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October

25

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NFL Handicapping: A look back at 2012's sloppiest teams

08.20.2013     01:29 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As promised, I’ve compiled sloppiness scores for all 32 NFL teams from the 2012 season. I’ve also done the math for all 32 defenses in terms of “forcing sloppiness" from opponents. I’ll post those in a separate report tomorrow to keep this from turning into a long novel that’s hard to digest in one reading.

If you’re new to the site, sloppiness is a quickfire stat that paints a picture of how effectively teams execute. The formula is 5 times the number of giveaways…plus the number of incomplete passes. The lower the number the better because you want to avoid sloppiness. The league average last year was right around 21 for a per-game score. Having a game in the 30’s or higher is embarrassing. Having an AVERAGE near 30 is a very strong indictment of your quarterback and coach.

Let’s start with the sloppiest teams from 2012 and work our way toward the sharpest…

Sloppiest Teams

Detroit Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NCAA Football Handicapping: Auburn Tigers banged up heading into Week 1

08.20.2013     07:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington State at Auburn -15.5 O/U 59.5

A bunch of key injuries for the Auburn Tigers as they prepare for their Week 1 home game against Washington State.


“We stalled out and hit neutral about a week ago with the loss of so many players that are in the starting picture,” Johnson said. “At one point, we had our best pass rusher, our returning tackle leader, our third-best cornerback out…in fact, we practiced one day without three of our four best corners.”






Tags: College Football Auburn Tigers SEC Washington State Cougars PAC-12




College Football Line Moves: Bettors pound Western Kentucky-Kentucky OVER

08.20.2013     07:04 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Yesterday CRIS posted totals on all of Week 1's college football games. Not a lot of movement in the betting markets save for a few half-point and full point moves. The one exception was the Kentucky-Western Kentucky game. CRIS opened the game 54.5 but a handful of bets later it shot up to 59.5. It has since settled in at 58.5. There are new coaching staffs on both sides, most notably Kentucky who brought in offensive coordinator Neal Brown. Last year's meeting landed 48 in regulation (WKU won 32-31 in OT) with a closing total of 49.5.



Tags: College Football Kentucky Wildcats SEC Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Sun Belt




Monday Night Football Betting Recap: Redskins win and cover vs. Steelers

08.20.2013     06:28 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Ben Roethlisberger took the field for the Pittsburgh Steelers Monday Night against the Washington Redskins…and threw a first quarter touchdown pass. Unfortunately, it was too the wrong team!

That pick six put Washington ahead 7-0, and they would maintain their lead all night on the way to a sluggish 24-13 victory that had a lot of sports fans hopping back periodically to pro wrestling on another channel. Would I do such a thing? Yes! Yes! Yes!

Numbers and notes from Steelers/Redskins...
(If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15)
 
Washington 24 (-3), Pittsburgh 13

Total Yardage: Pittsburgh 300, Washington 310

Passing Stats: Read more


Tags: NFL Washington Redskins Pittsburgh Steelers Stat Intelligence




College Football Gambling: Auburn tabs JC transfer Marshall starting QB

08.19.2013     12:57 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Junior college transfer Nick Marshall was named Auburn's starting quarterback by first-year head coach Gus Malzahn.


“We’re always going to play to our quarterback’s strengths, but he’s very unique,” Malzahn said. “There’s no doubt, he’s a phenomenal athlete. One of the better athletes I’ve probably gotten a chance to coach at the quarterback position. He’s got a very strong arm, and he’s very calm. The day that we went live, they were flying around him and I was right back there with him and he seemed like it was 7-on-7 mode.”

“We do understand what Nick can do. We think he’s got a lot more upside, that he’ll get better and more comfortable with everything. He’s got some ability to make plays when things break down. And in this league things break down from time to time.”






Tags: College Football Auburn Tigers SEC




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC Preseason News and Notes

08.19.2013     08:13 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. During August, Teddy records every game, then watches every first half on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps simply don’t have. This week: AFC tidbits from the first two weeks of the preseason.

Cincinnati Bengals – Boy this team looks impressive; a potential Super Bowl sleeper in a conference that has no clear no. 3 behind Denver and New England to start the season. This was a top 10 defense last year, and looks even better this year, positively loaded with the addition of Super Bowl winner James Harrison from Pittsburgh. Harrison was run blitzing and making plays in the backfield, now the inside linebacker in a 4-3, a new position. Lots of blitzing, worth noting in preseason! The position battles here aren’t huge ones – a battle for the starting center job (Kyle Cook is the favorite to win it) and battles for the second and third receiver after AJ Green. No three-and-outs while Andy Dalton was on the field; he did a great job audibling out of bad situational play calls

Buffalo Bills Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NCAA Football Handicapping: Arkansas seeks balanced offense under Bielema

08.19.2013     07:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A lot of bettors are curious how Arkansas' offense will look under first-year head coach Brett Bielema and offensive coordinator Jim Cheney. Great quote from Bielema after seeing the Razorbacks in the shotgun during a short yardage situation last season.


"I certainly hope the first short-yardage play this fall, we aren't in the (shot)gun," Bielema said.

"A lot of times in recruiting, people take shots at us that we're just going to be four yards and a cloud of dust," Bielema said. "If you look back at our history, we were one of the few teams that averaged over 220 yards running and throwing the ball, which to me creates great balance, which makes quarterback a little easier to read defenses."






Tags: College Football Arkansas Razorbacks SEC




NFL Preseason Betting Recap: Saturday Stats (August 17)

08.18.2013     07:21 AM     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Let’s run the numbers from the first five Saturday games in market rotation order…

(If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15)

Arizona 12 (-4), Dallas 7

Total Yardage: Dallas 342, Arizona 365

Passing Stats: Dallas 25-37-3-298, Arizona 21-40-1-260

Turnovers: Dallas 6, Arizona 1

Drive Points: Dallas 7, Arizona 3

Stat Score: Dallas 17, Arizona 21

Yup…Dallas sure is cleaning things up. SIX TURNOVERS! Good thing they had that head start on everyone else with the Hall of Fame game.

Tony Romo actually played pretty well. He was 12-14-0-142, which is good yardage for that many completions and attempts. Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Preseason Betting Recap: Saints and Patriots win and cover

08.17.2013     07:50 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Taking the games in market rotation order…

(If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15)

Buffalo 20 (-4), Minnesota 16

Total Yardage: Minnesota 256, Buffalo 380

Passing Stats: Minnesota 19-37-0-151, Buffalo 25-36-1-207

Turnovers: Minnesota 1, Buffalo 1

Drive Points: Minnesota 16, Buffalo 7

Stat Score: Minnesota 16, Buffalo 25

A few quick notes from an odd game:

*Kevin Kolb of Buffalo played the whole first half for Buffalo. He put up some yardage…but the offense only scored two field goals with him at the helm. They had a defensive touchdown to give them a 13-3 lead at the half. Kolb was Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting: Another long season awaits Tim Beckman and Illinois

08.16.2013     09:19 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
On a recent Sportsmemo Podcast (you can listen here) I had a great conversation with Brian Edwards about the Big Ten and in particular Illinois. Brian was pretty vocal about his distaste for Illini head coach Tim Beckman who is heading into his second season in Champaign. I'm not as anti-Beckman as Brian but I do agree that he appears to be over his head and will have a difficult time fielding a competitive football team this year. So much so that I recommend a play on the UNDER with their season over/under wins. Unfortunately, 5Dimes appears to be the only sportsbook I know of offering a line, so if you can't get a bet down consider this a "fade report" of the Illini.

If you do play at 5Dimes, there are multiple numbers available. The baseline number is 3.5 with -120 juice on both sides. Playing 3.5 under is a good play, however, you can also get 4un-175 which is even stronger. In order to lose, Illinois will obviously have to get to five wins which I simply don’t see. But paying the extra juice gives you a little wiggle room as four wins Read more


Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten Andrew Lange



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 25, 2014 01:34 PM.