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NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings

03.18.2013     08:08 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Had some time to throw down numbers after the first set of Vegas lines went up. These are based on early numbers, and could change over the next few days. If you’re new to the website, these are my estimates of how “the market” has its Power Ratings heading into the Big Dance. They’re based on the estimates we’ve been updating continually through the season, and the current numbers in Tuesday/Thursday/Friday action.

Note that the market loves Florida, Arizona, and Pittsburgh more than the polls or selection committee did…which has been true or several weeks. And, for you regulars, the ACC may be getting more respect in the market that I had been guessing in recent days based on the early prices for NC and NC State, and possibly the Mountain West too the way things are shading with some of those teams.

First, by seed.

1…Louisville 87, Indiana 87, Gonzaga 85, Kansas 84

2…Duke 86, Ohio State 84, Miami 83, Georgetown Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Betting News and Notes: Conference Tournament Title Games

03.17.2013     07:13 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New and notes for today’s conference tournament title games.

North Carolina's recent surge (8-2 SU/ATS) was in part due to a switch to a smaller lineup – right after losing to Miami 87-61 back on Feb. 9. Both of UNC's ACC Tournament games went OVER the total after it closed the regular season with six straight UNDERS.


“The smaller lineup has helped us,’’ Williams said Saturday after his team beat Maryland in the semifinals. “We’re a better basketball team. Is it a world-beater, is it the newest thing that ever happened, the best thing that ever happened? No. ... But [going small] was the best thing for this team.



Ole Miss head coach Andy Kennedy feels confident that by reaching today's SEC finals that his squad has earned a berth in the NCAA Tournament. The latest Bracketology projection has the Rebels among the "last four Read more


Tags: College Basketball North Carolina Tar Heels Miami Hurricanes Ole Miss Rebels Florida Gators VCU Rams Saint Louis Billikens Wisconsin Badgers Ohio State Buckeyes




NCAA Basketball Betting Recap: Syracuse disintegrates, Kansas and New Mexico cut down nets

03.17.2013     06:45 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

If you ever wondered by handicappers should pay attention to fatigue, the last 15 minutes of tonight’s Syracuse/Louisville game should have made it crystal clear. Syracuse hit a wall…a bit more than midway through their fourth game in four days. A 16-point lead evaporated in a finger snap. Another finger snap, and Louisville was up by that much!

Syracuse 45-29 in the first 25 minutes

Louisville 49-16 in the last 15 minutes

The treys stopped falling for Syracuse (the laws of math only let you tempt fate for so long), the legs stopped moving in their zone defense…which allowed Louisville to either pass for easy buckets or rebound misses for easy buckets. One team hit a wall just as the other finally found the right gear. Amazing to behold.

Louisville 78, Syracuse 61

2-Point Percentage: Syracuse 41%, Louisville 45%

3-Point Shooting: Syracuse 9/22, Louisville 6/19

Free Throws: Syracuse 12/26, Read more


Tags: College Basketball Syracuse Orange Louisville Cardinals Stat Intelligence




Atlantic-10 Tournament Betting Free Play: UMass Minutemen vs. VCU Rams

03.16.2013     09:53 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Massachusetts +8.5 vs. VCU O/U 151.5
Recommendation: UMass


I'm of the belief that teams facing VCU for a second time are going to perform better. The element of surprise with the "Havoc" isn't as strong and an entire game of film can be dissected. When UMass traveled to VCU earlier this season the inevitable occurred – the Minutemen turned the ball over 24 times and lost by 18. Make no mistake, UMass is going to cough it up more than a few times tonight, but I'm confident that the change in venue and situation (UMass playing for its NCAA Tournament life) is going to make this more of a competitive matchup. And another thing to consider is VCU isn't the same team away from home. The Rams played nine games against A-10 opponents on the road/neutral and had exactly one win by more than seven points – against the worst team in the league, Duquesne.

VCU vs. St. Joe's - Win by 3
VCU at Temple - Loss by 8
VCU at Xavier - Win Read more


Tags: College Basketball UMass Minutemen VCU Rams Andrew Lange




NBA Handicapper Free Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers at Dallas Mavericks

03.15.2013     12:47 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cleveland +8 at Dallas O/U 203
Recommendation: Cleveland


Dallas is in a very tough scheduling spot this evening.  They played their guts out last night against San Antonio but came up a single point short, a hard fought defeat for a shorthanded team right now. 

It doesn’t look like the Mavericks are going to have starting forward Shawn Marion on the floor again this evening, and starting center Chris Kaman is a major question mark after twisting his ankle last night.  Last night’s loss dropped the Mavs into a tie with Portland in the West, both teams three games out of the final playoff spot. 

For a sub .500 team like Dallas, it’s hard to picture them coming with maximum intensity here on the second night of back-to-backs.  And we certainly shouldn’t forget that the Mavs have lost two of their last three at home in SU fashion, while the lone home win during that span came by only four points.

Cleveland notched a Read more


Tags: NBA Cleveland Cavaliers Dallas Mavericks Teddy Covers




SEC Tournament Betting Free Play: Missouri Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels

03.15.2013     11:07 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Missouri vs. Mississippi +5 O/U 153.5
Recommendation: Mississippi


When people think Ole Miss they think an underachieving squad that recently did the unthinkable and lost to woeful Mississippi State. But this is a squad that still won 23 games and went a respectable 12-6 in SEC play. Are there flaws? Absolutely. But I like the fact that rather than pack it in the Rebels beat Alabama and went on the road and roughed up LSU following the embarrassing lost to rival MSU. Missouri played a tougher SEC slate than Ole Miss but at 11-7 in league play, the Tigers also have flaws – most notably performing well away from home against quality competition. I'm whipping the slate clean with the underdog and giving them a shot to stick around and potentially pull off the upset.

Follow me on Twitter @LangeSportsmemo



Tags: College Basketball Missouri Tigers Ole Miss Rebels Andrew Lange




Sports Betting Podcast 3-15-2013 with Handicappers Rob Veno, Ian Cameron, and Teddy Covers

03.15.2013     10:01 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno, Ian Cameron, and Teddy Covers. All three handicappers broke down today's college basketball conference tournaments.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - ACC, Big Ten, Atlantic-10 Conference Tournaments

Ian Cameron - SEC, C-USA, MAC Conference Tournaments

Teddy Covers - Big East, Big XII, PAC-12, MWC Conference Tournaments

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast Read more


Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno Ian Cameron Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Recap: Georgetown, Illinois, and Iowa State advance

03.14.2013     12:54 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The early Thursday schedule was notable for the number of Dance-bound teams finally seeing action. If what happened on the floor today is any indication, not much should be expected from the likes of Minnesota, Oklahoma, and Cincinnati next week. Heck, Illinois WON but looked about as bad as you can while winning a game.

Let’s run the numbers…

Illinois 51, Minnesota 49

2-Point Percentage: Minnesota 43%, Illinois 39%

3-Point Shooting: Minnesota 6/17, Illinois 6/25

Free Throws: Minnesota 11/14, Illinois 9/10

1’s and 2’s: Minnesota 31, Illinois 33

Rebounds: Minnesota 36, Illinois 24

Turnovers: Minnesota 17, Illinois 5

(Minnesota 24 in Kenpom, 30 in Sagarin, 30 in BPI, Illinois 42-44-62)

Very ugly game. Minnesota continued it’s “Hey computers, will you just accept that we suck instead of talking about Read more


Tags: College Basketball Georgetown Hoyas Illinois Fighting Illini Iowa State Cyclones Stat Intelligence




SEC Tournament Betting Free Play: Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Vanderbilt Commodores

03.14.2013     11:54 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arkansas -3 vs. Vanderbilt O/U 125
Recommendation: Arkansas


Vanderbilt enjoyed a very easy slate down the stretch, winning four of their last five games in large part because they played three of the weakest teams in the conference—South Carolina, Auburn and Mississippi State.  They escaped with a one point win (as 5.5-point favorites, a non-cover) over offensively challenged Georgia and got absolutely annihilated at Florida in their other two games during that span.

Kevin Stalling’s squad is as young as it gets.  They don’t have a senior on the roster after graduating all five senior starters from last year’s team.  And they have only two juniors; Kyle Fuller and Rod Odom.  That’s why the Commodores have struggled so much away from home this year; not a team to trust in a neutral court environment, even one in their home city.  Let’s not forget how Arkansas held Vandy to a grand total Read more


Tags: College Basketball Arkansas Razorbacks Vanderbilt Commodores Teddy Covers




ACC Tournament Betting Preview

03.14.2013     07:48 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
ACC Tournament Preview

The return of sharp shooting forward Ryan Kelly has most of the country believing that this is Duke’s tournament to lose. The bracket setup has the Blue Devils likely headed for a semifinal matchup with arch rival North Carolina who Duke dismantled at Chapel Hill last Saturday and then a potential showdown with Miami. Before we look too far ahead, there appears to be quite a bit of competitive basketball played between today’s first round and Friday’s quarterfinals. Youth will be in play as Wake Forest, Georgia Tech, Maryland, Virginia Tech and Clemson all have an abundance of underclassmen who are major contributors. With that in mind, results could be a bit random since there’s no real way of telling how players will react to this huge spotlight. Virginia and Maryland fit the “desperate team” bill here as they are both fighting to get into the Big Dance so expect fully focused efforts from each. Last season this tournament was played in Atlanta’s Phillips Arena but this year it is back in Greensboro Coliseum where in 2011, the tourney favorites went 8-3 against the spread. Of that 8-3 Read more


Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Apr 17, 2014 05:13 PM.