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MLB Betting Free Play: Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers

04.03.2013     12:08 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Colorado (Nicasio) at Milwaukee (Peralta) -135 O/U 9
Recommendataion: Over

The roof will be closed at Miller Park again tonight – there’s no need to worry about the gametime temperatures hovering around the freezing mark.  And if we’re not worried about cold weather deflating production, this game has all the makings of another high scoring slugfest in a series that has already seen the first two games fly Over the total!

Colorado’s totals are still somewhat deflated following their anemic level of offensive production for most of the season last year.  But last year’s team was an injury riddled mess.  This year’s team has a healthy Troy Tulowitzki, a healthy Carlos Gonzalez and a healthy and rejuvenated Todd Helton, all three of whom were essentially non-factors for this team last year. 

Rockies manager Walt Weiss, following last night’s eight run outburst: “We really had some good at-bats tonight. Read more

Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Milwaukee Brewers Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Milwaukee Brewers at Washington Nationals

09.21.2012     06:41 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Milwaukee (Marcum) at Washington (Jackson) -125 O/U 8
Recommendation: Washington

We’re in the midst of the MLB playoff push and unlike a majority of the season, you can have success betting on or against teams while pretty much ignoring the starting pitching matchup. Now that Milwaukee has jumped back in the postseason race, bettors are very eager to bet this squad. I don't blame them. If not for their bullpen, Milwaukee could have won 90+ games. But while it looks dangerous to step in front of this team, they won't have many edges in tonight's matchup. The Brewers tried to unload Shaun Marcum during the summer but there weren't any takers. He's had arm issues this season and since his return I've played over and/or against in each of his four starts (7.23 ERA, .997 OPS). Edwin Jackson doesn't get much fanfare but he takes the ball every fifth day and gives the Nationals a chance to win. He's a good fit vs. Milwaukee (.217 vs. righties). I respect Milwaukee's run, but we're Read more

Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Washington Nationals Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers

08.20.2012     12:30 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Chicago Cubs (Germano) at Milwaukee (Rogers) -155 O/U 9
Recommendation: Over

The Brewers lineup is hot right now.  Don’t be fooled by yesterday’s shutout loss, when both Aramis Ramirez and Corey Hart got the day off to rest.  Even against one of the hottest pitchers in the majors, Philadelphia’s Cole Hamels, the Brewers enjoyed some offensive success on Saturday.  Prior to that, Milwaukee had scored five runs or more in each of their last seven ballgames, flying Over the total six times during that span.

Chicago, too, has been hitting the ball well of late, averaging five runs per game in their last two series against the Reds and Astros.  No surprise, then, that we’ve seen the Cubs go 7-0 to the Over during the course of the last week.

Neither starter here is trustworthy.  Chicago’s Justin Germano has only one quality start in four tries with the team, while Rogers is still looking for his first big league Read more

Tags: MLB Chicago Cubs Milwaukee Brewers Teddy Covers

MLB Gambling News: Trade rumors and velocity concerns for Zach Greinke

07.16.2012     12:34 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Keep an eye of Milwaukee's Zach Greinke over the next few weeks. He's been involved in a lot of trade rumors and doesn't seem like the type of guy who performs well with distraction. The Brewers scratched his Wednesday start saying that Greinke needed to "recharge his batteries". Greinke of course had an odd ending to the first half, making three starts in six days – one of which only last four pitches due to an ejection. In the other two starts, he allowed 12 hits and eight earned runs in eight innings. His velocity was reportedly down in his most recent outing.

Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers

MLB Handicapping: White Sox send Humber to DL, recall Axelrod

06.23.2012     07:17 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Milwaukee (Wolf) at Chicago WS (Axelrod) -125 O/U 9.5

Add Chicago's Philip Humber to our list of starting pitchers on the DL. The way he was throwing of late, it may not be that big of a loss. In his place, at least for today, will be Dylan Axelrod. Axelrod made one spot start back in early May (4.1 IP, 2 ER at Detroit) and since then has been pitching in Triple-A (3.18 ERA, 68 IP, 66 Ks).

Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox Milwaukee Brewers

MLB Betting Alert: Milwaukee Brewers call up rookie Thornburg for spot start

06.19.2012     07:59 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Toronto (Chavez) at Milwaukee (Thornburg) -130 O/U 9.5

With Shaun Marcum out with a bum elbow, the Milwaukee Brewers will turn to righty Tyler Thornburg for tonight's game against Toronto. Thornburg was a third round pick back in 2010 and went 8-1 with a 2.00 ERA and 71 strikeouts in 75 innings at Double-A. Here is a scouting report on Thornburg from last season.

Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Toronto Blue Jays

Shaun Marcum has apparently been granted the ability to pick opposing teams and pitchers

06.14.2012     01:29 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Milwaukee's Shaun Marcum has always been an interesting study. From a stuff standpoint, he isn't flashy, but he's managed to keep batters off balance for much of his career. But we’re not here to call out Marcum as some smoke-and-mirrors fraud. Instead we'll make mention of the fact that few starting pitchers if any have faced an easier slate of opposing offenses.

Marcum's Opponents (NL total runs rank out of 16)
vs. San Diego (15)
vs. Pittsburgh (16)
at LA Dodgers (6)
vs. San Francisco (11)
at Houston (8)
vs. Chicago (14)
at San Francisco (11)
at San Diego (14)
vs. Houston (8)
vs. Colorado (1)
at Atlanta (3)
at Chicago (14)

Note that Marcum faced Colorado in Milwaukee (the Rockies have scored the fewest road runs of any team in the NL) and also had the luxury of facing LA in pitcher friendly Dodgers Stadium. But wait! Let’s take this a step further and check out the opposing pitchers during Marcum's 12 starts. Now he did face two quality arms in Matt Cain (twice) and Erik Bedard. But beyond that, it has been a litany of below average pitchers: Edinson Volquez (twice), JA Happ (twice), Chris Read more

Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers

MLB Handicapping: Kansas City's Luke Hochevar should improve

06.14.2012     08:14 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Milwaukee (Marcum) -115 at Kansas City (Hochevar) O/U 8.5

On the surface, Kansas City's Luke Hochevar has been one of the worst starters in baseball with a 3-7 record and 6.57 ERA. But there is no question he's been unlucky this year. He sports the second highest BABIP (.364) among qualified starters and has a dismal 57.5% left-on-base rate (the league average is around 70%). Also, his Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) rate of 3.61 is above league average. Does that mean he's going to immediately turn things around? Probably not, especially with his confidence level not being very high at this point. The good news is the Royals don't have a lot of options so he'll continue to get the ball every fifth day. If his "luck" can turn around, he has the potential to eventually get back to last year's post-All-Star break form when he posted a 6-3 record and 3.52 ERA.

Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Milwaukee Brewers

MLB Gambling Alert: Kansas City's Sanchez makes first start off of DL

06.13.2012     07:02 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Milwaukee (Wolf) at Kansas City (Sanchez)

Kansas City's Jonathan Sanchez will make his first start after a brief stint on the DL due to bicep tendinitis. The move pushes the rest of the rotation back a day. Sanchez had been a mess for much of his first six starts with 22 walks in 25.1 innings. Perhaps tonight’s fresh start and a National League opponent will prompt better results.

Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Milwaukee Brewers

Sunday MLB Betting Free Play: Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwauke Brewers

06.03.2012     09:22 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Pittsburgh (McDonald) at Milwaukee (Fiers) -105 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under

Milwaukee will be weakened offensively once again as their main production source Ryan Braun is scheduled to sit out again with recurring Achilles problems and now a sore hip. Without him last night, the Brewers managed to run Pittsburgh lefty Erik Bedard in 3.2 by scoring five runs with the key hit being Brooks Conrad’s three-run homer in the fourth. Today against Pirates RH James McDonald, Milwaukee’s success figures to be far less. McDonald has been dominating opposing lineups the past month and a half going 4-1 while posting a 1.81 ERA AND 0.89 WHIP over his last seven starts. McDonald’s better than 4-1 K:BB ratio (57 Ks- 13 BBs) and 1.15 K per inning numbers during this stretch are extremely favorable against this Milwaukee lineup which has struck out 429 times this season, second most in the NL. For the host, righty Michael Fiers makes the second major league start of his career. Read more

Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates Milwaukee Brewers


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