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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: How to bet college football bowl games

12.09.2013     08:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
During football season, I usually write about the NFL every week.  But it wasn’t easy to make broad generalizations about teams on a Sunday in which more than half the games were significantly affected by snowy or frigid weather.  And the college football bowl pairings were announced on Sunday Night.  So, I made the executive decision to take a one week break from the NFL this week to discuss my personal strategies for winning during bowl season.

Motivation is the key factor for any bowl game.  Overall talent and team speed don’t mean a thing when the players don’t give a hoot about being there.  That’s why underdogs tend to do fairly well against the spread in the earlier bowl games.  It’s not a reward for a favorite to end up in front of a sparse crowd in Boise or Detroit facing a team they’re not particularly excited about playing, especially if their second tier bowl bid came as a result of a relatively disappointing campaign.

Always check the local newspapers, blogs and yes, even twitter feeds for clues about any team’s level of preparation and Read more

Tags: College Football Teddy Covers

College Football Gambling: Florida State the betting favorite over Auburn for BCS title game

12.09.2013     07:43 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Auburn vs. Florida State -8.5 O/U 65

The stage is set! Auburn will square off against Florida State for the 2013 BCS National Championship, Monday, January 6, at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, Calif. Oddsmakers were quick to hang a line once the matchup was determined with CRIS opening Florida State -9.5 with a total of 65. We've seen a little support on Auburn with most shops now showing FSU -8.5. Based on Sagarin's raw number Florida State is -14.55 and Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno's initial power rating has the Seminoles -12.5. FSU's strength of schedule is 63rd with only one game (Clemson) vs. the top 30. Auburn's SOS is 20th with five games vs. the top 30.

2014 BCS Championship Auburn vs. Florida State - Tale of the Tape
Veno Power
90.43 (6)
40.2 (11)
24.0 (38)
505.3 (11)
423.5 (90)
Florida State
104.98 (10)
53.0 (1)
10.7 (1)
529.4 (6)
268.5 (3)

Tags: College Football Florida State Seminoles ACC Auburn Tigers SEC

College Football Championship First and Second Half Betting Numbers

12.07.2013     08:51 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
In last night’s Mid-American Championship Game, Bowling Green continued its torrid 2013 run cashing as a second half “under” play for the 11th time in 13 games.  Always looking for hidden gems, here’s a look at the season’s results for each team involved in Saturday’s Conference Championship Games.

Conference USA - Marshall at Rice
1st Half ATS – Marshall 8-4-0 / Rice 9-3-0
1st Half Total – Marshall 5-6-0 / Rice 4-6-2 (Note: The Marshall-Gardner Webb game did not have a 1H total but had a 2H) 

Notes: Marshall is currently on a 5-0 1H ats streak defeating opponents by 14 or more in all five games. Rice is also a red-hot 1H play going 7-1 ats in their last eight games winning all seven of those contests by double digits.

2nd Half ATS – Marshall 6-6-0 / Rice 5-7-0
2nd Half Total – Marshall 7-5-0 / Rice 2-10-0

Notes: Of Marshall’s six road games this season, five of them resulted in 34 or more 2H points and a 5-1 “over” mark. Rice started the season playing nine consecutive 2H “unders” before going Read more

Tags: College Football Rob Veno

College Football Handicapping: Week 15 Injury Report

12.06.2013     11:31 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Missouri starting strong safety Duron Singleton is ‘questionable’ for Saturday’s SEC Championship Game against Auburn. Singleton missed last Saturday’s win over Texas A&M with a hip injury.

UL-Lafayette will most likely be without its outstanding quarterback Saturday at South Alabama. Junior Terrance Broadway is ‘doubtful’ against the Jaguars due to a wrist injury. Broadway has a 19-10 touchdown-to-interception ratio, in addition to eight rushing TDs. Redshirt freshman Brooks Haack will most likely get his first career start under center for the Ragin’ Cajuns. He had only appeared at garbage time until playing in the second half of last week’s 31-28 home loss to ULM. Haack has completed 16-of-21 throws for 175 yards and one TD without an interception. Also, UL-Lafayette starting safety Darius Barksdale is ‘questionable’ with a hand injury.

SMU quarterback Garrett Gilbert (21-7 TD-INT) has been downgraded to ‘doubtful’ for Saturday’s game vs. UCF due to a sore knee. Without Gilbert last week, the Mustangs lost 34-0 at Houston. It was the first time a team coached by June Jones had Read more

Tags: College Football Brian Edwards

College Football Gambling: Teams on the rise according to Sagarin Ratings

12.06.2013     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
USA Today talks about college football teams that have made the biggest improvements this season based on Jeff Sagarin's power ratings. A handful of those "gainers" are in play this weekend: Auburn, Missouri, South Alabama, Bowling Green, Baylor, and Florida State.

Tags: College Football

College Football Betting Preview: Oklahoma Sooners at Oklahoma State Cowboys

12.06.2013     07:45 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Oklahoma at Oklahoma State
Saturday, 9 am PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Oklahoma State -10.5 O/U 58
CRIS Current: Oklahoma State -10 O/U 56.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oklahoma State -8.5
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Oklahoma

Weather will likely play a role here as frigid conditions are expected (15 degrees at kickoff) for this 11 am local start on Saturday morning. Oklahoma State has plenty of incentive here as the Big XII title along with the affiliated BCS berth into the Fiesta Bowl are theirs if they win. Oklahoma meanwhile cannot win the Big XII and they appear virtually locked into the December 30th Alamo Bowl. With no opportunity to upgrade their status, the Sooners will be playing strictly for pride in this edition of “Bedlam” and their intensity level has already shown to be extremely high this week. Senior center Gabe Ikard refused to recognize his team as playing the spoiler Read more

Tags: College Football Oklahoma Sooners Oklahoma State Cowboys Big XII Rob Veno

College Football Betting: Oklahoma State, Baylor, and Texas still live for Big XII crown

12.06.2013     06:58 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
With no conference title game, the Big XII Championship and a berth in the BCS will come down to this weekend's two season finales between Texas-Baylor and Oklahoma-Oklahoma State. Three of those four teams still have a shot. If Oklahoma State beats Oklahoma, the Cowboys are in. If OSU loses, then the winner of Texas-Baylor is in. Note that the OSU-OU game starts at 9 am PT while UT-BU goes off at 12:30 pm PT.

Tags: College Football Oklahoma State Cowboys Baylor Bears Texas Longhorns Big XII

NFL Gambling Preview: Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers

12.05.2013     01:26 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Miami at Pittsburgh
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Pittsburgh -3.45 O/U 41.5
CRIS Current: Pittsburgh -3 O/U 40.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Pittsburgh -4
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Under

Both the Steelers and the Dolphins are fundamentally flawed football teams, yet both remain very ‘live’ in the AFC Playoff picture.  The 6-6 Dolphins are currently tied with Baltimore for the #6 seed in the AFC, while the Steelers rank just one game behind with four left to play.  That being said, neither team can like their chances if they lose this week.  We should expect a maximum intensity playoff-level showdown as a result.

The Steelers chances took a real blow last week with their loss at Baltimore, unable to convert the game tying two point try at the end of regulation.  But that defeat didn’t end their season, not by any stretch of the imagination.  QB Ben Read more

Tags: NFL Miami Dolphins Pittsburgh Steelers Teddy Covers

Sports Betting Podcast 12-5-2013 College Football Every Game on the Board

12.05.2013     10:16 AM     Printer Friendly

Week 15 of our College Football Every Game on the Board Podcast. Brian Edwards joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Brian Edwards - College Football Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football Brian Edwards

College Football Betting: Fresno State's defense hoping to show up vs. Utah State

12.05.2013     08:30 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Utah State at Fresno State -3.5 O/U 60

Just how bad was Fresno State's defensive performance against San Jose State last week? For starters, the Spartans punted only once. In terms of drives, San Jose posted the following:

79 yards, TD
71 yards, TD
75 yards, TD
75 yards, TD
77 yards, TD
75 yards, TD
52 yards, TD
37 yards, FG
58 yards, TD
49 yards, FG

Of course Fresno is saying all the right things in regards to bouncing back for Saturday's Mountain West Championship against Utah State. The two squads did not meet during the regular season.

"We have to play like we did the other nine weeks when we were the No. 1 or No. 2 defense in the league in third-down defense," defensive coordinator Nick Toth said. "We've been really good at that. They run the ball

Read more

Tags: College Football Fresno State Bulldogs Utah State Aggies Mountain West


Page 75 of 343
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