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January

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Power Ratings Movers and Shakers

11.17.2014     08:20 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Following the Week 11 results, for the first time since 2012, I have a team other than the Denver Broncos or the Seattle Seahawks ranked #1 in my NFL Power Ratings.  Seattle has been steadily declining in my power ratings for most of the season.  The Seahawks lack of defensive line depth was problematic in early season losses to Dallas and San Diego, both of whom wore them down in the second half and were able to run the football successfully throughout.  The loss of stud lineman Brandon Mebane only made those depth concerns greater prior to their game at Kansas City this past weekend; a game where the Chiefs ran all over the Seahawks defense. 

Seattle also lacks consistent downfield playmakers at the wide receiver position since trading away Percy Harvin.  In their loss to the Chiefs, Seattle lost star center Max Unger to injury as well, truly an impact injury.  If the playoffs started today, the Seahawks would be on the outside looking in.  Clearly, this is not the best team in the NFL as we approach Thanksgiving and the December stretch run.

Denver has been ranked #1 or #2 in my power ratings in every single week since 2012, Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling: Patriots, Chiefs, and Packers to SuperContest picks for Week 11

11.16.2014     06:38 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 11 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. New England +3 at Indianapolis
2. Kansas City -1.5 vs. Seattle
3. Green Bay -6 vs. Philadelphia
4. Cleveland -3 vs. Houston
5. Detroit +2.5 at Arizona

Least picked Sunday side: Washington -7.5 vs. Tampa Bay



Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling Preview: Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers

11.13.2014     02:41 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Philadelphia at Green Bay
Sunday, 1:30 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Green Bay -5.5 O/U 56.5
CRIS Current: Green Bay -6 O/U 54.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Green Bay -5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Philadelphia

Green Bay is coming off a near perfect game, absolutely annihilating the Chicago Bears from start to finish.  Aaron Rodgers was at his best, tying the all time NFL record with six touchdown passes before halftime.  "We just kind of got things going our way. The line did a good job of giving me time to extend plays. If you extend plays, you look down the field and there's Jordy Nelson. He made some nice catches." That win improved the Packers record following a bye week under Mike McCarthy to 9-0 ATS. 

The last time the Packers played a near perfect game (destroying Carolina), they followed it up with a clunker the following week in New Orleans.  Following another near Read more


Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Green Bay Packers Teddy Covers




Christie calls out sports leagues ignoring sports betting realities

11.13.2014     06:44 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Chris Christie points out the painfully obvious as he discusses how delusional sports leagues are about sports betting.


“What we know is, is sports gaming is going on every day in New Jersey in the shadows,” Christie explained. “And why shouldn’t we allow our tracks and our casinos, if they want to do that, to be able to do that? Make it their decision, but if they want to take those bets, why shouldn’t they? Shouldn’t people feel a little bit more secure making bets in places like that?”

“I find it very funny that their just not in touch with the reality of what’s going on every day,” Christie said. “The idea that they have shows on every Sunday to talk about the point spread. What relevance does the point spread have to a NFL game if it’s not about gambling?










Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: AFC News and Notes

11.10.2014     08:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Cleveland Browns went into Thursday Night’s matchup at Cincinnati with a winning record, but without much respect from the betting markets.  Cleveland had spent the last month feasting on the weak, facing off against the likes of the Titans, Jaguars, Raiders and Bucs in their previous five games; arguably the four worst teams in the NFL.  The Browns didn’t blow out any of those squads; locked in tight, competitive games each time except their only loss during that span – a blowout defeat at Jacksonville.

Without pro bowl center Alex Mack in the lineup over their previous three games, the Browns offense became completely one-dimensional; a team that couldn’t run the football one iota.  Against Tampa’s shoddy rush D, it was 26 carries for 50 yards.  The week before, it was 25 rushes for 39 yards.  The week before that, it was 30 rushes for 69 yards.  That’s less than two yards per carry against weaklings.

So what did the Browns do in their step-up game on Thursday Night at Cincinnati?  Simple – they dominated on both sides of the football, start to finish, rushing for 170 yards and Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas




NFL Gambling: Lions and Packers top bets for SuperContest Week 10

11.09.2014     06:04 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 10 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. Detroit -2.5 vs. Miami
2. Green Bay -7 vs. Chicago
3. New Orleans -5 vs. San Francisco
4. Kansas City -2 at Buffalo
5. NY Jets +5 vs. Pittsburgh

Least picked Sunday side: Jacksonville +6.5 vs. Dallas



Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling Update: Pinnacle opens Dallas -7.5 vs. Jacksonville

11.07.2014     07:31 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Back-to-back practices for Tony Romo was enough for a few offshore sportsbooks to hang a number on Sunday's game vs. Jacksonville. Pinnacle opened Dallas -7.5ev but has since been bet down to -7-05. The total of 45.5 hasn't budged. In Las Vegas, the Westgate posted -7 and 45.5 earlier this morning.





NFL Gambling: Jones say Romo will play vs. Jacksonville

11.06.2014     06:59 AM     View Original Blog


According to Dallas owner Jerry Jones, Read more



Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Jacksonville Jaguars




NFL Gambling Preview: Miami Dolphins at Detroit Lions

11.06.2014     02:45 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Miami at Detroit
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Detroit -3 O/U 42.5
CRIS Current: Detroit -2.5 O/U 2.5 O/U 43.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Detroit -2.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Under

Both the Lions and the Dolphins rank outside the top half of the NFL in red zone touchdown percentage on offense; both teams settling for field goals far too regularly.  Defensively, both the Lions and Dolphins are above average at keeping teams out of the end zone when they reach the red zone. 

Any NFL totals bettor will tell you that one of the key aspects of the handicap is trying to gauge the ratio of field goals vs. touchdowns.  Given how both teams have played on both sides of the ball throughout the first half of the campaign, it’s quite reasonable to assume that the trend of ‘more field goals and fewer touchdowns’ will continue this week.

On a yards-per-play basis, Miami Read more


Tags: NFL Miami Dolphins Detroit Lions Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Preview: Georgia State Panthers at Troy Trojans

11.06.2014     07:20 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Georgia State at Troy
Saturday, Noon PT
CRIS Opener:
Troy -7 O/U 63.5
CRIS Current: Troy -7 O/U 65
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Troy -7
Drew Martin's Recommendation: Over

The Troy Trojans will play host to the Georgia State Panthers in a battle between Sun Belt Conference bottom dwellers. The Panthers will be seeking their first ever win in conference competition while the Trojans look for their second win of the season. Both teams have had a tough year despite decent offensive production.

The Panthers are coming off of their worst offensive performance of the year with 62 total yards and 22 minutes of possession. But a huge asterisk can be placed next to that effort as the weather at Appalachian State was brutal (wind and snow) leaving little to no chance for a dome team to have success.  Georgia State’s offense is based on finesse and will run at a much faster tempo under Read more


Tags: College Football Georgia State Panthers Troy Trojans Sun Belt Drew Martin




NFL Gambling: Jones say Romo will play vs. Jacksonville

11.06.2014     06:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
According to Dallas owner Jerry Jones, Tony Romo will play in Sunday's game against Jacksonville in London. Sportsbooks however are taking a more cautious approach with the game still off the board. Back-up Brandon Weeden posted a QB Rating of 55.5 in last week's loss to Arizona.


“I’m anticipating him playing,’’ Jones said. “I have no reason to think that he won’t.

“Anytime he can play, we want him to play. We’re a better team, to be trite, with him playing. There’s no such thing as holding him out and foregoing the potential chance that we win.’’





Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Jacksonville Jaguars



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