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NCAA Basketball Betting: Northern Arizona and Idaho State coaching changes

12.29.2011     01:17 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Some news out of the Big Sky that seems to have flown under the radar. Both Northern Arizona and Idaho State saw their head coaches resign recently.

Joe O'Brien had a lot of success at the junior college level but could never kick start the Idaho State program (56-105 since 2006). Assistant Deane Martin has taken over on an interim basis. Martin is a first-year assistant who spent time as a coach in Mexico and with the NBDL. ISU lost to Wyoming 80-56 at home in Martin's debut. They play at Weber State tonight.

Northern Arizona's Mike Adras stepped aside back in early December and the Lumberjacks responded under 70-year-old interim coach Dave Brown with wins over Cal State Bakersfield and Arizona State. They were however blasted at Sam Houston State last time out, 73-49. NAU plays host to Sacramento State tonight.

The personnel for both teams are so poor this year that the coaching changes are unlikely to bring about a massive turnaround. The Big Sky is a flaky league where randomness tends to prevail but I have little to no interest in backing these squads anytime soon (4-12 ATS combined).



Tags: College Basketball Idaho State Bengals Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Big Sky Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Pick: UCLA Bruins at Stanford Cardinal

12.29.2011     12:58 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UCLA at Stanford -6 O/U 127
Recommendation: Stanford


UCLA just spend the better part of December trying to get back in the good graces of the betting markets. Apparently they've done enough to be competitively lined on the road against a quality opponent. But while the Bruins may have built some confidence, it doesn't necessarily mean they are a quality basketball team. The last five opponents were all nowhere near Stanford in terms of ability and they all took place in Los Angeles. UC Irvine, UC Davis, Eastern Washington – those are teams UCLA should be able to beat with their bench alone. Penn and Richmond are halfway decent and UCLA got all they could handle in both contests. Stanford outpaced the market place in November with a 6-0 ATS mark but stumbled last time out against Butler (as a 12.5-point favorite). That loss and UCLA's recent results provide what appears to me to be a decent discount. Lay the points in this PAC-12 opener.




Tags: College Basketbal Stanford Cardinal UCLA Bruins Andrew Lange




Alamo Bowl Betting Preview: Washington Huskies vs. Baylor Bears

12.28.2011     12:21 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

copy_bowl_preview_2011.jpg

Alamo Bowl
Washington vs. Baylor-
Thursday, 5 pm PT – ESPN
CRIS Opener: Baylor -8.5 O/U 76.5
CRIS Current: Baylor -9 O/U 79
Rob Veno Power Rating: Baylor -7

Andrew Lange's Betting Take: I made a lot of money on Baylor this season including its season finale blowout win over Texas. But my attraction towards the Bears was mostly when they were in the role of short favorite or underdog. It becomes tricky laying over a touchdown with a team that had a real difficult time stopping good offenses – especially on the road. In four true road games, Baylor allowed 30, 59, 58 and 36 and finished 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS. At home, they had the big wins over Texas and Oklahoma but don't forget they slipped past Missouri by a field goal and opened the season with a two-point win over what ended up to be a good but far from great TCU squad.

Washington had a real difficult time hanging with upper class foes. In games against Nebraska, Read more


Tags: College Football Baylor Bears Washington Huskies Andrew Lange




Champs Sports Bowl Betting Preview: Notre Dame Irish vs. Florida State Seminoles

12.28.2011     11:53 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

copy_bowl_preview_2011.jpg

Champs Sports Bowl
Notre Dame vs. Florida State
Thursday, 2:30 pm PT – ESPN
CRIS Opener: Florida State -3 O/U 48
CRIS Current: Florida State -3.5 O/U 46.5
Rob Veno Power Rating: Florida State -1

Andrew Lange's Betting Take: Even if we give Florida State a pass for the early season injury to quarterback EJ Manuel, the fact remains that despite all of the preseason hype, this is a team that didn't have what I would consider a truly marquee victory this season. Five of their eight wins came against UL-Monroe, Charleston Southern, Duke, Maryland and Boston College. Beyond that, wins over NC State, Miami (FL) and Florida are the only thing the Seminoles have to brag about. A team only has so much control over who they schedule but FSU had ample opportunity for a 10-win season and ACC Championship game berth but fell short in two very Read more


Tags: College Football Notre Dame Fighting Irish Florida State Seminoles Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Pick: Seton Hall Pirates at Syracuse Orange

12.28.2011     06:21 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seton Hall +15.5 at Syracuse O/U 137
Recommendation: Seton Hall


I realize that Seton Hall's 11-1 start was aided by more than a handful of creampuff opponents. I'm also aware that the Pirates won in the Carrier Dome last season by 32 as 12.5-point underdogs. But those factors don't outweigh that we have a capable underdog catching +15.5 in a conference game. Syracuse has the look of an elite team but in five games against decent competition, the Orange weren’t exactly posting 20-point wins left and right. They beat Virginia Tech and Stanford by 11 and six respectively at Madison Square Garden and slipped past Florida by four. Marshall went to the Carrier Dome and lost by six and NC State jumped out to a big lead before the Orange went on a crazy 23-0 run in the first half. The Wolfpack though managed to tie the game in the second before running out of steam in what ended up be a somewhat deceiving 88-72 loss. In Big East play last year, Syracuse Read more


Tags: College Basketball Seton Hall Pirates Syracuse Orange Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Play: UTEP Miners vs. Kansas State Wildcats

12.23.2011     08:24 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UTEP +10.5 vs. Kansas State O/U 128
Recommendation: UTEP


Few teams if any have improved more over the last few weeks than UTEP. It all started after the Miners lost to Stephen F. Austin at home 53-35. Tim Floyd decided with a host of inexperience and youth that the best thing to do was to shorten the game and play at a slow pace in order to just stick around. The move paid off as the Miners went to Oregon and lost by six and then beat New Mexico State after losing to the Aggies by 16 a month earlier. They then hung at UNLV in an 11-point loss and last night dominated Clemson 61-48. Kansas State has done nothing wrong this season with wins over Virginia Tech and Alabama and a double-OT loss to West Virginia. But in a neutral site setting, where laying this type of price can be extremely dangerous, I see no reason that UTEP can't grind its way to another spread cover.



Tags: College Basketball UTEP Miners Kansas State Wildcats Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Pick: LSU Tigers at North Texas Mean Green

12.22.2011     06:21 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
LSU at North Texas +7 O/U 129
Recommendation: North Texas


Good spot to step in and fade LSU following its upset win over Marquette on Monday. The Tigers, who average less than a point per possession, had and uncharacteristically efficient offensive outing. Defensively, LSU is pretty good, holding seven of its last eight opponents under 60 points, but the offense kept them from winning most of those games by a decent margin. They beat a bad Georgia Tech team by nine in a meaningless fifth place consolation game -- it was a one-point game with three minutes left. They then lost to South Alabama at home and posted close wins over Houston, Rutgers and UC Irvine. The only blowout was against a young Boise State squad that has shown no ability to perform on the road. North Texas lost a lot of talent from last year and took some lumps early on. They've however won four straight and got a big boost with Missouri transfer Tony Mitchell now eligible. The Mean Green have Read more


Tags: College Basketball LSU Tigers North Texas Mean Green Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Play: Duquesne Dukes at George Mason Patriots

12.21.2011     06:29 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Duquesne at George Mason -6 O/U 139
Recommendation: Over


Despite being the epitome of all "offense, no defense" Duquesne games continue to totaled in a respectable range. The Dukes obviously want to run, so much so that when they play games with 73 or more possessions, they've only lost once the last two years whereas when games register 72 or fewer possessions, they are nine games under .500. But the most telling stat is when Duquesne averages a point per possession or more, nearly all over their games the last two years saw 140+ points. On the flip side, when they fail to top 1.0 ppp, nearly all over their games end up in the 120's. So the question is can they top the 1.0 ppp tonight against George Mason? A close look at GM’s schedules suggests yes. For the last month, Mason has been playing a combination of slow paced, unathletic, offensively challenged teams. As a result, their defensive numbers look good. But go back to earlier this year Read more


Tags: College Basketball Duquesne Dukes George Mason Patriots Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Play: Eastern Washington Eagles at St. Mary's Gaels

12.20.2011     02:15 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Eastern Washington +16.5 at St. Mary’s O/U 136
Recommendation: Eastern Washington


A closer look at St. Mary's schedule shows that winning by this type of margin may prove a bit more difficult with Eastern Washington the first halfway competent team the Gaels have faced since early December. St. Mary’s has won its last four games by an average margin of 27.8 ppg but as mentioned, they were against some of the worst teams in the country. Jackson State, NC A&T, Bethune Cookman and Kennesaw State have a combined seven DI wins – all of which against fellow bottom feeders. When the opposition was a notch better, St. Mary's beat Cal Poly by five and played even with Weber State for much of the game before pulling away late. And to open the year, the Gaels beat Northern Iowa by 16 but the spot was horrendous for the Panthers who had just won by 17 at Old Dominion two days earlier. Note EWU's interesting tactic last time against UCLA – a move that could potentially be in play tonight. The Eagles essentially went four corners with the hopes of shortening the game. The plan worked to a certain extent, but Eastern shot a dismal 26% Read more


Tags: College Basketball St. Mary's Gaels Eastern Washington Eagles Andrew Lange




Las Vegas Bowl Betting Preview: Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Boise State Broncos

12.20.2011     01:16 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

copy_bowl_preview_2011.jpg

Las Vegas Bowl
Arizona State vs. Boise State
Thursday, 5 pm PT – ESPN
CRIS Opener: Boise State -11.5 O/U 65
CRIS Current: Boise State -14 O/U 66.5
Rob Veno Power Rating: Boise State -15.5

Andrew Lange’s Betting Take: I was talking with Teddy Covers on Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast and asked him that if we eliminate all of the distractions and potential motivational issues for this matchup, is Boise State truly two touchdowns better than Arizona State on a neutral field? The clear answer was no, but unfortunately, as with most pre-Christmas bowl games, all of the "extra" stuff can have an enormous impact. The fact that ASU didn't represent the PAC-12 South in the conference title game speaks volumes to how much this team underachieved this year. Heading into November, the Sun Devils were 6-2 with road loses to Oregon and Read more


Tags: College Football Boise State Broncos Arizona State Sun Devils Andrew Lange



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