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December

18

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College Football Handicapping: SEC Stat Day

07.28.2013     08:56 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The SEC has already had its set of “Media Days” last week. Didn’t hear much talk about key stats from last year. The media begged coaches to trash talk each other or Urban Meyer. They hoped Johnny Manziel would say or do something inappropriate…then hoped somebody else would comment on what a brat Manziel is. They talked about Texas A&M’s great offense without acknowledging that Alabama’s offense was actually better on a per play basis while committing fewer turnovers in league action.

Let’s rectify that, and paint a picture of what the SEC looked like top-to-bottom last year. The stats you see below are from conference games only…which means eight games for everyone but nine for Alabama and Georgia (who met in the SEC Championship). The numbers are gathered from cfbstats.com, which is a great site if you’re trying to dig up data in a boatload of categories.

We start with offenses, focusing on yards-per-play and giveaways…which is Read more


Tags: College Football SEC Stat Intelligence




College Football Handicapping: Big 10 Stat Day

07.26.2013     07:15 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

All the major college football conferences are having “media” days (or two, or three). Since little of the media coverage coming out of those days involves stats…I’ll try to put together some “stat days” between now and the start of the season. The Big 10 is under the spotlight at the moment all over the internet. So, let’s start there.

First…a review of Big 10 offenses last year, focusing on the basic fundamentals of moving the ball and protecting it. Remember that there are now 12 teams in the Big 10. They’re ranked immediately below by yards-per-play on offense in conference play ONLY to help weed out the goofy stuff that happens against widely variant non-league schedules. That means 8 games for everybody but Wisconsin and Nebraska. They played each other in the Big 10 Championship game, so their numbers are pulled from a 9-game sampling. These are the numbers as reported by the college football stats site cfstats.com

Big 10 Read more


Tags: College Football Big Ten Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting: Texas Tech brings in yet another first-year defensive coordinator

07.25.2013     12:36 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Amazingly, Texas Tech is on its fifth defensive coordinator in five years. Andin  each of those seasons there was a change in overall philosophy with the 4-3, 3-4, and 4-2-5 all being implemented at one time or another. This year, under first-year DC Matt Wallerstedt, TTU will go back to the well with the 3-4.


“It’s gotten easier every year,” Hyder said. “It’s really about having blind faith. You’ve got to realize these coaches that are coming in want the best for you. They’re going to put a defense in place and you just roll with it.






Tags: College Football Texas Tech Red Raiders Big XII




MLB Handicapping: Wednesday Betting Recap

07.25.2013     07:40 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

We’ll start with the Interleague game, then take everything else in rotation order…

*Oh no they DIDN’T! Once again, it looked like the Dodgers were finally going to lose a game. They were down 3-2 in the ninth…and hadn’t scored a run in about 90 minutes. A rally to tie it in the ninth forced extra innings…then the Dodgers scored FIVE in the tenth inning to win 8-3. That pushes them to 6-0 since the ASB, and runs their longterm streak to 23-5 the last 28 games. Note that Puig scored the tying run in the ninth with two outs. He was on first after a walk (hey, he can walk!). He ran aggressively on a single to center…the CF made an error…and Puig came all the way around to score. Then he homered in the tenth to help build on what had become a 5-3 lead. The “first half” score was 2-2, with Nolasco throwing four scoreless before tiring a bit. His pitching line is now 0-3-1-2 as a Dodger, with an average and median of Read more


Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting: ACC Coastal News and Notes

07.24.2013     12:30 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Rob Veno was a guest on today's Sportsmemo Podcast talking about the ACC Coastal Division. You can listen to the segment here. Rob was kind enough to pass along his notes from the show. Enjoy.

Schedule (4 Non-Conference, 8 Conference) – (6 Division, 2 Non Division)

Virginia Tech – QB (Logan Thomas)
Coastal - Tough: @ Georgia Tech, @ Miami (FL), @ Virginia
Atlantic - Easy: vs. Maryland, @ Boston College
Non-Conference – Semi Tough: N vs. Alabama (Atlanta), @ East Carolina, VS. Marshall
NOTES
1 – New OC/QB coach Scott Loeffler (Auburn OC LY and Temple OC in 2011) – Hope is to develop more of a running game.
2 – Defense returns 9 starters (actually 10 w/ ILB Edwards) including the entire front 4 and the entire secondary (all 8 are upperclassmen).
3 – Pass rushing LB Tariq Edwards back after missing L6 games due to injury. 

Miami (FL) – QB (Stephen Morris)
Coastal - Easy: @ North Read more


Tags: College Football ACC Rob Veno




Canadian Football League Week 4 Betting Recap

07.24.2013     11:26 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here is my recap of Week 4 in the Canadian Football League as I provide a quick hitter, team-by-team analysis...

Montreal Alouettes (1-3 SU/ATS)
Montreal’s offense finally showed up but the problem was it was only for a quarter! Having put up just 18 points on offense in their two prior games, the Alouettes scored 24 points in the first quarter to take a 24-0 lead against Calgary. They then proceeded to score three points the rest of the game, coughing up the lead and losing 38-27 as 7-point road underdogs – a performance that certainly made Montreal bettors nauseous. The defense, which had been solid in their first three games, was shredded both against the run and pass and special teams played a major role in the loss. Montreal’s Noel Devine looked to have a sure kickoff return touchdown only to have Calgary’s Fred Bennett track him down and punch the football out of his arms. Calgary recovered it in the end zone for a game changing touchback. A touchdown there would have given Montreal the lead back but instead Calgary used it to further their momentum and put the game away. The Alouettes are quickly becoming a comedy of Read more


Tags: CFL Ian Cameron




MLB Gambling Free Pick: San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers

07.23.2013     10:54 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Diego (Ross) +110 at Milwaukee (Hand) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: San Diego


The Brewers came out of the All-Star break and swept a series against the Marlins.  Don’t be fooled!  Milwaukee notched those three wins only because Miami’s anemic offense didn’t plate a single run for the entire series. 

The Padres aren’t offensive juggernauts, but unlike Miami, their roster isn’t loaded with a bunch of guys who should still be playing at Triple-A.  They’ve scored five runs or more three times in four games on their post-All-Star break road trip, while averaging just shy of five runs per game in their last seven road tilts.  Big middle of the order bats Chase Headley and Carlos Quentin are both heating up right now.

The Brewers won’t have Ryan Braun for the rest of the season, and they’re expected to be without cleanup hitter Carlos Gomez tonight either.  With Aramis Ramirez and Cory Hart Read more


Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers San Diego Padres Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapping: Three Months of National League Boredom

07.23.2013     08:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I was watching the MLB Network for awhile this evening.  I think it was Al Leiter who pointed out that the Atlanta Braves hadn’t done much of anything since starting the season 12-1. We’ve been talking about the Braves' mediocre play for awhile on these pages. Then I started thinking, you know…NOBODY in that division has done anything since the Braves started 12-1!

NL East Since April 16 (when Braves were 12-1)

Atlanta 44-42

Philadelphia 43-42

Washington 40-45

NY Mets 36-46

Miami 33-50

If the Braves hadn’t rallied in the ninth inning tonight in New York they would have been 50/50 over three months, a half game worse than Philadelphia during that long span. Note that the quintet as a whole is 29 games under .500 over those three months. All games against each other split out…so they’ve really been outclassed against outsiders.

The NL Central has been pretty well Read more


Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves Stat Intelligence




MLB Gambling Free Pick: Cleveland Indians at Seattle Mariners

07.22.2013     10:28 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cleveland (Jimenez) at Seattle (Harang) -110 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Seattle


The single longest current winning streak in major league baseball belongs to the under-the-radar Seattle Mariners, a massive source of profits for their supporters.  Seattle’s bats are hitting better right now than they have all season, by a fairly wide margin.  They’ve scored 11, 8, 4, 7, 8, 6, 4, 10 4 and 12 runs in their last ten games.  In fact, the Mariners have scored four runs or more in 16 of their last 17 and 20 of their last 23 ballgames while averaging well over five runs per game during that span! 

Yet despite the Mariners’ offensive explosion, their 11-5 record in their last 16 ballgames and their winning record overall at home since losing their first two series back in April, we’re still seeing very little support in the betting markets for this squad.  How else can we explain the pick ‘em price to support Seattle at home this Read more


Tags: MLB Seattle Mariners Cleveland Indians Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Tips on how to bet post-All-Star break MLB

07.22.2013     10:25 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I wrote a similar article to this one last year at this time.  At the risk of plagiarizing myself, I thought many of the points I made last year are still extremely pertinent when it comes to post All-Star break baseball in 2013. 

NFL training camps open up around the country this week.  The start of fall practice for college football isn’t far behind.  Wiseguy bettors are spending a good portion of their time focusing on football right now.  We’ve got a maturing NFL Season win total marketplace, both here in Vegas and offshore.  Odds to win the NFL Divisions are up.  Week 1 numbers are available at multiple sportsbooks.  College football season win totals are up as are odds to win the various conferences.

So what happens when the betting markets shift their focus towards football?  After all, we’re less than a week out from the All Star break, with more than two full months of regular season baseball still to play.  There isn’t a team in either league that has completed more than 100 games of their 162-game schedule as I write this.

Yet any sportsbook director in town will tell Read more


Tags: MLB NFL College Football Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Dec 18, 2014 04:33 PM.