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November

23

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Free MLB Betting Pick: Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox

05.03.2012     12:48 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cleveland (Masterson) at Chicago WS (Danks) -120 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over


Justin Masterson made a few adjustments prior to his last start and got better results in allowing only two runs in 8.1 innings – albeit against the soft hitting Angels. But his velocity remains down and his command is very erratic. In his last three outings, Masterson has walked 15 batters. This after walking less than two per start last season. Like Masterson, John Danks hasn't been "right" at all this season and a lack of command has been the main culprit. Danks walked only 46 batters last season and has already issued 15 in five starts including four in each of his last two outings. As a result, he's allowed three or more runs in every outing. These struggles were apparent from both pitchers in an early season meeting where the duo combined for seven earned runs, 15 hits, six walks and five strikeouts with neither pitcher lasting past the sixth inning. Unseasonably warm weather with gusty Read more


Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians Chicago White Sox Andrew Lange




Deadspin tries to uncover truth behind bettor/columnist Sarah Phillips

05.01.2012     02:37 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We don't even know where to begin with this one but kudos to Deadspin for trying to tackle it. Some of you have probably heard of Sarah Phillips, a young 20-something female hardcore sports bettor (because there are a ton of them out there these days) who went from Covers.com posting forum member, to featured columnist, to snagging a gig with ESPN's Page 2 within the span of about a year. If you bet on a daily basis and read her stuff, it is obviously scripted in some manner. She'll go from sounding like a college chick who likes flavored vodka to an Andrew Lange-Brent Crow Sportsmemo Podcast conversation about a mid-week Sun Belt college basketball total – no one is THAT talented. Anyway, Phillips' online presence started to draw the attention of some folks and well, we'll let you soak in the rest...


A few days later, Phillips asked Matt for his advice on a Cardinals-Brewers game. The over/under for the game was 7.5 runs. Matt told her to take the Read more








Free MLB Betting Pick: Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves

05.01.2012     06:48 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Philadelphia (Hamels) at Atlanta (Beachy) -125 O/U 6.5
Recommendation: Under


Last season, Atlanta's offense struggled mightedly against left-handed pitching and those numbers are starting to show up again (.238 vs. LH starters) this season despite the fact that they have yet to face a premium southpaw arm. And when it comes to "premium" in the National League names like Clayton Kershaw, Cliff Lee, and tonight's opponent, Cole Hamels, come to mind. Hamels is once again dialed in this season with a 2.73 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. For Atlanta, Brandon Beachy will look to maintain his stellar start to the season (1.05 ERA, 0.97 WHIP). Obviously those numbers can't be maintained, but his talent is hardly a fluke after posting 169 strikeouts in 141.2 innings last season. He'll face a Philadelphia offense that has really struggled to produce runs. They've picked it up of late (4.71 runs per game last 7 games) but they certainly benefited from facing some weak starting pitchers (Josh Read more


Tags: MLB Philadelphia Phillies Atlanta Braves Andrew Lange




MLB Gambling Notes: Shaun Marcum's crazy BABIP baffles bettors

04.23.2012     10:22 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I almost spit up my coffee this morning when I read that SHAUN FREAKIN’ MARCUM is currently tops in all of baseball (starters) in swinging strikes at 15.4% (league average is 8.4%). All of you have seen Marcum pitch and while he throw strikes and doesn’t issue many walks, his stuff is more baffling than impressive. He swinging strike rate obviously won’t last but perhaps even more amazing has been Marcum’s ability to maintain below league average BABIP for such a long period of time.

Since 2007, Marcum has thrown 725.1 innings with a rock solid 3.67 ERA and 48-29 record. During that span, his yearly BABIP numbers are: .269, .246, .280, .264, .250...for an average of .266!

I went on Baseball Reference and looked up other starting pitchers who have had similar career paths and found that none of them are even close to being that fortunate. Yovano Gallardo's lifetime BABIP is .302, Jair Jurrjens' is .297 and Daisuke Matsuzaka's is .292. Marcum has had one "normal" season (only 78.1 IP) BABIP wise with a Read more


Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Andrew Lange




Sportsmemo's Crow and Lange win weekend bass tournament

04.16.2012     07:56 AM     Printer Friendly
Sportsmemo handicappers Brent Crow and Andrew Lange took home the $1,000 first place prize at a bass tournament on Alabama's Smith Lake this past Saturday. When asked how it felt to win his first-ever tournament Lange responded, "I'll be honest, the fact that I didn't hook my partner in the back or fall in the lake was in my eyes a pretty big accomplishment."

copy_Crow_Lange.jpg

 



Tags: Brent Crow Andrew Lange




Sunday MLB Free Betting Pick: Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox

04.15.2012     07:50 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Detroit (Porcello) at -Chicago- (Sale) -105 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Chicago


I'm buying Chicago lefty Chris Sale, especially early in the season when fatigue isn't an issue and teams are getting their first extended look at him. Sale was one of the better middle relievers in the American League last season and is starting to develop some solid off-speed offerings. He looked sharp in his first start, allowing one earned run in 6.2 innings (and a modest 100 pitches). I enjoy watching Detroit's Rick Porcello but he's never going to be a front-of-the-rotation arm. He generally throws strikes and mixes things well, but without big time velocity or an outpitch, he has trouble going entire games without getting into trouble. The White Sox are obviously familiar with Porcello having seen him seven times (6.91 ERA). Let's also not forget that the White Sox are playing some good baseball having won four straight with a chance for the three-game sweep against the Tigers. I think it happens.




Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox Detroit Tigers Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies

04.12.2012     07:07 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Miami (Buehrle) -110 at Philadelphia (Blanton) O/U 8
Recommendation: Over


Well aware that Philadelphia's offense can no longer be regarded as potent but with two hittable pitches and a total of 8 in Citizens Bank Park, we'll take a look at the OVER. Joe Blanton hasn't started a game since May of last season and is nothing but a stop-gap at this point in his career. He made one appearance out of the bullpen last Saturday and proceeded to take the loss after allowing two hits and a run in 0.2 innings. After a few decent years for Oakland and the Phillies, Blanton has been in steady decline. Since 2010, he's combined ERA is 4.88 with a 1.43 WHIP. Miami's Mark Buehrle was solid in his first National League start, allowing two earned runs in six innings in a loss at Cincinnati. The Phillies should be able to run out a fairly right-hand heavy lineup tonight. Umpire Jeff Nelson has trended towards the OVER at nearly a 60% clip the last three seasons. The wind is expected to be blowing in Read more


Tags: MLB Miami Marlins Philadelphia Phillies Andrew Lange




Sunday MLB Free Betting Pick: San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks

04.08.2012     07:33 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Francisco (Cain) -125 at Arizona (Collmenter) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: San Francisco


I love the fact that baseball has changed so dramatically that mediocre pitchers can go out and have success. Six or seven years ago, a guy like Josh Collmenter would have never sniffed the mound and if he did, the results wouldn't have been pretty. But while the game is better suited for pitchers nowadays, I think Collmenter may be on borrowed time. His success stems from a funky delivery and throwing strikes. The velocity sits in the mid-80s and a lot of times, it is the batters that get themselves out by over-swinging. Opposing Collmenter will be Matt Cain who just inked a massive deal after three straight ultra-productive seasons. Cain allowed only nine home runs last season so look for a little bit of regression in that department. Still, he is obviously a much more viable option in this matchup and the betting markets certainly agree with money pouring in on the Giants. A number of Read more


Tags: MLB San Francisco Giants Arizona Diamonbacks Andrew Lange




Saturday MLB Free Betting Pick: St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers

04.06.2012     06:52 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
St. Louis (Wainwright) at Milwaukee (Greinke) -120 O/U 7
Recommendation: Milwaukee


Last season, the Milwaukee Brewers went an MLB-best 57-24 at home – a number that they are unlikely to duplicate. Contributing in large part to that success was Zach Greinke who went a perfect 11-0 (Milwaukee was 17-0 in his starts) at Miller Park – again a number that simply cannot be matched. But, the Brewers should once again be contenders in the NL Central and to see a premium arm like Greinke at home at such a cheap price has my interest. At no point last year was Greinke cheaper than a -130 home favorite and despite opposing starter Adam Wainwright's pedigree, the fact that he didn't pitch at all last season leaves me leery that he'll be dialed in immediately (he’ll likely be on some sort of pitch count). St. Louis is off to a 2-0 start but remain a team I am looking to bet against in the early going. The spot seems ripe today to exercise that opinion.




Tags: MLB St. Louis Cardinals Milwaukee Brewers Andrew Lange




MLB Betting Trends: Trying to figure out why Wakefield and Dickey show day/night splits?

04.06.2012     01:56 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Back in 2010, we posted a blog on the oddity of Tim Wakefield's day/night splits. For whatever reason – who couldn't come up with anything logical – Wakefield's career numbers during the day were dramatically better than at night.

Wakefield Day: 3.69 ERA/1.22 WHIP/.238 BAA
Wakefield Night: 4.72 ERA/1.41 WHIP/.261 BAA


This from a guy who showed little to no split both righty/lefty and home/road. It stood out even more considering some of his fellow knucklers – Phil Niekro, Tom Candiotti, and Charlie Hough – didn't have any day/night dichotomy.

Well with Wakefield now retired – he'll be on the Yankees by mid-June – that leaves us with our main man R.A. Dickey as the lone knuckleballer. Dickey is slated to start tomorrow at home against Atlanta...for a 1:10 pm ET start. Remembering Wakefield's split, we out of curiosity checked Dickey's career numbers during the day. What we found further cemented Wakefield's splits as being random; Dickey's career numbers Read more


Tags: MLB Andrew Lange



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Nov 23, 2014 07:55 AM.