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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Narrowing down the Super Bowl 50 contenders

12.28.2015     08:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
This is my last Wiseguy Report of the year.  That leaves me with two choices – a look back column or a look forward one. I’m a big fan of post-mortems following every NFL betting week; looking to learn from both winners and losers.  But when it comes to looking back over a whole season or a full year?  It’s harder (for me at least) to learn lessons in the aggregate; much easier when I condense those lessons down to individual games. 

After all, that’s what a season is – dozens of individual betting decisions; made one at a time.  So, while I’ve enjoyed one of the best NFL seasons of my handicapping career, there’s no point in looking back.

Sure, we can identify the worst beat of the year, that’s always fun.  I’d nominate anyone who had Lions and Under when they led Green Bay wire-to-wire on Thursday Night Football….until Aaron Rodgers Hail Mary touchdown pass with no time left on the clock that turned Lions and Under into Packers and Over.  Apologies to anyone who had St Louis plus the points at Green Bay in Week 5, a close second on my list.  But the better way Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




GoDaddy.com Bowl Betting Preview: Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons

12.22.2015     12:46 PM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
GoDaddy.com Bowl - Mobile, AL
Georgia Southern vs. Bowling Green
Wednesday, December 23, 5 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Bowling Green -7  O/U 65
CRIS Current: Bowling Green -7 O/U 63.5
Recommendation: Georgia Southern
 
This year’s GoDaddy.com Bowl in will feature the contrasting styles of Bowling Green and Georgia Southern. The Falcons boast one of the most potent passing games in the country with MAC Offensive Player of the Year Matt Johnson throwing to a foursome of receivers that caught a combined 294 passes.  The polar opposite will take place for Georgia Southern as the Eagles led the nation with 355.6 ypg on the ground at nearly 6.5 ypc.

Both teams must deal with the exit of their head coach as BG’s Dino Babers took off for Syracuse and GSU’s Willie Fritz made the odd choice to take over at Tulane. Dell McGee (former running backs coach) will call the shots for Georgia Southern and Brian Ward (former defensive coordinator) will do the same for Bowling Green.

It’s generally understood that Bowling Green will move the ball through the Read more



Tags: College Football Georgia Southern Eagles Sun Belt Bowling Green Falcons MAC Drew Martin




Foster Farms Bowl Betting Preview: Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLA Bruins

12.22.2015     12:10 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Foster Farms Bowl - Santa Clara, CA
Nebraska vs. UCLA
Saturday, December 26, 6:15 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
UCLA -6 O/U 60
CRIS Current: UCLA -6.5 O/U 61
Recommendation: Over

Nebraska was extremely fortunate to end up in the postseason with a 5-7 record. Detractors may be up in arms but if anything, it could motivation for Mike Riley’s squad to prove folks wrong. UCLA limped to an 8-4 finish including a sloppy (-3 turnover margin) 40-21 loss to USC in the regular season finale.

Offensively, Nebraska was sneaky good as it finished second in the Big Ten at 442 ypg at over 6 yards per play. When not turning the ball over (16 INTs) Tommy Armstrong Jr. was a capable passer who spread the ball around to a number of solid receivers including Jordan Westerkamp who hauled in 63 catches. They match up well against a UCLA defense that was a mess most of the season thanks to cluster injuries. It all started when LB Myles Jack was lost for the season with a knee injury back in late September while DT Eddie Vanderdoes and CB Fabian Moreau were also lost to injury. The Bruins' stop unit never Read more



Tags: College Football Nebraska Cornhuskers Big Ten UCLA Bruins PAC-12 Ian Cameron




Quick Lane Bowl Betting Preview: Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers

12.22.2015     08:45 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alex Smith

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Quick Lane Bowl - Detroit, MI
Central Michigan vs. Minnesota
Monday, December 28, 2 pm PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
Minnesota -5.5 O/U 49.5
CRIS Current: Minnesota -6 O/U 48
Recommendation: Central Michigan

Minnesota wasn’t expecting to play another game in 2015 after a regular season finale loss to Wisconsin dropped its record to 5-7. But thanks to their efforts in the classroom (ranking high in the Academic Progress Rating) and due to a lack of clubs with winning records to fill in spots, the Golden Gophers will play in their seventh bowl game in the last 10 seasons. This was a tough year as head coach Jerry Kill was forced to leave due to his declining health and longtime assistant Tracy Claeys replaced him and was given a three-year contract soon afterwards.

Heading into the season, it looks as if it was going to be a rebuilding year for Central Michigan. But under first-year head coach John Bonamego, CMU won five of its last six games to become bowl eligible for the sixth straight season. Last year's Bahamas Bowl game will be remembered by many fans and bettors when Central Read more



Tags: College Football Central Michigan Chippewas MAC Minnesota Golden Gophers Big Ten Alex B. Smith




Pinstripe Bowl Betting Preview: Indiana Hoosiers vs. Duke Blue Devils

12.18.2015     11:41 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Indiana vs. Duke
Saturday, December 26, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Indiana -1.5 O/U 66
CRIS Current: Indiana -1.5 O/U 68
Recommendation: Indiana/Over

This one begins and ends with the injury of Duke's do-everything safety Jeremy Cash. Tabbed as a first-team All-American as well as ACC Defensive Player of the Year, Cash will miss the Pinstripe Bowl as he recovers from wrist surgery. Individual defenders are rarely if ever accounted for in the betting markets but Cash was arguably the most important defensive player in the country. And it's certainly important in this matchup given Indiana's ability to move the football.

The other thing to consider is even with Cash, Duke's defense was routinely exposed later in the season after facing a litany of offensively inept teams to start the year. Tulane, Northwestern, Georgia Tech, Boston College, and Army all struggled mightily to put points on the board this season. When Duke was asked to step up in class (somewhat), it allowed 38.8 ppg the final six games of the season. In those games, Duke was outgained by nearly a yard per play. And the game Read more



Tags: College Football Duke Blue Devils ACC Indiana Hoosiers Big Ten OTTO Sports




NHL Handicapper Free Play: Calgary Flames at Dallas Stars

12.17.2015     10:26 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Calgary +180 at Dallas O/U 5.5
Recommendation: Calgary


My clients and I cashed a big dog winner on Calgary in their 2-1 OT win at Nashville on Tuesday night and I think the surging Flames are worth a play in this price range as they head to Dallas to face the Stars. It’s not easy to bet against Dallas as they possess the league’s best record at 23-6-1-1 but the Stars have not been quite as dominant in the short term with a 6-4 mark in their last 10 games. Calgary is on a major roll right now going 6-0 in their last six games and the way they gutted out wins on their recent home stand where they won all five games and against some good teams (Dallas, Boston, San Jose, Buffalo, and the NY Rangers) despite several players battling the flu. The Flames players spoke about really wanting to correct their road woes prior to the first game of their current road trip against Nashville and they played a very good game especially defensively holding the Predators to just 22 shots on goal in their 2-1 overtime win. The Flames are getting excellent offensive production from their top players lately with Johnny Gaudreau and Sean Monahan hitting the Read more



Tags: NHL Calgary Flames Dallas Stars Ian Cameron




Las Vegas Bowl Betting Preview: BYU Cougars vs. Utah Utes

12.17.2015     07:53 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Las Vegas Bowl
BYU vs. Utah
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Utah -2.5 O/U 54
CRIS Current: Utah -2.5 O/U 51.5
Recommendation: BYU

Utah has been drawing significant support in recent bowl games, in large part due to Kyle Whiitingham’s impressive track record: 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS in his eight bowls with the Utes.  They blew out Colorado State 45-10 last year.  And bettors certainly haven’t forgotten outright bowl upsets against the likes of Alabama, Cal, and Georgia Tech (twice) in the Whiitingham era.

The Utes have also enjoyed great success in recent seasons against their in-state rival.  The Utes have won each of the last four meetings since 2010 – three tight victories by a touchdown or less, and a 54-10 wipeout in Provo back in 2011. The two teams didn’t meet in the regular season this year, making this matchup a highly anticipated revenge meeting for the slight underdog.

For many of these minor bowls, motivation is a key element of the handicap.  That’s most assuredly not the case in this game.  These two programs Read more



Tags: College Football BYU Cougars Utah Utes PAC-12 Teddy Covers




College Basketball Handicapping: Wisconsin's Bo Ryan retires

12.16.2015     08:09 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In a weird turn of events, Wisconsin head coach Bo Ryan abruptly retired following last night's games. Ryan originally was going to call it quits during the offseason but then agreed to coach through the end of this year. Longtime assistant Greg Gard will take over on an interim basis. Wisky's season has been up and down with three home losses and wins over Syracuse, Temple, and VCU. The Badgers don't play again until the 23rd (vs. UWGB) and open Big Ten play the 29th vs. Purdue.


"This was a decision months in the making," Ryan said. "I brought this up to Barry back in April. He advised me to take some time to think it over, and I appreciated that. But in recent weeks, I have come to the conclusion that now is the right time for me to retire and for Greg Gard to have the opportunity to coach the team for the remainder of

Read more



Tags: College Basketball Wisconsin Badgers




College Football Handicapping: Georgia coaching staff gutted prior to bowl

12.15.2015     10:21 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Interesting coaching situation for Georgia with Mark Richt headed to Miami and both offensive and defensive coordinators no longer with the program. It looks like tight ends coach John Lilly will call plays for the offense; he did so during last year's 37-14 bowl win over Louisville. Linebackers coach Kevin Sherrer will be in charge of the defense. The Dawgs have plenty of time to get acclimated with their bowl matchup vs. Penn State not taking place until January 2. UGA is currently a -6.5 favorite with a total of 41.5.




Tags: College Football Georgia Bulldogs SEC Penn State Nittany Lions Big Ten




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL quarterback situations late season theme for bettors

12.14.2015     10:35 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL is a quarterback driven league, and QB play (both good and bad) was the difference in the vast majority of games played this past weekend.  In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll take an overview of some of the ongoing QB situations in the NFL.  The goal?  Identify undervalued and overvalued quarterbacks (and therefore, teams) to wager on or against during the stretch run of the season. 

Let’s start with the biggest injury of the weekend, when Cincinnati Bengals star Andy Dalton went down with a thumb injury after making a tackle following a red zone interception on the Bengals first drive.  Dalton has developed a well-deserved reputation as a bet-on QB in the regular season, despite his repeated postseason failures.  This has been, by far, his best year as a pro.  Dalton had a 106.3 QB rating when he got hurt, well above his previous career best of 88.8.  He’d thrown a career low seven interceptions and averaged a career high 8.4 yards per attempt, spreading the ball around to Cinci’s bevy of skill position weapons.  It’s an impact injury, for sure!

Former Alabama QB AJ Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers



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