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MLB Betting Recap: Cincinnati's Homer Bailey tosses second no-hitter

07.03.2013     07:56 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Homer Bailey of the Cincinnati Reds threw a no-hitter Tuesday night against the slumping San Francisco Giants. It’s amazing how all the arguing on twitter can come to a halt for something like that…everybody loves a no-hitter!

Bailey has now thrown the last two in the majors, having tossed one in Pittsburgh last season.

It was also a night for “no” from the five-inning perspective, meaning NO SCORING for a lot of teams. If you’re new to the blog, we tend to focus on five-inning action here because that’s a popular betting proposition in the markets (because it eliminates concern about closers)…and because nobody else is writing about it anywhere.

Tuesday:

*Philadelphia at Pittsburgh was 0-0 through five innings (Pettibone and Cumpton)

*Milwaukee at Washington was 0-0 through five innings (Peralta and Strasburg)

*Arizona posted a 0 in New York vs. Hefner

*Colorado posted a 0 at home vs. Read more


Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Stat Intelligence




Canadian Football League Week 1 Betting Recap

07.02.2013     02:38 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The 2013 Canadian Football League season got off to an exciting start which provided what would be the NFL equivalent of a bookmaker’s nightmare. All four Week 1 games went over the total and all four favorites (Montreal, Toronto, Calgary and Saskatchewan) got the win and pointspread cover. The 4-0 O/U mark and the 4-0 SU and ATS mark for favorites obviously won’t last but it will be interesting to see how quickly things change entering in Week 2. In watching all four games last week, the major thing that I noticed was a major bias towards offenses from the officials who had a tendency to award the majority of “50/50” calls for infractions taking place on passing plays down the field to the offense. I definitely noticed a major spike in pass interference and illegal contact penalties on the defense last week and those penalties combined to not only keep drives alive for the offensive units but also moved the football significantly toward the opposing end zone. Aside from the Saskatchewan Roughriders, defenses were owned by opposing offenses but neither that nor the officiating are identifiable traits that we should automatically assume will continue and Read more


Tags: CFL Ian Cameron




College Football Betting: Big Ten Regular Season Over/Under Wins

07.02.2013     01:25 PM     Printer Friendly
Below are the Big Ten's Regular Season Over/Under Wins courtesy of 5Dimes. It's the last season of the Leaders and Legends divisions with Rutgers and Maryland joining next season to form the more logically named East and West. As for 2013, it’s Ohio State and everyone else according to oddsmakers and the betting markets. The Buckeyes are the second choice behind Alabama for the BCS crown at 8-1, -110 to win the Big Ten Championship, and a huge -465 favorite to win the Leaders Division. The schedule sets up well with six of OSU's first eight in Columbus and winnable road games at Cal, Northwestern, Purdue and Indiana. They do however travel to Ann Arbor to close out the regular season. As for the rest of the Big Ten, Michigan State and Wisconsin are slated to improve after 6- and 7-win seasons, respectively. The Legends Division looks fairly balanced with the Spartans, Nebraska, Michigan, and Northwestern all lined at 8.5-9.5 wins. The Wolverines are the slight betting favorite at +230.

2013 Big Ten Regular Season Over/Under Wins
Big Ten Leaders
2012 RS Wins
2013 O/U
Ohio State
12
11.5un-195
Penn State
8
8.5un-195
Wisconsin
7
8.5ov-210
Purdue
6
5.5un-245
Indiana
4
5.5ov-210
Illinois
2
3.5ov-160
Big Ten Legends
2012 RS Wins
2013 O/U
Nebraska
10
9.5ov-130
Michigan
8
9.5un-135
Northwestern
9
8.5un-140
Michigan State
6
8.5
Minnesota
6
5.5
Iowa
4
5.5un-140





Tags: College Football Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten




MLB Gambling News: Which is the Best Division in Baseball?

07.02.2013     07:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Another topic fitting for our lawyer/judge conversation of late. Today SB Nation posted an article called “The NL Central, Baseball’s Best Division.”

That seemed odd, considering that:

*Cincinnati fans are up in arms about how the Reds were squashed in their recent matchups with Oakland and Texas from the superior American League. The Redlegs went 1-4, getting outclassed on the scoreboard 23-11

*St. Louis fans were licking their own wounds after going 1-5 vs. the same two American League teams. Remember that the Cards were swept at home by the Rangers last weekend, before dropping two of three to the A’s this weekend.

I mean…NOW’s the time you want to make the case that the NL Central is the best in baseball?! The American League has established superiority for several years now. Both the Reds Read more


Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting: SEC Regular Season Over/Under Wins

07.02.2013     06:52 AM     Printer Friendly
Below are the SEC's Regular Season Over/Under Wins courtesy of 5Dimes. Oddsmakers are predicting another close three-team race in the SEC with Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina all lined at 9.5 wins. Most sportsbooks have the Bulldogs priced as slight division favorites. Alabama is once again expected to do great things – bettors are essentially wagering on whether or not the Crimson Tide will lose a regular season game. Improvement is expected from Arkansas and Auburn who suffered through disappointing 2012 campaigns. Oddsmakers like what Ole Miss head coach Hugh Freeze did in his first season (7-6 overall) as the Rebels are slated to be in the 8-9 win range.

2013 SEC Regular Season Over/Under Wins
SEC East
2012 RS Wins
2013 O/U
Florida
11
9.5un-320
Georgia
11
9.5ov-195
South Carolina
10
9.5ov-210
Vanderbilt
8
7.5un-140
Missouri
5
5.5ov-260
Tennessee
5
5.5ov-210
Kentucky
2
3.5ov-190
SEC West
2012 RS Wins
2013 O/U
Alabama
11
11.5un-230
Texas A&M
10
9.5ov-180
Louisiana State
10
9.5un-175
Mississippi State
8
5.5un-180
Mississippi
6
8.5un-170
Arkansas
4
5.5ov-140
Auburn
3
6.5un-180




Tags: College Football Georgia Bulldogs Florida Gators South Carolina Gamecocks Alabama Crimson Tide Ole Miss Rebels SEC




NFL Handicapping: Let the Chip Kelly era begin

07.01.2013     12:40 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The over/under on number of blogs dedicated to Philadelphia Eagles first-year head coach Chip Kelly and how fast/slow/good/bad the offense is this season is currently 83.5. Here's one that focuses in on who exactly will be the starting quarterback. The short answer is no one knows at this point. Michael Vick and Nick Foles are expected to see plenty of PT during the preseason.


"Who can move us the best, and who gets the football team up and down the field," Kelly said. "You know that's the most important thing. It doesn't have to be that he throws a prettier ball or all those things. There [are] a lot of different things. How do you manage a game? How do you secure the football? Are we not turning it over? Are we constantly moving in a positive direction? Are we getting into third-and-short and converting them? Things like that. It really is who moves the team the best is what we are looking for at the quarterbacks."






Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles




MLB Gambling Free Play: San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds

07.01.2013     10:00 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Francisco (Kickham) at Cincinnati (Arroyo) -160 O/U 9
Recommendation: Under


Each of these teams is in an extensive offensive drought right now which should lend a helping hand to starters Michael Kickham and Bronson Arroyo. Over their last 10 games, San Francisco has gone ice cold at the plate hitting just .234 while averaging 2.3 runs per game. Cincinnati’s slump has lasted even longer as they’re now in the midst of a 17 game stretch where they’ve hit just .220 and averaged 2.8 runs per contest. Kickham made one stride in his second MLB outing last Tuesday by striking out five and walking none during his 5.2 inning stint but he was hurt by a pair of two-run homers which accounted for four of the five ER he allowed. Here against a more LH oriented Cincinnati lineup and in his third start overall, figure for a positive progression and somewhere between 5-6 solid innings from him. The Giants bullpen is rested, ready and deep enough to secure the back third Read more


Tags: MLB San Francisco Giants Cincinnati Reds Rob Veno




MLB Gambling: Pittsburgh Pirates continue rack up the profits

07.01.2013     07:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
So here we are on July 1, and the Pittsburgh Pirates have the most wins in MLB with 51. They also are the most profitable team in the league with just over +27 units in the bank (Oakland is No. 2 with +11.7). The Bucs have been doing it with pitching as they lead the NL in team ERA (3.13) and groundball percentage (51.1). There are some statistics that indicate the Pirates have been fortunate. Their Pythagorean W-L record is 46-35 which gives them an MLB-leading +5 in the "luck" department. Also note their pitching staff's BABIP is a ridiculous .265 (the Cubs own the second-lowest mark in the NL at .280). However, they don't have crazy records in extra innings (6-4) or 1-run (15-10) games. One of the keys has been simply taking care of business with a record of 33-16 in games against teams below .500 (18-14 vs. teams above .500). For the time being, the Pirates are playing with confidence and doing the little things it takes to win in the National League. Will it last? Probably not at this rate but it doesn't appear that the Pirates are going to suffer another 2nd half meltdown like 2012. Lastly, we dug out this gem from back in 2010 when a group of recreational gamblers Read more


Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates




In Stat Evaluations, Be a Judge, Not a Lawyer

06.30.2013     07:48 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I’ve touched on this periodically over the years, often in throwaway comments when I’m whining about something I just saw or read. I was thinking it was time to go into the topic again because we have so many new readers thanks to twitter (@jefffogle) and word-of-mouth. Then, a PERFECT example jumped out at me in something I was reading at Grantland.

There’s an article up this weekend about the Philadelphia 76ers. Author Ben Detrick said this about the role new general manager Sam Hinkie might have played in the development of point guard Jrue Holiday:

“When Hinkie took the reins, some thought he could help transform Holiday into the Sixers’ version of James Harden. Both are big guards with lightning-quick first steps, equally capable Read more


Tags: NBA Philadelphia 76ers Stat Intelligence




MLB Betting Recap: Friday Night News and Notes

06.29.2013     07:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Had some time to throw together some notes after all. Let’s take the games in rotation order…

*Cole of Pittsburgh got another win. He’s proving to be an interesting pitcher to handicap. He throws 100 mph but doesn’t get strikeouts at a rate you’d expect. At least not so far. Only 3 K’s tonight in 6 innings. He got rocked in the first inning…but then the Pirates scored a zillion runs off the latest Brewers desperation pitcher. The Pirates “four-max” offense (scoring totals in the first five innings with a peak cut-off right at four) the last six games is 4-4-3-4-2-4. They continue a relative explosion from an extended slump several weeks ago.

*Nolasco of Florida has been featured in a lot of trade talk of late. He’s so inconsistent…you can’t be sure that whoever gets him is going to be happy. I’ve arranged his first half runs allowed totals from best to worst. Note how few games are right at a Read more


Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 28, 2014 09:35 PM.