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NFL Betting Recap: Numbers and Notes From Thanksgiving Football

11.29.2013     08:06 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Hope everyone had a great holiday. Let’s run the numbers from the three NFL games plus Texas Tech/Texas…

Detroit (-6.5) 40, Green Bay 10

G. Bay: 126 yards, 3.0 per-play, 3 turnovers, 20% third downs

Detroit: 561 yards, 7.1 per-play, 4 turnovers, 75% third downs

Other Numbers

Rushing Yards: Green Bay 24, Detroit 241

Passing Stats: Green Bay 10-20-1-102, Detroit 22-35-2-320

Drive Points: Green Bay 0, Detroit 24

Stat Score: Green Bay 7, Detroit 36

Sloppiness: Green Bay 25, Detroit 33

(Apparently it’s impossible to play well on a Thursday morning when you had to go overtime against a divisional rival the prior Sunday afternoon. Green Bay’s stats here are so bad that it boggles the mind. Their only TD came on a fumble return by the defense---Detroit is still a sloppiness machine even in blowout victories! You don’t see numbers like this in the NFL Read more

Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence

NFL Handicapping: Drive Point Averages Week 13

11.28.2013     07:21 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Had time to put together a larger preview report than normal. What you see below are per-game Drive Point averages on offense and defense for all 32 teams…arranged in schedule rotation order. If you’re new to the website, Drive Points are only those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. Special teams and defensive scoring isn’t counted, nor are “cheap” points scored off field position. The goal is to get as clean a read as possible on “pure” offense and defense in terms of driving the field for points, and preventing the opposition from doing so.

Strength of schedule rankings from Sagarin at USA Today and Football Outsiders are in the first parenthesis (in that order) to provide some extra context for you, followed by turnover differential in the second parenthesis…

Thanksgiving Games

Green Bay: 16.3 on offense, 14.7 on defense (30-24) (-5 turnovers)

Detroit: 17.5 on offense, 15.6 on defense (26-17) (-7 Read more

Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence

NFL Gambling Preview: St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers

11.27.2013     01:29 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
St. Louis at San Francisco
Sunday, 1 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
San Francisco -9.5 O/U 41.5
CRIS Current: San Francisco -8 O/U 41.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: San Francisco -12
Ian Cameron's Recommendation: St. Louis

NFC West teams will collide on Sunday when the St. Louis Rams and San Francisco 49ers square off at Candlestick Park. St. Louis has been able to turn the corner despite Sam Bradford’s season-ending ACL injury. Backup Kellen Clemens has been serviceable, the running game has taken off with Zac Stacy and Benny Cunningham, and we’ve seen the wide receiver corps step up and make plays – most notably, Tavon Austin. It is however worth noting Stacy suffered a concussion during last week’s win over Chicago and his status is currently questionable. But even if he’s out, the Rams have found ways to own the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball in their last two games against Read more

Tags: NFL St. Louis Rams San Francisco 49ers Ian Cameron

NBA Handicapper Free Play: Phoenix Suns at Miami Heat

11.25.2013     12:30 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Phoenix +12 at Miami O/U 201
Recommendation: Phoenix

Phoenix has been the single best pointspread team in the NBA this year; suffering only two ATS losses in their first 13 games. The Suns were widely expected to tank this season; priced as a true bottom feeder. But that simply hasn’t been the case – they’re tied for the #8 seed in the West with Memphis right now.

Suns forward Channing Frye summed it up: “We're just having fun out there….When you start losing everything you start to get real tight, so we can't be like that. We just have to get out there and have fun."

The Suns opened this road trip with a pair of SU wins on the highway.  They’ve also won SU at New Orleans, and lost at Portland by a single point; a team I have no hesitation supporting in this ‘road dog’ role.  Phoenix is happy, confident and still undervalued going into Miami tonight.

When the Heat bring their a-game, they can beat a team like Phoenix by margin.  But Miami isn’t playing to win games against second tier foes in November – they’re playing for a fourth Read more

Tags: NBA Phoenix Suns Miami Heat Teddy Covers

NFL Week 12 Betting Recap

11.25.2013     11:37 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Excellent betting recap of NFL Week 12 for our friend Stat Intelligence. Check out the links below...

Early Sunday Betting Recap

Late Sunday Betting Recap

Patriots come from behind to beat Broncos

Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC Super Bowl Contenders

11.25.2013     07:54 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Last week, I took a break from the typical team notes column that I’ve been writing here in the Vegas Wiseguy Report since the start of the NFL season, focusing on NFC Playoff Contenders. I’ll finish that thought process this week, turning my focus towards the AFC.

I had a spirited debate with a fairly well known professional bettor on Sunday Night after the games were finished. We were both having the same problem; trying to figure out somebody – anybody – in the AFC worthy of support down the stretch as a Super Bowl contender. Frankly, there aren’t a whole lot of choices, and our debate primarily consisted of finding fatal flaws in whatever team the other guy brought up.

My power rating numbers have seven of the top ten teams in the NFL residing in the NFC (Seattle, New Orleans, San Francisco, Carolina, Arizona, Dallas and Detroit). An eighth team could join that group after Aaron Rodgers gets healthy for Green Bay.  And all three of those supposedly elite level AFC teams have problems, which is why I included a fourth contender in my discussion below.

Six AFC teams sit at 5-6 right now, tied for the final Wild Card Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers

NFL Gambling Preview: New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens

11.24.2013     08:16 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports blog entry.
New York Jets at Baltimore
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Baltimore -3 O/U 40.5
CRIS Current: Baltimore -3.5 O/U 39.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Baltimore -6
Erin Rynning's Recommendation: Under

The New York Jets fly into Baltimore looking to extend their trend of alternating wins and losses.  While their defense looks up to task it won’t be easy for the offense.  Amazingly the Jets have gone OVER the total in 7 of their 10 games despite ranking 31st in points scored.  The offense led by quarterback Geno Smith has struggled throughout the campaign, while ranking 29th in passing offense.  Making matters much tougher for the offense will be Baltimore’s defense and the weather.  The Ravens defense is still capable, and tough to pass against with a talented secondary and ability to pressure the quarterback.  The weather forecast will make it difficult for both Read more

Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens New York Jets Erin Rynning

NFL Gambing Preview: Carolina Panthers at Miami Dolphins

11.22.2013     02:02 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Carolina at Miami
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Carolina -3.5 O/U 40
CRIS Current: Carolina -4 O/U 41
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Carolina -3
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Carolina

Have to admit that Miami’s home victory over San Diego last Sunday was a bit surprising considering all of its problems. The largest issue for the Dolphins was the depleted offensive line which took a further hit last week when starting center Mike Pouncey (kidney) was unable to play. With 60% of the starting offensive line out, Miami was able to gain 343 total yards including 104 on the ground at 5.5 per carry. They did allow four sacks and their defense was stung for 435 yards by the Chargers. The win places Miami right at the doorstep of the playoffs at 5-5 just behind the current sixth seed New York Jets who have the same 5-5 mark. Carolina meanwhile, has moved into the fifth spot in the NFC following its controversial Monday night Read more

Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Miami Dolphins Rob Veno

College Basketball Gambling: Notre Dame seeks A-game vs. Santa Clara

11.22.2013     07:20 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Notre Dame will look to bounce back after having suffering a rare non-conference home loss to Indiana State. The Irish play host to Santa Clara who are without its best player Evan Roquemore (back). Note that the Irish also had a ho-hum 12 point win over Miami-Ohio who lost to Arizona State by 36 and Xavier by 26.

"We've gotten back and competed, and what I've liked is we've played pissed off, which is a good trait to have after a loss," Brey said. "We haven't hung our heads."

"Your sense of urgency goes up when you get beat like that," Brey said. "We've got guys that have been around awhile and we've got guys that have taken punches before. One of the things you talk about is, 'What is your bounce-back mode?' We've never really had to deal with it in November, but now we do. Let's use it as a teaching moment to see how we'll respond.

"We've had good practices, good energy. When you lose like (we did) Sunday, you'd like to play Monday. Friday is a long way away."

Tags: College Basketball Notre Dame Fighting Irish Santa Clara Broncos

New Jersey online gambling trial shows glitches

11.22.2013     06:52 AM     Printer Friendly

New Jersey is in the midst of its five-day online gambling trial and for one gentlemen, it's got some holes. He basically spent the day driving around trying to find a location that would allow him to log on.

"Over there, I was being told I wasn't in New Jersey," he said. "Here it's not telling me yes or no."

"I made a small deposit, but when I tried to play they said I wasn't in New jersey," she said. "I'm afraid that when they try to do this statewide on the 26th it's going to be mayhem."

New Jersey preps for live online poker; residents on border may have issues

11.18.2013     07:48 AM     Read more


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