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NBA Playoff Betting Recap: Brooklyn Nets, Houston Rockets Stay Alive
04.30.2013 07:07 AM
Printer Friendly
Submitted by
Stat Intelligence
Let’s take Monday night’s tripleheader in the order the games were played…
Brooklyn 110, Chicago 91
2-Point Percentage: Chicago 52%, Brooklyn 54%
3-Point Shooting: Chicago 4/12, Brooklyn 6/17
Free Throws: Chicago 13/18, Brooklyn 20/23
1’s and 2’s: Chicago 79, Brooklyn 92
Rebounds: Chicago 33, Brooklyn 44
Turnovers: Chicago 12, Brooklyn 11
Tonight’s game was closer than that final score makes it sound. But, you can see that Brooklyn won all the key stats. It’s not like it was a fluky win on treys or anything.
Chicago still leads the series 3-2. Obviously, it would be Brooklyn leading 3-2 if they hadn’t blown that late 14-point lead over the weekend. It’s interesting that, if you assign 4 points for home court advantage in this series (which looks like what the market is doing), you could make the case that Brooklyn would have won a neutral court series
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Tags:
NBA
Houston Rockets
Brooklyn Nets
Stat Intelligence
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NBA Playoff Gambling: Nearly 70% of bettors side with Oklahoma City Thunder
04.29.2013 12:29 PM
Printer Friendly
Here are the consensus bets for tonight’s NBA Playoff Game 4 matchups courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages represent the number of bets (not total handle) placed on each given wager. Note that dating back to 2003, teams up 3-0 in a first round series are now 26-12 SU and 22-13-3 ATS in Game 4 after wins and covers by the Heat and Spurs. The Knicks lost outright to the Celtics. Oklahoma City will be looking to close out its series tonight in Houston.
Sides
Oklahoma City -1 - 69.4%
Brooklyn -6 - 57.6%
Indiana +1.5 - 51.6%
Totals
Oklahoma City-Houston OVER 206 - 73.2%
Indiana-Atlanta OVER 186.5 - 61.6%
Chicago-Brooklyn OVER 180.5 - 53.1%
Moneylines
Oklahoma City -115 - 56.3%
Brooklyn -260 - 53.3%
Indiana +100 - 53.3%
Tags:
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Oklahoma City Thunder
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Sports Betting Podcast 4-29-2013 with Handicappers Rob Veno and Teddy Covers
04.29.2013 10:06 AM
Printer Friendly
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Teddy Covers. Rob broke down the National League while Teddy tackled the American League. Both cappers also talked about tonight's three NBA Playoff matchups.
Today's segments
Full Show
Rob Veno - National League
Teddy Covers - American League
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NBA Western Conference Playoffs update
04.29.2013 08:14 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Two weeks ago, I broke down the Eastern Conference Playoff Race in this column, concluding (to no surprise) that the Miami Heat are truly deserving of their big chalk, heavy favorite status; clearly the team to beat.
Last week, I got distracted by the upcoming (at the time) NFL Draft; looking to make my point that draft results hold surprisingly little influence over the opening Week 1 pointspreads, and that every prediction you read or hear about ‘Draft Grades’ is likely to be flawed at best, dead wrong at worst.
That being said, one other factor about the NFL Draft was perfectly clear this past weekend. The better organizations in the NFL are in much better position to succeed than the weaker organizations. Which is which? Look no further than a recent recap of Super Bowl champs to identify ‘good’ organizations – squads with a short and long term plan, and the management team to implement that plan.
The Ravens, Giants, Packers, Steelers, Patriots, Colts, Seahawks and 49ers are at the top of my ‘quality organization’ list, and you can assume a priori that those eight organizations
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Los Angeles Clippers
Oklahoma City Thunder
San Antonio Spurs
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Teddy Covers
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NBA Playoff Betting Update: Lakers bounced, Warriors one win from advancing
04.29.2013 07:48 AM
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Submitted by
Stat Intelligence
Numbers and notes from the Sunday Slam. Let’s begin with a very brief recap of the first three games…
*The Lakers said to San Antonio “please put us out of our misery” by scoring only 34 points in the first half, and the Spurs obliged with a 103-82 victory that finished off a 4-0 sweep.
*The Bucks said to Miami “please put us out of our misery” by scoring only 15 points in the fourth quarter, and the Heat obliged with a 88-77 victory that finished off a 4-0 sweep.
*The Celtics said to New York “please put us out of our misery” by scoring 14 points in the third quarter, and 16 points in the fourth quarter (only 2 in the last four minutes)…but Carmelo Anthony missed a jumper with 3:04 left in the regulation, and with 2:23 left in regulation, and with 2:06 left in regulation, then two free throws with 1:50 left in regulation, then another jumper with 0:44 left, and another with 0:19 left… so the Celtics vengefully won in
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Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
Denver Nuggets
San Antonio Spurs
Stat Intelligence
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NBA Playoff Betting: Betting consensus prefers the chalk for Game 4 matchups
04.28.2013 08:31 AM
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Here are the consensus bets for today’s NBA Playoff Game 4 matchups courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages represent the number of bets (not total handle) placed on each given wager. In case you missed it, here are the
betting results
of teams in the first round that take a 3-0 series lead and how they perform in Game 4.
Sides
Miami -8.5 - 82.4%
New York -2 - 80.2%
San Antonio -11 - 74.3%
Denver -1.5 - 54.2%
Totals
San Antonio-Los Angeles OVER 189.5 - 83.7%
Denver-Golden State OVER 212.5 - 67.3%
Miami-Milwaukee OVER 195 - 60.4%
New York-Boston UNDER 55.5%
Moneylines
Miami -475 - 71.4%
San Antonio -800 - 65.4%
New York -130 - 64.8%
Golden State +105 - 55.9%
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NBA Playoff Gambling: Quick Market Assessment of Westbrook's Value
04.27.2013 07:40 AM
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Submitted by
Stat Intelligence
We’ve had time now for the market to react to the sad news that Russell Westbrook of Oklahoma City is going to miss time to have meniscus surgery. It looks like the composite of opinions rates his value at three points.
*Oklahoma City was -3 at Houston before the injury was announced
*Oklahoma City moved to pick-em on the news
*Some initial interest on the Rockets made it Houston -1 in places
*Oklahoma City money brought it back to pick-em
I know there are some in the field who think very few players are worth THAT much in terms of team Power Ratings. We’ll have to give the Thunder a few games to show us what the impact is going to be. For now, let’s assume that the market is correct. Let’s see what that does to the Western playoff picture based on our most recent assessment of the market ratings. Oklahoma had been an 86.
Estimated Market Power Ratings in the West
84: LA Clippers, Memphis
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NBA Gambling Alert: Westbrook worth four points to spread according to betting markets
04.26.2013 11:44 AM
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Oklahoma City
at
Houston
-1 O/U 208
So by now you've heard that Oklahoma City's Russell Westbrook is
out with indefinately
with a knee injury. He'll need surgery and his return at this point is up in the air. Now obviously Westbrook is worth a few points to the spread and total. Once news broke, sportsbooks scrambled to the take the game off the board while some have since reopened the game. Prior the the announcement, Oklahoma City was a 3-point road favorite with a total of 211. CRIS reopened the game a pick 'em with a total of 210. As of 11:30 am PT, the Rockets are a 1-point favorite while the total has clicked down to 208. We'll keep you posted if any significant line moves take place for Saturday's contest.
"We're not trying to rush him or bring him back ahead of schedule. We want to make sure he's healthy and his knee
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Sports Betting Podcast 4-26-2013 with Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning
04.26.2013 10:16 AM
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Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Ian Cameron, and Erin Rynning. Ian went through every game on the MLB card. Erin broke down all of Friday and Saturday's NBA Playoffs.
Today's segments
Full Show
Ian Cameron - MLB Every Game on the Board
Erin Rynning - NBA Friday and Saturday
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NBA Playoff Betting: Update Power Ratings
04.26.2013 07:48 AM
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Submitted by
Stat Intelligence
Let’s catch up with a couple of things. First, an updated look at the estimated Power Ratings for the 16 playoff teams based on market prices. I’m using the posted G3 lines to tweak what we had seen earlier.
It gets kind of goofy now because the market tends to boost the “home opener-must win” teams 1-2 points…and there can be a tendency to make home court advantage worth 4 points instead of 3 in the postseason depending on how results are going. For now…I’m going to keep using 3…but I’ve sent up separate home/road numbers for several teams. I think there’s an additional “must win” boost in the mix for Boston, Atlanta and Houston that may or may not be justified. You saw that in the Memphis line Thursday given the 10-point distance from the G2 number to the G3 number with the site switch.
88: Miami
86: Oklahoma City
84: LA Clippers, Memphis (home)
83: Denver (home),
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Page 6 of 105
"NBA'"
May
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