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College Football Betting: Ugly teams deliver pointspread wins

09.29.2014     07:43 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
This past weekend was a great one for "ugly" teams in college football. And by "ugly" we mean teams that had vastly underachieved the first month of the season leaving bettors little reason to offer their support. But "ugliness" can be overcompensated for in the betting markets and these teams not only had value but came through with their best efforts of the season. Let's take a look...

Northwestern - The Wildcats had looked horrible during their 1-2 SU/0-3 start. Questions loomed whether or not Pat Fitzgerald was losing the team and with Penn State and Wisconsin on deck, a 1-4 start seemed likely. But bettors witnessed a reborn NU squad that was dynamic offensively and stout defensively in Saturday's 29-6 drubbing of Penn State. The Nittany Lions were no doubt flat but it was the first time all season that Northwestern played up to its capabilities and some. NW is catching +9.5 at home vs. the Badgers on Saturday.

Florida International - Make no mistake, Ron Turner isn't a good coach and the Panthers are still one of the worst teams in the country. But pointspreads have a way of offsetting Read more



Tags: College Football Northwestern Wildcats Florida International Panthers Vanderbilt Commodores Andrew Lange




College Football Gambling: Texas Tech trending in wrong direction

09.29.2014     07:12 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Despite a slew of issues and injuries, Texas Tech managed to escape Stillwater with a pointspread cover (+14) in last Thursday’s 45-35 loss. But with quarterback Davis Webb's status for Saturday at Kansas State in doubt and the team's inability to correct correctable issues (turnovers, penalties) the Red Raiders could be headed towards a losing season. TTU has lost the turnover battle with a negative margin in all four games. In terms of penalty yardage, they have nearly double (442) their opposition (221). And since starting 7-0, Kliff Kingsbury is on a 2-7 run vs. FBS competition.


“We would play to Pat’s strengths. He does some things really well. We’d make sure we’re calling plays that he likes,” coach Kliff Kingsbury said.

“There’s no magical thing we can do to stop this,” Tech senior wide receiver Marquez said. “It’s just got to be as a player you’ve got to know when you can do certain things and when you cannot. Rules are rules. You can’t hold.

Read more



Tags: College Football Texas Tech Red Raiders Big XII




College Football Handicapping: Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 6

09.29.2014     06:29 AM     Printer Friendly
Week 6's breakdown of Golden Nugget's Game of the Year lines vs. CRIS's current numbers. It's a great tool to spot changes in perception from oddsmakers and the betting markets. A lot of opinions have obviously changed since the summer, most notably with Baylor and TCU. Most projected the Bears to take a step back this season but oddsmakers continue to struggle with pricing this team. Note than the current -14.5 was bet up from an opener of -12.5. Oklahoma is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS and has looked the part of a playoff contender. But in the eyes of most TCU (3-0 SU/ATS) is much improved with blowout wins over Samford, Minnesota, and SMU. This week's outcome will likely have a big impact on how the Horned Frogs are priced in October with games at Baylor, vs. Oklahoma State, vs. Texas Tech, and at West Virginia.

2014 College Football Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 6
Away
Home
Golden Nugget
CRIS Current
Arizona
Oregon
Oregon -25
Oregon -22.5
Louisville
Syracuse
Louisville -1
Louisville -3.5
LSU
Auburn
Auburn -6.5
Auburn -9
Arizona State
USC
USC -11
USC -10
Miami (FL)
Georgia Tech
Miami (FL) -4
Georgia Tech pk
Vanderbilt
Georgia
Georgia -24
Georgia -32
Wisconsin
Northwestern
Wisconsin -7
Wisconsin -10
Alabama
Ole Miss
Alabama -9
Alabama -5
Virginia Tech
North Carolina
North Carolina -10
North Carolina pk
NC State
Clemson
Clemson -23
Clemson -14
Baylor
Texas
Baylor -3
Baylor -14.5
Texas A&M
Mississippi State
Mississippi State -3
Mississippi State -1
Texas Tech
Kansas State
Kansas State -7
Kansas State N/L
Boise State
Nevada
Boise State -6
Boise State -2.5
Oklahoma
TCU
Oklahoma -14
Oklahoma -5
Florida
Tennessee
Florida -4.5
Florida -1
Stanford
Notre Dame
Stanford -6
Stanford -1
Nebraska
Michigan State
Michigan State -8
Michigan State -9.5





Tags: College Football Baylor Bears TCU Horned Frogs Big XII




College Football Betting Consensus: Public sees no reason not to continue fade of woeful SMU

09.27.2014     07:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top five consensus bets (sides and totals) for Saturday's college football games courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

SIDES
89.5% - TCU -31.5 at SMU
84.7% - NEVADA -5.5 at San Jose State
82.9% - LOUISVILLE -21 vs. Wake Forest
80.7% - PITTSBURGH -21 vs. Akron
80.1% - TEXAS STATE +3 at Tulsa

TOTALS
92.5% - OVER 57 Tennessee-Georgia
89.5% - OVER 56.5 New Mexico State-LSU
88.6% - OVER 59 Memphis-Ole Miss
88.0% - OVER 60 Florida State-NC State
87.4% - OVER 70 Maryland-Indiana




Tags: College Football




Sportsmemo's College Football In-Game Betting Discussion - Week 5

09.27.2014     07:05 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Don't miss Sportsmemo's Posting Forum College Football Week 5 in-game discussion. The Sportsmemo Handicappers and posting forum members share their thoughts, opinions, and second half wagers throughout the day. If you're not a forum member, it's free to sign up! All you need is a username and password. Come be a part of the WINNING action!




Tags: College Football




College Football Handicapping: 2nd half Kick Off List - Week 5

09.27.2014     07:00 AM     Printer Friendly
To help you with your wagers today, below is a list of teams that receive the kick to start the second half.

2014 College Football 2nd Half Kick Off List - Week 5
Game #
Away Team
Home Team
Receive 2nd Half Kick
113
Wyoming
Michigan State
Wyoming
115
Minnesota
Michigan
Michigan
117
Maryland
Indiana
Indiana
119
Baylor
Iowa State
Iowa State
121
South Florida
Wisconsin
Wisconsin
123
Kent State
Virginia
Virginia
125
Western Michigan
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech
127
Temple
Connecticut
Temple
129
Akron
Pittsburgh
Akron
131
Iowa
Purdue
Purdue
133
Tulane
Rutgers
Rutgers
135
Northwestern
Penn State
Penn St.
137
Central Michigan
Toledo
Central Michigan
139
Vanderbilt
Kentucky
Kentucky
141
Wake Forest
Louisville
Wake Forest
143
Colorado State
Boston College
Colorado St.
145
Miami (OH)
Buffalo
Buffalo
147
Texas State
Tulsa
Texas State
149
UTEP
Kansas State
Kansas St.
151
Louisiana Tech
Auburn
Louisiana Tech
153
Bowling Green
Massachusetts
Bowling Green
155
Colorado
California
California
157
TCU
SMU
TCU
159
Rice
Southern Miss
Southern Miss
161
Missouri
South Carolina
Missouri
163
Western Kentucky
Navy
Navy
165
Notre Dame
Syracuse
Syracuse
167
Arkansas
Texas A&M
Arkansas
169
Oregon State
USC
Oregon State
171
North Carolina
Clemson
Clemson
173
Stanford
Washington
Washington
175
Texas
Kansas
Kansas
177
Tennessee
Georgia
Georgia
179
Duke
Miami (FL)
Duke
181
Florida State
NC State
Florida State
183
South Alabama
Idaho
South Alabama
185
Cincinnati
Ohio State
Ohio State
187
Florida International
UAB
Florida International
189
Memphis
Mississippi
Memphis
191
UTSA
Florida Atlantic
UTSA
193
Troy
Louisiana-Monroe
Louisiana-Monroe
195
Washington State
Utah
Utah
197
Boise State
Air Force
Boise State
199
New Mexico State
LSU
LSU
201
Illinois
Nebraska
Illinois
203
UNLV
San Diego State
UNLV
205
Nevada
San Jose State
San Jose State





Tags: College Football




College Football Betting Preview: South Alabama Jaguars at Idaho Vandals

09.26.2014     02:41 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
South Alabama at Idaho
Saturday, 2 pm PT - ESPN 3
CRIS Opener:
South Alabama -7
CRIS Current: South Alabama -4
Rob Veno's Power Rating: South Alabama -9
Drew Martin's Recommendation: South Alabama

Unique conference matchup with South Alabama traveling to tiny Moscow, Idaho to take on the Vandals.  Idaho has shown signs of being more competitive this season but have yet to record a straight up win. After beating Kent in the opener, USA dropped back-to-back games to Mississippi State and what looks to be the best team in the Sun Belt, Georgia Southern. Oddsmakers opened South Alabama as a touchdown favorite, but throughout the week the betting markets have pushed this number down to -4.  Taking a quick glance at this matchup you can understand the money favoring the Vandals. They have the better quarterback and host a team traveling across two time zones. However, there are major Read more



Tags: College Football South Alabama Jaguars Idaho Vandals Sun Belt Drew Martin




College Football Gamling: Michigan's Hoke won't name starting QB until Saturday

09.26.2014     09:52 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With most of the focus on Minnesota's quarterback situation bettors should be aware that Michigan has one of its own with head coach Brady Hoke making a game time decision on who (Devin Gardner or Shane Morris) will be under center. Meanwhile, the Wolverines were steamed up from -8 to -13.


“We’ve got some ideas with what we want to do, but we’re still going to evaluate it,” Hoke said. “…We’ll still have both guys take reps. We feel good about both guys.”






Tags: College Football Michigan Wolverines Minnesota Golden Gophers Big Ten




College Football Betting Preview: Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas A&M Aggies

09.26.2014     08:00 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arkansas vs. Texas A&M (Arlington)
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Texas A&M -10 O/U 72
CRIS Current: Texas A&M -9 O/U 71.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Texas A&M -14
Paul Stone's Recommendation: Arkansas

In a renewal of an old Southwest Conference rivalry, the sixth-ranked Texas A&M Aggies (4-0) and the vastly-improved Arkansas Razorbacks (3-1) bring contrasting offensive styles to Saturday's SEC West showdown at Arlington's AT&T Stadium.

On one hand, Kevin Sumlin's Aggies spread the field, depending heavily on sophomore quarterback Kenny Hill to distribute the ball to a host of talented receivers utilizing a scheme designed to fatigue the defense and prevent substitutions.

Meanwhile, second-year Arkansas head coach Bret Bielema has brought his old-style smashmouth ground game to the Ozarks from Wisconsin. After going winless in SEC play in his Read more



Tags: College Football Arkansas Razorbacks Texas A&M Aggies SEC Paul Stone




College Football Betting Preview: Oregon State Beavers at USC Trojans

09.26.2014     07:53 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oregon State at USC
Saturday, 7:30 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
USC -10 O/U 51.5
CRIS Current: USC -9.5 O/U 55.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: USC -10
Ian Cameron's Recommendation: Over

The USC Trojans will be looking to bounce back strong following their bye week as they host Oregon State in this PAC-12 matchup. It’s the first game for USC since its shocking 37-31 loss at Boston College which should provide a requisite level of focus and intensity. USC was shredded for 506 total yards (425 of them on the ground) by Boston College and I expect the defense to perform better this week with extra time to prepare. But Oregon State’s offense should still be able to score some points with senior quarterback Sean Mannion at the controls. Mannion has had another good start to the season throwing for 301 ypg and 8 yppa and Oregon State should benefit from having more balance in their offense this Read more



Tags: College Football Oregon State Beavers USC Trojans PAC-12 Ian Cameron



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