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NBA Finals Betting Recap: Hey Spurs! You Might Want to Save Some of Those Treys For Later!

06.12.2013     07:06 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The San Antonio Spurs set an all-time NBA Finals record by making 16 treys in their 113-77 Game Three victory over the Miami Heat Tuesday night. That put them ahead 2-1 in the best-of-seven series, and allowed them to maintain home court advantage for the time being.

It’s a fun party when everything’s falling in a 36-point victory. But…you don’t get to carry over any of the scoring into the next game. And, they know Miami’s just as capable of getting hot from long range in either Game Four or Game Five in the Alamo City. We talked in our “statline” preview that either team could see an outlier from long range lead to a big night. This was that for the Spurs.

That being said…there are a few things besides the three-point barrage worth noting to me.

*Overshadowed by the treys is the fact that this was an “Imposing of Will” type game for the Spurs. They were doing a great job defensively and on the boards in Read more

Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat Stat Intelligence

NBA Betting News: 63% of bettors on the OVER for Game 3 of Finals

06.11.2013     02:58 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here are the consensus bets for tonight's Game 3 of the NBA Finals between the Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages represent the number of bets (not total handle) placed on each given wager.

San Antonio -2 - 58.2%

San Antonio-Miami OVER 188 - 63.2%

Miami +115 - 65.5%

Tags: NBA Miami Heat San Antonio Spurs

NBA Finals Betting Recap: The Miami Heat Played Great...and THEN Went on a 23-3 Run!

06.10.2013     08:18 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The fact that the San Antonio Spurs made SEVEN three-pointers in the first half helped hide how much they were being dominated when only trailing by a 50-45 score.

At the Half

*The Spurs were 9 of 29 on two-pointers

*The Spurs had committed seven turnovers

*Miami scored 50 points on only about 40-41 possessions, which is very efficient

And…Miami was doing that without a bunch of treys (though they would make their share later). Fantastic defense…though a guy they dared to beat them happened to string together a few made treys. Big time offense. It was the bounce-back effort many had expected...but it didn’t feel that way because Miami just couldn’t shake the Spurs. Were they in trouble?

No, they were getting ready to find that extra gear again.

Second Half

*The Spurs stopped making a bunch of treys

*Miami ADDED treys to what had already been working


San Antonio won garbage time to create a 103-84 final that understates the carnage. Let’s run the numbers…

Miami 103, San Antonio Read more

Tags: NBA Miami Heat San Antonio Spurs Stat Intelligence

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Golden Nugget College Football Games of the Year

06.10.2013     07:54 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
As spring turns into summer here in Las Vegas and the NBA Playoffs wind down, the upcoming football season begins to attract more and more betting attention.  Last month we saw NFL season win totals hit the betting boards around town, drawing a significant initial flurry of heavy wiseguy money.   And this past Friday, we saw another clear sign that football is just around the corner, as the Golden Nugget released their lines on 250 College Football Games of the Year.

The Nugget has earned a reputation as the top place to bet on sports in downtown Las Vegas, but it’s not generally a hotbed of wiseguy betting activity.  That changes dramatically when they release their College Football GOY lines, as they’ve done for each of the last seven years.  The Golden Nugget sportsbook takes center stage as a destination location; the first place in Vegas to post college football game pointspreads. 

The Nugget made some changes this year in an effort to please and appease the Read more

Tags: College Football Teddy Covers

NBA Betting Recap: San Antonio Spurs take down Miami Heat in Game 1

06.07.2013     07:05 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Fantastic game. Most of the evening was very simple…

*Both teams kept working the ball sharply for open looks

*Neither team turned the ball over much

*Both offenses either made their open looks or saw the opposing defense rebound the miss

*Rinse and repeat for 40 minutes

Don’t want to overstate the case…but that was what basketball lovers imagine when they’re visualizing the perfect game. Clean as can be. No thuggery. Move the ball well and try to make your shots. Beautiful. Last year I wrote about the Spurs playing “the beautiful game” when they were at their peak. Both teams were doing that tonight. Until Miami hit a wall with about 8:30 to go.

*Miami led 76-73

*Miami started missing shots

*Miami started turning the ball over

*Miami seemed to lose a stop on defense.

San Antonio would win that last 8:30 by a 19-12 score (equivalent of a 27-17 quarter). And, three of Miami’s 12 Read more

Tags: NBA Miami Heat San Antonio Spurs Stat Intelligence

NBA Finals Gambling: Over 60% of bettors backing the San Antonio Spurs

06.06.2013     10:53 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here are the consensus bets for tonight's Game 1 of the NBA Finals between the Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages represent the number of bets (not total handle) placed on each given.

San Antonio +5 - 61.9%

San Antonio-Miami OVER 188.5 - 54.9%

San Antonio +190 - 64.1%

Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat

Sports Betting Podcast 6-6-2013 with Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning

06.06.2013     09:59 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning. Rob broke down the entire MLB card while ER gave his thoughts and opinions on Game 1 of the NBA Finals.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - MLB Every Game on the Board (Free Play)

Erin Rynning - NBA Finals

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA Rob Veno Erin Rynning


06.06.2013     09:55 AM     Printer Friendly
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NBA Finals Gambling: Offshore and Vegas bettors can shop around

06.06.2013     08:01 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
It is obviously important to shop around when it comes to betting the NBA postseason. Here's a list of a few "off-market" numbers for tonight's Game 1 and the series as of 8 am PT.

Prevailing side and total
Miami Heat -5 O/U 188.5

Side Underdog
San Antonio Spurs +5.5 at Wynn, Coasts, Stations, Mirage, Golden Nugget, and Caesars

Total Under
189 at Heritage, Jazz, and Stations

Total Over
188 at LVH and Golden Nugget

Prevailing series number
Miami Heat -220/San Antonio Spurs +180

Series Favorite
Miami Heat -208 at Pinnacle, -215 at CRIS, Grande, and Heritage

Series Underdog
San Antonio Spurs +195 at Golden Nugget, +190 at Greek

Tags: NBA Miami Heat San Antonio Spurs

NBA Finals Handicapping: Statline Data for San Antonio Spurs vs. Miami Heat

06.06.2013     07:21 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It’s been awhile since we’ve looked at these. As was the format during March Madness, we look at regular season performance in two-point defense, rebounding differential, turnover differential, made treys per game, and pace ranking in the league. These numbers haven’t been adjusted from the playoffs. We’re looking to get a sense of skill sets.

Spurs.: 47% two-point defense, +1.2 rebounding, +0.2 TO’S, 8.1 treys, #6 pace

Heat: 47% two-point defense, -1.5 rebounding, +1.7 TO’S, 8.7 treys, #23 pace

*Most playoff teams were at 47% on deuces allowed, so we’re talking about playoff caliber teams who aren’t necessarily terrifying inside the arc. Indiana was the best of the playoff teams at 44%. Oklahoma City was best in the West at 45%.

*You won’t be surprised to see Miami trailing in the rebound category. They tend to blow off offensive rebounds to get everybody back to defend. We saw in the series finale vs. Read more

Tags: NBA Miami Heat San Antonio Spurs Stat Intelligence


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