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BCS Championship Betting Recap: Florida State wins but Auburn gets the cash

01.07.2014     07:16 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Great game! You probably watched. No need to rehash the play-by-play. Let’s see what the numbers say about the evening…

Florida State 34, Auburn (+11) 31

Florida State: 385 yards, 5.8 per-play, 1 turnovers, 17% third downs

Auburn : 462 yards, 5.8 per-play, 1 turnovers, 56% third downs

Other Numbers

Florida State: 148 rush, 20-35-0-237 passing, 17 drive points, 24 stat score, 20 sloppiness

Auburn: 232 rush, 14-27-1-230 passing, 17 drive points, 31 stat score, 18 sloppiness

Auburn got the best of it when it was offense vs. defense, which was a big surprise. In fact, they scored exactly what they were supposed to based on stat score (2 times rushing, plus passing, times 0.67, divided by 15). Florida State’s kickoff return TD saved the day for the Seminoles. Throw that in, and stat score becomes a 31-all tie in a game that ended 34-31.

Auburn jumped to a 21-3 lead against a seemingly Read more

Tags: College Football Auburn Tigers SEC Florida State Seminoles ACC Stat Intelligence

College Football Gambling: South Carolina irked about underdog status vs. Wisconsin

01.01.2014     05:50 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wisconsin -2 vs. South Carolina O/U 51

Looks like South Carolina got word it's an underdog to a Big Ten squad.

"I was a little surprised," Badgers linebacker Chris Borland said this week. "We're confident that we're going to win. It's just this huge SEC bias out there that they're a great conference, which they are. But, yeah, I was surprised."

"I don't want to sound like a cocky type of guy, but I just kind of take it as a slap in the face," Sutton said this week. "We as a team collectively, we work hard and we bust our butts at practice every day and listen to what the coaches tell us to do. For us to be the highly ranked team coming into this game and be labeled as the underdog, we kind of take it as a slap in the face as a team

Read more

Tags: College Football South Carolina Gamecocks SEC Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten

Outback Bowl Betting Preview: Iowa Hawkeyes vs. LSU Tigers

01.01.2014     05:45 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Iowa vs LSU
Outback Bowl - Tampa, Fla.
Wednesday, 10 am PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
LSU -7 O/U 49.5
CRIS Current: LSU -7.5 O/U 49
Rob Veno's Power Rating: LSU -10
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: LSU

Kirk Ferentz has always had a tough time recruiting top notch talent to play in Iowa City for the Hawkeyes, and it hasn’t gotten easier as the Hawkeyes have fallen into mediocrity (or worse) in recent seasons.  Iowa hasn’t won more than eight games in a season since 2009.

This year they lost all three of their step-up-in-class games this year by double digit margins; blasted by Ohio State, Michigan State and Wisconsin.  Their problem is plain and simple – talent, or the lack thereof; good enough to beat up on the dregs of the Big 10, but not good enough to compete with the elites.

And make no mistake about it – LSU is elite, even with frosh QB Anthony Jennings Read more

Tags: College Football Iowa Hawkeyes Big Ten LSU Tigers SEC Teddy Covers

Chick-fil-A Bowl Betting Preview: Duke Blue Devils vs. Texas A&M Aggies

12.30.2013     12:31 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Duke vs. Texas A&M
Chick-fil-A Bowl - Atlanta, Ga.
Tuesday, 5 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Texas A&M -11.5 O/U 70
CRIS Current: Texas A&M -12 O/U 75.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Texas A&M -14

The Chick-fil-A-Bowl really does have a David vs. Goliath kind of feel to it. This was a magical season for the Duke Blue Devils who exceeded expectations throughout as they won eight games in a row to close out the regular season en route to an ACC Atlantic Division title and ACC Championship Game appearance. Duke posted victories over three ACC bowl bound teams: Virginia Tech, Miami (FL) and North Carolina but saw its winning streak come to an end in the ACC title game with an unsurprising 45-7 loss to top ranked Florida State.

Duke will be in for a stiff challenge against Johnny Football and the Texas A&M Aggies but they have the offensive components to hang around. Junior quarterback Anthony Read more

Tags: College Football Duke Blue Devils ACC Texas A&M Aggies SEC Ian Cameron

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: How to bet College Football Bowl Games Part II

12.30.2013     07:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
I wrote an article in this space prior to bowl season (link) detailing my personal strategies for turning a profit during these three weeks of high stakes affairs.  But as I do my research for the upcoming games, I continue to find a bevy of outdated information widely available on the internet; strategies that haven’t worked in years, yet they’ve become a part of the gambling lexicon. 

I did a national radio spot last week with a well-known host.  He brought up three strategies as the sharp Vegas method.  None of them work.  In fact, none of them have worked in years. I don’t think the host was an idiot – there’s just a bevy of bad information out there!

So my goal for this week’s column is to poke holes in the outdated information.  The betting markets are not a static entity; always morphing and evolving.  What worked five, ten or twenty years ago doesn’t necessarily work as 2013 shifts to 2014.  And when it Read more

Tags: College Football Teddy Covers

Pinstripe Bowl Betting Preview: Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

12.27.2013     11:50 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Rutgers vs. Notre Dame
Pinstripe Bowl - Bronx, NY
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Notre Dame -15.5 O/U 53
CRIS Current: Notre Dame -14 O/U 53.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Notre Dame -18.5

Instead of playing for a BCS Championship like last year, Notre Dame finds itself in the Bronx at Yankee Stadium facing a .500 team. Sportsbooks have the Irish (8-4 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) favored by -14 or -14.5 with a total of 53.5. Gamblers can back the Scarlet Knights on the money line for a +475 payout (risk $100 to win $475). For first-half wagers, Notre Dame is a 7.5-point chalk with a total of 27.

Brian Kelly’s team had several solid victories this season, including scalps of Southern Cal, Michigan State, Arizona State, and BYU. The Irish lost at Michigan, vs. Oklahoma, at Pitt, and at Stanford.

Senior quarterback Tommy Rees threw for 2,938 yards with a 27-13 touchdown-to-interception ratio. T.J. Read more

Tags: College Football Rutgers Scarlet Knights AAC Notre Dame Fighting Irish Brian Edwards

Texas Bowl Betting Preview: Syracuse Orange vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers

12.27.2013     07:36 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports blog entry.
Syracuse vs. Minnesota
Texas Bowl - Houston, Texas
Friday, 3 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Minnesota -4.5 O/U 47.5
CRIS Current: Minnesota -4.5 O/U 47.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Minnesota -7.5

Motivation is always a key in handicapping bowl games, and that force will be pretty equal in tonight’s Texas bowl matchup between Minnesota and Syracuse.  The Gophers dropped their final two games and are looking for their first nine win season since 2003.  In addition, the Gophers arrive in Houston failing to score an offensive touchdown in their last 10 quarters of play.  Meanwhile, the Orange was fortunate to even go bowling with a season finale victory over Boston College.  However, at 6-6, Syracuse will look to make it back-to-back winning seasons for the first time since 2001 when the program was just tailing off as a force in the college football world.

The Gophers have a long history Read more

Tags: College Football Syracuse Orange ACC Minnesota Golden Gophers Big Ten Erin Rynning

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl Betting Preview: Michigan Wolverines vs. Kansas State Wildcats

12.26.2013     06:28 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Michigan vs. Kansas State
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl - Tempe, Ariz.
Saturday, December 28, 7:15 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Kansas State -3 O/U 56
CRIS Current: Kansas State -4.5 O/U 55.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Kansas State pk
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Michigan

Michigan’s starting QB Devin Gardner has been sidelined throughout the Wolverines bowl practices, suffering from a nasty case of turf toe.  According to a pre-Christmas report from the Detroit News, Gardner is not likely to play in the Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl against Kansas State. 

Head coach Brady Hoke’s quote upon arriving with the team in Arizona on Monday: “It’s kind of day to day. But right now, if we were playing tonight he would not play. We’re going into it that Shane (Morris) will be the guy.”

While Gardner had a very up and down campaign, he only Read more

Tags: College Football Michigan Wolverines Big Ten Kansas State Wildcats Big XII Teddy Covers

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Playoff bound, but Super Bowl XLVIII bound?

12.23.2013     07:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Last year, heading into Week 17, Atlanta was the team to beat in the NFC, having already clinched homefield advantage with their 13-2 (at the time) record.  Washington was the hottest team in the conference and Green Bay was considered very live for the title, with Aaron Rodgers just one year removed from his Super Bowl ring.  In the AFC, the playoff were expected to be an eventual battle between the Patriots and Broncos, with the other four teams (Baltimore, Cincinnati, Houston and Indy) largely considered to be fodder for the elites; non-factors.

What happened? A San Francisco-Baltimore Super Bowl, won by the Ravens; their third straight postseason win as an underdog.  Let’s not forget that Baltimore entered the playoffs in the midst of a late season 1-4 SU and ATS skid; a team that NOBODY expected to make noise in January and February.

In 2011, in the NFC, Green Bay was the unbeatable juggernaut with a 15-1 record as the defending champs, and the Saints weren’t far behind, just one year removed from a Drew Brees Super Bowl ring.  Meanwhile, the Giants were on the outside of the playoff picture, needing to beat Dallas just to get Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Super Bowl XLVIII Las Vegas

College Football Handicapping: Texas wants to win one for Mack

12.20.2013     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Texas vs. Oregon -13.5 O/U 67

Win won for the Mackster is what Texas is saying following the resignation of Texas head coach Mack Brown. Interesting that the players claim the announcement caught them off guard.

"It was definitely shocking," defensive end Jackson Jeffcoat said. "Just the timing of it, we didn't expect it. You always hear things floating around, always hear rumors, but you never really pay attention to it until something happens.

"It really upset us when it happened. He made his decision and he's still coaching for this game, so we've got to get ready for this."

"We love Coach Brown," safety Adrian Phillips said. "We're just going to fight with Coach Brown to the last straw, and that'll be against Oregon. We've got to send him out

Read more

Tags: College Football Texas Longhorns Big XII Oregon Ducks PAC-12


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