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October

22

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Sunday MLB Betting Free Play: Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwauke Brewers

06.03.2012     09:22 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh (McDonald) at Milwaukee (Fiers) -105 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under


Milwaukee will be weakened offensively once again as their main production source Ryan Braun is scheduled to sit out again with recurring Achilles problems and now a sore hip. Without him last night, the Brewers managed to run Pittsburgh lefty Erik Bedard in 3.2 by scoring five runs with the key hit being Brooks Conrad’s three-run homer in the fourth. Today against Pirates RH James McDonald, Milwaukee’s success figures to be far less. McDonald has been dominating opposing lineups the past month and a half going 4-1 while posting a 1.81 ERA AND 0.89 WHIP over his last seven starts. McDonald’s better than 4-1 K:BB ratio (57 Ks- 13 BBs) and 1.15 K per inning numbers during this stretch are extremely favorable against this Milwaukee lineup which has struck out 429 times this season, second most in the NL. For the host, righty Michael Fiers makes the second major league start of his career. Read more


Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates Milwaukee Brewers




MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers

06.01.2012     08:15 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh (Correia) +135 at Milwaukee (Wolf) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Pittsburgh


The Brewers (23-28) return home following a seven-game road trip and which concluded with a four-game sweep of the LA Dodgers.  Milwaukee is just 11-13 at Miller Park this season and Randy Wolf (2-4, 5.73 ERA) is hardly a pitcher you can play with confidence, especially laying a pretty big price. Well aware the Brewers won eight of nine home games over the Pirates last season, but Milwaukee was a playoff team with a strong offense and better pitching (0.80 better ERA). Wolf is very hittable with 70 hits allowed in 55 innings with 22 walks (1.67 WHIP) and 30 strikeouts. His .313 BAA speaks loudly to his struggles this season. He’s been out-pitching his skills in recent years but it’s catching up to him as he turns 36 this season. Milwaukee’s lack of offense (.241) can no longer bail him out.

The Pirates offense is a big concern as they are hitting a NL-worst Read more


Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates Milwaukee Brewers __




MLB Bullpen Betting News and Notes 5-30-2012

05.30.2012     09:14 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In today's action there are a few games where the final results could come down to some bullpen issues:

Milwaukee's Yovanni Gallardo might be able to go pitch for pitch with LA's Clayton Kershaw, but even if he does, the Brewers bullpen is really limited tonight. Their top pair of late innings arms, K-Rod (back-back games: 42 pitches) and John Axford (3 consecutive games: 63 pitches) are likely out of the equation leaving them Kameron Loe and Jose Veras against the Dodgers rested trio of Ronald Bellisario, Javy Guerra and closer Kenley Janssen.

Oakland and Minnesota send a couple of stating arms to the hill that have been extremely giving when it comes to allowing runs and they're backed by weak bullpen situations today. The best arm in the A's bullpen, ex-closer Grant Balfour has worked three straight days and current closer Brian Fuentes could be fragile after failing in that role yet again last night. There's just not a lot available in the Oakland relief corps. Minnesota will have closer Matt Capps off a day of rest if they get to that point today but with Liriano coming out of the pen for this start, things are shortened up. Liriano hasn't all season, but Read more


Tags: MLB Rob Veno




MLB Betting News: Dodgers call up Eovaldi to replaced injured Lilly

05.29.2012     07:07 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Milwaukee (Fiers) at LA Dodgers (Eovaldi) -125 O/U 7.5

Following his worst outing of the season (3.1 IP, 8 ERs) Los Angeles lefty Ted Lilly was placed on the DL with shoulder inflammation. The Dodgers called up Nathan Eovaldi from Double-A. Eovaldi started six games last season with a 3.63 ERA and 23-20 K-to-BB ratio.



Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers Milwaukee Brewers




MLB Handicapper Notes: Pitching a mess for Milwaukee Brewers

05.21.2012     11:58 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
While Cleveland and LA have been overachieving, the reigning National League Central champion Milwaukee Brewers have been awful, sitting in fifth place in arguably the weakest division in baseball.  The Brewers went 30-18 in one run games last year and had an MLB best 57-24 record at Miller Park –true home field dominance.  This year, they’re off to a sub .500 start at home while going a modest 6-6 through their first dozen one run decisions.  The betting markets weren’t high on this team coming into the campaign, lining a 96 win team from last year in the 84.5/85 range for 2012.  So far, the betting markets have been 100% correct in their negative assessment of Ron Roenike’s squad.

Milwaukee can’t blame injuries for their early season struggles.  The only significant injury they’ve suffered since opening day is shortstop Alex Gonzalez; a bottom of the order guy who’s bounced around to six different teams over the past seven seasons.   Their big bats are hitting – Ryan Braun and Cory Hart have 20 dingers between them and catcher Jonathan Lucroy enjoyed a breakout seven RBI game in his first Read more


Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Teddy Covers




MLB Betting News: Milwaukee Brewers banged up, Braun injures Achilles

05.03.2012     11:33 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Injuries are starting to mount for the Milwaukee Brewers. Ryan Braun left yesterday's game against San Diego with an Achilles strain. He's questionable for tomorrow's opening game series against San Francisco. Matt Gamel is out with an ACL tear. Gamel hadn't done much with the bat this season but the Brewers were banking on him eventually turning things around. Now they are considering moving Corey Hart to first base. And two weeks ago, Chris Narverson was lost for the season with rotator cuff injury.



Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers




Free MLB Betting Pick: Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals

04.27.2012     11:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Milwaukee (Gallardo) at St. Louis (Westbrook)
Recommendation: Milwaukee +110 1st 5 innings


The Milwaukee Brewers (9-10) travel to Busch Stadium to open a three-game series against division rival St. Louis (12-7) tonight. The defending World Series champions are leading the NL Central division, but a correction is forthcoming for St. Louis and their worst starting pitcher, Jake Westbook. This looks like a solid spot to step in with a 5-inning play on the Brewers at a plus price. 

Westbrook is overachieving through three starts with a 1.31 ERA and .189 BAA. A closer examination of his starts shows he faced three struggling offenses. With 10 strikeouts and seven walks in 20 innings and a very high strand rate, Westbrook’s numbers are going to go north very soon as indicated by his 4.25 career ERA.

Milwaukee’s bullpen is poor, but staff ace Yovani Gallardo (3.65 ERA) is the nuts. Slow starts are commonplace for him, but the power pitcher is performing Read more


Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers St. Louis Cardinals __




MLB Handicapping: Milwaukee's offense struggles to produce

04.23.2012     12:13 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Houston (Harrell) at Milwaukee (Greinke) -215 O/U 7.5

Since starting the season 3-1 (23 runs), the Milwaukee Brewers have gone ice cold with the bats. Over the last 11 games, the Brew Crew are 4-7 and hitting .212 with a .281 OBP as a team.

Tonight, they may not need many runs with Zach Greinke on the hill. Milwaukee is 19-0 in Greinke's last 19 starts at Miller Park dating back to last season. That success however is certainly reflected in a price that is now well north of -200.


"It's a tough loss," said Gallardo, who got virtually no offensive support in seven innings of eight-strikeout work. "We're not where we want to be or need to be (offensively) now. We just need one (at-bat) right now to get things going. We have the guys to do that."

"This lineup will eventually hit," Read more



Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Houston Astros




MLB Gambling Notes: Shaun Marcum's crazy BABIP baffles bettors

04.23.2012     10:22 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I almost spit up my coffee this morning when I read that SHAUN FREAKIN’ MARCUM is currently tops in all of baseball (starters) in swinging strikes at 15.4% (league average is 8.4%). All of you have seen Marcum pitch and while he throw strikes and doesn’t issue many walks, his stuff is more baffling than impressive. He swinging strike rate obviously won’t last but perhaps even more amazing has been Marcum’s ability to maintain below league average BABIP for such a long period of time.

Since 2007, Marcum has thrown 725.1 innings with a rock solid 3.67 ERA and 48-29 record. During that span, his yearly BABIP numbers are: .269, .246, .280, .264, .250...for an average of .266!

I went on Baseball Reference and looked up other starting pitchers who have had similar career paths and found that none of them are even close to being that fortunate. Yovano Gallardo's lifetime BABIP is .302, Jair Jurrjens' is .297 and Daisuke Matsuzaka's is .292. Marcum has had one "normal" season (only 78.1 IP) BABIP wise with a Read more


Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Andrew Lange




National League Betting News and Notes

04.09.2012     01:11 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I wrote a brief overview of all fourteen American League teams.  This week, I’ll turn my attention to the National League, with 16 team capsules previewing the upcoming campaign.

The Philadelphia Phillies won 102 games last year, best in the majors by five games over the Yankees and by six games over the Brewers.  Despite that tremendous season, the Phillies weren’t a monster moneymaker for their supporters in 2011, and ¾ of their profits came on the road.  Their 52 home wins barely netted three units of profit.  In a betting marketplace dominated by starting pitching, the Phillies staff of aces left them routinely overpriced; a continuing problem heading into the new campaign.  With a weaker than average everyday lineup as long as Chase Utley and Ryan Howard remain hurt, taking +1.5 on the run line betting against the Phillies cashed in all three games in their season opening series against the Pirates, a potential harbinger of profits to come.

The Atlanta Braves had an 8.5 game lead in the Wild Card race with 23 games remaining last September, prior to their complete late Read more


Tags: MLB Teddy Covers



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