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October

30

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NBA Handicapping: Boston Celtics are the Los Angeles Lakers of the East!

01.23.2013     01:49 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submmitted by Stat Intelligence

You wouldn’t know this by the won-lost records. Sure, both teams are disappointments. But, Boston is only a game below .500 at 20-21 after losing Tuesday night in Cleveland, while the Lakers have sunk to an astonishing 17-24. The Lakers are now a longshot to make the playoffs unless the teams in front of them stay leapfrog-able (our current "word of the week"). Boston is still in the Eastern brackets, three games clear of the nearest team to catching them.

Yet…

Versus the Weaker Eastern Conference:

Boston: .500 (13-13)

LA Lakers: .500 (8-8)

Versus the Top 5 in the West:

Boston: 1-5 for a .167 winning percentage

LA Lakers 2-7 for a .222 winning percentage

The Lakers are 1-2 against current #6 Denver, but Boston hasn’t had to play them yet

Both Won at Home Against:

Portland

Phoenix

Houston

It Read more


Tags: NBA Boston Celtics Los Angeles Lakers Stat Intelligence




LVH Sportsbook to host free screening of sports betting doc Life on the Line

01.23.2013     07:54 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

According to LVH sportsbook director Jay Kornegay, there will be a free screening of the upcoming sports betting documentary Life on the Line in LVH's 1,500 seat main showroom at 5 pm on Saturday, February 2.





Sportsmemo's Teddy Covers featured in upcoming sports betting movie Life On The Line

01.21.2013     07:54 AM     View Original Blog


I write about sports every week. Next week in this space, I’ll be writing about Super Bowl props. Two weeks from now, it’ll be all about college basketball through the end of March Madness. But not today. Today, Read more



Tags: Las Vegas




If you bet Super Bowl XXXVII -- the one where Tampa Bay rolled -- you should read this

01.22.2013     02:32 PM     Printer Friendly
Remember Super Bowl XXVII? The one where Tampa crushed Oakland, 48-21? If you bet the Raiders -3.5, it was clear by halftime (20-3) there was little to no chance you were going to cash a ticket. But maybe this will make you feel a little less bitter about your loss. According to Oakland's Jerry Rice and Tim Brown, head coach Bill Callahan "sabotaged" the game. In other words he purposely tried to lose to Super Bowl. Sounds about right.


“For some reason — and I don’t know why — Bill Callahan did not like me,” Rice said. “In a way, maybe because he didn’t like the Raiders, he decided, ‘Maybe we should sabotage this a little bit and let Jon Gruden go out and win this one.’”





Tags: NFL




Super Bowl XLVII Gambling: Odds to win MVP award

01.22.2013     06:55 AM     Printer Friendly
Here's a list of all 47 Super Bowl MVP recipients. Quarterbacks have won five of the last six. Denver's Terrell Davis was the last running back to win back in 1998. Tampa safety Dexter Jackson was the last defensive honoree (2003).

According to The Greek, San Francisco's Colin Kaepernick in the betting favorite to win this year's award at +175 followed by Baltimore's Joe Flacco at +200. Ray Lewis, who was MVP of Super Bowl XXXV, is +850.

Super Bowl MVPs 1967-2012
Year
MVP
Team
Position
2012
Eli Manning
New York Giants
Quarterback
2011
Aaron Rodgers
Green Bay Packers
Quarterback
2010
Drew Brees
New Orleans Saints
Quarterback
2009
Santonio Holmes
Pittsburgh Steelers
Wide receiver
2008
Eli Manning
New York Giants
Quarterback
2007
Peyton Manning
Indianapolis Colts
Quarterback
2006
Hines Ward
Pittsburgh Steelers
Wide receiver
2005
Deion Branch
New England Patriots
Wide receiver
2004
Tom Brady
New England Patriots
Quarterback
2003
Dexter Jackson
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Safety
2002
Tom Brady
New England Patriots
Quarterback
2001
Ray Lewis
Baltimore Ravens
Linebacker
2000
Kurt Warner
St. Louis Rams
Quarterback
1999
John Elway
Denver Broncos
Quarterback
1998
Terrell Davis
Denver Broncos
Running back
1997
Desmond Howard
Green Bay Packers
Kick/Punt Returner
1996
Larry Brown
Dallas Cowboys
Cornerback
1995
Steve Young
San Francisco 49ers
Quarterback
1994
Emmitt Smith
Dallas Cowboys
Running back
1993
Troy Aikman
Dallas Cowboys
Quarterback
1992
Mark Rypien
Washington Redskins
Quarterback
1991
Ottis Anderson
New York Giants
Running back
1990
Joe Montana
San Francisco 49ers
Quarterback
1989
Jerry Rice
San Francisco 49ers
Wide receiver
1988
Doug Williams
Washington Redskins
Quarterback
1987
Phil Simms
New York Giants
Quarterback
1986
Richard Dent
Chicago Bears
Defensive end
1985
Joe Montana
San Francisco 49ers
Quarterback
1984
Marcus Allen
Los Angeles Raiders
Running back
1983
John Riggins
Washington Redskins
Running back
1982
Joe Montana
San Francisco 49ers
Quarterback
1981
Jim Plunkett
Oakland Raiders
Quarterback
1980
Terry Bradshaw
Pittsburgh Steelers
Quarterback
1979
Terry Bradshaw
Pittsburgh Steelers
Quarterback
1978
Harvey Martin
Dallas Cowboys
Defensive end
1978
Randy White
Dallas Cowboys
Defensive tackle
1977
Fred Biletnikoff
Oakland Raiders
Wide receiver
1976
Lynn Swann
Pittsburgh Steelers
Wide receiver
1975
Franco Harris
Pittsburgh Steelers
Running back
1974
Larry Csonka
Miami Dolphins
Running back
1973
Jake Scott
Miami Dolphins
Safety
1972
Roger Staubach
Dallas Cowboys
Quarterback
1971
Chuck Howley
Dallas Cowboys
Linebacker
1970
Len Dawson
Kansas City Chiefs
Quarterback
1969
Joe Namath
New York Jets
Quarterback
1968
Bart Starr
Green Bay Packers
Quarterback
1967
Bart Starr
Green Bay Packers
Quarterback




Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl XLVII




NFL Handicapping: Drive Points and Power Ratings for Super Bowl XLVII

01.21.2013     01:41 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As promised, we’re back to look at the drive point numbers for the two remaining teams in the NFL brackets. If you’re new to the blog, drive points are those scored and allowed on drives of 60 yards or more. We’ve been using it through the regular season to try and get a read as best as possible on “true” offense and defense.

First, a reminder of the regular season averages for the Super Bowl bound San Francisco 49ers and Baltimore Ravens.

Regular Season Averages

San Francisco: 15.4 on offense, 11.6 on defense (#3 Sagarin schedule)

Baltimore: 15.7 on offense, 12.5 on defense (#18 Sagarin schedule)

The Niners get the nod in regular season numbers, with +3.8 vs. a killer schedule being better than +3.2 vs. what was roughly an average schedule. Is strength of schedule enough to bump them up to superiority by more than a field goal at a neutral site? Interesting that teams coached by brothers had such similar Read more


Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl XLVII Stat Intelligence




A perfect match: Gambling and the Super Bowl

01.21.2013     12:34 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Publicly, the NFL is among one of the staunchest opponents of legalized gambling. Former commissioner Paul Tagliabue and current commissioner Roger Goodell were instrumental in getting the anti gaming ‘Illegal Internet Gambling Prohibition Act’ attached to the Port Security Bill. The NFL has taken this stance despite the fact that its enormous popularity is, in no small part, due to the prevalence of betting on games.

The hypocrisy of the NFL in regards to betting is almost laughable. The facts, as you will see, clearly show that the league was founded by gamblers for gamblers. From the NFL’s first television appearance in 1939 through the current TV deal that pumps more than three billion dollars per year into the league coffers, the NFL’s popularity rests upon the shoulders of those who wager on the outcome of the games.

Here in the 21st century, the NFL is the most popular and profitable sport in the. NFL owners are among the richest men in the world; franchises are bought and sold for more than half a billion dollars. However, the league’s humble origins were anything but the extravagant bonanza that is the NFL today. Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Super Bowl XLVII




College Basketball Handicapping: Results from Saturday's marquee matchups

01.20.2013     06:53 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

With football out of the way, college basketball made sure it had a blockbuster schedule to capture the hearts and eyeballs of America’s sports fans. Yesterday’s string of marquee matchups definitely had a March Madness feel to it…which means it was a good early primer for those hoping to handicap the tournament in a couple of months.

I grabbed the key stats from the biggest games, with an eye toward starting to build profiles of teams and their tournament potential. Gut check games like we had today can be great indicators for March because strengths are neutralized, and weaknesses exposed. How you bully teams disappears when you can’t bully! Developments today will likely foreshadow issues that will come up in other big games…in the conference tournaments…and then once the Dance starts.

I’ll go in order of the poll rankings. But, because poll rankings can be off, I’ll also include the numbers coming into today from the most Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stal Intelligence




NFL Handicapping: Betting Market Acting Like Patriots Money ISN'T Coming

01.18.2013     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

There was a startling development Thursday in the legal betting markets regarding Sunday’s AFC Championship game between the favored New England Patriots and underdog Baltimore Ravens.

New England had been favored by 9 points. That line had fallen to a pretty solid 8.5 by midday. Then, it was a solid 8 by night time as I was writing this. That may not strike many of you as a big deal. After all, 9 and 8 aren’t common numbers. But, if you know the markets, it was actually a VERY big deal, because it may be suggesting in dramatic fashion that oddsmakers and sharps no longer expect a flood of New England money over the weekend.

For a second…as we walk through this…start with the premise that New England money IS coming. Squares (the betting public) generally wait until the weekend to bet. Squares typically bet favorites. Squares have established in the past that they like betting on marquee teams like the New England Patriots. Squares have also established that they like Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots Baltimore Ravens Stat Intelligence




Sportsbooks and bettors react to San Francisco 49ers, Kaepernick

01.18.2013     06:51 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Francisco -4 at Atlanta O/U 48.5

Last week, with minimal line shopping, you could have bet the San Francisco 49ers -3 (+100/+105) at home against Green Bay. That seemed like legalized stealing considering as of this morning only a few sportsbooks are offering the 49ers -3.5 on the road at Atlanta for Sunday’s NFC Championship.

 

"We all knew they were pretty good," said Las Vegas oddsmaker Jimmy Vaccaro, public relations director for William Hill and its 75 Nevada sportsbooks. "Now you throw this kid in there who is energizing the process, and it just means more money on the 49ers. And rightfully so. How high can it go? I don't know."

"We act much quicker on these things than we once did," Vaccaro said. "We have the whole world betting these games, so you have to make them Read more



Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Atlanta Falcons




NBA Handicapping: Inverted Thinking on NBA Back-to-Backs

01.17.2013     11:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

When I first started playing around with fatigue situations in the NBA eons ago, my kneejerk reaction was to assume that tired teams would hang tough for awhile, before fading from fatigue in the fourth quarter. I had been assuming they’d rejuvenate in the hours between games, then run out of gas in crunch time.

In actual practice, the world was much more complicated than that. But, it was a complication that got rewarded once first quarter and first half propositions became more readily available.

Tonight’s results show you that, counter-intuitively, fatigue can be something that shows up early in a game, before being overcome by motivated teams with youth or deep benches.

There were fully SEVEN teams tonight in the NBA dealing with back-to-back disadvantages. By that, I mean that they played Tuesday night while their opponents were resting. All seven failed to cover their first quarter spreads.

*Indiana lost as a favorite in Orlando 22-17

*Toronto Read more


Tags: NBA Stat Intelligence



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 30, 2014 11:56 PM.