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August

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NFL Gambling Preview: Seattle Seahawks vs. Houston Texans

09.26.2013     02:30 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seattle at Houston
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Seattle -3 (-120) O/U 45
CRIS Current: Seattle -2 O/U 41.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Seattle -2.5
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Over

The Houston Texans stock is beginning to slide after three very underwhelming performances to start the season. Current media and fan scrutiny make things sound a bit worse than what they actually are according to this week’s power ratings which show Houston just 1.5 points below their season opening number. The betting public’s expectations haven’t been met by hea coach Gary Kubiak’s team as they’ve gone 0-3 ATS and shredded a lot of tickets. Line movement this week indicates bettors haven’t given up on Houston as they’ve remained a +2/+2.5-point underdog fairly steadily the past three days. It makes sense to believe that at some point the Texans are going to play up to their talent level and Read more



Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks Houston Texans Rob Veno




NFL Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings - Week 4

09.26.2013     06:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Updating our estimate of how “the market” currently has NFL teams rated on a Power Rating scale…

Estimated NFL Market Power Ratings

87: Seattle, Denver

85: Green Bay

84: New Orleans (at home)

83: San Francisco, New Orleans (road)

82: New England

81: Houston, Atlanta, Cincinnati, Dallas

80: Chicago, Miami, Baltimore, Indianapolis

79: Philadelphia, Kansas City, Detroit

78: Carolina, Washington

77: Tennessee, St. Louis, Arizona, NY Giants

76: San Diego, Pittsburgh, NY Jets, Tampa Bay (with Glennon)

75: Minnesota

74: Cleveland (with Hoyer)

73: Buffalo (seemingly docked because Spiller is hobbled)

72: Oakland (with Flynn)

69: Jacksonville

I think some of the goofy things we talked about a week ago have been rectified. Some of those were rectified over the weekend when sharps hit Baltimore hard late vs. Read more



Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Preview: Oklahoma Sooners at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

09.25.2013     01:12 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oklahoma at Notre Dame
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - NBC
CRIS Opener:
Oklahoma -2.5 O/U 48.5
CRIS Current: Oklahoma -3 (-120) O/U 48.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oklahoma -1.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Notre Dame

Last year, Notre Dame’s 30-13 upset win at Oklahoma as 13-point underdogs set the stage for its impressive run through November into the BCS Championship.  It was a tight game most of the way, with Notre Dame taking advantage of a pair of Sooner penalties that wiped potential touchdowns off the board. The Fighting Irish defense hung tough in the red zone, forcing field goals as opposed to allowing touchdowns.  And Oklahoma suffered a couple of bad snaps from center that killed key drives, not atypical of the miscues that plagued them in both regular season losses.

Now Oklahoma gets their chance for revenge in South Bend, and the betting markets clearly expect them Read more



Tags: College Football Oklahoma Sooners Big XII Notre Dame Fighting Irish Teddy Covers




College Football Betting: Virginia Tech not happy with having to play Georgia Tech on short rest

09.25.2013     07:21 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech -7 O/U 42

Virginia Tech defensive coordinator Bud Foster venting some frustration of having to play Georgia Tech on short rest. Since Paul Johnson took over in 2008 there has been only one situation where a team had less than seven days to prepare for Tech: In 2009 GT lost to Clemson 30-27 but covered as a 5-point underdog.


“I think it’s totally absurd, ludicrous…whoever scheduled this game, whether it’s TV, it’s totally – it’s not right,” Foster said. “If they’re looking for safety of the kids, this is not right, especially in a game with this kind of opponent or you’re playing off of a short week. It’s just not right.

“I’m not saying we should always have seven or eight days to prepare for Georgia Tech. I don’t care who it

Read more



Tags: College Football Virginia Tech Hokies Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets ACC




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Power Ratings as of 9/24/2013

09.24.2013     12:02 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I think most of you reading this know the drill by now. What you see below is my estimate of how “the market” has college football teams rated at this point in the season. And, by “the market,” I mean the combination of oddsmakers and sharps (leaving out the often-misguided public as best as possible). These are based on the current pointspreads at writing time, allotting 3 points for home field advantage.

This isn’t how I personally rate the teams. It’s my estimate of “market Power Ratings” if they existed in a tangible form.

An early number came up in Las Vegas last week for a hypothetical matchup between Alabama and Oregon. That line was Alabama -3, which represents how oddsmakers would rate the game. What would sharps do once big limits were available on a game like that? My scale estimates that sharps would take Oregon. They seem to be betting Oregon hand over fist this year…and Alabama is struggling to play Read more



Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Podcast 9-24-2013 with Handicappers Brian Edwards and Rob Veno

09.24.2013     10:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Brian Edwards and Rob Veno. Brian recapped Week 4 College Football (SEC, ACC, AAC) and RobIan did the same (Sun Belt, C-USA, MAC, MWC).

Today's segments
Full Show

Brian Edwards - CFB Week 4 Recap: SEC, ACC, AAC

Rob Veno - CFB Week 4 Recap: Sun Belt, C-USA, MAC, MWC

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: College Football Brian Edwards Rob Veno




NFL Handicapping: Pace Factor through Week 3

09.23.2013     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Following up on our discussion from earlier this week, here are the play totals (runs, passes, accepted penalties, punts, field goal attempts) from Sunday afternoon NFL games (plus KC/Philly from Thursday). I’ll rank them from fastest paced to slowest paced. First, the boundaries we’ve seen so far in the first two weeks...

Fastest: 187 (Baltimore at Denver, with two fast teams in season opener)

Midpoint: 158

Slowest: 134 (Oakland at Indianapolis)

This Week

192: Buffalo at NY Jets (new high, Bills floundered fast, Jets a million penalties)

178: Cleveland at Minnesota (fourth fastest in NFL this season)

171: Kansas City at Philadelphia

169: Detroit at Washington

159: Tampa Bay at New England

157: Houston at Baltimore

154: Jacksonville at Seattle

152: Green Bay at Cincinnati

149: San Diego at Tennessee

149: Arizona at New Orleans (Saints continue to Read more



Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 4

09.23.2013     07:21 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It is usually Boise State who sits back and capitalizes on other teams' mistakes not the other way around. Friday's game against Fresno was one of the more sloppy games I've ever seen out of the Broncos yet they somehow covered the number (+3.5) and had a chance to win the game outright. Down 17-10 early in the second quarter, Boise scored a touchdown but failed on a mysterious two-point conversion (note that the final score was 41-40). Miss one two-point conversion and you're likely to go for two again at some point. Midway through the fourth quarter the Broncos cut the lead to 34-32 and had yet another failed two-point conversion. On their next drive they finally cracked the code and put eight on the board but it put them up only six. Fresno would score a touchdown with three minutes left to give them the 41-40 lead for good. All told, Boise was 1-for-3 on two-point conversions, 1-for-4 on fourth down conversions, and committed two turnovers. Happy to kick PATs, Fresno had no turnovers, was 2-for-2 on fourth downs, and moved to 3-0 on the season.

It is hard for serious bettors to be active in laying huge points because there are typically more factors involved than Read more



Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Consensus: Bettors in love with Georgia Tech and the OVER

09.20.2013     01:52 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets for Saturday's Week 4 College Football card courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

SIDES
Georgia Tech -5.5 (87.9%) vs. North Carolina
Maryland -4.5 (85.6%) vs. West Virginia
Michigan -18.5 (82.5%) at UConn
Baylor -30.5 (81.7%) vs. UL-Monroe
Arkansas State -3.5 (81.0%) at Memphis
Washington State -30.5 (80.3%) vs. Idaho

TOTALS
Kansas State-Texas OVER 58 (100%)
UL-Monroe-Baylor OVER 74.5 (96.3%)
Texas State-Texas Tech OVER 57.5 (98.3%)
North Carolina-Georgia Tech OVER 57.5 (95.2%)
Oregon State-San Diego State OVER 53 (94.7%)
Ball State-Eastern Michigan OVER 56.5 (93.9%)




Tags: College Football Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets ACC




College Football Betting Preview: Auburn Tigers at LSU Tigers

09.20.2013     07:13 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Auburn at LSU
Saturday, 4:45 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
LSU -14 O/U 57
CRIS Current: LSU -16.5 O/U 55
Rob Veno's Power Rating: LSU -19
Brent Crow's Recommendation: LSU

Auburn has used a very favorable schedule to get off to a 3-0 start under first-year head coach Gus Mahlzan. The Tigers’ victories have come against Washington State, Arkansas State and Mississippi State; none of which are anywhere near the class of this week’s opponent. The fast start has calmed down the Auburn fans after last year’s disaster under Gene Chizik. While three wins is definitely better than three losses, I am not sure there is much difference between this year’s team and last year’s group. The defense is still a big question mark as Auburn has allowed at least 400 yards of offense in all three wins to offenses that have been subpar otherwise. They were able to force three turnovers against Read more



Tags: College Football Auburn Tigers LSU Tigers SEC Brent Crow



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Aug 29, 2016 07:16 AM.