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College Football Betting Preview: UCLA Bruins at Houston Cougars

09.02.2011     09:06 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

copy_cfb_game_previews_11.jpg

UCLA at Houston (12:30 pm PT, FOX Sports)
CRIS Opening Line:
Houston -3 O/U 60
CRIS Current Line: Houston -2.5 O/U 61.5
Rob Veno Power Rating: Houston -4
Teddy Covers Power Rating: Houston -4

Andrew Lange’s Betting Take: These two teams met last year as UCLA won 31-13 and ended the season of two Houston quarterbacks including Case Keenum. The storyline for this matchup is even with Keenum back, can the Cougars produce big offensive numbers against a quality defense? UCLA is far from a juggernaut, but unlike everyone in C-USA with the exception of UCF, the Bruins have the speed and athleticism to make things difficult for the Cougars. Note that UH allowed only 12 sacks last season but must replace a Read more


Tags: College Football UCLA Bruins PAC-12 Houston Cougars C-USA Andrew Lange




College Football ATS Preview: Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Oklahoma Sooners

09.02.2011     07:35 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

copy_cfb_game_previews_11.jpg

Tulsa at Oklahoma (5 pm– FX)
CRIS Opening Line:
Oklahoma -20 O/U 60.5
CRIS Current Line: Oklahoma -25 O/U 64.5
Rob Veno Power Rating: Oklahoma -20
Teddy Covers Power Rating: Oklahoma -22

Andrew Lange’s Betting Take: Like most games involving Oklahoma, money has gone towards the Sooners and the over. With offseason talk about wanting to run and even faster offense, current expectations have them naming the score in a majority of their games. Tulsa doesn’t play much defense – especially when asked to step up in class – meaning the more plays Oklahoma runs, the more plays will go for 10 yards or more. In all reality, the only thing that will stop the Sooners is literally the Read more


Tags: College Football Tulsa Golden Hurricane C-USA Oklahoma Sooners Big XII Andrew Lange




College Football Futures Bet: Florida State Seminoles Under 10 Wins

09.01.2011     11:49 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Florida State Seminoles
Recommendation: Under 10 wins


This is a unique play in that Florida State is expected to field a solid team this season. The defense has a chance to be special and the transition from quarterback Christian Ponder to EJ Manuel shouldn't be a problem. Part of my logic for playing the under though is in order to lose my bet, the Seminoles can only drop one regular season game. I obviously wouldn’t have bet this play had I not felt it could win but in this particular case, having the key number of 10 is a nice safety net to have.

Even with a new coaching regime, it is hard to ignore that FSU hasn't won 11 regular season games since 2000 when they played Oklahoma for the National Championship. Since then, they've won ten regular season games just once (2003). Last season, they jumped from six regular season wins to nine and expectations are obviously very high with Read more


Tags: College Football Florida State Seminoles ACC Andrew Lange




NCAAF ATS Preview: Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Syracuse Orange

09.01.2011     10:11 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

copy_cfb_game_previews_11.jpg

Wake Forest at Syracuse (5pm – ESPN3)
CRIS Opening Line:
Syracuse -6 O/U 49.5
CRIS Current Line: Syracuse -6.5 O/U 48.5
Rob Veno Power Rating: Syracuse -5
Teddy Covers Power Rating: Syracuse -8

Andrew Lange's Betting Take: For the first time since 2001, Syracuse got to enjoy a winning season, going 8-5 and 4-3 in Big East play. The jump was perhaps a bit shocking, especially if you watched the Orange play, but you don’t post road wins at West Virginia, Cincinnati, USF and Rutgers without having some ability. Head coach Doug Marrone knows what he is doing and has this program believing it can compete for a Big East title.

While Syracuse was busy trending upwards in 2010, Wake Read more


Tags: College Football Wake Forest Demon Deacons Syracuse Orange ACC Big East Andrew Lange




NCAAF Betting Preview: Illinois has tools to win Big Ten Leaders Division

08.17.2011     12:06 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In reading some of the Big Ten offseason/preseason talk, little to no attention has been paid to Illinois. Wisconsin nabbed Russell Wilson, Ohio State is in trouble with the law, Joe Paterno got tackled in practice, Indiana's new head coach is a fiery dude, Nebraska is going to crush, Northwestern is a dark horse contender, Michigan could go 10-2 or 2-10...the list goes on. But outside of all of the hoopla, the Illini lie seemingly in weeds with what looks to be a good shot at a banner season. The No. 1 thing in their favor is a very manageable schedule. With five straight home games to open the season followed by a trip to Indiana, it is very possible the Illini could start out 5-1 or 6-0. They have the easiest road slate in the Big Ten with games at Indiana, Purdue, Penn State and Minnesota – should be favored in at least three of those four contests. All of their “tough” opponents travel to Champaign (Arizona State, Ohio Read more


Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting llini Big Ten Andrew Lange




NCAAF Handicapping: Kentucky Wildcats Over 6 Wins

07.29.2011     02:35 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kentucky Wildcats
Recommendation: Over 6 wins


I’m a big fan of Kentucky head coach Joker Phillips and what he did in his first year as head coach after taking over for Rich Brooks. The level of talent and speed has risen over the last five years and the pieces are in place for this team to continue to compete in the SEC. Keep in mind that over the last three seasons, Kentucky has been forced to reload with 11, 10 and 11 returning starters respectively. In 2006 and 2007, with 15 returning starters back, the Wildcats posted 8-5 records. This season they welcome back 16.

The big question entering 2011 is how will Kentucky replace its skill position talent? Derrick Locke and Randall Cobb were special players who would start for any team in the SEC. And quarterback Mike Hartline quietly became one of the better signal callers in the conference last season. I see this year’s projected starter Morgan Newton as a wild card with potential. His transition to full-time starter should come Read more


Tags: College Football Kentucky Wildcats SEC Joker Phillips Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians

07.22.2011     07:48 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Chicago (Floyd) at Cleveland (Carrasco) -105 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Cleveland


Too much of a favorable matchup not to take a look at Cleveland and the cheap price tonight against Chicago. Carlos Carrasco has cooled off of late but a closer look shows his numbers were hurt by just two innings. Against Toronto and New York, he allowed two five-run innings, but beyond that, he's been extremely effective. The key for tonight is that Carrasco has done a fabulous job against righties (.211 BAA, .562 OPS) which bodes well with Paul Konerko and Carlos Quentin producing nearly all of Chicago's offense this season. Gavin Floyd has been up and down and shows much weaker splits against lefties (.281 BAA, .767 OPS). Even with Sizemore and Choo out, the Indians can put as many as six lefties in their lineup. Despite a return to earth, Cleveland is still a solid 27-18 at home which makes tonight's pick 'em price worth a bet.



Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians Carlos Carrasco Chicago White Sox Gavin Floyd Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks

07.20.2011     07:25 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Milwaukee (Narveson) at Arizona (Saunders) -105 O/U 9
Recommendation: Over


Two hittable pitchers slated to start in Arizona tonight with Milwaukee's Chris Narveson taking on Joe Saunders. My focus is first on the Brewers who should field a very right-handed heavy lineup against Saunders. Saunders shows significant R vs. L (.284 BA/.841 OPS vs. righties) and home vs. road splits (4.89 ERA, .309 BAA at home). Last season, the Brewers pounded him for six earned runs in 5.2 innings in pitcher friendly Anaheim. Unlike Saunders, Narveson's seasonal numbers are more in line with who he really is as a pitcher. After a couple of strong outings in April, his ERA is 5.49 over his last 15 starts. I prefer a play on Milwaukee's team total over 4.5, but will also get involved in the game total over 9 with two below average bullpens.



Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Chris Narveson Arizona Diamonbacks Joe Saunders Andrew Lange




NCAAF Betting Tips: The science of returning starters

07.19.2011     12:01 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

The raw number of returning starters can have a significant impact on the perception some bettors have on a particular team. For example, returning 15 or more starters is considered by most to be a “positive” whereas anything below 11 raises concerns about lack of experience. But like anything in the world of sports betting, raw numbers don’t often paint an accurate picture. In this particular case, we as bettors must first create our own criteria for what constitutes a legitimate returning starter and what doesn’t. For example, if a player was injured or redshirted but started the prior year, is he a returning starter? Depends on what publication you go by. If a player starts only four games but they were the final four games of the season, is he a returning starter? From a betting perspective, the answer to both questions is yes but it may not be reflected in what we see throughout preseason coverage.

Once we get beyond the actual number of returning starters the more pressing question then becomes Read more


Tags: College Football PAC-12 Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals

07.06.2011     08:15 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cincinnati (Arroyo) at St. Louis (Westbrook) -123 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: St.Louis


There always seems to be something wrong with Cincinnati's Bronson Arroyo – on Monday he claimed to have a mild case of vertigo. Regardless of pinpointing the exact reason for his struggles let's instead acknowledge that Arroyo can ill afford to not be 100 percent. Last time out, he was pelted for eight runs in 4.2 innings. The start before that he gave up four home runs. He's managed to sprinkle in a couple of decent starts but we're talking about a pitcher who is on pace to allow nearly 50 home runs. St. Louis gets a boost with Albert Pujols expected back in the lineup. The core of the Cardinals' lineup has had a lot of success against Arroyo with Pujols, Rasmus, Berkman, Holliday, Schumaker and Jay hitting a combined .311 with 28 of their 67 hits going for Read more


Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Bronson Arroyo St. Louis Cardinals Jake Westbrook Andrew Lange



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