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College Football Betting Preview: Cincinnati Bearcats at Illinois Fighting Illini

09.05.2013     07:34 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Cincinnati at Illinois
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
Cincinnati -7.5 O/U 54
CRIS Current: Cincinnati -7.5 O/U 54.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Cincinnati -13
Andrew Lange's Recommendation: Cincinnati

The word is clearly out that Illinois is not to be respected at all this season. Last week we saw the Illini open -24 vs. Southern Illinois and close -17. They were in control for much of the game but SIU was able to punch in a score in the fourth quarter and U of I slipped by with a 42-34 win. And that margin was how it looked in the box score – Illinois with slight edges in first downs and total yardage.

This week, the Illini take a big step up in class as they play host to Cincinnati. The Bearcats weren't particularly sharp last week against Purdue but still rolled to a 42-7 victory. Keep in mind that from a power rating standpoint, some would argue that Purdue is stronger Read more

Tags: College Football Cincinnati Bearcats AAC Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten Andrew Lange

NFL Gambling News: Revis gives Buccaneers the scoop on Jets

09.05.2013     06:51 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tampa Bay -3 at New York Jets O/U 39.5

Darrelle Revis obviously knows a thing or two about the New York Jets and he's been busy divulging as much info as he can to Tampa Bay's coaching staff. And on a related note, according to a few reports, Geno Smith came out and said it wasn't necessary to watch film of Revis. The media is making it sound like Smith isn't prepping for his first start which is obviously untrue. That said, why would Smith say something so cavalier knowing that if he stinks up the joint – which is very possible – or Revis picks off a pass he'll spend the next week of his life getting called out my the New York media.

"It's just one of those things, when a player comes from another team, [offensive coordinator Mike Sullivan] is asking a couple of questions about [the Jets'] defense and what

Read more

Tags: NFL Tampa Bay Buccaneers New York Jets

NCAA Football Gambling Update: Northwestern's Colter and Mark expected to play vs. Syracuse

09.05.2013     06:35 AM     Printer Friendly

Syracuse at Northwestern -15.5 O/U 53

Northwestern quarterback Kain Colter announced on Twitter that he plans on playing this week. Also expected to play, running back Venric Mark. Earlier this week, starting cornerback Daniel Jones was rules out for the season.

College Football Gambling: Northwestern suffers multiple key injuries

09.03.2013     12:22 PM     Read more

Tags: College Football Northwestern Wildcats Big Ten Syracuse Orange ACC

College Football Handicapping: Estimated Power Ratings as of 9/5/13

09.05.2013     06:15 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Having given sharps time to take their shots at this week’s college football openers, I’ve updated last week’s Estimated Market Power Ratings based on the pointspreads we’re seeing midday Wednesday. Note that I use a standard 3 points for home field advantage. The numbers you see below basically represent “at-the-moment” pointspreads with that 3-point adjustment.

There are some big jumps forward and backward from last week. That’s because I surely mis-guessed in many places…and because several teams had extreme results that influenced perceptions of how they’d play out of the gate. Going through game-by-game…there were still a few head scratchers for me. I’m trying to put the couplets in the right spots on a big scale. We’ll have a better shot of representing the market’s view about a month from now.

An example: Wyoming is -28 right now over Idaho…which means they should be 25 points Read more

Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence

College Football Totals Betting: Applying what we saw in Week 1

09.04.2013     02:07 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
The four to six day handicapping bridge from college football's Week 1 to Week 2’s bets and recommendations has often been labeled the trickiest one of all. Throughout late spring and then the summer, extensive hours were put in by many on each side of the counter to formulate opinions on how the 126 FBS teams will fare this season and plays were made for last week’s games accordingly. Now, with a full week of data it’s time to assess the accuracy of initial projections and react to this week’s matchups. For myself, raw power ratings are adjusted Sunday morning and projected lines calculated anywhere from 3-8 hours before the openers become available. I’ve learned and constantly stated for the 21 years I’ve been in this business that each situation is individual and there is no blanket statement or theory that applies to how heavily you should react. Less can be best and more may be necessary while no reaction at all may be correct too. For this season’s opening article, let’s take a look at how to approach Week 2 from a totals perspective.

Last week we saw a couple of important elements that led to instances of huge second Read more

Tags: College Football USC Trojans Washington State Cougars PAC-12 Rob Veno

College Football Betting: BYU shakes up offensive line

09.04.2013     07:30 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Texas -7 at BYU O/U 55

After a disappointing showing against Virginia, BYU is making some changes along its offensive line. According to the Salt Lake Tribune, the Cougars' only full-time returning starter has been benched. BYU ran for 189 yards (3.5 ypc) and allowed three sacks in the loss to UVA.

"Well, we are going to do some shuffling of the line, and we are going to see how other guys respond," offensive coordinator Robert Anae told reporters after practice on Tuesday night. "We've got four guys right now who look to be holding their spots."

"As of Tuesday, we've got four starters. So we are still looking for that fifth one," Anae said. "That still remains to be earned."

Tags: College Football BYU Cougars Texas Longhorns Big XII

College Football Gambling: Northwestern suffers multiple key injuries

09.03.2013     12:22 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Syracuse at Northwestern

Northwestern hammered by a rash of injuries following Week 1's win at Cal. The Wildcats lost starting cornerback Daniel Jones to a torn ACL. Running back Venric Mark, who led the team in rushing last season, is dealing with an ankle injury. And starting quarterback Kain Colter is doubtful with a shoulder injury. No line on the game offshore. Las Vegas' Wynn opened Northwestern -9.5 with the current number -10.5 according to Sports Options.

Tags: College Football Northwestern Wildcats Big Ten Syracuse Orange ACC

Sports Betting Podcast 9-3-2013 with Handicappers Brian Edwards and Ian Cameron

09.03.2013     10:17 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Brian Edwards and Ian Cameron. Brian recapped Week 1 College Football (SEC, ACC, AAC) and Ian did the same (Sun Belt, C-USA, MAC).

Today's segments
Full Show

Brian Edwards - CFB Week 1 Recap: SEC, ACC, AAC

Ian Cameron - CFB Week 1 Recap: Sun Belt, C-USA, MAC

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football Brian Edwards Ian Cameron

NFL Betting Update: Sources say Oakland's Pryor will start Week 1

09.03.2013     07:39 AM     Printer Friendly

Oakland at Indianapolis -9.5 O/U 47

It's official (somewhat): the Oakland Raiders will start Terrelle Pryor for Week 1's game at Indianapolis. During the preseason, Oakland's offense was significantly better (by their standards) with Pryor under center.

NFL Handicapping: Raiders may start Pryor over Flynn

08.29.2013     07:24 AM     View Original Read more

Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Indianapolis Colts

College Football Betting Recap: Winston wows in Florida State's blowout win over Pitt

09.03.2013     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

A lot of people knew that before tonight’s Florida State/Pittsburgh game that was nationally televised by ESPN. Now, everybody knows.

If you didn’t watch the game, and are reading this late Monday or during the day Tuesday…you’re probably thinking all the hype you’ve been reading and hearing about redshirt freshman quarterback Jameis Winston’s passing performance is a bit overwrought. It may not be. He passed the eye test right away…getting zip on his passes and throwing accurately downfield. This is something that really jumps out at people who watched a zillion college football games the past weekend. Zip and accuracy on passes more than 15 yards downfield comes and goes at this level (if the zip is even there in the first place).

The eye test was followed by the stat test:

25-27-0-356 with 4 TD passes

Goodness. It was both electric and methodical. He just marched the Seminoles down the field by hitting receivers between Read more

Tags: College Football Florida State Seminoles Pittsburgh Panthers ACC Stat Intelligence


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