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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Kansas City Royals at Houston Astros

07.01.2015     08:11 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Kansas City (Volquez) +110 at Houston (Velasquez) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Kansas City

Kansas City looking to avoid the sweep here and look to have an advantage vs. Houston starter Vincent Velasquez. The contact bats of Royals figure to grind out at-bats against Velasquez who up until his last start has had problems avoiding high pitch counts and early exits. Even with his 14.06 pitch per inning count against the Yankees five days ago, the 23-year-old rookie righty still has an overall average of 19.3. Don’t expect the Royals to be overwhelmed by the 95 MPH fastball as they’re patient enough to get in favorable counts against Velasquez whose strike-to-ball ratio is only 62.7%-37.3%. Having Paul Emmel and his fairly tight strike zone should help KC’s offense as well. Royals starter Edinson Volquez has had past issues with walks but this year he’s limited them to just a shade under three per nine innings. His 1.16 WHIP along with his stinginess where home runs are concerned (6 in 97 IP) has helped Kansas City go 9-2 in his last 11 starts. Top bullpen arms are all rested and ready to help out for KC which gives us another reason Read more

Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Houston Astros Rob Veno

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Kansas City Royals at Houston Astros

06.30.2015     11:14 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
Kansas City (Duffy) at Houston (Keuchel) -147 O/U 7
Recommendation: Houston

In what could be a preview of the American League Championship Series the Royals will look to even things up in Game 2 of three game set in Houston.  The AL Central leading Royals have been in a bit of an offensive slump over the last week with a team OPS of .651. The lefty heavy Royals are also sporting a very pedestrian .708 team OPS vs. lefties this year, which does not translate well for tonight’s matchup against Dallas Keuchel. Keuchel is having a career year with a 9.7% swinging strike rate to go along with a 2.90 SIERA; both marks are by far his career highs and among league leaders. Keuchel's ground ball rate is an astonishing 64.5% which complements the Astros defense which leads the majors in slugging % on ground balls allowed. The Astros team OPS of .752 over the last week is over .100 points higher than the Royals. Danny Duffy, who has made only one start since a stint on the DL with shoulder issues, has a 5.44 ERA and ugly 5.23 FIP on the road vs. righties -- something the Astros have plenty of. Matchup warrants laying the medium-sized price with the Read more

Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Houston Astros Drew Martin

MLB Gambling Update: Boston's Rodriguez caught tipping pitches

06.30.2015     09:02 AM     Printer Friendly

Boston rookie Eduardo Rodriguez has a lot of upside. And he's shown as much with nearly unhittable performances in four of his six starts. The other two, however, were really bad. We blogged the other day that his outing vs. Toronto (4.2 IP, 9 ER) wasn't as bad as it seemed with a number of "seeing eye" hits and a pop fly lost in the sun. His last outing (3.2 IP, 6 ER vs. Baltimore) looks just as bad on the surface but reports have surfaced that that Rodriguez was tipping his pitches. As bettors, you can't completely discredit either outing -- no question he got hit around. But a pitcher's stat line doesn't always tell the full story. Assuming he makes an adjustment, tonight will still mark a significant challenge as the Blue Jays hit lefties harder than any team in baseball.

“It was borderline obvious,” Willis said Monday, via The Providence Journal.

Read more

Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox Toronto Blue Jays

MLB Handicapping: Bettors look to fade Minnesota Twins

06.29.2015     08:25 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Check out the heavy anti-Minnesota money in the betting markets over the past week courtesy of Pinnacle.

6/29 at Cincinnati
Minnesota Opener: +126
Minnesota Current: +146
Minnesota Result: Pending

6/28 at Milwaukee
Minnesota Opener: +125
Minnesota Close: +146
Minnesota Result: Lost 5-3

6/27 at Milwaukee
Minnesota Opener: Minnesota +112
Minnesota Close: Minnesota +124
Minnesota Result: Won 5-2

6/26 at Milwaukee
Minnesota Opener: Minnesota +106
Minnesota Close: Minnesota +123
Minnesota Result: Lost 10-4

Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins

MLB Betting Podcast 6-26-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

06.26.2015     10:08 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Rob Veno Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Kansas City Royals at Oakland A's

06.26.2015     08:45 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Kansas City (Volquez) at Oakland (Hahn) -120 O/U 7
Recommendation: Oakland

Don’t look now but here come the Oakland Athletics! After a dismal start to the season, the Athletics have come on strong of late having won nine of their last 11 games. They enter this series against the Royals fresh off a road sweep of the Texas Rangers. Oakland should enjoy the starting pitching edge tonight with Jesse Hahn on the mound. He’s been terrific in back-to-back starts allowing just two runs on seven hits in 14.1 innings of work against the Angels and Padres. Earlier this season he shut down Kansas City allowing just three hits in 5.1 innings of work. On the flip side, I don’t trust KC’s Edinson Volquez. He’s been very erratic allowing four runs on eight hits in his most recent start against Boston and hasn’t pitched beyond the sixth inning in five of his last six trips to the hill. Volquez has been battling control issues as well issuing 10 walks in his last 4 starts compared to 14 strikeouts which is a ratio that doesn’t bode well for future success. Oakland has been displaying much greater patience at the plate recently Read more

Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Oakland A's Ian Cameron

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates

06.25.2015     10:11 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Cincinnati (DeSclafani) +145 at Pittsburgh (Burnett) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Cincinnati

The Pirates have gone from red hot to ice cold over the course of the last week.  The Pirates closed out May on an 8-2 run and opened up June with a 13-3 mark; 21-5 over a 26 game stretch.  No team can stay hot like that indefinitely, and the Pirates have come back to earth, losing four times in their last five games.  The Pirates bats have gone cold, producing only five runs in those four recent defeats.  And their pitching staff – the key to that extended run of success – has gone cold as well.

Today’s starter, AJ Burnett, allowed a career high 14 hits at Washington in his last outing; the third time in his last five starts that Burnett has given up four runs or more.   Cincinnati has seen him twice already this year, and several key Reds bats have a strong track record against him, like Brandon Phillips and Joey Votto.  Behind Burnett, the Pirates bullpen is anything but rested after throwing more than 15 innings over the last three days.

Meanwhile, after their own offensive slump, the Reds Read more

Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Pittsburgh Pirates Teddy Covers

MLB Betting Podcast 6-24-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

06.24.2015     09:29 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Teddy Covers Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Oakland A's at Texas Rangers

06.24.2015     08:27 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Oakland (Graveman) -102 at Texas (Rodriguez) O/U 9
Recommendation: Oakland

I like the way Oakland is playing right now posting an 18-11 record over its last 29 games. Also rolling along although not with the same positive win-loss results is tonight’s starter Kendall Graveman. In his last three outings Graveman is 0-2 with a no-decision despite having pitched at least 7 innings in all of those starts (22 IP) and recording a 1.00 WHIP and 1.64 ERA. His only problem has been the long ball as all four of the runs he’s allowed in his last three games have come via solo dingers. His pitch-per-inning count has been economical (between 13.71, 14.43) and free passes have been a non-issue. With the Texas offense being quiet as of late scoring three runs or less in six of their last nine, expect Graveman to throw well again and avenge a poor April outing against the Rangers. Offensively, Oakland has to deal with the somewhat baffling success of lefty Wandy Rodriguez. The Rangers are 6-0 in his last six starts even though Rodriguez has been less than sharp in three of his last five. He’s been able to escape any real damage but his high pitch Read more

Tags: MLB Oakland A's Texas Rangers Rob Veno

MLB Handicapping: Shadows and sun give San Francisco home edge

06.24.2015     07:53 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Interesting article courtesy of FanGraphs on San Francisco's home field/day time/first inning advantage. Thursday’s game against San Diego is slated to start at 12:45 pm PT.

“During batting practice, it’s really bright,” said Venable. “Those empty bleachers are so bright, and the sun is setting behind you, so the light is pointing right at those seats. It can happen some in the first inning, too. I’m glad when I’m not leading off here. These parks are so great and professional, it’s not that big a deal, but you do notice when something is only a tiny bit off.”

Tags: MLB San Francisco Giants


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