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Football Handicapping: MAC Totals, SMU, and NFL Correlated Parlays

10.25.2013     12:26 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Is there any bet in college football right now that is more of a “no brainer” than playing Mid-American Conference games under the total? There have been 22 MAC league games played heading into Saturday’s slate and the under has gone 17-5 for a winning percentage of 77.2%. The only team in this conference that has recorded more over results than under is Eastern Michigan whose horrendous defense (49.7 points allowed vs. MAC) has led them to a 3-0 O/U mark in league play. Akron, Central Michigan, Massachusetts, Miami (Ohio) and Northern Illinois all have yet to record a conference game over the total.

SMU has certainly had their troubles this season. They’re mostly beaten up by detractors for being a poor team but from a totals perspective right now, you have to love them. The staff of offensive “evil geniuses” that has been assembled in Dallas has given “over” backers the gift of five winning tickets in six tries and they are just beginning to hit stride. After struggling behind QB Garrett Gilbert for the majority of their first four games, the “Air Raid/Run & Shoot” combo scheme has cranked out 86 points and Read more


Tags: College Football NFL MAC SMU Mustangs Rob Veno




College Football Betting Consensus: Bettors show no fear in supporting Baylor as huge road chalk

10.25.2013     12:07 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets for college football's Week 9 courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

SIDES
North Texas -12 (92.0%) at Southern Miss
Baylor -34.5 (91.9%) at Kansas
Bowling Green -3.5 (90.8%) vs. Toledo
Central Florida -23.5 (89.9%) vs. UConn
Northern Illinois -30.5 (89.3%) vs. Eastern Michigan

TOTALS
South Alabama at Texas State UNDER 51 (100%)
Fresno State at San Diego State OVER 62 (98.6%)
South Carolina at Missouri OVER 52.5 (96.6%)
Colorado State at Hawaii OVER 55.5 (94.4%)
Baylor at Kansas OVER 65 (96.1%)



Tags: College Football Baylor Bears Big XII




College Football Betting Preview: Vanderbilt Commodores at Texas A&M Aggies

10.25.2013     07:11 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Vanderbilt at Texas A&M
Saturday, 9:20 am PT - ESPN Game Plan
CRIS Opener:
Texas A&M -18.5 O/U 70
CRIS Current: Texas A&M -17 O/U 68.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Texas A&M -14
Brent Crow's Recommendation: Texas A&M

This game features two teams that come in off of surprising results last weekend that also saw both of them suffer injuries to their starting quarterbacks. Vanderbilt pulled an upset at home against Georgia, 31-27, while Texas A&M was on the other end of an upset, losing 45-41 to Auburn in College Station.

Vandy quarterback Austyn Carta-Samuels left the Georgia game with a left leg injury and was replaced by Patton Robinette in the third quarter of the win. Robinette went 9-of-15 for 41 yards and ran for a touchdown and has been named the starter this week.

Johnny Manziel also got hurt against Auburn, missing just one series before Read more


Tags: College Football Vanderbilt Commodores Texas A&M Aggies SEC Brent Crow




College Football Gambling: Maryland's injury report is hilarious

10.25.2013     07:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Clemson -16.5 at Maryland O/U 58.5

Maryland is either the unluckiest team in the country or practice is conducted on a crushed gravel field. The injury report for the Terps is ridiculously long and includes the team's top three offensive weapons (CJ Brown, Brandon Ross, and Stefon Diggs). According to reports five offensive players who started last week will not play on Saturday. The good news is they aren't starting a linebacker at quarterback...we think. Obviously not an ideal spot for Clemson but the Terps' injuries drove the line from -13 to -16.5.




Tags: College Football Maryland Terrapins Clemson Tigers ACC




NFL Handicapping: Pace Factor Averages Week 8

10.25.2013     06:50 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Won’t have time to update these every single week. Will aim for every other week. I think most teams settled into their preferred styles pretty quickly.

If this is your first visit, we’re trying to paint the picture of pace styles by counting up total plays, penalties, punts, and field goal attempts per game…then tabulating team-by-team averages for the games that they play. This approach has confirmed what everyone had been assuming about up-tempo teams. Philadelphia is up near the top with their “Oregon” approach. Buffalo also brought in a college head coach and talked about playing at a fast pace. New England tends to play very fast unless it’s late in a game and they’re sitting on a lead. Those guys are in your top three. Cleveland told everyone in the offseason they would be emphasizing pace. They’re fourth.

To the degree we’ve been able to find something new and interesting…it’s down at the bottom. I Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




College Football Handicapping: UCLA braces for Oregon's speed

10.24.2013     01:58 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UCLA at Oregon -23.5 O/U 71

UCLA talks about what it'll take to keep pace/slow down Oregon.  From a value perspective, note that UCLA was as low as +3.5 at Stanford and now +23.5 at Oregon. The Ducks won the last meeting, 49-31 (2011), in Eugene.


"You play with them," said linebacker Jordan Zumwalt. "There's nothing you can really do to slow them down. They tend to speed up their tempo when they get success so we'll keep their success to a minimum and it will slow them down. But other than that, you just kind of have to keep up with them.
 
"That's no problem for us because we run with an up-tempo team every day. It's our own team."






Tags: College Football UCLA Bruins Oregon Ducks PAC-12




College Football Gambling: CRIS vs. Rob Veno's Power Ratings Week 9

10.24.2013     12:48 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno has been creating his own Power Ratings for nearly two decades. His numbers are very well respected and an excellent tool for discovering value. Rob’s PRs are a baseline and do not include key injuries or situations but they also don't overreact as much as the betting markets do week to week. Below is a chart of CRIS's current lines and Rob's College Football Power Ratings for Week .

2013 College Football CRIS Lines vs. Rob Veno Power Ratings - Week 9
Away Team
Home Team
CRIS Current
Veno Power
Kentucky
Mississippi State
Mississippi State -12
Mississippi State -8.5
Marshall
Middle Tennessee State
Marshall -9.5
Marshall -11.5
BYU
Boise State
BYU -6.5
BYU -3
Georgia Tech
Virginia
Georgia Tech -10
Georgia Tech -8.5
Connecticut
Central Florida
Central Florida -23
Central Florida -22
Ball State
Akron
Ball State -8
Ball State -11.5
Miami (OH)
Ohio
Ohio -25.5
Ohio -24.5
Buffalo
Kent State
Kent State -1
Buffalo -3.5
Western Michigan
Massachusetts
Massachusetts -3
Massachusetts -1
Houston
Rutgers
Rutgers -6.5
Rutgers -4
Boston College
North Carolina
North Carolina -6.5
North Carolina -10
Clemson
Maryland
Clemson -14
Clemson -13.5
Duke
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech -13
Virginia Tech -13
Pittsburgh
Navy
Pittsburgh -5.5
Pittsburgh -3
UAB
UTSA
UTSA -7
UTSA -5.5
Temple
SMU
SMU -14
SMU -10
Eastern Michigan
Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois -30.5
Northern Illinois -30.5
Arizona
Colorado
Arizona -12.5
Arizona -12
Vanderbilt
Texas A&M
Texas A&M -17
Texas A&M -14
Florida Atlantic
Auburn
Auburn -23.5
Auburn -24.5
Tennessee
Alabama
Alabama -27.5
Alabama -28.5
UCLA
Oregon
Oregon -23
Oregon -20
Utah
USC
USC -6.5
USC -5.5
Tulsa
Tulane
Tulsa -2.5
Tulane pk
California
Washington
Washington -27
Washington -21.5
West Virginia
Kansas State
Kansas State -11.5
Kansas State -11
Michigan State
Illinois
Michigan State -10
Michigan State -9.5
Wake Forest
Miami (FL)
Miami (FL) -24.5
Miami (FL) -22
NC State
Florida State
Florida State -32.5
Florida State -28.5
Texas Tech
Oklahoma
Oklahoma -6.5
Oklahoma -6
Texas
TCU
TCU -2.5
TCU -1.5
Northwestern
Iowa
Iowa -3.5
Iowa -0.5
UNLV
Nevada
Nevada -5
Nevada -9
Wyoming
San Jose State
San Jose State -8
San Jose State -5.5
Stanford
Oregon State
Stanford -4
Stanford -5
Troy
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky -9.5
Western Kentucky -9
Notre Dame
Air Force
Notre Dame -20
Notre Dame -19.5
Georgia State
Louisiana-Monroe
Louisiana-Monroe -11.5
Louisiana-Monroe -16
South Alabama
Texas State
South Alabama -1.5
South Alabama -3
Idaho
Mississippi
Mississippi -41
Mississippi -43
North Texas
Southern Miss
North Texas -12
North Texas -13
Louisiana Tech
Florida International
Louisiana Tech -6
Louisiana Tech -7
South Carolina
Missouri
Missouri -2
Missouri -2.5
Oklahoma State
Iowa State
Oklahoma State -11.5
Oklahoma State -14
Baylor
Kansas
Baylor -33.5
Baylor -28.5
Nebraska
Minnesota
Nebraska -10
Nebraska -9.5
Louisville
South Florida
Louisville -20
Louisville -19
Toledo
Bowling Green
Bowling Green -3.5
Bowling Green -5
Penn State
Ohio State
Ohio State -14.5
Ohio State -12
UTEP
Rice
Rice -18
Rice -16.5
Fresno State
San Diego State
Fresno State -7.5
Fresno State -7.5
Colorado State
Hawaii
Colorado State -3
Colorado State -4.5




Tags: College Football Rob Veno




NFL Gambling Preview: Washington Redskins at Denver Broncos

10.24.2013     12:24 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington at Denver
Sunday, 1:25 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Denver -12 O/U 55
CRIS Current: Denver -11.5 O/U 57.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Denver -12
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Over

As the Broncos continue to show the betting public that you can mechanically play over in every one of their games, oddsmakers don’t seem to be posting a price tag high enough to deter that. This week, the Washington-Denver total was opened too low according to the early money and it’s been pushed from 55 all the way to the key number of 58 and in some shops, beyond. It’s important to note that on all occasions this season, Denver has had an opponent with at least one attribute which helped greatly in producing final scores totaling 58 or higher in six of seven contests. This week is no different as Washington rolls into Sports Authority Field at Mile High with a sieve of a defense (389.0 ypg, 30.7 ppg) and an offense Read more


Tags: NFL Washington Redskins Denver Broncos Rob Veno




Sports Betting Podcast 10-24-2013 College Football Every Game on the Board

10.24.2013     11:24 AM     Printer Friendly
copy_cfb_podcast_bar.jpg

Week 9 of our College Football Every Game on the Board Podcast. Ian Cameron, Teddy Covers, and Brian Edwards joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show - College Football Every Game on the Board

Ian Cameron - College Football Every Game on the Board Part I

Teddy Covers - College Football Every Game on the Board Part II

Brian Edwards - College Football Every Game on the Board Part III

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes Read more


Tags: College Football Ian Cameron Teddy Covers Brian Edwards




College Football Gambling: Clemson offense not clicking

10.24.2013     08:13 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Clemson -14 at Maryland O/U 60

Clemson voicing some concerns about its offense which was held to 326 yards in last week's loss to Florida State. In ACC play last season, Clemson posted point totals of 37, 45, 47, 38, 42, 56, 45, and 62. This year, it hasn't come as easy with 26 vs. NC State, 24 vs. Boston College and 14 vs. FSU.


“We’ve got one guy playing well and 10 not,” he said. “We’re what seven games into it? That’s what’s disheartening right now.”

“We’re about as simple as we can be on offense right now. We’re unable to really push the envelope forward,” Morris said.

“We’re not playing well. We’re not playing well at key positions,” he said. “We’re consistently inconsistent and that’s Read more



Tags: College Football Clemson Tigers Maryland Terrapins ACC



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Dec 19, 2014 02:42 PM.