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NCAA Football Handicapping: Injuries the storyline for Ohio State-California

09.12.2013     02:06 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Ohio State -15.5 at California O/U 64

It’s been well documented in the Sportsmemo Posting Forum and today's Sportsmemo Podcast (listen here) that Cal is one banged up football team, particularly on the defensive side of the football. As many as five projected starters from the stop unit missed last week's game against Portland State – Cal hung on for a 37-30 win but the Pilots racked up 553 yards on a staggering 8.1 yards per play. Some of those players are now questionable while others remain out for Saturday's contest against Ohio State.

-"You look out there, and you haven't played with any of those guys. It's a little

Read more

Tags: College Football California Golden Bears PAC-12 Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten

College Football Betting: SEC News and Notes - Week 3

09.12.2013     07:05 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Will Alabama take advantage of it bye week again this week at College Station? The Tide is 7-3 SU under Saban after a bye or more than a week of preparation, but it seems like that all of the big games they’ve played over the past three years have all been after a bye week. Additionally, all three losses came against teams that also had a bye or extra time to prepare for a bowl. The first thing Saban does is not start team-specific preparations too soon.

"I think that you can work too long on one team and the players get bored and lose focus after awhile," Saban said. "That's not really a good thing."

He said that a week and a half before the Virginia Tech game, but it applies to bye weeks too. Alabama has been practicing all week but only started Texas A&M preparations on Monday. Bama certainly needed some time to work on its offense after gaining just 202 yards against Virginia Tech, its lowest output on offense since 2008.

Ole Miss has a big revenge game against reeling Texas this week on the road after dropping a 66-31 decision in Oxford last year. They will most likely be without their best cover corner Charles Read more

Tags: College Football SEC Brent Crow

NFL Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings - Week 2

09.12.2013     06:05 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As promised, back Wednesday with an updated estimate of how the market currently has all 32 NFL teams pegged on a Power Rating scale. If you’re new to the site…I use the current pointspreads to create “couplets” for the two teams in each game (allotting 3 points for home field), then I place those couplets on the scale based on where they most likely belong according to recent form, and past scales.

These aren’t my “personal” assessments of the teams. It’s my personal assessment of how the market is probably rating the teams. If you disagree, feel free to post a comment, or tweet me @jefffogle. Maybe you think the market is more enthusiastic about a team than I’ve accounted for, or more pessimistic.

Estimated NFL Market Power Ratings

86: San Francisco, Seattle, Denver

83: Green Bay, New England (dealing with injuries)

82: Houston, New Orleans (at home)

81: Atlanta, New Read more

Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence

College Football Betting Preview: UCLA Bruins at Nebraska Cornhuskers

09.11.2013     02:46 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
UCLA at Nebraska
Saturday, 9 am PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Nebraska -4 O/U 68
CRIS Current: Nebraska -4.5 O/U 70
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Nebraska -1.5
Ian Cameron's Recommendation: Over

With the nature of college football these days and the endless number of potent offenses in existence, sometimes you can’t shy away from betting a game over the total even when dealing with a total of 70 like we have with the UCLA Bruins and Nebraska Cornhuskers. This game has shootout written all over it when we account for the offensive weapons and defensive deficiencies of both squads.

UCLA has the exact type of offense, led by dual-threat quarterback Brett Hundley, that can cause Nebraska’s suspect defense fits. Hundley had an impressive performance in the Bruins opener against Nevada throwing for a pair of touchdowns and rushing for a pair in their 58-20 blowout win over Nevada. UCLA racked up Read more

Tags: College Football UCLA Bruins PAC-12 Nebraska Cornhuskers Big Ten Ian Cameron

College Football Betting Podcast 9-11-2013 with Handicapper Rob Veno

09.11.2013     10:13 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Rob Veno. Rob recapped Week 2 College Football (Big Ten, Big XII, PAC-12).

Today's segments
Rob Veno - CFB Week 2 Recap: Big Ten, Big XII, PAC-12

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football Rob Veno

College Football Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings Week 3

09.11.2013     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I think we’re getting closer to capturing the market. Not quite there yet. There were fewer head scratchers this week when comparing the transitions from last week.

It may be a mess for awhile in the 45-65 range because of volatility. A 55 may play like a 48 against quality but a 57 against other mid-50 teams. College sports are always messy because of the sheer volume of teams, and the fact that kids are inconsistent from week to week.

If you’re new to the site, these aren’t my “personal” ratings for all the teams. I’m not following college football nearly closely enough to have any real sense of probably the bottom 80 yet. This is my guess at how the market has the teams rated. I create “couplets” each week that match the Vegas spread (allotting 3 points for home field advantage), then I try to figure out where that couplet goes within the big scale. Over a few weeks, it’s not hard to hone in on a fairly good Read more

Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence

NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 1

09.10.2013     03:11 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Cause for concern for the defending champs
Most people knew there would be an adjustment period for the Baltimore Ravens after many changes during the offseason but the holes were very much evident following their humbling 49-27 season opening loss in Denver. The Ravens offense had a solid first half but simply died from the moment that both starting right tackle Michael Oher and receiver Jacoby Jones left the game with injuries. Oher’s injury isn’t serious but Jones will be sidelined for approximately 4-6 weeks with a sprained MCL. From that point of the game, the Ravens offense stalled repeatedly. Denver keyed in on the ground game and shut down running backs Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce. Meanwhile, players like Dallas Clark and Ed Dickson proved they were not ready to step up and fill the production void left by the injuries to Jones and Dennis Pitta as well as the departed Anquan Boldin. That allowed Denver to focus their attention defensively on Torrey Smith and nobody else was able to step up for the Ravens in the receiving corps. Clark and Dickson both dropped multiple passes thrown to them by Joe Flacco. Baltimore’s secondary also Read more

Tags: NFL Ian Cameron

College Football Gambling Update: Texas' new DC thrown into the fire

09.10.2013     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly

Mississippi at Texas

Update on Texas' change at defensive coordinator. Greg Robinson will have all of three practices to implement any changes if any. Also note that UT quarterback David Ask remains questionable with a head injury. He posted big numbers (19-of-23, 326 yards, 4 TDs) in last year's 66-31 win in Oxford.

“He’ll have three practices between now and Saturday to try to get us in a better spot,” Brown said. “It’s a tough deal for him.”

“Obviously right now, we’re not sure

Read more

Tags: College Football Texas Longhorns Big XII Ole Miss Rebels SEC

NFL Betting Recap: Philadelphia Eagles soar early and hang on for outright win

09.10.2013     06:35 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

You saw the best and the worst of what the Oregon approach has to offer for the Philadelphia Eagles in their Monday night season opener against the Washington Redskins.

*Early explosiveness

*A dumb turnover that gave away points

*A 26-7 halftime lead that could have been 29-0 or 33-0

*A loss of fire with a big lead

*A second-half run by Michael Vick where he seemed to strain a groin muscle before walking gingerly the rest of the night

 That 26-7 halftime lead only turned into a 33-27 victory. And the raw stats don’t really suggest something that’s about to take the league by storm. Let’s look at the linescore…
 Philadelphia 33 (+3.5), Washington 27

Philadelphia: 443 yards, 5.8 per-play, 2 turnovers, 47% third downs

Washington: 382 yards, 5.5 per-play, 3 turnovers, 20% third downs

A lot of yards…but that’s because the team ran a lot of Read more

Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Washington Redskins

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC News and Notes from Week 1

09.09.2013     07:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: NFC Tidbits from Week 1.

Chicago Bears – Sure, the Bears didn't make the playoffs last year, but they won ten games and were one of the league's better teams. This defense can still make plenty of big plays, as evidenced by Charles Tillman's huge game and their complete domination against the run here. Jay Cutler did a great job finding open receivers on third and long. He connected on a pair of third and longs into very tight windows on Chicago's first touchdown drive. The revamped offensive line didn't do much for run blocking, but they gave Cutler all the time he needed all afternoon.

Cutler can still scramble out of pressure and his mobility created several opportunities that wouldn't have been there otherwise. But Cutler's propensity for making mistakes at crucial times was on display here, a horrible pass on first down as the Bears were driving in the fourth quarter. However, he made the most of his next Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Chicago Bears Minnesota Vikings San Francisco 49ers Arizona Cardinals New Orleans Saints


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