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July

30

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MLB Handicapping: Effective Velocity the wave of the future

06.19.2014     07:06 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
If you read one thing today make sure it's Jason Turbow's The Essence of Velocity. Lots of great, ahead-of-the-curve stuff. It also helps better explain why the Diamondbacks are 13 games under .500 and Kirk Gibson's managerial career is on borrowed time.


"Every statistic showed what I already knew was true," said Husband. "Big league hitters are like machines when it comes to hitting those 90-mph pitches, but they have limited ability to adjust — a reality that becomes even more stark when tunnels hide the identity of a pitch. The best, top-notch guys might be able to handle an 8-mph spread, but pitchers can work a 40-mph difference between their speeds. If they do things right, hitters simply can't catch up. It's why EV works. Unless a hitter is sitting on an inside or elevated fastball that's picking up effective velocity, he simply cannot react quickly enough to hit that ball with maximum efficiency."






Tags: MLB Arizona Diamondbacks




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates

06.18.2014     10:34 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cincinnati (Simon) at Pittsburgh (Volquez) -115 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Over


At this stage of the campaign, the betting markets have more than enough data to concentrate on full-season numbers.  But the full season numbers for both Cincinnati and Pittsburgh offensively don’t tell the story of the appropriate current form of these two lineups today.  That leaves legitimate value betting the Over on ‘baseline’ totals for both squads; two teams that are consistently lined in the same 7 or 7.5 range where we find them today.

The Reds couldn’t hit their way out of a wet paper bag for the better part of the first two months of the season.  Their aggregate numbers show Cinci ranked #29 out of 30 MLB teams in runs scored this year – only the Padres have gotten less production from their lineup.  But with Joey Votto off the DL, the Reds bats have come to life, pounding out 36 runs in their last six games.   As a team, Cinci Read more


Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Pittsburgh Pirates Teddy Covers




Sports Betting Podcast 6-18-2014 with Handicappers Rob Veno, Teddy Covers, and Erin Rynning

06.18.2014     10:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno, Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning. Rob and host Andrew Lange talked Golden Nugget College Football Games of the Year. Teddy continued his NFL Season O/U Wins discussion. Erin broke down tonight's MLB contests.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - College Football Golden Nugget GOYs

Teddy Covers - NFL Season O/U Wins

Erin Rynning - MLB Night Games

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast Read more


Tags: College Football MLB NFL Rob Veno Teddy Covers Erin Rynning




MLB Handicapping: New York's Whitley thriving with strikes

06.18.2014     08:10 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Toronto (Buehrle) at NY Yankees (Whitley) -105 O/U 9

The New York Yankees may have found a legitimate middle-of-the-ration arm in rookie Chase Whitley. The former 15th round pick doesn't throw particularly hard (91-92 mph) but his success (2.41 ERA) has come from throwing strikes. He enters tonight's game against Toronto having not walked a batter in four straight outings. The slate for Whitley though has been favorable with three starts against the National League and two on the road vs. Seattle and Kansas City. The Blue Jays in Yankee Stadium will be his toughest test to date.




Tags: MLB New York Yankees Toronto Blue Jays




Sports Betting Podcast 6-17-2014 with Handicappers Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning

06.17.2014     11:05 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning. Both cappers broke down tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Full Show

Teddy Covers - National League

Erin Rynning - American League and Interleague

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: MLB Teddy Covers Erin Rynning




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Houston Astros at Washington Nationals

06.17.2014     10:09 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Houston (Keuchel) at Washington (Roark) -135 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under


The Houston Astros head to Washington Tuesday night to begin a quick two-game stint before heading to Tampa Bay.  Houston may want to skip this Washington trip altogether as they've won just 1 game in their last 11 meetings.  The Astros might be just what the Nationals need after dropping three straight against the Cardinals with all three games going under the total.  Tonight should be no different with runs at a premium. Both games this season have gone under the total, and the last five meetings have done the same. Both pitchers have been lights out this season, with Houston left hander Dallas Keuchel posting a WHIP of 0.99 and Washington's Tanner Roark at 1.06.  And neither one has been doing it with smoke-and-mirrors. Roark ranks in the top 25 in the NL in xFIP while Keuchel has produced some of the best season-to-date numbers among AL starters. The books have finally adjusted the total Read more


Tags: MLB Houston Astros Washington Nationals Sammy P




MLB Handicapping: Comparing starting pitcher ERA and FIP

06.17.2014     08:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Quick look at the biggest ERA-FIP discrepancies among qualified starting pitchers this season. FIP and xFIP are both considered more accurate tools is "grading" a pitcher's year-to-date performance. For example: Minnesota's Kevin Correia sports a sub-par 5.29 ERA but has been somewhat unlucky with a .330 BABIP and 64.3% LOB rate. As a result, his FIP (4.04) is more in line with that of an average starter. On the flip side, Seattle's Chris Young, who the markets bet heavily against prior to last night's outing, has a 3.40 ERA but a 5.14 FIP. On the surface Young has been extremely fortunate with a .217 BABIP and 81.1% LOB. ERA/FIP differential is not something you can bet into blindly – in part because it is almost always well represented in the market prices. However it gives bettors a good idea of who may be trending in the opposite direction moving forward.

Underachievers
Kevin Correia: 5.29 ERA, 4.04 FIP, +1.24
Edwin Jackson: 5.11 ERA, 3.87 FIP, +1.24
Ricky Nolasco: 5.66 ERA, 4.50 FIP, +1.16
Justin Masterson: 5.05 ERA, 3.94 FIP, +1.11
Brandon McCarthy: 5.18 ERA, 4.10 FIP, +1.09 Read more


Tags: MLB




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers

06.16.2014     10:14 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Colorado (Matzek) +170 at LA Dodgers (Ryu) O/U 7
Recommendation: Colorado


Hyun-Jin Ryu's overall numbers look good (3.33 ERA, 2.90 FIP) but since returning from injury he's been hit around some and faced a very favorable schedule with games against the Mets, Reds (twice), and the Pirates. In two starts against Colorado, Ryu allowed 17 hits in 11 IP with only five strikeouts. I've also noticed a small drop in velocity with Ryu. The Rockies will be getting a third look against him and should be able to plate some runs. Colorado rookie Tyler Matzek looked very good in his MLB debut – 7 IP, 2 ERs, and 7 Ks in Coors Field against Atlanta. I'm a big fan of first-time lefties and while the Dodgers do have right-handed power, Matzek at night in Dodgers Stadium presents a good opportunity for success. Ultimately this is a value play. Ryu is being priced as a dominant starter vs. a lower-tier pitcher and team but I don't think that is the case. The Rockies aren't the same team away from Read more


Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Los Angeles Dodgers Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Free Play: San Diego Padres at New York Mets

06.15.2014     05:56 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Diego (Kennedy) -120 at NY Mets (Matsuzaka) O/U 7
Recommendation: San Diego


The Padres and pitching coach Darren Balsley have done great work with this afternoon’s expected started Ian Kennedy. Kennedy struggled with the Arizona Diamondbacks last season before he was traded at the July 31st deadline to the Padres. The struggles continued for the right-hander after he was traded as he posted an overall 4.91 ERA in 2013. However, Kennedy still possessed good stuff and wasn’t too far removed from the 21-4 record and 2.88 ERA of 2011. Prior to this season Kennedy and Balsley were able to make key adjustments and we’ve seen an uptick in velocity and more of a reliance on the curveball. Kennedy’s strikeouts are up, walks are down, and he’s clearly outpitched (3.02 xFIP) his current 3.63 ERA and 5-7 W-L record. Meanwhile, the 33-year-old Daisuke Matsuzaka will be making his fourth start of the season for the Mets. His 2.95 ERA is sparkling, Read more


Tags: MLB San Diego Padres New York Mets Erin Rynning Ian Kennedy




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox

06.14.2014     05:39 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas City (Duffy) at Chicago WS (Noesi) -110 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Chicago


I don't think Chicago's Hector Noesi is as bad as his overall numbers (5.40 ERA) suggest. Remember, this guy is pitching for this third team this season which isn't exactly ideal for one's psyche. Now that he's settled in on the South Side, it appears that White Sox pitching coach/guru Don Cooper has made an impact with Noesi who shows a solid 3.86 ERA over his last seven starts. And it should be pointed out that if you take away two outings against powerful Detroit, Noesi has been nearly automatic in the quality start department. Bottom line is he’s a 6 IP, 3/4 ER guy but with the potential to be far better this afternoon facing one of the worst offenses in the American League. Kansas City's Danny Duffy is slowly getting back into form after arm problems cut short his 2013 season. At times Duffy has been effective but he's also flashing numerous red flags. For starters his K per 9 rate is a modest Read more


Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Chicago White Sox Andrew Lange



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"MLB'"

July

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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 30, 2014 08:20 PM.