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October

22

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College Football Betting: Oregon State not willing to give up on ground attack

09.18.2013     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oregon State -11 at San Diego State O/U 54.5

Because of all their injuries along the offensive line, Oregon State has had a very difficult time running the football. Against Hawaii and Utah, the Beavers rushed 61 times but produced only 105 yards. According to offensive coordinator Danny Langsdorf despite the team's success throwing the football (1,316 yards, 12 TDs, 1 INT) they aren't going to give up on the run game just yet.


“When we’re not running the ball very well, you’re going to get a lot more coverage looks, tougher to throw the ball, more drop-eight,” offensive coordinator Danny Langsdorf said. “You’re going to get more guys in coverage taking away those receivers. If you can’t run the ball Read more



Tags: College Football Oregon State Beavers PAC-12 San Diego State Aztecs Mountain West




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Power Ratings as of 9/18/13

09.18.2013     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Feel much better about how these numbers have honed in on the market. Many of last week’s numbers were very close to nailing this week’s openers (or first line moves off an opener). When they didn’t, it was due to a common-sense adjustment from a Saturday result, or an injury to a quarterback. Think we’re mostly there. Not all the way there, particularly in the bottom third where there seems to be more volatility (and less raw confidence from all involved)

If this is your first visit to the site…I’m trying to estimate college football “Power Ratings” as represented by the lines posted in the betting markets. These aren’t my personal opinions of teams. This is my estimate of how “the market” as a composite must be rating the teams based on the lines we’re seeing now and have been seeing recently. I start by creating couplets based on the line for each game, using 3 points of value for home field advantage. Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Preview: SMU Mustangs at Texas A&M Aggies

09.18.2013     06:50 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
SMU at Texas A&M
Saturday, 4 pm PT – ESPNU
CRIS Opener:
Texas A&M -26.5 O/U 82
CRIS Current: Texas A&M -28.5 O/U 79
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: Texas A&M -30.5
Andrew Lange’s Recommendation: Texas A&M 1st half

SMU can have all the bye weeks and time to prepare in the world and it still won't save them from getting beat up by Texas A&M. No question the Aggies are in a bad spot and as we saw last week with Michigan following the Notre Dame game, no one is immune to a letdown. But to me, there is a class and coaching difference that outweighs the situational.

In Week 1, which should have been SMU's Super Bowl as they were fortunate enough to host an in-state foe from a BCS conference, the Mustangs laid a big egg in a 41-23 loss to Texas Tech. Statistically the Mustangs were right there but the end result was nothing more than the Red Raiders Read more


Tags: College Football SMU Mustangs AAC Texas A&M Aggies SEC Andrew Lange




College Football Handicapping: What to do with bad football teams?

09.17.2013     12:31 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We're through Week 3 of the college football season and for a few teams it's been a struggle. Some of those struggles oddsmakers and bettors spotted well in advance while others weren't as obvious. Let's take a look at some of these teams and decide whether or not they have "bet on" potential moving forward.

Wake Forest (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS) - For years the Demon Deacons fielded a competitive team with pointspread value under long-time head coach Jim Grobe. But the program has unquestionably deteriorated with records of 5-7, 3-9, 6-7, and 5-7 the last four years. Even with solid turnover margins of +8 and +9 – a staple under Grobe –the last two seasons, Wake looks outmanned and slow compared to the rest of the ACC. They're off to a 1-2 start and once again can't run the football (86.3 ypg) or find consistency in the passing game with senior Tanner Price. This is likely a do-or-die season Grobe and I don't see many more chances for straight up wins on the schedule. This week's price of -3 at Army tells us all we need to know about Wake's place in the betting markets.

Florida International (0-3 SU/ATS) - Pretty Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Betting: Syracuse names Hunt starting quarterback

09.17.2013     11:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tulane at Syracuse -15 O/U 54.5

Syracuse is making a change at quarterback with sophomore Terrel Hunt getting the start against Tulane. Senior Drew Allen started the Orange's first three games and was replaced by Hunt during last week's win over Wagner. Note that Allen, who has undoubtedly struggled (2 TDs, 6 INTs),, played against Northwestern and Penn State while Hunt played a half against Wagner (15-for-18, 265 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INT).


"We'll take it one series at a time and one game at a time," Shafer said. "And as long as the production is where we expect it to be, then whoever is getting those snaps will continue to play."






Tags: College Football Syracuse Orange ACC Tulane Green Wave C-USA




College Football Betting Podcast 9-17-2013 with Handicappers Rob Veno and Ian Cameron

09.17.2013     10:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Ian Cameron. Brian recapped Week 3 College Football (SEC, Big XII, ACC, AAC) and Ian did the same (Sun Belt, C-USA, MAC).

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - CFB Week 3 Recap: SEC, Big XII, ACC, AAC

Ian Cameron - CFB Week 3 Recap: Sun Belt, C-USA, MAC

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Football Rob Veno Ian Cameron




Monday Night Football Betting Recap: Bengals win and cover vs. Steelers

09.17.2013     08:01 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Not exactly the most exhilarating Monday Nighter. The Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals have played some bruising battles recently…and it was that kind of game again. You’ll see in the linescore that Cincinnati won by playing a cleaner game…and it was that cleaner game allowed them to win time of possession by more than 11 minutes.

Cincinnati 20 (-6), Pittsburgh 10

Pittsburgh: 278 yards, 5.1 per-play, 2 turnovers, 25% third downs

Cincinnati: 407 yards, 5.2 per-play, 0 turnovers, 41% third downs

On a per-play basis, they were virtually equal. Cincinnati moved the chains more effectively, which allowed them to keep the ball longer. Pittsburgh finished 3 of 12 on third down conversions…but it was 1 of 10 before they nailed a couple of irrelevant ones on their final drive that ran the clock out. Pittsburgh was only 10% when the game was being decided.

Other Numbers

Rushing Read more


Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers Cincinnati Bengals Stat Intelligence




College Football Handicapping: Big passing numbers and OVERS the norm for PAC-12

09.17.2013     06:29 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last season, the PAC-12 featured two teams (Washington State and Oregon State) that averaged over 300 ypg passing. Based on the early results in 2013, that number could triple in part because a majority of the league has been even more pass happy than usual.

California, Washington State, Oregon State, Arizona State, and Colorado all rank among the top 11 nationally in pass attempts per game. Utah, Oregon, Washington, Stanford and UCLA are a bit more balanced but rank among the top 25 in QB rating.

The only two teams that haven't put up strong passing numbers is USC (Kessler looked good last week vs. Boston College) and Arizona (Wildcats have played three cupcakes and dominated by just running the football).

To no surprise this pass-happy style has lent itself to a lot of games going over the total. If we eliminate USC's pedestrian offense (0-3 O/U) and its 10-7 loss to Washington State, the rest of the PAC-12 is a combined 17-9 O/U.



Tags: College Football PAC-12




College Football Handicapping: Week 4 Bye Teams

09.16.2013     02:30 PM     Printer Friendly
It's still a little early for bye weeks to have that much significance though for some teams it still provides time to lick their wounds (Georgia, Florida) or break up a tough early season schedule (Hawaii). Below is a list of Week 4's bye squads.

2013 College Football Week 4 Bye Teams
Team
Opponent
CRIS Opener
CRIS Current
Georgia
vs. North Texas
Georgia -36.5
Georgia -32
Florida
vs. Tennessee
Florida -15.5
Florida -17
Missouri
at Indiana
Missouri -3
Missouri -3
Baylor
vs. UL-Monroe
Baylor -30
Baylor -28
Clemson
at NC State
Clemson -13
Clemson -13.5
NC State
vs. Clemson
NC State +13
NC State +13.5
Miami (FL)
vs. Savannah State
Miami NL
Miami NL
North Carolina
at Georgia Tech
North Carolina +3.5
North Carolina +5
Virginia
vs. VMI
Virginia NL
Virginia NL
Houston
vs. Rice
Houston -4
Houston -2.5
SMU
at Texas A&M
SMU +26.5
SMU +28.5
San Diego State
vs. Oregon State
San Diego State +8
San Diego State +11
San Jose State
at Minnesota
San Jose State NL
San Jose State NL
Hawaii
at Nevada
Hawaii +14
Hawaii +12.5
UAB
vs. Northwestern State
UAB NL
UAB NL
BYU
vs. Utah
BYU -6.5
BYU -7
Miami (OH)
vs. Cincinnati
Miami +24
Miami +22
Texas State
at Texas Tech
Texas State +25
Texas State +26.5





Tags: College Football




College Football ATS Analysis: Golden Nugget's GOY vs. CRIS - Week 4

09.16.2013     11:29 AM     Printer Friendly
Checking in with the college football betting markets as we compare the Golden Nugget's Games of the Year from early June vs. CRIS's current numbers.

2013 College Football Lines Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 4
Away
Home
Golden Nugget
CRIS Current
Clemson
NC State
Clemson -11
Clemson -14
Oregon State
San Diego State
Oregon State -6.5
Oregon State -11
Arizona State
Stanford
Stanford -10
Stanford -7 (-115)
Michigan
UConn
Michigan -12
Michigan -17.5
Tennessee
Florida
Florida -12
Florida -17
North Carolina
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech -4.5
Georgia Tech -5
Michigan State
Notre Dame
Notre Dame -6
Notre Dame -7 (-105)
Auburn
LSU
LSU -18
LSU -17.5
West Virginia
Maryland (Baltimore)
West Virginia -2
Maryland -5
Arkansas
Rutgers
Rutgers pk
Rutgers N/L
Kansas State
Texas
Texas -9
Texas -6
Utah
BYU
BYU -7.5
BYU -7
Colorado State
Alabama
Alabama -41
Alabama -39.5




Tags: College Football



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 22, 2014 06:36 PM.