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NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Stat Profiles for St. Mary's/MTSU and Boise State/La Salle

03.19.2013     06:45 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I’m going to skip the two play-in games on the #16 seed rung because those teams are so obscure…and basically irrelevant for the week. Here are some notes on the other two play in games. St. Mary’s vs. Middle Tennessee will be played Tuesday night in Dayton, Boise State/LaSalle on Wednesday night.

Hybrid Estimates

St. Mary’s: +12.8 average margin in Big West, which has a Sagarin conference rating of 75.31

Middle Tennessee: +16.5 average margin in the Sun Belt, which has a Sagarin conference rating of 69.51

Middle Tennessee is +3.7 on the raw total, but St. Mary’s played in a conference that was +5.8 points better. So, that’s St. Mary’s by 2.1 points. The Vegas line as I write this is St. Mary’s. Pretty close there.

Boise State: +1.1 average margin in the Mountain West, which has a Sagarin rating of 80.71

LaSalle: +5.5 average margin in the Atlantic 10, which has a Sagarin rating of Read more


Tags: College Basketball Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders St. Mary's Gaels Boise State Broncos La Salle Explorers Stat Intelligence




Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers takes a look at 28 NCAA Tournament matchups

03.18.2013     10:19 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With the madness that is March now in full swing, it’s time to take a look through the brackets.  Today, I’ll offer a quick take on the 28 matchups already set for Thursday and Friday.  Games are listed in rotation order.

Missouri spent the entire season losing close games on the road, falling in OT at UCLA and Kentucky, while dropping games by three points or less at Tennessee, Arkansas, Texas A&M, LSU and to Ole Miss in the SEC Tournament.  Larry Eustachy got the most he could out of Colorado State’s talent level this year, but the Rams, too, lost nearly every step-up game on the highway.

As a No. 3 seed, Marquette is only a 3.5-point favorite over No. 14 seed Davidson.  The betting markets clearly respect the Wildcats five upperclassmen starters that started 30 of their 33 previous games together this season.

Butler has won at least the first two games of every single postseason tournament they’ve played since 2010, including runs in the Horizon League and A-10 conference tourney’s, two runs to the championship Read more


Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings

03.18.2013     08:08 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Had some time to throw down numbers after the first set of Vegas lines went up. These are based on early numbers, and could change over the next few days. If you’re new to the website, these are my estimates of how “the market” has its Power Ratings heading into the Big Dance. They’re based on the estimates we’ve been updating continually through the season, and the current numbers in Tuesday/Thursday/Friday action.

Note that the market loves Florida, Arizona, and Pittsburgh more than the polls or selection committee did…which has been true or several weeks. And, for you regulars, the ACC may be getting more respect in the market that I had been guessing in recent days based on the early prices for NC and NC State, and possibly the Mountain West too the way things are shading with some of those teams.

First, by seed.

1…Louisville 87, Indiana 87, Gonzaga 85, Kansas 84

2…Duke 86, Ohio State 84, Miami 83, Georgetown Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stat Intelligence




NCAA Basketball Betting Recap: Syracuse disintegrates, Kansas and New Mexico cut down nets

03.17.2013     06:45 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

If you ever wondered by handicappers should pay attention to fatigue, the last 15 minutes of tonight’s Syracuse/Louisville game should have made it crystal clear. Syracuse hit a wall…a bit more than midway through their fourth game in four days. A 16-point lead evaporated in a finger snap. Another finger snap, and Louisville was up by that much!

Syracuse 45-29 in the first 25 minutes

Louisville 49-16 in the last 15 minutes

The treys stopped falling for Syracuse (the laws of math only let you tempt fate for so long), the legs stopped moving in their zone defense…which allowed Louisville to either pass for easy buckets or rebound misses for easy buckets. One team hit a wall just as the other finally found the right gear. Amazing to behold.

Louisville 78, Syracuse 61

2-Point Percentage: Syracuse 41%, Louisville 45%

3-Point Shooting: Syracuse 9/22, Louisville 6/19

Free Throws: Syracuse 12/26, Read more


Tags: College Basketball Syracuse Orange Louisville Cardinals Stat Intelligence




Sports Betting Podcast 3-15-2013 with Handicappers Rob Veno, Ian Cameron, and Teddy Covers

03.15.2013     10:01 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno, Ian Cameron, and Teddy Covers. All three handicappers broke down today's college basketball conference tournaments.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - ACC, Big Ten, Atlantic-10 Conference Tournaments

Ian Cameron - SEC, C-USA, MAC Conference Tournaments

Teddy Covers - Big East, Big XII, PAC-12, MWC Conference Tournaments

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast Read more


Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno Ian Cameron Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Recap: Georgetown, Illinois, and Iowa State advance

03.14.2013     12:54 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The early Thursday schedule was notable for the number of Dance-bound teams finally seeing action. If what happened on the floor today is any indication, not much should be expected from the likes of Minnesota, Oklahoma, and Cincinnati next week. Heck, Illinois WON but looked about as bad as you can while winning a game.

Let’s run the numbers…

Illinois 51, Minnesota 49

2-Point Percentage: Minnesota 43%, Illinois 39%

3-Point Shooting: Minnesota 6/17, Illinois 6/25

Free Throws: Minnesota 11/14, Illinois 9/10

1’s and 2’s: Minnesota 31, Illinois 33

Rebounds: Minnesota 36, Illinois 24

Turnovers: Minnesota 17, Illinois 5

(Minnesota 24 in Kenpom, 30 in Sagarin, 30 in BPI, Illinois 42-44-62)

Very ugly game. Minnesota continued it’s “Hey computers, will you just accept that we suck instead of talking about Read more


Tags: College Basketball Georgetown Hoyas Illinois Fighting Illini Iowa State Cyclones Stat Intelligence




Big Ten Tournament Betting Free Play: Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Purdue Boilermakers

03.14.2013     11:08 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Nebraska +6 vs. Purdue O/U 120
Recommendation: Nebraska


If you've been watching these conference tournaments you know that winning by margin (or straight up for that matter) isn't easy when you’re a favorite. And it becomes even more difficult when the team laying the points spent much of the season struggling to achieve mediocrity. That appears to be the case for Purdue who finds itself in a position of laying -6 after a strong finish to the regular season. The Boilermakers found a way to win in Madison and were very respectable in a five-point home loss to Michigan. In the season finale, they rolled over a toxic Minnesota squad, 89-73. To me however, Purdue is being priced based on a three-game swatch of games rather than its entire body of work. It is hard to say a lot of positive things about Nebraska who finished 5-13 in Big Ten play. They were outclassed on most nights against the league's elite but against more comparable foes, they were able to Read more


Tags: College Basketball Nebraska Cornhuskers Purdue Boilermakers Erin Rynning




ACC Tournament Betting Preview

03.14.2013     07:48 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
ACC Tournament Preview

The return of sharp shooting forward Ryan Kelly has most of the country believing that this is Duke’s tournament to lose. The bracket setup has the Blue Devils likely headed for a semifinal matchup with arch rival North Carolina who Duke dismantled at Chapel Hill last Saturday and then a potential showdown with Miami. Before we look too far ahead, there appears to be quite a bit of competitive basketball played between today’s first round and Friday’s quarterfinals. Youth will be in play as Wake Forest, Georgia Tech, Maryland, Virginia Tech and Clemson all have an abundance of underclassmen who are major contributors. With that in mind, results could be a bit random since there’s no real way of telling how players will react to this huge spotlight. Virginia and Maryland fit the “desperate team” bill here as they are both fighting to get into the Big Dance so expect fully focused efforts from each. Last season this tournament was played in Atlanta’s Phillips Arena but this year it is back in Greensboro Coliseum where in 2011, the tourney favorites went 8-3 against the spread. Of that 8-3 Read more


Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno




Big Ten Tournament Betting Preview

03.13.2013     04:08 PM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Big Ten Tournament Preview

Michigan State cut down the nets last year in Banker’s Life Fieldhouse as the winner of the Big Ten Tournament. The Spartans were the No. 1 seed which marked the fifth time in the last six years the top team won.  This year’s event moves to the United Center in Chicago and the bullseye will fall on the Indiana Hoosiers who won the regular season crown and earned the No. 1 seed after knocking off Michigan last Sunday.  However, this is as deep a tournament field as I can remember since the inaugural event in 1998.  For much of the regular season you could throw a blanket over Indiana, Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State and even Wisconsin.  Keep in mind in late December Minnesota and Illinois were respectively ranked 11th and 12th in the country and then play in the No. 8 vs. No. 9 game tomorrow. 

First Round Pick/Darkhorse:  Iowa 
The Hawkeyes are a longshot to get to the Big Dance, but a rapidly improving basketball team, with a 20-11 record.  The Hawkeyes showed improvement down the stretch by winning six of their last eight games outright, Read more


Tags: College Basketball Erin Rynning




Big West Tournament Betting Preview

03.13.2013     02:30 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Big West Tournament Preview

The 2013 Big West Conference Tournament will take place March 14-16 at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California. The top eight teams qualified. In the semifinals, the highest seed will play the lowest seed, while the remaining two teams match up. Riverside is ineligible for postseason play, and thus will not compete in the tournament. Northridge finished 9th and also didn’t qualify.

Quarterfinal Pick: Cal Irvine
Hawaii enjoyed a nice 9-4 start to Big West play but stumbled down the stretch losing four of its last six. Their only conference win during that time came by just 4 points at home against bottom-tier Santa Barbara. Hawaii ended the season playing dreadful basketball on the highway going 0-4 SU/ATS and I’m not sure they have any momentum going into this tournament against an Irvine squad that went 6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS in its last seven games. These teams split the regular season series with each team winning at home but Irvine is the more talented team and in much better form entering this tournament. They also have the situational edge playing in their home state and facing a team Read more


Tags: College Basketball Ian Cameron



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 30, 2014 10:51 AM.