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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Cleveland Indians at Los Angeles Dodgers

07.02.2014     08:14 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Cleveland (Bauer) at LA Dodgers (Ryu) -150 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under

If you've read these pages before you know that I am a big fan of Cleveland’s Trevor Bauer who is starting to show more consistency to go along with his swing-and-miss stuff. I think he'll benefit from pitching in a National League park this afternoon as well as it being the Dodgers first-ever look at the hard throwing righty. Hyun-Jin Ryu has been as consistent as they come churning out quality start after quality start this season. Asian pitchers are notoriously tough in first-look situations as not one current Indians player has an AB vs. Ryu. The Tribe has also had a difficult time hitting lefties this season with .244/.313/.350/.663 splits hence their 10-16 record vs. southpaws. This is a true getaway day situation with the afternoon start, LA headed to Colorado, and Cleveland with an off day on Thursday before returning home for a 10-game homestand. Let's play this one UNDER the total.

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Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians Los Angeles Dodgers Andrew Lange

CFL Handicapper Free Play: Toronto Argonauts at Winnipeg Blue Bombers

06.26.2014     09:01 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Toronto -7 at Winnipeg O/U 55.5
Recommendation: Under

I am a little puzzled by the move toward the Over this morning with this total getting pounded from 53.5 to as high as 55.5 in many locations. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers have a brand new starting QB in Drew Willy and although he has talent and plenty of potential, we are still talking about someone who was a backup in Saskatchewan for the last couple years and will be making his first start. Toronto has some holes to fill defensively and they also have a new DC in Tim Burke. The Argos lost key veteran CB Pat Watkins while also saying goodbye to DL Khalif Mitchell and two solid LB’s Robert McCune and Marcus Ball. However given Winnipeg’s offensive makeup to start the campaign it shouldn’t be as big of a challenge for the revamped Argos defense.

On the flip side, Toronto's strength is its offense with veteran QB Ricky Ray who in 2013 completed a ridiculous 77% of his passes. The line move suggests bettors feel Toronto’s offense will roll in this matchup but Winnipeg has upgraded their talent on defense and there really is nowhere to go but up. Winnipeg’s new Read more

Tags: CFL Toronto Argonauts Winnipeg Blue Bombers Ian Cameron

College Football Handicapping: Switching conferences

06.26.2014     07:19 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Good breakdown on of the history of college football teams switching to new BCS conferences – West Virginia (Big East to Big XII) and Texas A&M (Big XII to SEC) two recent examples. In most situations the step up in class resulted in poorer results the first year – Utah, TCU, and Missouri good examples. This year, Rutgers and Maryland join the Big Ten.

Tags: College Football Maryland Terrapins Rutgers Scarlet Knights Big Ten

College Football Gambling: Rutgers puts offense in hands of Friedgen

06.24.2014     02:10 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Rutgers’ Kyle Flood enters the all-important third season as head coach as the team moves from the AAC to the Big Ten. The Scarlet Knights went 9-4 in Flood's first season but dropped to 6-7 in the AAC a year ago. In hopes of bolstering the offense – and developing turnover prone quarterback Gary Nova – Flood hired former Maryland head coach Ralph Friedgen to serve as offensive coordinator. Rutgers will be playing in the Big Ten's East Division which means games against Michigan, Michigan State, and Ohio State. They also drew Nebraska and Wisconsin for their two contests vs. the West.

"The thing that's most exciting to me about watching him offensively is to see the multiplicity of where he puts the pieces," Flood said.

"To be a really high quality pro-style offense it doesn't mean you line up with two backs in the backfield in the I the whole game. It should be a multiplicity of personnel groups. It should be a multiplicity of formations, shifts, motions.

"By the end of spring I began to see

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Tags: College Football Rutgers Scarlet Knights Big Ten

MLB Handicapping Free Play: Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays

06.22.2014     07:33 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports blog entry.
Houston (Keuchel) +105 at Tampa Bay (Bedard) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Houston

The Houston Astros will send southpaw Dallas Keuchel and his 2.63 ERA to the hill this afternoon. There’s nothing fluky about Keuchel’s stellar ERA this season (2.95 xFIP). He also sports a 3.6:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio and an MLB-best 63.7% groundball rate among qualified starters. The major reason for his massive step forward has been the development of a plus slider which has been his go-to strikeout pitch. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay’s Eric Bedard was roughed up in his last start against Baltimore – a common theme and one that can be expected to continue this afternoon.  Bedard obviously doesn’t have the stuff he once possessed with a fastball that barely tops out at 90 mph and a slider with minimal bite. He’s currently showing a 4.33 ERA but that number is really iffy moving forward. Note too that Bedard has been a fly ball pitcher for much of the season and yet Read more

Tags: MLB Houston Astros Tampa Bay Rays Erin Rynning

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks

06.19.2014     10:03 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Milwaukee (Gallardo) -115 at Arizona (Anderson) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over

It has without a doubt been a struggle for Yovani Gallardo this season but even after a pair of good outings against Pittsburgh and Cincinnati, I'm not ready to declare that he's righted the ship. Gallardo has an overall ERA of 3.51 but a FIP of 4.28 which is almost a run higher. His performance against the Pirates in particular where he threw 7 scoreless innings needs to have an asterisk placed next to it because both teams that day were rushing at the plate because the game was threatened to be delayed due to rain. Gallardo allowed 4 runs or more in back-to-back road starts prior to that outing in Pittsburgh and he's allowed 34 hits and struck out just 22 in 35 innings pitched on the road. Arizona scored 7 runs on 13 hits in 12 innings in the two times they faced Gallardo last season and should be in for some offensive success today. On the flip side, Chase Anderson gets the call for the Diamondbacks and he's Read more

Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Arizona Diamondbacks Ian Cameron

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates

06.18.2014     10:34 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Cincinnati (Simon) at Pittsburgh (Volquez) -115 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Over

At this stage of the campaign, the betting markets have more than enough data to concentrate on full-season numbers.  But the full season numbers for both Cincinnati and Pittsburgh offensively don’t tell the story of the appropriate current form of these two lineups today.  That leaves legitimate value betting the Over on ‘baseline’ totals for both squads; two teams that are consistently lined in the same 7 or 7.5 range where we find them today.

The Reds couldn’t hit their way out of a wet paper bag for the better part of the first two months of the season.  Their aggregate numbers show Cinci ranked #29 out of 30 MLB teams in runs scored this year – only the Padres have gotten less production from their lineup.  But with Joey Votto off the DL, the Reds bats have come to life, pounding out 36 runs in their last six games.   As a team, Cinci Read more

Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Pittsburgh Pirates Teddy Covers

World Cup Gambling: First round matchups feature plethora of goals

06.17.2014     08:35 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Favorites and the OVER have been the theme of the World Cup thus far. That's not to say there haven't been upsets with the Netherlands crushing defending champ Spain, Costa Rica knocking off Uruguay, and the USA of course taking down Ghana as small underdogs. Scoring has been way up (3.14 gpg) with only two games featuring less than three goals.

“The World Cup is more popular than ever with bettors,” said Jimmy Vaccaro, a legend in our business. “The perfect example was a parlay that was written Sunday, where the guy said ‘Jimmy, give me a $200 three-team parlay. I’ll take the Spurs, and Jimmy, let’s go with the Braves, and give me Bosnia too.’

“It was just a unique sign of how things have transformed over the years with betting on the World Cup being bigger than ever.”

Tags: Soccer

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers

06.16.2014     10:14 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Colorado (Matzek) +170 at LA Dodgers (Ryu) O/U 7
Recommendation: Colorado

Hyun-Jin Ryu's overall numbers look good (3.33 ERA, 2.90 FIP) but since returning from injury he's been hit around some and faced a very favorable schedule with games against the Mets, Reds (twice), and the Pirates. In two starts against Colorado, Ryu allowed 17 hits in 11 IP with only five strikeouts. I've also noticed a small drop in velocity with Ryu. The Rockies will be getting a third look against him and should be able to plate some runs. Colorado rookie Tyler Matzek looked very good in his MLB debut – 7 IP, 2 ERs, and 7 Ks in Coors Field against Atlanta. I'm a big fan of first-time lefties and while the Dodgers do have right-handed power, Matzek at night in Dodgers Stadium presents a good opportunity for success. Ultimately this is a value play. Ryu is being priced as a dominant starter vs. a lower-tier pitcher and team but I don't think that is the case. The Rockies aren't the same team away from Read more

Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Los Angeles Dodgers Andrew Lange

College Football Handicapping: Power Conference Betting Odds

06.10.2014     12:47 PM     Printer Friendly
The Greek recently posted NCAA Football ddds for all of the power conferences. Below are the top contenders and their current prices.

Florida State -350
Miami +350
Louisville +800
North Carolina +800
Virginia Tech +800

Oklahoma -250
Baylor +250
Texas +500
Oklahoma State +650

Big Ten
Ohio State +100
Wisconsin +300
Nebraska +300
Michigan State +500
Michigan +800

Oregon +100
UCLA +350
USC +500
Stanford +500
Arizona State +500

Alabama +125
LSU +250
South Carolina +250
Florida +500
Auburn +500

Tags: College Football ACC Big XII Big Ten SEC PAC-12


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