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MLB Betting Notes: Tampa's Moore could be tipping pitches
04.20.2012 11:03 AM
Printer Friendly
Minnesota
(Hendriks) at
Tampa Bay
-165 O/U 7.5
Tampa Bay lefty Matt Moore's early season struggles may be tied to him
tipping his pitches
. Last time out Moore was rocked by Boston for six runs, two homers and four walks.
There were other possibilities: that Gimenez, in his first game since being called up from Triple A, was giving something away by setting up too soon, or that the Sox hitters were peeking in or somehow stealing signs. "All possibilities, I guess," Gimenez said.
"Guys were just ready to hit fastball," said Adrian Gonzalez, one of only two Red Sox hitters to swing at a breaking ball all afternoon. "When you see spin, you just lay off. A guy who throws hard, he's going to get more swings on the changeup than he is on the curveball because of the fact that it looks like a fastball.
Read more
Tags:
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Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins
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Sports Betting Podcast 4-20-2012 with Rob Veno and Erin Rynning
04.20.2012 09:24 AM
Printer Friendly
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning. Rob broke down today's MLB games while Erin took care of the NBA card from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Rob Veno - MLB Every Game on the Board
Erin Rynning - NBA Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
Tags:
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NBA
Rob Veno
Erin Rynning
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MLB Gambling News: Scout impressed with New York's Santana, Pelfrey
04.20.2012 07:30 AM
Printer Friendly
One scout had
positive things
to say about New York's Johan Santana despite getting hit around in his last start. The scout later went on to praise Mike Pelfrey and his new mechanics.
“I was very encouraged with what I saw from Santana,” the scout said, referring to approach, of course, not results.
“He looked the same as he did two years ago. His velocity was fine, his mechanics were good. It didn’t look like he was favoring anything. There were some seeing-eye hits, and the defense. He looked pretty good to me.”
“Pelfrey looks good with his new mechanics,” the scout said. “Not only does that give him velocity, but it gives him some deception.”
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New York Mets
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MLB Gambling Update: Seattle's Hernandez locked in with 12 strikeouts
04.20.2012 06:51 AM
Printer Friendly
Seattle's Felix Hernandez may have earned back the trust of some bettors after last night's 8-inning, 12-strikeout performance against the red hot hitting Cleveland Indians. Hernandez had shown a
decline in velocity
as well as an uncharacteristically backwards GB-to-FB ratio (he was a stellar 10-3 last night). According to one Mariners team blog,
King Felix's change-up
was the key and has morphed into one of the better pitches in the league.
Then, up stepped Shin-Soo Choo. He’d been watching Felix throw change-ups all night long. He just watched Felix put Kipnis down with two deadly change-ups. He had to know what was coming, especially if he got behind in the count.
Curveball, taken, ball one.
Fastball, foul, strike one.
Fastball, taken, strike two.
Change-up, swinging strike, strike three.
There was no doubt that Felix was going to throw Shin-Soo Choo a
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MLB Betting Trends: San Diego's Volquez continues 1st inning struggles
04.20.2012 06:41 AM
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Philadelphia
(Hamels) -135 at
San Diego
(Volquez) O/U 6
We spotted this seemingly random but noteworthy trend last season: Edison Volquez always seems to
struggle in the first inning
. Despite moving from Cincinnati to San Diego, Volquez is once again having difficulty getting through that first frame, allowing runs in two of his three starts. Bettors looking to take advantage can get creative with prop bets of "Will there be a run scored in the 1st inning?", "Total hits+runs+errors in 1st inning?", "Team winning after the 1st inning will be?" and "Which team will score first?".
1st inning career: 92.2 IP, 6.12 ERA, 17 HRs, .857 OPS
1st inning 2012: 3.0 IP, 4 ERs, .385 BAA, .862 OPS
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San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
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MLB Handicapping: Pressure on New York's Hughes vs. Minnesota
04.19.2012 11:26 AM
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Minnesota (Swarzak) at New York (Hughes) -210 O/U 9.5
Once again we see New York's Phil Hughes pitching to
save his spot in the rotation
with Andy Pettitte and Michael Pineda close to returning. Hughes claims that in his first two starts, he used too much of his cutter and change-up and will focus more on throwing
fastballs and curveballs
tonight against Minnesota. According to
FanGraphs
, Hughes’ velocity has been good.
"For me, I don't think he has the makeup to start," the scout said. "He is a two-inning reliever who can rear back and throw his fastball."
"He's gotten into some longer counts and has not been able to put hitters away," Joe Girardi said. "He has gotten plenty of strikeouts up, but he has also made some mistakes up. There is a fine line when you pitch up
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New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins
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Free MLB Betting Pick: Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres
04.19.2012 11:15 AM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
Philadelphia (Worley) -115 at San Diego (Wieland) O/U 6.5
Recommendation: Philadelphia
Expect the Phils to open this weekend series strong tonight behind Vance Worley. Floundering through the first 12 games at 5-7 due to an anemic offense, Philadelphia could find this venue to their liking. With a current lineup featuring very little power, they figure to be built perfectly on offense for this park. Juan Pierre, Jimmy Rollins, Shane Victorino and Hunter Pence can all use their singles and gap style hitting along with their speed to score runs in Petco. Tonight’s opposing starter Joe Wieland was very accommodating to the Los Angeles Dodgers in his only start thus far allowing six runs on six hits (16 total bases) plus a pair of walks in just five innings of work. Wieland’s penchant for pounding the strike zone and not yet mastering anything off speed with a significant velocity differential should play into the hands of the free swinging Phillies hitters. Meanwhile, San Diego’s .179 home batting average, .298 on base percentage and .274 slugging percentage, all indicate Worley could put together another quality outing like he did
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Sports Betting Podcast 4-19-2012 with Rob Veno and Sammy P
04.19.2012 09:16 AM
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Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Sammy P. Rob broke down today's MLB games while Sam took care of the NHL card for tonight and Friday from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Rob Veno - MLB Every Game on the Board
Sammy P - NHL Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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NHL
Rob Veno
Sammy P
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MLB Gambling Notes: Target Field wind remains big obstacle for hitters
04.18.2012 12:20 PM
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TwinCities.com
did an extensive article on the impact Minnesota's Target Field has had on offenses due in large part to wind patterns. Nothing we as bettors weren't already aware of but still well worth the read.
- Target Field allowed the third-fewest home runs per game in the American League in 2010 and 2011, according to ESPN's Home Run Tracker.
-It is the fourth-toughest park in the AL for hitters, according to ESPN's Park Factors, which calculates how each ballpark plays in comparison to the league average.
"When it's warm, and the ball wants to carry, the winds are fighting that, and they're blowing through that gap in right," Huttner said. "It boils down to the way the park is laid out. The wind and weather is almost always working against the ball traveling out of Target Field."
"It's definitely frustrating as a left-handed hitter," Mauer said. "I'd be lying if I told you there aren't times at the plate where you're like, 'Oh, I've got to maybe pull a ball,'
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Free MLB Betting Pick: Chicago Cubs at Miami Marlins
04.18.2012 10:03 AM
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Submitted by
Chicago (Garza) at Miami (Buehrle)
Recommendation: Chicago +110 1st 5 innings
We cashed a 5-inning wager this week on the Padres with underrated pitcher Cory Luebke at a plus-price over Colorado’s Jeremy Guthrie. San Diego led 5-1 after five innings on its way to a 7-1 win. Today we’ll fire with another strong starter on the road at a plus price.
Matt Garza is pitching in his prime and elevating himself among the games top pitchers. Garza is 1-0 with a 1.23 ERA in two home starts this season. He has 14 strikeouts in 14+ innings with just three walks and eight hits allowed for a 0.75 WHIP. Opponents are hitting just .160 against Garza as his ground ball profile has improved and made him even tougher to hit. Last season was Garza’s first with the Cubs after coming over to the National League from Tampa Bay. Garza went just 10-10, but he was one of the stronger pitchers in the NL with a 197 Ks in 198 innings, a 1.26 WHIP, 3.32 ERA and .245 BAA. While his road ERA was over 4.50, note he allowed just three HRs in 81 innings and he’ll face an average Marlins lineup that’s hitting just .243.
Mark Buehrle has
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