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NCAAB Handicapper Free Pick: Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. Oakland Grizzlies

01.03.2012     01:44 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oral Roberts at Oakland +3 O/U 150
Recommendation: Oakland


It doesn't appear that Oakland is the class of the Summit League this season after a 17-1 mark last year. The Grizzlies have already lost two league games and find themselves in the midst of a four-game losing streak. We know this team still has talent with a home win over Tennessee and solid performances in losses to Ohio, Michigan and Arizona. This is a home court that has held up extremely well over the years with 31-straight conference victories. A potentially dangerous spot for Oral Roberts who is playing its third straight road game and returns home for a two-game set against upstart North Dakota State and South Dakota State on Thursday and Saturday. ORU has an impressive resume but is perhaps getting a bit too much credit for winning at Xavier when the Musketeers were decimated by suspensions. Oakland was a 1.5-point underdog in the win over Tennessee and just a year removed from never being less than a double-digit favorite on its home court in conference play. Oakland head coach Greg Kampe described tonight's game as "must win as you can ever have in January". Never like to Read more


Tags: College Basketball Oral Robert Golden Eagles Oakland Grizzlies Andrew Lange




Rose Bowl Betting Preview: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Oregon Ducks

01.02.2012     04:33 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

copy_bowl_preview_2011.jpg

Rose Bowl
Wisconsin vs. Oregon
Monday, 2 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener: Oregon -4.5 O/U 72
CRIS Current: Oregon -5 O/U 72
Rob Veno Power Rating: Oregon -2.5

Andrew Lange's Betting Take: I thought for a minute we might see this line climb to 7 as a majority of the early money came in on the Ducks but bettors cleared out all of the 6's yesterday with Oregon now a 5-point favorite across the board.

The stats for both teams are fairly even across the board even though the go about their work in different ways. Oregon played the slightly stronger schedule (37 vs. 55) according to Sagarin's ratings. Our ACCU-Stats show the Ducks with a 0.50 yards per rush edge while the Badgers were 0.14 better at stopping the run. Wisconsin features the stronger passing attack that ranked third nationally in yards per attempt. It is hard to get a gauge on just how Read more


Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Oregon Ducks Andrew Lange




Gator Bowl Betting Preview: Florida Gators vs. Ohio State Buckeyes

01.02.2012     03:55 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

copy_bowl_preview_2011.jpg

Gator Bowl
Florida vs. Ohio State
Monday, 10 am PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener: Florida -1 O/U 43
CRIS Current: Florida -2 O/U 44
Rob Veno Power Rating: Ohio State -3.5

Andrew Lange's Betting Take: A lot more non-football related talk surrounding these two storied but currently mediocre football programs. According to reports, Urban Meyer has kept his distance during Ohio State's preparation – though he officially takes over the program on Tuesday. For Florida, it lost offensive coordinator Charlie Weis (Kansas HC), which in the eyes of some was a good thing.

As for the play on the field, both defenses were above average with the Gators 9th nationally (299.6 ypg allowed) and Ohio State 24th (328.6 ypg allowed). UF's numbers start to look even better when we eliminate games against LSU and Alabama (277.6 ypg allowed, 16.8 ppg allowed). The Read more


Tags: College Football Florida Gators Ohio State Buckeyes Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Pick: George Mason at College of Charleston

12.30.2011     02:16 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
George Mason at College of Charleston -3.5 O/U 139
Recommendation: College of Charleston


Laying -2.5 to -4 with home teams can be tricky because in most cases, the two teams involved are evenly matched and the only thing separating them is a sometimes phantom home court advantage. But in this particular matchup, I see the favorite as the legitimately better team while also owning a home court advantage that is real. College of Charleston was not expected to do much this season after losing a host of seniors including all-everything guard Andrew Goudelock. But 12 games into the season it looks as if this year's edition isn't too far removed 2010-11's 26-win squad. And that type of success has been the norm under head coach Bobby Cremins who has produced 22+ win campaigns in four of his five seasons in Charleston and looks headed for a sixth in 2012. The Cougars have no seriously blemishes on their resume with wins over Clemson, UMass and Tennessee. Their two competitive losses to Central Florida and at Louisville are nothing to be ashamed of. The offense has scored one point per possession in every game but two and the only knock that I see is a Read more


Tags: College Basketball College of Charleston George Mason Andrew Lange




NCAA Basketball Betting: Northern Arizona and Idaho State coaching changes

12.29.2011     01:17 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Some news out of the Big Sky that seems to have flown under the radar. Both Northern Arizona and Idaho State saw their head coaches resign recently.

Joe O'Brien had a lot of success at the junior college level but could never kick start the Idaho State program (56-105 since 2006). Assistant Deane Martin has taken over on an interim basis. Martin is a first-year assistant who spent time as a coach in Mexico and with the NBDL. ISU lost to Wyoming 80-56 at home in Martin's debut. They play at Weber State tonight.

Northern Arizona's Mike Adras stepped aside back in early December and the Lumberjacks responded under 70-year-old interim coach Dave Brown with wins over Cal State Bakersfield and Arizona State. They were however blasted at Sam Houston State last time out, 73-49. NAU plays host to Sacramento State tonight.

The personnel for both teams are so poor this year that the coaching changes are unlikely to bring about a massive turnaround. The Big Sky is a flaky league where randomness tends to prevail but I have little to no interest in backing these squads anytime soon (4-12 ATS combined).



Tags: College Basketball Idaho State Bengals Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Big Sky Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Pick: UCLA Bruins at Stanford Cardinal

12.29.2011     12:58 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UCLA at Stanford -6 O/U 127
Recommendation: Stanford


UCLA just spend the better part of December trying to get back in the good graces of the betting markets. Apparently they've done enough to be competitively lined on the road against a quality opponent. But while the Bruins may have built some confidence, it doesn't necessarily mean they are a quality basketball team. The last five opponents were all nowhere near Stanford in terms of ability and they all took place in Los Angeles. UC Irvine, UC Davis, Eastern Washington – those are teams UCLA should be able to beat with their bench alone. Penn and Richmond are halfway decent and UCLA got all they could handle in both contests. Stanford outpaced the market place in November with a 6-0 ATS mark but stumbled last time out against Butler (as a 12.5-point favorite). That loss and UCLA's recent results provide what appears to me to be a decent discount. Lay the points in this PAC-12 opener.




Tags: College Basketbal Stanford Cardinal UCLA Bruins Andrew Lange




Alamo Bowl Betting Preview: Washington Huskies vs. Baylor Bears

12.28.2011     12:21 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

copy_bowl_preview_2011.jpg

Alamo Bowl
Washington vs. Baylor-
Thursday, 5 pm PT – ESPN
CRIS Opener: Baylor -8.5 O/U 76.5
CRIS Current: Baylor -9 O/U 79
Rob Veno Power Rating: Baylor -7

Andrew Lange's Betting Take: I made a lot of money on Baylor this season including its season finale blowout win over Texas. But my attraction towards the Bears was mostly when they were in the role of short favorite or underdog. It becomes tricky laying over a touchdown with a team that had a real difficult time stopping good offenses – especially on the road. In four true road games, Baylor allowed 30, 59, 58 and 36 and finished 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS. At home, they had the big wins over Texas and Oklahoma but don't forget they slipped past Missouri by a field goal and opened the season with a two-point win over what ended up to be a good but far from great TCU squad.

Washington had a real difficult time hanging with upper class foes. In games against Nebraska, Read more


Tags: College Football Baylor Bears Washington Huskies Andrew Lange




Champs Sports Bowl Betting Preview: Notre Dame Irish vs. Florida State Seminoles

12.28.2011     11:53 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

copy_bowl_preview_2011.jpg

Champs Sports Bowl
Notre Dame vs. Florida State
Thursday, 2:30 pm PT – ESPN
CRIS Opener: Florida State -3 O/U 48
CRIS Current: Florida State -3.5 O/U 46.5
Rob Veno Power Rating: Florida State -1

Andrew Lange's Betting Take: Even if we give Florida State a pass for the early season injury to quarterback EJ Manuel, the fact remains that despite all of the preseason hype, this is a team that didn't have what I would consider a truly marquee victory this season. Five of their eight wins came against UL-Monroe, Charleston Southern, Duke, Maryland and Boston College. Beyond that, wins over NC State, Miami (FL) and Florida are the only thing the Seminoles have to brag about. A team only has so much control over who they schedule but FSU had ample opportunity for a 10-win season and ACC Championship game berth but fell short in two very Read more


Tags: College Football Notre Dame Fighting Irish Florida State Seminoles Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Pick: Seton Hall Pirates at Syracuse Orange

12.28.2011     06:21 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seton Hall +15.5 at Syracuse O/U 137
Recommendation: Seton Hall


I realize that Seton Hall's 11-1 start was aided by more than a handful of creampuff opponents. I'm also aware that the Pirates won in the Carrier Dome last season by 32 as 12.5-point underdogs. But those factors don't outweigh that we have a capable underdog catching +15.5 in a conference game. Syracuse has the look of an elite team but in five games against decent competition, the Orange weren’t exactly posting 20-point wins left and right. They beat Virginia Tech and Stanford by 11 and six respectively at Madison Square Garden and slipped past Florida by four. Marshall went to the Carrier Dome and lost by six and NC State jumped out to a big lead before the Orange went on a crazy 23-0 run in the first half. The Wolfpack though managed to tie the game in the second before running out of steam in what ended up be a somewhat deceiving 88-72 loss. In Big East play last year, Syracuse Read more


Tags: College Basketball Seton Hall Pirates Syracuse Orange Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Play: UTEP Miners vs. Kansas State Wildcats

12.23.2011     08:24 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UTEP +10.5 vs. Kansas State O/U 128
Recommendation: UTEP


Few teams if any have improved more over the last few weeks than UTEP. It all started after the Miners lost to Stephen F. Austin at home 53-35. Tim Floyd decided with a host of inexperience and youth that the best thing to do was to shorten the game and play at a slow pace in order to just stick around. The move paid off as the Miners went to Oregon and lost by six and then beat New Mexico State after losing to the Aggies by 16 a month earlier. They then hung at UNLV in an 11-point loss and last night dominated Clemson 61-48. Kansas State has done nothing wrong this season with wins over Virginia Tech and Alabama and a double-OT loss to West Virginia. But in a neutral site setting, where laying this type of price can be extremely dangerous, I see no reason that UTEP can't grind its way to another spread cover.



Tags: College Basketball UTEP Miners Kansas State Wildcats Andrew Lange



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