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February

21

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Sports Betting Podcast 10-1-2013 with Handicappers Sammy P and Brian Edwards

10.01.2013     09:36 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Sammy P and Brian Edwards. Sam broke down tonight's three NHL games. Brian recapped Week 5 College Football (SEC, ACC, AAC, Big XII).

Today's segments
Full Show

Sammy P - NHL Every Game on the Board

Brian Edwards - CFB Week 5 Recap: SEC, ACC, AAC, Big XII

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: NHL College Football Sammy P Brian Edwards




NFL Betting Recap: Saints roll past Dolphins on Monday Night Football

10.01.2013     07:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It was a game deep into the second quarter. Miami was driving with a chance to take the lead just before halftime…knowing they would also get the ball to start the second half. Ryan Tannehill threw a very bad interception. BALLGAME! New Orleans scored a TD for 21-10 at the half…and the Dolphins played the rest of the game like they were afraid Tannehill would screw something else up too (he had already fumbled the ball away earlier in the evening).

It could have been a shootout. Instead, it was just a rout…

New Orleans 38 (-7), Miami 17

Miami: 331 yards, 5.7 per-play, 4 turnovers, 33% third downs

N-Orl : 465 yards, 7.2 per-play, 1 turnover, 46% third downs

Other Numbers

Rushing Yards: Miami 115, New Orleans 68

Passing Stats: Miami 22-35-3-216, New Orleans 30-39-0-397

Drive Points: Miami 14, New Orleans 17

Stat Score: Miami 20, New Orleans 24

Sloppiness: Miami 33, Read more



Tags: NFL New Orleans Saints Miami Dolphins Stat Intelligence




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09.30.2013     10:16 AM     Printer Friendly
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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC News and Notes from Week 4

09.30.2013     07:05 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: AFC Tidbits from Week 4.

Cincinnati Bengals – This offense should be very tough to get off the field on third downs. Andy Dalton has great chemistry with AJ Green, and the constant double teams that Green demands are supposed to open things up for Jermaine Gresham and Tyler Eifert down the seams along with Mohammed Sanu on the other side. All four guys are tall receivers, easy for Dalton to chuck the ball up to and let them make a play on it. But nobody was making plays here, a real lackluster effort in a divisional game. And Green was essentially shut down by Joe Haden, which, in turn, didn’t allow for the weapons around him to get opportunities in space.

Cinci has cluster injuries in the secondary without Leon Hall and Reggie Nelson; an attack of bad hamstrings. But defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer coached up his replacements – this loss cannot be blamed on the stop unit. James Harrison was a Read more



Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Baltimore Ravens Buffalo Bills Kansas City Chiefs Oakland Raiders Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Preview: New York Giants at Kansas City Chiefs

09.29.2013     06:55 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New York Giants at Kansas City
Sunday, 1 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Kansas City -4.5 O/U 45.5
CRIS Current: Kansas City -4 O/U 44
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Kansas City -4.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Kansas City

The Giants aren’t winless by accident.  Their biggest issue is on the offensive line; a unit that has been badly outplayed in every game this season.  The inability to block has resulted in all kinds of problems.

New York has an NFL worst 2.7 yards per carry average from their running backs. Eli Manning has been sacked eleven times.  And the G-men have an NFL worst -9 turnover margin – lots of mistakes when guys are consistently getting hit in the backfield.

Things have gone from bad to worse on that offensive line this past week.  Center David Baas is hurt.  Guard Chris Snee is hurt.  Tackle David Diehl is hurt, the only one of the Read more



Tags: NFL New York Giants Kansas City Chiefs Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Preview: Seattle Seahawks vs. Houston Texans

09.26.2013     02:30 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seattle at Houston
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Seattle -3 (-120) O/U 45
CRIS Current: Seattle -2 O/U 41.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Seattle -2.5
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Over

The Houston Texans stock is beginning to slide after three very underwhelming performances to start the season. Current media and fan scrutiny make things sound a bit worse than what they actually are according to this week’s power ratings which show Houston just 1.5 points below their season opening number. The betting public’s expectations haven’t been met by hea coach Gary Kubiak’s team as they’ve gone 0-3 ATS and shredded a lot of tickets. Line movement this week indicates bettors haven’t given up on Houston as they’ve remained a +2/+2.5-point underdog fairly steadily the past three days. It makes sense to believe that at some point the Texans are going to play up to their talent level and Read more



Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks Houston Texans Rob Veno




NFL Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings - Week 4

09.26.2013     06:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Updating our estimate of how “the market” currently has NFL teams rated on a Power Rating scale…

Estimated NFL Market Power Ratings

87: Seattle, Denver

85: Green Bay

84: New Orleans (at home)

83: San Francisco, New Orleans (road)

82: New England

81: Houston, Atlanta, Cincinnati, Dallas

80: Chicago, Miami, Baltimore, Indianapolis

79: Philadelphia, Kansas City, Detroit

78: Carolina, Washington

77: Tennessee, St. Louis, Arizona, NY Giants

76: San Diego, Pittsburgh, NY Jets, Tampa Bay (with Glennon)

75: Minnesota

74: Cleveland (with Hoyer)

73: Buffalo (seemingly docked because Spiller is hobbled)

72: Oakland (with Flynn)

69: Jacksonville

I think some of the goofy things we talked about a week ago have been rectified. Some of those were rectified over the weekend when sharps hit Baltimore hard late vs. Read more



Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Preview: Oklahoma Sooners at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

09.25.2013     01:12 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oklahoma at Notre Dame
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - NBC
CRIS Opener:
Oklahoma -2.5 O/U 48.5
CRIS Current: Oklahoma -3 (-120) O/U 48.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oklahoma -1.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Notre Dame

Last year, Notre Dame’s 30-13 upset win at Oklahoma as 13-point underdogs set the stage for its impressive run through November into the BCS Championship.  It was a tight game most of the way, with Notre Dame taking advantage of a pair of Sooner penalties that wiped potential touchdowns off the board. The Fighting Irish defense hung tough in the red zone, forcing field goals as opposed to allowing touchdowns.  And Oklahoma suffered a couple of bad snaps from center that killed key drives, not atypical of the miscues that plagued them in both regular season losses.

Now Oklahoma gets their chance for revenge in South Bend, and the betting markets clearly expect them Read more



Tags: College Football Oklahoma Sooners Big XII Notre Dame Fighting Irish Teddy Covers




College Football Betting: Virginia Tech not happy with having to play Georgia Tech on short rest

09.25.2013     07:21 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech -7 O/U 42

Virginia Tech defensive coordinator Bud Foster venting some frustration of having to play Georgia Tech on short rest. Since Paul Johnson took over in 2008 there has been only one situation where a team had less than seven days to prepare for Tech: In 2009 GT lost to Clemson 30-27 but covered as a 5-point underdog.


“I think it’s totally absurd, ludicrous…whoever scheduled this game, whether it’s TV, it’s totally – it’s not right,” Foster said. “If they’re looking for safety of the kids, this is not right, especially in a game with this kind of opponent or you’re playing off of a short week. It’s just not right.

“I’m not saying we should always have seven or eight days to prepare for Georgia Tech. I don’t care who it

Read more



Tags: College Football Virginia Tech Hokies Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets ACC




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Power Ratings as of 9/24/2013

09.24.2013     12:02 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I think most of you reading this know the drill by now. What you see below is my estimate of how “the market” has college football teams rated at this point in the season. And, by “the market,” I mean the combination of oddsmakers and sharps (leaving out the often-misguided public as best as possible). These are based on the current pointspreads at writing time, allotting 3 points for home field advantage.

This isn’t how I personally rate the teams. It’s my estimate of “market Power Ratings” if they existed in a tangible form.

An early number came up in Las Vegas last week for a hypothetical matchup between Alabama and Oregon. That line was Alabama -3, which represents how oddsmakers would rate the game. What would sharps do once big limits were available on a game like that? My scale estimates that sharps would take Oregon. They seem to be betting Oregon hand over fist this year…and Alabama is struggling to play Read more



Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence



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