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College Football Gambling: Wyoming walking into buzzsaw with trip to Appalachian State

09.30.2015     07:22 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Following last week's 38-28 home loss to New Mexico in which they allowed 7.44 yards per play, the Wyoming Cowboys are making a slew of personnel changes to their defense. On the school's website, the defensive depth chart (as of Monday) features four redshirt and true freshmen. You can't help but look at Saturday's non-conference road trip to Appalachian State as a "throw away game." The Cowboys are off a league game and have a trip to Air Force on deck. Meanwhile, the Mountaineers are off a 49-0 whipping of Old Dominion and have designated Saturday's game vs. Wyoming as homecoming. The betting markets have jump all over the home favorite with Appy State jumping from -19.5 to -25.5.

“If you feel like you’ve got other guys on the bench right now that can go out and make plays, by gosh we’re going to put the next guy in and give them an opportunity to make some plays,” Bohl said.

Tags: College Football Wyoming Cowboys Mountain West Appalachian State Mountaineers Sun Belt

College Football Gambling Update: Cal takes big early money for fifth straight week

09.29.2015     08:09 AM     Printer Friendly

Another big early week market move towards the California Golden Bears (3-1 ATS) as they play host to Washington State. Last week, the Bears were bet up from -2 to -5 against Washington. However, late money had the Huskies go off as -1 favorites at some offshore sportsbooks. It was the wrong opinion as Cal won the game 30-24. This week, CRIS opened Cal -13.5 and it has since been bet up to -19.5. Again, we're talking about a Week 4 college football power conference side, not some soft Week 1 Sun Belt total.

College Football Handicapping: Cal Golden Bears remain hot commodity in betting markets

09.22.2015     02:31 PM     View Original Blog

Another week, Read more

Tags: College Football California Golden Bears Washington State Cougars PAC-12

College Football Betting Preview: Arizona State Sun Devils at UCLA Bruins

09.29.2015     07:19 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Arizona State at UCLA
Saturday, 4:30 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
UCLA -14 O/U 57.5
CRIS Current: UCLA -13.5 O/U 58
Recommendation: Over

In two games against top-tier competition, Arizona State was completely outplayed. In Week 1, Texas A&M outgained the Sun Devils 425 yards (5.31 ypp) to 291 yards (3.55) in a 38-17 loss. And last week, they were again outgained by over a yard per play against USC; saving some face statistically (455 total yards) by picking up yards during garbage time. The conundrum with the Sun Devils is they have a quarterback who can't run and no elite level receivers to offset it in the passing game. It also doesn't help that ASU has coughed up the football on nine occasions including four times against USC. This was a squad that had only 13 turnovers all of last season and a +14 turnover margin. Now after being embarrassed on their home turf they hit the highway to face a team that beat them 62-27 last season.

UCLA had plenty go its way in last week's 56-30 blowout at Arizona. The Bruins forced three turnovers and the Wildcats lost quarterback Anu Solomon in the second Read more

Tags: College Football Arizona State Sun Devils UCLA Bruins PAC-12 Andrew Lange

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Early season college football money burners

09.28.2015     08:16 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Last week in my Wiseguy Report, I look an in-depth look at the 13 teams that started the college football season 3-0 ATS.   In general, those teams had quite a few commonalities:

“Non-descript teams that aren’t getting much hype or love from the preseason betting markets, the preseason publications or the preseason talking heads.  Teams coming off a bad bowl loss or a late season collapse are definitely worth an extra look, as are teams replacing an experienced, but perhaps underachieving, quarterback.”

I concluded the article with this paragraph: “These early season ATS outliers are NOT likely to continue their red hot runs.  The under-the-radar concept when it comes to finding strong ATS teams in early season play holds sway when it comes to early season results as well.  Many, if not most, of the elite ATS teams in college football this year have already lost at least once against the spread, putting them squarely under-the-radar as potential elite ATS squads moving forward."

If you bet on all 13 of the teams that entered last weekend with a 3-0 ATS mark, you lost money.  Read more

Tags: College Football Teddy Covers

NFL Handicapping: So-so performances by 0-2 teams in Week 3

09.28.2015     07:52 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
A quick look back at how the nine 0-2 teams performed in Week 3. The end result was 5-4 SU/ATS. All told, not one of the nine teams, including those who won and covered, really played all that well. Four teams remain winless heading into Week 4: Baltimore, Chicago, Detroit, and New Orleans.

Indianapolis - Trailing 27-14 late in the third quarter, the Colts rallied back for the 35-33 win at Tennessee but failed to cover as -3 favorites.

Baltimore - Outgained by over a yard per play, the Ravens couldn't hold on to a 24-21 lead as Cincinnati punched in the game-winning touchdown with two minutes remaining in the fourth quarter. Big red flag as Andy Dalton threw for 383 yards and 12.0 yards per attempt.

Seattle - After tough back-to-back road games, the Seahawks cruised past Chicago 26-0. Note that it was a 6-0 game at halftime.

Detroit - The Lions couldn't run the football (28 yards, 1.5 ypc) or hang on to it (3 turnovers) in Sunday night's 24-12 loss to Denver.

Philadelphia - It wasn't pretty as the Eagles were outgained 4.3 ypp to 3.4 ypp in Sunday's Read more

Tags: NFL

NFL Gambling: SuperContest Week 3 consensus picks

09.27.2015     08:01 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 3 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. Carolina -4.5 vs. New Orleans
2. Indianapolis -3 at Tennessee
3. Buffalo +3 at Miami
4. Pittsburgh -1.5 at St. Louis
5. Baltimore -2.5 vs. Cincinnati

Least picked Sunday side: New Orleans +4.5 at Carolina

Tags: NFL

NFL Gambling Alert: Brees ruled out vs. Panthers, worth 5 points to the spread

09.25.2015     07:15 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Big adjustments in the NFL betting markets following the announcement that New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees (shoulder) will sit Sunday's game at Carolina. Assuming the durable Brees would play, offshore sportsbooks priced the Panthers -3.5/-3. Once Brees was announced out CRIS reopened the game -7.5 and it immediately shot up to -8. The total originally opened 44 but is now 42.5 across the board. Luke McCown will start in Brees' place.

"I don't think it was a difficult decision today. I think actually it was the opposite for just where he's at," Payton said. "His focus and preparation throughout the week was very much like he was starting. And even out on the practice field today as Luke's taking the reps, he's on top of what we're doing by game plan.

"He practiced both yesterday and the day before. And yet I think this morning as he was throwing, he just felt like the velocity still wasn't there."

"Bottom line is Luke McCown gives us the best chance to win this week. I have to be

Read more

Tags: NFL New Orleans Saints Carolina Panthers

NFL Gambling Preview: Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys

09.24.2015     02:33 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Atlanta at Dallas
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Atlanta -1.5 O/U 44
CRIS Current: Dallas pk O/U 44.5
Recommendation: Under

The Dallas Cowboys are the antithesis of the up-tempo offensive approach to the 2015 NFL.  Through their first two games, Dallas has averaged an offensive snap every 32.8 seconds, ranked #31 in the NFL in pace ratings.  They ranked dead last in the NFL in pace last year.  This is not a team primed to push the tempo, regardless of circumstances, which makes perfect sense.  The Cowboys starters are as good as any in the NFL, but they lack quality depth at numerous positions due to their salary cap limitations.  So it makes perfect sense for Dallas to try to protect those starters as much as possible.  Running fewer plays does that, especially over the course of a full season.

But, as we all know, the Cowboys are riddled with high profile offensive injuries right now.  Tony Romo is out for a couple of months, leading receiver Dez Bryant is out, and tight end Jason Witten is very questionable to suit up here.  That leaves Brandon Read more

Tags: NFL Atlanta Falcons Dallas Cowboys Teddy Covers

NFL Handicapping: Miami seeks better run game vs. Buffalo

09.23.2015     08:22 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
After producing 116 yards (3.4 ypc) combined the first two weeks, Miami is looking for ways to bolster its run game. Statistically, Week 3's opponent, Buffalo, has been stout against the run allowing 120 yards to New England and Indianapolis. Those numbers are perhaps a little skewed however considering the Patriots were more than satisfied to just throw the football (466 passing yards) and the Colts trailed by margin the entire game.

"We've got to get our run game going. When our run game is going, our offense can't be stopped," Pro Bowl center Mike Pouncey said. "Our play action [feeds] off of it. Our passing game works off it. When we don't run the ball, we don't give ourselves a chance."

Tags: NFL Miami Dolphins Buffalo Bills

College Football Betting Preview: USC Trojans at Arizona State Sun Devils

09.22.2015     02:16 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
USC at Arizona State
Saturday, 7:30 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
USC -5.5 O/U 63
CRIS Current: USC -5.5 O/U 63
Recommendation: Over

Offenses should have the upper hand in Saturday’s PAC-12 showdown in Tempe. USC has had no problems moving the football with quarterback Cody Kessler throwing for close to 1,000 yards at a 78.7% completion rate and a sparkling 10-0 TD-INT ratio. The Trojans piled up over 50 points in their first two games against Idaho and Arkansas State and proved their offense is good enough to be productive against better competition when they hung 31 points and 427 total yards against a very solid Stanford defense last week despite the losing effort. This bodes well considering in its one true test this season against Texas A&M, Arizona State’s defense was gashed for 425 total yards (178 rushing, 247 passing) and 38 points. In last year’s meeting vs. USC, the Sun Devils allowed nearly 500 yards and 34 points

On the flip side, ASU’s offense has yet to click. It took them an entire half to get going against woeful New Mexico and looked sluggish against Read more

Tags: College Football USC Trojans Arizona State Sun Devils PAC-12 Ian Cameron


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