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December

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College Basketball Handicapping: Can Northeastern sustain its success?

02.13.2013     03:10 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
After limping into conference play having lost six of seven, Northeastern has put together one of the surprise seasons in the Colonial Conference. The Huskies just got finished winning three straight barn burners on the road to move to 12-1 – three games ahead of tonight's opponent Delaware. I tried to step in front of Northeastern in its last game at William & Mary – one of the better situational plays I've come across over the last few weeks. Things were going according to plan as W&M (+2.5) was up seven points with five minutes to go. But Northeastern rallied back, tied the game, took the lead, and won by four points, holding the home team to a single bucket the final five minutes of game. It was a frustrating loss and yet another "clutch" performance by Northeastern.

According to Ken Pomeroy, there are seven teams in the Colonial that are ranked anywhere from 133rd to 195th. Meaning, in theory, there isn't much difference between Drexel at 6-6 and Northeastern at 12-1. Case in point, in the two meetings this year, the Huskies won in overtime on the road and by seven at home over the Dragons. It was two of a litany of competitive games Read more


Tags: College Basketball Northeastern Huskies Delaware Blue Hens Andrew Lange




College Basketball Gambling: Duke a double-digit favorite over North Carolina

02.13.2013     07:06 AM     Printer Friendly
North Carolina at Duke -10.5 O/U 152

Duke and North Carolina hook up for the first time this season in Durham. It's been a balanced series of late with the Blue Devils holding a slight edge both SU (6-5) and ATS (6-5). Home court hasn't meant much with the road side winning six of 10 outright (one game was on a neutral floor in the ACC Tournament). Seven of the last 11 meetings have gone UNDER the total.

Duke-North Carolina Betting History 2008-12
Year
Venue
Score
SU
ATS
Total
2012
Durham
UNC 88, DUKE 70
UNC
UNC -2
Over 155
2012
Chapel Hill
DUKE 84, UNC 84
Duke
Duke +6
Over 155
2011
Neutral
DUKE 75, UNC 58
Duke
Duke -4.5
Under 147
2011
Chapel Hill
UNC 81, DUKE 67
UNC
UNC -1.5
Under 150.5
2011
Durham
DUKE 79, UNC 73
Duke
UNC +10.5
Under 156.5
2010
Durham
DUKE 82, UNC 50
Duke
Duke -15
Under 145.5
2010
Chapel Hill
DUKE 64, UNC 54
Duke
Duke -5.5
Under 155.5
2009
Chapel Hill
UNC 79, DUKE 71
UNC
Duke +8.5
Under 165.5
2009
Durham
UNC 101, DUKE 87
UNC
UNC -2
Over 154.5
2008
Durham
UNC 76, DUKE 68
UNC
UNC +1.5
Under 169.5
2008
Chapel Hill
DUKE 89, UNC 78
Duke
Duke +4.5
Over 164





Tags: College Basketball Duke Blue Devils North Carolina Tar Heels




College Basketball Gambling: Recapping Notre Dame's miracle win vs. Louisville and others

02.10.2013     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It was possibly the worst quintuple overtime thriller I’ve ever watched! Well, a truly ugly first 35 minutes…followed by a sluggish but entertainingly dramatic 30 additional minutes. Many of you watched too, so you know what I’m talking about. The last 35 minutes of on-the-clock action was very compelling basketball even if the game was far from a piece of artwork. If you missed it:

*We had your typical 50-something to 40-something type grinder brewing most of the night. Louisville led 49-45 with 2:30 left in regulation.

*Louisville pulled out to what seemed like a safe lead with 90 seconds left…setting up the standard sequence of them shooting free throws while Notre Dame tried to make desperation treys. Louisville led 53-45 with 1:27 to go.

*Notre Dame made ONE…then TWO…then THREE very long range very forced desperation treys to force a late tie. Those bombs fell with 44-36-28 seconds left respectively.

*Louisville didn’t have Read more


Tags: College Basketball Notre Dame Fighting Irish Louisville Cardinals Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Gambling: Top ranked Indiana melts down at Illinois

02.08.2013     12:17 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Number one Indiana trailed for a fraction of a second in the second half Thursday night in its Big Ten road game against Illinois in Champaign-Urbana. It was the fraction of a second that mattered most…as Illinois hit a shot just before the buzzer to make it FIVE STRAIGHT WEEKS where the top team in the AP poll was knocked off its perch.

Illinois 74, #1 Indiana 72

2-Point Percentage: Indiana 48%, Illinois 50%

3-Point Shooting: Indiana 9/17, Illinois 9/24

Free Throws: Indiana 13/14, Illinois 13/15

1’s and 2’s: Indiana 45, Illinois 47

Rebounds: Indiana 28, Illinois 21

Turnovers: Indiana 14, Illinois 9

(Indiana 2-1 in Kenpom/Sagarin respectively, Illinois 56-51)

We talked about Indiana’s penchant for sloppiness in our coverage of the Michigan game last weekend. That was an issue here…as the team was -5 in the turnover category against an opponent that was second best Read more


Tags: College Basketball Illinois Fighting Illini Indiana Hoosiers Stat Intelligence




NBA Betting News: Pretty much everyone is questionable for Clippers-Heat game

02.08.2013     08:24 AM     Printer Friendly
Check out the injury report for tonight's Clippers-Heat game according to Sports Options.

Chris Paul (knee) Questionable
Blake Griffin (hamstring) Questionable
Jamal Crawford (shoulder) Questionable
Chauncey Billups (foot) Probable


Chris Bosh (cold) Questionable
Dwayne Wade (flu) Questionable
Ray Allen (flu) Doubtful


Not surprising, most sportsbooks took the game off the board earlier this morning. The Heat opened as 5-point favorites.




Tags: NBA Los Angeles Clippers Miami Heat




College Basketball Handicapping: TCU's upset of Kansas highlights crazy night

02.07.2013     06:23 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Earlier tonight I posted the numbers from TCU’s upset of Kansas. There was a slew of games on this crazy night that could have earned their own post. That would have taken all night to write though. So, I’m going to cherry pick some key numbers from important games involving ranked teams.

#7 Arizona (-8.5) beat Stanford 73-67

Arizona fell behind Stanford 10-0 out of the gate, and it looked like we were going to see a replay of the UCLA game on this floor. But, the Wildcats settled down…got back into the game quickly enough, then pulled away in the final moments to win by six. If you buy into the theory that Arizona is overrated when they’re matched up against quality, that paid off against the market price. I’m still skeptical about how some of their Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Handicapping: Dayton looks to right the ship vs. St. Joe's

02.06.2013     02:19 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
St. Josephs at Dayton -4

Dayton head coach Archie Miller wasn't pleased with his squad following Saturday's 81-52 road loss to Saint Louis. The Flyers (2-5 A-10) haven't had it easy with five of their seven conference games coming against VCU, Butler, La Salle, Xavier and Saint Louis – Butler was the only home tilt. Note however that while Dayton Arena has a reputation of being a strong venue, over the last two and a half years, the Flyers are a rather modest 39-10 straight up with eight of those 39 wins coming by four points or less (or OT).


“I think our kids have it pretty good here. The effort level on Saturday was unacceptable. The pride we played with on Saturday was unacceptable. And it’s kind of a gut-check time for us. We have to go to battle on Wednesday against another Read more



Tags: College Basketball Dayton Flyers St. Joseph's Hawks




Line history shows significant betting action on allegedly tainted soccer game

02.06.2013     10:10 AM     Printer Friendly
Anytime there is news of match fixing or point shaving our curiosity leads us towards the line history of the game in question. Here were have one of apparently a boatload of tainted soccer affairs. Back in 2009, Debrecen played Liverpool in a Champions League match. It was reported that the match fixers got to Debrecen's goalkeeper and instructed him to allow more than two goals. Unfortunately, the fix didn't work as Liverpool won 1-0. We checked our Sports Options archive for the line history of that match and not surprising, saw a ton of money come in on the over. We don't have access to the line history of some of Europe and Asia’s bigger sportsbooks so they best we could come up with was CRIS and 5Dimes. We assume the total for the game opened 2.5, hence the match fixers requesting three goals or more.

Here is the line history from CRIS and 5Dimes
CRIS Opener: 3ov-165
CRIS Closer: 3.5ov-150


5Dimes Opener: 3.5un-127
5Dimes Closer: 3.5ov-139


This is Read more


Tags: Soccer




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: College Basketball's best against the spread

02.04.2013     11:06 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Super Bowl is in the rear view mirror after Sunday’s wild Baltimore victory, which can only mean one thing – college hoops is on center stage for the next eight weeks.  I’ve been writing game previews for ESPN.com/Insider for the last month, but I’ve yet to write a true ‘college basketball overview’ column for any publication so far this season.  That streak ends here.

I’m going take a look at the very best pointspread ‘regular board’ teams in the country in this week’s column.  The list of ATS juggernauts is likely to surprise many people due to its diversity.  Elite level teams aren’t necessarily pointspread winners, and bottom feeders can cash ticket after ticket if the betting markets set numbers that allow them to hang within the number as big underdogs.  Look no further than the single best ATS team in the nation so far this season. 

I’ll wager that less than a dozen people in the country knew that Fordham is the #1 ATS team in all of DI basketball this year; 14-5 against the number.  The Rams are 6-16 SU, just 2-5 in Atlantic-10 play.  Read more


Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapping: Orlando Magic short on bodies vs. Philadelphia

02.04.2013     10:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Orlando at Philadelphia -9 O/U 190.5

According to Sports Options, this is what the Orlando Magic's injury report looks like heading into tonight's game at Philadelphia.

Arron Afflalo (calf) OUT
Glen Davis (foot) OUT
Jameer Nelson (forearm) OUT
JJ Redick (shoulder) OUT
Maurice Harkless (nose) PROBABLE
DeQuan Jones (football) DOUBTFUL


The Magic have lost nine straight. Sunday's 107-98 loss at Milwaukee snapped an eight-game winless streak against the spread.




Tags: NBA Orlando Magic Philadelphia 76ers



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