchups and got 3-7 O/U. But perhaps even more impressive than 70% UNDERS is the manner in which they cashed. The seven UNDERS were by margins of 22, 10.5, 15, 12, 18, 20.5 and 27! That is crazy and certainly not random. And the situations were Read more


Tags: College Basketball Washington Huskies Minnesota Golden Gophers Stanford Cardinal UMass Minutemen Andrew Lange




NCAA Gambling Notes: Oregon admits it is out of PAC-12 race

02.19.2012     07:52 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oregon at Stanford -6 O/U 136

Heading into Thursday's game at Cal, Oregon was right in the thick of the PAC-12 title race. After a tough three-point loss to the Golden Bears, the Ducks dropped to fifth and are all but out of contention. Telling quote from head coach Dana Altman following the loss to Cal…


"We're in bad shape for the (title) race. ... We had to have that one, we knew that," Oregon coach Dana Altman said of the loss to the co-leading Bears. "We can't worry about the race now."





Tags: College Basketball Oregon Ducks Stanford Cardinal




NCAA Basketball Betting Trends: Another late season slide for Stanford

02.16.2012     08:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oregon State at Stanford -4 O/U 143

Article on Stanford's notorious late season slides under head coach Johnny Dawkins. The Cardinal enter tonight's contest against Oregon State having lost five of their last seven (2-5 ATS). Their only wins and covers came against bottom feeders USC and Arizona State. Stanford opened a 5-point favorite but was bet down to -4.


Stanford's recent slump continues a disquieting trend of late-season tail-offs or outright collapses during Dawkins' four years on the Farm. In his first season, the team won its first 10 games and was 13-3 before losing 11 of its last 18. The 2009-10 team was 10-9 before losing nine of its last 13. Last year the Cardinal were 10-5, then lost 11 of 16.






Tags: College Basketball Stanford Cardinals Oregon State Beavers




Final play of Fiesta Bowl tests bettors' ability to not go absolutely crazy

01.03.2012     11:37 AM     Printer Friendly
This Tweet pretty much sums up last night's good for some/bad for others finish to the Fiesta Bowl.

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Tags: College Football Oklahoma State Cowboys Stanford Cardinal




Fiesta Bowl Betting Preview: Stanford Cardinal vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys

01.01.2012     08:33 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

copy_bowl_preview_2011.jpg

Fiesta Bowl
Stanford vs. Oklahoma State
Monday, 5:30 pm PT – ESPN
CRIS Opener: Oklahoma State -3 O/U 76
CRIS Current: Oklahoma State -4 O/U 74
Rob Veno Power Rating: Oklahoma State -3

Rob Veno’s Betting Take: Aside from the national championship game, this is definitely the most anticipated bowl matchup. NFL caliber quarterbacks Andrew Luck and Brandon Weeden lead these explosive offenses which average 43.6 ppg (Stanford) and 49.3 ppg (Oklahoma State). Magnitude of this contest along with the venue limits the exterior angles to virtually zero in this handicap. Each team will be plenty motivated and the conditions will be perfect so we’ll stick to the fundamental, situational and technical aspects.    

Fundamentally, each offense is superior to their opposing defense but there are matchups that Read more


Tags: College Football Oklahoma State Cowboys Stanford Cardinal Rob Veno




College Basketball Free Pick: UCLA Bruins at Stanford Cardinal

12.29.2011     12:58 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UCLA at Stanford -6 O/U 127
Recommendation: Stanford


UCLA just spend the better part of December trying to get back in the good graces of the betting markets. Apparently they've done enough to be competitively lined on the road against a quality opponent. But while the Bruins may have built some confidence, it doesn't necessarily mean they are a quality basketball team. The last five opponents were all nowhere near Stanford in terms of ability and they all took place in Los Angeles. UC Irvine, UC Davis, Eastern Washington – those are teams UCLA should be able to beat with their bench alone. Penn and Richmond are halfway decent and UCLA got all they could handle in both contests. Stanford outpaced the market place in November with a 6-0 ATS mark but stumbled last time out against Butler (as a 12.5-point favorite). That loss and UCLA's recent results provide what appears to me to be a decent discount. Lay the points in this PAC-12 opener.




Tags: College Basketbal Stanford Cardinal UCLA Bruins Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting News: Breaking down the PAC-12 Conference

12.13.2011     02:28 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With finals exams upon us, the college basketball card is light so I'll be providing conference breakdowns throughout the week.

PAC-12 - I normally discuss the top teams in the conference and work my way down but there are no "top teams" in the PAC-12 this year. I think some have the potential to be good, but based on what I've seen, not much separates No. 1-No. 8. Record-wise, Stanford is on top at 8-1. The Cardinal have two solid wins over Oklahoma State and NC State and lost to Syracuse by only six. Their non-sexy style paved the way for six straight pointspread covers to open the season. That though led to a bloated -9 against NC State – a game Stanford won by four but trailed for about 33 minutes. Not a team I am particularly eager to back unless I can get a fair price. In California's eight wins, it didn't allowed over 60 points. But when the Golden Bears ventured outside of the state and faced Missouri, they were absolutely manhandled, 92-53. In terms of personnel, I really like this team – good guard play, size in the paint, decent depth. And even though they did it against weaker foes, if the defense can carry over to Read more


Tags: College Basketball PAC-12 Andrew Lange




Handicapping College Football Bowl Games: A look at motivation

12.09.2011     12:40 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Taking a look at the motivational factors for each matchup this college football bowl season. In most cases, the chance to play another game is all these kids and coaches need, but every postseason we see plenty of teams fail to show up.

Temple vs. Wyoming - Both sides should be excited to be in the postseason. The Cowboys are looking to cap off a big turnaround (3-9 to 8-4) while Temple searches for a bowl victory after losing last year to UCLA – the program’s first postseason since 1979.

Utah State vs. Ohio - The Aggies haven't been in the postseason since 1997 so you know they are excited. Ohio meanwhile is 0-3 SU in bowl games under Frank Solich and blew a 20-point second half lead to Northern Illinois in the MAC Championship.

UL-Lafayette vs. San Diego State - Complete motivational mismatch. The Ragin Cajuns' last postseason appearance was 1970 in the Grantland Rice Bowl. They also get to play in their home state. San Diego State meanwhile gets shipped east to face a Sun Belt team? As a favorite no less.

Florida International vs. Marshall - Postseason Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Trends: Taking a look at Over and Under teams

12.08.2011     07:57 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A quick glance at teams that have trended over and under the total thus far and whether or not it will continue.

UNDER TEAMS

Virginia (1-5 O/U) - After being lined 123 against TCU and the game landing 114 back in mid-November, UVA's game have routinely been in the 113-118 price range. The capabilities of opposing offenses will improve once ACC play starts but the Cavaliers play great defense and are more than comfortable playing games with 60 possessions or fewer.

Kansas (1-6 O/U) - Bill Self noted earlier this week that the Jayhawks are going to be forced to win a lot of "ugly games" due to a drop-off in offensive talent. They went flying over the total last time out against Long Beach (145.5, 88-80 final) but the fact remains that KU is relying more on defense and no longer has as much scoring punch.

UConn (1-4 O/U) - The Huskies only "over" came in overtime against Florida State. There would have been some more overs had the games been lined. This small trend seems to be random as UConn is playing at a fairly normal pace and looking to run when given Read more


Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange



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