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College Basketball Betting News: Breaking down the PAC-12 Conference

12.13.2011     02:28 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
With finals exams upon us, the college basketball card is light so I'll be providing conference breakdowns throughout the week.

PAC-12 - I normally discuss the top teams in the conference and work my way down but there are no "top teams" in the PAC-12 this year. I think some have the potential to be good, but based on what I've seen, not much separates No. 1-No. 8. Record-wise, Stanford is on top at 8-1. The Cardinal have two solid wins over Oklahoma State and NC State and lost to Syracuse by only six. Their non-sexy style paved the way for six straight pointspread covers to open the season. That though led to a bloated -9 against NC State – a game Stanford won by four but trailed for about 33 minutes. Not a team I am particularly eager to back unless I can get a fair price. In California's eight wins, it didn't allowed over 60 points. But when the Golden Bears ventured outside of the state and faced Missouri, they were absolutely manhandled, 92-53. In terms of personnel, I really like this team – good guard play, size in the paint, decent depth. And even though they did it against weaker foes, if the defense can carry over to Read more

Tags: College Basketball PAC-12 Andrew Lange

College Basketball Free Pick: Central Michigan at Minnesota

12.13.2011     08:37 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Central Michigan +17.5 at Minnesota O/U 127.5
Recommendation: Central Michigan
This price is getting a little too rich for the type of game I expect in Minneapolis tonight. Since the injury to Trevor Mbakwe, Minnesota has slowed down its pace and produced four straight ugly wins in which the Gophers did a number on the opposition defensively. Last time out, they held bottom feeder St. Peter's to 47 points in a 22-point win. Impressive, but it is tough to consistently cover big pointspreads in such low scoring games. Central Michigan has showed more than I thought they would thus far. The Chippewas have scored a few so-so wins and have been blown out just once (78-49 vs. high powered New Mexico State). Last time out they blew a double-digit lead at Tennessee State so I expect a bounce-back effort tonight. They unquestionably will have a difficult time topping 60 points but with a total of 127.5, possessions are going to be limited and that Read more

Tags: College Basketball Central Michigan Chippewas Minnesota Golden Gophers Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting News: Breaking down the SEC

12.13.2011     07:48 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
With finals exams upon us, the college basketball card is light so I'll be providing conference breakdowns throughout the week.

SEC - I wrote yesterday about Kentucky's strong under trend. You can read it here. Last year, playing Florida over the total was one of the more frustrating bets on the board. Billy Donovan had his hand in every play and the Gators averaged about 65 possessions per game. This year has been completely different. Florida has already played seven games with 70 or more possessions whereas last season only four games topped that mark. And there is no reason for Donovan to ask for a more controlled environment as the Gators average 1.19 points per possession – the top mark in the nation. Alabama opened the year competitively lined against Maryland, Purdue and Wichita and won and covered all three contests. Then for whatever reason, the Crimson Tide was priced as an elite level Read more

Tags: College Basketball SEC Andrew Lange

NCAA Basketball Betting Trends: Kentucky continues its run of UNDERS

12.12.2011     03:12 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Dating back to last season, Kentucky has been one of the strongest "under" teams in the country and yet for whatever reason, oddsmakers continue to post their totals 4-6 points higher than where they should be and the betting markets add to it with heavy action on the over in a majority of their games.

During last year’s postseason, including the SEC Tournament, Kentucky went 1-6-1 O/U -- the lone over was by a mere point. This year, we are seeing more of the same with the Wildcats 2-6 O/U. The two games that went over were because the competition was so weak that Kentucky couldn’t help but score 87 and 108. But even in games where UK scored 81 (vs. St. John's) and 85 (vs. Penn State) they still failed to go over the total. Against Kansas? Not even close as the game closed 147.5 and Kentucky won 75-65. Last week against North Carolina, it looked as if we might see a high profile game involving Kentucky cash an over ticket with 81 points in the first half. Instead, the game bogged down and landed 145 with a closing total of 156.5 (it opened 150.5!).

The theme in all of this is not pace -- Kentucky is actually playing much faster this season Read more

Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting News: Breaking down the Big XII Conference

12.12.2011     02:01 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
With finals exams upon us, the college basketball card is light so I'll be providing conference breakdowns throughout the week.

Big XII - Bill Self was worried about KU's offense but the Jayhawks just ripped off 77 vs. Florida Atlantic, 70 in a 65-possession game vs. South Florida, 88 vs. Long Beach and 78 vs. Ohio State. Make no mistake, Kansas isn't go to score 75+ every night, but I think they'll have a much easier time scoring against the Big XII than what was originally projected after a few so-so performances in Maui. Don't get too high on Missouri -- the Tigers are once against coasting through the non-conference. But even with a host of talent, the Tigers always seem to underachieve when the heat gets turned up (see: 1-5 SU finish last year). Also note that their three solid non-conference wins were in reality nothing special with Notre Dame and Villanova way down and Cal not being able to play on the road. I like Baylor. I like them a lot. The only problem is they may have too much talent. That and they play dumb at times. Keep an eye out for BU’s three upcoming non-conference games against teams that are well coached and can take Read more

Tags: College Basketball Big XII Andrew Lange

Sportsmemo Handicapper Podcast 12-12-2011 with Teddy Covers

12.12.2011     09:22 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Teddy Covers and host Andrew Lange. Teddy continued his college football bowl game analysis. You can go back and listen to his college football bowl segment from last week right here.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - College Football December Bowl Games

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football Teddy Covers

College Basketball Betting News: Breaking down the Big Ten Conference

12.12.2011     08:18 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
With finals exams upon us, the college basketball card is light so I'll be providing conference breakdowns throughout the week.

Big Ten - Even with the loss at Kansas (no Sullinger), Ohio State is unquestionably the class of the league. The one thing I don't like Wisconsin is its current offensive blueprint. In terms of point distribution, 41.4% of their points come from beyond the three-point line while only 11.9% of their points come from the charity stripe. That ratio was 36.1%/18.9% last year. Now on the flip side, Wisconsin defends the three-point line extremely well (24.6%) and doesn't foul but how is this team going to win on a consistent basis if they don't shoot 40% from three – a tough thing to do in Big Ten play. Add in the lack of free throw attempts (12 per game) and you can already sense there are going to be a lot of game scores in the low 100's. Ultimately, defense and good coaching will keep the Badgers at the top of the standings though I think it is going to be more of a struggle this year. Michigan State isn't going to be nearly as bad as the offseason losses suggested. I was really impressed with their win at Gonzaga. Purdue is Read more

Tags: College Basketball Big Ten Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting News: ACC looks way down outside of Duke and UNC

12.12.2011     07:35 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
With finals exams upon us, the college basketball card is light so I'll be providing conference breakdowns throughout the week.

ACC - Duke and North Carolina are clearly established as the league's elite while Boston College may not win a conference game. The rest of the league though looks to be a toss up with everyone showing a lot more weakness than strength. Virginia, Virginia Tech and Florida State are off to decent starts in part because of their commitment to defend. Offensively though, there are going to be plenty of nights where all three teams struggle to score 60. But that seems to be the norm in the ACC this year. Miami, Georgia Tech and Clemson are all below average offensively. Outside of North Carolina and Duke, the best ACC offense I have seen is NC State though the Wolfpack don't defend and look very undisciplined under first-year head coach Mark Gottfried. Maryland is a work in progress under Mark Turgeon and could go one of two ways. If the Terps eventually buy into what Turgeon preaches, they'll survive. If not, it could get really ugly. Wake Forest is improved and will assuredly better last season's 1-15 ACC mark. As bad as the ACC Read more

Tags: College Basketball ACC Andrew Lange

Handicapping College Football Bowl Games: A look at motivation

12.09.2011     12:40 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Taking a look at the motivational factors for each matchup this college football bowl season. In most cases, the chance to play another game is all these kids and coaches need, but every postseason we see plenty of teams fail to show up.

Temple vs. Wyoming - Both sides should be excited to be in the postseason. The Cowboys are looking to cap off a big turnaround (3-9 to 8-4) while Temple searches for a bowl victory after losing last year to UCLA – the program’s first postseason since 1979.

Utah State vs. Ohio - The Aggies haven't been in the postseason since 1997 so you know they are excited. Ohio meanwhile is 0-3 SU in bowl games under Frank Solich and blew a 20-point second half lead to Northern Illinois in the MAC Championship.

UL-Lafayette vs. San Diego State - Complete motivational mismatch. The Ragin Cajuns' last postseason appearance was 1970 in the Grantland Rice Bowl. They also get to play in their home state. San Diego State meanwhile gets shipped east to face a Sun Belt team? As a favorite no less.

Florida International vs. Marshall - Postseason Read more

Tags: College Football Andrew Lange

College Basketball Free Pick: Wyoming Cowboys at Colorado Buffaloes

12.09.2011     06:47 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Wyoming at Colorado -5.5 O/U 131
Recommendation: Colorado

Last week I called out Tulane's suspect 9-0 start and was able to cash an outright underdog ticket with Wofford on its home court. I'm going to use the same theory tonight with Wyoming. Like Tulane, the Cowboys have been playing low-level competition (340th SOS non-conference) in the comforts of home and building confidence. Nothing wrong with that, especially for a program in need of a facelift, but we got a sneak peak of what we can expect to happen more frequently when Wyoming traveled to Wisconsin-Green Bay earlier this season and lost 52-44. I will give first-year head coach Larry Shyatt credit – the team is playing hard and defending each and every night. But tonight's opponent Colorado is a big step up in class in terms of offensive firepower and I think Wyoming won't be able to maintain its gaudy 94.8 points per possession defense. I'll admit Colorado is a tough team to lay points with in Read more

Tags: College Basketball Wyoming Cowboys Colorado Buffaloes Andrew Lange


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