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MLB Handicapping: Oakland's Parker can't find his groove

05.06.2013     07:56 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Oakland (Parker) at Cleveland (Jimenez) -115 O/U 8.5

Oakland's Jarrod Parker is finding things to be a bit tougher in this his sophomore season. Through six starts, Parker's ERA sits at 7.36 as he enters tonight's matchup vs. Cleveland –a potentially dangerous paring considering lefties are hitting .418/1.107 vs. the young right hander. Parker's numbers indicate that he's been unlucky (.375 BABIP, 65.6% LOB) but he's also struggling with what he can control and that's strikeouts and walks. Last season he averaged 6.95 Ks and 3.35 BBs per nine innings. This year a dismal 5.52 Ks and 4.91 BBs. According to FanGraphs his velocity has been the same as 2012 which suggests better times are on Read more

Tags: MLB Oakland A's Cleveland Indians

MLB Gambling Free Pick: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals

05.04.2013     11:01 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Chicago WS (Axelrod) at Kansas City (Guthrie) -145 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Kansas City

The Royals aren’t in first place by accident; a “bet on” team in early season play.  Ned Yost has seen his bats come alive over the last week – they’ve plated eight runs or more four times in their last seven games.  Royals starter Jeremy Guthrie is riding a streak of 16 consecutive starts without a loss, and KC is 14-2 in those 16 outings; a strong under-the-radar angle. 

Guthrie has owned the White Sox.  In four starts against Chicago last year, he allowed a grand total of one earned run in 29.2 innings of work.  He shut down the White Sox again in his lone previous start against them this year as well, throwing six innings of one run, nine strikeout ball.  And the surprisingly effective KC bullpen (ranked #4 in the majors in ERA) behind him is rested and ready off back-to-back rainouts.

White Sox manager Robin Read more

Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Chicago White Sox Teddy Covers

NBA Playoff Betting Recap: Oklahoma City and Memphis square off in Western Conference semifinals

05.04.2013     07:15 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

A fascinating Friday night quadruple-header of Game Sixes resulted in NO Game Sevens for Sunday, as the 3-2 leaders all sealed their respective deals. We talked about the games out East in our earlier post. We wrap up the evening with a look at the two Western Conference finals.

Oklahoma City 103, Houston 94

2-Point Percentage: Oklahoma City 48%, Houston 39%

3-Point Shooting: Oklahoma City 11/27, Houston 14/32

Free Throws: Oklahoma City 16/16, Houston 20/31

1’s and 2’s: Oklahoma City 70, Houston 52

Rebounds: Oklahoma City 41, Houston 43

Turnovers: Oklahoma City 10, Houston 15

A few quick notes…

*Jeremy Lin was always going to be overmatched in this series because he’s slower than people realize, and his shot comes and goes (mostly goes vs. quality opposition). His injury was a blessing because it put better athletes on the floor. He’s a great kid…and worth Read more

Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder Memphis Grizzlies Stat Intelligence

MLB Gambling: Watch Clay Buchholz toss a bunch of dirty laundry vs. Toronto

05.03.2013     06:51 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Check out the highlights of Clay Buchholz's video game-like performance last night in Toronto. Buchholz was accused of doctoring the baseball in part because he was throwing a mid-90's fastball that moved like a Greg Maddux sinker. The strike three pitch he threw to Jose Bautista (around the 1:00 mark) was ridiculous. Also notice that throughout the highlights Buchholz went to his mouth multiple times. Granted he was off the mound and did make an attempt to wipe. Prior to this year Buchholz averaged 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings. This season he's at 9.5.

Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox Toronto Blue Jays

MLB Gambling Notes: Verlander continues to roll despite drop in velocity

05.02.2013     12:32 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Most of you are already aware of Justin Verlander's drop in velocity. His four-seam fastball is down about a 1.5 mph from last season. But according to Verlander, there's a method to his madness. For starters he's well aware of the amount of innings and wear and tear he's endured throughout his career. As a result, there was no rush to start the season in top form. Second, and this has been going on the last few years, Verlander has become a master at pacing himself. Often times he'll sit in the low 90's early in a game and then gradually build up to the mid-90s. Despite him not having Verlander-type stuff in every start this season, it's hard to argue with the results: 39.1 IP, 41 Ks, 1 HR, 1.83 ERA.

"I learned a valuable lesson in 2008, and that’s not going about trying to create velocity the wrong way," Verlander said. "Just worry about establishing your pitches, making your pitches, getting outs. You start trying to throw hard, and that creates a lot of bad habits that are hard to fix."

"I threw a lot of

Read more

Tags: MLB Detroit Tigers

NBA Playoff Betting Recap: Harden huge as Rockets extend series

05.02.2013     07:13 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

James Harden finally got hot, making his first seven treys on the way to a 31 point outing on only 16 field goal attempts. That helped Houston build a comfortable lead. In desperation, Oklahoma City started fouling Omer Asik to see if “Hack-a-Shaq” and “Hack-a-Dwight” would work on a big guy who actually has decent form, a soft release, and a complete lack of arrogance. Asik would end the night 13 of 18 from the free throw line. Houston would end the night celebrating a 107-100 victory

Houston 107, Oklahoma City 100

2-Point Percentage: Houston 54%, Oklahoma City 53%

3-Point Shooting: Houston 14/35, Oklahoma City 8/33

Free Throws: Houston 25/37, Oklahoma City 20/28

1’s and 2’s: Houston 65, Oklahoma City 76

Rebounds: Houston 42, Oklahoma City 43

Turnovers: Houston 12, Oklahoma City 8

I can’t say that fouling Asik was a horrible gamble at first. The element of surprise Read more

Tags: NBA Houston Rockets Oklahoma City Thunder Stat Intelligence

NHL Eastern Conference Stanley Cup Playoff Betting Preview

04.30.2013     10:39 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Eastern Conference Playoff Betting Preview

#1 Pittsburgh Penguins vs. #8 New York Islanders
Series Price: Pittsburgh -380/New York +320

The Pittsburgh Penguins enter the playoffs absolutely spoiled rotten with talent and top tier players. Pittsburgh already had Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, James Neal, and Pascal Dupuis but that wasn’t good enough for GM Ray Shero who envisions this season as Stanley Cup or bust. Shero pulled off two blockbuster trades before the deadline acquiring Jarome Iginla from the Calgary Flames and Brenden Morrow from the Dallas Stars who both add scoring, grit and leadership to an already stacked squad. Pittsburgh’s defense started the season struggling to keep pucks out of their net but they’ve tightened up their defensive zone play down the stretch and have a good collection of veteran and quality defenseman like Kris Letang, Paul Martin, Douglas Murray and Brooks Orpik. They are hoping to have captain Sidney Crosby back in time for the start of this series. He suffered a broken jaw on March 30th and has been practicing since late last week but has not yet been medically cleared Read more

Tags: NHL Ian Cameron

NHL Gambling: Sportsbooks post Stanley Cup Playoff first round series odds

04.29.2013     12:37 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here are the NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs first round series prices according to 5Dimes. On tomorrow's Sportsmemo Podcast we'll be breaking down every Eastern and Western Conference series with handicappers Sammy P and Ian Cameron.

Eastern Conference
No. 1 Pittsburgh -440
No. 8 NY Islanders +350

No. 2 Montreal -160
No. 7 Ottawa +140

No. 3 Washington -110
No. 6 NY Rangers -110

No. 4 Boston -200
No. 5 Toronto +170

Western Conference
No. 1 Chicago -425
No. 8 Minnesota +340

No. 2 Anaheim -140
No. 7 Detroit +120

No. 3 Vancouver -135
No. 6 San Jose +115

No. 4 St. Louis -110
No. 5 Los Angeles -110

Tags: NHL Sammy P Ian Cameron

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NBA Western Conference Playoffs update

04.29.2013     08:14 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Two weeks ago, I broke down the Eastern Conference Playoff Race in this column, concluding (to no surprise) that the Miami Heat are truly deserving of their big chalk, heavy favorite status; clearly the team to beat. 

Last week, I got distracted by the upcoming (at the time) NFL Draft; looking to make my point that draft results hold surprisingly little influence over the opening Week 1 pointspreads, and that every prediction you read or hear about ‘Draft Grades’ is likely to be flawed at best, dead wrong at worst.

That being said, one other factor about the NFL Draft was perfectly clear this past weekend.  The better organizations in the NFL are in much better position to succeed than the weaker organizations.  Which is which?  Look no further than a recent recap of Super Bowl champs to identify ‘good’ organizations – squads with a short and long term plan, and the management team to implement that plan. 

The Ravens, Giants, Packers, Steelers, Patriots, Colts, Seahawks and 49ers are at the top of my ‘quality organization’ list, and you can assume a priori that those eight organizations Read more

Tags: NBA Los Angeles Clippers Oklahoma City Thunder San Antonio Spurs Golden State Warriors Teddy Covers

Feds use Skype to bust illegal sports betting

04.29.2013     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Great. Now the Feds are wire-tapping Skype as a means to bring down illegal sports betting operations.

They discussed Lasso's efforts to wire hundreds of thousands of dollars from illegal gambling websites into Panamanian banks and companies that she had set up as fronts to launder money, according to a federal complaint.

Law enforcement authorities said the pair mistakenly believed their conversation on Skype that day could not be captured on a wiretap. They were wrong.


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