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December

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College Football Betting: Oregon's ATS streak comes to an end

10.21.2013     02:04 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It was a sad day in Eugene as Oregon's perfect season against the spread came to an end against Washington State. The Ducks are such a unique case study because everyone knows they are good and everyone knows they can score at will and yet when it comes to lining their games, oddsmakers continue to undervalue them. Now in CRIS's defense, there hasn't been much effort going into some of their "opening numbers" – more of a chuck something out there and let the markets decide. Still, this deep in the season even without much research most bettors can come within a field goal of a majority of the card. And yet on Sunday afternoon, CRIS threw up a -17.5 (-21.5 at Pinnacle) on the Ducks' matchup vs. UCLA and it's already been bet up to -23. That type of discrepancy isn't new. From opening to closing numbers we've seen moves towards UO of 1, 3.5, 8, 7.5, 2.5, 0.5, 2.5, and now 5.5 this season – even bigger when you consider the peak number prior to the buyback. Ironically, the most accurate line on an Oregon game this season was Week 1 against Nicholls State who no one knows a damn thing about. The Ducks opened -58, closed -59, and won 66-3. Below is a list of Read more



Tags: College Football Oregon Ducks PAC-12 Andrew Lange




Caesars bails on Boston casino project

10.21.2013     12:02 PM     Printer Friendly
Massachusetts casino investigators have their doubt that Caesars Entertainment, who was looking to take over Suffolk Downs casino, would pass the state's background check. According to reports, Caesars had some sort of tie to organized crime – the article hints there are a couple degrees of separation between the two rather than say, Frank Costello serving as the company’s CFO. Anyway, it appears that Caesars has withdrawn its offer.









College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 8

10.21.2013     11:44 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In a perfect world, North Carolina's upcoming schedule would serve as an opportunity to "buy low" on the Tar Heels. But Thursday’s loss to Miami was one I don't think this team is going to be able to shake off anytime soon. After a 1-4 start, UNC was given an opportunity to save its season with a primetime game against the top 10 Hurricanes. It was unquestionably UNC's best effort I had seen and a game they probably should have won. But Miami made some plays late and left the Tar Heels 1-5 after relatively high preseason expectations. If North Carolina plays like they did against the 'Canes the rest of the way out (vs. BC, at NCST, vs. UVA, at PITT, vs. ODU, vs. DUKE) they could conceivably finish 7-5. But toughness is an issue with this club and it wouldn't surprise me to see them lose a few of those games outright.

Up 28-7 with 8 minutes to go in the third quarter, it looked like Louisville was going to pull away from UCF and remain undefeated. Instead, the Knights fought back and it was clear that the Cardinals didn't know how to respond to actually being in a competitive football game. It was fitting that the final box score in terms of first down, Read more



Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Preview: Syracuse Orange at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

10.18.2013     11:15 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Syracuse at Georgia Tech
Saturday, 9:30 am PT - ESPN Game Plan
CRIS Opener:
Georgia Tech -7 O/U 54
CRIS Current: Georgia Tech -7 (-120) O/U 54.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Georgia Tech -11.5
Andrew Lange's Recommendation: Georgia Tech

Pretty good situational play here on the home side as Georgia Tech, off three straight losses, returns home to face ACC newbie Syracuse. The Yellow Jackets ran into a tough stretch of games with Virginia Tech (6-1) and Miami (6-0) followed by a brutal travel spot at BYU. Note that those three teams all reside in the top 26 nationally in total defense and were well versed in what to expect from Tech's offense (BYU played in Atlanta last season). And despite how unique and difficult it is to prepare for Georgia Tech's offense, strong, well-coached defenses have proved able to contain it. I'm not sure we get that with Syracuse who allowed 48 against Northwestern and Read more



Tags: College Football Syracuse Orange Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets ACC Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Preview: LSU Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels

10.17.2013     12:44 PM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
LSU at Mississippi
Saturday, 4 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
LSU -9.5 O/U 60
CRIS Current: LSU -10 O/U 60
Rob Veno's Power Rating: LSU -5
Brent Crow's Recommendation: LSU

Last week saw Ole Miss play Texas A&M in one of the best games of the year in the SEC, with the Aggies coming out on top, 41-38. Ole Miss performed admirably in taking the Aggies down to the final horn, but they ran out of manpower in the end, especially on defense. While I watched the game, I noted that the Rebels were losing players left and right on defense, and that plus the physicality of the game would make it tough on them this week. Ole Miss coach Hugh Freeze has confirmed what I saw this week in several interviews.

"In the fourth quarter, we had only one personnel grouping that we could get on the field and kind of lost all the things we had planned in our spy techniques - we just didn't have any of Read more



Tags: College Football LSU Tigers Ole Miss Rebels SEC Brent Crow




College Football Betting Preview: Florida State Seminoles at Clemson Tigers

10.17.2013     12:22 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Florida State at Clemson
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Florida State -3 O/U 63
CRIS Current: Florida State -3 O/U 63.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Florida State -1
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Clemson

Stakes are high here as ACC Atlantic Division and berth in the ACC Championship Game are both probably on the line. As mentioned in the Sportsmemo blog section earlier this week, Clemson has been a money making machine going 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. There is a measure of atonement seeking by the Tigers in this one after their total second half collapse last season. Holding a 28-14 lead, Clemson allowed FSU touchdowns on five consecutive drives which resulted in a 35-3 spurt that decided the game. Clemson junior DE Vic Beasely stated "Last year they got us, but I feel like we should have won. We're looking for payback". There’s no doubt that loss sits badly with them so Read more



Tags: College Football Florida State Seminoles Clemson Tigers ACC Rob Veno




College Football Betting Preview: UCLA Bruins at Stanford Cardinal

10.16.2013     02:08 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UCLA at Stanford
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener
: Stanford -7 O/U 55
CRIS Current: Stanford -6 O/U 54
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Stanford -6.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: UCLA

The PAC-12 is positively loaded this year, #2 in the country behind only the mighty SEC in conference strength according to my numbers.  Saturday’s Stanford vs. UCLA showdown gives us a clear example of how good this conference really is!  Remember, neither squad was the preseason favorite to win their respective divisions (USC and Oregon), and the trio of Oregon State, Washington and Arizona State are all capable of beating anyone in the league on any given Saturday.   So while Stanford and UCLA provide a battle of Top 15 teams for ABC on Saturday, even the winner of this matchup is not going to have an easy task of holding on to that lofty rankings throughout the course of the Read more



Tags: College Football UCLA Bruins Stanford Cardinal PAC-12 Teddy Covers




College Football Handicapping: Week 8 Injury Report

10.16.2013     08:24 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Before the loss to Texas last week, Oklahoma found out it would be missing senior LB Corey Nelson for the rest of the season due to a pectoral injury. The news got worse earlier this week when starting defensive tackle Jordan Phillips was lost for the rest of the year. Phillips will underdog surgery soon to relieve chronic back pain. Without Nelson and Phillips, the OU defense gave up 36 points and 255 rushing yards to the Longhorns. The Sooners had previously been allowing only 113.2 ypg and 13.0 ppg, so obviously Nelson and Phillips are already being missed.

Ole Miss will be without freshman sensation Robert Nkemdiche for the next three games due to a pulled hamstring suffered in last week’s gut-wrenching loss to Texas A&M. The Rebels might also be sans their other starting defensive end, C.J. Johnson, for Saturday’s home tussle vs. LSU. Johnson was downgraded to ‘doubtful’ after missing Tuesday’s practice with a sprained ankle. The offense is hurting, too, as one of its top weapons is ‘doubtful.’ That would be leading rusher and special-teams dynamo Jeff Scott (thigh), who is averaging 8.2 yards per carry and had a punt Read more



Tags: College Football Brian Edwards




NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 6

10.16.2013     08:17 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Houston Texans Stand Alone

There are no more undefeated ATS teams in the NFL after Week 6 and there is only one team that is still winless – the Houston Texans who were ambushed at home by the St. Louis Rams in a 38-13 loss. The New York Giants, Jacksonville and Pittsburgh all snapped their winless ATS starts but Houston now stands alone as the only team in the league to not cash a ticket for their betting supporters this season. There was reason to be concerned prior to Sunday’s game but now it’s safe to say the Texans are in full on crisis mode. Matt Schaub has lost his confidence and his problems are no longer physical, but mental. He has an awful 8-9 TD-INT ratio and now is prone to making mistakes and bad decisions with the football. The offense has sputtered in the red zone all season long with the Texans converting red zone opportunities into TDs just 47.3% of the time.
 
The Houston defense hasn’t been as stout as they’ve been in the past yielding 29.5 points per game but they are still ranked 1st in the league in total yards and passing yards allowed which tells you that a lack of ball security has Read more



Tags: NFL Houston Texans Denver Broncos Ian Cameron




NFL Gambling Preview: Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

10.15.2013     01:23 PM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore at Pittsburgh
Sunday, 1:25 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Pittsburgh -2.5 O/U 40.5
CRIS Current: Pittsburgh -2.5 O/U 40.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Baltimore -0.5
Marty Otto's Recommendation: Use Baltimore +8.5 at part of a 2-team, 6-point teaser

These AFC North rivals must be disappointed with the way they’ve started their seasons. The Ravens came into 2013 fresh off a Super Bowl victory having signed Joe Flacco to a monster deal while shuffling up plenty of faces both on offense and defense. For the Steelers there was guarded optimism that with a little luck in the health department their 8-8 season from 2012 could be improved upon to get back into the playoffs in 2013. So far it hasn’t all gone to plan for either side.

The Steelers used their bye week to good effect putting together a game plan and executing at a high level. The defense held the Jets to just six points and forced a Read more



Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers Otto Sports



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