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NCAA Football Handicapping: Southern Miss wants to avoid track meet vs. Boise State

09.25.2013     07:01 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Southern Miss at Boise State -28 O/U 56.5

Still in the infant stages of adjusting to Todd Monken's offense, it sounds as if Southern Miss isn't going to tempt fate and push the pace during Saturday's game at Boise State. The Golden Eagles are averaging less than 70 plays per game and ranked 114th in total offense at 312.7 ypg. The Broncos meanwhile have had the pedal to the floor with 85 plays per game including 100 in last week's 41-40 loss at Fresno.


“That’s what you’re going to get when you have a team like Fresno (State), who went no-huddle, and Boise, which was also having success (last week),” Monken said Monday. “But that’s not normal, I don’t care even if you go no-huddle. So I don’t anticipate we’ll get to that, but it can

Read more



Tags: College Football Southern Miss Golden Eagles C-USA Boise State Broncos Mountain West




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Power Ratings as of 9/24/2013

09.24.2013     12:02 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I think most of you reading this know the drill by now. What you see below is my estimate of how “the market” has college football teams rated at this point in the season. And, by “the market,” I mean the combination of oddsmakers and sharps (leaving out the often-misguided public as best as possible). These are based on the current pointspreads at writing time, allotting 3 points for home field advantage.

This isn’t how I personally rate the teams. It’s my estimate of “market Power Ratings” if they existed in a tangible form.

An early number came up in Las Vegas last week for a hypothetical matchup between Alabama and Oregon. That line was Alabama -3, which represents how oddsmakers would rate the game. What would sharps do once big limits were available on a game like that? My scale estimates that sharps would take Oregon. They seem to be betting Oregon hand over fist this year…and Alabama is struggling to play Read more



Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Gambling: Washington thriving with new up-tempo offense

09.24.2013     11:56 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona at Washington -8 O/U 63.5

Good article on Washington's switch to an up-tempo offense. Through three games, the Huskies are averaging nearly 84 plays per game. Last season they averaged 69.5. It was last season's 52-17 loss at Arizona and some past conversation with Texas A&M's Kevin Sumlin that convinced Steve Sarkisian that the timing was right to start playing faster.


“I felt like Arizona’s tempo got us,’’ Sarkisian said Monday. “This is part of the reason we’re doing what we’re doing offensively is to prepare for this game, so that when teams go to this up-tempo style against us, we don’t become uncomfortable on

Read more



Tags: College Football Washington Huskies Arizona Wildcats PAC-12




College Football Betting: USC as been a dead nuts UNDER team

09.24.2013     11:47 AM     Printer Friendly
USC has gone under the total in all four of its games this season. Here are some of the Trojans' numbers stacked up against the rest of the up-tempo PAC-12.




Tags: College Football USC Trojans PAC-12




College Football Betting Podcast 9-24-2013 with Handicappers Brian Edwards and Rob Veno

09.24.2013     10:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Brian Edwards and Rob Veno. Brian recapped Week 4 College Football (SEC, ACC, AAC) and RobIan did the same (Sun Belt, C-USA, MAC, MWC).

Today's segments
Full Show

Brian Edwards - CFB Week 4 Recap: SEC, ACC, AAC

Rob Veno - CFB Week 4 Recap: Sun Belt, C-USA, MAC, MWC

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: College Football Brian Edwards Rob Veno




NFL Betting Recap: Denver Broncos drill Oakland Raiders

09.24.2013     07:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Numbers and notes from Denver’s easy win over Oakland…

Denver 37 (-16), Oakland 21

Oakland: 342 yards, 6.7 per-play, 1 turnovers, 42% third downs

Denver : 536 yards, 7.3 per-play, 3 turnovers, 56% third downs

Other Numbers

Rushing Yards: Oakland 49, Denver 164

Passing Stats: Oakland 21-31-0-293, Denver 32-37-0-372

Drive Points: Oakland 14, Denver 21

Stat Score: Oakland 17, Denver 31

Sloppiness: Oakland 15, Denver 10

Pace Factor: 147 (offensive plays…plus penalties…plus punts…plus FG attempts)

You can tell that Peyton Manning was doing whatever he wanted to. What a passing line! His teammates kept fumbling the ball away. That plus some relaxation from the defense is how a 30-7 third quarter clubbing turned into a finish that put the game near the Vegas spread. Oakland’s offensive numbers were helped by that extended garbage time. Read more



Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Denver Broncos Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting: Colorado prepares for Oregon State after three weeks off

09.24.2013     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Colorado at Oregon State -10.5 O/U 60.5

Unique situation for Colorado after having its game against Fresno State canceled followed with a bye week before traveling to Oregon State.


"Hopefully, we'll have fresh legs," coach Mike MacIntyre said after Monday's practice. "We're still getting in that game mode, that game thing where you click in and don't get as tired sometimes. We've been trying to practice hard. We've been trying to run to the football. We've been trying to go high tempo, to keep that energy going.

"But there's nothing like simulating a game."







Tags: College Football Oregon State Beavers Colorado Buffaloes PAC-12




College Football Handicapping: Week 5 Bye Teams

09.24.2013     07:16 AM     Printer Friendly
Below is a list of Week 5's college football bye week teams.

2013 College Football Week 5 Bye Teams
Team
Opponent
CRIS Opener
CRIS Current
Ole Miss
at Alabama
Alabama -13.5
Alabama -16
South Carolina
at UCF
South Carolina -8.5
South Carolina -7.5 (-105)
Kentucky
vs. Florida
Florida -12.5
Florida -13
Illinois
vs. Miami (OH)
Illinois -24
Illinois -24 (-115)
Oklahoma State
at West Virginia
Oklahoma State -17
Oklahoma State -18.5
Oklahoma
at Notre Dame
Oklahoma -2.5
Oklahoma -3 (-120)
TCU
vs. SMU
TCU -19.5
TCU -20
Iowa State
at Tulsa (Thu.)
Tulsa -4
Tulsa -2.5 (-114)
Boston College
vs. Florida State
Florida State -23
Florida State -21
Oregon
vs. California
Oregon -31
Oregon -36.5
California
at Oregon
Oregon -31
Oregon -36.5
Arizona
at Washington
Washington -7
Washington -8
Colorado
at Oregon State
Oregon State -10.5
Oregon State -10.5
UCF
vs. South Carolina
South Carolina -8.5
South Carolina -7.5 (-105)
USF
vs. Miami (FL)
Miami (FL) -20
Miami (FL) -19
Temple
at Idaho
Temple -10.5
Temple -8
New Mexico
vs. UNLV
New Mexico pk
UNLV -2.5
East Carolina
at North Carolina
North Carolina -10
North Carolina -12
Southern Miss
at Boise State
Boise State -28.5
Boise State -27.5
Tulsa
vs. Iowa State (Thu.)
Tulsa -4
Tulsa -2.5 (-114)
Navy
at Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky pk
Navy -3 (-105)
Buffalo
vs. UConn
UConn -2.5
UConn -2
South Alabama
at Tennessee
Tennessee -21
Tennessee -19.5





Tags: College Football




College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 4

09.23.2013     07:21 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It is usually Boise State who sits back and capitalizes on other teams' mistakes not the other way around. Friday's game against Fresno was one of the more sloppy games I've ever seen out of the Broncos yet they somehow covered the number (+3.5) and had a chance to win the game outright. Down 17-10 early in the second quarter, Boise scored a touchdown but failed on a mysterious two-point conversion (note that the final score was 41-40). Miss one two-point conversion and you're likely to go for two again at some point. Midway through the fourth quarter the Broncos cut the lead to 34-32 and had yet another failed two-point conversion. On their next drive they finally cracked the code and put eight on the board but it put them up only six. Fresno would score a touchdown with three minutes left to give them the 41-40 lead for good. All told, Boise was 1-for-3 on two-point conversions, 1-for-4 on fourth down conversions, and committed two turnovers. Happy to kick PATs, Fresno had no turnovers, was 2-for-2 on fourth downs, and moved to 3-0 on the season.

It is hard for serious bettors to be active in laying huge points because there are typically more factors involved than Read more



Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football ATS Analysis: Golden Nugget's GOY vs. CRIS - Week 5

09.23.2013     07:09 AM     Printer Friendly
Checking in with the college football betting markets as we compare the Golden Nugget's Games of the Year from early June vs. CRIS's current numbers.

2013 College Football Lines Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 5
LSU
Georgia
Georgia -6
Georgia -3
Southern Miss
Boise State
Boise State -21.5
Boise State -26
Oklahoma
Notre Dame
Notre Dame -2
Oklahoma -3.5
Florida
Kentucky
Florida -20
Florida -14
Florida State
Boston College
Florida State -17
Florida State -21.5
Wisconsin
Ohio State
Ohio State -11
Ohio State -7
Colorado
Oregon State
Oregon State -22
Oregon State -10.5
Wake Forest
Clemson
Clemson -21
Clemson -28
Arizona
Washington
Washington -5
Washington -7
Stanford
Washington State
Stanford -18.5
Stanford -10
Oklahoma State
West Virginia
Oklahoma State -11
Oklahoma State -21
Ole Miss
Alabama
Alabama -17
Alabama -16.5
South Carolina
UCF
South Carolina -14
South Carolina -7
California
Oregon
Oregon -34
Oregon -36





Tags: College Football



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 07, 2015 05:03 PM.