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College Football Betting Trends: Mid-week underdogs 6-1 against the spread

09.27.2012     06:19 AM     Printer Friendly
Stanford -6.5 at Washington O/U 51

Underdogs have been the play thus far with these college football mid-week contests. In games played Wednesday-Friday, underdogs are 6-1 ATS including three outright victories. Like the NFL, totals have trended UNDER at 2-5 O/U.

2012 Mid-Week College Football Betting Results Weeks 1-4
Away Team
Home Team
O/U Close
Kent State
BUF -2.5
BUF -3
KSU 23, BUF 7
Under 50
Boise State
BSU -6.5
BSU -5.5
BSU 7, BYU 6
Under 49.5
BAY -8
BAY -8
BAY 47, ULM 42
Over 70
South Florida
USF -9.5
USF -8
RUT 23, USF 13
Under 44.5
Washington State
WSU -10.5
WSU -9.5
WSU 35, UNLV 27
Over 55.5
CIN -2.5
CIN -4.5
CIN 34, PIT 10
Under 51
Utah State
USU 27, UT 20 OT
Under 50.5

Tags: College Football Stanford Cardinal Washington Huskies PAC-12

College Football Handicapping: Are betting consensus websites helpful?

09.26.2012     01:16 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Stanford -6.5 at Washington O/U 48

As a bettor, I'm not really sure what to make of betting consensus websites. For starters, everyone has a different number. Thursday's Stanford-Washington game ranges from 56% to 66% on the Cardinal based on the three opinions I found – I’m sure there are many more. Where they are getting these numbers and from whom, I have no idea. Who do they consider to be the "public?" Is it guys who don't bet? Medium-sized players? Credit players at Pinnacle who bet four figures a game? I mean, it is always nice to hear that 65% of the "public" is on a single-event NFL underdog but beyond that profile, I don't think I've ever let a consensus percentage sway my opinion of a game. That being said, I did happen to stumble upon a pretty telling quote from SB Nation's Stanford-Washington preview.

"The 7-point spread was bet down to -6.5 at most shops we track, but we are still seeing near two-thirds of the betting action on Stanford, according to the consensus data we gather from sportsbooks," said Jack Randall of

Tags: College Football Washington Huskies Stanford Cardinal PAC-12 Andrew Lange

College Football Betting Preview: Alabama Crimson Tide at Arkansas Razorbacks

09.14.2012     07:46 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Alabama at Arkansas
Brent Crow's Recommendation:
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Alabama -15.5 O/U 52
CRIS Current: Alabama -20 O/U 54
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Alabama -13.5

A week ago Alabama would have been a seven-point favorite in this game, but after Arkansas imploded in last week’s 34-31 loss to UL-Monroe, the Crimson Tide are now nearly three touchdown road chalk in an SEC game. Arkansas quarterback Tyler Wilson got hurt last week and is questionable for this week’s game, but this pointspread may be an overadjustment. Wilson has practiced this week, but head coach John L. Smith said that he has not been cleared to play and the decision is not in his hands. Wilson will play if he is cleared by team doctors, and with him practicing this week, I expect to see him on the field.

The bigger concern for Arkansas may be its defense. The Hogs have allowed 50 Read more

Tags: College Football Alabama Crimson Tide Arkansas Razorbacks SEC Brent Crow

College Football Betting Preview: Texas A&M Aggies at SMU Mustangs

09.14.2012     07:36 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Texas A&M at SMU
Andrew Lange's Recommendation:
Texas A&M
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - FSN
CRIS Opener:
Texas A&M -10.5 O/U 53
CRIS Current: Texas A&M -12 O/U 61
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Texas A&M -8

Last year, SMU came into the season with five senior offensive linemen and the most career starts of any team in the country. In Week 1, they were absolutely destroyed by Texas A&M 46-14. In that game, the Aggies recorded eight sacks and helped cause two interceptions. This year, SMU has one of the least experienced offensive lines in the country and faces an A&M squad that record eight sacks and held Florida to 3.0 ypc last week. SMU’s offense is noted for being able to pick apart week defenses. Unlikely the case on Saturday.

As we saw in last year's meeting and in Week 1 against Baylor, SMU is prone to sloppy play, mistakes, and an inability to make stops. The Read more

Tags: College Football Texas A&M Aggies SEC SMU Mustangs C-USA Andrew Lange

NFL Gambling Preview: New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers

09.13.2012     11:20 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
New Orleans at Carolina
Teddy Covers' Recommendation:
Lean towards Over
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
New Orleans -3 (+101) O/U 51
CRIS Current: New Orleans -3 O/U 51
Rob Veno's Power Rating: New Orleans -3.5

Not much went right for either of these two teams in their season opener. The Saints defense was picked apart by a rookie QB making his first NFL start; giving up 40 points and 464 yards (a whopping 6.5 yards per snap), unable to stop the run or the pass in Steve Spagnuolo’s first game as the coordinator. Meanwhile, Drew Brees completed less than half of his pass attempts while throwing a pair of interceptions, after throwing only four INTs in his final eight regular season games last year. The Saints gave up on the run rather quickly in a game they trailed from the get-go, with Pierre Thomas and Mark Ingram combining for only 32 yards on ten rushing attempts.

Carolina, too, was gashed by Read more

Tags: NFL New Orleans Saints Carolina Panthers Teddy Covers

College Football Betting Preview: USC Trojans at Stanford Cardinal

09.12.2012     11:29 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
USC at Stanford
Rob Veno's Recommendation:
Saturday, 5:30 pm PT
CRIS Opener:
USC -9 O/U 60
CRIS Current: USC -8 O/U 56
Rob Veno's Power Rating: USC -6.5

Without question this is the top revenge game on the board this week as USC lost a heartbreaker in triple overtime last season. It’s very interesting to note that in last year’s contest, USC held Stanford to 3.9 yards per carry (one of only three teams to do so in 2011) but their secondary was shredded by quarterback Andrew Luck for 330 yards. The Trojans sacked Luck twice in that game after he had been sacked only twice in Stanford's previous seven and they did intercept him for a touchdown. This all becomes relevant because no longer are NFL 1st round OG David DeCastro and 2nd round LT Jonathan Martin run blocking and pass protecting and obviously overall Luck is no longer running the offense. Without that trio, Stanford has faced Read more

Tags: College Football USC Trojans Stanford Cardinal PAC-12 Rob Veno

Western Kentucky head coach not phased by 40-point spread vs. Alabama

09.05.2012     06:59 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Western Kentucky at Alabama -40 O/U 54

40-point underdogs? Western Kentucky head coach Willie Taggart doesn't want to hear it.

"We’re going out there and we’re gonna go play football," he said. "If anything, let’s go out there and show we’re not gonna lose by 39 points, we’re going to go out there and we're going to win this ballgame.”

We applaud Taggart's fearless nature. Remember, he was on Stanford's coaching staff when the Cardinal beat USC outright as 41-point underdogs back in 2007.

Unfortunately, he also said preparing for Navy's option wasn't that big of a deal heading into last year's meeting. The Midshipmen rolled up 410 yards (7.2 ypc) on the ground and won 40-14 as -9.5 road chalk.

Tags: College Football Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Sun Belt Alabama Crimson Tide SEC

Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: Recapping College Football Week 1

09.03.2012     06:33 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
As I Tweeted (@teddy_covers) this past Sunday, it’s all NFL from here on out for the rest of 2012 – the time for leisurely Sunday’s has come and gone. With my writing focus turning to the NFL as well, I thought this week’s column should be about something else. And with the opening weekend of college football in the books, I figured a random college football observations column made perfect sense at this juncture. So here goes!

There’s an old sports betting adage about not overreacting to the results of a single game. In the middle of the season, I agree 100% – after a team’s mo. is clearly defined. But in Week 1, I think it’s just as important not to underreact either!

When Houston loses at home 30-13 to Texas State as 34.5-point favorites, that’s a meaningful result. It’s meaningful when Oklahoma can’t move the football for extended stretches against UTEP, punting eight times on 13 drives. It’s meaningful when San Jose State outscores Stanford 17-6 after the first quarter and outgains the Cardinal for the full 60 Read more

Tags: College Football Teddy Covers

NIT Betting Notes: Madison Square Garden has a way of holding offenses in check

03.27.2012     12:21 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Some notes regarding tonight’s two semifinal matchups in the NIT. Bettors who have been following these secondary tournaments have either been making money playing OVERS or living under a rock. But based on some of the historical results, I refrained from pulling the trigger on tonight’s two games. In fact, I made half-unit plays on the UNDER after some research. You’ll notice that like clockwork, both games were bet OVER the total just like every other NIT, CBI and CIT game. Here are some of the numbers I found…

The last 14 semifinal matchups at Madison Square Garden produced the following game scores: 123, 119, 131, 135 (OT), 138, 126, 150, 144, 125, 135, 141, 109, 142, and 128. That comes out to about 132 points per game. Only two of those contests went over 143 (Minnesota-Washington total) and one over 149 (UMass-Stanford total).

In terms of O/U numbers, I went back the last 10 semifinal matchups and got 3-7 O/U. But perhaps even more impressive than 70% UNDERS is the manner in which they cashed. The seven UNDERS were by margins of 22, 10.5, 15, 12, 18, 20.5 and 27! That is crazy and certainly not random. And the situations were Read more

Tags: College Basketball Washington Huskies Minnesota Golden Gophers Stanford Cardinal UMass Minutemen Andrew Lange

NCAA Gambling Notes: Oregon admits it is out of PAC-12 race

02.19.2012     07:52 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Oregon at Stanford -6 O/U 136

Heading into Thursday's game at Cal, Oregon was right in the thick of the PAC-12 title race. After a tough three-point loss to the Golden Bears, the Ducks dropped to fifth and are all but out of contention. Telling quote from head coach Dana Altman following the loss to Cal…

"We're in bad shape for the (title) race. ... We had to have that one, we knew that," Oregon coach Dana Altman said of the loss to the co-leading Bears. "We can't worry about the race now."

Tags: College Basketball Oregon Ducks Stanford Cardinal


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