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NFL Gambling: Pass interference continues to have big impact on outcomes

11.21.2013     11:43 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Good article from the Wall Street Journal on the NFL and pass interference. Defensive PI calls are obviously on the rise due to more passing but the rate of offensive PI calls remains similar to that of past seasons.

"It's a big grey area," said McCaffrey. He said the reason a penalty is not called more often is that the move is nearly impossible to decipher. He said it's hard for referees to distinguish receiver-created "picks" from contact initiated by defenders, who are allowed to get physical at the line of scrimmage. He said two things are key for the offense to avoid a penalty: Don't throw a forearm or otherwise make upper-body contact, and after setting a pick, at least pretend to run a route.

Tags: NFL

College Football Betting Preview: Texas A&M Aggies at LSU Tigers

11.20.2013     01:05 PM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Texas A&M at LSU
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
LSU -4 O/U 70
CRIS Current: LSU -4.5 O/U 70.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: LSU -3
Brian Edwards' Recommendation: Over

Although it has no bearing on the SEC West race, Saturday’s showdown between Texas A&M and LSU in Baton Rouge has implications galore for these two proud programs.

For starters, this is a recruiting game. Kevin Sumlin is starting to make inroads in Louisiana and Les Miles has always loved to work the I-10 corridor into East Texas. Also, the Aggies would love to avenge a 24-19 home loss to the Tigers last season.

On that afternoon in College Station, Texas A&M (8-2 straight up, 5-5 against the spread) raced out to a 12-0 lead but it could’ve been more. The Aggies had to settle for two field goals, missed an extra point and had a touchdown called back on one of the drives that ended in Read more

Tags: College Football Texas A&M Aggies LSU Tigers SEC Brian Edwards

NBA Handicapping: How bad has it gotten for the Brooklyn Nets?

11.19.2013     10:41 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
How bad has it gotten in Brooklyn? Injuries and age seem to be the big story lines and after getting run off their home court last night by the Trail Blazers the Nets apparently held a players only meeting and ditched their press responsibilities. The disappointing loss was their fifth in six games and dropped them to 3-7 overall on the season.

It seemed like this was always going to be an uphill battle for this team. Yes they made headlines with the moves to bring in former all-star veterans but you can’t win on name alone in this league. I think the lofty expectations were a bit misguided coming into the campaign. Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett both look as old on the court as they do on paper. Deron Williams hasn’t been healthy in a couple of years and even when he does suit up he looks like a shell of his former self. Joe Johnson is averaging the fewest points per game of his entire career. And to cap everything off, Jason Terry has provided virtually nothing off the bench. A lack of chemistry is certainly a big issue right now and you wonder if Read more

Tags: NBA Brooklyn Nets Otto Sports

College Football Handicapping: Nebraska says no letdown vs. Penn State

11.19.2013     07:29 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Nebraska at Penn State -1.5

Any hope Nebraska had of reaching the Big Ten Championship was eliminated following last week's home loss to Michigan State. The team is saying all the right things in terms of playing for pride, no letdown, etc. heading into Saturday's game at Penn State. Under Bo Pelini, the Cornhuskers are 14-5 SU and 10-8-1 ATS off of a loss.

“We’re competitors. We want to win ballgames. That’s the main thing,” Rose said. “And then for the young guys, just continue to build chemistry on the team, continue to fight. The season is not over. Just because we’re not going to get to the Big Ten championship this year doesn’t mean our season is over.”

“The last thing we need is to go

Read more

Tags: College Football Nebraska Cornhuskers Penn State Nittany Lions Big Ten

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC Super Bowl Contenders

11.18.2013     12:31 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
It’s late November.  Thanksgiving is next week.  And that means it’s time for me to take a break from my typical team notes column that I’ve been writing here in the Vegas Wiseguy Report since the start of the NFL season.

It’s time to focus on the big boys – teams with playoff aspirations.  Who can get hot down the stretch and make us some money winning games and covering pointspreads?  Which squads are legitimate Super Bowl contenders; which are pretenders.  Let’s take look through the NFC this week, gauging which squads have ATS value moving forward, and which squads have already reached their zenith, poised to tumble back to earth down the stretch.

I did not include notes on Carolina (they don’t play till Monday Night) and Dallas (on bye this week) due to space limitations.  That leaves Philadelphia, the New York Giants, Detroit, Chicago, Green Bay, New Orleans, Seattle, San Francisco and Arizona to consider; all of whom remain live for the postseason as Week 12 approaches.

Serious Super Bowl Contenders

Seattle Seahawks - I Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers

College Football Gambling: Ohio State upset it didn't cover the spread vs. Illinois

11.18.2013     12:17 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Putting to rest the theory that college kids don't know the pointspread of their games...

"We're disappointed by [winning at Illinois] 60-35. We didn't cover whatever spread that we needed to, didn't score enough points to boost up our rating. That's a reason why we're disappointed with the way that we played. It's reality."

Tags: College Football Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten

College Football Betting Preview: Utah Utes at Oregon Ducks

11.15.2013     03:08 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Utah at Oregon
Saturday, 1 pm PT - FS1
CRIS Opener:
Oregon -25 O/U 64
CRIS Current: Oregon -28 O/U 63.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oregon -26
Andrew Lange's Recommendation: Oregon

A lot of bettors would look at Oregon as unplayable this weekend after having its hopes of a BCS Championship crushed in somewhat embarrassing fashion. But there are other factors to consider in this matchup that in my opinion offset the potential letdown for the Ducks.

For starters, unlike a majority of the PAC-12, Utah has little to no experience playing against Oregon's offense. The last meeting between the two schools was 2009 – Chip Kelly's third game on the job. Second, this is not an ideal spot for the Utes either. After losing back-to-back road games, Utah had a 19-7 lead against Arizona State but gave up a touchdown with a little over two minutes remaining to lose 20-19. Win that game and Utah goes to Read more

Tags: College Football Utah Utes Oregon Ducks PAC-12 Andrew Lange

College Football Betting Preview: Wyoming Cowboys at Boise State Broncos

11.15.2013     09:48 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Wyoming at Boise State
Saturday, 7:15 pm PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
Boise State -20 O/U 69.5
CRIS Current: Boise State -23 O/U 68.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Boise State -21.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Boise State

Wyoming stunk up the joint at home against Fresno last Saturday Night; costing my clients and I money in the process.  I expect we’ll get it back here!  After getting out to an early 10-0 lead, the Cowboys wasted several scoring chances, then proceeded to get torched for 48 unanswered points in an ugly blowout loss.

That defeat marked the third blowout loss that the Cowboys have suffered in their last five games.  They’ve got another road game at Utah State to close out the season, which basically means that the Cowboys aren’t going to get to 6-6 and go bowling this year – last week’s loss was essentially their last chance.  Read more

Tags: College Football Wyoming Cowboys Boise State Broncos Mountain West Teddy Covers

College Basketball Handicapping: UNLV tries to bounce back after ugly loss

11.15.2013     08:03 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
It's been a rough start to the season for UNLV. They were up only one at half against Big Sky bottom feeder Portland State before pulling away. The Rebels had 18 turnovers and shot 13-of-28 from the free throw line. And on Tuesday, UC Santa Barbara, who won only 11 games last year, waltzed into the Thomas & Mack Center and won by 20. The Las Vegas Review-Journal summed it up best with a post-game article titled, 'UCSB shows Rebels, Rice how to play, coach.' The Las Vegas Sun pointed out UNLV's struggles against the zone – something they’ll likely see more of moving forward.

“Obviously, it’s a very, very difficult loss,” Rice said. “Santa Barbara played well. We played very, very poorly. We got beat in every aspect of the game. It’s very disheartening; very disappointing.”

Heading into tonight's game against Nebraska-Omaha, head coach Dave Rice announced that Read more

Tags: College Basketball Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks UNLV Rebels

College Football Handicapping: Week 12 Injury Report

11.14.2013     01:40 PM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
UCLA running back Jordon James will start Friday vs. Washington. James has missed four of the last five games with an ankle injury. He tried to come back two weeks ago vs. Colorado but was held to eight yards on six carries. Jim Mora Jr. chose to rest James in last week’s 31-26 win at Arizona. With OT Simon Goines ruled ‘out’ Thursday, the Bruins will be without three starting offensive linemen but it’s been that way for the last three games.

Florida lost a 10th player to a season-ending injury when starting LB Antonio Morris tore his meniscus in a 34-17 home loss to Vanderbilt. Morrison is the seventh starter to go down for the year and with OT D.J. Humphries also ‘out,’ UF will be without at least eight starters Saturday at South Carolina. QB Tyler Murphy is expected to be a game-time decision due to a sore shoulder. If Murphy can’t go, Skyler Mornhinweg (yes, Marty’s son) will get the starting nod. Mornhinweg, a redshirt freshman, has never taken a collegiate snap. The Gators are double-digit underdogs (+13.5 as of Wednesday) for just the second time under Will Muschamp.

Mississippi State could be without two Read more

Tags: College Football Brian Edwards


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