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MLB Handicapping: Brandon McCarthy takes his sexy xFIP to New York

07.07.2014     08:15 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Just like the betting markets – and the title of FanGraphs' recent article – the New York Yankees are betting on Brandon McCarthy and xFIP. McCarthy's season has hurt the brains of a lot of bettors – strong K numbers, lots of groundballs, and plenty of bad luck. His two biggest issues were home runs (15 in 109 IP) and playing for a bad team and it resulted in a 3-10 record and -11.5 units. Now McCarthy is headed to New York –a better team but a more difficult league and a stadium notorious for being tough on right-handers who give up the long ball (Phil Hughes, anyone?). No word on when McCarthy will make his Yankees debut.


"McCarthy is an experienced starter that we expect to pitch well for us," Girardi said. "I know he's had his struggles but he seemed to turn around. He's got a good arm. His last few starts have been pretty good. He's got too good of stuff not to."






Tags: MLB New York Yankees




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers

07.06.2014     08:49 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tampa Bay (Price) -115 at Detroit (Porcello) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under


Quietly, Detroit Rick Porcello is on pace for a fifth consecutive season of lowering his ERA. This year's numbers are good (3.12 ERA, 3.82 xFIP) even though he's doing it with some smoke-and-mirrors. His K rate is down from 7.22 to 5.22 and despite years of high BABIPs behind a porous infield defense, all of a sudden it's at .266. Last time out was perhaps the most mind-blowing outing of the year as Porcello hung a complete game shutout on the A's despite not fanning a single batter. Porcello is a very interesting case study because he's proven capable of success by pitching to contact but at some point the numbers will flatten out some. Tampa's David Price has been very Porcello-esque of late (2.12 ERA L6 starts) but he goes about it in a much different manner with 63 Ks in his last 46.2 innings. It is that ability to miss bats (and avoid the "due for regression" numbers) that has Price a road Read more


Tags: MLB Tampa Bay Rays Detroit Tigers Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Texas Rangers at New York Mets

07.05.2014     07:20 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas (Lewis) at NY Mets (Colon) -130 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under


The stats aren't good for Texas' Colby Lewis as he sports a 5.71 ERA through 14 trips to the hill. And it wasn't until last time out that he recorded his first quality start of the season. But off back-to-back decent efforts (14 Ks, 0 BBs, 12.1 IP) Lewis walks into a favorable situation tonight in New York. For starters, the Mets will serve as one of the worst offense Lewis has faced this season – particularly at Citi Field were they are hitting .223/.649. And Citi Field will be a huge relief as Lewis sports a 6.54 ERA in Texas. Bartolo Colon continues to defy logic with fastballs that bend every which way. Over his last eight starts he sports a 2.20 ERA. Texas is no longer the offensive juggernaut they once were. In fact, only a few statistics suggest they are even American League average. Ultimately though, this game comes down to who is behind the dish, and that, bettors, is Mr. Doug Eddings. Eddings is one of the Read more


Tags: MLB Texas Rangers New York Mets Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapping: Mariners quietly own league's second-best run differential

07.03.2014     07:40 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Winners of four straight and eight of their last 10, the Seattle Mariners (47-38) are actually thinking postseason – it's been 13 years since the famous 116-win season. They've actually played better than their record with a Pythagorean W-L mark of 51-34 thanks to a +70 run differential. Amazingly that's the second-best mark in MLB behind Oakland (+125) and +14 ahead of the Angels (+56).


"I don't know how we're doing it," he tells USA TODAY Sports. "We're just so offensively challenged. Other teams have a shotgun. We've got a BB gun. So we shoot them between the eyes and try to get the hell out of town before they know what hit them."






Tags: MLB Seattle Mariners




Sports Betting Podcast 7-2-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

07.02.2014     10:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - MLB Night Games

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: MLB Rob Veno




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Cleveland Indians at Los Angeles Dodgers

07.02.2014     08:14 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cleveland (Bauer) at LA Dodgers (Ryu) -150 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under


If you've read these pages before you know that I am a big fan of Cleveland’s Trevor Bauer who is starting to show more consistency to go along with his swing-and-miss stuff. I think he'll benefit from pitching in a National League park this afternoon as well as it being the Dodgers first-ever look at the hard throwing righty. Hyun-Jin Ryu has been as consistent as they come churning out quality start after quality start this season. Asian pitchers are notoriously tough in first-look situations as not one current Indians player has an AB vs. Ryu. The Tribe has also had a difficult time hitting lefties this season with .244/.313/.350/.663 splits hence their 10-16 record vs. southpaws. This is a true getaway day situation with the afternoon start, LA headed to Colorado, and Cleveland with an off day on Thursday before returning home for a 10-game homestand. Let's play this one UNDER the total.

Read more


Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians Los Angeles Dodgers Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Texas Rangers at Baltimore Orioles

07.01.2014     08:06 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas (Martinez) at Baltimore (McFarland) -135 O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Baltimore


The Texas Rangers have been reeling of late losing 10 of their last 12 games and six straight on the road.  The Baltimore Orioles on the other hand have quietly put together a solid first half of the season that sees them just one game back in the American League East. Baltimore has done most of their damage offensively despite playing without a full lineup for most of the season (Manny Machado, Chris Davis, Matt Weiters, and J.J. Hardy have all missed time).  They are sitting third in the league with a .265 batting average and lead the league in homers for the month of June.  Nick Martinez takes the hill for the Rangers tonight so don't expect the bleeding to stop any time soon.  Martinez has been winless in his last six starts and has seen his ERA balloon to 4.65.  Lefty T.J. McFarland comes out of the bullpen tonight for the Orioles. He’s not going to “wow” anyone Read more


Tags: MLB Baltimore Orioles Texas Rangers Sammy P




MLB Handicapping: Washington's Strasburg concerned about mechanics

07.01.2014     07:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Keep an eye of Washington's Stephen Strasburg tonight against Colorado. Following his worst start of the season (4.2 IP, 7 ERs vs. Milwaukee) Strasburg said that his mechanics were out of whack. He's a -250 favorite vs. the Rockies.


“I’m not right mechanically right now, and I think it’s causing [hitters] to see the ball a lot better,” he said. “Happens to everybody. I’m going to keep working hard, and it’s going to turn.”

Asked about the root of the problems, Strasburg was terse: “Still trying to figure that out. Just doesn’t feel the same. Doesn’t look the same.”

“The key for Stephen is going to continue to be to have fastball command early, be able to throw his breaking balls for strikes, use the change-up off of that,” Williams said. “[Wednesday] it was a little backwards.”






Tags: MLB Washington Nationals Colorado Rockies




Sports Betting Podcast 6-30-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning

06.30.2014     11:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning. ER and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Erin Rynning - MLB Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: MLB Erin Rynning




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees

06.30.2014     10:30 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tampa Bay (Archer) +100 at NY Yankees (Phelps) O/U 8
Recommendation: Tampa Bay


Expecting a strong bounce back performance from Tampa’s Chris Archer who entered last Tuesday’s game versus Pittsburgh with a 0.89 ERA in his previous seven starts (40.2 IP).  On top of his strong recent form, Archer has been a problem for the Yankees going 4-0 with a 1.26 ERA and 0.63 WHIP since entering the Rays’ rotation last year. He was able to overcome the dreaded “right hander in Yankee Stadium” syndrome twice last season throwing 15 innings of 1 run ball while posting 10/1 K/BB numbers. Earlier this season he tossed 6.2 against NY allowing just three hits and one run. Tampa comes off a 3-1 series win over division opponent Baltimore this past weekend and gets another chance inside the division to help themselves. The Yanks are scrambling in the AL East as well having lost their final two weekend home games to Boston but tonight’s starter David Phelps just Read more


Tags: MLB Tampa Bay Rays New York Yankees Rob Veno



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 01, 2014 03:17 PM.