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July

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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers

05.22.2013     06:31 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
LA Dodgers (Ryu) -110 at Milwaukee (Peralta) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over


Hyun-Jin Ryu has been solid thus far; like a lot of Far East products he features an arsenal of different pitches at different speeds. He's had a fairly favorable schedule with four games in LA and two in San Francisco and New York. In games at Atlanta, Baltimore, and Arizona, Ryu was a bit more hittable, allowing nine earned runs in 17 innings. Coming from the left side, I view today as perhaps his toughest assignment with the Brewers loaded with right-handed bats in a hitter friendly park.

Wily Peralta hasn't been the most fortunate starter in baseball but his 29-to-17 K-to-BB ratio in 50 innings certainly hasn't helped his cause. I like Peralta's groundball rate (54.5%) but his inability to consistently miss bats and avoid the long ball (6 HRs allowed) makes him a fringe NL arm in my book. Also note that his start in LA (6 IP, 3 ERs) was with Doug Eddings behind the plate.

And while Read more



Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers Milwaukee Brewers Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Kansas City Royals at Houston Astros

05.21.2013     10:34 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas City (Davis) -125 at Houston (Norris) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over


Kansas City's Wade Davis has probably been a bit unlucky this season (.393 BABIP) but you have to be careful when calling for a pitcher's luck to turn, especially when dealing with a fringe arm like Davis. Keep in mind Davis' struggles are nothing new. In 2010 and 2011, as a starter, Davis was a below average AL starter with xFIPs of 4.61 and 4.82 respectively. I've always been a believer of Bud Norris but I do have some concerns after he left his last start with back spasms. His strikeouts this season are way down (33 in 50 IP) after posting a K per inning in 2012. Some of that has to do with pitching in the American League but with only 4 Ks in his last two starts, he doesn't appear to be in great form. Neither offense is much to get excited about but I see the potential for a lot of balls to be put in play tonight and as a result, we'll take a look at the over.





Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Houston Astros Andrew Lange




Sports Betting Podcast 5-21-2013 with Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning

05.21.2013     10:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning. Rob and Erin went through every game on the MLB card. Erin also discussed tonight's Memphis-San Antonio Game 2.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - National League

Erin Rynning - American League and NBA

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: MLB NBA Rob Veno Erin Rynning




MLB Betting Recap: Monday Notes from a 5-Inning Perspective

05.21.2013     08:29 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Quickies from the Monday card, going in schedule order…

*Both Philadelphia and Miami stayed Under 2 runs again in a 1-1 five-inning tie, cementing their stranglehold as worst early offenses in baseball. Miami hasn’t scored 2 or more in the first five innings against a regular rotation pitcher since they showed everyone why Roy Halladay had to go on the Disabled List more than a dozen games ago. Looking like a Double-A caliber offense.

*Marcum of the Mets has seen opponents score 8-3-6-2-3 in the first five innings of his starts. Mets are 2-10-5 their last 17 games in the first five. Meaning, only twice did the team lead after five innings in the last two-and-a-half weeks. Neither was with Harvey by the way.

*Kershaw allowed an early run for the Dodgers in Milwaukee tonight. That’s notable because his last five starts now look like this: 0-0-0-0-1. First run after four straight 5-inning shutouts. He’s allowed a grand total of eight early runs Read more



Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence




MLB Gambling News: A Unique Look at Offenses

05.20.2013     10:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As you probably know, I’ve been playing around with 5-inning options in Major League Baseball this year. Part of the fun of that is doing record-keeping that you know nobody else is doing. Helps you see things from different perspectives.

I’ve been logging all the results by hand because there aren’t any websites I know of that go in-depth with this stuff. That’s GREAT, because it’s easier to gain and maintain an edge over the market when information isn’t widely available. Don’t think I’ll be giving away anything to vital in this post…though creative readers may find a way to use the data.

Here’s the percentage of time that each offense has reached at least two runs in the first five innings this year, through the games of Sunday afternoon…

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Detroit 76%

Baltimore 73%

LA Angels 68%

Boston 68%

Tampa Bay 67%

Cleveland Read more



Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies

05.20.2013     09:44 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona (Corbin) -110 at Colorado (Garland) O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Arizona


Arizona's Patrick Corbin has been flawless this season with a 1.52 ERA and solid 41-to-17 K-to-BB ratio. He’s a young lefty arm who has seen an uptick in velocity and plays on a quality team that is not overpriced in the betting markets. It would be foolish to think Corbin isn't going to regress some (see 3.91 xFIP) but despite his success the betting markets continue to bet against this kid and as a result his value has remained. He should be north of -125 in this particular matchup yet you can get him for as cheap as -110. Colorado's Jon Garland has thrown three straight games in which he's lasted only five innings and allowed three earned runs. With 26 strikeouts in 46 innings Garland simply isn't able to fool many batters at this point in his career. There are some metrics that suggest the starting pitching matchup is close but the eye test tells me to support the premium lefty arm at a discounted price. Read more



Tags: MLB Arizona Diamonbacks Colorado Rockies Andrew Lange




MLB Gambling Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds at Miami Marlins

05.16.2013     10:03 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cincinnati (Latos) -155 at Miami (Fernandez) O/U 7
Recommendation: Under


Sometimes you have to roll with plays that look simplistic and this game shapes up as one of those. Starting pitching figures to dominate here as the Mat Latos takes on young gem Jose Fernandez. Despite the fact that Latos’ history against Miami shows an 0-3 record, he had tremendous success earlier this season when he threw seven strong innings and allowed only one earned run and posting a 10:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio. That game was in the hitter friendly Great American Ballpark so look for Latos to be just as effective tonight inside spacious Marlins Park. Miami’s offense continued its abysmal season last night getting shutout by the Reds 4-0 and they now own an MLB-worst 110 runs scored, .224 batting average, .322 slugging percentage, .224 OBP, and .608 OPS. While Fernandez certainly faces the superior lineup, he’s been brilliant over his last couple starts. He’s pitched a combined 13 Read more



Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Miami Marlins Rob Veno




Sports Betting Podcast 5-16-2013 with Handicappers Ian Cameron and Rob Veno

05.16.2013     09:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Ian Cameron and Rob Veno. Ian broke down the entire NHL Playoffs card while Rob talked MLB.

Today's segments
Full Show

Ian Cameron - NHL Playoffs

Rob Veno - MLB Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: NHL MLB Ian Cameron Rob Veno




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres

05.16.2013     09:49 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington (Strasburg) -140 at San Diego (Volquez) O/U 7
Recommendation: Under


The Nationals lineup has gone ice cold.  They’ve plated just ten runs in their last five games, and nearly half of those runs came in three innings against Josh Beckett, who went on the DL following that outing.  The Nats have 46 strikeouts during that span, while hitting .133 with runners in scoring position.  Padres starter Edison Volquez threw seven innings of three hit, one run ball in his lone start against Washington last year.  And Volquez has been dominant in each of his last two home starts here at Petco: 13.2 innings of work, nine hits and one run against two pretty good hitting lineups – Milwaukee and Arizona.  It’s surely worth noting that the Nats have been held to three runs or less in six of their last seven games in the most pitcher-friendly ballpark in the majors.

Stephen Strasburg hasn’t won since opening day, and he’s Read more



Tags: MLB Washington Nationals San Diego Padres Teddy Covers




MLB Gambling Notes: Boston's Doubront back after making adjustments

05.16.2013     06:48 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Boston (Doubront) at Tampa Bay (Cobb) -137 O/U 8

After skipping a start and making some mechanical adjustments, Boston's Felix Doubront is back on this hill this evening in Tampa. Doubront was fairly effective his first four starts (23.1 IP, 20 hits, 29 Ks, 13 BBs) but fell apart his last two (9 IP, 23 hits, .489 BAA). His velocity in those starts was significantly down which suggests the problems could be arm related. We recommend taking a wait-and-see approach.


"Figure out little things in my mechanics that help me to stay in line, to stay repeating my delivery and throw more strikes down in the zone," Doubront said. "That kind of helps. ... Just feel confident on the mound. Like I said repeat and repeat. That's going to help when everything is going to come back and feel more confident than before."






Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox Tampa Bay Rays



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