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College Football Betting: Tenuta takes over as Virginia's defensive coordinator

08.06.2013     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Virginia has never had much of an offense. Since 2006, the Cavaliers have averaged over 25 ppg and 400 ypg just once. During the offseason head coach Mike London brought in Steve Fairchild to serve as offensive coordinator but there aren't many projections that indicate UVA's offense will thrive. What Virginia needs to succeed (and cover pointspreads) is an above average defense. They're hoping to get there with first-year defensive coordinator Jon Tenuta who spent time at NC State, Georgia Tech, Ohio State, and Notre Dame. The theme this preseason under Tenuta has been aggression. UVA ranked 86th in tackles for loss (65) and 103rd in sacks (17) last season.

“Part of what Jon does is dictating to an offense about what we’re going to do and how we’re going to do it,” London said Friday. “It lends to creating aggressiveness. And it lends to creating turnovers. And that’s what we’re looking for as well.”

“We’re going to

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Tags: College Football Virginia Cavaliers ACC

College Football Handicapping: Preseason Power Ratings

08.06.2013     06:42 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As most of you in the markets know, CRIS posted Week One lines for college football this past weekend. Those lines have had time to move…as sharp action has hit the offshore board. That’s helped solidify how “the market” sees the 2013 college football season in the days leading up to everyone’s openers.

I’ve used those “improved” lines (oddsmakers openers plus sharp influence) to update our first crack at estimated Power Ratings. First, I’ll run through the top 10 or so, which will give you a chance to compare them to preseason polls. Then, I’ll go through each board conference. Again, these aren’t how I would personally rate the teams. This is my guess at how “the market” as a composite has the teams rated on a standard Power Ratings scale. You regulars know that I typically stick “championship caliber” at 85 and work down from that. This year’s Alabama squad is seen as a bit better than Read more

Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence

College Football Betting: Former Florida State OC takes same position at Miami

08.05.2013     10:59 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Article on Miami Hurricanes first-year offensive coordinator James Coley. Coley, who is noted for being an excellent recruiter, held the same position at Florida State but head coach Jimbo Fisher called the plays.

“It wasn’t frustrating,” Coley said of his FSU career. “I knew when I took that job the head coach was the play-caller. I have a great relationship with Jimbo. Calling the plays is his passion.”

“We’ll be multiple: spread, fullback, one or two tight ends, four receivers. … And tempo meaning we’re in a no-huddle mode and can go as fast as we want or as slow as we need.”

Tags: College Football Miami Hurricanes ACC

NFL Handicapping: Indianapolis Colts focused on better run game

08.05.2013     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Article on Indianapolis Colts first-year offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton. Hamilton spent the last two seasons at Stanford's OC. According to Hamilton and head coach Chuck Pagano, there will be extra emphasis placed on the power running game. The Colts ranked 22nd last season at 104.4 yards per game.

"I've said from Day 1 that in order to win in the National Football League, you have to run the football and you have to stop the run," Pagano said. "(Last year) we still drifted a guy back there. He just wasn't listed on the depth chart as a fullback. Dwayne (Allen) was listed as a tight end but somebody was still moving into the backfield at times. Now we just got a guy that looks like a fullback, smells like a fullback, he's listed as a fullback. We're going to do everything we can to improve our ability to run the football. It's going to take pressure off our quarterback. It's going to take time off the clock."

"I think we have to have a true sense of balance in our offense. We've got to be

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Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts

NFL Hall of Fame Gambling Preview: Miami Dolphins vs. Dallas Cowboys

08.04.2013     08:10 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Miami -3 vs. Dallas O/U 32.5

The NFL Preseason gets underway tonight (5 pm PT, NBC) with the Hall of Fame Game in Canton, Ohio. The Miami Dolphins opened as a 2-point favorite over the Dallas Cowboys with a total of 34.5. Bettors have come in heavy only the Miami with the line now -3ev/-2.5 (-115) and the total 32.5.

Hall of Fame Game Betting Results
2012: New Orleans (-3) 17 vs. Arizona 10 - UNDER 37
2011: No HOF game
2010: Dallas (+3) 16 vs. Cincinnati 7 - UNDER 33
2009: Tennessee (-3) vs. Buffalo 18 - OVER 32
2008: Washington (-4) vs. Indiana 16 - OVER 31.5
2007: Pittsburgh (-3) vs. New Orleans 7 - UNDER 33.5
2006: Okaland (+2.5) vs. Philadelphia 10 - UNDER 33.5

Game Notes
Several Dallas starters including Tony Romo are not expected to play tonight.

As of yesterday, the Dolphins have yet to Read more

Tags: NFL Miami Dolphins Dallas Cowboys

College Football Betting: Indiana sees up-tempo as key vs. Big Ten

08.02.2013     01:15 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Not every team in the Big Ten likes to play at a pedestrian pace and grind out games. Indiana and Penn State ranked in the top 25 nationally in terms of plays per game last season. In Kevin Wilson's second season, the Hoosiers ranked second in the Big Ten in yards per game (442.0). According to Wilson, playing up-tempo is the best way to level the playing field against the rest of the conference.

"We understand that when we substitute, the referee gives the other team a chance to match that substitution," he said. "We also understand that when we don't substitute, we can go fast. I believe in playing fast. I believe in different tempos."

"Fans want to see points," Wilson said. "With HD TV, every league and the professionals, everyone’s worried about fan experience. Great defense, you want it, I don’t think every game’s gotta be a 42-40 shootout, but I don't think anybody wants a 1-0 shutout. I don’t think we're playing 7-3 football." 

Tags: College Football Indiana Hoosiers Big Ten

College Football Betting: Cal's Dykes walking into a tough situation

08.02.2013     07:47 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Good article on Cal first-year head coach Sonny Dykes and the current state of the program. He's got some work to do with only 11 returning starters, no experience at the quarterback position, and a brutal schedule. According to 5Dimes, Cal is lined at 4un-145 regular season wins. The Golden Bears are also an 8.5-point home favorite to Northwestern for Week 1.

“Our whole emphasis is always on speed. We want to do everything fast. We want our players to think fast, react fast and play fast. We want to recruit fast kids. We want to transition fast. When guys are thinking and unsure, that results in them being a step slow. By design everything's pretty simple.”

On offensive coordinator Tony Franklin: “He'll call the plays. I'll do a lot of the situational stuff — 'We've got the ball at midfield. It's third and 7.' I'm going to tell him, 'Hey you've got two downs,' that type of stuff. There are times I'll say, 'Let's run the ball here. Take a shot here.' It's more game management than specific plays. We've been around each other 16

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Tags: College Football California Golden Bears PAC-12

Canadian Football League Week 5 Betting Recap

08.01.2013     12:38 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Here is my recap of Week 5 in the Canadian Football League as I provide quick hitter, team-by-team analysis…

Montreal Alouettes (2-3 SU/ATS)
It wasn’t pretty but the performance was effective enough for Montreal to snap its three-game losing streak with a 32-27 win that included a controversial finish. Edmonton appeared to have the go ahead touchdown with 10 seconds left only to be stopped at the goal line but no replay was ordered on the play. So the games carried on and the Eskimos got stopped on a run play from the 1-yard line and Montreal hung on for the win. The Alouettes were better offensively but they still went through stretches where it looked like nobody was on the same page. The defense made a few key stops down the stretch none more vital than the goal line stand at the end of the game. This was baby steps forward for Montreal but they still were life and death to win at home against a very poor Eskimos squad.

Toronto Argonauts (3-2 SU/ATS)
Welcome to the Canadian Football League Zach Collaros! The kid had himself a night and it came against arguably the best defense in the CFL that being the Read more

Tags: CFL Ian Cameron

CFL Betting News: Montreal fires head coach Dan Hawkins

08.01.2013     12:09 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
The Dan Hawkins era lasted only five games in Montreal. The Alouettes, who have struggled to a 2-3 record to start the season – rare air for what has been the dominant franchise for the last 15 years – announced that Hawkins had been fired earlier today. General Manager Jim Popp will step in as interim head coach for the third time in his 18 years as GM of the Alouettes. The firing comes during a bye week and the Alouettes face the Toronto Argonauts in their next game on August 8th.

Montreal’s offense which had been a near unstoppable unit for years under previous head coach Marc Trestman was disorganized and completely out of sync under Hawkins. It was becoming crystal clear that Hawkins was not comfortable coaching the Canadian style of football and the players never did warm up to their new head coach. Trestman always treated the Montreal players like men and all the reports I’ve read stated that Hawkins was the polar opposite but in a negative way. Hawkins was reportedly babying his players and often treated them Read more

Tags: CFL Montral Alouettes Ian Cameron

NFL Handicapping: Preseason Quarterback Depth Charts

08.01.2013     08:05 AM     Printer Friendly
Preseason NFL quarterback depth charts. Are these 100% accurate? Probably not. But now you can say you're prepared for a McLeod Bethel-Thompson sighting.

2013 NFL Preseason Quarterback Depth Charts
No. 1
No. 2
No. 3
No. 4
Carson Palmer
Drew Stanton
Ryan Lindley
Caleb TerBush
Matt Ryan
Dominique Davis
Sean Renfree
Seth Doege
Joe Flacco
Tyrod Taylor
Caleb Hanie
EJ Manuel
Kevin Kolb
Jeff Tuel
Cam Newton
Derek Anderson
Jimmy Clausen
Colby Cameron
Jay Cutler
Josh McCown
Matt Blanchard
Andy Dalton
Josh Johnson
John Skelton
Zac Robinson
Brandon Weeden
Jason Campbell
Brian Hoyer
Tony Romo
Kyle Orton
Nick Stephens
Alex Tanney
Peyton Manning
Brock Osweiller
Zac Dysert
Ryan Katz
Matthew Stafford
Shaun Hill
Kellen Moore
Thad Lewis
Green Bay
Aaron Rodgers
Graham Harrell
BJ Coleman
Matt Schaub
TJ Yates
Case Keenum
Stephen McGee
Andrew Luck
Matt Hasselbeck
Chandler Harnish
Blaine Gabbert
Chad Henne
Mike Kafka
Matt Scott
Kansas City
Alex Smith
Chase Daniel
Ricky Stanzi
Tyler Bray
Ryan Tannehill
Matt Moore
Pat Devlin
Christian Ponder
Matt Cassel
McLeod Bethel-Thompson
New England
Tom Brady
Ryan Mallett
Tim Tebow
New Orleans
Drew Brees
Luke McCown
Seneca Wallace
Ryan Griffin
NY Giants
Eli Manning
David Carr
Ryan Nassib
Ryan Perrilloux
NY Jets
Mark Sanchez
Geno Smith
Greg McElroy
Matt Simms
Matt Flynn
Terrelle Pryor
Tyler Wilson
Michael Vick
Nick Foles
Matt Barkley
Dennis Dixon
Ben Roethlisberger
Bruce Gradkowski
Landry Jones
San Diego
Philip Rivers
Charlie Whitehurst
Brad Sorensen
Jarrett Lee
San Francisco
Colin Kaepernick
Colt McCoy
Scott Tolzien
BJ Daniels
Russell Wilson
Brady Quinn
Tavaris Jackson
St. Louis
Sam Bradford
Austin Davis
Kellen Clemens
Tampa Bay
Josh Freeman
Dan Orlovsky
Mike Glennon
Adam Weber
Jake Locker
Ryan Fitzpatrick
Rusty Smith
Robert Griffin
Kirk Cousins
Rex Grossman
Pat White

Tags: NFL


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