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Sports Betting Podcast 8-21-2013 with Handicapper Ian Cameron

08.21.2013     09:29 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Ian Cameron. Ian and host Andrew Lange broke down a few of tonight's MLB games.

Today's segments
Ian Cameron - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Ian Cameron

College Football Handicapping: Phil Steele's impact on the betting markets

08.21.2013     06:52 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
When it comes to college football, there are a lot of unknowns heading into a season. Most bettors know that Alabama will be good and Florida Atlantic will be bad but in between there are a lot of teams that will be far better or worse than the previous year. To pinpoint those teams we use preseason publications to give us a guideline – returning starters, two-deep, new coaches, last season's stats, etc. And no publication is better at providing that information than Phil Steele. But because Steele's work is bettor friendly, it also has a tendency to impact the betting markets. Steele's reasoning for teams going "up" or "down" is hardly groundbreaking but it’s more often than not sound logic. Bettors read Steele, and if they agree with his assessment of a team, they bet on said team be it Week 1, season over/under wins, or odds to win a division and/or conference.

Out of curiosity, we took the 17 teams that made Steele's Most Improved List and checked out the line moves on their Week 1 games (see chart below). Nearly half of them play FCS opponents which as of today aren't lined. For those who do have lined games, we see that Steele's top Read more

Tags: College Football Andrew Lange

College Football Betting Podcast 8-19-2013 with Handicapper Brian Edwards

08.19.2013     09:47 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Brian Edwards. Brian and host Andrew Lange broke down Thursday and Friday's Week 1 College Football games.

Today's segments
Brian Edwards - College Football Week 1 (Thu/Fri)

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football Brian Edwards

MLB Gambling Free Pick: Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers

08.17.2013     08:10 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Seattle (Hernandez) at Texas (Perez) -105 O/U 8
Recommendation: Under

I've used Texas' Martin Perez a number of ways of late – side, run/line, total, and team total. And as I said before, hard throwing, left-handed ground ballers don't come around too often. Based on FanGraphs' GB%, Perez would rank among the top 20 in baseball if he had enough innings to qualify. Perez has been flawless his last three outings (1.59 ERA) and with an extra day of rest, I look for him to have another solid outing against the Mariners. Felix Hernandez is very quietly putting up another amazing season (2.23 ERA and 2.61 xFIP).  And it isn’t just racking up gems at Safeco. The King boasts a 2.17 ERA in 13 road starts. There was once a time when playing the Rangers, especially at home, under 8 would be a tough sell. Well, things have changed. Texas is 15-24-5 O/U in games lined 8 or lower and in Arlington 2-7-1 O/U. That's the way we'll look with tonight's contest.

Tags: MLB Seattle Mariners Texas Rangers Andrew Lange

College Football Betting: Another long season awaits Tim Beckman and Illinois

08.16.2013     09:19 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
On a recent Sportsmemo Podcast (you can listen here) I had a great conversation with Brian Edwards about the Big Ten and in particular Illinois. Brian was pretty vocal about his distaste for Illini head coach Tim Beckman who is heading into his second season in Champaign. I'm not as anti-Beckman as Brian but I do agree that he appears to be over his head and will have a difficult time fielding a competitive football team this year. So much so that I recommend a play on the UNDER with their season over/under wins. Unfortunately, 5Dimes appears to be the only sportsbook I know of offering a line, so if you can't get a bet down consider this a "fade report" of the Illini.

If you do play at 5Dimes, there are multiple numbers available. The baseline number is 3.5 with -120 juice on both sides. Playing 3.5 under is a good play, however, you can also get 4un-175 which is even stronger. In order to lose, Illinois will obviously have to get to five wins which I simply don’t see. But paying the extra juice gives you a little wiggle room as four wins Read more

Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten Andrew Lange

MLB Gambling Free Pick: Miami Marlins at Kansas City Royals

08.14.2013     06:54 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Miami (Turner) at Kansas City (Santana) -215 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under

Ideal getaway day situation with two sub-par offenses hooking up this afternoon in Kansas City. Ervin Santana has been dialed in for much of the season with a 3.25 ERA. He was smacked around last time out (3.2 IP, 6 ERs vs. Boston) but I expect him to bounce back with a solid effort against the weak hitting Marlins. Miami's Jacob Turner has been a pleasant surprise with a sub-3.00 ERA. Some of his numbers indicate he's been a tad bit fortunate but I'd be more concerned if he was facing a quality American League lineup which obviously isn't the case with the Royals (.693 team OPS). Despite the fact that better than 60% of KC's game have gone UNDER the total this year, there have been only three games at Kauffman Stadium lined below 7.5 (1-2 O/U). With oddsmakers allowing us to grab a key number (with a little juice) we'll look under the total.

Lange 20* MLB AL Game of the Month [107-80 +27.255 MLB Sides 2012-13] $29
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Tags: MLB Miami Marlins Kansas City Royals Andrew Lange

Sports Betting Podcast 8-12-2013 with Handicapper Teddy Covers

08.12.2013     10:29 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy recapped Week 1 of the NFL Preseason with host Andrew Lange.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NFL Preseason Week 1 Recap

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Texas Rangers at Houston Astros

08.11.2013     07:20 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Texas (Perez) at Houston (Keuchel)
Recommendation: Texas -1.5 (-120) R/L

There were times this year where the Houston Astros played some halfway decent baseball but as a whole, they've been overwhelmed by the American League. Since July, the 'Stros are 7-26. And with the departure of Bud Norris, there simply aren't very main quality arms left in the rotation. Dallas Keuchel has grinded out a few quality starts but he's a very fringe MLB arm. He's allowed 17 home runs in just over 100 innings and over his last three appearances (9.2 IP) he's allowed 11 earned runs. Meanwhile Martin Perez has a lot of potential. I watched him closely his last two starts and came away very impressed. Here's a hard throwing left-hander with downward movement on his pitches who is starting to show the ability to miss bats. Perez is coming off a season-high 111 pitches, but he's barely north of 100 innings between his time in the minors and in majors. He should be good to go against the Astros and a worthy Read more

Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Houston Astros Andrew Lange

MLB Betting Free Play: Baltimore Orioles at San Francisco Giants

08.09.2013     06:00 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Baltimore (Tillman) -128 at San Francisco (Vogelsong) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Baltimore

Look everyone, Ryan Vogelsong is back! There aren't a lot of pitchers I bet against no matter what the matchup but Vogelsong is one of them. Back after rehabbing a broken hand, he steps right in to face one of the American League's better offenses. He's likely rested and ready but I'm going to force him and the Giants to beat me – at least twice – before I quit on this fade. I'm not in love with Baltimore's Chris Tillman but he's in a far more ideal situation tonight in San Francisco as oppose to at home vs. an AL East squad. He's got some pretty strong splits which are obviously better on the road (3.23 ERA, 2.71 K/BB, .713 OPS, 5 HRs). The Orioles just swept San Diego and play their next nine against the NL West (no LA Dodgers). At 5.5 games back in the AL East, this is an excellent chance to close the gap. Locked in on the road favorite tonight.

Tags: MLB San Francisco Giants Baltimore Orioles Andrew Lange

NFL Preseason Handicapping: It's all about the information

08.06.2013     02:23 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Yesterday, Teddy Covers posted a great blog on tips for betting and beating the NFL Preseason. If you missed it, go read it now. A lot of what Teddy was talking about, particularly coach and coordinator speak and blitzing, isn't something we as bettors can handicap blind. And I strongly urge you not to bet the preseason based on past results. The real key of course is information. Some coaches spill their guts, some like to play coy, and some pretty much don't say shit. If you can find out how long the starters will play, the quarterback rotation, and/or the team's motivation if any, you'll likely win more games than you lose. Obviously there are other factors but when it comes to the preseason, you can never have enough information. A perfect example of this concept is this week's line moves. CRIS posted its openers a week ago and a vast majority hasn’t budged. The reason? No one knows much of anything yet. Two of only a handful of games that saw movement involve the Dallas Cowboys and Miami Read more

Tags: NFL Andrew Lange Teddy Covers


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