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NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Stat Profiles for the Sweet Sixteen

03.27.2013     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Here are the numbers we’ve been following through the Dance in tip-off order by locale. Note that I’ve updated the pace rankings from Kenpom’s website…those are the numbers as of Tuesday evening. All the other numbers you see are CONFERENCE ONLY per game averages because I wanted to take out the crazy extremes of non-conference schedules, particularly since those games were played so long ago anyway. The “conference advantage” numbers from Jeff Sagarin’s computer ratings were also tabulated Tuesday night.

Some reference points.

The typical college defense allowed about 47.5% on two-pointers this year. Numbers less than that represent better than average inside defense. The typical offense made 6.0 treys per game. Interestingly, NONE of the 16 teams left averaged between 6.0 and 6.9 in their league games. We have quite a few trey-heavy teams at 7.0 makes or more. I’m surprised by how many teams were in the low 5’s or less. Always Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stat Intelligence




Of course a bro bet Florida Gulf Coast at 1000-1 to win the Big Dance

03.25.2013     11:53 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here is that story you wanted to hear about a dude with a ticket on Florida Gulf Coast at 1000-1 to win the NCAA Tournament.


"My roommate placed a bunch of bets, and this is just the one he randomly gave me," Fredricks said. "I don't think he intended for them to actually win. He has a much larger bet on Florida [FGCU's opponent on Friday] to win the championship, as well as a large wager on the field bet."





Tags: College Basketball Florida Gulf Coast Eagles




Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers breaks down the Sweet Sixteen

03.25.2013     11:34 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The first weekend of the Madness is in the history books and only 16 teams remain standing in the NCAA Tournament.   The two best conferences in the regular season – the Big Ten and the Big East – proved to be the two best conferences in the Big Dance, sending seven teams to the Sweet Sixteen.  The ACC and the PAC-12 were the only two other conferences to send multiple teams onto the second weekend of the Big Dance. 

This week, I’ll be taking a look at the sixteen remaining teams in the field; assessing their chances for tournament success as the field gets reduced to the Final Four this coming weekend.  Teams are listed in rotation order.

Syracuse is drawing comparisons to the UConn team that won it all two years ago.  The Orange, like the Huskies, slumped down the stretch of the regular season.  Like the Huskies, they came on strong in the Big East tournament, rebuilding their confidence in the process.  Also like UConn, Syracuse has all kinds of NBA ready talent. Michael Carter-Williams, James Southerland and Brandon Triche are all expected to be drafted this spring.  Don’t Read more


Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Santa Clara Broncos at Purdue Boilermakers

03.25.2013     07:15 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Santa Clara at Purdue -6.5 O/U 141.5
Recommendation: Purdue


With the exception on an early season win at Saint Louis, Santa Clara has had a real difficult time stepping up in class. Against the WCC's Big Three (Gonzaga, St. Mary's, and BYU), the Broncos went 0-6 SU and 0-6 ATS. Of those six games, only one was decided by double-digits; a seven-point home loss to Gonzaga. And don't be fooled by SC's opening round win and cover vs. Vermont. It was an absolutely horrific travel spot/situation for the Catamounts and yet they played dead even with Santa Clara for 39 minutes before fouls and free throws created a misleading margin of victory. Purdue is using the CBI as a means of extending the careers of its seniors while getting some of its young kids extended looks. They got past Western Illinois in the first round, 81-67. I'm not sure we get a "balls out" effort from the Boilermakers but I trust Matt Painter to have his kids at least somewhat prepared. Read more


Tags: College Basketball Santa Clara Broncos Purdue Boilermakers Andrew Lange




NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Updated Market Power Ratings

03.21.2013     08:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I’ve made a few tweaks to the estimated Market Power Ratings we put together the other day based on sharp line movements since the openers. When we say “market,” we’re most interested in the combination of oddsmakers (openers) plus sharps (improving the openers), and not so much the public…whose money will hit the board Thursday and Friday now that tourists have arrived with their money, alumni baseball caps, and temporarily ecstatic optimism.

To give us all a sense of what the weekend lines might look like, I’ve also written up those projected numbers based on these current ratings. It gets goofy to write up every single possibility…and I don’t think anyone really cares right now what the line would probably be if Southern plays Wichita State. So, I’m penciling in wins for all seeds 1-4 just to make things easy. Obviously history says some of those teams will bite the dust. It won’t be hard to look up a good estimate if Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stat Intelligence




NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: No. 10 Cincinnati Bearcats vs. No. 7 Creighton Blue Jays

03.21.2013     07:32 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NCAA Tournament - Midwest Region
Friday, 11:45 am PT, Philadelphia, PA
No. 10 Cincinnati vs. No. 7 Creighton
CRIS Opener: Creighton -3 O/U 126
CRIS Current: Creighton -3.5 O/U 128
Recommendation: Cincinnati


Cincinnati's blueprint is pretty straight forward – when the Bearcats shoot the ball well, they are tough to beat. When they don't, the outcome often isn't favorable. And there are plenty of numbers to support that statement. When the Bearcats scored 60 points or more in regulation they were 20-1 SU. When they didn't, 2-10. But it needs to be noted who they were facing. The Bearcats faced seven teams (9 games) that rank in the top 25 in defensive efficiency. In those games, Cinci scored 43, 51, 55, 68, 52, 55, 70, 54, and 58. We know that there is some offensive potential with this squad. Go back to an early season tournament in Las Vegas and we saw the Bearcats net 78 vs. Iowa State and 77 vs. Oregon – two teams somewhat Read more


Tags: College Basketball Cincinnati Bearcats Creighton Blue Jays Andrew Lange




NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: No. 10 Colorado Buffaloes vs. No. 7 Illinois Fighting Illini

03.21.2013     06:20 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NCAA Tournament – East Region
Friday, 12:40 pm PT, Austin, Texas
No. 10 Colorado vs. No. 7 Illinois
CRIS Opener: Illinois -1 O/U 128.5
CRIS Current: Illinois -1.5 O/U 126.5
Recommendation: Colorado


It’s been a tale of two seasons for Illinois.  The Illini started the campaign a perfect 12-0, while climbing just short of a top 10 tanking.  Their perfect start to the season included solid wins against Gonzaga and Butler.  But their start doesn’t even tell half of the story, as the Illini finished the season winning just 10 of their next 22 games.  Since the calendar turned to 2013 Illinois simply hasn’t played NCAA Tournament caliber basketball.   To put things into perspective my final Big 10 power ratings featured Iowa five full points better than Illinois, while being rated equal to Purdue!  Obviously, with this type of rating, I’m looking to fade this squad from a value Read more


Tags: College Basketball Colorado Buffaloes Illinois Fighting Illini Erin Rynning




NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: No. 12 Oregon Ducks vs. No. 5 Oklahoma State Cowboys

03.20.2013     11:19 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NCAA Tournament - Midwest Region
Thursday, 1:40 pm PT, at San Jose, Calif.
No. 12 Oregon vs. No. 5 Oklahoma State
CRIS Opener: Oklahoma State -3.5 O/U 135
CRIS Current: Oklahoma State -3 O/U 135
Recommendation: Oregon


The Oregon Ducks, like most NCAA Tournament teams, had their ups and downs this season but much of their struggles can be attributed to having to adjust to being without starting pointguard Dominic Artis. He suffered a foot injury against Washington State on January 23rd. Prior to that game, Oregon was 16-2 SU and 9-7 ATS. Following the Artis injury, Oregon went into a mini tailspin going 4-4 SU but only 1-7 ATS. Since Artis’s return against Oregon State on February 28th, Oregon has showed signs of getting back on track including a perfect 3-0 SU run in the PAC-12 Tournament.

Artis hasn’t scored more than six points in a game since his return and he was scoreless in 13 minutes of action in Read more


Tags: College Basketball Oregon Ducks Oklahoma State Cowboys Ian Cameron




NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: No. 12 California Golden Bears vs. No. 5 UNLV Rebels

03.19.2013     12:13 PM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NCAA Tournament - Midwest Region
Thursday, 4:25 pm PT, at San Jose, Calif.
No. 12 California vs. No. 5 UNLV
CRIS Opener: UNLV -2.5 O.U 132
CRIS Current: UNLV -2.5 O/U 131
Recommendation: California


There are a couple oddities surrounding this game that I certainly wouldn’t expect to see very often in the “second” round of the NCAA Tournament. Firstly this is a non-conference rematch of a regular season game between these two squads and secondly it’s a virtual home game for a No. 12 seed. In yet another strange twist Cal was originally drawn as a No. 11 seed only to be moved down due to logistical reasons according to the selection committee! The Golden Bears were defeated at home in the first meeting on a last second tip-in by UNLV; this despite the fact that the Rebels had lost their best player at the time – Mike Moser – to a dislocated elbow. Is revenge in the air or can UNLV muster that same strength Read more


Tags: College Basketball UNLV Running Rebels California Golden Bears Otto Sports




College Basketball Gambling Free Pick: Northeastern Huskies at Alabama Crimson Tide

03.19.2013     10:48 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Northeastern +11 at Alabama O/U 129
Recommendation: Northeastern


Alabama has won ten straight at home dating back to the beginning of January, but the Crimson Tide have not been particularly adept at winning by pointspread covering margins.  The results don’t lie.  Alabama is just 1-7 ATS in their last eight tries as home chalk, and only one of their last nine wins at home came by more than ten points – a revenge matchup against lowly Auburn.  Plain and simple – the Tide are not a team that runs up margins, making them a poor double digit favorite tonight.

To make matters worse for Alabama, they’re playing without senior guard Andrew Steele again, out with an ankle injury that is expected to end his season, even if the Crimson Tide advance.  When Steele missed the entire month of December, Alabama lost three times at home to lesser teams – Dayton, Mercer and Tulane – as big favorites every Read more


Tags: College Basketball Northeastern Huskies Alabama Crimson Tide Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Aug 29, 2014 07:00 AM.