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Sports Betting Podcast 5-3-2012 with Teddy Covers and Sammy P
05.03.2012 09:24 AM
Printer Friendly
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Teddy Covers and Sammy P. Teddy broke down today's MLB and NBA games from a betting perspective. Sam took care of the NHL Playoffs for Thursday, Friday and Saturday.
Today's segments
Teddy Covers - MLB and NBA Every Game on the Board
Sammy P - NHL Playoffs
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
Tags:
MLB
NBA
NHL
Teddy Covers
Sammy P
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Crazy live wagering swings during last night's Philadelphia-Atlanta game
05.03.2012 07:58 AM
Printer Friendly
Check out some of the lead changes and live wagering prices at Pinnacle during last night's wild Philadelphia-Atlanta game. Roy Halladay allowed eight earned runs, there were 12 relievers used – five of which allowed two or more earned runs, and Chipper Jones hit a bomb in the 11th to give the Braves a 15-13 victory.
Scoring summary
3rd inning: Phillies lead 4-0
5th inning: Phillies lead 6-0
5th inning: Game tied 6-6
6th inning: Braves lead 8-6
7th inning: Phillies lead 9-8
8th inning: Phillies lead 12-8
8th inning: Braves lead 13-12
9th inning: Game tied 13-13
11th inning: Braves win 15-13
Live wagering moneyline progression
Philadelphia -1500/Atlanta +875
Philadelphia -2000/Atlanta +1026
Philadelphia -5000/Atlanta +1621
Philadelphia -9000/Atlanta +1922
Philadelphia -120/Atlanta +103
Philadelphia +139/Atlanta -163
Philadelphia +672/Atlanta -1000
Philadelphia +1313/Atlanta -3000
Philadelphia -250/Atlanta +208
Philadelphia -450/Atlanta +354
Philadelphia +101/Atlanta -118
Philadelphia +169/Atlanta -200
Philadelphia -450/Atlanta +354
Tags:
MLB
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
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MLB Handicapping: Walks and lack of change-up hurt Chicago's Danks
05.03.2012 06:43 AM
Printer Friendly
Cleveland
(Masterson) at
Chicago WS
(Danks) -120 O/U 8
Chicago's John Danks has always been a notoriously slower starter but this season has been
particularly rough
. His command has been very spotty (15 walks) which is uncharacteristic for a guy who issued just 46 free passes in 170 innings last season. Danks himself commented that his normally effective change-up has been off and on.
"Walks have bit me in the ass all year to this point," Danks sighed. "[It's] definitely something we're going to have to focus on, that and keeping the ball in the ballpark. It's frustrating, it sucks. It sucks to go out there and get your hat handed to you. We're all competitive, we don't want that to happen, and what are you gonna do? Try to be ready for the next one."
"It was hit or miss.
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MLB Gambling News: Beckett shelved for at least one start, Red Sox call up Cook
05.02.2012 02:22 PM
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Anytime you see an article about a pitcher relying on command rather than velocity (except for Jamie Moyer) you should be suspicious. Take Boston's Josh Beckett who hasn't had much in the way of a true fastball this season. On Sunday, prior to Beckett's start, an article in the
Providence Journal
came out title
"Beckett relying on movement and command, not velocity, to get outs".
In it Beckett talks about change-ups, cutters and not always needing to strike guys out.
"Sometimes I think I'd rather have that speed differential be smaller so I get a ground ball or a weak pop-up or something," he said. "It's cool to strike guys out when you need to strike guys out. Other than that, you'd rather get guys in the dugout with a five- or 10-pitch inning rather than a 13- or 16-pitch inning."
Fast forward to Sunday night. And this is where it gets comical. Despite having a history of back problems, a loss in velocity and let's be honest, no longer
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MLB Handicapping: Verlander's workload remains a non-issue
05.02.2012 11:37 AM
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Article from
Sports Illustrated
on the amazingness of Justin Verlander. The innings continue to accumulate as do the high pitch counts but it doesn't seem to matter. It has been documented countless times that few if any work as hard not only during the offseason but in between starts which is where a lot of guys fail late in the season. Perhaps Verlander's biggest strength is his ability to pace himself throughout a game. The first few innings you'll commonly see his "batting practice" fastball (low 90s) rather than the 99 he hits in the 8th. Bettors won't get rich supporting Verlander and his big price tags but it’s a much better option than betting against him – he's working on a fourth straight profitable season.
"Research has shown that fatigue is a critical signal to stop pitching," Fleisig said. "If a pitcher is pitching as hard or harder at the end of the game and if he does not alter his mechanics and doesn't feel fatigued, then I don't think he's at any increased risk of injury. But
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Free MLB Betting Pick: Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees
05.02.2012 10:01 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Baltimore
(Arrieta) at
NY Yankees
(Nova) -170 O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Over
Baltimore’s lineup is suddenly surging, pounding out 23 runs in their last four games. The Orioles hit Ivan Nova hard, notching ten hits against him when they faced him last month. Nova has suffered from a reverse home/road dichotomy, with a career ERA more than a full run higher when pitching in the Bronx. He was lit up by the Tigers in his last outing: 14 baserunners and six earned runs in just 5.1 innings of work. There’s absolutely no reason to expect a dramatic improvement here, and Joe Girardi’s bullpen behind him is not in great shape following yesterday’s early exit from Phil Hughes.
Nova has a strong winning record (20-6) throughout his tenure as a Yankee for one reason and one reason only – loads of run support. The numbers don’t lie: in Nova’s last 20 starts dating back to last year, the Bronx Bombers have lived up to
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Sports Betting Podcast 5-2-2012 with Handicapper Erin Rynning
05.02.2012 09:58 AM
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Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Erin Rynning. Erin broke down tonight's NBA Playoff games and the MLB card from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Erin Rynning - MLB and NBA Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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MLB Gambling News: Cleveland's Ubaldo Jimenez continues to falter
05.02.2012 08:38 AM
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Article from
FanGraphs
on the decline of Ubaldo Jimenez. He was pounded around for 8 hits and 4 runs in 4.2 innings last night against Chicago. His velocity and swinging strikes have dropped dramatically over the past two seasons. From a betting perspective, he's down nearly -14 units since 2011.
Quite succinctly, Ubaldo Jimenez is a mess. His fastball velocity continues to plummet, his swinging strike rate has followed suit, and opposing hitters are forcing him to throw strikes by not swinging at as many pitches out of the strike zone. That has resulted in a 6.32 FIP through the month of April.
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MLB Gambling Notes: League batting average dips below .250
05.02.2012 06:19 AM
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Article on the overall
decline of hitting
across the board in Major League Baseball. The league batting average is now .249 – the lowest mark since 1972. And six teams currently sport ERA's below 3.00. Totals entering today were going under at a 53% clip.
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MLB Betting Preview: New York Mets at Houston Astros
05.01.2012 10:54 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
NY Mets
(Niese) -130 at
Houston
(Happ) O/U 8
Recommendation: New York
Houston took Game 1 of this series last night, turning five hits and two walks into four runs thanks to some solid clutch hitting. Don’t expect an Astros lineup that has produced three runs or less in half of their ten home games so far this season to have much success tonight against under-rated Mets hurler Jonathan Niese. The Astros are just 1-4 against lefties in five tries in 2012, hitting just .227 as a team against southpaws.
Niese has thrown four consecutive quality starts to open up the new campaign. He dominated the Astros on his last visit to Houston, throwing seven innings of one run ball. It was the exact same story in his previous start here at Minute Maid Park: seven innings of one run ball. The Mets were huge profit makers on the highway last year, earning an MLB best 17.6 units of profit for their 81 road games. And when we look at the profitability
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