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March

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Super Bowl XLVII Prop Bet Recommendation: Joe Flacco longest completion

01.31.2013     12:34 PM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Joe Flacco Longest Completion
Recommendation: Over 40.5 (-110 @ LVH)


If the Baltimore Ravens are going to win this game, they will need to do it by exploiting San Francisco’s secondary.  That means Joe Flacco will need to make some big plays down field.  Flacco has shown a deft touch downfield throughout the season.  This postseason, we’ve already seen him toss passes of 47, 50, 59 and 70 yards. And in 19 total games this season, Flacco has hit for 40 or more yards 16 times.  The 49ers have surrendered at least one 40+ yard pass in five straight games dating back to the regular season. Look for a sixth here on Sunday.




Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl XLVII Sammy P




College Basketball Handicapping: Close games in the Big East, blowouts in the SEC

01.30.2013     01:28 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are a few conference-only statistics from Ken Pom that break down home courts (SU), close games (4 points or less and/or OT), and blowouts (19 points or more). There are 33 conferences if you include independent. Below are the top 10 conferences and rank. In terms of home court, the ACC has been the strongest at 30-11 SU. The Missouri Valley Conference is also north of 70%. The Big East has had the highest percentage of close game at 30.9% with the A-10 not far behind at 27.3%. Interesting that despite its slow pace (63.4 possessions per game) and low scoring affairs, only six of 46 Big Ten conference games have been decided by four points or less or went to overtime. When it comes to blowouts, the SEC is top dog with 25% of its games decided by 19 points or more – in large part because of Florida who has five of the 11.
 
Big Ten
Home Court: 26-20, 56.5% (23)
Close Game: 6 of 46, 13.0% (28)
Blowout: 9 of 46, 19.6% (7)

Big East
Home Court: 30-25, 54.5% (26)
Close Game: 17 of 55, 30.9% (2)
Blowout: 5 of 55, 9.1% Read more


Tags: College Basketball




College Basketball Gambling: Kentucky impresses in win over Ole Miss

01.30.2013     11:17 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It’s been a down year for Kentucky so far, at least in terms of preseason expectations. Too many pundits and fans were assuming head coach John Calipari would just reload every year and coast to a championship with future NBAers. The Wildcats are finally starting to play to its talent this season. Tuesday’s 87-74 win at #19 Mississippi as a 3-point underdog was particularly impressive.

Kentucky 87, #19 Mississippi 74

2-Point Percentage: Kentucky 61%, Ole Miss 33%

3-Point Shooting: Kentucky 8/23, Ole Miss 5/16

Free Throws: Kentucky 23/37, Ole Miss 13/20

1’s and 2’s: Kentucky 63, Ole Miss 59

Rebounds: Kentucky 42, Ole Miss 44

Turnovers: Kentucky 9, Ole Miss 7

(Kentucky 22-20, Ole Miss 25-24)

(The stat boxes will include parenthetical references to the computer ranking entering tonight made publicly available by Ken Pomeroy and Jeff Sagarin)

Wow…61% to 33% on Read more


Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Ole Miss Rebels Stat Intelligence




Super Bowl XLVII Prop Bet Recommendation: Joe Flacco pass attempts

01.29.2013     02:10 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Joe Flacco Pass Attempts
Recommendation: Over 33.5 (-150 @ 5Dimes)


My thinking behind this prop is fairly straightforward. I don’t see the Ravens being able to get their running game going against the staunch 49ers defensive front. Baltimore running backs Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce were held in check by the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship with just 100 rushing yards. New England had the 9th ranked run defense in the NFL this season. San Francisco has the 4th ranked run defense allowing a paltry 94.2 yards per game. I don’t anticipate seeing a lot of success running the football for Baltimore once again this week and that will force Joe Flacco into passing situations early and often if the Ravens are going to be able to move the football and put points on the board.

Flacco’s pass attempts skyrocketed upward in Baltimore’s last two playoff games. He threw the football 34 times against Denver despite the Ravens run game working well that day and he threw the football 36 times against New England. Part of it was because the run game didn’t work against the Patriots but also because Flacco is playing Read more


Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl XLVII Ian Cameron




Super Bowl XLVII Prop Bet Recommendation: Anquan Boldin total receptions

01.29.2013     11:52 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Anquan Boldin Total Receptions
Recommendation: Over 4.5 (-120 @ LVH)


In a game of this magnitude, it makes perfect sense to side with players who exude physical and mental toughness. Two years ago I played a Hines Ward receiving yards prop over the total because there was value in the number due to the perception that he was an aging and fading star. Ward’s overall toughness and big game prowess came through (7 catches, 78 yards) and the ticket was easily cashed. This year presents a similar situation except Anquan Boldin is not viewed as aging. Still, there looks to be plenty of value in his total receptions prop. After a slow start in the first couple games of the season, Boldin has been targeted by Joe Flacco seven times or more in 12 of the team’s last 16 games including 10+ five times. More importantly, here in the playoffs Boldin has become even more of a target with Flacco tossing his way an average of nine times per game resulting in 5.3 receptions per contest. Expect the numbers to grow even higher on Sunday as San Francisco will be extremely aware of Torrey Smith’s ability to hurt them deep. Boldin is likely to get Read more


Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl XLVII Rob Veno




College Basketbal Betting Free Pick: Illinois State Redbirds at Bradley Braves

01.29.2013     11:39 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Illinois State -4.5 at Bradley
Recommendation: Illinois State


Illinois State was a juggernaut for most of their non-conference campaign.  The Redbirds took Northwestern (with Drew Crawford still healthy) to overtime.  They came three points short of upsetting Louisville at the KFC Yum Center.  They went to Dayton and won straight up.  There was talk about the Missouri Valley Conference being a three bid league this year.

But once conference play started, the Redbirds slumped – six consecutive SU and ATS losses.  Facing a circle the wagons came at Southern Illinois, Illinois State led by 26 at halftime on their way to a 14 point road win.  They followed that up with back-to-back home wins over Indiana State and Evansville, getting their confidence level back to where it was a month ago.  Facing a Bradley team that they have dominated in recent years – seven straight wins in the series, including a pair Read more


Tags: College Basketball Illinois State Redbirds Bradley Braves Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting: NC State looks to avoid letdown at Virginia

01.29.2013     07:15 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NC State at Virginia -4 O/U 126

Another potentially letdown situation tonight for NC State who last time out snapped a 13-game losing streak to North Carolina. Earlier this season, the Wolfpack defeated Duke and then lost to Maryland the following game. In defense of NC State, Maryland has talent, was playing at home, and the Terps failed to cover -3 in the 51-50 victory. Virginia enters tonight 4-2 in ACC play with wins by 9, 30, 16, and 14. Last season the Cavaliers won 61-60 in Raleigh during the regular season but NC State won 67-64 in the first round of the ACC Tournament.


“This is new territory for our team, this is uncharted waters,” Wolfpack coach Mark Gottfried said during Monday's coaches teleconference. “We’ve got a lot of guys that have not been in these types of situations. Read more



Tags: College Basketball NC State Wolfpack Virginia Cavaliers




Super Bowl XLVII Prop Bet Recommendation: Total Interceptions by Both Teams

01.29.2013     06:57 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Total Interceptions by Both Teams
Recommendation: Over 1.5 (-105 @ 5Dimes)


Baltimore has faced a trio of strong quarterbacks and passing attacks in the playoffs thus far. Despite allowing a rather hefty 286.7 passing yards per game this postseason, the Ravens have been a successful ball hawking secondary. Versus Andrew Luck, Peyton Manning and Tom Brady, Baltimore has come up with five interceptions mostly due to physical coverage and an active defensive line. Batted balls by Ravens defensive linemen frustrated the 6-5 Brady in the AFC Championship including a key fourth quarter interception. The active, arms up approach of Baltimore’s defensive line has now seen three straight above average sized quarterbacks and should be able to create a couple of opportunities against 6-6 Colin Kaepernick who doesn’t have an extremely high release point. Ravens cornerbacks Corey Graham and Cary Williams along with veteran free safety Ed Reed are all capable of capitalizing on whatever chances are created.

For San Francisco it has been a different story in the playoffs as they’ve yet to come up with an interception. However, they had Read more


Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl XLVII Rob Veno




College Basketball Betting: Injury concerns for Utah Utes

01.27.2013     08:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Stanford -3 at Utah

Plenty of injury concerns for the Utah Utes as they play host to Stanford tonight. Senior guard Jarred DuBois (12.0) didn't start in Thursday's loss to Cal and played only nine minutes in the second half. He's expected to start and play more minutes tonight. Freshman forward Jordan Loveridge (12.7 ppg) has been battling the flu and may not be able to play due to concussion-like symptoms suffered against Cal. Stanford opened -2 and was bet up to -3. The Cardinal are 1-4 SU on the highway with their lone win by two points. Also note that Utah's crowd support may be lacking due to Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stanford Cardinal Utah Utes




Super Bowl XLVII Gambling: Kaepernick prop bets a big hit for Vegas sportsbooks

01.25.2013     11:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
According to William Hill's Jimmy Vaccaro, the handle for Colin Kaepernick prop bets is reaching epic proportions. We'll go out on a limb and say that a vast majority of those wagers weren't correlated to the rookie quarterback underperforming.


"We put 10 props on him last week and generated more than $100,000 in bets," Vaccaro said. "To put that in perspective, a good prop is when you can draw $2,500 to $5,000 in bets."

"But I've never seen interest on prop bets like I've seen with Kaepernick," Vaccaro said. "We think we can do $300,000 in Kaepernick prop bets alone and that's a conservative estimate. No one has ever come close to that number."





Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl XLVII



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