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Teddy Covers Las Vegas Wise Guys Report: NFL Season O/U Wins

07.15.2013     10:16 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve written a couple of columns about the first NFL win totals posted here in Las Vegas. Now that the betting markets are starting to mature, it’s time to take another look at the Over/Under win totals for all 32 teams for the coming year. This week’s focus is on strength of schedule for the upcoming campaign.

I closed out my last column on NFL win totals by looking back at last year’s final strength of schedule, based on my power rating numbers for each opponent on the week that the game was played. Here was my final assessment:

“The New York Giants faced single toughest schedule from last year based on my numbers on the weeks the games were played. The Saints weren’t far behind. Arizona, San Francisco, Tennessee, Baltimore and St Louis all faced abnormally tough slates.
“On the easy side, the Colts, Texans and Bengals all stood out; by far the three easiest schedules in the league. Miami, Atlanta and San Diego also had much easier than average slates. In my next column, I’ll write about the next step in the process -- identifying accurate strength of schedule numbers for 2013.”

That Read more



Tags: NFL Season Wins Teddy Covers




MLB Gambling Free Pick: San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres

07.14.2013     09:24 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Francisco (Zito) +130 at San Diego (Stults) O/U 8
Recommendation: San Francisco


My clients and I cashed a 20* Big Ticket winner with the Giants on Friday in their 10-1 blowout over the Padres. And we cashed another winner supporting San Francisco last night with Tim Lincecum’s no hitter in a 9-0 laugher. There’s absolutely no reason to think the slumping Padres are going to break out of their extended funk this afternoon either.

Here’s an excerpt from yesterday’s write-up with the numbers adjusted to reflect current realities:

“For all the struggles that the Giants have endured over the past few weeks, this team is still very much in contention in the NL West, trailing vulnerable division leader Arizona by only 6.5 games. The defending World Series champs have been here before – at the end of an extended slump AND on the outside looking in at the playoff picture past the halfway point of the season. There’s money Read more



Tags: MLB San Francisco Giants San Diego Padres Teddy Covers




College Football Betting: Take a closer look at home field advantage

07.13.2013     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

When I ran an early estimate of market ratings for college football a few weeks ago, I noted that I generally use a standard 3 points for home field advantage, just like I do in the NFL. A few people have asked me about that, the most recent being by way of twitter early today when @BigDings asked “Shouldn’t HFA be different for a lot of teams, and not always just a standard three points?”

There are different schools of thought about this. And those schools have some contempt for each other. In a nutshell:

*One school says that OBVIOUSLY some teams enjoy much bigger home field advantages than others, so you should account for that in your process. Teams with bigger home field edges should get 4 or even 5 points. Teams who gain little advantage could get as little as 0 or even 1 if they don’t have much talent and don’t draw home Read more



Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




Belize players were asked to fix match vs. U.S.

07.11.2013     11:23 AM     Printer Friendly
Reports have surfaced of a failed match fixing attempt involving Belize's National Team. A couple of players were allegedly approached by someone offering them money to help fix a game they would eventually lose 6-1 to the US National Team.


"He started talking that we don't really stand a chance to beat the U.S so he wanted us to promise him that we would lose the game and that he would give us a large amount of money to change our lives in Belize and to help our families. Then as he said that my entire features changed and I just felt a different way, I felt really uncomfortable just to be around the guy because I was already aware about the 'match fixing' and I know that I could get banned for life. He saw that my features changed and he saw that we weren't into it so he got frightened and took out a large amount of money to bribe us, a lot of hundred and fifty dollar bills and threw it at us on the table and told us to keep it and to not say anything and to keep the money. Like I told him, 'we can't take that money' because at the end of

Read more



Tags: Soccer




MLB Gambling Free Pick: St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs

07.11.2013     11:01 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
St. Louis (Westbrook) at Chicago Cubs (Jackson) +115 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Chicago


The Cubs were 18-30 on May 26th.  Since that time, they’ve gone 22-19, despite being favored only eight times in their last 41 games, a major source of profits for their supporters.  Clearly, the betting markets have been slow to adjust to Chicago’s dramatically improved play!

Yes, the Cubs got absolutely annihilated by the Angels last night, but a matchup against their biggest rival should help wipe away the loss rather quickly.  Let’s not forget that Chicago has gone 6-1 in their last seven tries following a defeat; bouncing back strong on a consistent basis.

St. Louis comes into the game on a five game winning streak courtesy of the two weakest teams in baseball – they’ve feasted at home on the Marlins and Astros.  But the Cardinals were 3-8 in their previous eleven games, and they’ve lost each of their last three series Read more



Tags: MLB St. Louis Cardinals Chicago Cubs Teddy Covers




College Football Handicapping: Big XII league play schedule breakdown

07.11.2013     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
On yesterday's Sportsmemo Podcast, handicapper Rob Veno gave his initial thoughts and opinions on the Big XII (listen here). Rob noted that because of the 10-team format, team plays nine conference games, meaning some will play five home games while others will obviously play only four. Note that Texas vs. Oklahoma and Baylor vs. Texas Tech are neutral site games (thanks to "Crow" for the tip). Here's a quick breakdown of the splits.

Kansas State (5 home/4 road)
Home: Baylor, West Virginia, Iowa State, TCU, Oklahoma
Road: Texas, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, Kansas

Kansas (5 home/4 road)
Home: Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Baylor, West Virginia, Kansas State
Road: TCU, Texas, Oklahoma State, Iowa State

Oklahoma State (5 home/4 road)
Home: Kansas State, TCU, Kansas, Baylor, Oklahoma
Road: West Virginia, Iowa State, Texas Tech, Texas

Texas (4 home/4 road/1 neutral)
Home: Kansas State, Kansas, Oklahoma State, Texas Read more



Tags: College Football Big XII Rob Veno




MLB Handicapping: Miami Marlins and New York Mets finding ways to win

07.11.2013     07:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

On June 6, the Miami Marlins were 16-44, suffering through one of the worst opening 60 game stretches in the history of baseball. The NL East standings since then:

Washington 18-14

Miami 17-13

NY Mets 17-15

Philadelphia 14-17

Atlanta 15-16

Those are through the games of Wednesday July 10, since that division wrapped up early. We joked about Miami and Atlanta turning into each other yesterday or the day before. Miami won today’s series finale easily, meaning they’ve been 2.5 games better than the Braves over a month of action while splitting six games head-to-head.

Imagine how season storylines might have been different if the Marlins and Mets had winning records over their first five weeks of action instead of their last five weeks.

The Mets beat the Giants today. Defending World Champion San Francisco is now 3-16 their last 19 games, and 17-35 over the last two months. Riches to rags. All sorts of bedlam in Read more



Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence Miami Marlins New York Mets




College Football Gambling: Wisconsin's Andersen wants more from QB

07.10.2013     01:03 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Interesting article about Wisconsin's quarterback situation and the plan of attack under first-year head coach Gary Andersen. Anderson is seeking more mobility from the position but it doesn't appear that Wisky will stray too far from the pro-style, power run game of old.


And you wonder if Stave, who does not possess a lot of mobility, will be the type of quarterback Andersen wants going forward. At Utah State the past two years, he started Chuckie Keeton after handing him the reins as a true freshman. Keeton ran for 618 yards and eight touchdowns last year for the Aggies.







Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten




College Football Betting Podcast: Big XII Conference Preview

07.10.2013     10:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange previewed the Big XII and talked Season Over/Under Wins.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - Big XII Preview

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: College Football Rob Veno Big XII




MLB Handicapping: Recapping Tuesday's games

07.10.2013     07:56 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Let’s run through the results to update some recent Major League Baseball storylines we’ve been monitoring. Well take the games in market rotation order. If you're new to the site, we generally focus on what happens in the first five innings because there's a shortage of coverage in that particular betting proposition that's growing in popularity.

*Washington’s bats cooled off as soon as they stopped facing Milwaukee and San Diego pitching. So, there’s less reason to be enthusiastic about a surge into the playoff picture. The Nats are just two games over .500 with tonight’s full game loss. It’s probably going to take about +18 over .500 to grab a Wildcard (90-72). I usually use the four-max approach when talking about five-inning offense (capping scoring off at a maximum of four runs to diminish the impact of outliers). Look at Washington’s recent 5-inning statline if I leave in the real numbers: 1-1-5-8-0-0-3-8-3-11-0-1. Two 8’s and an 11! But, Read more



Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 01, 2015 07:07 AM.