SportsMemo.com
Username:
Password:
Sports Memo Ad 0
ER FOOTBALL DOMINATION
73-53 58% 2013-14
+29.55 units on 1-2 unit scale
69% Best Bet Winners
57% NFL winners since 2003
Full Season CFB/NFL $1599
Sports Memo Ad 0
TEDDY COVERS' FOOTBALL
55-40 58% +18.45 CFB 2013
68-29 70% NFL O/U Wins 2001-13
10-1 91% w/ 20* Big Tickets
CFB Full Season $999
NFL Season O/U Wins $199
Sports Memo Ad 1
CRUSH NFL WITH CROW
NFL Preseason Expert
Back-to-Back No. 1 Rankings
21-6 78% +18.55 NFLX 2012-14
42-20 68% +27.275 NFL 2012
NFL Preseason only $199
Sports Memo Ad 2
MAKING FOOTBALL $ w/ VENO
CFB 20* Bluechips since 2007
82-50 62% +54.0 units of profit
15-5 75% +19.0 CFB 20*s in 2014
248-204 55% +31.43 NFL since '10
CFB/NFL Full Season $1299
Sports Memo Ad 3
OTTO DIALED IN FOR FOOTBALL
67-50 57% +16.1 NFL/CFB 2013-14
60% Best Bet Winners LY
No. 1 ranking NFL Postseason '14
No. 2 ranking NFL Postseason '13
Full Season CFB/NFL $1299

HOMERECAPRADIOFORUMBLOGSLIVE ODDSTOOLSBESTBETSHANDICAPPERSTWITTERRSS FEEDFACEBOOKEMAIL & CONTACTS
September

2

Search Blog by TopicSearch by Date



NFL Handicapping: Team-by-Team Turnover Margin 2010-12

07.23.2013     08:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below is a chart of NFL turnover margins over the past three seasons. During that span, New England was a combined +70… +29 ahead of no. 2 Green Bay (+41). New England, Green Bay, Atlanta, Chicago, and Baltimore posted plus margins each of the past three seasons. Miami, Indianapolis, Denver, Arizona, Minnesota, and Oakland posted negative margins each of the past three seasons. Last season's biggest "gainers" include Washington (-14 to +17), Chicago (+2 to +20), Tampa Bay (-16 to +3), Arizona (-13 to -1), and Denver (-12 to -1). Last season's biggest "losers" include San Francisco (+28 to +9), Green Bay (+24 to +7), Detroit (+11 to -16), and Kansas City (-2 to -24). 

NFL Turnover Margin 2010-12
Team
2012
2011
2010
Total
Arizona Cardinals
-1
-13
-5
-19
Atlanta Falcons
13
8
14
35
Baltimore Ravens
9
2
7
18
Buffalo Bills
-13
1
-17
-29
Carolina Panthers
1
1
-8
-6
Chicago Bears
20
2
4
26
Cincinnati Bengals
4
0
-8
-4
Cleveland Browns
3
1
-1
3
Dallas Cowboys
-13
4
0
-9
Denver Broncos
-1
-12
-9
-22
Detroit Lions
-16
11
4
-1
Green Bay Packers
7
24
10
41
Houston Texans
12
7
0
19
Indianapolis Colts
-12
-12
-4
-28
Jacksonville Jaguars
-3
5
-15
-13
Kansas City Chiefs
-24
-2
9
-17
Miami Dolphins
-10
-6
-12
-28
Minnesota Vikings
-1
-3
-11
-15
New England Patriots
25
17
28
70
New Orleans Saints
2
-3
-6
-7
New York Giants
14
7
-3
18
New York Jets
-14
-3
9
-8
Oakland Raiders
-7
-4
-2
-13
Philadelphia Eagles
-24
-14
9
-29
Pittsburgh Steelers
-10
-13
17
-6
San Diego Chargers
2
-7
-6
-11
San Francisco 49ers
9
28
-1
36
Seattle Seahawks
13
8
-9
12
St. Louis Rams
-1
-5
5
-1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3
-16
9
-4
Tennessee Titans
-4
1
-4
-7
Washington Redskins
17
-14
-4
-1




Tags: NFL New England Patriots




MLB Handicapping: Los Angeles Dodgers Dominating Division Lately

07.09.2013     07:51 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Lost amidst all the Puig-headed arguing about how great six-week stats have to be to earn an All-Star invitation…is the message that the Los Angeles Dodgers have been sending lately to the rest of the NL West.

After Monday Night’s 6-1 victory in Arizona, the Dodgers are 7-4, with a 59-38 run differential in their last 11 ROAD games in the division. Not 7-4 with a split schedule. Seven of 11 with a big run differential only counting games away from home against the teams they need to beat to reach the playoffs. Strong stuff.

The offense has been lethal lately with both Puig and Ramirez putting up monster numbers (they were 5 of 10 combined tonight with 2 runs scored and 2 RBI). Kershaw is the ace of the league. Greinke was back in form tonight. If recently acquired Nolasco from Florida can settle down the back end of the rotation…we could have a rags to riches story that moves very quickly. The Dodgers play two more games in Arizona before hosting Colorado Read more


Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers Stat Intelligence




NFL Handicapping: Notes on Power Ratings for the 2013 Season

07.05.2013     06:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As we get closer to the NFL season, you’re going to see a lot of prediction articles in the mainstream and stathead media. The fact that Las Vegas now actively markets and publicizes their Regular Season Win Total propositions has certainly helped. Sportwriters and fans loved making predictions anyway. Now there’s an outline of expectations that people can refer too.

The stathead articles in this area all basically say the same thing over and over again. This has been true for years. I used to ghostwrite them myself…until it got boring just repeating the same things over and over again. The general themes are:
 
*Assume that turnover extremes will regress toward the mean

*Assume that records in close games will regress toward the mean

*Be skeptical of teams with bad point differentials who had decent records

*Be sure you know who played easy schedules and who played hard schedules

*Remember who had key injuries, and pencil in good Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




In Stat Evaluations, Be a Judge, Not a Lawyer

06.30.2013     07:48 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I’ve touched on this periodically over the years, often in throwaway comments when I’m whining about something I just saw or read. I was thinking it was time to go into the topic again because we have so many new readers thanks to twitter (@jefffogle) and word-of-mouth. Then, a PERFECT example jumped out at me in something I was reading at Grantland.

There’s an article up this weekend about the Philadelphia 76ers. Author Ben Detrick said this about the role new general manager Sam Hinkie might have played in the development of point guard Jrue Holiday:

“When Hinkie took the reins, some thought he could help transform Holiday into the Sixers’ version of James Harden. Both are big guards with lightning-quick first steps, equally capable Read more


Tags: NBA Philadelphia 76ers Stat Intelligence




NFL Gambling News: Aaron Hernandez arrested, released by Patriots

06.26.2013     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly
The Aaron Hernandez saga probably isn't on many bettors' radar – what would an NFL offseason be like without a bunch of dudes in legal limbo? However, news just broke that Hernandez not only was arrested but released from the New England Patriots. Now THAT is something bettors will notice. Of course it just adds to the Pats' already dire receiver situation.

copy_hernandez.JPG



Tags: NFL New England Patriots




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Baltimore Ravens pegged for regression in 2013

06.24.2013     01:09 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I wrote about the Kansas City Chiefs, using them as the poster child for an NFL team that the betting markets expect significant improvement from in 2013.  This week, I’ll be writing about the Baltimore Ravens, using John Harbaugh’s squad as the poster child for a team the betting markets expect to regress significantly in the upcoming campaign.  Why do the markets disrespect Baltimore so much?  Read on to find out!

Let me start by clarifying exactly how the betting markets aren’t impressed with the Ravens heading into the start of training camp.  The numbers show it clearly.  The defending Super Bowl champs are lined as an 8.5 win team.  Eleven different teams are lined higher (Atlanta, Denver, Green Bay, Houston, New England, New Orleans, the New York Giants, Pittsburgh, San Francisco and Seattle; all lined at nine wins or more).  Chicago, Cincinnati, Dallas and Indianapolis are all lined in the same range (8.5 wins) as Baltimore.  Clearly, from a season wins perspective, the markets aren’t impressed with Baltimore, ranking them as a middle-of-the-pack ballclub.
It’s the same story for Read more


Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFL Season Over/Under Wins

06.03.2013     11:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In last week’s column, I wrote about my personal process for assessing NFL Season Win Totals, calling those totals “the single most profitable set of wagers that I’ve found in my 15 years as a professional bettor living in Las Vegas.”  I also wrote in detail about the first step of that process – identifying accurate strength of schedule numbers from last year, to better gauge whether teams overachieved or underachieved in 2012; giving me a superior starting point to begin my analysis for this year.

I closed out the article with these two paragraphs: “The New York Giants faced single toughest schedule from last year based on my numbers on the weeks the games were played.  The Saints weren’t far behind.  Arizona, San Francisco, Tennessee, Baltimore and St Louis all faced abnormally tough slates.

“On the easy side, the Colts, Texans and Bengals all stood out; by far the three easiest schedules in the league.  Miami, Atlanta and San Diego also had much easier than average slates.  In my next column, I’ll write about the next step in the process -- identifying accurate Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Vegas Wiseguy Report: Attacking Cantor's Opening NFL Lines

05.13.2013     11:06 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve got to give Cantor Gaming a boatload of credit this week. While the vast majority of other sportsbooks around the globe collectively twiddled their thumbs following the NFL Draft, Cantor was the first major book to market with both season win totals and with pointspreads for every regular season game through Week 16. And Cantor released all of those numbers in their unique style – confident, aggressive, high limit bookmaking, exactly what the industry needs more of these days.

Of course, my job isn’t to praise Cantor. Like any bettor here in Las Vegas, my job is to beat Cantor! Over the course of the hot, summer months (the first 100 degree day of the year in Vegas comes this week, with many more to follow), I’ll spend a handful of articles discussing those 2013 NFL season win totals as the markets begin to mature. But this week, I’m going to write about Cantor’s ‘every game, every week’ pointspreads for an NFL season that won’t even kick off until September! There certainly aren’t many opportunities in the sportsbetting world to get down significant wagers on regular season games that won’t be played Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




College Basketball Handicapping: Hybrid Power Ratings

03.13.2013     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Updated these today. If you’re new to the blog….what you see below are a combination of:

*The team’s average margin in conference play ONLY

*Adjusted for conference strength based on Jeff Sagarin’s conference ratings (scroll way down)

Sagarin has the Big 10 as the best conference in the nation. So, I just used the normal margin averages for Big 10 teams. For the other teams:

Big East: margin average -1.5

Big 12: margin average -2.4

ACC: margin average -3.5

Mountain West: margin average -3.8

Pac 12: margin average -4.2

SEC: margin average -4.5

Atlantic 10: margin average -5.9

Missouri Valley: margin average -7.7

West Coast: margin average -9.2

Conference USA: margin average -10.3

Horizon: margin average -11.8

Metro-Atlantic: margin average -12.1

Colonial: margin average -13.5

Sun Belt: margin -15.1

Ohio Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stat Intelligence




NCAA Basketball Gambling: Indiana, Florida, and Memphis all falter on the road

02.27.2013     07:37 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

March has its Madness. Late February college basketball doesn’t have anything to get excited about beyond the fact that it’s a “Prelude to March Madness.” As a result, this stretch of calendar historically has seen many subpar efforts from college powers. The kids can’t concentrate on their homework because Christmas is coming.

Tonight, the top two computer teams in the Jeff Sagarin and Ken Pomeroy rankings both lost outright as road favorites. One guy has Indiana #1 and Florida #2, the other has it the other way. Our estimate of market Power Ratings also had those teams as the top two last time we looked. Tonight’s boxscores from Minnesota and Tennessee show the visiting powers were linked up in “lack of focus” categories as well…

Two-Point Defense

Indiana allowed 53% inside the arc, Florida allowed 49%

 Rebounding

Indiana was -13 in rebound differential, Florida was -11

Forced Read more


Tags: College Basketball Indiana Hoosiers Florida Gators Memphis Tiigers Stat Intelligence



6

Page 6 of 25
"New England Patriots'"

September

2


 
Email
PowerNFLCFBMLBNBA
Current Blog Topics
Current Blog Topics
SportsMemo Ads
Daily Plays
$20
It's been a great season in MLB for Andrew Lange and his clients with nearly +14 units in the bank. For Tuesday, Lange has isolated a super-strong side play worth of 20* designation. Get on board for $20; it must win or Lange's next baseball play is absolutely free.

$20
Sammy P nailed another 20* on the Marlins yesterday and he comes in strong today with a monster 20* Power Play O/U. Sammy has already begun one of his patented long winning streaks. No one gets on fire like he does! He has isolated a single play for today which shows great value with his 20* MLB Power Play O/U. He looks to build upon his positive MLB season. Pick it up for $20; a guaranteed winner or his next selection is on the house.

$20
Teddy is red hot right now, riding an 11-3 All Sports Run and a 9-2 MLB streak into $20 Tuesday. He is primed to extend that scorching run with this live underdog report on Tuesday, a plus price cash just waiting to happen. This play must win or you will receive his next report at no additional charge.

$20
Brent Crow has been Sportsmemo's top MLB producer with over +21 units of profit on the season. That means nickle bettors on Brent's seasonal package are up over $10K! For Tuesday night he's got a 10* Last Call Totals report lined up for only $20; it must win or his next play is free of charge.

$20
Rob Veno has piled up an outstanding +105.42 units of profit dating back to the start of 2013. Today, he comes in his Top 10* MLB Runline Release. Cash in on Rob's winning ways for only $20; guaranteed to win or his next selection is on the house.

$30
Teddy delivered the goods down the stretch of the 2013 NFL campaign, cashing at a 67% clip from Week 13 through the Super Bowl. And he is primed to cash in right from the get-go in 2014, starting right here with his Opening Night Top Total. Get your NFL Season off to a winning start, right here, right now! This play must cash or you will receive his next report at no additional charge.

$39
From Week 13 through the Super Bowl last year, Teddy cashed his NFL at a 67% clip, primed to open up the new season in similar fashion. Teddy has been at his best with his strongest selections [20* Big Ticket Reports], 25-11 69% since April, up +26.3 Units of profit. Cash in on Sunday with his single Week 1 best bet. This play must win or you will receive his next report at no additional charge.

$199
With an unprecedented track record dating back well over a decade, Teddy Covers' NFL Season O/U Wins Report remains a must-have for every kind of football bettor. Over a 13-year span, Teddy's clients have been rewarded with an outstanding 68-29 70% winning mark including an incredible 10-1, 91% with TC's top rated 20* Big Tickets. Last year's 20*, the Kansas City Chiefs Over 7.5, cashed before Halloween! As always, Teddy's recommendations will include detailed written analysis. The first release is just around the corner in late July followed by any additional selections after Week 3 of the preseason. Purchase now and lock in all the plays for the incredibly low price of $199.


Extended Services
-----------SportsMemo-----------





Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 02, 2014 11:52 AM.