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September

28

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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates

06.18.2014     10:34 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cincinnati (Simon) at Pittsburgh (Volquez) -115 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Over


At this stage of the campaign, the betting markets have more than enough data to concentrate on full-season numbers.  But the full season numbers for both Cincinnati and Pittsburgh offensively don’t tell the story of the appropriate current form of these two lineups today.  That leaves legitimate value betting the Over on ‘baseline’ totals for both squads; two teams that are consistently lined in the same 7 or 7.5 range where we find them today.

The Reds couldn’t hit their way out of a wet paper bag for the better part of the first two months of the season.  Their aggregate numbers show Cinci ranked #29 out of 30 MLB teams in runs scored this year – only the Padres have gotten less production from their lineup.  But with Joey Votto off the DL, the Reds bats have come to life, pounding out 36 runs in their last six games.   As a team, Cinci Read more



Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Pittsburgh Pirates Teddy Covers




World Cup Gambling: First round matchups feature plethora of goals

06.17.2014     08:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Favorites and the OVER have been the theme of the World Cup thus far. That's not to say there haven't been upsets with the Netherlands crushing defending champ Spain, Costa Rica knocking off Uruguay, and the USA of course taking down Ghana as small underdogs. Scoring has been way up (3.14 gpg) with only two games featuring less than three goals.


“The World Cup is more popular than ever with bettors,” said Jimmy Vaccaro, a legend in our business. “The perfect example was a parlay that was written Sunday, where the guy said ‘Jimmy, give me a $200 three-team parlay. I’ll take the Spurs, and Jimmy, let’s go with the Braves, and give me Bosnia too.’

“It was just a unique sign of how things have transformed over the years with betting on the World Cup being bigger than ever.”







Tags: Soccer




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers

06.16.2014     10:14 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Colorado (Matzek) +170 at LA Dodgers (Ryu) O/U 7
Recommendation: Colorado


Hyun-Jin Ryu's overall numbers look good (3.33 ERA, 2.90 FIP) but since returning from injury he's been hit around some and faced a very favorable schedule with games against the Mets, Reds (twice), and the Pirates. In two starts against Colorado, Ryu allowed 17 hits in 11 IP with only five strikeouts. I've also noticed a small drop in velocity with Ryu. The Rockies will be getting a third look against him and should be able to plate some runs. Colorado rookie Tyler Matzek looked very good in his MLB debut – 7 IP, 2 ERs, and 7 Ks in Coors Field against Atlanta. I'm a big fan of first-time lefties and while the Dodgers do have right-handed power, Matzek at night in Dodgers Stadium presents a good opportunity for success. Ultimately this is a value play. Ryu is being priced as a dominant starter vs. a lower-tier pitcher and team but I don't think that is the case. The Rockies aren't the same team away from Read more



Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Los Angeles Dodgers Andrew Lange




College Football Handicapping: Power Conference Betting Odds

06.10.2014     12:47 PM     Printer Friendly
The Greek recently posted NCAA Football ddds for all of the power conferences. Below are the top contenders and their current prices.

ACC
Florida State -350
Miami +350
Louisville +800
North Carolina +800
Virginia Tech +800

Big XII
Oklahoma -250
Baylor +250
Texas +500
Oklahoma State +650

Big Ten
Ohio State +100
Wisconsin +300
Nebraska +300
Michigan State +500
Michigan +800

PAC-12
Oregon +100
UCLA +350
USC +500
Stanford +500
Arizona State +500

SEC
Alabama +125
LSU +250
South Carolina +250
Florida +500
Auburn +500




Tags: College Football ACC Big XII Big Ten SEC PAC-12




MLB Handicapper Free Play: New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals

06.09.2014     11:01 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NY Yankees (Nuno) at Kansas City (Vargas) -130 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Kansas City


The Yankees have sunk back down to .500 with seven losses in their last ten games.  The biggest culprit in their recent slump has been an anemic lineup, particularly their struggling ‘middle of the order’ bats.  The Bronx Bombers haven’t been bombing, held to four runs or less in each of those last ten contests.  For the season, the Yanks now rank #13 out of 15 AL teams in runs scored, a bottom tier lineup despite their enormous payroll.

Carlos Beltran has only one hit in 14 at bats since coming off the DL. Mark Teixeira was scratched yesterday with a sore wrist, hitting only .176 in his last 16 games.  Brian McCann is hitting just .225 for the season, well below his career norms.  And Derek Jeter is in the midst of a 3-23 slump over his last six games.   Jeter’s quote speaks volumes: “When guys are scuffling it seems like Read more



Tags: MLB New York Yankees Kansas City Royals Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates

06.06.2014     12:08 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Milwaukee (Lohse) -106 at Pittsburgh (Cumpton) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Milwaukee


The Pirates return home from an extended ten game road trip that saw them play on both coasts; a classic flat spot for any squad, especially a team with a losing record that just earned series wins in San Diego and LA.  And they’ll face a very tough matchup against Kyle Lohse tonight, in the midst of another dominant campaign. 

Lohse is coming off a complete game three hit shutout, needing only 93 pitches to dispense of the Cubs.  He’s thrown five consecutive quality starts on the highway and has dominated the Pirates lineup twice already this year: eight hits and two earned runs allowed in 15 innings of work. The Brewers are 9-3 in Lohse’s first dozen starts; 20-8 in his last 28 starts overall.  Very quietly, way underneath the radar Kyle Lohse is a Top 10 starting pitcher in terms of profitability to support here in 2014!

The Brewers lineup Read more



Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Pittsburgh Pirates Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Preseason NFC Betting News and Notes

06.02.2014     10:40 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I wrote that “the NFL offseason, at least for sports bettors, is essentially over.  Numbers are up, and they’re moving!”

“My first step in assessing the upcoming NFL season begins with a thorough look back at last year.  Every team’s power rating is set, in large part, based on where they finished the previous campaign.  Obviously, adjustments are made for injuries, luck, offseason improvements or declines, coaching changes and the like, but those base power rating numbers factor in what happened in 2013 very heavily.”

Last week, I focused on the 16 teams from the AFC.  In this week’s Vegas Wiseguy Report, I’ll pass along a tidbit or two from each of the 16 NFC teams in regards to last year.  My focus is on things that are NOT likely to repeat the same way in 2014.  And this week, I’ll do my absolute best to avoid egregious errors like my ‘San Diego didn’t make the 2013 playoffs’ Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Los Angeles Angels at Oakland A's

06.01.2014     07:46 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
LA Angels (Weaver) at Oakland (Gray) -135 O/U 7
Recommendation: Oakland


Afternoon start in Oakland as the A's go for the three-game sweep of the Angels. The first two games of the series were all Oakland with 9-5 and 11-3 victories. We'll throw our support the A's way as young gun Sonny Gray takes on veteran Jered Weaver. In looking through Weaver's game log this is arguably his toughest test of the season – on the road vs. left-handed heavy Oakland. Let's also not forget the day time environment at Oakland Coliseum which tends to help the ball carry more. Weaver of course a fly baller suited more for night games in Anaheim. Overall Weaver has been very solid this season with a 2.99 ERA. But he's also been a tad fortunate with a .225 BABIP. On the flip side, Oakland's Sonny Gray is a less than ideal matchup for the Angels. Gray is first and foremost a groundballer (56.95%) and second, filthy against right-handers (.205 BA/.304 SLG) – a key with the big bats of Mike Trout (? Read more



Tags: MLB Los Angeles Angels Oakland A's Andrew Lange




College Football Handicapping: Your conference realignment primer

05.28.2014     07:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Is there anything worse than needing half a season to get in tune with all of the conference realignment? The good news is you have three months to study. Godspeed.

American
Coming: Tulane, Tulsa, East Carolina, Navy (2015)
Going: Louisville, Rutgers

ACC
Coming: Louisville
Going: Maryland

Big Ten
Coming: Maryland, Rutgers
Going: Ohio State (kidding!)

C-USA
Coming: Western Kentucky, Old Dominion
Going: Tulane, Tulsa, East Carolina

Sun Belt
Coming: Appalachian State, Georgis State, Georgia Southern, Idaho, New Mexico State
Going: Western Kentucky




Tags: College Football




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Preseason AFC Betting News and Notes

05.26.2014     08:35 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The LVH Superbook posted their NFL Season Win totals last weekend.  Cantor sportsbooks (CG Technology) have had season win totals posted for months.  Many other books both here in Vegas and offshore have posted season win totals, Week 1 pointspreads and Game of the Year pointspreads.  Most books that haven’t posted NFL numbers yet plan to do so in the near future.  The NFL offseason, at least for sports bettors, is essentially over.  Numbers are up, and they’re moving!

My first step in assessing the upcoming NFL season begins with a thorough look back at last year.  Every team’s power rating is set, in large part, based on where they finished the previous campaign.  Obviously, adjustments are made for injuries, luck, offseason improvements or declines, coaching changes and the like, but those base power rating numbers factor in what happened in 2013 very heavily.

In this week’s Vegas Wiseguy Report, I’ll pass along a tidbit or two from each of the 16 AFC teams in regards to last year.  My focus is on things that are NOT likely to repeat the same way in 2014.  I’ll offer similar Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas AFC



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