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February

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College Football Handicapping: The impact returning starters has on the betting markets

08.22.2013     06:57 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Yesterday I talked about Phil Steele's impact on the betting markets. Today I'll discuss another factor that influences early season games and that's returning starters. Who is coming back is probably to first thing bettors look at when evaluating a team during the summer. And based on my experience, teams with "a lot" of returning starters get a lot more love in the betting markets than those with only "a few” returning starters. Before I begin note that there are many different definitions of “returning starters” but for the sake of argument, we'll use Phil Steele as our reference point since his publication is such a common fixture among the betting community. Keep in a mind, A LOT can happen over the course of three months and I've seen multiple examples where returning starter numbers in June were a lot different than in September.

I used the very arbitrary numbers of 17 or more and 10 or less when breaking down our returning starter "extremes." That gives us 31 Read more



Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Betting: Kentucky opts for two quarterbacks in Week 1

08.22.2013     06:44 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oh boy. Kentucky has decided it will play two quarterbacks in its opener against Western Kentucky. Neither Maxwell Smith nor Jalen Whitlow was able to win the gig during fall camp. And first-year head coach Mark Stoops even said that third-stringer Patrick Towels could play at some point this season if Smith and Whitlow don't pan out. Just to recap, Kentucky is obviously under a new coaching regime, one that wants to completely change its offensive philosophy and play up-tempo. They plan on doing this behind an inexperienced offensive line and a two quarterback system which historically has about a 13.5% success rate. It would be a lot different if the Wildcats played an FCS cupcake in Week 1 but instead, they face a Western Kentucky squad (in Nashville) that won last Read more



Tags: College Football Kentucky Wildcats SEC Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Sun Belt




NFL Preseason Betting: Houston to plays starters a half vs. New Orleans

08.21.2013     07:52 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New Orleans at Houston -2.5 O/U 43.5

The Houston Texans announced that they will play their starters the first half of Sunday's game against New Orleans.


“No, he’s going to play," Kubiak said of Schaub's status. "We’ll play our starters a good half of football or a number of snaps, whichever comes first. He’s had an excellent camp and I think he’s benefited from the other two pushing each other and the way they’ve played.”

“Yeah, we need to all pick it up,” Kubiak said of the upcoming game. “We need to play our most snaps this week.”






Tags: NFL Houston Texans New Orleans Saints




Canadian Football League Week 8 Betting Recap

08.21.2013     07:46 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here is my recap of Week 8 in the Canadian Football League as I provide a quick hitter, team-by-team analysis of the four teams that were in action…

Montreal Alouettes (2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS)
Give the Montreal Alouettes credit for fighting their asses off against the Saskatchewan Roughriders. The Alouettes stepped up and showed some pride after a miserable effort at home in a 38-13 blowout loss to Toronto the previous week. Montreal’s defense played by far its best game of the season. They were dominant by getting pressure on quarterback Darian Durant and doing an admirable job against the explosive running of Kory Sheets who for the first time this season was held below 100 yards. Quarterback Anthony Calvillo suffered a concussion late in the first half and didn’t return. That forced backup Josh Neiswander into the game and he didn’t move the football much at all in the second half against Saskatchewan’s staunch defense. Montreal only a scored one field goal and a fumble return touchdown in the second half. The offense couldn’t generate very much and that allowed the Roughriders to escape with a 24-21 win. It’s Read more



Tags: CFL Ian Cameron




NFL Handicapping: A look back at 2012's sloppiest teams

08.20.2013     01:29 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As promised, I’ve compiled sloppiness scores for all 32 NFL teams from the 2012 season. I’ve also done the math for all 32 defenses in terms of “forcing sloppiness" from opponents. I’ll post those in a separate report tomorrow to keep this from turning into a long novel that’s hard to digest in one reading.

If you’re new to the site, sloppiness is a quickfire stat that paints a picture of how effectively teams execute. The formula is 5 times the number of giveaways…plus the number of incomplete passes. The lower the number the better because you want to avoid sloppiness. The league average last year was right around 21 for a per-game score. Having a game in the 30’s or higher is embarrassing. Having an AVERAGE near 30 is a very strong indictment of your quarterback and coach.

Let’s start with the sloppiest teams from 2012 and work our way toward the sharpest…

Sloppiest Teams

Detroit Read more



Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




College Football Line Moves: Bettors pound Western Kentucky-Kentucky OVER

08.20.2013     07:04 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Yesterday CRIS posted totals on all of Week 1's college football games. Not a lot of movement in the betting markets save for a few half-point and full point moves. The one exception was the Kentucky-Western Kentucky game. CRIS opened the game 54.5 but a handful of bets later it shot up to 59.5. It has since settled in at 58.5. There are new coaching staffs on both sides, most notably Kentucky who brought in offensive coordinator Neal Brown. Last year's meeting landed 48 in regulation (WKU won 32-31 in OT) with a closing total of 49.5.




Tags: College Football Kentucky Wildcats SEC Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Sun Belt




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC Preseason News and Notes

08.19.2013     08:13 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. During August, Teddy records every game, then watches every first half on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps simply don’t have. This week: AFC tidbits from the first two weeks of the preseason.

Cincinnati Bengals – Boy this team looks impressive; a potential Super Bowl sleeper in a conference that has no clear no. 3 behind Denver and New England to start the season. This was a top 10 defense last year, and looks even better this year, positively loaded with the addition of Super Bowl winner James Harrison from Pittsburgh. Harrison was run blitzing and making plays in the backfield, now the inside linebacker in a 4-3, a new position. Lots of blitzing, worth noting in preseason! The position battles here aren’t huge ones – a battle for the starting center job (Kyle Cook is the favorite to win it) and battles for the second and third receiver after AJ Green. No three-and-outs while Andy Dalton was on the field; he did a great job audibling out of bad situational play calls

Buffalo Bills Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Sports Betting Podcast 8-16-2013 with Handicappers Rob Veno and Ian Cameron

08.16.2013     10:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Ian Cameron and Rob Veno. Ian broke down Week 8 of the Canadian Football League while Rob gave his thoughts on Saturday and Sunday's NFL Preseason.

Today's segments
Full Show

Ian Cameron - CFL Week 8

Rob Veno - NFL Preseason Saturday and Sunday

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: CFL NFL Ian Cameron Rob Veno




NFL Handicapping: Colts' offensive coordinator seeks run-first philosophy

08.16.2013     06:12 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Article on Indianapolis Colts first-year offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton and his desire to become a "run-first team." Last season under Bruce Arians, the Colts threw the ball just under 60% of the time and ranked 22nd in the NFL at 104.4 ypg on the ground. In Week 1 of the preseason, they ran 16 times (72 yards) to go along with 22 pass attempts.

2012 Rushing Stats/League Rank
14th - 27.4 attempts per game
22nd - 104.4 yards per game
23rd - 3.8 yards per carry


“We are a run-first team,” Hamilton said. “We are a power running team and that's well-documented.”

“I think we've talked about (running the ball) quite a bit since we kicked off training camp,” Hamilton said. “But at the same time, the bottom line is we've got to find ways to outscore our opponents.

“We feel like it takes a lot of pressure off the quarterback if we can run the football and force defenses to pack the box," Hamilton said. "That's going to open up

Read more



Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts




College Football Gambling: Pitt names Savage starting quarterback

08.15.2013     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh Panthers second-year head coach Paul Chryst announced that Tom Savage will be the team's Week 1 starter vs. Florida State. Savage replaced Tino Sunseri who when not taking sacks was fairly effective (21 TDs, 3 INTs). Savage started as a true frosh for Rutgers back in 2009 but then struggled with injuries, transferred to Arizona but sat out, and now finds himself as the starter despite not having played in a game since November of 2010.


Also today we’ve told the players that Tom [Savage] is going to be our starting quarterback. We like what he has done to this point. It’s a reflection of where Tom is at. We still think that Chad [Voytik] has made really good progress, but we feel really good and confident with Tom.”







Tags: College Football Pittsburgh Panthers ACC



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Feb 08, 2016 04:17 AM.