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NBA Handicapping: Portland seeks revenge vs. Houston

12.12.2013     07:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Houston at Portland -3 O/U 212

Portland has had an eye on tonight's nationally televised (TNT) matchup vs. Houston. The Rockets won in the Rose Garden earlier this season, 116-106, on the strength of 54% shooting and 62 points from James Harden and Dwight Howard. The win was even more impressive considering Houston was playing the second of back-to-backs and third road game in four nights. For tonight’s game, both teams come in well rested with the Rockets last playing on Sunday and Trail Blazers on Monday.


“I think everybody is motivated just because we lost to them before,” Blazers forward LaMarcus Aldridge said.

“You’d like to say no, but the fact that it’s a national TV game, there’s only two — it’s the only game in town that night, the whole country is watching —

Read more



Tags: NBA Houston Rockets Portland Trail Blazers




College Football Gambling Update: Gambler wants to hedge on Auburn bet

12.11.2013     01:58 PM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Looks like one of the bettors with an Auburn BCS Championship futures ticket will be hedging some of his bet.





College Football Gambling: Sportsbook exposed on Auburn BCS title bets

12.11.2013     07:48 AM     View Original Blog


Seems like every time there is an unexpected participant in a championship game reports surface of bettors holding juicy futures tickets. According to LVH oddsmaker Jay Kornegay, if Auburn wins the BCS National Championship, his sportsbook will take around a Read more



Tags: College Football Auburn Tigers SEC




College Football Handicapping: USC focuses on Las Vegas Bowl

12.11.2013     01:54 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Some quotes following one of USC's recent practices. The focus was on getting over the departure of Ed Orgeron and trying to avoid another Sun Bowl disaster. The Trojans play Fresno State in the Las Vegas Bowl and week from Saturday.


"We can't underestimate no team," said defensive captain Hayes Pullard.  "We have to go in there and prepare like we are second place and play like we are first place."

"We have a goal," said interim head coach Clay Helton. "Any time you have faced the adversity that they have faced and you are going to get the opportunity to get your 10th win, that's pretty special.  That's what their ultimate goal is."

"I feel like the emotions have died," said DL George Uko.  "He was like a dad to us as a d-line and became a dad to the rest of them over the eight weeks, so it was a sad loss."






Tags: College Football USC Trojans PAC-12 Fresno State Bulldogs Mountain West




College Football Handicapping: Early thoughts on Rose, Fiesta, Sugar, BCS and more

12.11.2013     07:38 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Rose Bowl / Rose Bowl / Pasadena, CA
255 Michigan State
256 Stanford -2 (Power Rating)

Game Opened: Stanford -3 Total Not posted
Current Line: Stanford -4 or -4.5 Total Not yet posted

Early Thoughts
1. Obviously a battle of mirror images as similar style offenses and arguably the nation’s toughest defenses meet. Both teams are extremely happy to be in this game which should equate to 60 minutes of full effort from each side.   
  
2. Can’t help but feel the edge in this game goes to Stanford because they’ve produced equally stellar defensive results against far superior offensive competition. Indiana, Nebraska and Ohio State are the best offenses MSU faced this season and they allowed 28, 28, and 24 points to those teams for an average of 26.7 per game. The Spartans overall defensive numbers are somewhat skewed by the seven lousy offenses they played.             

3. The passing game and offensive line will be vital to each team’s success and probably determine the Read more



Tags: College Football Rob Veno




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Boise State Broncos at Kentucky Wildcats

12.10.2013     11:48 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Boise State +11 at Kentucky O/U 58
Recommendation: Boise State


My clients and I cashed a ticket betting against Kentucky on Friday night in their loss against Baylor. They struggled in that contest and I expected to that continue as 11-point home chalk against a very solid Boise State squad.

Boise State is a strong offensive squad led by the quartet of Anthony Drmic, Derrick Marks, Jeff Elorriaga, and Ryan Watkins who are all averaging double digits. They rank second in the nation in scoring at 91.9 ppg with some of that largely being schedule related but this is still a team that can give Kentucky’s defense problems. I haven’t been impressed with UK’s defensive efforts in their step-up-in-class games against Michigan State and Baylor as they allowed both squads to shoot over 47% from the field. The Cats were supposed to have solid defensive presences on the court with the likes of Andrew Harrison, Willie Cauley-Stein and Alex Poythress but they are obviously still trying to find their way.

On the flip side, Kentucky’s offensive game is strong inside but has struggled from the outside (33.6% from deep). Read more



Tags: College Basketball Boise State Broncos Kentucky Wildcats Ian Cameron




Monday Night Football Betting Recap: Bears roll past awful Cowboys defense

12.10.2013     06:52 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The Dallas defense…which is bad at tackling in the best of conditions…REALLY didn’t want to play physical football in the sub-zero wind chill of a December night in Chicago. The Bears scored on their first eight drives of the evening. The ninth was taking a knee to run the final second off the game clock before everyone could head to the locker to warm up.

Chicago 45 (-2), Dallas 28

Dallas: 342 yards, 6.0 per-play, 0 turnovers, 50% third downs

Chicago: 498 yards, 7.1 per-play, 0 turnovers, 73% third downs

Other Numbers

Dallas: 198 rush, 14-25-0-144 passing, 28 drive points, 24 stat score, 11 sloppiness

Chicago: 150 rush, 27-36-0-348 passing, 32 drive points, 29 stat score, 9 sloppiness

For those of you wondering, the pace factor was a very low 133. The ultimate clock eating game because neither team wanted to stay out in those conditions. And, Chicago loves running clock anyway. Read more



Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Dallas Cowboys Stat Intelligence




College Football Gambling: Initial thoughts on bowl game opening numbers

12.09.2013     02:07 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Please note that these reactions are to the opening lines only and are in no way indicative of which way I would lean toward any of the games commented on. Bowl games are as much about situation (and sometimes even more so) as they are the lines.

1. Oddsmakers showed a lot of support for the top of the MAC as Bowling Green, Northern Illinois, Ball State and Buffalo all opened between 2-4 points higher than my power ratings projected.

2. There are hardly any home field type situations on this season’s bowl card but Maryland and North Carolina are close to home. The Terps are much closer to their back yard and I assigned them a +2 point home edge but the opener suggests that even a higher number may have been given. The same was not used in UNC’s case as the opener of -3 indicates they were given little to no home consideration. I used +1 for the Tar Heels.

3. Somewhat surprised that Syracuse opened only +4.5 considering how well Minnesota played down the stretch.

4. Kansas State opening -3 over Michigan seems a bit high, wouldn’t be surprised to see numbers and value guys bet it down some.

5. Missouri opening Read more



Tags: College Football Rob Veno




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: How to bet college football bowl games

12.09.2013     08:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
During football season, I usually write about the NFL every week.  But it wasn’t easy to make broad generalizations about teams on a Sunday in which more than half the games were significantly affected by snowy or frigid weather.  And the college football bowl pairings were announced on Sunday Night.  So, I made the executive decision to take a one week break from the NFL this week to discuss my personal strategies for winning during bowl season.

Motivation is the key factor for any bowl game.  Overall talent and team speed don’t mean a thing when the players don’t give a hoot about being there.  That’s why underdogs tend to do fairly well against the spread in the earlier bowl games.  It’s not a reward for a favorite to end up in front of a sparse crowd in Boise or Detroit facing a team they’re not particularly excited about playing, especially if their second tier bowl bid came as a result of a relatively disappointing campaign.

Always check the local newspapers, blogs and yes, even twitter feeds for clues about any team’s level of preparation and Read more



Tags: College Football Teddy Covers




College Football Gambling: Florida State the betting favorite over Auburn for BCS title game

12.09.2013     07:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Auburn vs. Florida State -8.5 O/U 65

The stage is set! Auburn will square off against Florida State for the 2013 BCS National Championship, Monday, January 6, at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, Calif. Oddsmakers were quick to hang a line once the matchup was determined with CRIS opening Florida State -9.5 with a total of 65. We've seen a little support on Auburn with most shops now showing FSU -8.5. Based on Sagarin's raw number Florida State is -14.55 and Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno's initial power rating has the Seminoles -12.5. FSU's strength of schedule is 63rd with only one game (Clemson) vs. the top 30. Auburn's SOS is 20th with five games vs. the top 30.

2014 BCS Championship Auburn vs. Florida State - Tale of the Tape
Team
SU
ATS
O/U
Veno Power
Sagarin
PPG
Def PPG
YPG
YPGA
Auburn
12-1
11-2
8-5
 
90.43 (6)
40.2 (11)
24.0 (38)
505.3 (11)
423.5 (90)
Florida State
13-0
11-2
10-3
-12.5
104.98 (10)
53.0 (1)
10.7 (1)
529.4 (6)
268.5 (3)





Tags: College Football Florida State Seminoles ACC Auburn Tigers SEC




College Football Championship First and Second Half Betting Numbers

12.07.2013     08:51 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In last night’s Mid-American Championship Game, Bowling Green continued its torrid 2013 run cashing as a second half “under” play for the 11th time in 13 games.  Always looking for hidden gems, here’s a look at the season’s results for each team involved in Saturday’s Conference Championship Games.

Conference USA - Marshall at Rice
1st Half ATS – Marshall 8-4-0 / Rice 9-3-0
1st Half Total – Marshall 5-6-0 / Rice 4-6-2 (Note: The Marshall-Gardner Webb game did not have a 1H total but had a 2H) 

Notes: Marshall is currently on a 5-0 1H ats streak defeating opponents by 14 or more in all five games. Rice is also a red-hot 1H play going 7-1 ats in their last eight games winning all seven of those contests by double digits.

2nd Half ATS – Marshall 6-6-0 / Rice 5-7-0
2nd Half Total – Marshall 7-5-0 / Rice 2-10-0

Notes: Of Marshall’s six road games this season, five of them resulted in 34 or more 2H points and a 5-1 “over” mark. Rice started the season playing nine consecutive 2H “unders” before going Read more



Tags: College Football Rob Veno



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 04, 2015 01:43 PM.