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MLB Handicapping: Houston's Harrell finds success with sinker
05.02.2013 12:15 PM
Printer Friendly
Good Q&A on Houston pitcher Lucas Harrell courtesy of
FanGraphs
. Harrell has been one of the few bright spots for the Astros having won three consecutive starts. He lives and dies on a plus sinkerball and boasts nearly a 60/40 GB-to-FB ratio. He’s scheduled to start Saturday vs. Detroit.
“If you’re throwing your sinker at 88-90, or you’re throwing 90-93, that’s a big difference. The harder it is, the harder it is to hit. It rides a little bit more on the hands, which gives you a little more advantage. Even so, the more I’m out there, the sharper I am and the more action I have on the ball.”
Tags:
MLB
Houston Astros
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MLB Gambling Free Play: St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers
05.02.2013 10:38 AM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
St. Louis
(Westbrook) -105 at
Milwaukee
(Peralta) O/U 9
Recommendation: St. Louis
The Brewers had a major bullpen problem last year that essentially doomed their chances for a repeat NL Central title. Over the course of the 2012 season, Milwaukee’s bullpen ranked dead last in the majors in ERA, while losing a whopping 33 games (worst in the majors) and blowing 29 save chances (also worst in the majors).
While the Brewers bullpen hasn’t been quite as bad this year, we’ve still seen six losses and five blown saves from this pen in their first 26 games, including yet another John Axford meltdown that cost them a series sweep against the Pirates yesterday. That’s very bad news against a team like St. Louis – taking good at-bats for nine innings just about every game.
I give the Cardinals a decent starting pitching edge as well as their bullpen edge. As a group, the Cardinals starters have a 1.32 ERA in their last
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Tags:
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St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
Teddy Covers
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Sports Betting Podcast 5-2-2013 with Handicappers Sammy P and Teddy Covers
05.02.2013 09:34 AM
Printer Friendly
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Sammy P and Teddy Covers. Sammy P broke down the entire NHL Playoffs card while Teddy talked MLB.
Today's segments
Full Show
Sammy P - NHL Playoffs
Teddy Covers - MLB Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
Tags:
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MLB
Sammy P
Teddy Covers
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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros
05.02.2013 07:44 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Detroit
(Porcello) -170 at
Houston
(Lyles) O/U 9
Recommendation: Over
Considering the lineup they are carting out there on a daily basis, it is amazing that the Houston Astros rank 7th in the American League in slugging pct. (.413) and 8th in OPS (.730). A lot of that is bolstered by the infamous 16-run explosion vs. Seattle back in early April but overall, the Astros are finding ways to put a decent amount of runs on the board. Detroit's Rick Porcello had a bounce back performance last time out against Atlanta (6.1 IP, 3 ERs) but I watched that start and he was a pitch or two away from imploding yet again. Porcello doesn't have a pitch he can put batters away with and as a result he pitches to a lot of contact (19.1 IP, 28 hits, 8 Ks).
The fact that Jordan Lyles started the season in the minors is a huge red flag. Especially when his competition was Philip Humber (7.58 ERA), Brad Peacock (9.41) and Erik Bedard (8.20). And while manager Bo Porter is
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Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
Andrew Lange
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MLB Gambling Trends: Oakland A's the best OVER bet in baseball
05.01.2013 01:34 PM
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Last season, Oakland was one of the strongest UNDER teams in baseball at 70-86-6 O/U. The offense was at its best American League average while the pitching staff produce a rock solid 3.48 ERA. Toss in getting to play 98 games in the pitcher friendly venues of Oakland Coliseum, Angel Stadium, and Safeco Field and it's easy to see why 55% of their games went UNDER.
This season, things are playing out much different. For starters, Oakland is averaging a ridiculous 5.64 runs per game. They've scored 158 runs; the top mark in the American League. Baltimore, who ranks second and has played one less game, has 138. The A's also haven't been nearly as dominant on the mound with a 4.31 ERA (12th AL). The end result is the strongest OVER team in baseball at 23-5 O/U.
Consider this stat on Oakland home games...
2012: 84 home games, 7 of which had a total of 8/8.5
2013: 17 home games, 7 of which had a total of 8/8.5
Obviously oddsmakers and the betting markets have started to adjust. What we do know is Oakland is going to eventually cool off offensively. They’ve had more than their fair share of favorable matchups with series
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Oakland A's
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MLB Betting Free Play: San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks
05.01.2013 11:03 AM
ICC
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Submitted by ICC
San Francisco
(Lincecum) at
Arizona
(McCarthy) -110 O/U 9
Recommendation: Over
My clients and I cashed a ticket betting against Tim Lincecum in his last start in San Diego which resulted in a narrow 2-1 Giants loss. Lincecum had a solid outing that night but I’m not sold on that translating into success for him tonight in Arizona especially with the roof expected to be open at Chase Field. Lincecum owns decent numbers lifetime against the Diamondbacks but not so much here in Arizona where he’s struggled with a 1-2 record and a 6.00 ERA in his last five starts. He threw 105 pitches in his last start against the Padres. The one previous time he threw 100+ pitches this season, he allowed 4 runs on 6 hits in 5 innings of work in what was a laboring start against the anemic and light hitting Chicago Cubs.
On the other hand, I expect the Giants to plate their share of runs tonight as well against Arizona’s struggling starter Brandon McCarthy. McCarthy has been
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San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
Ian Cameron
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Sports Betting Podcast 5-1-2013 with Handicappers Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, and Alf Musketa
05.01.2013 10:25 AM
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Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, and Alf Musketa. Rob and Erin broke down the entire MLB card while Alf talked tonight's three NBA Playoff matchups as well as PGA and UFC.
Today's segments
Full Show
Rob Veno - National League
Erin Rynning - American League
Alf Musketa - NBA, PGA and UFC
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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NBA
PGA
UFC
Rob Veno
Erin Rynning
Alf Musketa
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MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves
05.01.2013 10:12 AM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
Washington
(Zimmermann) at
Atlanta
(Maholm) -125 O/U 7
Recommendation: Under
Expecting a bounce back performance from Braves’ lefty Paul Maholm after being roughed up by Detroit in his last outing. That 3.2 inning stint in which Maholm allowed 10 hits and eight runs was a stark contrast to the three earned runs he gave up in his 26.1 innings to start the season. Washington’s impotent offense could help Maholm get back to his effective ways tonight. Over their last 10 games, the Nationals have scored two runs or less eight times as they have greatly missed the bat of cleanup hitter Ryan Zimmerman. Also in Maholm’s favor tonight should be the Nationals inability to hit left handed pitching thus far. Examining their .228 team batting average against southpaws brings out the fact that RF Bryce Harper is the major culprit. Harper’s R/L splits show a canyon sized .239 point gap between his .406 batting average vs. righties and his .167 number against lefties. With No.
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Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
Rob Veno
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MLB Gambling News: Bettors finally adjust to Milwaukee's Miller Park
05.01.2013 06:31 AM
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Pittsburgh
(Gomez) at
Milwaukee
(Burgos) -140 O/U 9
If you haven't already noticed, Milwaukee's Miller Park has been playing a tad bit small of late. And by a “tad bit” we mean home runs are being hit like a moderately competitive rec league softball game. Miller Park has surrendered an average of 3.4 home runs per game (2.8 last year). Of Milwaukee's 14 home games, seven have hit double digits including Monday and Tuesday’s 10-4 and 12-8 slugfests against Pittsburgh. Add it all up and 10 of Miller Park's 14 games have gone OVER the total. But what's most notable is not one those 14 games had a total above 8.5...until today. CRIS opened this afternoon's game at 8.5un-115 with Pittsburgh's Jeanmar Gómez taking on Milwaukee's Hiram Burgos. But following last night's 29 hits, 7 home runs, and 20 runs, bettors had seen enough. The game is currently 9 across the board – a number that could very well become the baseline for Miller Park if the home run derby
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MIlwaukee Brewers
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MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Los Angeles Angels at Oakland A's
04.30.2013 10:43 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
LA Angels
(Richards) at
Oakland
(Parker) -105 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Oakland
My clients and I cashed a winner betting against the Angels on Sunday, as Seattle rallied from behind to steal a 2-1 victory over slumping LA. We cashed a winner betting against the Angels on Monday in their disastrous 19 inning loss highlighted by multiple bullpen breakdowns. And there’s absolutely no reason to think that the Angels are going to snap out of their season long funk as their road trip continues in Oakland tonight.
Mike Scioscia’s squad has lost six of their last eight, plagued by the same problems they’ve had all year – mediocre starting pitching, a bullpen that can’t close games and a lineup that’s struggling to create clutch hits. Expect more of the same here!
LA’s quotes following last night’s six and half hour marathon speak volumes about their level of frustration right now, a team that’s
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Los Angeles Angels
Oakland A's
Teddy Covers
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