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September

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Canadian Football League Betting Preview: Toronto Argonauts

06.21.2016     08:25 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Toronto Argonauts (2015: 10-8 SU, 9-9 ATS, 8-10 O/U)

It is a very momentous season for the Toronto Argos who finally have a home stadium to call their own as they play their first season at BMO Field; site of the 2016 Grey Cup. Toronto was very active in free agency during the offseason by bringing in the likes of offensive lineman Josh Bourke to bolster a suspect front five. The suspect o-line has played a big part in veteran quarterback Ricky Ray’s inability to stay on the field. Brian Bulcke has a chance to be a solid addition on the defensive line but health is an issue for him. They also added Bryan Hall and Justin Hickman to the defensive front and Keon Raymond in the secondary. The Argos did a solid job filling a lot of their holes but the key for this teams remains Ray’s health. Behind him this season, there is no more insurance policy after Trevor Harris signed with Ottawa. Logan Kilgore will be the team’s backup and he doesn’t have a ton of CFL experience. It is vital for Ray to stay on the field if the Argos are going to make a run at the Grey Cup on their home soil. Veteran CFL defensive coordinator Rich Stubler takes Read more



Tags: CFL Toronto Argonauts Ian Cameron




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the AFC South

06.20.2016     01:50 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll continue my summer series, breaking down one NFL division each week.  This week, it’s time to take an in-depth look at the four teams from the AFC South, with some very early leans regarding their expected improvement or decline in 2016.  As always, within the division, I’ll list the teams in alphabetical order (NOT in predicted order of finish).

The Houston Texans went 9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS and 9-7 to the Over last year.  They won the AFC South for one reason and one reason only – Andrew Luck got hurt, allowing the Texans to dominate the rest of their division rivals with a 5-1 mark.  They only beat two teams with a winning record – Cinci on a bad Andy Dalton day, and the Jets, when New York was slumping midseason in the midst of a 1-4 stretch.  The Texans defense was clearly their strong point, finishing with the #3 stop unit in the NFL based on mainstream stats.  It is worth noting how healthy that defense was, losing only eleven games from their starters all season!

Houston’s 2016 schedule is a good notch or two tougher than it was last Read more



Tags: NFL Houston Texas Indianapolis Colts Jacksonville Jaguars Tennessee Titans Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the AFC West

06.06.2016     09:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The calendar has turned to June and Vegas is sweltering hot.  That can only mean one thing for NFL bettors – the offseason marketplace starts to heat up with the weather.  The season win total markets and the odds to win each division have seen some movement.  That means it’s time to get to work (if you haven’t done so already) on a thorough offseason analysis of each team.

Over the course of the hot summer months, I’ll be previewing all eight NFL divisions from a win total standpoint, moving from West to East here in my Wiseguy Report.  So without further ado, let’s take a look at the AFC West this week, starting with the defending Super Bowl champion Denver Broncos.

The Broncos went 12-4 SU, 8-8 ATS and 10-6 to the Under last year; lined Over/Under 9.5 wins for 2016.  They finished -4 in turnovers for the campaign, leading the league in throwing interceptions.  Bettors seem to be worried about the QB situation, whether it’s Trevor Siemian or Marc Sanchez behind center.  But the Broncos cannot get worse quarterbacking than they had last year, when an ineffective Peyton Manning finished with a Read more



Tags: NFL AFC West Denver Broncos San Diego Charges Kansas City Chiefs Oakland Raiders Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Prepping for the College Football season

05.23.2016     10:22 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
My summer homework progression is simple.  I do my NFL work first, because not that much changes in the professional ranks over the summer.  Once we’re done with the draft and the initial free agent signing period, it’s easy to make preliminary assessments of all 32 NFL teams.  While the season win total market is still a long way from true maturity, we do have a pretty good sense of two things.  First, how the 32 teams are projected, power ratings wise and second, how tough a team’s schedule is going to be.

When it comes to college football, I don’t do much until after the MLB All-Star break, and the majority of my college football prep comes in August.  Why the difference?  Simple – a lot more changes in college over the summer, and I’m not a big fan of doing the same work twice!  The depth charts that you’re going to see popping up in all the college football preview publications were accurate at the end of spring camp.  By mid-August, they’re essentially obsolete. 

There are many more players moving up and down the depth charts in college.  There are more Read more



Tags: College Football Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Seattle Mariners at Cincinnati Reds

05.20.2016     10:01 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seattle (Iwakuma) -130 at Cincinnati (Straily) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over


Cincinnati has been an Over machine, cashing only 14 Unders in their first 41 games.  It’s easy to understand why – their pitching has been nothing short of awful.  No starter has lasted past the sixth inning in the last two weeks, and Reds starters have lasted only 208.1 combined innings, the lowest number of innings pitched in MLB.

Poor starting pitching has led to an exhausted, overworked bullpen, a pen that ranks #29 in innings pitched this season.  Reds relievers rank dead last in MLB with a 6.48 ERA, 88 walks and 34 home runs allowed.  That bullpen has been severely tested and depleted in their last series against the Indians; forced to throw 19.2 innings over the four game set while allowing 20 runs in the process.  All four of those games flew Over the total, by a combined 26 runs!  And it’s surely worth noting that the Reds lineup is in solid current form, pounding out 25 runs over their last five games.

Seattle won’t lose Nelson Cruz’s big bat despite playing in an NL Park tonight, with Read more



Tags: MLB Seattle Mariners Cincinnati Reds Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Bettors must be willing to change opinions on the fly

05.16.2016     11:37 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Successful sportsbettors are not politicians.   Politicians take heat every time they change their opinion – flip-floppers!  A politician who is pro-choice on abortion, for example, will take enormous criticism from both sides, and will probably lose his or her next election if he or she switches to a pro-life stance.

Sports bettors, like politicians, are inevitably going to have some wrong opinions – about teams, about players, about coaches.  Bill Belichick was not a great coach with the Cleveland Browns, and was not highly regarded after suffering a losing campaign in his first year.  Greg Popovich certainly wasn’t a high profile, top notch hire when the Spurs decided he should be their head coach.  The Carolina Panthers weren’t taken seriously by most NFL analysts last year until they reached the Super Bowl.  Steph Curry wasn’t a superstar...until he was. 
Throughout the world of sports and sportsbetting, everybody – E-V-E-R-Y-B-O-D-Y! – is going to have some wrong opinions.  But the differences in how bettors deal with those wrong opinions is fairly dramatic; often the Read more



Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder Golden State Warriors Toronto Raptors Cleveland Cavaliers Teddy Covers




Gambling News: Australia bans live betting

04.29.2016     06:38 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Australian Government just placed a ban on live in-game sports betting via the internet which reportedly accounts for around 15% of its market.


“I think it’s a win for the lazy, traditional monopoly wagering operators in Australia who are more interested in protecting their monopoly than giving consumers what they want. It is a sad day for Australian consumers and I think the big winners today are the illegal offshore operators who will be able to continue to operate uninhibited.”

"I think it's been a very competitive market and in competitive markets boundaries can be stretched," Mr Attenborough told Fairfax Media. "I think its good to see the government actually providing clarity on where those boundaries will be set going forward. And what's important in competitive markets is you need to have clear boundaries so all players can operate within those boundaries."











MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Angels

04.27.2016     01:25 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas City (Young) +120 at Los Angeles (Tropeano) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Kansas City


Here’s an excerpt that I’ve been cutting and pasting when betting on Chris Young games for the last two seasons.  It’s (obviously) still pertinent and valid:

“Young is a veteran hurler – he’s been in the majors since 2004 – and a bright guy, a Princeton graduate.  He’s also extraordinarily tall at 6-10 with a tendency to throw high strikes, resulting in awkward angles for many opposing batters as they try to take him deep.  This bright, experienced veteran now has a CAREER xFIP of more than a full run higher than his career ERA.  Two years ago, it was more than a run and a half higher. Last year it was close to a run and a half differential between xFIP and ERA.  Over one season, this would be an anomaly.  Over a decade, it’s a clear pattern.  Young’s fairly unique skill set allows him to leave high fastballs over the plate and still get fly ball outs.  The advanced metric numbers don’t see the method behind the stats, which leaves Young as a Read more



Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Los Angeles Angels Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Oakland A's at New York Yankees

04.21.2016     01:59 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oakland (Hill) at New York (Severino) -126 O/U 8
Recommendation: New York


The A’s have a better early season record than the Yankees do.  That being said, moving forward, I see much more upside with New York’s roster than with Oakland’s.  And I have no hesitation betting against A’s starter Rich Hill.  Hill will be facing a lineup built to hammer opposing left handers, bad news in a situation where the Bronx Bombers are looking to avoid the three game sweep at home.

When Rich Hill is on, like he was once in three starts this year (against the Mariners), he’s a decent starter.  But Hill’s consistency has been a problem, as has his health; a guy who has only thrown 187 big league innings since throwing 195 innings back in 2007.  Four other teams have given up on him since the start of the 2013 season.  Behind Hill, the A’s spotty bullpen has already been overused.  And the A’s anemic lineup is averaging only three runs per game, producing more than five runs only once in 15 games – if their pitching isn’t elite, they’ll have a hard time Read more



Tags: MLB Oakland A's New York Yankees Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Betting markets don't believe in Thunder and Clippers

04.18.2016     10:20 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
When it comes to the chase for the NBA Championship this year, Golden State has taken all the oxygen in the room. What little hype that has been able to escape the Warriors vortex has gravitated towards San Antonio, especially as the Spurs were chasing the NBA all-time record for most home wins in a season. 

Then Kobe went out and scored 60 on the final night of the regular season.  LeBron announced that he was getting off social media and immediately proceeded to go on a ten game tear to close out the regular season, leading the prohibitive favorite to come out of the East, Cleveland Cavaliers.  The national media spotlight just isn’t big enough to cover more stories than the easy ones that have fallen into their laps over the last few months.

And that leaves two teams that I think are legitimate title contenders sitting as relative afterthoughts in the national media spotlight and in the betting markets.  The Oklahoma City Thunder were priced in the 15-1 range to win the NBA Title entering the playoffs.  The Los Angeles Clippers were even higher, priced in the 30:1 range.  Even though the spotlight is shining brightly on the Read more



Tags: NBA Golden State Warriors San Antonio Spurs Los Angeles Cippers Oklahoma City Thunder Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 24, 2016 10:25 PM.