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MLB Handicapping: Milwaukee Brewers Season Over/Under Wins

03.31.2014     06:10 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Milwaukee Brewers Season O/U Wins: 79.5
Recommendation: Over


I see positive value in this season win total with a Milwaukee team that had plenty of key things go wrong for them  2013. The major setback for the Brewers last season was obviously the loss of their centerpiece Ryan Braun for 101 games due to suspension. Add in the 70 games missed by cleanup hitter Aramis Ramirez and you have a gaping hole in the batting order that was supposed to be the Brewers strength. Veteran starting second baseman Rickie Weeks completely fell off the face of the earth recording career worsts in every offensive category. An injury to starting pitcher Marco Estrada cost Milwaukee about 12 starts and weakened an already average rotation. Milwaukee’s bullpen blew seven saves and lost eight games in their first 37 contests before they steadied the ship.

Despite all of the things that went wrong for them, Milwaukee still won 74 games and managed to find some bright spots for the future. Shortstop Jean Segura took hold in the top third of the Milwaukee order immediately and heads into 2014 as one of the top offensive shortstops in the National League. Read more


Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Rob Veno




MLB Handicapping: Atlanta Braves Season Over/Under Wins

03.31.2014     06:03 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Atlanta Braves Season O/U Wins: 87.5
Recommendation: Under


The Braves enter the season with a slew of key injuries to their pitching staff and a couple figures to affect them all season long. Right handed starters Brandon Beachy and Kris Medlen who were both expected to be in the top three of the Atlanta rotation underwent Tommy John surgery this month and are lost for the year. Add to that, the loss for at least a month of LH starter Mike Minor who has been placed on the 15-day DL (shoulder soreness) and the early season absence of free agent acquisition Gavin Floyd (recovering from Tommy John surgery) and you have a decimated starting staff until at least mid-May. Atlanta will be dependent upon 23-year old Julio Teheran (last year’s no. 5 at the start of the season) and veteran Ervin Santana at the top of the rotation and then they’ll need another 23-year old, Alex Wood, along with journeyman Aaron Harang and inexperienced righty David Hale to anchor the 3-4-5 slots.

The injury bug doesn’t stop with the starters as lefty reliever Johnny Venters and RH middle reliever Cory Gearrin each have arm injuries that will keep Read more


Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves Rob Veno




Sports Betting Podcast 3-31-3014 with Handicapper Erin Rynning

03.31.2014     05:52 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning. ER and host Andrew Lange broke down today's enitre MLB slate.

Today's segments
Erin Rynning - MLB Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: MLB Erin Rynning




MLB Handicapping: San Diego feels good about starting rotation

03.27.2014     02:10 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Like the Minnesota Twins, the San Diego Padres have an optimistic outlook on their pitching staff heading into the season. Andrew Cashner has no. 1 starter potential while Ian Kennedy and Tyson Ross are solid middle-of-the-rotation arms. The Padres took a flyer on Josh Johnson who is already on the DL and morphing into the next Mark Prior. Any production from him is just a bonus at this point. Eric Stults and Robbie Erlin round out the rotation. Erlin, a former third round pick, posted a 1.97 ERA over his last five starts of 2013. Keep in mind, 312 innings went to Edinson Volquez, Jason Marquis (who in his defense wasn't awful), and Clayton Richard last season. Addition by subtraction.


"The optimism really started last year in the second half when our starting pitching started to show up," Black said. "You saw Andrew Cashner, Read more



Tags: MLB San Diego Padres




MLB Handicapping: Oakland A's pitching staff thin heading into season

03.27.2014     12:02 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Oakland A's will start the season with a fair amount of question marks on their pitching staff. Jarrod Parker is out for the year following Tommy John surgery. AJ Griffin is still three weeks away from throwing a baseball. Sonny Gray is an ace in waiting but some guys don't respond well following their first season of professional ball; especially with Gray being a "max effort" arm. Reliever Jesse Chavez will serve as a stop-gap starter and finesse arms Dan Straily and Tommy Milone are back. Scott Kazmir also comes over from Cleveland. It's not all doom-and-gloom with the A's notorious for getting by with what they have. But it’s a starting staff worth keeping an eye on in April.


"We have guys we know will step up and fill in," starter Dan Straily said. "That's what we do here. This team is all about picking up for everybody else."





Tags: MLB Oakland A's




MLB Handicapping: Minnesota Twins hope new arms result in more wins

03.27.2014     11:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last season, the Minnesota Twins had arguably the worst starting staff in the league and it resulted in nearly 100 losses. They made a handful of moves during the offseason in the hopes of improving – which shouldn't be difficult. Newly acquired Phil Hughes and Ricky Nolasco have a fair amount of upside, particularly throwing in Target Field. Kevin Correia and Mike Pelfrey are serviceable when healthy. And Kyle Gibson, who just earned the fifth spot, is well-regarded and should benefit from the lumps (6.53 ERA) he took during last year's 10 starts. It pretty simple: Over the last three years Minnesota's team ERA was 4.55, 4.77, and 4.58 and they never won more than 66 games. In 2010, they churned out a 3.95 ERA and won the American League Central with 94 wins.


"I'm not saying we hit rock bottom last year because you can always lose more, but it felt Read more



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins




MLB Handicapping: Projections and Season O/U Wins

03.27.2014     07:33 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Good article from the new FiveThirtyEight.com blog on baseball predictions/projections.


Speaking of those Vegas over/unders, they’re the most crowdsourced projections we have. Every spring, various sportsbooks release baseline win totals for each team in the upcoming season, inviting bettors to place wagers on whether they believe a team will win more or less games than the oddsmakers think. These over/unders are not technically predictions — their aim is different from PECOTA’s or even Sports Illustrated’s — but they’re hugely predictive because of the stakes involved.

To get a sense of how Vegas sets these over/unders, I spoke with Ed Salmons, head oddsmaker for the Las Vegas Hotel & Casino, which cleared nearly 1 million sports bets in 2013. Like Cannella, Salmons doesn’t use a strictly algorithmic approach, although he is well-versed in sabermetrics. “I look at computerized [projections] before putting numbers out,” he said. “You’d be foolish not Read more



Tags: MLB




MLB Handicapping: Colorado Rockies Season Over/Under Wins

03.26.2014     01:38 PM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Colorado Rockies Season O/U Wins
Recommendation: Over 76.5


All of the talk in the National League West has undoubtedly centered on the Los Angeles Dodgers contending for a World Series title and the San Francisco Giants bouncing back after last year’s 76-win campaign.  The Colorado Rockies (74-88) meanwhile are lined as the worst team in the division and while there are plenty of holes, I see upside with this squad as well as value with the price. This is a .500 ball club when Troy Tulowitzki, Carlos Gonzalez, and the pitching staff are healthy.  Tulowitzki played in only 126 games last season while CarGo was even less at 110. Their starting pitchers are not the envy of most teams, but if guys like Brett Anderson can stay healthy and Juan Nicasio can pitch to his potential they will get more than their share of wins.  Nicasio has been the wildcard in their rotation for some time and with his fastball improved during spring training we could see big results. The addition of Anderson, coupled with Nicasio and Jorge De La Rosa, gives the Rockies three solid arms that while not as high profile as some of the aces in the division, Read more


Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Sammy P




Sports Betting Podcast 3-26-2014 with Handicappers Rob Veno and Teddy Covers

03.26.2014     10:26 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Teddy Covers. Rob and host Andrew Lange talked MLB starting pitchers while Teddy broke down the NBA slate.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - MLB Starting Pitchers

Teddy Covers - NBA Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: MLB NBA Rob Veno Teddy Covers




Sports Betting Podcast 3-25-2014 with Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning

03.25.2014     11:25 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning. Rob gave out two MLB Season Over/Under Win recommendations while Erin broke down all four games on the NBA slate.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - MLB Season O/U Wins

Erin Rynning - NBA Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: MLB NBA Rob Veno Erin Rynning



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Apr 24, 2014 01:26 AM.