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NFL Week 8 Betting Recap

10.28.2013     07:08 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Week 8 recap...

If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15. Sloppiness is a quickfire stat to measure execution…the formula is 5 times giveaways plus the number of incomplete passes…lower is better because you want to avoid sloppiness.

San Francisco (-16) 42, Jacksonville 10

S. Francisco: 398 yards, 7.2 per-play, 1 turnovers, 67% third downs

Jacksonville: 318 yards, 4.5 per-play, 1 turnovers, 28% third downs

Other Numbers

Rushing Yards: San Francisco 221, Jacksonville 90

Passing Stats: San Francisco 11-17-0-177, Jacksonville 29-45-0-228

Drive Points: San Francisco 28, Jacksonville 3

Stat Score: San Francisco 28, Read more

Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence

Football Handicapping: MAC Totals, SMU, and NFL Correlated Parlays

10.25.2013     12:26 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Is there any bet in college football right now that is more of a “no brainer” than playing Mid-American Conference games under the total? There have been 22 MAC league games played heading into Saturday’s slate and the under has gone 17-5 for a winning percentage of 77.2%. The only team in this conference that has recorded more over results than under is Eastern Michigan whose horrendous defense (49.7 points allowed vs. MAC) has led them to a 3-0 O/U mark in league play. Akron, Central Michigan, Massachusetts, Miami (Ohio) and Northern Illinois all have yet to record a conference game over the total.

SMU has certainly had their troubles this season. They’re mostly beaten up by detractors for being a poor team but from a totals perspective right now, you have to love them. The staff of offensive “evil geniuses” that has been assembled in Dallas has given “over” backers the gift of five winning tickets in six tries and they are just beginning to hit stride. After struggling behind QB Garrett Gilbert for the majority of their first four games, the “Air Raid/Run & Shoot” combo scheme has cranked out 86 points and Read more

Tags: College Football NFL MAC SMU Mustangs Rob Veno

NFL Gambling Preview: Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions

10.25.2013     12:20 PM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Dallas at Detroit
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Detroit -3 O/U 51
CRIS Current: Detroit -3 O/U 50.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Detroit -1.5
Brian Edwards' Recommendation: Detroit

A pair of NFC contenders will collide Sunday at Ford Field in Detroit, where the Lions will take on Dallas on FOX. Most betting shops have installed Detroit (4-3 straight up, 4-3 against the spread) as a three-point favorite (with a -120 price tag) with a total of 51.

Gamblers can take the Cowboys on the money line for a +145 payout (risk $100 to win $145). For first-half wagers, the Lions are favored by -1.5/-2 with a total of 26.

Dallas (4-3 SU, 6-1 ATS) has won back-to-back games, including its first road win. After smashing Washington 31-16 two weeks ago, the Cowboys won 17-3 at Philadelphia as three-point road underdogs.

The Dallas defense knocked Nick Foles out of the game with a concussion and then Read more

Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Detroit Lions Brian Edwards

College Football Betting Preview: Vanderbilt Commodores at Texas A&M Aggies

10.25.2013     07:11 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Vanderbilt at Texas A&M
Saturday, 9:20 am PT - ESPN Game Plan
CRIS Opener:
Texas A&M -18.5 O/U 70
CRIS Current: Texas A&M -17 O/U 68.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Texas A&M -14
Brent Crow's Recommendation: Texas A&M

This game features two teams that come in off of surprising results last weekend that also saw both of them suffer injuries to their starting quarterbacks. Vanderbilt pulled an upset at home against Georgia, 31-27, while Texas A&M was on the other end of an upset, losing 45-41 to Auburn in College Station.

Vandy quarterback Austyn Carta-Samuels left the Georgia game with a left leg injury and was replaced by Patton Robinette in the third quarter of the win. Robinette went 9-of-15 for 41 yards and ran for a touchdown and has been named the starter this week.

Johnny Manziel also got hurt against Auburn, missing just one series before Read more

Tags: College Football Vanderbilt Commodores Texas A&M Aggies SEC Brent Crow

NFL Gambling Preview: Washington Redskins at Denver Broncos

10.24.2013     12:24 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Washington at Denver
Sunday, 1:25 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Denver -12 O/U 55
CRIS Current: Denver -11.5 O/U 57.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Denver -12
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Over

As the Broncos continue to show the betting public that you can mechanically play over in every one of their games, oddsmakers don’t seem to be posting a price tag high enough to deter that. This week, the Washington-Denver total was opened too low according to the early money and it’s been pushed from 55 all the way to the key number of 58 and in some shops, beyond. It’s important to note that on all occasions this season, Denver has had an opponent with at least one attribute which helped greatly in producing final scores totaling 58 or higher in six of seven contests. This week is no different as Washington rolls into Sports Authority Field at Mile High with a sieve of a defense (389.0 ypg, 30.7 ppg) and an offense Read more

Tags: NFL Washington Redskins Denver Broncos Rob Veno

College Football Gambling: Clemson offense not clicking

10.24.2013     08:13 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Clemson -14 at Maryland O/U 60

Clemson voicing some concerns about its offense which was held to 326 yards in last week's loss to Florida State. In ACC play last season, Clemson posted point totals of 37, 45, 47, 38, 42, 56, 45, and 62. This year, it hasn't come as easy with 26 vs. NC State, 24 vs. Boston College and 14 vs. FSU.

“We’ve got one guy playing well and 10 not,” he said. “We’re what seven games into it? That’s what’s disheartening right now.”

“We’re about as simple as we can be on offense right now. We’re unable to really push the envelope forward,” Morris said.

“We’re not playing well. We’re not playing well at key positions,” he said. “We’re consistently inconsistent and that’s

Read more

Tags: College Football Clemson Tigers Maryland Terrapins ACC

College Football Handicapping: Week 9 Injury Report

10.24.2013     07:17 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Kentucky QB Max Smith will get the starting nod Thursday at Mississippi State. Jalen Whitlow sprained his ankle in a 48-7 loss to Alabama two weeks ago and is ‘doubtful’ against the Bulldogs. Smith is more of a pocket passer, while Whitlow is a dual-threat option who averages 4.9 yards per carry and has three rushing touchdowns. Smith, a third-year sophomore who had eight TD passes before suffering a season-ending shoulder injury in Week 3 last year, has a 5-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio in 2013.

Vanderbilt quarterback Austyn Carta-Samuels is ‘out’ Saturday at Texas A&M. Carta-Samuels, who has a 10-7 TD-INT ratio this season, left last week’s 31-27 win over Georgia with a knee injury in the first half. Patton Robinette, a redshirt freshman, replaced Carta-Samuels and had a TD run early in the fourth quarter of the comeback win over UGA. Robinette will make his first career start against the Aggies.

Maryland might have been the biggest overall loser coming out of Week 8. The Terrapins got smashed 34-10 at Wake Forest and lost two of their best players to broken legs. Wide receiver Stefon Diggs is done for the season after Read more

Tags: College Football Brian Edwards

College Football Betting Podcast 10-23-2013 with Handicapper Erin Rynning

10.23.2013     10:37 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Erin Rynning. ER recapped Week 8 College Football (PAC-12, Big Ten).

Today's segments
Erin Rynning - CFB Week 8 Recap: PAC-12, Big Ten

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football Erin Rynning

NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 7

10.23.2013     08:28 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
I decided to switch things up with my weekly NFL News and Notes article this week by focusing on the obscene amount of key injuries. Sunday had to be close to a record number of injuries for one day’s worth of football and many of them are significant so I’m going to mention several of them and the impact they could have…

Chicago Bears
The Bears are dealing with a pair of key injuries suffered last week. Quarterback Jay Cutler went down with a torn groin muscle which will put him out of action for 4-6 weeks and linebacker Lance Briggs will miss approximately the same amount of time with a small fracture in his left shoulder. Most people will automatically look at Cutler’s absence being more significant but the loss of Briggs is undoubtedly an impact injury. Chicago’s defense has been sliced and diced whenever they aren’t forcing turnovers. Teams have been moving the football up and down against the Bears and putting up points with regularity. Briggs was one of the few players that had a positive impact throughout the season. He had eight tackles, one tackle for loss, and two passes defended against Washington Read more

Tags: NFL. Chicago Bears St. Louis Rams Cincinnati Bengals Houston Texans Indianapolis Colts Ian Cameron

College Football Betting Preview: Penn State Nittany Lions at Ohio State Buckeyes

10.22.2013     11:44 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Penn State at Ohio State
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Ohio State -14.5 O/U 55.5
CRIS Current: Ohio State -14.5 o/U 56.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Ohio State -12
Marty Otto's Recommendation: Over

It’s a primetime ABC television tilt between Penn State and Ohio State as they renew their classic rivalry. The unbeaten Buckeyes survived a strong test from Iowa last week and look to keep their slim BCS title hopes alive. In order to do so they need to not only win but likely win by big margins moving forward as well as get a little help in the form of losses from two teams currently in front of them in the BCS rankings. For Penn State this likely represents their “BCS Title” game as they remain banned from the postseason.

Give much credit to Bill O’Brien and the job he’s done as well as to the kids who have played their tails off for him since he took Read more

Tags: College Football Penn State Nittany Lions Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten Otto Sports


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