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Sportsmemo Handicapper NCAA Tournament Picks

03.14.2012     07:17 AM     Printer Friendly
Some NCAA Tournament picks from the Sportsmemo Crew.

Sportsmemo Handicapper 2012 NCAA Tournament Picks
Handicapper
First Round Upset Alert
Final Four
Title Pick
Brent Crow
Colorado over UNLV
Kentucky, Syracuse, Missouri, North Carolina
Kentucky
Andrew Lange
Virginia over Florida
Kentucky, Marquette, Cincinnati, North Carolina
Kentucky
Teddy Covers
Belmont over Georgetown
Kentucky, Florida State, Kansas, Louisville
Kansas
Marty Otto
Virginia over Florida
Kentucky, Missouri, Kansas, Syracuse
Kentucky
Fairway Jay
Long Beach over New Mexico
Wichita, Michigan State, Ohio State, North Carolina
Ohio State
Erin Rynning
Long Beach over New Mexico
Kentucky, Louisville, Michigan, Ohio State
Ohio State
Rob Veno
Montana over Wisconsin
Kentucky, Missouri, Ohio State, North Carolina
Missouri




Tags: College Basketball Brent Crow Andrew Lange Teddy Covers Otto Sports Erin Rynning Rob Veno




NCAA Tournament Gambling Preview: Montana Grizzlies vs. Wisconsin Badgers

03.13.2012     01:55 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NCAA Tournament East Regional
No. 4 Wisconsin -9 vs. No. 13 Montana O/U 118.5
Thursday, 11:10 am PT - Albuquerque, N.M.
Rob Veno Power Rating: Wisconsin -7


Betting Take: Good matchup here as both teams play similar styles. Montana isn't as deliberate on offense as Wisconsin, but the Grizzlies prefer a slow place and play solid defense. They also have size with 7-0 center Derek Selvig patrolling the paint. But the Big Sky is notorious for not performing well when asked to step up in class, especially in the postseason. Montana did beat Long Beach at home but lost to San Francisco, Oregon State, Colorado State and Nevada. Wisconsin becomes an interesting handicap when laying this type of price outside of Madison. In a short-lined game, the Badgers are capable of beating most teams. But their style and propensity to sit on leads makes laying near double-digits tricky. Also tricky is putting the ball in the bucket for this team. They carved up Indiana's weak defense in the Big Ten Tournament for 79 points but turned right around with a 52-point effort against Michigan State. Montana isn’t in the Spartans' class Read more


Tags: College Basketball Wisconsin Badgers Montana Grizzlies




NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. West Virginia Mountaineers

03.13.2012     01:07 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NCAA Tournament East Regional
No. 7 Gonzaga -1 vs. No. 10 West Virginia O/U 133
Thursday, 4:20 pm PT - Pittsburgh, Pa.
Rob Veno Power Rating: Gonzaga -3


Betting Take: West Virginia somehow slipped into the tournament despite only four wins since January 25 (Providence, Pitt, DePaul and South Florida). Last year, the Mountaineers were +4.4 in points per possession scored vs. allowed in Big East play. This year's mark was a mediocre +1.6. They still play hard and still hit the offensive glass with reckless abandon but they don't defend particularly well and are the worst three-point shooting team in the Big East at 28.7%. Gonzaga should be able to handle WVU's size and physical nature with 7-0 Robert Sacre, 6-7 Elias Harris and 6-9 Sam Dower. The one concern with the Zags is can they win on the road? In "step up" road games, Gonzaga lost to Illinois, St. Mary's, BYU and San Francisco. Their best road win came against a Xavier squad that while at full strength was still reeling from suspensions. Note also the proximity (75 miles) of this contest for West Virginia.

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Tags: College Basketball Gonzaga Bulldogs West Virginia Mountaineers




NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: South Florida Bulls vs. California Golden Bears

03.13.2012     12:51 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NCAA Tournament Midwest Regional
No. 12 South Florida vs. No. 12 California -3 O/U 115
Wednesday, 6 pm PT - Dayton, Ohio
Rob Veno Power Rating: California -1.5


Betting Take: Play-in game with the winner taking on Temple. No question South Florida played a favorable Big East schedule but the Bulls still won 12 league games in one of the best conferences in the country while California didn't even win the PAC-12 regular season or the PAC-12 Tournament. The Golden Bears have the advantage on offense with multiple players who can score from all over the court. But South Florida has one of the best defenses in the tournament – even when accounting for the slow pace of its games. The Bulls ranked first in the Big East in effective field goal percentage defense (42.1%) and 2-point field goal percentage (42.2%). In comparison, Cal ranked 4th in both categories in the much weaker PAC-12. The total is certainly reflective of USF’s ability to control tempo. In Big East play, only once (a blowout vs. Georgetown) did a game involving the Bulls top 64 possessions.

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Tags: College Basketball South Florida Bulls California Golden Bears




College Basketball NIT Betting Trend

03.13.2012     12:16 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Often times we assume power conference teams that get "snubbed" from the NCAA Tournament and sent to the NIT don't really want to be there. But often times these "snubbed" teams are rewarded with home games and the turnaround from conference tournament to NIT is so short, there isn't much time to sit around and sulk. I went back the last five years and took the top 2 seeds from each NIT "pod" which ends up being eight teams total. Sort of arbitrary, but you figure past those eight are teams that didn't expect to be in the NCAA Tournament anyway or are mid-majors. For example, last year's no. 3 seeds were Dayton, Colorado State, Missouri State and Oklahoma State.

With those eight teams, I took a look at their first round games (almost all of which were at home with the exception of Boston College who was shipped to McNeese State last year) and then the overall results. Keep in mind, the overall numbers are skewed some as a lot of these teams eventually played one another. What I came up with was pretty surprising. From a straight up perspective, our top eight teams went 37-3 SU and a respectable 24-16 (60%) ATS in the first round and Read more


Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange




NCAA Tournament Gambling Preview: Lamar Cardinals vs. Vermont Catamounts

03.12.2012     02:12 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NCAA Tournament Midwest Regional
Lamar -3 vs. Vermont O/U 130
Wednesday, 3:30 pm PT - Dayton, Ohio
Rob Veno Power Rating: Lamar -2


Betting Take: Play-in game with the winner getting top seed North Carolina. Lamar made headlines a few weeks ago after head coach Pat Knight bashed his team for not knowing how to win. The Cardinals responded by winning six straight – all by double-digits – including the Southland Tournament. According to Ken Pom, Lamar is the most experienced team in the country with virtually the entire roster comprised of juniors and seniors. They faced a very tough non-conference slate: at Louisville, at Ohio State and at Kentucky. Vermont has now reached the postseason four straight years. They acquitted themselves well when asked to step up in class with close losses to tournament teams South Florida, Harvard and Iona. Should be a fairly competitive contest with Lamar ranked no. 102 and Vermont no. 120 based on Ken Pom's ratings.

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Tags: College Basketball Lamar Cardinals Vermont Catamounts




NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: Iona Gaels at BYU Cougars

03.12.2012     12:45 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NCAA Tournament West Regional
Iona vs. BYU -2 O/U 161.5
Tuesday, 6 pm PT - Dayton, Ohio
Rob Veno Power Rating: BYU -1.5


Betting Take: Two teams that just slipped into the postseason square off in the 14th seed play-in game. The winner takes on no. 3 seed Marquette. Against St. Mary's, Loyola Marymount and Gonzaga, BYU went just 2-5 SU with two of those losses coming at the once vaunted Marriott Center. Defensively, the Cougs' numbers look decent but they had a lot difficulty defending pretty much any team with an above average offense. They'll certainly see that against Iona who during the preseason hung 90 and 89 on Purdue and Maryland respectively. Like BYU, the Gaels often win by outscoring the opposition. Note that against the top two defenses in the MAAC, Fairfield and Manhattan, Iona went 1-3 ATS. Also of note, Iona was 1-3 O/U in games lines 160 or above. BYU didn't play a game lined over 160 and was 4-6 O/U in games line 150 or above. A lot of things outside of just pace need to go right in order to top 161 points in a college basketball game.

Lock in full College Basketball Tournament coverage from the Read more


Tags: College Basketball Iona Gaels BYU Cougars




NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: Mississippi Valley State vs. Western Kentucky

03.12.2012     12:21 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NCAA Tournament South Regional
Mississippi Valley State vs. Western Kentucky -4.5 O/U 139
Tuesday, 3:30 pm PT - Dayton, Ohio
Rob Veno Power Rating: Western Kentucky -6


Betting Take: Play-in game with the winner taking on top seed Kentucky. The SWAC will be represented by the class of the league, Mississippi Valley State, who finished 17-1. Like most SWAC schools, the Delta Devils played a lot of "pay check road games" against power conference schools during the non-conference. They took their lumps but were competitive in losses to Iowa State, DePaul, and South Carolina. Western Kentucky fired its coach mid-season and at one point was 5-14 overall and 1-5 in Sun Belt play. The Hilltoppers managed to finish 7-9 in conference play and won four games in four days (by a total of 17 points) to claim the Sun Belt crown. Never know what to expect from these play-in games though they have been relatively low scoring the last few years with scores of 61-44, 58-43 and 69-60. Note however that Mississippi Valley averaged more than 70 possessions per game in conference action. The SWAC has one play-in game victory in five Read more


Tags: College Basketball Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils




College Basketball Betting Tips: Things to look for in second half wagers

03.07.2012     06:36 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

Wanted to point out this halftime box score (see below) of the Eastern Washington-Montana game. Everyone has their own philosophies for making halftime bets but I thought I'd share a few of my own as far as what I look for. For starters, I leaned Eastern Washington +10.5 as Montana's home court, while tough, is often inflated. Unfortunately, I wasn't able to watch the game – something I usually like to do when betting halftimes. But in this instance, I was very familiar with both sides and was able to track the contest using live stats.

copy_montana_halftime.JPG

In the first half, Montana obviously couldn't shoot straight while Eastern Washington was at 50%. This is already out of the norm as Montana defends and EWU typically does not. And this late in the season, you are what you are, especially on defense. So with five minutes to play, Eastern took an 11-point lead. It was a big moment because down 10 or more at half likely keeps me off of any 2nd half play with Montana. But the Grizzlies knocked down a shot, and a few more, and went into the break only down 5 – a nice swing in momentum which is always nice to have. But while the margin was more Read more


Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. St. Mary's Gaels

03.05.2012     01:18 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Gonzaga vs. St. Mary's
Recommendation: Over 61.5 1st half


I respect the defensive numbers Gonzaga has posted this year (0.93 points per possession vs. WCC) as well as St. Mary's lower-the-usual pace numbers over the past month (56-64 possessions in eight straight games) but were also dealing with the top two offenses in the conference and both are not shy about taking advantage of fast break opportunities. In the last 10 games in this series, only once did we see a halftime score fall below 63 points. And two of those contests where in this exact setting; the conference championship title game (39-34 and 38-25). This is the fourth straight year at this venue, the Orleans Arena, so both teams are obviously comfortable with the rims and backdrop. And both factors that often tell bettors there are tight rims – free throw and three-point shooting – have been fairly average with six games producing a combined 66% from the foul line and 38% from three-point land. This projects to be a close game so there is always the potential for it to turn into a grind late so let's take advantage of the low total and play over first half.




Tags: College Basketball Gonzaga Bulldogs St. Mary's Gaels Andrew Lange



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 25, 2014 01:34 PM.