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College Football Betting Preview: Washington Huskies at California Golden Bears

11.04.2016 10:35 AM Teddy Covers Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

Washington at California
Saturday, 7:30 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener: Washington -15.5 O/U 77.5
CRIS Current: Washington -17 O/U 76.5
Recommendation: California

There was a time, earlier in my handicapping career when I was fixated on taking strong defensive underdogs in college football; teams that could cover pointspreads without having to put up touchdowns in bunches. But that era of college football ended (without much fan fare from the betting markets), with the advent of the high octane spread offense, like the one Sonny Dykes is running at Cal these days.

In the football universe circa 2016, my entire thought process involving bigger underdogs has flipped from where it was 15 years ago. In the modern world, I want my underdogs to be able to score early and often, even if they are defensively weak. Teams that can put up points in bunches tend to be live underdogs, capable of trading points OR coming through the backdoor should they struggle early.

Underdogs of seven points or more are 4-1 ATS in Cal games this year, with the Bears unable to cover bigger Read more

Tags: College Football Washington Huskies California Golden Bears PAC-12 Teddy Covers

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College Football Betting Preview: South Alabama Jaguars at UL-Monroe Warhawks

11.04.2016 10:17 AM Drew Martin Printer Friendly

Submitted by Drew Martin

South Alabama at UL-Monroe
Saturday, 2 pm PT
CRIS Opener: South Alabama -13 O/U 54
CRIS Current: South Alabama -13 O/U 50.5
Recommendation: South Alabama

The South Alabama Jaguars won their first Sun Belt game of the season this past weekend with a hard-fought 13-10 triumph over Georgia State. They now take on a reeling UL-Monroe squad that profiles as a prime fade candidate down the stretch.

ULM is without their starting quarterback, Garrett Smith, who is out for the season with a knee injury. That leaves redshirt freshman Will Collins in charge of the offense. Since Collins took over, ULM was blown out at New Mexico and against Arkansas State. In the two games without Smith ULM has yet to top 165 yards passing. The Warhawks have had success at times running the football but it’s more volume than effectiveness with 190 ypg but only 4.1 ypc vs. the Sun Belt.

South Alabama has been a tough handicap all year long. This is a team who went into Starkville and knocked off Mississippi State and also beat one of the best teams in the Mountain West Conference in San Diego State. On the Read more

Tags: College Football South Alabama Jaguars UL-Monroe Warhawks Sun Belt Drew Martin

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College Football Betting Preview: Nebraska Cornhuskers at Ohio State Buckeyes

11.03.2016 07:08 AM Otto Sports Printer Friendly

Submitted by Otto Sports

Nebraska at Ohio State
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener: Ohio State -13.5 O/U 54
CRIS Current: Ohio State -17 O/U 51.5
Recommendation: Ohio State

Ohio State knows that its only chance to get into the College Football Playoffs is to beat Michigan in the regular season finale. But before the Buckeyes get there, they must face Nebraska and then back-to-back road games at Maryland and Michigan State. As bettors, we don't pay a lot of attention to the Playoff Rankings but it's hard not to notice how generous they are towards the Big Ten with five teams in the top 12. One of those teams is Nebraska (10th) who somehow checks in ahead of Florida, LSU, Oklahoma and a few others they'd assuredly be an underdog to on a neutral field. So while Ohio State has its eye on November 26, this is an opportunity to beat a "quality" foe.

Following their loss to Penn State, the Buckeyes limped past Northwestern 24-20. They never trailed but the box score was very even. It was a classic "letdown" spot as OSU never sniffed a pointspread cover as -26 favorites. Note that OSU opened that game Read more

Tags: College Football Nebraska Cornhuskers Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten OTTO Sports

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College Football Betting Preview: Maryland Terrapins at Michigan Wolverines

11.02.2016 09:31 AM Andrew Lange Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange

Maryland at Michigan
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener: Michigan -30.5 O/U 57
CRIS Current: Michigan -31 O/U 54
Recommendation: First Half Over

Another week, another first half over for the Michigan Wolverines as they jumped out to a 27-10 lead over Michigan State. On the season, Michigan has outscored its opponents 229-38 in the first half and a more modest 144-55 in the second half. Below are the halftime scores of UM's eight games.

Michigan's First Half Scores
vs. Hawaii - 35-0
vs. UCF - 34-7
vs. Colorado - 24-21
vs. Penn State - 28-0
vs. Wisconsin - 7-0
at Rutgers - 43-0
vs. Illinois - 31-0
at Michigan State - 27-10

Under the watch of Jim Harbaugh, the Wolverines have excelled at a lot of things this season, most notably beating up on the weak. Wisconsin, and its ninth-ranked defense, was the only team to put up any real type of resistance against this offense. This week sets up well for another lopsided halftime score with Maryland headed to the Big House. Since holding Purdue to 205 total yards, the Terps have Read more

Tags: College Football Maryland Terrapins Michigan Wolverines Big Ten Andrew Lange

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College Football Betting Preview: Washington State Cougars at Oregon State Beavers

10.27.2016 12:11 PM Teddy Covers Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

Washington State at Oregon State
Saturday, 7:45 pm PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener: Washington State -15.5 O/U 65.5
CRIS Current: Washington State -13 O/U 57
Recommendation: Oregon State

My clients and I cashed in betting against Washington State as road chalk last week in a closer-than-expected non-covering win at Arizona State. And there’s absolutely no reason to think that the Cougs are being priced appropriately as double-digit road favorites as they travel to Corvallis on Saturday night.

This is the wrong price range for Washington State in a very hostile road environment. It’s also the wrong pointspread range for an Oregon State team that has been getting killed on the highway, but consistently playing competitive football at Reser Stadium.

There’s been one very consistent facet of Mike Leach coached teams, dating back to his tenure at Texas Tech – they have letdowns, not a coach who’s prone to guiding his team to extended winning streaks. In his fifth season at Washington State, the Cougars current five game winning streak is the longest Read more

Tags: College Football Washington State Cougars Oregon State Beavers PAC-12 Teddy Covers

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College Football Betting Preview: Penn State Nittany Lions at Purdue Boilermakers

10.26.2016 10:21 AM Otto Sports Printer Friendly

Submitted by Otto Sports

Penn State at Purdue
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener: Penn State -13.5 O/U 56.5
CRIS Current: Penn State -12.5 O/U 56.5
Recommendation: Purdue

Since getting blown out against Maryland 50-7, Purdue has rallied back with three straight solid performances. The Boilermakers managed to fire back with a win over Illinois, hung 500 yards on Iowa, and battled toe-to-toe with Nebraska for three quarters before eventually wearing down. All three performances weren't without plenty of hiccups, particularly Purdue's inability to run the football against the Hawkeyes and Cornhuskers (71 yards combined), but the attitude remains positive with this club following the departure of head coach Darrell Hazell.

And they certainly catch Penn State at a good time following its big win over Ohio State. You give the Nittany Lions credit for the victory but they were still outgained by 137 yards. Overall, the Nittany Lions' body of work isn't all that impressive. They were totally outclassed by Michigan and barely slipped past Minnesota 29-26 despite statistically dominating the game. And in the in over Read more

Tags: College Football Penn State Nittany Lions Purdue Boilermakers Big Ten OTTO Sports

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College Football Betting Preview: Baylor Bears at Texas Longhorns

10.25.2016 11:26 AM Andrew Lange Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange

Baylor at Texas
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener: Baylor -2.5 O/U 70
CRIS Current: Baylor -3 O/U 69
Recommendation: Over

After going under the total in two straight games, I look for Texas' beleaguered defense to be exposed yet again when they face Baylor on Saturday. It's been a constant theme this season that capable offenses can move the ball at will against the Longhorns. Over a three-game swatch against California, Oklahoma State, and Oklahoma, UT allowed 1,734 yards at a startling 7.3 yards per play.

Perhaps more important to this handicapper is how flawed Baylor's defensive numbers are. The Bears' schedule comes up ultra-light with games against Northwestern State, SMU, Rice, Oklahoma State, Iowa State, and Kansas. There is one game in particular that stands out as alarming and that's what Iowa State was able to do with the football against the Bears a few weeks back. The Cyclones posted arguably their best offensive showing of the year with 204 yards on the ground and 261 through the air. All told, ISU averaged over 6 yards per play.

Texas has had no trouble moving Read more

Tags: College Football Baylor Bears Texas Longhorns Big XII Andrew Lange

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NFL Handicapping: NFC East on the rise

10.24.2016 11:33 AM ICC Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC

The NFC East has been jokingly called the “NFC Least” by pundits for years because of how weak of a division it had become but it is starting to gain some of its tenacity and strength back. This is the only division in the NFL where each team is above .500 and each of the four teams have a realistic shot to capture the division crown. I will examine where they stand following Week 7.

Dallas Cowboys (5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS)
The Dallas Cowboys have shown no ill effects of being without Tony Romo or Dez Bryant the last few games. They've been propelled by the play of two rookies: quarterback Dak Prescott and running back Ezekiel Elliott. The Cowboys are currently third in the NFL in yards per play (6.1) and total yards per game (401.5) thanks to not only Prescott and Elliot but arguably the league's best offensive line. The defense which was thought to be a major area of concern for this team has benefited from the offense sustaining drives and keeping them fresh later in games. The stop unit ranks in the middle of the pack in most defensive categories but have managed to outperform expectations. Dallas comes out of their bye week with a divisional Read more

Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Washington Redskins Philadelphia Eagles New York Giants Ian Cameron

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College Football Betting Preview: Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders at Missouri Tigers

10.21.2016 09:40 AM Alatex Sports Printer Friendly

Submitted by Alatex Sports

Middle Tennessee State at Missouri
Saturday, 1 pm PT - SEC
CRIS Opener: Missouri -6.5 O/U 69.5
CRIS Current: Missouri -7.5 O/U 75
Recommendation: Missouri

Missouri enters this matchup with a 2-4 record under new head coach Barry Odom including back-to-back blowout losses at LSU and Florida. In their six games, the Tigers have faced three elite defenses in West Virginia, LSU and Florida and their offense has struggled in those three losses. However, against average or worse defenses, the Tigers’ new passing offense has been good and they will face an opposing defense that they should be able to take advantage of this week in Middle Tennessee State.

MTSU allowed perhaps the worst SEC offense, Vanderbilt, to pile up 47 points with 344 total yards and 5.1 yards per rush. MTSU also allowed 34 points to La Tech and 44 last week to Western Kentucky. This defense will struggle again against SEC athletes, and I expect Missouri to get back on track against the Blue Raiders.

Missouri should also pose some problems on defense for the MTSU offense. Despite the lopsided score last week Read more

Tags: College Football Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders C-USA Missouri Tigers SEC Brent Crow

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NFL Gambling News: The AFC West is up for grabs

10.17.2016 11:26 AM ICC Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC

The AFC West is officially up for grabs. The Oakland Raiders are tied for first at 4-2; finding ways to win a handful of “coin flip” games. Victories against New Orleans, Tennessee, Baltimore and San Diego all came by a touchdown or less. Quarterback Derek Carr and the offense have been able to offset one of the league’s weakest defenses. The Raiders rank dead last in the NFL in three categories: yards per play allowed (6.9), yards per game allowed (444.8) and passing yards per game allowed (312.7). It was another poor performance on that side of the football in Sunday’s 26-10 home loss to Kansas City. Per usual, the Chiefs played it close to the vest for much of the game but still racked up 406 total yards. Oakland’s defensive struggles have yet to be corrected and until they are, the Raiders have the feel of an overvalued team from a pointspread perspective.

The Denver Broncos raced out to a 4-0 SU and ATS start but have since dropped two straight to Atlanta and San Diego. Denver’s offensive line played a key role in both losses. They lost a couple of key cogs on the line with right tackle Donald Stephenson missing the last few Read more

Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Denver Broncos Kansas City Chiefs San Diego Chargers Ian Cameron

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