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October

25

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: The evolution of football's opening line

08.12.2013     07:59 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In the modern era of sports betting, what is exactly is The Opening Line?  It’s most assuredly not a meaningless question.  There are many bettors who consider the opening number as an important part of their handicap. 

Long term winning bettors don’t bet bad numbers – if they miss their targeted strike price, they’ll leave the game alone.  So the opening number – or what they consider to be the opening number – holds significant weight in future wagering decisions.

When I first moved to Vegas in the late 90’s, there was no debate.  Joe Lupo, Bob Scucci, Doug Castanada and the rest of the bookmakers at the Stardust hung the very first numbers, worldwide.  When those opening numbers were first posted, the ‘Dust held a lottery to determine the order of who could bet first, second, third and on down the line.  Bettors coveted a place at or near the front of that line – it legitimately made a difference.

The Sunday Night lottery at the Stardust during football season was a spectacle to behold.  The book was packed; the energy electric in anticipation of those Read more


Tags: College Football NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas




The one where Aaron Hernandez's mom worked for a local bookie

08.12.2013     06:09 AM     Printer Friendly
When you're a publically known figure AND accused of murder you can bet that anything even remotely questionable that you or your family has ever done will be scrutinized. Aaron Hernandez is probably going to go to jail at some point. And people have tried (in most cases to no avail) to use past indiscretions as a way to better explain his current situation. Take this one for example. Back in 2001, Hernandez's mother way charged for working for a local bookie. And by working, we mean fielding phone calls on football weekends to make a few extra bucks. There's a very good chance it had absolutely nothing to do with her son. What is funny is that prior to a few months ago, no one knew (or if they did, certainly didn't care) that a current NFL player's kin was “involved” in illegal sports betting. But now it's getting pawned off as just another example of why Aaron Hernandez ended up allegedly killing someone. We're still patiently waiting for someone to write a story of a former Nobel Peace winner who saved 50 Read more







NFL Preseason Betting Recap: Friday Night's Results and Stats

08.10.2013     07:41 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Just like last night, let’s crunch some numbers in market rotation order. If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15.

Miami 27, Jacksonville 3

Total Yardage: Miami 267, Jacksonville 289

Passing Stats: Miami 15-26-1-161, Jacksonville 23-42-2-163

Turnovers: Miami 1, Jacksonville 4

Drive Points: Miami 7, Jacksonville 3

Stat Score: Miami 17, Jacksonville 19

Very important to pay attention to the numbers here. If you were scoreboard watching all night, you probably assumed Miami was playing much sharper because of their one-week head start. They seemed to be in command the whole way, and won a blowout. But, the offense Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting: USC eager for turnaround under new defensive coordinator

08.09.2013     01:13 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
After allowing nearly 400 ypg in PAC-12 play, USC decided to part ways with defensive coordinator Monte Kiffin. They replaced him with Clancy Pendergast who is very familiar with the league having served as Cal's DC the past three seasons. The Trojans will reportedly play a 5-2 defense.


"I love it in this defense," Shaw said. "You're pretty much a general back there. You have to know what everyone else is doing. You have to be able to cover and come down into the box. You have to do it all."

"Last year, we only had a few calls. This year, we have so many different types we can call."






Tags: College Football USC Trojans PAC-12




NCAA Football Betting: Oddsmakers say Manziel's value is about a touchdown

08.09.2013     08:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Johnny Manziel saga continues to cause a ruckus in the betting markets.


One of the iconic figures in the industry, Jimmy Vacarro has said publicly he sees Manziel's value at six points, while some other prominent oddsmakers peg his worth at eight. One group of respected bettors went so far as to tell me he’s worth even more than that, equating the star QB's point-spread value to nine points or more.






Tags: College Football Texas A&M SEC




College Football Handicapping: Erickson to call plays for Utah Utes

08.09.2013     08:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Since join the PAC-12, Utah has had a difficult time producing much offense. In 2011, the Utes ranked 12th in total offense (310.9 ypg) and in 2012, 11th (324.4 ypg). Former quarterback Brian Johnson was the team's lone offensive coordinator last season (also the youngest in FBS) but head coach Kyle Whittingham decided he could use some help and hired former Arizona State head coach Dennis Erickson to serve as co-OC. According to reports, Erickson will have the final say in regards to playing calling.


"People get the misconception that a no-huddle, tempo offense is all pass, but it’s not," he said. "Look at Oregon. They run more than they throw it — you have to have 50-50."

"He has given us a swagger and a sense of confidence," Roderick said. "He has won so many games. It’s kind of funny. He is the oldest guy on the staff but he has the most swagger."





Tags: College Football Utah Utes PAC-12




NFL Preseason Gambling: Recapping Thursday's Games

08.09.2013     06:08 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Busy night of exhibition action. Let’s crunch some numbers so you have more than just the final scores at your fingertips. If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score "should" have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15. 

Baltimore 44, Tampa Bay 16

Total Yardage: Baltimore 332, Tampa Bay 273

Passing Stats: Baltimore 21-34-1-204, Tampa Bay 17-36-3-193

Turnovers: Baltimore 1, Tampa Bay 4

Drive Points: Baltimore 14, Tampa Bay 3

Stat Score: Baltimore 21, Tampa Bay 16

Baltimore had a cheap TD on a blocked punt in the end zone that they recovered for a TD, and they took advantage of a bit turnover advantage (a blocked punt isn’t a turnover, so it was a Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers gives us the scoop on the 'official' College Football Week 1 opening numbers

08.07.2013     01:37 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Yesterday was the first meeting of the season for the legendary 'Tuesday Group' of professional bettors here in Las Vegas. We had a very spirited debate about what the 'official' college football Week 1 opening numbers actually are/were.

With different books posting very different numbers at different times, we decided a 'consensus' opening line was a better choice than using any one book. The initial variance is gone, and the spreads as of RIGHT NOW on 8/7 should be considered the 'market openers'. Track moves from today, not before!

Thursday, 8/29:

SOUTH CAROLINA -10.5 North Carolina
MINNESOTA -14 Unlv
BOWLING GREEN -4 Tulsa
UCF -21.5 Akron
UTAH -3 Utah St
Ole Miss -3 VANDERBILT
Fresno -10 Rutgers
Usc -21.5 HAWAII

Friday, 8/30:

MICHIGAN ST -26.5 Western Michigan
MIAMI-FL -32.5 Florida Atlantic
Texas Tech -6 SMU

Saturday, 8/31:

WISCONSIN -45 Umass
MICHIGAN -31.5 Central Michigan
OHIO ST -36 Buffalo
NC ST -13.5 Louisiana Tech
MARYLAND -19.5 Florida International
IOWA -3 Northern Illinois
NOTRE DAME -29.5 Temple
Byu -3 Read more


Tags: College Football Teddy Covers Las Vegas




Sports Betting Podcast 8-7-2013 with Handicappers Brian Edwards and Teddy Covers

08.07.2013     10:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Brian Edwards and Teddy Covers. Brian previewed the SEC East while Teddy previewed the AFC West.

Today's segments
Full Show

Brian Edwards - SEC East Preview

Teddy Covers - AFC West Preview

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Football SEC NFL Brian Edwards Teddy Covers




College Football Handicapping: Illinois hopes new OC can spark offensive turnaround

08.07.2013     07:13 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A common theme here in the blog this summer has been college football teams with crappy offenses that bring in new offensive coordinators. In the case of Illinois, calling last year's offense "crappy" is generous. We're talking about a team that averaged 11.8 ppg in conference play. When something like that occurs the next logical move is to bring in an up-and-coming OC who can quickly turn things around. But the Illini went a different route and hired former Western Michigan head coach Bill Cubit who this fall will turn 60 years old. Cubit's WMU teams were typically slightly above average by MAC standards but never prolific when it came to putting points on the board. According to Cubit, the main goal this season is to play faster (Illinois ranked 87th in plays per game last year, Western Michigan ranked 34th). Dating back to the Ron Zook era, U of I’s problem has not been talent but rather developing it. Nowhere is that more apparent than quarterback Nathan Scheelhaase who saw his QB ratings drop from 133.38 to Read more


Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 25, 2014 06:47 PM.