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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Temple Owls vs. NC State Wolfpack
03.22.2013 07:36 AM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
Temple
vs.
NC State
O/U 149.5
Recommendation: NC State
Temple has been bounced out of the first round in four of the last five years, and head coach Fran Dunphy is just 2-12 SU in 14 previous NCAA appearances. That’s a trend that should continue in 2013 in what should be a very difficult matchup for the underdog Owls.
Temple still has a reputation as a giant killer in March dating back to the John Chaney era. And the Owls found ways to pull off some major upsets this year, including SU wins over the likes of Syracuse, Kent, LaSalle, Saint Louis, VCU and Villanova, along with a near upset on the road at Kansas.
But the Owls were only a .500 level ATS team as underdogs of +4.5 points or more. They repeatedly struggled from a lack of offensive production, in large part due to poor shot selection from their two leading scorers Khalif Wyatt and Scootie Randall. To make matters even worse, the Owls struggled
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College Basketball
Temple Owls
NC State Wolfpack
Teddy Covers
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NCAA Tournament Betting: Live Posting Forum Chat 3-22-2012
03.22.2013 06:48 AM
Printer Friendly
Join the Sportsmemo Handicappers today starting at 9:30 am PT for live NCAA Tournament betting discussion including free halftime recommendations. If you aren't a posting forum user, you can sign up for free
right here
.
Here is a link to today's thread
. Enjoy.
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College Basketball
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NCAA Tournament Betting Recap: Michigan State, Butler More Dominant Than Final Scores
03.22.2013 06:38 AM
Printer Friendly
Submitted by
Stat Intelligence
Michigan State crushed Valparaiso in Thursday’s first finisher. But, the final victory margin of 11 points doesn’t tell the story. Michigan State led 32-12 in the first half, 49-22 in the second half, and still by 21 with 2:17 left. Butler actually had the larger victory margin in their 12-point win over Bucknell. They had to surge late to get there…but that was only because they were a horrible 2 of 16 on treys until making their last bomb.
Starter vs. starter, superiority was pretty clear for both favorites…
Michigan State 65, Valparaiso 54
2-Point Percentage: Valparaiso 41%, Michigan St. 47%
3-Point Shooting: Valparaiso 7/25, Michigan St. 6/15
Free Throws: Valparaiso 9/14, Michigan St. 7/11
1’s and 2’s: Valparaiso 33, Michigan St. 47
Rebounds: Valparaiso 20, Michigan St. 44
Turnovers: Valparaiso 7, Michigan St. 17
(Valpo 65 in Kenpom, 67 in Sagarin, 61 in
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Michigan State Spartans
Butler Bulldogs
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NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Saturday's matchups and Power Ratings
03.22.2013 06:34 AM
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Submitted by
Stat Intelligence
This is a reference piece. I’ve taken the eliminated teams out of our estimated Power Ratings. I’ve stuck the winners from today’s games in matchup order for Saturday so you can easily see their stat profiles. Then, I’ve cut-and-pasted Friday’s data into this report so you don’t have to scroll way down to review it.
I’ll be attending NCAA Tournament games in Austin all day and night Friday. The blog will resume late afternoon Saturday.
First, estimated Power Ratings going by seed line.
1…Louisville 87, Indiana 87, Gonzaga 85, Kansas 84
2…Duke 86, Ohio State 84, Miami 82, Georgetown 82
3…Florida 87, Michigan State 83, Marquette 80
4…Michigan 83, Saint Louis 82, Syracuse 82, Kansas State 80
5…Wisconsin 82, VCU 81
6…Arizona 82, Memphis 78, Butler 78, UCLA 76 (after injury)
7…Creighton 81, San Diego State 80, Notre Dame 78,
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College Basketball
Stat Intelligence
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NCAA Tournament Betting Podcast 3-22-2013 with Handicappers Teddy Covers and Brent Crow
03.22.2013 05:26 AM
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Today's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Brent Crow. Rob and Brent broke down the entire card for Friday's NCAA Tournament.
Today's segments
Full Show
Teddy Covers - NCAA Tournament Friday Part I
Brent Crow - NCAA Tournament Friday Part II
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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College Basketball
Teddy Covers
Brent Crow
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NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: No. 9 Temple Owls vs. No. 8 NC State Wolfpack
03.21.2013 02:15 PM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
NCAA Tournament - East Region
Friday, 10:40 am PT - Dayton, Ohio
No. 9
Temple
vs. No. 8
NC State
CRIS Opener: NC State -3.5 O/U 149
CRIS Current: NC State -4.5 O/U 149
Recommendation: NC State
When handicapping NCAA Tournament games, the matchups are an obvious focal point. Fundamental advantages that are seen when examining games will often cause bettors to react immediately and play the side with a perceived on court edge. If there’s one thing you learn after being around the sports gambling circuit as long as I have, it’s that you’d better cross examine everything you feel is in your favor before you make a play. Such is the case in this particular matchup where at first glance this appears to be a hand in glove fit for the NC State Wolfpack. Head coach Mark Gottfried’s crew is universally defined, and rightfully so, to be an extremely talented group that has failed to learn the art of continual focus. They have a
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College Basketball
Temple Owls
NC State Wolfpack
Rob Veno
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NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: No. 13 South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. No. 4 Michigan Wolverines
03.21.2013 08:23 AM
Alatex Sports
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Submitted by Alatex Sports
NCAA Tournament - South Region
Thursday, 4:15 pm PT, Auburn Hills, Mich.
No. 13
South Dakota State
vs. No. 4
Michigan
CRIS Opener: Michigan -12 O/U 138.5
CRIS Current: Michigan -11 O/U 141
Recommendation: South Dakota State
The South Dakota State Jackrabbits have a tough matchup in playing Michigan in Auburn Hills. They were a team that I thought had a good shot at a Cinderella run, but this is a very tough draw in the first round. South Dakota State has an experienced, talented team led by point guard Nate Wolters. He led them to a road win at New Mexico earlier this year and they also battled Baylor in the first round last year’s Big Dance before falling by eight points. Again, I thought they might be the team that surprised everyone this year, but they had no luck in drawing Michigan in their home state. Also, Michigan was a first round upset victim against Ohio last year, so they certainly will not take the Jackrabbits
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College Basketball
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
Michigan Wolverines
Brent Crow
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NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Updated Market Power Ratings
03.21.2013 08:00 AM
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Stat Intelligence
I’ve made a few tweaks to the estimated Market Power Ratings we put together the other day based on sharp line movements since the openers. When we say “market,” we’re most interested in the combination of oddsmakers (openers) plus sharps (improving the openers), and not so much the public…whose money will hit the board Thursday and Friday now that tourists have arrived with their money, alumni baseball caps, and temporarily ecstatic optimism.
To give us all a sense of what the weekend lines might look like, I’ve also written up those projected numbers based on these current ratings. It gets goofy to write up every single possibility…and I don’t think anyone really cares right now what the line would probably be if Southern plays Wichita State. So, I’m penciling in wins for all seeds 1-4 just to make things easy. Obviously history says some of those teams will bite the dust. It won’t be hard to look up a good estimate if
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Stat Intelligence
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NCAA Tournament Betting: Live Posting Forum Chat 3-21-2012
03.21.2013 07:38 AM
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Join the Sportsmemo Handicappers today starting at 9:30 am PT for live NCAA Tournament betting discussion including free halftime recommendations. If you aren't a posting forum user, you can sign up for free right here.
Here is a link to today's thread
. Enjoy.
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NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: No. 10 Cincinnati Bearcats vs. No. 7 Creighton Blue Jays
03.21.2013 07:32 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
NCAA Tournament - Midwest Region
Friday, 11:45 am PT, Philadelphia, PA
No. 10
Cincinnati
vs. No. 7
Creighton
CRIS Opener: Creighton -3 O/U 126
CRIS Current: Creighton -3.5 O/U 128
Recommendation: Cincinnati
Cincinnati's blueprint is pretty straight forward – when the Bearcats shoot the ball well, they are tough to beat. When they don't, the outcome often isn't favorable. And there are plenty of numbers to support that statement. When the Bearcats scored 60 points or more in regulation they were 20-1 SU. When they didn't, 2-10. But it needs to be noted who they were facing. The Bearcats faced seven teams (9 games) that rank in the top 25 in defensive efficiency. In those games, Cinci scored 43, 51, 55, 68, 52, 55, 70, 54, and 58. We know that there is some offensive potential with this squad. Go back to an early season tournament in Las Vegas and we saw the Bearcats net 78 vs. Iowa State and 77 vs. Oregon – two teams somewhat
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Cincinnati Bearcats
Creighton Blue Jays
Andrew Lange
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