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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Late season NBA betting opportunities Part 2

03.31.2014     08:58 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
You’ll be reading more than enough about the Final Four in the week to come.  You’ll be able to find my initial take on the two games in my ESPN.com piece, midweek.  So I’m going to focus on the NBA in this week’s Wiseguy Report, picking up right where I left off last week, when I broke down a handful of Eastern Conference morphers

It’s worth noting that since I wrote that article, blindly supporting the three bet-on teams that I mentioned (Cleveland, Philadelphia and Brooklyn) while fading my one ‘bet-against squad (Indiana) has produced a 10-5 ATS result.  Hopefully this edition, focusing on Western Conference morphers, will produce similar short term dividends.

The San Antonio Spurs success can’t be a surprise to any breathing human.  No team in the league has been more consistent over the past decade and a half, and San Antonio came one brutal overtime loss short of winning the NBA Championship last Read more



Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Denver Nuggets New Orleans Pelicans Golden State Warriors Minnesota Timberwolves Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapping: Colorado Rockies Season Over/Under Wins

03.26.2014     01:38 PM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Colorado Rockies Season O/U Wins
Recommendation: Over 76.5


All of the talk in the National League West has undoubtedly centered on the Los Angeles Dodgers contending for a World Series title and the San Francisco Giants bouncing back after last year’s 76-win campaign.  The Colorado Rockies (74-88) meanwhile are lined as the worst team in the division and while there are plenty of holes, I see upside with this squad as well as value with the price. This is a .500 ball club when Troy Tulowitzki, Carlos Gonzalez, and the pitching staff are healthy.  Tulowitzki played in only 126 games last season while CarGo was even less at 110. Their starting pitchers are not the envy of most teams, but if guys like Brett Anderson can stay healthy and Juan Nicasio can pitch to his potential they will get more than their share of wins.  Nicasio has been the wildcard in their rotation for some time and with his fastball improved during spring training we could see big results. The addition of Anderson, coupled with Nicasio and Jorge De La Rosa, gives the Rockies three solid arms that while not as high profile as some of the aces in the division, Read more



Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Sammy P




NBA Handicapping: Golden State's Jackson clashes with brass

03.25.2014     02:40 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here's something worth noting. Golden State, specifically head coach Mark Jackson, recently reassigned assistant coach Brian Scalabrine. And by reassigned, we mean he will no longer be on the bench. That alone probably isn’t that big of a deal but it’s not an isolated incident. Jackson and former assistant Mike Malone, who is now the HC for Sacramento, butted heads on more than a few occasions. It was generally understood that Malone did a lot of the X's and O's while Jackson played motivator. Again, we're dealing with a team that is sitting at 44-27 in the Western Conference – winning cures all. But issues like this have the potential to cause damage, particularly in the postseason.


"Over the past two years, Jackson's difficulty with managing his coaching staff and creating a functional work environment has developed into one of the issues that threatens his future on the job, league sources said."







Tags: NBA Golden State Warriors




NCAA Tournament Betting: Michigan concerned about Tennessee's front court

03.25.2014     02:14 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tennessee vs. Michigan -2 O/U 131.5

Article of Michigan's prep for Friday's Sweet Sixteen matchup against Tennessee. Head coach John Beilein's biggest concern is that the Vols play two tradition post players, something the Wolverines haven't been able to do since the loss of Mitch McGary.


“This is a team that we see quite often and is a difficult match for us because they have great quickness on the perimeter and they play with a classic two big guys on the blocks that just beat us up,” Beilein said on Mike and Mike. “When we lost Mitch McGary early in the year, that no longer became an option to us, to play with two bigs, and we’ve just been playing with one. It is going to be difficult. They will probably win the rebounding battle, we gotta win the possession battle like we did the other day.”







Tags: College Basketball Michigan Wolverines Tennessee Volunteers




NHL Handicapper Free Play: Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks

03.25.2014     07:48 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Dallas at Chicago -205 O/U 5.5
Recommendation: Under


I've mentioned this before on the podcasts and in writings about the Chicago Blackhawks; no team in the league endures more extended totals trends. The Blackhawks can beat you 6-5 or 2-1 and they seem to do it in bunches either way. Chicago has now played eight straight games under the total and I see no reason for an offensive explosion tonight against Dallas.  The loss of scoring sensation Patrick Kane has lowered scoring for the Blackhawks and made them focus more on defensive efforts to win games. Dallas is coming off of a tough 2-1 victory against Winnipeg and appear happy with their efforts the past two contests following a four-game losing streak.  Forward Tyler Seguin said, "We're just trying to find a way to win games, we had a tough stretch there a few games ago. We just want to walk away every night being the most competitive team."  Competitive teams play a tight checking style as seen by the Stars’ last two games going under the total. This is a very important game for both teams as we near the end of the regular season.  I expect a defensive battle Read more



Tags: NHL Dallas Stars Chicago Blackhawks Sammy P




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Late season NBA betting opportunities

03.24.2014     09:10 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
While the betting markets focus on post-season college basketball tournaments and the upcoming baseball season, the long and winding NBA campaign still offers plenty of wagering opportunities down the homestretch. 

There are still three and a half weeks left in the regular season.  Most squads have between 12 and 14 games remaining.  And very quietly, underneath the radar, we’ve seen a handful of late season morphers; teams playing well above or well below their full season power rating numbers.  Those are the teams I’m looking to focus on in this week’s Vegas Wiseguy Report, particularly in the Eastern Conference.

The Philadelphia 76ers have lost 24 games in a row as I write this very early on Monday morning.  This is no surprise – the Sixers have been openly tanking since last summer, playing for ping-pong balls, not victories.  And for the better part of the first four months of the campaign, the sportsbooks couldn’t hang a line high enough to get bettors to support this completely anonymous, sorry squad. 

Philly hasn’t gotten any better in recent weeks.  Read more



Tags: NBA Philadelphia 76ers Indiana Pacers Brooklyn Nets Cleveland Cavaliers Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament Betting Free Play: Oregon Ducks vs. Wisconsin Badgers

03.22.2014     08:14 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oregon +5.5 vs. Wisconsin O/U 145.5
Recommendation: Oregon


Oregon is clearly playing its best basketball of the season having won 9 of 10 heading into today's matchup vs. Wisconsin. Defensively and effort-wise the Ducks are finally performing up to their capabilities and coupled with an already stellar offense, this is all of a sudden a very complete outfit. They managed to hold BYU to under 1 point per possession the first round – only the fifth time all season that had happened to the Cougs. Wisconsin didn't have much trouble getting past American in its first round game but things won’t come as easy against the Ducks. The Badgers do a lot of things extremely well – particularly on offense – but defensively, they've been exposed on more than a few occasions. I go back to the Big Ten Tournament when the Badgers allowed Michigan State to run wild (83 points, 1.32 ppp). Also note that in their respective league play, Oregon was actually better (1.03 ppp allowed) than Wisconsin (1.05 ppp allowed) from a defensive efficiency standpoint. Obviously the Big Dance is going to bring out UW's best on the defensive end, but I think Read more



Tags: College Basketball Oregon Ducks Wisconsin Badgers Andrew Lange




NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Conference win totals

03.19.2014     09:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Some more NCAA Tournament prop bets courtesy of The Greek. Here we have conference win totals.

AAC - 5.5 wins

A-10 - 4un-150 wins

Big East - 5.5un-130 wins

Big Ten - 10 wins

Big XII - 8.5 wins

Mountain West - 2.5un-135 wins

PAC-12 - 7.5 wins

SEC - 5.5ov-125 wins




Tags: College Basketball




NHL Handicapper Free Play: Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders

03.18.2014     08:27 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota -120 at NY Islanders O/U 5.5
Recommendation: Under


Anytime you see a total of 5.5 in a Minnesota Wild game you must really look hard at the Under.  Minnesota comes onto Long Island tonight to face the Islanders in a situation where they must right their ship heading into the final playoff push.  Last night in Boston the Wild fell 4-1 to the Bruins marking their fifth loss in six games.  Playing the tail end of a back-to-back for Minnesota has been an Under bettor's dream as they are 5-1-3 in this situation – only once in those nine games did the teams combine for more than five goals.  In fact, the Wild have seen totals of 5.5 eight times this entire year with the Under going 6-2 in those contests.  These two teams met earlier in the year and went Over the total of 5, but this is a very different situation tonight.  New York is without the majority of its offense with John Tavares finished for the season and the loss of Matt Moulson to the Wild at the trade deadline.  We are nearing the final weeks of the NHL season and teams are starting to tighten up.  I expect a well-disciplined road game Read more



Tags: NHL Minnesota Wild New York Islanders Sammy P




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: An early look at the Field of 68

03.17.2014     08:16 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’ve got brackets to break down! I’ll offer a quick take on the 28 matchups already set for Thursday and Friday. Games are listed in rotation order.

The A-10 got a handful of mediocre teams like Dayton into the NCAA Tournament mix, but the Flyers will certainly be looking forward to a matchup against an Ohio State team that has repeatedly avoided them in non-conference play. The Buckeyes enter the tourney on an 0-6 ATS run; just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 tries as chalk.

Syracuse, too, was a pointspread disaster area down the stretch, cashing only one winning bet in their last eight ballgames. But Western Michigan’s only win against an NCAA Tournament team came on the opening night of the season, back on November 8th, when they beat New Mexico State.

Phil Martelli’s Saint Joseph’s team hasn’t won an NCAA Tournament game since 2004, when Jameer Nelson and Delonte West were his starting guards. UConn is a Top 10 team for free throw shooting percentage; always key in this ‘short favorite’ pointspread Read more



Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers



52

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