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March

26

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Who has what it takes to win the Big Dance Part II

03.09.2015     06:12 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In Part I of this article last week, I took a basic look at the profile of the past 16 NCAA champions.  From that profile, I was able to make a short list of potential champs in 2015, consisting of the following 12 teams:  Virginia, Duke, Notre Dame, Louisville, Kansas, Baylor, Villanova, Wisconsin, Maryland, Arizona, Utah and Kentucky.

However, since that article was written last week, one of those 12 teams has been bounced from consideration, with Baylor suffering their eighth loss of the season at Texas in overtime.  I don’t think the Bears were serious contenders to win the title, but now that they are above the seven loss cut-off line, we can eliminate Scott Drew’s squad from the discussion entirely.

The next step in the elimination process is to look at the team’s records away from home.

The NCAA championship is not won on a team’s home floor.  Even with a favorable location one weekend, a team is still going to have to win Read more



Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers Las Vegas




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Stanford Cardinal at Arizona Wildcats

03.07.2015     08:24 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Stanford at Arizona
Recommendation: First Half Over 66


Arizona looked like a well-oiled machine in Thursday's PAC-10 regular season title clinching win over Cal. The Wildcats fell one point short of 100 in the 99-60 route. There's no reason to think that UA's desire to push pace and score won't continue against a reeling Stanford squad playing its second road game in three days. The Cardinal had two chances to pick up much-needed resume building wins against Oregon and Arizona State and faltered both times. The inability to step up when needed has been a staple throughout Johnny Dawkins’ tenure. A win here, though very unlikely, would put them back in the NCAA Tournament picture so perhaps we see some fight. In the first meeting, there was plenty of pace (146 possessions) and points (171). While it'll be tough to top that offensive output, I project the pace to be fairly quick throughout. With perhaps less intensity, both teams playing on short rest, this has all the makings of a loose, up-and-down affair. The concern is should Arizona lead big late, the game has the potential to bog down. To avoid that, I think the best angle here is to step Read more



Tags: College Basketball Stanford Cardinal Arizona Wildcats PAC-12 Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: San Diego State Aztecs at UNLV Rebels

03.04.2015     10:33 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Diego State -4.5 at UNLV O/U 121
Recommendation: San Diego State


San Diego State needs to rebound from last Saturday’s confidence shaking home loss to Boise State. That result put the Aztecs on the short end of a regular season series sweep by Boise with each of their losses coming by double digits. Up three at half, SDSU was 20 minutes from avenging their 61-46 loss at Boise on Feb 8. However, they were dominated 35-22 in the second half scoring just 7 points in the final 11 minutes. San Diego State’s 32.7% shooting came on the heels of three straight games of 47% or better from the floor and eight of 10 in conference play where they shot 43.6% or higher. Defensively, they were sound once again and that area of their game has caused U.N.L.V. fits in this matchup recently. The Rebels have dropped four in a row to San Diego State and they’ve been held to 52 pts or less in three of those meetings. SDSU is on a 3-0 ATS streak versus UNLV here at the Thomas & Mack Center and a 4-1 ATS run in the series overall. The Rebels have played better lately despite being without leading scorer Rashad Vaughn for the last few games but they Read more



Tags: College Basketball San Diego State Aztecs UNLV Rebels Rob Veno




College Basketball Betting: Tennessee running out of gas

03.04.2015     08:26 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
After starting 4-1 in SEC play, Tennessee has dropped nine of 11 to fall out of the NCAA Tournament discussion. The Vols' defense appears to be running on fumes having allowed well over a point per possession in six straight contests including 1.22 and 1.19 in recent losses to Vanderbilt and Florida, respectively. UT travels to LSU tonight. The Tigers dominated the first meeting in Knoxville, 73-55.


"I don't know that our team has lost any intensity," Tennessee coach Donnie Tyndall said. "I think the biggest thing is we've lost some detail."

"I don't care who you are, how strong you are," Tyndall said. "Losing is not fun, and it can wear on you a little bit."






Tags: College Basketball Tennessee Volunteers LSU Tigers




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Ole Miss Rebels at Alabama Crimson Tide

03.03.2015     10:09 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Ole Miss +2 at Alabama O/U 131.5
Recommendation: Ole Miss


Not trusting of Alabama in the role of a favorite even when you eliminate the issues of not being with starters Shannon Hale and Ricky Tarrant. Tarrant has been out from nearly a month but the recent loss of Hale suggests the Crimson Tide could have a real difficult time scoring the basketball. There's also the issue of Alabama's failures when asked to step up in class. Of their seven SEC wins, only one (Texas A&M back on Jan. 6) came against a high power rated opponent. Of late, it's been very formulaic: beat who your supposed to beat and lose against "better" competition. Ole Miss enters off back-to-back losses and is in desperate need a good performance. The Rebels have proven capable on the highway with five SEC wins away from Oxford including at Arkansas and Florida. In the end, there isn't a huge difference between these two squads despite Alabama not being all that visually appealing. But with injury concerns and asked to lay points, I see Ole Miss as the right side tonight.




Tags: College Basketball Ole Miss Rebels Alabama Crimson Tide SEC Andrew Lange




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Who has what it takes to win the Big Dance Part I

03.02.2015     08:50 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
History shows us many things about what it takes to be a champion.  I write this article every year, and in every year except for two, I have been able to identify the eventual NCAA National Champion among my elite level teams.   Both exceptions were the same team – UConn – making miracle runs to win the title as prohibitive longshots.

Last year, the Huskies were on the ropes in their tourney opener against St Joe’s, needing a late rally just to send the game to overtime.  Three weeks later, they cut down the nets as national champs at Jerry’s World in Arlington.  I didn’t see it coming.  Neither did the betting markets, with UConn priced in the 100:1 longshot range prior to the tournament.  And if a longshot like that wins every coinflip game in the tourney this year, I’m not likely to get it right either.

I write this article every year before the regular season is over, before the conference tournaments, before the tourney seedings are announced and before a single March Madness game has been played. And I’ve nailed the winner of the NCAA tournament four times in the last eight Read more



Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers Las Vegas




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Mississippi State Gamecocks at South Carolina Gamecocks

02.28.2015     08:15 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Mississippi State +9 at South Carolina O/U 122.5
Recommendation: Mississippi State


Not sure why South Carolina is laying this many points against a very comparable opponent. The Gamecocks have been in when's-the-offseason mode for much of the last month. They scored an unimpressive five-point win over Missouri and beat a Georgia squad that was without its starting point guard. Unlike Mississippi State, there were expectations placed on Frank Martin's group after a 9-3 non-conference mark. But nothing has gone right as the Gamecocks can't shoot, they don't always play with effort, and Martin's perpetual foul mood has clearly worn on the players. The one thing I know I'm going to get with Rick Ray's squad is effort. Since getting blown out in its first two SEC games, Mississippi State has been outclassed only twice: at Arkansas and vs. Kentucky -- both of which perfectly understandable. The rest of their games were five wins and losses by 4, 6, 6, 4, 6, and 4. This line is based on a power rating from two months ago. South Carolina hit as high as 25th in Ken Pom and has dropped to only 70th. Mississippi State bottomed out at 245th and had slowly Read more



Tags: College Basketball Mississippi State Bulldogs South Carolina Gamecocks SEC Andrew Lange




NBA Handicapper Free Play: Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets

02.27.2015     08:42 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Utah -3.5 at Denver O/U 197
Recommendation: Utah


My clients and I have cashed back-to-back winners this week against the dead team walking known as the Denver Nuggets and I have no reservations looking to get paid for a third straight time this evening. The Nuggets are shot in every sense of the word: physically, mentally and emotionally. They are 2-17 SU in their last 19 games including an 8-game home losing streak. One of those two wins was in LA when the Lakers were returning home from a long Eastern Conference road trip. There is a lot of angst between the players and head coach Brian Shaw who is somehow still employed. Denver shopped star Ty Lawson around at the trade deadline but ultimately didn't pull the trigger, and the disgruntled star was benched in the first game after the break for failing to return to the team in a timely manner. Utah missed a golden opportunity to secure its first three-game winning streak in over a year when it blew a double-digit fourth quarter lead to Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday. Prior to that, we’d seen some real good play from the Jazz with a 6-3-1 ATS run and wins against playoff teams Portland and San Read more



Tags: NBA Utah Jazz Denver Nuggets Ian Cameron




Bettman has concerns about sports betting; knows no one bets hockey

02.26.2015     12:11 PM     Printer Friendly
NHL commissioner Gary Bettman on sports betting. What's funny is Gary is well versed on the fact that virtually no one in Las Vegas even bets hockey.


This is a lot bigger deal to basketball and football because that’s where the bulk of the money is bet. For us, if you look at the Las Vegas take, we’re at about 1 percent. That has nothing to do with the popularity as it does the nature of the game and how susceptible it is to betting on it. My bigger concern if there is going to be a discussion going on is twofold. One, what is the imagery? What is the statement we want to make about sports and professional athletes? Should young people who idolize athletes and focus on sports view it as a betting vehicle or view it as something different, more akin to what it’s been?   That’s a concern to me. And secondly, there is a concern about the environment in the building. There’s nothing wrong with race tracks, but I don’t like that atmosphere compared to the atmosphere we try to have in our

Read more



Tags: NHL




College Basketball Betting Free Play: San Diego Toreros at Gonzaga Bulldogs

02.26.2015     10:29 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Diego +17.5 at Gonzaga O/U 133
Recommendation: San Diego


Gonzaga is, by far, the best team in the West Coast Conference.  They’ve been destroying their WCC foes all year, to the tune of a 16-0 conference record.  But the pointspread is the great equalizer, and the Zags are just 7-8-1 ATS in WCC play; not exactly a ‘bet-on’ team.
The Zags are coming off a HUGE come-from-behind win at St Mary’s last weekend, clinching the conference title and setting Gonzaga up as a possible #1 seed come tourney time.
 
Senior night comes against BYU on ESPN2 this coming Saturday, followed by the WCC Conference Tournament in Las Vegas next weekend.  In between, the Zags have nothing but this tricky matchup against San Diego; a clear flat spot on their schedule.

The Zags have had trouble building margins against the Toreros even when it’s not a flat spot.  In eight meetings between these two teams since the start of the 2012 campaign, the Zags have a grand total of one win by more than the 17 point margin they’ll need to win by tonight in order to cover the number.  Both Read more



Tags: College Basketball San Diego Toreros Goznaga Bulldogs Teddy Covers



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