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Saturday College Basketball Free Play: Tennessee Tech at Tennessee State
02.11.2012 08:20 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Tennessee Tech
+3.5 at
Tennessee State
O/U 145.5
Recommendation: Tennessee Tech
No one in college basketball is immune to letdowns and that includes the likes of Kentucky, Ohio State and on down to the little guys. Tennessee State just picked up the program's biggest win since...I don't have the time to research it but it was huge when they beat undefeated Murray State on the road. I knew Murray State was going to lose at some point and in reality, TSU isn't that far removed from the Racers talent wise, but to go up there on national TV and score a victory was an impressive feat – how often are Tennessee State kids highlighted on ESPN? The Tigers have now won six straight including back-to-back on the road and have just one day to prepare for any angry Tennessee Tech squad that just lost at home to bottom feeder Eastern Illinois. Head coach Steve Payne said after the game it wasn't a lack of effort, but instead just a really bad shooting
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College Basketball
Tennessee Tech Golden Eages
Tennessee State Tigers
Andrew Lange
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NCAA Basketball Gambling: Virginia Tech in great spot vs. Boston College
02.10.2012 12:48 PM
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Boston College
at
Virginia Tech
About as good a spot as any for Virginia Tech this Sunday as it plays host to Boston College. The Hokies are in desperate need of a win with just a 2-7 mark in ACC play. Their two wins both came by two points but they also have league losses by 3, 4, 2, 2 and 4. One of those losses came on the road against Boston College, 61-59, back in mid-January. BC meanwhile is off its biggest win of the season, a 64-60 triumph over Florida State – who has wins over Duke and North Carolina. Also note that last season, on senior night, Boston College waltzed into Blacksburg – after VT beat then No. 1 Duke – and won 76-61. Great spot for Tech but beware of the potential “tax” due to the favorable situationals.
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College Basketball
Virginia Tech Hokies
Boston College Eagles
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Big Drive Blitz continues in College Basketball
02.10.2012 06:59 AM
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We’re on a solid run again in February college basketball as our top-rated Big Drive plays continue to hit the net and cash the green. Iowa came up short Thursday but a 3-1 night overall has us profitable on the evening. No close call on our top-play 15* Big Drive side selection winner Wednesday on Michigan (-3), as the Wolverines whacked Nebraska 62-46. The Cornhuskers put on a truly embarrassing performance while scoring just two points the opening eight minutes and finishing the first half with 15 points on 5-of-27 FG shooting including 0-for-10 from three.
Here is my analysis of our Michigan play provided to clients. We’re now 7-2 on our top-play Big Drive CBB selections in February (+9 units) and 39-17 (70%) since the end of November on our Big Drive top plays. Continue to shop for the best lines and we’ll continue to fire for the green and provide plenty of plays down the stretch.
If you don’t have the time, energy or ability to study stats, isolate solid situations, understand systems, second meets, coaching, home/road dichotomy and more, then join me as we continue to bang the boards and proficiently project more CBB winners
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College Basketball Handicapping: Schedule toughens for top teams
02.08.2012 07:04 AM
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For those that follow college basketball scheduling and like to note strength of schedule, RPI and more, here is an update on top team Kentucky’s schedule along with others of note.
Between Kentucky and Louisville, their combined 15 remaining regular season games include nine against the top 35 teams in the RPI.
Kentucky is No. 3 in RPI and passed its test Tuesday with a big home win over Florida. The Wildcats have four of their remaining six home games against teams currently ranked in AP Top 25. Kentucky’s strength of schedule ranked 83rd in the RPI prior to playing Florida, and is projected by
Statsheet.com
to be No. 50 nationally at the end of the regular season.
Ohio State held off Purdue yesterday and the Buckeyes are projected to go from No. 34 to No. 12 in SOS by season’s end and join Kentucky and Syracuse as projected No. 1 seeds in the NCAA Tournament. Ohio State is No. 4 in RPI currently.
North Carolina plays Duke tonight in a key ACC showdown with first place at stake, and the Tar Heels are projected to go from No. 42 to No. 12 by seasons end while
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College Basketball Free Play: Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats
02.07.2012 01:54 PM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Florida
+9 at
Kentucky
O/U 141.5
Recommendation: Florida
The Florida Gators have just about everything I like to look for out of a road underdog. We’ve seen the Gators in this role twice already this season at Ohio State and at Syracuse; two teams – like the Kentucky squad they’ll face tonight – with legitimate national championship potential. Florida was in both games right through the final buzzer, losing by four and seven points while covering the pointspread in both instances.
This is nothing new or different for Billy Donovan’s Gators. This team has the type of veteran leadership we love to see in the backcourt, with senior guard Erving Walker and junior guard Kenny Boynton combining for 191 career starts between them. No surprise then, that in the Walker-Boynton era, Florida is 16-5-1 ATS as underdogs. And this year’s Gator team might be the best of the bunch!
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Teddy Covers
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College Basketball Handicapping: Efficiency margins in league play
02.07.2012 11:15 AM
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Basketball Prospectus'
John Gasaway
put together a fabulous blog breaking down the conference-by-conference points per possession scored and allowed in league play.
Here are the top efficiency margins (PPP-Opponent PPP)
ACC - Florida State +0.14
Big XII - Kansas +0.18
Big East - Syracuse +0.19
Big Ten - Ohio State +0.27
PAC-12 - California +0.14
SEC - Kentucky +0.28
Atlantic-10 - Temple +0.12
Colonial - Drexel +0.17
C-USA - Memphis +0.16
Horizon - Cleveland State +0.19
Missouri Valley - Wichita State +0.18
Mountain West - New Mexico +0.21
West Coast - St. Mary's +0.22
WAC - Nevada +0.12
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College Basketball Gambling: Purdue a big underdog at Ohio State
02.07.2012 07:36 AM
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Purdue
at
Ohio State
-14.5 O/U 128
We'll see what type of pride Purdue has tonight in Columbus after getting blasted 78-61 at home against rival Indiana last Saturday. Without the services of JaJuan Johnson and E'Twaun Moore – both in the NBA – the Boilermakers have really struggled to get easy looks on the offensive end. But perhaps more startling is their
dramatic decline defensively
. Purdue hasn't been a double-digit underdog since 2008 (+10 at Wisconsin). Last year, the Boilermakers were catching +7.5 at Ohio State and lost 87-64.
Defensive efficiency vs. Big Ten (conference rank)
2012 - 107.6 (7th)
2011 - 99.1 (1st)
2010 - 94.7 (2nd)
2009 - 95.9 (3rd)
2008 - 94.3 (2nd)
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NBA Betting News and Notes 2-6-2012
02.06.2012 01:30 PM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
The Super Bowl is in the history books but the NBA All-Star Game is already on the horizon and there are all kinds of interesting goings on around the league right now. This week, I’ll focus on a handful of teams with notes and quotes that can point us in the right direction for our NBA wagers.
Dallas Mavericks
– When you look at the Dallas statistical profile this year, one thing stands out like a sore thumb. Dirk Nowitzki – the Mavs longtime superstar and the guy who guided them to their first ever NBA title last summer – has basically been a non-factor from Day 1. Last year, Dirk led the team in scoring at 23 points per game. He was the Mavs #2 rebounder, behind Tyson Chandler. He shot better than 51% from the floor for the entire season, and better than 39% from three point range. But, even after taking four games off to ‘improve his conditioning’, Dirk’s 2012 numbers can only be considered a major disappointment.
The numbers don’t lie. Dirk is scoring only 17.2 points per game this year. His shooting percentage is down to 45.5% and
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Dallas Mavericks
Houston Rockets
Miami Heat
New Orleans Hornets
Teddy Covers
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Handicapper Fairway Jay: Super Sunday part of Fantastic February
02.06.2012 10:48 AM
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Submitted by
We nailed our top-play 20*Big Drive winner on the New York Giants and their Super Bowl XLVI win over the New England Patriots, 21-17. While I also projected a higher-scoring game, field position did not allow for more points despite over 750 yards offense and both teams moving the ball pretty well at 5.6 yards per play. The Giants ability to control the ball, clock (37 minutes) and chains kept New England’s potent pass attack on the sidelines and Eli Manning led another fourth quarter touchdown drive to clinch the victory.
New York’s victory completed a strong pointspread prognosis finish in the NFL playoffs as we went a perfect 6-0 on our top-rated Big Drive selections and capped of another winning season overall. If was our fourth straight profitable postseason.
On to the hardwood and fantastic finishes ahead in college basketball as teams shoot for regular season and conference tournament titles along with their push to and through the NCAA Tournament and other college basketball postseason tournaments. This is the most exciting time of the year in college basketball, along with strong handicapping situations involving second meets,
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Big Ten Betting Free Play: Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans
02.05.2012 08:39 AM
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Submitted by
Michigan
at
Michigan State
-7 O/U 124.5
Recommendation: Michigan State
Michigan (7-3) has beaten Michigan State (6-3) three straight times and the games are becoming more meaningful as the Wolverines return to the top part of the Big Ten standings. Michigan snapped an 11-game losing skid in East Lansing a year ago, and appear to have the defense, speed and talent to battle with better teams. Clearly they have a quality coach with John Beilein, but the Spartans and Tom Izzo will play this as their most meaningful game of the season thus far. Here are some things to watch in today’s
Big Ten battle
on national TV.
Michigan State (17-5) actually sports the better defense overall, allowing just 59 ppg and 38% FG shooting in league play. Both teams are hitting 46-47% of their shots in league play, but the
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