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College Basketball Handicapping: Wisconsin's crazy season from the charity stripe

02.06.2013     07:21 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Through nine Big Ten games, Wisconsin totals are 2-7 O/U. Last season in Big Ten play – with the help of two overtime games – the Badgers actually trended OVER the total at 11-7 O/U. The reason? There were a few but the key was free throws. Everyone is well aware UW’s horrific season from the free throw line (61.5% overall, 56.2% vs. Big Ten). But it’s also their inability to get to the line that is helping their games go under the total. That is until this occurred. Prior to the Illinois game, UW put extra emphasis in practice on trying to draw fouls. Amazingly, they went from not shooting a single free throw vs. Ohio State to 42 vs. Illinois.

Wisconsin rarely if ever strays away from a slow tempo and hard-nosed defense. But with totals routinely in the 115-125 range, free throws, or lack thereof can make a big difference. Take a look these numbers...

2012 (11-7 O/U)
16.7 FT attempts per game vs. Read more



Tags: College Basketball Wisconsin Badgers Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting: Florida continues to dominate the SEC

02.04.2013     08:28 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Florida is off to an 8-0 start in SEC play and finally failed to cover a pointspread in Saturday's 78-64 win over Ole Miss (+18). Make no mistake, the Gators were in complete control of that game and allowed the Rebels to slip through the backdoor with less than two minutes to go. Statistically, what Florida is doing right now is sick with an average scoring margin of +26.5 vs. conference foes. They are allowing 0.77 points per possession which means in a normal 65 possession game, UF's opponents average about 50 points.

When the Gators won the National Championship in 2006-07, they started conference play 11-0 and had wins by 16, 34, 25, and 16. They eventually cooled off and finished the regular season 4-3 SU and 1-7 ATS. That was a really good team but statistically, this year’s version is at this point far superior. Ken Pom points out that what Florida is doing this season is (somehow) not unprecedented. Pomeroy feels that the Gators will lose at least one and maybe even two league games. They play at Missouri in two weeks and close out the regular season in Read more



Tags: College Basketball Florida Gators Andrew Lange




Sportsmemo's last minute guide to betting Super Bowl XLVII

02.03.2013     07:51 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Quick rundown of our Super Bowl XLVII blog coverage including free prop bet recommendations from the Sportsmemo Handicappers. Enjoy.

Let's Talk About the 49ers' Defense

Baltimore's Disruptive Defense

Oddsmakers hope to avoid San Francisco/Over combo

A really long list of places to go see the game in Las Vegas

Super Bowl MVP History

Read more



Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl XLVII




College Basketbal Betting Free Pick: Idaho State at North Dakota

02.02.2013     09:14 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Idaho State at North Dakota -7
Recommendation: North Dakota


Since 2009, when asked to play back-to-back road games in Big Sky play with only one day of rest, Idaho State is 0-10 SU and 3-7 ATS. Seven of those 10 losses came by more than seven points, tonight’s line against North Dakota. This shouldn’t come as a shock seeing as the Bengals have been Big Sky bottom feeders for quite some time and travel within the league can be brutal. Here they go from Greeley, Colorado (lost to Northern Colorado by 15 on Thursday) to Grand Forks, North Dakota – I can’t confirm but I seriously doubt they chartered a flight but instead like most mid-major schools, took commercial flights sprinkled in with a few hours on a bus. North Dakota isn’t a great team but we’ve seen signs its home court is going to be tough on opposing teams. In mid-January, the (they no longer have a team nickname for PC reasons) rolled off three straight home Read more



Tags: College Basketball Idaho State Bengals North Dakota Andrew Lange




Super Bowl XLVII Prop Bet Recommendation: Baltimore Total Sacks

01.31.2013     08:03 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore Total Sacks
Recommendation: Under 2 (-130 @ 5Dimes)


San Francisco’s Colin Kaepernick was sacked three times or more in three games this season. In his first real extended playing time of his career, Kaepernick was brought down three times against St. Louis, who finished second in the NFL in sacks. The Rams got to him again three times in Week 13 and Miami, another above average pass rush, took him down four times. Other than that, including both postseason games, Kaepernick was sacked either once or not at all. Baltimore posted a league average 37 sacks during the regular season. En route to the Super Bowl, they notched three apiece against Peyton Manning and Andrew Luck – two of the least mobile quarterbacks in the league. And against Tom Brady, who also isn't very swift and threw the ball 54 times, the Ravens came up empty in the sack department. To lose this bet, Baltimore will need to record three sacks. I don’t see that happening.





Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl XLVII Andrew Lange




College Basketbal Betting Free Pick: Gonzaga Bulldogs at Loyola Marymount Lions

01.31.2013     07:26 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Gonzaga at Loyola Marymount +16 O/U 142
Recommendation: Loyola Marymount


As bad as Loyola Marymount's record looks, with the exception of a 92-51 loss at BYU (Cougars were in a huge revenge spot), they've been competitive more often than not in West Coast Conference play. They went to St. Mary's and lost by 13 and their other four WCC losses were by single digits. Note that they also managed to slip in a home win over a quality Santa Clara squad. And go back even further and we saw the Lions at home catching +10 against Ole Miss only to lose by three. Over the last six meetings in the series, the highest pointspread was Gonzaga -16.5...in Spokane. In their last three trips to Los Angeles, the Zags were laying -10.5 (won by 4), -9 (won by 10), and -11.5 (lost outright). Another key factor is the prep time. LMU head coach Max Good admitted that star Anthony Ireland has been worn down of late. The Lions had a full week of rest and prepare for the league's Read more



Tags: College Basketball Gonzaga Bulldogs Loyola Marymount Lions Andrew Lange




College Basketbal Betting Free Pick: Oregon Ducks at Stanford Cardinal

01.30.2013     12:17 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oregon at Stanford -2 O/U 139
Recommendation: Over


Last time out, without starting point guard Dominic Artis, Oregon scored 81 points in an up-tempo, 76 possession game against Washington. I don't think we'll see those types of numbers tonight but it's clear that from a tempo standpoint, even without Artis, the Ducks are going to continue to run.


"We need to keep running," Altman said. "That suits us and helps us with our depth. If we're going to play nine or 10 guys, we've got to make sure we're pressing the other team."



Stanford has been up and down all season but we've seen the Cardinal push tempo with a willing partner. Games against USC, UCLA and Colorado featured an average of 70 possessions. The problem for Stanford has been an inconsistent offense. I expect them to pressure Read more



Tags: College Basketball Oregon Ducks Stanford Cardinal Andrew Lange




College Basketbal Betting Free Play: Oregon State Beavers at USC Trojans

01.19.2013     07:03 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oregon State +5.5 at USC
Recommendation: Oregon State


Not sure that USC is ready to lay -5.5 in a conference game. The Trojans performed well and expended a lot of energy in Thursday's loss to Oregon. They played at a faster tempo and showed a variety of different defenses under interim head coach Bob Cantu. My issue is while practice may be more enjoyable to go to with Kevin O’Neill gone; this is still an average PAC-12 team void of a significant home court advantage or ability to pull away from teams of comparable ability. After beating UC Riverside 70-26, USC lost at home to UC Irvine, Cal, and Oregon. Their wins in LA were by two against Stanford and by two, in overtime, against Dayton. Oregon State is winless in PAC-12 play in part because they've played the best three teams in the league (Oregon, Arizona, and UCLA) and also because of suspensions. Tonight they’re expected to be at full strength with Eric Moreland (10.8 ppg, 11.1 rpg) Read more



Tags: College Basketball Oregon State Beavers USC Trojans Andrew Lange




NCAA Basketball Betting Free Play: South Dakota State Jackrabbits at Western Illinois Leathernecks

01.17.2013     08:51 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
South Dakota State at Western Illinois -2.5
Recommendation: Western Illinois


You think Western Illinois has had tonight's game against South Dakota State circled? Last year, the Jackrabbits not only beat the Leathernecks three times but one of those games was by single point and the other was in overtime in the Summit League Championship game. WIU is an experienced team with a decent home court. You go back to last year and three of their conference losses in Macomb were by 1 (vs. SDSU), 1 (double OT) and 4 (double OT). This season, they are a perfect 8-0 at rinky-dink Western Hall and tonight marks arguably the biggest game the program has had under Jim Molinari. South Dakota State is a good team as seen by road wins at Montana and New Mexico. But there were also some bad losses, most notably at Hofstra and at South Dakota. Defensively is where these two teams differ. SDSU has had difficulty at times whereas WIU puts much more emphasis on Read more



Tags: College Basketball Western Illinois Leathernecks South Dakota State Jackrabbits Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting: BYU's struggles against strong competition continue

01.17.2013     07:15 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last night, BYU lost on a buzzer beater to St. Mary's, 70-69. It marked yet another failed attempt for the Cougars to pick up a marquee victory. Over the last two seasons, BYU has had an incredibly difficult time stepping up in class. Check out the results against St. Mary's and Gonzaga...

BYU -5 vs. St. Mary's - 70-69 Loss
BYU +2.5 vs. Gonzaga - 77-58 Loss
BYU +6.5 at Gonzaga - 74-63 Loss
BYU -3.5 vs. Gonzaga - 83-73 Win
BYU -2.5 vs. St. Mary's - 80-66 Loss
BYU +4 at St. Mary's - 98-82 Loss

That's 1-5 SU/ATS. And if we include better than average power conference teams, there are even more failures.

2012-13
BYU -2 vs. Florida State - 88-70 Loss
BYU +3 vs. Notre Dame - 78-68 Loss
BYU +4 at Iowa State - 83-62 Loss
BYU +7 at Baylor - 79-64 Loss

2011-12
BYU +5 vs. Marquette - 88-68 Loss
BYU -4 vs. Baylor - 86-83 Loss
BYU +7.5 vs. Wisconsin - 73-56 Loss

If we stretch the parameters a little, there were SU/ATS wins against Oregon (infant stages of Dana Altman's first season) and at Virginia Tech (Hokies finished 16-17). Still, BYU's track record against strong competition is Read more



Tags: College Basketball BYU Cougars Andrew Lange



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jun 30, 2015 02:56 AM.