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August

21

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College Football Handicapping: The impact returning starters has on the betting markets

08.22.2013     06:57 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Yesterday I talked about Phil Steele's impact on the betting markets. Today I'll discuss another factor that influences early season games and that's returning starters. Who is coming back is probably to first thing bettors look at when evaluating a team during the summer. And based on my experience, teams with "a lot" of returning starters get a lot more love in the betting markets than those with only "a few” returning starters. Before I begin note that there are many different definitions of “returning starters” but for the sake of argument, we'll use Phil Steele as our reference point since his publication is such a common fixture among the betting community. Keep in a mind, A LOT can happen over the course of three months and I've seen multiple examples where returning starter numbers in June were a lot different than in September.

I used the very arbitrary numbers of 17 or more and 10 or less when breaking down our returning starter "extremes." That gives us 31 Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Betting: Kentucky opts for two quarterbacks in Week 1

08.22.2013     06:44 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oh boy. Kentucky has decided it will play two quarterbacks in its opener against Western Kentucky. Neither Maxwell Smith nor Jalen Whitlow was able to win the gig during fall camp. And first-year head coach Mark Stoops even said that third-stringer Patrick Towels could play at some point this season if Smith and Whitlow don't pan out. Just to recap, Kentucky is obviously under a new coaching regime, one that wants to completely change its offensive philosophy and play up-tempo. They plan on doing this behind an inexperienced offensive line and a two quarterback system which historically has about a 13.5% success rate. It would be a lot different if the Wildcats played an FCS cupcake in Week 1 but instead, they face a Western Kentucky squad (in Nashville) that won last Read more


Tags: College Football Kentucky Wildcats SEC Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Sun Belt




College Football Betting: Syracuse uses gambling as an excuse to have closed practices

08.21.2013     11:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Congratulations to Syracuse's football team for winning the Biggest Crock of Shit of the Day award.


"He wanted to close it down because of the reporting on injuries," said Sue Edson, the Assistant Athletics Director/Communications for football. "We have a responsibility to make sure any injury that's out there does not influence betting lines."






Tags: College Football Syracuse Orange ACC




College Football Handicapping: Phil Steele's impact on the betting markets

08.21.2013     06:52 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
When it comes to college football, there are a lot of unknowns heading into a season. Most bettors know that Alabama will be good and Florida Atlantic will be bad but in between there are a lot of teams that will be far better or worse than the previous year. To pinpoint those teams we use preseason publications to give us a guideline – returning starters, two-deep, new coaches, last season's stats, etc. And no publication is better at providing that information than Phil Steele. But because Steele's work is bettor friendly, it also has a tendency to impact the betting markets. Steele's reasoning for teams going "up" or "down" is hardly groundbreaking but it’s more often than not sound logic. Bettors read Steele, and if they agree with his assessment of a team, they bet on said team be it Week 1, season over/under wins, or odds to win a division and/or conference.

Out of curiosity, we took the 17 teams that made Steele's Most Improved List and checked out the line moves on their Week 1 games (see chart below). Nearly half of them play FCS opponents which as of today aren't lined. For those who do have lined games, we see that Steele's top Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Betting: Injuries starting to pile up for Virginia Tech

08.20.2013     02:24 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Virginia Tech vs. Alabama -18.5 O/U 45.5

On today's Sportsmemo Podcast (you can listen here) handicapper Brian Edwards mentioned some of the key injuries for Virginia Tech heading into Week 1's showdown in the Georgia Dome against Alabama. Here's a link with all of the details on the Hokies' injuries.



Tags: College Football Virginia Tech Hokies ACC Alabama Crimson Tide SEC




Sports Betting Podcast 8-20-2013 with Handicappers Teddy Covers and Brian Edwards

08.20.2013     10:25 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Teddy Covers and Brian Edwards. Teddy gave his initial thoughts on the lines for Week 3 of the NFL Preseason. Brian broke down a handful of games for Week 1 of College Football.

Today's segments
Full Show

Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report

Brian Edwards - College Football Week 1 (Saturday Games)

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: NFL College Football Teddy Covers Brian Edwards




NCAA Football Handicapping: Auburn Tigers banged up heading into Week 1

08.20.2013     07:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington State at Auburn -15.5 O/U 59.5

A bunch of key injuries for the Auburn Tigers as they prepare for their Week 1 home game against Washington State.


“We stalled out and hit neutral about a week ago with the loss of so many players that are in the starting picture,” Johnson said. “At one point, we had our best pass rusher, our returning tackle leader, our third-best cornerback out…in fact, we practiced one day without three of our four best corners.”






Tags: College Football Auburn Tigers SEC Washington State Cougars PAC-12




College Football Line Moves: Bettors pound Western Kentucky-Kentucky OVER

08.20.2013     07:04 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Yesterday CRIS posted totals on all of Week 1's college football games. Not a lot of movement in the betting markets save for a few half-point and full point moves. The one exception was the Kentucky-Western Kentucky game. CRIS opened the game 54.5 but a handful of bets later it shot up to 59.5. It has since settled in at 58.5. There are new coaching staffs on both sides, most notably Kentucky who brought in offensive coordinator Neal Brown. Last year's meeting landed 48 in regulation (WKU won 32-31 in OT) with a closing total of 49.5.



Tags: College Football Kentucky Wildcats SEC Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Sun Belt




College Football Gambling: Texas Tech may start frosh QB vs. SMU

08.20.2013     06:54 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas Tech -5.5 at SMU O/U 58.5

With projected starting quarterback Michael Brewer (back) unlikely to start Week 1's game against SMU, the Red Raiders may have to go with one of two freshmen signal callers. Here's the lowdown on both QBs.


“Whoever it is, you know we’re going to have a freshman at quarterback,” running back DeAndre Washington said, “so we’re looking forward to taking some pressure off of him. Being able to help him out with his blocking, running, just anything we can to make the transition easier for him.

“I feel like we’ll be good to go with either guy.” 





Tags: College Football Texas Tech Red Raiders Big XII SMU Mustangs




College Football Gambling: Auburn tabs JC transfer Marshall starting QB

08.19.2013     12:57 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Junior college transfer Nick Marshall was named Auburn's starting quarterback by first-year head coach Gus Malzahn.


“We’re always going to play to our quarterback’s strengths, but he’s very unique,” Malzahn said. “There’s no doubt, he’s a phenomenal athlete. One of the better athletes I’ve probably gotten a chance to coach at the quarterback position. He’s got a very strong arm, and he’s very calm. The day that we went live, they were flying around him and I was right back there with him and he seemed like it was 7-on-7 mode.”

“We do understand what Nick can do. We think he’s got a lot more upside, that he’ll get better and more comfortable with everything. He’s got some ability to make plays when things break down. And in this league things break down from time to time.”






Tags: College Football Auburn Tigers SEC



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Aug 21, 2014 10:54 PM.