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NFL Handicpaping: Week 2 Betting and Statistical Recap

09.16.2013     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Let’s run the numbers…

(If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15. Sloppiness is a quickfire stat to measure execution…the formula is 5 times giveaways plus the number of incomplete passes…lower is better because you want to avoid sloppiness)

San Diego 33 (+7.5), Philadelphia 30

S-Diego: 539 yards, 6.8 per-play, 2 turnovers, 67% third downs

Philadel: 511 yards, 8.7 per-play, 1 turnovers, 45% third downs

(Whoever had the ball last was going to win, because both offenses were getting enough YPP at will to move the ball into scoring position. First glaring sign of Philly’s defensive weaknesses this Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 3

09.16.2013     06:33 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I'm well aware that Nebraska doesn't have the defensive players it had a few years back AND that the offense is playing at a faster clip hence more plays/opportunities for the opposition. However over the last two years we've seen the Cornhuskers fail repeatedly when asked to face competent offenses and what’s baffling to me is the lack of any sort of adjustment.

2012 Week 2 - UCLA racked up 653 yards on nearly 6.95 ypp.

2012 Week 6 - Ohio State popped for 63 on the Huskers at over 8 ypp.

2012 Big Ten Championship - Wisconsin hung 70 and nearly 11 ypp!

2012 Bowl Game - Georgia fell just shy of 600 yards at 8.3 ypp.

2013 Week 1 - Wyoming rolled into Lincoln and put up 602 yards (8.1 ypp) and nearly won outright as 31-point dogs.

These days playing defense against top-notch offenses isn't easy. But there are tons of teams with far less talent that are finding ways to get the occasional three-and-out.

One of my biggest bets of Week 3 was on Washington -4 second half vs. Illinois. The Huskies absolutely dominated the first half box score, kicked a FG right before half, and received the ball to start the second. It Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




LVH SuperContest consensus bets crushed for a second straight week

09.16.2013     06:06 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Another bad week for consensus bets at the LVH SuperContest. Last week's top six picks included Houston, Tampa Bay, Cleveland, Carolina, Indianapolis, and Cincinnati which produced a 0-5-1 ATS result. This week New Orleans, New York Giants, Baltimore, Indianapolis, Arizona, and Kansas City went 2-4 ATS. Note that the Buccaneers were one of the most popular picks prior to their Week 1 loss to the Jets. This week, the complete opposite as New Orleans, Tampa's opponent, was the top consensus play. The Saints won 16-14 as 3-point chalk.



Tags: NFL




College Football Betting Recap: Alabama wins but A&M slips through the backdoor

09.15.2013     08:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted from Stat Intelligence

It wasn't exactly the Game of the Century that the endless pre-game hype on CBS and ESPN would have had you believe (there are no Super Bowls in September!). But, Alabama/A&M was plenty entertaining. Let's get to the numbers.

Alabama 49, Texas A&M 42 (+8)

Alabama: 568 yards, 8.6 per-play, 1 turnovers, 50% third downs

TX A&M: 628 yards, 8.8 per-play, 2 turnovers, 63% third downs

The offenses ruled the defenses to such an extreme degree in this one…that Alabama only faced six third down attempts all afternoon…and Texas A&M only eight. Both teams were moving the ball all day long in big bursts. Not exactly classic SEC football. The Aggie turnovers were high impact. One came in the end zone, spiking what was likely a TD drive (nobody had to settle for a field goal all day). The other was returned for a TD.

In that sense…it felt much more like a big time tennis match. Turnovers were service breaks. The Read more


Tags: College Football Alabama Crimson Tide Texas A&M Aggies SEC Stat Intelligence




NFL Gambling Preview: Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts

09.15.2013     08:04 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Miami at Indianapolis
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Indianapolis pk O/U 43
CRIS Current: Indianapolis -2.5 O/U 43.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Indianapolis -2
Erin Rynning's Recommendation: Indianapolis

The Dolphins were able to coast to a 23-10 win last week in Cleveland against the Browns.  However, they failed to overwhelm and were actually outgained by the Brown by 16 yards.  Their rushing attack was a grave concern with just 20 yards on 23 carries. Second year quarterback Ryan Tannehill is yet to prove he can play at a high level in the NFL.  It doesn’t help that he lacks weapons as well, and the tight end injury to Dustin Keller will prove difficult to overcome.  One could argue that free agent addition wide receiver Mike Wallace will be that true difference maker, but I feel strongly he’ll disappoint.  No question, the defense for the Dolphins will carry this team Read more


Tags: NFL Miami Dolphins Indianapolis Colts Erin Rynning




College Football Gambling: 2nd Half Kickoff List - Week 3

09.14.2013     07:04 AM     Printer Friendly
We'll be updating our College Football 2nd half kick-off list throughout the day to help you with your second half wagers.

2013 College Football Week 3 2nd Half Kick-Off List
Game #
Away Team
Home Team
Receive 2nd Half Kick
111
Eastern Michigan
Rutgers
Eastern Michigan
113
Stanford
Army
Army
115
Georgia State
West Virginia
West Virginia
117
Louisville
Kentucky
Louisville
119
Marshall
Ohio
Ohio
121
Akron
Michigan
Michigan
123
Bowling Green
Indiana
Bowling Green
125
Virginia Tech
East Carolina
Virginia Tech
127
Maryland
Connecticut
Maryland
129
New Mexico
Pittsburgh
New Mexico
131
Louisiana-Monroe
Wake Forest
Wake Forest
133
Western Kentucky
South Alabama
South Alabama
135
Fresno State
Colorado
Canceled
137
Nevada
Florida State
Florida State
139
UCLA
Nebraska
Nebraska
141
Georgia Tech
Duke
Georgia Tech
143
Tennessee
Oregon
Tennessee
145
Mississippi
Texas
Texas
147
Boston College
USC
Boston College
149
Iowa
Iowa State
Iowa
151
Alabama
Texas A&M
Alabama
153
Northern Illinois
Idaho
Northern Illinois
155
Mississippi State
Auburn
Mississippi State
157
Washington
Illinois
Washington
159
Central Florida
Penn State
Penn State
161
Ball State
North Texas
North Texas
163
Memphis
Middle Tennessee State
Middle Tennessee State
165
Southern Miss
Arkansas
Southern Miss
167
Vanderbilt
South Carolina
South Carolina
169
Tulsa
Oklahoma
Tulsa
171
Ohio State
California
Ohio State
173
Massachusetts
Kansas State
Massachusetts
175
Florida Atlantic
South Florida
Florida Atlantic
177
Kansas
Rice
Kansas
179
Kent State
LSU
Kent State
181
Notre Dame
Purdue
Notre Dame
183
UTEP
New Mexico State
UTEP
185
Western Michigan
Northwestern
Western Michigan
187
UTSA
Arizona
Arizona
189
Oregon State
Utah
Utah
191
Central Michigan
UNLV
UNLV
193
Wisconsin
Arizona State
Wisconsin




Tags: College Football




College Football Betting Preview: Tennessee Volunteers at Oregon Ducks

09.13.2013     12:08 PM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tennessee at Oregon
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Oregon -20 O/U 70
CRIS Current: Oregon -27.5 O/U 72
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oregon -28
Brian Edwards' Recommendation: Oregon

After hooking up its betting supporters for the ninth straight time as a road favorite in last week’s 59-10 win at Virginia, Oregon returns home Saturday to take on Tennessee for a 12:30 pm PT start on ABC.

As of early Friday, most books had the Ducks installed as 28-point favorites with the total as low as 71 and as high as 72.5. The line on Oregon opened -20 at CRIS and -24.5 Pinnacle but has steadily climbed throughout the week.

Gamblers can take the Volunteers on the money line for a +1610 payout at CRIS (risk $100 to win $1,610). For first-half wagers, Oregon is favored by -16 or -17 with a total of 37.

These schools met at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville during Week 2 of the Read more


Tags: College Football Tennessee Volunteers SEC Oregon Ducks PAC-12 Brian Edwards




College Football Betting Stock Watch: Wisconsin Badgers should thrive under Andersen

09.13.2013     08:13 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Buy the Wisconsin Badgers – The Badgers have a new face of the program as Gary Andersen moves to Wisconsin from Utah State.  Andersen obviously took over for Bret Bielema, who left the program for the SEC and Arkansas.  The move for the Badgers figures to be a step forward on Saturdays when the games are actually being played.  Bielema did a tremendous job on the recruiting trail and the development of players; however he was largely questioned as an in-game tactician.  This shouldn’t be the case for Andersen who overachieved with his teams at Utah State.  The Badgers will now feature tremendous talent and the X and O’s/game management of Andersen.  Offensively, the Badgers are loaded this season and perhaps flying under the radar.  As always, the run game will be the focus with the three-headed monster of James White, Melvin Gordon and super freshman Corey Clement.  The offensive line is deep and strong, while big play receiver Jared Abbrederis is a true difference maker.  Quarterback Joel Stave doesn’t garner much praise but don’t sleep in him as he runs the play action fake as well as Read more


Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten Erin Rynning




NFL Gambling Preview: San Diego Chargers at Philadelphia Eagles

09.13.2013     08:03 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Diego at Philadelphia
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Philadelphia -7 O/U 51.5
CRIS Current: Philadelphia -7 (-120) O/U 55
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Philadelphia -5.5
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Philadelphia

There’s no doubt that the Eagles offense is the flavor of the week this week. Head coach Chip Kelly’s innovative, extreme tempo system figures to be a lot for San Diego to handle, especially on a short work week. Couple those tasks with a cross country fight, an early 1:00 local time start, and their heart breaking season home opening loss to Houston and you instantly have a strong case for a fade. Defensive fatigue could also be a valid argument against the Chargers since Philadelphia is conditioned for their style and the entire nation saw Washington’s defense gassed in the first quarter last Monday night. A reenergized and rabid Eagles fan base will pack Lincoln Financial Field Read more


Tags: NFL San Diego Chargers Philadelphia Eagles Rob Veno




College Football Betting Preview: Ole Miss Rebels at Texas Longhorns

09.12.2013     07:57 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Mississippi at Texas
Saturday, 5 pm PT
CRIS Opener:
Texas -3.5 O/U 65
CRIS Current: Texas -2.5 O/U 64.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Texas -1
Brent Crow's Recommendation: Mississippi

Much has been made of the firing of Texas defensive coordinator Manny Diaz and the hiring of Greg Robinson to fill his post. Obviously, Mack Brown has a problem with his defense and the hiring of Robinson, who we last saw having terrible results as Michigan’s defensive coordinator under Rich Rodriguez, isn’t likely to fix things. Texas allowed 29.2 ppg last year, giving up 404 yards per game, which was an increase of 7 ppg and 98 ypg over 2011. After BYU ran through them for 559 yards on the ground last week, the decision was made to fire Diaz and hire Robinson, who has supposedly been watching video of the Horns from his home in Los Angeles.

Robinson will have all of three practices to get the Horns Read more


Tags: College Football Ole Miss Rebels SEC Texas Longhorns Big XII Brent Crow



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