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NFL Betting News: Sportsbooks in fear of a New York Giants Super Bowl run
01.17.2012 10:27 AM
Printer Friendly
Both offshore and Las Vegas sportsbooks are facing some
hefty payouts
if the New York Giants continue to win.
The Giants right now are our biggest loser if they were to win the Super Bowl,” Kevin Bradley, Bovada sportsbook manager told the New York Post last week.
“Before the first Cowboys-Giants game (in Week 14), we actually had a big customer put down a large bet on the Giants to win both the NFC crown and the Super Bowl,” Chris Andrews, assistant director of Club Cal Neva Sports Books, said. “This customer took 60-1 for the Super Bowl and 30-1 for the conference."
“If the Giants win the Super Bowl, it will be a very nice score for the betting public,” says David Mason, spokesperson for Panama-based BetOnline.com. “It seems like no matter the sport, there is just so much public money coming out of the Big Apple, we are more often than not exposed a bit. This year is no different. Even a season like this one, when the Giants had to go down to the wire to even make the
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New York Giants
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College Basketball Betting: Analyzing close against the spread results
01.17.2012 07:14 AM
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Submitted by
This is Part I of a series of articles to be posted on college basketball results and the impact against the spread (ATS). I’m often asked about close results and usually emailed, tweeted or text a message about a close win or loss (usually loss). It’s important to understand some of the random variances that can take place in betting sports, and in this case college basketball. Over the course of a college basketball season the average margin of a final score will fall with 8-9 points from the betting line.
Over the past few weeks we have suffered our share of close ATS losses, including 0-5 the past three days for results that landed within five points of the betting line. Along with some service selections, my personal wagering has resulted in a 0-5 recent run for games that landed within one point of the betting line. Yet despite some recent less than desired results, we’ve been on quite a run on our top-rated Big Drive plays. Since late November the record stands 25-7.
Through the winning run and full season, I spend many hours logging and tracking scores, stats and lines. I’ve been tracking scores and documenting the results
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College Basketball
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NCAA Basketball Gambling: Michigan looks for three straight over rival Michigan State
01.17.2012 06:25 AM
Printer Friendly
Michigan State
-1 at
Michigan
O/U 131.5
Notes on tonight's
Michigan State
-
Michigan
matchup in Ann Arbor. Both teams come in off of losses –MSU fell at Northwestern 81-74 and UM was blown out at Iowa, 75-59. The Wolverines has some pretty strong ATS trends in their favor: 15-4 ATS run vs. Big Ten, 27-8 ATS run as an underdog, 15-6 ATS run at home. Michigan won both meetings last season, 70-63 (-1) and 61-57 (+11).
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College Basketball Free Play: Maryland Terrapins at Florida State Seminoles
01.17.2012 06:08 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Maryland
at
Florida State
Recommendation: Maryland +6.5 1st half
Beating North Carolina at home wasn't that monumental of an achievement for Florida State – despite what the Seminoles’ student body showcased after the buzzer. However, hanging 90 on the Tar Heels in route to a 33-point victory is no doubt going to make FSU's players feel good about themselves. Letdowns happen all of the time in college hoops and the odds of that occurring to the Seminoles – for at least parts of tonight's game – are pretty good. I will say that of all of the potential letdown victims, it is the teams with elite level defenses which are typically the least susceptible – something that FSU without question has. The one thing the Seminoles don't have though is the ability to consistently knock down shots. Against a majority of the better teams on their schedule, the Seminoles failed to top 1.0 point per possession. Maryland is a different squad
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Andrew Lange
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College Basketball Betting: Kentucky Wildcats struggle to cover pointspreads
01.16.2012 02:17 PM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Typically, the best teams in college basketball post against the spread records around the .500 mark. They obviously win a lot which is correlated with covering spreads but on the same token, the extra "tax" and attraction to bettors often keeps them from putting up great ATS numbers. Take last year from example. North Carolina (16-17 ATS), Duke (20-16 ATS), Kansas (18-17 ATS), Pittsburgh (15-14 ATS), Syracuse (15-18 ATS), Ohio State (18-16 ATS) and Kentucky (16-16 ATS) were all right around the .500 mark. There were some expectations, most notably UConn (23-12 ATS), but the Huskies came from way off the grid to go 10-1 ATS during the postseason.
But this year, something odd is taking place. Kentucky, which is considered to be one of the best teams in the country, is a horrific 3-13-1/4-12-1/4-13 ATS (depending on what numbers you go by). Based on one set of numbers I saw, the Wildcats haven't covered a game since November 19 – after starting the season 3-0 ATS. So why has Kentucky been such a poor spread team? No question, there is a tax tacked onto the Cats – but the same can be said about a lot teams. But unlike those teams, Kentucky is young,
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NBA Betting News and Notes 1-16-2012
01.16.2012 10:00 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
We're only three weeks into the young NBA season, yet we're already seeing teams morph away from how they looked earlier in the campaign. Let's take a look around the league, concentrating on key notes and quotes, the type of information that has the potential to make us some money in the weeks to come.
Detroit
– Pistons starting forward Tayshaun Prince has had a fascinating career arc. He’s been on a championship team in 2004 and returned to the Finals again in 2005. Prince has helped his team reach the Eastern Conference Finals six times. He’s also played for six different head coaches in Detroit, including their current head honcho, Lawrence Frank. But with a 3-10 record to open the season including four consecutive non-competitive home losses, Prince has been vocal about his frustrations, just weeks after inking an extension to stay with Detroit for the next four years.
Prince: “We got to figure out a way to get in the paint a lot more. Right now, we’re confused on both ends and we’re settling for jump shots. I know myself in general, I’ve taken shots that really haven’t come in the
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NCAA Basketball Betting Free Pick: Penn Quakers at Columbia Lions
01.13.2012 01:30 PM
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Submitted by
Pennsylvania
at
Columbia
-1.5 O/U 123.5
Recommendation: Under
We continued our remarkable run in college basketball with a pair of Big Drive winners last night on Western Illinois and Arkansas-Little Rock. Since the end of November, the run is 25-4 on our top-rated Big Drive college basketball plays. Time to join the profit-producing party!
We passed on Friday’s card from a service perspective, but here is a Fairway Free Forecast that is part of my personal betting interests. Ivy League play tips off tonight with Columbia (11-5) winning 11 of its last 12 games. As I often discuss, the improvement starts with defense, and the Lions rank 81st in KenPom’s adjusted defensive rankings after finishing 226th last season. Their effective field goal defense is also significantly improved this season (41st, 44%). Columbia is a slow-down team with an adjusted tempo ranking of 284 out of 345 which has assisted in a 2-5 O/U mark this season. One of
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NCAA Basketball Betting: Princeton travels to Cornell for Ivy League opener
01.13.2012 07:42 AM
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Princeton
-1 at
Cornell
O/U 124.5
New and notes on tonight's Ivy League opener between Princeton and Cornell. Tonight will mark the
eighth straight road game
against a DI opponent for the Tigers. Cornell meanwhile has been
hammered by injuries
with 74 player games already lost.
“I feel like we’re in a slightly better position now than we were a month ago,” Princeton coach Mitch Henderson said the other day. “We had a rough start (1-5).
“What we’re seeing now is more balance; certainly on the offensive end. We’ve gotten good production out of Ian Hummer and Doug Davis, but the rest of the team is
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NBA Handicapping: Huh? No offense, all defense for the New York Knicks
01.12.2012 12:18 PM
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Holy cow, the New York Knicks are
playing defense
! That or offenses league-wide are really, really bad. Perhaps a bit of both as the Knicks held Philadelphia to 39.5% shooting in last night's 85-79 win. In the victory – this has to be one of the craziest stats of the season – New York didn't hit a field goal the final 9:02 of the game. They also had nine turnovers during that span. Yet, they not only won the game but covered. Despite the struggles, the team isn't worried about its offense – which has been really bad of late – but rather thriving on producing stops on a consistent basis.
"We're not worried about our offense," Anthony said. "That will come. Right now, we're focused on our defense. That's where we need to be."
"… I think most importantly that once we got Tyson [Chandler] everybody was saying he was the key to the defensive changes. But it was going to start with myself and Amare to help him out. We can't rely on Tyson to do everything out there. As long as I'm out
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College Basketball Betting News and Notes 1-12-2012
01.12.2012 11:29 AM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
NC-Wilmington at Georgia State -12.5 O/U 132.5
It will be interesting to see how first-year head coach Ron Hunter’s Panthers
handle this home game
after going through a three-game CAA gauntlet. Tough struggles with fellow league kingpins Drexel, VCU and George Mason resulted in 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS records but can GSU bring the same energy and focus tonight at home against fast paced NC-Wilmington? The Seahawks will be without starting forward Donte Morales who is averaging 22 minutes per game. Star forward Keith Rendelman (56.6 FG%, 15.2 ppg) picked up his second CAA Player of the Week award this past week.
Arkansas-Little Rock -2.5 at UL-Monroe O/U 118.5
Without their leading scorer, rebounder and three-point shooter, 6-10 Will Neighbour (Sun Belt POW Dec 25-31), the Trojans offense mustered just 91 points during his two-game absence. Granted those contests were versus SEC power Kentucky and defensive minded conference foe Florida Atlantic, but UALR shot 30% and 31% from the field. Neighbour is listed as
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