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October

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College Football Betting Preview: Tennessee Volunteers at Oregon Ducks

09.13.2013     12:08 PM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tennessee at Oregon
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Oregon -20 O/U 70
CRIS Current: Oregon -27.5 O/U 72
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oregon -28
Brian Edwards' Recommendation: Oregon

After hooking up its betting supporters for the ninth straight time as a road favorite in last week’s 59-10 win at Virginia, Oregon returns home Saturday to take on Tennessee for a 12:30 pm PT start on ABC.

As of early Friday, most books had the Ducks installed as 28-point favorites with the total as low as 71 and as high as 72.5. The line on Oregon opened -20 at CRIS and -24.5 Pinnacle but has steadily climbed throughout the week.

Gamblers can take the Volunteers on the money line for a +1610 payout at CRIS (risk $100 to win $1,610). For first-half wagers, Oregon is favored by -16 or -17 with a total of 37.

These schools met at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville during Week 2 of the Read more


Tags: College Football Tennessee Volunteers SEC Oregon Ducks PAC-12 Brian Edwards




College Football Betting Stock Watch: Wisconsin Badgers should thrive under Andersen

09.13.2013     08:13 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Buy the Wisconsin Badgers – The Badgers have a new face of the program as Gary Andersen moves to Wisconsin from Utah State.  Andersen obviously took over for Bret Bielema, who left the program for the SEC and Arkansas.  The move for the Badgers figures to be a step forward on Saturdays when the games are actually being played.  Bielema did a tremendous job on the recruiting trail and the development of players; however he was largely questioned as an in-game tactician.  This shouldn’t be the case for Andersen who overachieved with his teams at Utah State.  The Badgers will now feature tremendous talent and the X and O’s/game management of Andersen.  Offensively, the Badgers are loaded this season and perhaps flying under the radar.  As always, the run game will be the focus with the three-headed monster of James White, Melvin Gordon and super freshman Corey Clement.  The offensive line is deep and strong, while big play receiver Jared Abbrederis is a true difference maker.  Quarterback Joel Stave doesn’t garner much praise but don’t sleep in him as he runs the play action fake as well as Read more


Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten Erin Rynning




NFL Gambling Preview: San Diego Chargers at Philadelphia Eagles

09.13.2013     08:03 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Diego at Philadelphia
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Philadelphia -7 O/U 51.5
CRIS Current: Philadelphia -7 (-120) O/U 55
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Philadelphia -5.5
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Philadelphia

There’s no doubt that the Eagles offense is the flavor of the week this week. Head coach Chip Kelly’s innovative, extreme tempo system figures to be a lot for San Diego to handle, especially on a short work week. Couple those tasks with a cross country fight, an early 1:00 local time start, and their heart breaking season home opening loss to Houston and you instantly have a strong case for a fade. Defensive fatigue could also be a valid argument against the Chargers since Philadelphia is conditioned for their style and the entire nation saw Washington’s defense gassed in the first quarter last Monday night. A reenergized and rabid Eagles fan base will pack Lincoln Financial Field Read more


Tags: NFL San Diego Chargers Philadelphia Eagles Rob Veno




College Football Betting Preview: Ole Miss Rebels at Texas Longhorns

09.12.2013     07:57 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Mississippi at Texas
Saturday, 5 pm PT
CRIS Opener:
Texas -3.5 O/U 65
CRIS Current: Texas -2.5 O/U 64.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Texas -1
Brent Crow's Recommendation: Mississippi

Much has been made of the firing of Texas defensive coordinator Manny Diaz and the hiring of Greg Robinson to fill his post. Obviously, Mack Brown has a problem with his defense and the hiring of Robinson, who we last saw having terrible results as Michigan’s defensive coordinator under Rich Rodriguez, isn’t likely to fix things. Texas allowed 29.2 ppg last year, giving up 404 yards per game, which was an increase of 7 ppg and 98 ypg over 2011. After BYU ran through them for 559 yards on the ground last week, the decision was made to fire Diaz and hire Robinson, who has supposedly been watching video of the Horns from his home in Los Angeles.

Robinson will have all of three practices to get the Horns Read more


Tags: College Football Ole Miss Rebels SEC Texas Longhorns Big XII Brent Crow




College Football Betting: SEC News and Notes - Week 3

09.12.2013     07:05 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Will Alabama take advantage of it bye week again this week at College Station? The Tide is 7-3 SU under Saban after a bye or more than a week of preparation, but it seems like that all of the big games they’ve played over the past three years have all been after a bye week. Additionally, all three losses came against teams that also had a bye or extra time to prepare for a bowl. The first thing Saban does is not start team-specific preparations too soon.

"I think that you can work too long on one team and the players get bored and lose focus after awhile," Saban said. "That's not really a good thing."

He said that a week and a half before the Virginia Tech game, but it applies to bye weeks too. Alabama has been practicing all week but only started Texas A&M preparations on Monday. Bama certainly needed some time to work on its offense after gaining just 202 yards against Virginia Tech, its lowest output on offense since 2008.

Ole Miss has a big revenge game against reeling Texas this week on the road after dropping a 66-31 decision in Oxford last year. They will most likely be without their best cover corner Charles Read more


Tags: College Football SEC Brent Crow




College Football Handicapping: First half and second half totals

09.11.2013     02:57 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The growing popularity of first half and halftime betting indicated to me that it was something I needed to begin charting. Last season was the first one in which I kept complete records and now three weeks into 2013 it seems like a good time to use this week’s article on examining some early team results.  

Extreme Teams: (Teams that have had the same result in all four halves thus far)

Central Florida – The Knights have used their defense and lack of opponents’ offense through two games to record unders in each of their four halves of play. On paper it seems as if they should have been able to at least record one over since their totals haven’t been set that high and their skill position players and offensive line have held dominant advantages. However, their defense has simple been lights out allowing just 4.2 and 3.5 yards per play in their first two games. They’ve also been in a sizeable lead position at halftime which has led them to play methodical, clock draining second half football. This week presents their first real test as they travel to Penn State which possesses a Read more


Tags: College Football Rob Veno USC Trojans Florida Atlantic Owls Central Florida Knights




NFL Gambling Preview: Denver Broncos at New York Giants

09.11.2013     12:13 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Denver at New York Giants
Sunday, 1:25 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Denver -6 O/U 52.5
CRIS Current: Denver -4 O/U 54.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Denver -3
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Over

The betting markets aren’t used to NFL totals in the mid-50’s.  And there’s a significant sentiment among sharp bettors that NFL totals this high are one-way-only bets – they’re either taking the Under, or passing on the total.  A decade ago, I was one of those bettors who wouldn’t touch anything Over 52 in this league.  But in the modern NFL, that’s a flawed strategy, in my opinion.
Look no further than the TV games from last week.  We had five national TV games on opening weekend: Broncos – Ravens, 49ers – Packers, Giants – Cowboys, Redskins – Eagles and Chargers – Texans.  All five FLEW over the total, by 27, 15, 17, 8 and 15 Read more


Tags: NFL Denver Broncos New York Giants Teddy Covers




College Football Betting: Week 3 Injury Report

09.11.2013     11:59 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Louisiana Tech sophomore running back Kenneth Dixon enjoyed a banner freshman campaign, rushing for 1,194 yards and 27 touchdowns while averaging 6.0 yards per carry. Dixon sustained a knee injury in last week’s 27-14 win over Lamar and he’s questionable Thursday night vs. Tulane. Even if Dixon can’t go, I don’t know that bettors should downgrade Tech’s offense. Before Dixon became the starter last season, fellow freshman Tevin King started three games and rushed for 369 yards and five TDs. King, who averaged 8.0 ypc before suffering a season-ending injury, replaced Dixon when he went down last week. He responded by exploding for 182 yard rushing on 20 carries. As of early Wednesday, most books had the Bulldogs favored by -7.5 over the Green Wave.

TCU senior quarterback Casey Pachall is out until at least late October with a forearm injury. Therefore, sophomore signal caller Trevone Boykin will get the starting nod Thursday night at Texas Tech. Boykin started nine games as a redshirt freshman in 2012. He threw for 2,054 yards with a 15/10 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Boykin also rushed for 417 yards and three TDs. In relief of Pachall in Read more


Tags: College Football Brian Edwards




College Football Betting: South Carolina's youthful defense struggles

09.11.2013     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Vanderbilt at South Carolina -13.5 O/U 50.5

Following last week's 41-30 loss at Georgia, Steve Spurrier was fairly candid about just how young his defense is. The Gamecocks currently have 13 freshmen and sophomores on their two-deep.


“I look out there and see all those redshirt freshman and sophomore guys and I’m starting to wonder if we’re expecting a little too much from those guys,” Spurrier said after Saturday’s loss. “But it is a freshman-laden defense out there and they’re going to take their lumps. We’ve got to get creative.” 





Tags: College Football South Carolina Gamecocks Vanderbilt Commodores SEC




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings Week 3

09.11.2013     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I think we’re getting closer to capturing the market. Not quite there yet. There were fewer head scratchers this week when comparing the transitions from last week.

It may be a mess for awhile in the 45-65 range because of volatility. A 55 may play like a 48 against quality but a 57 against other mid-50 teams. College sports are always messy because of the sheer volume of teams, and the fact that kids are inconsistent from week to week.

If you’re new to the site, these aren’t my “personal” ratings for all the teams. I’m not following college football nearly closely enough to have any real sense of probably the bottom 80 yet. This is my guess at how the market has the teams rated. I create “couplets” each week that match the Vegas spread (allotting 3 points for home field advantage), then I try to figure out where that couplet goes within the big scale. Over a few weeks, it’s not hard to hone in on a fairly good Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence



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