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May

27

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College Football Betting: Texas Tech's Kingsbury not shy about game plan

08.12.2013     08:18 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
You think Texas Tech head coach Kliff Kingsbury is worried that by running as many offensive plays as possible it will expose his mediocre defense even more? Na.


“But you empathize with the defense because you know if you run 100 plays they’re probably going to be playing 90 plays as well. So you take that into account, but it’s all about wins and losses and if we’re scoring a lot of points that means that we should win a lot of games.”







Tags: College Football Texas Tech Red Raiders Big XII




The one where Aaron Hernandez's mom worked for a local bookie

08.12.2013     06:09 AM     Printer Friendly
When you're a publically known figure AND accused of murder you can bet that anything even remotely questionable that you or your family has ever done will be scrutinized. Aaron Hernandez is probably going to go to jail at some point. And people have tried (in most cases to no avail) to use past indiscretions as a way to better explain his current situation. Take this one for example. Back in 2001, Hernandez's mother way charged for working for a local bookie. And by working, we mean fielding phone calls on football weekends to make a few extra bucks. There's a very good chance it had absolutely nothing to do with her son. What is funny is that prior to a few months ago, no one knew (or if they did, certainly didn't care) that a current NFL player's kin was “involved” in illegal sports betting. But now it's getting pawned off as just another example of why Aaron Hernandez ended up allegedly killing someone. We're still patiently waiting for someone to write a story of a former Nobel Peace winner who saved 50 Read more








NFL Preseason Betting Recap: Friday Night's Results and Stats

08.10.2013     07:41 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Just like last night, let’s crunch some numbers in market rotation order. If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15.

Miami 27, Jacksonville 3

Total Yardage: Miami 267, Jacksonville 289

Passing Stats: Miami 15-26-1-161, Jacksonville 23-42-2-163

Turnovers: Miami 1, Jacksonville 4

Drive Points: Miami 7, Jacksonville 3

Stat Score: Miami 17, Jacksonville 19

Very important to pay attention to the numbers here. If you were scoreboard watching all night, you probably assumed Miami was playing much sharper because of their one-week head start. They seemed to be in command the whole way, and won a blowout. But, the offense Read more



Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




College Football Handicapping: Erickson to call plays for Utah Utes

08.09.2013     08:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Since join the PAC-12, Utah has had a difficult time producing much offense. In 2011, the Utes ranked 12th in total offense (310.9 ypg) and in 2012, 11th (324.4 ypg). Former quarterback Brian Johnson was the team's lone offensive coordinator last season (also the youngest in FBS) but head coach Kyle Whittingham decided he could use some help and hired former Arizona State head coach Dennis Erickson to serve as co-OC. According to reports, Erickson will have the final say in regards to playing calling.


"People get the misconception that a no-huddle, tempo offense is all pass, but it’s not," he said. "Look at Oregon. They run more than they throw it — you have to have 50-50."

"He has given us a swagger and a sense of confidence," Roderick said. "He has won so many games. It’s kind of funny. He is the oldest guy on the staff but he has the most swagger."






Tags: College Football Utah Utes PAC-12




MLB Handicapping: American League Road Only Team Stats

08.08.2013     05:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It’s been awhile since we looked at road-only stats in the majors. Went through the splits pages at baseball-reference and grabbed some offensive and pitching numbers for all 30 teams.

Don’t want to suggest that “road only” numbers are the perfect way to evaluate teams. Every method has some pollution in it. Generally speaking, these do paint a pretty accurate portrait of the true big picture strengths and weaknesses of each team. They take home ballparks out of the mix…and therefore the illusions that are typically created when teams have to play half their games in a home park that either favors hitting or pitching.

Best Road Offenses (ordered by on-base plus slugging total)

Baltimore 767: .320 on-base, .447 slugging

Boston 757: .342 on-base, .415 slugging

Detroit 745: .327 on base, .418 slugging

Cleveland 738: .330 on base, .408 slugging

Tampa Bay 738: .323 on-base, .415 Read more



Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence




NFL Preseason Gambling: Tampa Bay looks to get reserves plenty of work

08.07.2013     08:26 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore at Tampa Bay -3 O/U 35.5

According to Tampa Bay head coach Greg Schiano the starters will "play some" in Thursday's game against Baltimore. It sounds as if Schiano is more interested in seeing his backups, most notably quarterbacks Mike Glennon and Dan Orlovsky.


“Everyone is going to be different,’’ Schiano said. “With every player, we’ve created an individual plan for them, especially the starters, regarding how many (plays) we feel they need and in what roles. Because some guys are trying new roles. For example, (safety) Mark Barron is playing in the dime package now so we want to make sure he gets a couple of shots at playing the dime.’’



 




Tags: NFL Tampa Bay Buccaneers Baltimore Ravens




College Football Handicapping: Illinois hopes new OC can spark offensive turnaround

08.07.2013     07:13 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A common theme here in the blog this summer has been college football teams with crappy offenses that bring in new offensive coordinators. In the case of Illinois, calling last year's offense "crappy" is generous. We're talking about a team that averaged 11.8 ppg in conference play. When something like that occurs the next logical move is to bring in an up-and-coming OC who can quickly turn things around. But the Illini went a different route and hired former Western Michigan head coach Bill Cubit who this fall will turn 60 years old. Cubit's WMU teams were typically slightly above average by MAC standards but never prolific when it came to putting points on the board. According to Cubit, the main goal this season is to play faster (Illinois ranked 87th in plays per game last year, Western Michigan ranked 34th). Dating back to the Ron Zook era, U of I’s problem has not been talent but rather developing it. Nowhere is that more apparent than quarterback Nathan Scheelhaase who saw his QB ratings drop from 133.38 to Read more



Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten




College Football Handicapping: Early line moves common throughout summer

08.06.2013     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A lot of differing opinions on Florida State's Week 1 contest at Pittsburgh. Going back to early June, we saw the Golden Nugget open with the Seminoles a 13-point road favorite. In early July BetOnline opened FSU -10.5. Late that month, 5Dimes opened FSU -12.5. Last weekend, CRIS posted its openers and decided to hang a -7.5 which was hit immediately and bet up to its current number of -10. These types of "opinions" are common but over the last two months we've seen three different waves of numbers (Golden Nugget GOYs, small sportsbooks, and CRIS) which provides bettors with a good gauge of what oddsmakers and the markets are thinking.




Tags: College Football Florida State Seminoles Pittsburgh Panthers ACC




College Football Betting: Tenuta takes over as Virginia's defensive coordinator

08.06.2013     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Virginia has never had much of an offense. Since 2006, the Cavaliers have averaged over 25 ppg and 400 ypg just once. During the offseason head coach Mike London brought in Steve Fairchild to serve as offensive coordinator but there aren't many projections that indicate UVA's offense will thrive. What Virginia needs to succeed (and cover pointspreads) is an above average defense. They're hoping to get there with first-year defensive coordinator Jon Tenuta who spent time at NC State, Georgia Tech, Ohio State, and Notre Dame. The theme this preseason under Tenuta has been aggression. UVA ranked 86th in tackles for loss (65) and 103rd in sacks (17) last season.


“Part of what Jon does is dictating to an offense about what we’re going to do and how we’re going to do it,” London said Friday. “It lends to creating aggressiveness. And it lends to creating turnovers. And that’s what we’re looking for as well.”

“We’re going to

Read more



Tags: College Football Virginia Cavaliers ACC




College Football Handicapping: Preseason Power Ratings

08.06.2013     06:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As most of you in the markets know, CRIS posted Week One lines for college football this past weekend. Those lines have had time to move…as sharp action has hit the offshore board. That’s helped solidify how “the market” sees the 2013 college football season in the days leading up to everyone’s openers.

I’ve used those “improved” lines (oddsmakers openers plus sharp influence) to update our first crack at estimated Power Ratings. First, I’ll run through the top 10 or so, which will give you a chance to compare them to preseason polls. Then, I’ll go through each board conference. Again, these aren’t how I would personally rate the teams. This is my guess at how “the market” as a composite has the teams rated on a standard Power Ratings scale. You regulars know that I typically stick “championship caliber” at 85 and work down from that. This year’s Alabama squad is seen as a bit better than Read more



Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence



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