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October

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College Basketball Betting Update: Minnesota's wheels come off again

02.11.2013     02:35 PM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

A little over two weeks ago the Minnesota Golden Gophers they were in the midst of a three-game losing streak with rumblings that the program was in disarray. The following game they had a decent effort at Wisconsin (lost by one, covered +3.5) and then manhandled Nebraska at home by 19. Up next, Minny barely slipped past Iowa, 62-59, as 10-point home favorites – a win that was a bit troubling considering the Golden Gophers shot better from the field, attempted and made more free throws, were +6 on the glass, and somehow didn't sniff a pointspread cover. Three days later in East Lansing, Minnesota had a 20-18 halftime lead but lost by 11 catching +3.5. But out of all of those performances, it was Sunday's showing vs. Illinois that was the worst. In an absolutely prime spot – off a loss, at home, facing a mediocre Illini squad that just beat the No. 1 team in the country in miracle fashion – Minnesota was simply awful. This is an offense that through its first five Big Ten games averaged 79 ppg and against the 11th-ranked Read more


Tags: College Basketball Minnesota Golden Gophers




NBA Handicapper Free Pick: Brooklyn Nets at Indiana Pacers

02.11.2013     11:20 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Brooklyn at Indiana -8.5 O/U 183
Recommendation: Indiana


Brooklyn is falling apart before our eyes.  They’ve lost six of nine, snapping any momentum they had gained from their strong run when PJ Carlesimo initially took over for Avery Johnson as the head coach.  The worst part of the Nets recent decline has been their complete lack of effort once they fall behind.  Their six losses during this skid have come by 25, 15, 9, 20, 13 and 24 points.  In other words, when things start to go south for this team, they tend to go south in a hurry!

Nets shooting guard Joe Johnson doesn’t sound too convinced that his team will be able to turn it around on the second night of back-to-backs on the road against an elite level foe.  Shooting guard Joe Johnson: “I don't know what it is, but you know, it just seems when a team makes a run on us, man, it just takes the air out of us. It shouldn't be that way. We should be able to respond, but it hasn't Read more


Tags: NBA Brooklyn Nets Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: College Basketball's worst against the spread

02.11.2013     07:40 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I took a look at the best pointspread teams in all of college basketball, with the goal of assessing which teams were most likely to continue their ATS success down the stretch. This week, I’m taking the opposite approach; examining the very worst pointspread teams in college basketball. Why are they so bad against the spread? Will they continue to be overvalued as February rolls into March? Let’s find out!

The single worst pointspread team in all of college basketball this year has been IUPUI (Indiana-Purdue, Indianapolis); the type of team that only wiseguys bet on or against on a regular basis. At 5-17 ATS, no team in all of college basketball has suffered more pointspread defeats than the Jaguars this year. The Jaguars play in the Summit League, on the added board in college hoops – exclusive territory for sharps.

IUPUI has virtually no homecourt edge, covering just a single pointspread at home all year. They’ve been besieged with injuries and attrition; Read more


Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapping: Knicks and Nets outclassed by Western Conference contenders

02.11.2013     07:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

You don’t want to read too much into a generic February Sunday of NBA basketball. But it was a discouraging day for fans of the New York Knicks and Brooklyn Nets, who were both outclassed significantly by Western Conference contenders. 

*New York (-3.5) lost to the LA Clippers 102-88 (missing expectations by 17.5 points)

*Brooklyn (+2) lost to San Antonio 111-86 (missing expectations by 23 points)

It was already bad enough for the Nets that they were home underdogs to the Spurs on a night when both Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili were out with injuries. Brooklyn got annihilated by the shorthanded Spurs! San Antonio won the second half 60-29.

I’m not going to run the full boxes. A few quick keys from Gotham's day-night doubleheader…

LA Clippers 102, New York 88

2-Point Percentage: Clippers 60%, New York 51%

3-Point Shooting: Clippers 10/28, New York 7/23

Rebounds: Clippers 43, New York Read more


Tags: NBA New York Knicks Brooklyn Nets San Antonio Spurs Los Angeles Clippers Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Gambling: Recapping Notre Dame's miracle win vs. Louisville and others

02.10.2013     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It was possibly the worst quintuple overtime thriller I’ve ever watched! Well, a truly ugly first 35 minutes…followed by a sluggish but entertainingly dramatic 30 additional minutes. Many of you watched too, so you know what I’m talking about. The last 35 minutes of on-the-clock action was very compelling basketball even if the game was far from a piece of artwork. If you missed it:

*We had your typical 50-something to 40-something type grinder brewing most of the night. Louisville led 49-45 with 2:30 left in regulation.

*Louisville pulled out to what seemed like a safe lead with 90 seconds left…setting up the standard sequence of them shooting free throws while Notre Dame tried to make desperation treys. Louisville led 53-45 with 1:27 to go.

*Notre Dame made ONE…then TWO…then THREE very long range very forced desperation treys to force a late tie. Those bombs fell with 44-36-28 seconds left respectively.

*Louisville didn’t have Read more


Tags: College Basketball Notre Dame Fighting Irish Louisville Cardinals Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Gambling: Top ranked Indiana melts down at Illinois

02.08.2013     12:17 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Number one Indiana trailed for a fraction of a second in the second half Thursday night in its Big Ten road game against Illinois in Champaign-Urbana. It was the fraction of a second that mattered most…as Illinois hit a shot just before the buzzer to make it FIVE STRAIGHT WEEKS where the top team in the AP poll was knocked off its perch.

Illinois 74, #1 Indiana 72

2-Point Percentage: Indiana 48%, Illinois 50%

3-Point Shooting: Indiana 9/17, Illinois 9/24

Free Throws: Indiana 13/14, Illinois 13/15

1’s and 2’s: Indiana 45, Illinois 47

Rebounds: Indiana 28, Illinois 21

Turnovers: Indiana 14, Illinois 9

(Indiana 2-1 in Kenpom/Sagarin respectively, Illinois 56-51)

We talked about Indiana’s penchant for sloppiness in our coverage of the Michigan game last weekend. That was an issue here…as the team was -5 in the turnover category against an opponent that was second best Read more


Tags: College Basketball Illinois Fighting Illini Indiana Hoosiers Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Handicapping: MAAC teams falter after tough stretch of schedule

02.08.2013     07:51 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It was a wild night in the MAAC last night as league contenders Canisius, Iona, and Niagara all lost outright as betting favorites (Canisius opened -2.5 vs. Manhattan but closed as a pk/1-point underdog). It was a classic case of three teams that were simply worn down after beating up on one another. It started two Sunday's ago when Niagara beat rival Canisius on a buzzer beater. The Purple Eagles then beat Iona in a wild 93-90 overtime affair. They then lost to Loyola-MD in double overtime, 89-87. And Canisius and Iona hooked up last Saturday with the Golden Griffins prevailing 77-74. So basically, the top four teams in the league – Niagara, Loyola-MD, Iona, and Canisius – played an intense, highly competitive round robin tournament. Note that Fairfield already ran the gauntlet of top teams and as a result started conference play 2-6. But while everyone was trading wins and losses over the last two weeks, the Stags enjoyed ripping off five straight wins against the weaker teams in the league and now find themselves in the hunt. Anyway, something to consider tonight as Loyola-MD is a big favorite over bottom feeder Siena. The Greyhounds were on the winning end of that Read more


Tags: College Basketball Canisius Golden Griffins Iona Gaels Niagara Purple Eagles Loyola (MD) Greyhounds Fairfield Stags Andrew Lange




College Basketball Handicapping: TCU's upset of Kansas highlights crazy night

02.07.2013     06:23 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Earlier tonight I posted the numbers from TCU’s upset of Kansas. There was a slew of games on this crazy night that could have earned their own post. That would have taken all night to write though. So, I’m going to cherry pick some key numbers from important games involving ranked teams.

#7 Arizona (-8.5) beat Stanford 73-67

Arizona fell behind Stanford 10-0 out of the gate, and it looked like we were going to see a replay of the UCLA game on this floor. But, the Wildcats settled down…got back into the game quickly enough, then pulled away in the final moments to win by six. If you buy into the theory that Arizona is overrated when they’re matched up against quality, that paid off against the market price. I’m still skeptical about how some of their Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Iowa Hawkeyes at Wisconsin Badgers

02.06.2013     11:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Iowa +9 at Wisconsin O/U 124.5
Recommendation: Iowa


My clients and I cashed a winner with Iowa as road underdogs at Ohio State last week, when the Hawkeyes rallied back from a 24-point deficit to make things verrrry interesting in the final minute in Columbus before falling short – despite an awful game from leading scorer Roy Devyn Marble. 

We cashed another winner supporting the Hawkeyes on Super Bowl Sunday as they led for extended stretches of the second half, an easy wire-to-wire pointspread cover as double-digit underdogs.  And there’s absolutely no reason to think that the Hawkeyes won’t be able to cash another winning bet for us tonight as they travel to Madison to take on a Badgers team that the Hawkeyes have beaten in each of the last three meetings.

Iowa hasn’t lost a game by ten points or more since getting blown out at Michigan on January 6th, hanging tough with quality Big Ten foes like the Ohio Read more


Tags: College Basketball Iowa Hawkeyes Wisconsin Badgers Teddy Covers




College Basketball Handicapping: Wisconsin's crazy season from the charity stripe

02.06.2013     07:21 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Through nine Big Ten games, Wisconsin totals are 2-7 O/U. Last season in Big Ten play – with the help of two overtime games – the Badgers actually trended OVER the total at 11-7 O/U. The reason? There were a few but the key was free throws. Everyone is well aware UW’s horrific season from the free throw line (61.5% overall, 56.2% vs. Big Ten). But it’s also their inability to get to the line that is helping their games go under the total. That is until this occurred. Prior to the Illinois game, UW put extra emphasis in practice on trying to draw fouls. Amazingly, they went from not shooting a single free throw vs. Ohio State to 42 vs. Illinois.

Wisconsin rarely if ever strays away from a slow tempo and hard-nosed defense. But with totals routinely in the 115-125 range, free throws, or lack thereof can make a big difference. Take a look these numbers...

2012 (11-7 O/U)
16.7 FT attempts per game vs. Read more


Tags: College Basketball Wisconsin Badgers Andrew Lange



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