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Super Bowl XLVII Betting: Three straight scores prop bet history
01.22.2013 06:31 AM
Printer Friendly
One of many prop bets that always draws interest from bettors is Will There Be Three Straight Scores? We went back on got the results of every Super Bowl and found that three straight scores occurred 32 times (69.5%). There was a 22-year stretch where it occurred 20 times but the trend has cooled off of late with just four of the last nine Super Bowls featuring three straight scores. Most sportsbooks offer anywhere from -180 to -200 on the "yes" and +150 to +160 on the "no."
Super Bowl Betting Results - Three Straight Scores? 1967-2012
Year
Winner
Loser
Three Straight Scores?
2012
NY Giants (+3) 21
New England 17
Yes
2011
Green Bay (-3) 31
Pittsburgh 25
No
2010
New Orleans (+4.5) 31
Indianapolis 17
Yes
2009
Pittsburgh 27
Arizona (+6.5) 23
Yes
2008
NY Giants (+12.5) 17
New England 14
No
2007
Indianapolis (-7) 29
Chicago 17
Yes
2006
Pittsburgh (-4) 21
Seattle 10
No
2005
New England 24
Philadelphia (+7) 21
No
2004
New England 32
Carolina (+7) 29
No
2003
Tampa Bay (+4) 48
Oakland 21
Yes
2002
New England (+14) 20
St. Louis 17
Yes
2001
Baltimore (-3) 34
NY Giants 7
Yes
2000
St. Louis (-7) 23
Tennessee 16
Yes
1999
Denver (-7.5) 34
Atlanta 19
Yes
1998
Denver (+11) 31
Green Bay 24
Yes
1997
Green Bay (-14) 35
New England 21
Yes
1996
Dallas 27
Pittsburgh (+13.5) 17
Yes
1995
San Francisco (-18) 49
San Diego 26
No
1994
Dallas (-10.5) 30
Buffalo 13
Yes
1993
Dallas (-6.5) 52
Buffalo 17
Yes
1992
Washington (-7) 37
Buffalo 24
Yes
1991
NY Giants (+7) 20
Buffalo 19
Yes
1990
San Francisco (-12) 55
Denver 10
Yes
1989
San Francisco 20
Cincinnati (+7) 16
No
1988
Washington (+3) 42
Denver 10
Yes
1987
NY Giants (-9.5) 39
Denver 20
Yes
1986
Chicago (-10) 46
New England 10
Yes
1985
San Francisco (-3.5) 38
Miami 16
Yes
1984
LA Raiders (+3) 38
Washington 9
Yes
1983
Washington (+3) 27
Miami 17
Yes
1982
San Francisco (PK) 26
Cincinnati 21
Yes
1981
Oakland (+3) 27
Philadelphia 10
No
1980
Pittsburgh (-10.5) 31
Los Angeles 19
No
1979
Pittsburgh (-3.5) 35
Dallas 31
No
1978
Dallas (-6) 27
Denver 10
Yes
1977
Oakland (-4) 32
Minnesota 14
Yes
1976
Pittsburgh 21
Dallas (+7) 17
Yes
1975
Pittsburgh (-3) 16
Minnesota 6
No
1974
Miami (-6.5) 24
Minnesota 7
Yes
1973
Miami (+1.5) 14
Washington 7
No
1972
Dallas (-6) 24
Miami 3
No
1971
Baltimore (+2.5) 16
Dallas 13
No
1970
Kansas City (+12) 23
Minnesota 7
Yes
1969
NY Jets (+18) 16
Baltimore 7
Yes
1968
Green Bay (-13.5) 33
Oakland 14
Yes
1967
Green Bay (-14) 35
Kansas City 10
Yes
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Super Bowl XLVII
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NFL Handicapping: Drive Points and Power Ratings for Super Bowl XLVII
01.21.2013 01:41 PM
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Stat Intelligence
As promised, we’re back to look at the drive point numbers for the two remaining teams in the NFL brackets. If you’re new to the blog, drive points are those scored and allowed on drives of 60 yards or more. We’ve been using it through the regular season to try and get a read as best as possible on “true” offense and defense.
First, a reminder of the regular season averages for the Super Bowl bound San Francisco 49ers and Baltimore Ravens.
Regular Season Averages
San Francisco: 15.4 on offense, 11.6 on defense (#3 Sagarin schedule)
Baltimore: 15.7 on offense, 12.5 on defense (#18 Sagarin schedule)
The Niners get the nod in regular season numbers, with +3.8 vs. a killer schedule being better than +3.2 vs. what was roughly an average schedule. Is strength of schedule enough to bump them up to superiority by more than a field goal at a neutral site? Interesting that teams coached by brothers had such similar
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A perfect match: Gambling and the Super Bowl
01.21.2013 12:34 PM
Teddy Covers
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Publicly, the NFL is among one of the staunchest opponents of legalized gambling. Former commissioner Paul Tagliabue and current commissioner Roger Goodell were instrumental in getting the anti gaming ‘Illegal Internet Gambling Prohibition Act’ attached to the Port Security Bill. The NFL has taken this stance despite the fact that its enormous popularity is, in no small part, due to the prevalence of betting on games.
The hypocrisy of the NFL in regards to betting is almost laughable. The facts, as you will see, clearly show that the league was founded by gamblers for gamblers. From the NFL’s first television appearance in 1939 through the current TV deal that pumps more than three billion dollars per year into the league coffers, the NFL’s popularity rests upon the shoulders of those who wager on the outcome of the games.
Here in the 21st century, the NFL is the most popular and profitable sport in the. NFL owners are among the richest men in the world; franchises are bought and sold for more than half a billion dollars. However, the league’s humble origins were anything but the extravagant bonanza that is the NFL today.
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Super Bowl XLVII
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Super Bowl XLVII Gambling: Against the spread results based on seed
01.21.2013 12:24 PM
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Here is a list of Super Bowl pointspread results based on seed. Dating back to 1996, the lower seed has dominated from a spread perspective, going 12-2-2. Three seasons ago was unique in that two No. 1 seeds met for the first time in Super Bowl history. Baltimore is the AFC’s No. 4 seed while San Francisco is the NFC’s No. 2.
Super Bowl Betting Results Based on Seed 1996-2012
SB
Year
ATS Winner Seed
ATS Loser Seed
XLVI
2012
4 NY Giants
1 New England
XLV
2011
6 Green Bay
2 Pittsburgh
XLIV
2010
1 New Orleans
1 Indianapolis
XLIII
2009
4 Arizona
2 Pittsburgh
XLII
2008
5 NY Giants
1 New England
XLI
2007
3 Indianapolis
1 Chicago
XL
2006
6 Pittsburgh
1 Seattle
XXXIX
2005
1 Philadelphia
2 New England
XXXVIII
2004
3 Carolina
1 New England
XXXVII
2003
2 Tampa Bay
1 Oakland
XXXVI
2002
2 New England
1 St. Louis
XXXV
2001
3 Baltimore
1 NY Giants
XXXIV
2000
1 St. Louis (push)
4 Tennessee
XXXIII
1999
1 Denver
2 Atlanta
XXXII
1998
4 Denver
2 Green Bay
XXXI
1997
1 Green Bay (push)
2 New England
XXX
1996
2 Pittsburgh
1 Dallas
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Sports Betting Podcast 1-21-2013 with Handicappers Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning
01.21.2013 10:13 AM
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Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning. Teddy talked Super Bowl XLVII and college hoops. Erin broke down the NBA card.
Today's segments
Full Show
Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report and College Basketball
Erin Rynning - NBA
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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Teddy Covers
Erin Rynning
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Nevada sportsbooks have profited in 16 of the last 18 Super Bowls
01.21.2013 08:45 AM
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Chart of the profits Nevada sportsbooks have pulled in from the Super Bowl dating back to 1995. Over the last 18 years a total of $1.44 billion has been wagered on the Super Bowl in the state of Nevada. During that span, the books have won $101 million.
Results courtesy of the Nevada Gaming Control Board.
Nevada sportsbook Super Bowl profits 1995-2012
Year
Matchup
Wagered
Net Profit
Win%
2012
NY Giants 21, New England 17
$93,899,840
$5,064,470
5.40%
2011
Green Bay 31, Pittsburgh 25
$87,491,098
$724,176
0.83%
2010
New Orleans 31, Indianapolis 17
$82,726,367
$6,857,101
8.30%
2009
Pittsburgh 27, Arizona 23
$81,514,748
$6,678,044
8.20%
2008
NY Giants 17, New England 14
$92,055,833
-$2,573,103
-2.80%
2007
Indianapolis 29, Chicago 17
$93,067,358
$12,930,175
13.90%
2006
Pittsburgh 21, Seattle 10
$94,534,372
$8,828,431
9.30%
2005
New Engand 24, Philadelphia 21
$90,759,236
$15,430,138
17.00%
2004
New England 32, Carolina 29
$81,242,191
$12,440,698
15.30%
2003
Tampa Bay 48, Oakland 21
$71,693,032
$5,264,963
7.30%
2002
New England 20, St. Louis 17
$71,513,304
$2,331,607
3.30%
2001
Baltimore 34, NY Giants 7
$67,661,425
$11,002,636
16.30%
2000
St. Louis 23, Tennessee 16
$71,046,751
$4,237,978
6.00%
1999
Denver 34, Atlanta 19
$75,986,520
$2,906,601
3.80%
1998
Denver 31, Green Bay 24
$77,253,246
$472,033
0.60%
1997
Green Bay 35, New England 21
$70,853,211
$2,265,701
3.20%
1996
Dallas 27, Pittsburgh 17
$70,907,801
$7,126,145
10.10%
1995
San Francisco 49, San Diego 26
$69,591,818
-$396,674
-0.60%
$1,443,798,151
$101,591,120
7.00%
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Super Bowl XLVII
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All-Time Super Bowl Betting Results 1967-2012
01.21.2013 08:17 AM
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Here are you all-time Super Bowl results dating back to 1967. Only six times have we seen the team to win fail to cover the pointspread. Overall, favorites are 26-19 against the spread (the 1982 Super Bowl was lined as a pick 'em) but underdogs have been the play of late with eight of the last 11 taking the money. In terms of totals, the UNDER was the way to play it back in the late 60’s and early 70's. The 80's and 90's trended OVER the total but it has shifted back towards the UNDER with six of the last eight winning.
Super Bowl Betting Results 1967-2012
SB
Year
Winner
Loser
Total
Location
XLVI
2012
NY Giants (+3) 21
New England 17
53, UNDER
Indianapolis, IN
XLV
2011
Green Bay (-3) 31
Pittsburgh 25
44.5, OVER
Dallas, TX
XLIV
2010
New Orleans (+4.5) 31
Indianapolis 17
56.5, UNDER
Miami, FL
XLIII
2009
Pittsburgh 27
Arizona (+6.5) 23
46.5, OVER
Tampa, FL
XLII
2008
NY Giants (+12.5) 17
New England 14
54.5, UNDER
Glendale, AZ
XLI
2007
Indianapolis (-7) 29
Chicago 17
48, UNDER
Miami, FL
XL
2006
Pittsburgh (-4) 21
Seattle 10
47, UNDER
Detroit, MI
XXXIX
2005
New England 24
Philadelphia (+7) 21
46.5, UNDER
Jacksonville, FL
XXXVIII
2004
New England 32
Carolina (+7) 29
37.5, OVER
Houston, TX
XXXVII
2003
Tampa Bay (+4) 48
Oakland 21
44, OVER
San Diego, CA
XXXVI
2002
New England (+14) 20
St. Louis 17
53, UNDER
New Orleans, LA
XXXV
2001
Baltimore (-3) 34
NY Giants 7
33, OVER
Tampa, FL
XXXIV
2000
St. Louis (-7) 23
Tennessee 16
47.5, UNDER
Atlanta, GA
XXXIII
1999
Denver (-7.5) 34
Atlanta 19
52.5, OVER
Miami, FL
XXXII
1998
Denver (+11) 31
Green Bay 24
49, OVER
San Diego, CA
XXXI
1997
Green Bay (-14) 35
New England 21
49, OVER
New Orleans, LA
XXX
1996
Dallas 27
Pittsburgh (+13.5) 17
51, UNDER
Tempe, AZ
XXIX
1995
San Francisco (-18) 49
San Diego 26
53.5, OVER
Miami, FL
XXVIII
1994
Dallas (-10.5) 30
Buffalo 13
50.5, UNDER
Atlanta, GA
XXVII
1993
Dallas (-6.5) 52
Buffalo 17
44.5, OVER
Pasadena, CA
XXVI
1992
Washington (-7) 37
Buffalo 24
49, OVER
Minneapolis, MN
XXV
1991
NY Giants (+7) 20
Buffalo 19
40.5, UNDER
Tampa, FL
XXIV
1990
San Francisco (-12) 55
Denver 10
48, OVER
New Orleans, LA
XXIII
1989
San Francisco 20
Cincinnati (+7) 16
48, UNDER
Miami, FL
XXII
1988
Washington (+3) 42
Denver 10
47, OVER
San Diego, CA
XXI
1987
NY Giants (-9.5) 39
Denver 20
40, OVER
Pasadena, CA
XX
1986
Chicago (-10) 46
New England 10
37.5, OVER
New Orleans, LA
XIX
1985
San Francisco (-3.5) 38
Miami 16
53.5, OVER
Stanford, CA
XVIII
1984
LA Raiders (+3) 38
Washington 9
48, UNDER
Tampa, FL
XVII
1983
Washington (+3) 27
Miami 17
36.5, OVER
Pasadena, CA
XVI
1982
San Francisco (PK) 26
Cincinnati 21
48, UNDER
Pontiac, MI
XV
1981
Oakland (+3) 27
Philadelphia 10
37.5, UNDER
New Orleans, LA
XIV
1980
Pittsburgh (-10.5) 31
Los Angeles 19
36, OVER
Pasadena, CA
XIII
1979
Pittsburgh (-3.5) 35
Dallas 31
37, OVER
Miami, FL
XII
1978
Dallas (-6) 27
Denver 10
39, UNDER
New Orleans, LA
XI
1977
Oakland (-4) 32
Minnesota 14
38, OVER
Pasadena, CA
X
1976
Pittsburgh 21
Dallas (+7) 17
36, OVER
Miami, FL
IX
1975
Pittsburgh (-3) 16
Minnesota 6
33, UNDER
New Orleans, LA
VIII
1974
Miami (-6.5) 24
Minnesota 7
33, UNDER
Houston, TX
VII
1973
Miami (+1.5) 14
Washington 7
33, UNDER
Los Angeles, CA
VI
1972
Dallas (-6) 24
Miami 3
34, UNDER
New Orleans, LA
V
1971
Baltimore (+2.5) 16
Dallas 13
36, UNDER
Miami, FL
IV
1970
Kansas City (+12) 23
Minnesota 7
39, UNDER
New Orleans, LA
III
1969
NY Jets (+18) 16
Baltimore 7
40, UNDER
Miami, FL
II
1968
Green Bay (-13.5) 33
Oakland 14
43, OVER
Miami, FL
I
1967
Green Bay (-14) 35
Kansas City 10
NL
Los Angeles, CA
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Sportsmemo's Teddy Covers featured in upcoming sports betting movie Life On The Line
01.21.2013 07:54 AM
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I write about sports every week. Next week in this space, I’ll be writing about Super Bowl props. Two weeks from now, it’ll be all about college basketball through the end of March Madness. But not today. Today, I’m going to write about movies. Nobody needs two full weeks of Super Bowl hype!
There are no great sports betting movies –none. Hollywood has produced a handful of great gambling movies – The Sting, Casino, Rounders, The Hustler and Croupier certainly stand out. But when it comes to anything resembling realism in a sports betting movie, it doesn’t exist. Every bettor in a Hollywood sports betting movie is a compulsive addict; every bookmaker is evil and they always win.
There are no exceptions in this tried and true Hollywood formula. If Richard Dreyfuss isn’t uncontrollably gambling on every race in ‘Let it Ride’, then Matthew McConaughey is forcing his clients into bankruptcy and letting his entire career path depend on a coin-flip in ‘Two for the Money’. Even Bruce Willis, Catherine Zeta-Jones and Vince Vaughn couldn’t save last year’s ‘Lay the Favorite’; just
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Super Bowl XLVII: San Francisco 49ers currently a 4-point betting favorite
01.21.2013 07:41 AM
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Baltimore
vs.
San Francisco
-4 O/U 48
The San Francisco 49ers opened as a 5-point favorite over the Baltimore Ravens for Super Bowl XLVII. Early money has come in on the underdog Ravens with the 49ers bet down to as low as -3.5 and now -4 across the board. The total opened 49 and is currently 48.8/48.
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NFL Betting News: Know your officiating crews for Sunday's title games
01.18.2013 12:29 PM
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Worth a read as
ESPN
spits out some numbers on both officiating crews for Sunday's NFC and AFC championship games.
McAulay's 52 holding calls tied with Ron Winter for the most among the officials. As a result, McAulay's games average 44 points a game, 1.7 below the league average. Leavy tends to let the players play. His 13.9 penalties a game is the ninth fewest. His 22 holding penalties tied for the second fewest. But cornerbacks need to watch out. Leavy led the NFL with 20 pass interference penalties. His games tend to be higher scoring at 48.7 points, fifth highest among officials.
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