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NBA Handicapping: Single-digit home favorites cashing in at 64% clip
01.18.2012 01:27 PM
Printer Friendly
Submitted by
The NBA season is already 20% complete and I’ve been tracking scores, stats and ATS results with the condensed schedule having an impact on team’s energy and effort on a nightly basis. We see more teams playing reserves in the fourth quarter as a game becomes out of reach. With that, home teams are covering more pointspreads and especially as single-digit favorites.
Last night, single-digit home favs went 4-1 ATS and tonight there are seven home teams in the same role. For the season, single-digit home favorites are 59-34 ATS (64%), and following tonight’s results we’ll have a 100-game sample showing at least 60% success.
One hot team in that role tonight is Philadelphia (-5.5). The 76ers (10-3) are leading the Easter Conference Atlantic division by 4.0 games and remain one of four teams perfect at home. They are performing well under head coach Doug Collins and outscore opponents 102-80 at the Wells Fargo Arena while going 6-0 SU/ATS. They are also a league-best 10-2-1 ATS this season.
A closer look at their schedule shows that four of those home wins were against Washington (1-12), Detroit (3-11), Toronto (4-10) and Sacramento
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NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
Denver Nuggets
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Sports Betting Podcast 1-18-2012 with Brent Crow and Erin Rynning
01.18.2012 10:11 AM
Printer Friendly
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Brent Crow and Erin Rynning. Brent covered tonight's College Basketball while Erin tackled every game on the NBA card.
Today's segments
Brent Crow - College Basketball Every Game on the Board
Erin Rynning - NBA Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
Tags:
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NBA
Brent Crow
Erin Rynning
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NBA Handicapping: Clippers blasted in Utah sans Paul, return home to face Dallas
01.18.2012 06:20 AM
Printer Friendly
Dallas
at
LA Clippers
Without Chris Paul, or any real desire to put forth an effort,
this happened
to the Los Angeles Clippers last night. Head coach Vinny Del Negro wasn't shy about
voicing his disappointment
. The Clips still trail a majority of the team in terms of games played but will be facing the third game of a back-to-back-to-back tonight against Dallas. As of this morning, Paul (hamstring) was listed as questionable.
"I didn’t like our approach," Del Negro said. "I didn’t like our focus. I didn’t like our toughness. I didn’t like our energy to start the game. We dug ourselves a hole.
"We’re not going to win a lot of games playing with that type of effort. I don’t
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Los Angeles Clippers
Dallas Mavericks
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NBA Handicapping: Dallas Mavericks one of many teams struggling to score
01.17.2012 01:39 PM
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Some startling numbers on
how bad offenses have been
in the NBA with a focus on the Dallas Mavericks who shot 35% in last night's ugly 73-70 loss to the Lakers. There are currently 21 teams shooting 45% or worse – up from last year's 13. Nineteen teams are averaging 96 ppg or less.
"Hasn't been there all year," Terry said of a Mavs offense that ranks 21st in scoring at 92.6 points a game and 22nd in field-goal percentage at 43.1. "But defensively, we're doing our job. We just have to make shots. Stay encouraged; defensively we're playing our ass off. We'll get there. Again, it was just an uncharacteristic, off-shooting night for us. I'm not really concerned."
"Throughout the season," said Dirk Nowitzki, averaging just 17.9 points on 46.9 percent shooting and 19.2 percent from 3-point range, "I expect a lot of ugly games like that to happen. It's just normal."
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Dallas Mavericks
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NBA Betting Free Pick: Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers
01.17.2012 12:46 PM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Golden State
+2.5 at
Cleveland
O/U 196.5
Recommendation: Golden State
Expect another strong effort out of Golden State tonight as they continue their road trip with a game in Cleveland against the Cavs. Here’s what forward David Lee said on the eve of the trip: “If we come back with a losing record from this road trip, it should be a huge disappointment. This is a road trip to places where we need to go take care of business and get three or possibly four victories. I don't see it any other way at this point."
But Mark Jackson’s squad started the trip with a complete no-show in Charlotte, blown off the court by the lowly Bobcats. They were outscored 66-46 before halftime, and never came close to making up the deficit in the final 24 minutes of play. Forward Dominic McGuire: “We took it for granted. We came out thinking this was an automatic win….I don't think it was anything they did. They were hitting shots but ... 38
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Golden State Warriors
Cleveland Cavaliers
Teddy Covers
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Sports Betting Podcast 1-17-2012 with Rob Veno and Erin Rynning
01.17.2012 10:22 AM
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Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning. Rob covered tonight's College Basketball while Erin tackled every game on the NBA card.
Today's segments
Rob Veno - College Basketball Every Game on the Board
Erin Rynning - NBA Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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Rob Veno
Erin Rynning
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NBA Handicapping: Phoenix Suns continue to struggle on offense
01.17.2012 07:19 AM
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Phoenix
at
Chicago
Article of Phoenix's
struggles on offense
this year. The Suns are averaging 11.2 ppg below last year's mark and don't feature a player in the top 50 in scoring.
“I think everyone is going to score more,” said Nash, who posted 20 points and 10 assists despite a sore quadriceps. “There’s going to be more cohesion. We’ll see more balance, and we’ll see more guys scoring. It’ll get better.”
“We’ve got to have Channing shoot the ball better than he is,” Suns coach Alvin Gentry said. “JD (Dudley) is starting to come into his own, shoot better and make plays. We’ve just got to get ourselves running and get easy layups. The history of our team and how it has shot well came from how we would get layups and dunks. To be in a half-court situation so often is not
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NBA Betting Trends: Chicago Bulls fit strong profile for matchup vs. Phoenix
01.17.2012 07:00 AM
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Pretty impressive betting trend in action tonight in the NBA with the Chicago Bulls off a game in which they allowed more than 100 points* (102-86 loss at Memphis). Over the last two seasons, the Bulls are an amazing 14-3 ATS and 4-13 O/U in this profile. The two 64-point performances came this season. The rest during the 2010-11 season. No line yet on tonight's game against Phoenix – Derrick Rose currently listed as doubtful.
*In regulation
Chicago Bulls Betting Results Last Two Season After Allowing 100 points
Opponent
Points Allowed
Bulls ATS
Over/Under
Phoenix
???
???
???
Washington
64
Win
Under
Memphis
64
Win
Under
Atlanta
83
Win
Under
Atlanta
73
Win
Under
Phoenix
94
Loss
Under
Sacramento
92
Win
Over
Washington
79
Win
Under
Miami
89
Win
Under
Portland
109
Loss
Over
Boston
79
Win
Under
Detroit
92 (OT)
Loss
Under
Philadelphia
76
Win
Over
Oklahoma City
90
Win
Under
Denver
98
Win
Under
Dallas
83
Win
Under
Boston
110 (OT)
Win
Over
Detroit
91
Win
Under
Results
86.2 pgg
14-3 ATS
4-13 O/U
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Phoenix Suns
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NBA Betting Alert: Bogut slated to return for Milwaukee Bucks today
01.16.2012 10:46 AM
Otto Sports
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Submitted by Otto Sports
Milwaukee
at
Philadelphia
-9 O/U 185
Andrew Bogut
returns to the lineup
on MLK day for the Milwaukee Bucks after suffering from concussion symptoms. The starting center is so important to the Bucks from a defensive standpoint, something head coach Scott Skiles has discussed on more than one occasion during the season. Note the Bucks are 0-5 without Bogut to date. Here’s a quote from Skiles in a recent article:
"In some of our better defensive stretches, it's because Andrew has erased some mistakes," Skiles said of Bogut. "And not just with a shot block but with his presence around the painted area. It brings out some of the flaws in our overall team defense when he's not out there."
His return along with an increased effort on the defensive end after an embarrassing loss to Dallas last
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Milwaukee Bucks
Philadelphia 76ers
Marty Otto
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NBA Betting News and Notes 1-16-2012
01.16.2012 10:00 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
We're only three weeks into the young NBA season, yet we're already seeing teams morph away from how they looked earlier in the campaign. Let's take a look around the league, concentrating on key notes and quotes, the type of information that has the potential to make us some money in the weeks to come.
Detroit
– Pistons starting forward Tayshaun Prince has had a fascinating career arc. He’s been on a championship team in 2004 and returned to the Finals again in 2005. Prince has helped his team reach the Eastern Conference Finals six times. He’s also played for six different head coaches in Detroit, including their current head honcho, Lawrence Frank. But with a 3-10 record to open the season including four consecutive non-competitive home losses, Prince has been vocal about his frustrations, just weeks after inking an extension to stay with Detroit for the next four years.
Prince: “We got to figure out a way to get in the paint a lot more. Right now, we’re confused on both ends and we’re settling for jump shots. I know myself in general, I’ve taken shots that really haven’t come in the
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Detroit Pistons
Golden State Warriors
New York Knicks
Philadelphia 76ers
Teddy Covers
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