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College Basketball Betting Recap: Indiana survives, Florida falters late

02.20.2013     07:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I know the AP poll shows Florida down at #5. But, most of the reasonable metrics out there had some variation of Indiana and Florida at #1 and #2 in the nation entering tonight's play. Both were on the road this evening facing what might have been their toughest conference tests of the season. Indiana passed. Florida looked like they were going to pass with flying colors, but fell apart in such dramatic fashion that you have to wonder if they're really ready to run the table in the Dance when they'll have to play 40-minute games against opponents who know what they're doing.

Let's run the numbers...

Indiana 72, Michigan State 68

2-Point Percentage: Indiana 44%, Michigan State 49%

3-Point Shooting: Indiana 8/18, Michigan State 4/15

Free Throws: Indiana 10/15, Michigan State 16/23

1’s and 2’s: Indiana 48, Michigan State 56

Rebounds: Indiana 28, Michigan State 31

Turnovers: Indiana 10, Michigan State Read more


Tags: College Basketball Indiana Hooisers Florida Gators Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Handicapping: Ohio State and Minnesota embarrassed on the road

02.18.2013     08:29 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

After getting caught flatfooted last Sunday in an early start against Indiana in Columbus, the Ohio State Buckeyes showed they learned NOTHING from the experience by coming out even more flat today at Wisconsin.

Early Wisconsin leads:

15:33 Wisconsin 12, Ohio State 6

14:08: Wisconsin 18, Ohio State 6

11:59: Wisconsin 20, Ohio State 6

9:22: Wisconsin 22, Ohio State 6

8:35 Wisconsin 27, Ohio State 8

3:46: Wisconsin 34, Ohio State 14

The Badgers had a couple of dry spells in there that were just begging Ohio State to get back in the game. Wasn’t going to happen. Ohio State wasn’t getting many good looks…and they were impatiently racing through bad looks because they could feel the game getting away from them.

Something to remember if Ohio State gets early tips in the Big 10 tournament or in the Big Dance. You might think two games is a small sample size. Well, okay…it’s obviously a Read more


Tags: College Basketball Ohio State Buckeyes Minnesota Golden Gophers Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: How to bet college basketball in February

02.18.2013     07:36 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve done my last two columns breaking down aggregate season long stats, examining the very best and very worst pointspread teams in all of college basketball. Next week, the focus shifts towards conference tournaments and the Big Dance. In between? This little doozy about how to make money betting NCAA hoops in the always tricky month of February!

The key to late regular season college hoops for me has always been about morphing teams – squads whose long term numbers don’t match their short term momentum – either positive or negative. There are quite literally dozens of such teams right now, all of whom are at least moderately mispriced in the betting markets these days, offering savvy bettors solid opportunities on a near daily basis.

Who are some of these teams? Why are they morphing now? Read on to find out!

I’ll start with a handful of teams moving in the right direction – from mediocre to good, or from good to great. Georgetown certainly stands out on this list; a perfect 7-0 straight up and against the spread in their last seven contests. The Hoyas were never a bad team, but a 2-3 SU start in Read more


Tags: College Basketball Georgetown Hoyas Saint Louis Billikens Air Force Falcons UNLV Running Rebels Wyoming Cowboys Creighton Blue Jays Michigan Wolverines Teddy Covers




College Basketball Gambling Free Play: Arizona State Sun Devils at Colorado Buffaloes

02.16.2013     12:05 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona State +7 at Colorado O/U 131
Recommendation: Arizona State


The Sun Devils were a legitimate ‘value’ team for most of the season.  They were projected as the #11 team in a 12 team conference, and failed to impress early on, starting the year 1-2 ATS. But following that sluggish start, Herb Sendek’s team proceeded to go 10-3 ATS in their next 13 ballgames, playing themselves into contention for a postseason bid.

Arizona State has cooled off, losing three of their last four in SU fashion, including a particularly poorly played defeat at Utah on Thursday Night.  The Sun Devils aren’t losing by margin, however – all three recent defeats have come by five points or less.  They’ve won on the road in SU fashion at Texas Tech, Oregon State and Wassou, and have hung tough in tight road losses by five or less at Oregon, Washington and Utah.  It’s not easy to beat Arizona State by margin Read more


Tags: College Basketball Arizona State Sun Devils Colorado Buffaloes Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapping: Rockets roll over Golden State again, Lakers limp past Suns

02.13.2013     11:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Both the Houston Rockets and Los Angeles Lakers won late Tuesday night, keeping Showtime 3.5 games out of the final spot in the playoffs.

Houston (+4) beat Golden State 116-107

LA Lakers (-9.5) beat Phoenix 91-85

Houston was impressive in what could have been a trouble spot as a road underdog. The Lakers didn’t have much sizzle in overcoming a fourth quarter deficit to beat the worst team in the West.

I’ll run the game numbers in a moment. First, let’s update the standings in the lower half of the West. I’ll also include the home/road splits so far, because that might matter in a race this tight.

Updated Bracket Bwester Standings (top 8 spots reach playoffs)

6…Golden State 30-22 (23 home, 29 road)

7…Utah 29-24 (26 home, 27 road)

8…Houston 29-25 (26 home, 28 road)

9…Portland 25-27 (25 home, 27 road)

10…Lakers 25-28 (26 home, 27 Read more


Tags: NBA Los Angeles Lakers Houston Rockets Stat Intelligence




NHL Handicapper Free Pick: New York Rangers at Boston Bruins

02.12.2013     11:02 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NY Rangers +120 at Boston O/U 5
Recommendation: New York


The New York Rangers face the Boston Bruins for the third time this season after they split the first two meetings.  Rangers head coach John Tortorella recently shook up the lines and it has paid off with plenty of goals coming from outside the big three of Nash, Gaborik, and Richards the last two games. Boston is a very tough place to play, and this is a very good and deep team, but I see it as a tough spot for the Bruins as decent size favorites.  This line is a bit too inflated and we find good value backing New York in a situation that sees Boston in a "sandwich" game.  Boston played in Buffalo Sunday night, and they play in Buffalo Friday night after tonight’s home tilt.  I never like to back a team that comes back home to play just one game before going back onto the road. Boston is just 8-12 (all 20 games as a home favorite) dating back to the 2009-10 season in this situation.  This is a very good opportunity to grab a live dog in a special situational spot.



Tags: NHL New York Rangers Boston Bruins Sammy P




NBA Handicapping: Breaking down the Eastern Conference

02.12.2013     07:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

So many weird things have been happening in the NBA’s Eastern Conference in recent days, that I got to wondering what the standings looked like since the turn of the year. That time period would encapsulate the Knicks cooling off a bit…Washington heating up…and all sorts of various storylines.

Let’s take a look...

NBA EAST IN 2013 (only counting games since New Year's)

1…Miami 13-6

2…Brooklyn 14-7

3…Chicago, Indiana, Boston 13-8

Miami’s still at three-quarter speed…yet has the best record in the conference in this short sample. Brooklyn hasn’t played as well as that record would suggest the past several days…but they did win tonight in Indiana to take over the theoretical #2 seed in this time frame. The next three teams have had multiple nights where had kicked things into playoff gear. Ironically, all three lost tonight! Chicago, Indiana, and Boston were 13-7 in 2013 until falling Read more


Tags: NBA Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Betting Update: Minnesota's wheels come off again

02.11.2013     02:35 PM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

A little over two weeks ago the Minnesota Golden Gophers they were in the midst of a three-game losing streak with rumblings that the program was in disarray. The following game they had a decent effort at Wisconsin (lost by one, covered +3.5) and then manhandled Nebraska at home by 19. Up next, Minny barely slipped past Iowa, 62-59, as 10-point home favorites – a win that was a bit troubling considering the Golden Gophers shot better from the field, attempted and made more free throws, were +6 on the glass, and somehow didn't sniff a pointspread cover. Three days later in East Lansing, Minnesota had a 20-18 halftime lead but lost by 11 catching +3.5. But out of all of those performances, it was Sunday's showing vs. Illinois that was the worst. In an absolutely prime spot – off a loss, at home, facing a mediocre Illini squad that just beat the No. 1 team in the country in miracle fashion – Minnesota was simply awful. This is an offense that through its first five Big Ten games averaged 79 ppg and against the 11th-ranked Read more


Tags: College Basketball Minnesota Golden Gophers




NBA Handicapping: Knicks and Nets outclassed by Western Conference contenders

02.11.2013     07:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

You don’t want to read too much into a generic February Sunday of NBA basketball. But it was a discouraging day for fans of the New York Knicks and Brooklyn Nets, who were both outclassed significantly by Western Conference contenders. 

*New York (-3.5) lost to the LA Clippers 102-88 (missing expectations by 17.5 points)

*Brooklyn (+2) lost to San Antonio 111-86 (missing expectations by 23 points)

It was already bad enough for the Nets that they were home underdogs to the Spurs on a night when both Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili were out with injuries. Brooklyn got annihilated by the shorthanded Spurs! San Antonio won the second half 60-29.

I’m not going to run the full boxes. A few quick keys from Gotham's day-night doubleheader…

LA Clippers 102, New York 88

2-Point Percentage: Clippers 60%, New York 51%

3-Point Shooting: Clippers 10/28, New York 7/23

Rebounds: Clippers 43, New York Read more


Tags: NBA New York Knicks Brooklyn Nets San Antonio Spurs Los Angeles Clippers Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Handicapping: MAAC teams falter after tough stretch of schedule

02.08.2013     07:51 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It was a wild night in the MAAC last night as league contenders Canisius, Iona, and Niagara all lost outright as betting favorites (Canisius opened -2.5 vs. Manhattan but closed as a pk/1-point underdog). It was a classic case of three teams that were simply worn down after beating up on one another. It started two Sunday's ago when Niagara beat rival Canisius on a buzzer beater. The Purple Eagles then beat Iona in a wild 93-90 overtime affair. They then lost to Loyola-MD in double overtime, 89-87. And Canisius and Iona hooked up last Saturday with the Golden Griffins prevailing 77-74. So basically, the top four teams in the league – Niagara, Loyola-MD, Iona, and Canisius – played an intense, highly competitive round robin tournament. Note that Fairfield already ran the gauntlet of top teams and as a result started conference play 2-6. But while everyone was trading wins and losses over the last two weeks, the Stags enjoyed ripping off five straight wins against the weaker teams in the league and now find themselves in the hunt. Anyway, something to consider tonight as Loyola-MD is a big favorite over bottom feeder Siena. The Greyhounds were on the winning end of that Read more


Tags: College Basketball Canisius Golden Griffins Iona Gaels Niagara Purple Eagles Loyola (MD) Greyhounds Fairfield Stags Andrew Lange



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