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Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: Recapping College Football Week 1

09.03.2012     06:33 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
As I Tweeted (@teddy_covers) this past Sunday, it’s all NFL from here on out for the rest of 2012 – the time for leisurely Sunday’s has come and gone. With my writing focus turning to the NFL as well, I thought this week’s column should be about something else. And with the opening weekend of college football in the books, I figured a random college football observations column made perfect sense at this juncture. So here goes!

There’s an old sports betting adage about not overreacting to the results of a single game. In the middle of the season, I agree 100% – after a team’s mo. is clearly defined. But in Week 1, I think it’s just as important not to underreact either!

When Houston loses at home 30-13 to Texas State as 34.5-point favorites, that’s a meaningful result. It’s meaningful when Oklahoma can’t move the football for extended stretches against UTEP, punting eight times on 13 drives. It’s meaningful when San Jose State outscores Stanford 17-6 after the first quarter and outgains the Cardinal for the full 60 Read more


Tags: College Football Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Stock Watch: Beckman's arrival signals uptick for Illinois

08.31.2012     12:02 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Buy the Illinois Fighting Illini – What a crazy season for the Illini in 2011 with a 6-0 start, followed by 0-6 run, and then a bowl win over UCLA.  The season was wacky enough that the school cut ties with the even wackier Ron Zook.  Zook proved time and time again that getting talent to Illinois wasn’t a problem. It was developing that talent and teaching them simple fundamentals that proved too difficult.  Enter new head coach Tim Beckman, who despite the crazy offensive numbers from Toledo last season, comes in with a defensive pedigree.  The cupboard is far from bare in Champaign, and Beckman has plenty of talent to work with.  The Illini return a fair amount of starters including quarterback Nate Scheelhaase who has the potential to be the best signal caller in the Big Ten. Scheelhaase has started 26 straight games and the known gym rat can move forward with a more structured program.  Scheelhaase will form a battery with All-Big Ten center Graham Picnic and enable the Illini to hit the ground running with their new offense.  As mentioned, Beckman cut his teeth on the defensive side of the football, Read more


Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten Erin Rynning




College Football Betting Stock Watch: Beware of inflated prices with Wisconsin

08.31.2012     11:47 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sell the Wisconsin Badgers – The Badgers have enjoyed storybook seasons the last two years with back-to-back Rose Bowl berths.  Yes, 2012 set’s up as another banner year but this squad will without question be inflated in the betting markets.  It would be near impossible this season for the Badgers to match their offensive production from the previous two seasons.  Keep in mind 2010 and 2011 were record breaking years, as they averaged an amazing 44.1 and 41.5 points per game.  This year, they’ll need to replace six offensive starters including all-world quarterback Russell Wilson.  With Wilson winning the starting quarterback job for the Seattle Seahawks as a rookie it should be a telltale sign of his value.  In addition, the Badgers also lost respected offensive coordinator Paul Chryst who took the head coaching job at Pittsburgh.  Yes, the Badgers will feature running back Montee Ball and will have Maryland transfer Danny O’Brien as their quarterback, but the scoring could easily be down 10+ points per contest.  Defensively, the Badgers will be sound with a sturdy front seven; however secondary Read more


Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten Erin Rynning




College Football Betting Preview: Tennessee Volunteers vs. NC State Wolfpack

08.31.2012     11:37 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tennessee vs. NC State
Brent Crow's Recommendation:
NC State
Friday, 4:30 pm PT @ Atlanta - ESPNU
CRIS Opener:
Tennessee -2.5 O/U 50
CRIS Current: Tennessee -3 (-115) O/U 52.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: NC State PK

Tennessee fans are looking for some progress in year three of the Derek Dooley era and with 18 starters back from a 5-7 team, they should get their wish. Whether the Vols win enough games to keep Dooley off the hot seat remains to be seen, however. Tennessee does have a chance to go to a nice bowl game if they can stay healthy, most notably quarterback Tyler Bray who is primed for a big showing. In just 12 starts spanning two seasons, Bray has thrown 35 TDs and 16 INTs. A full season will have him near 30 TD passes and 3,000 yards and that should result in eight or nine wins for this team. Justin Hunter, who returns from injury, is poised to be the recipient of most of Bray’s Read more


Tags: College Football Tennessee Volunteers SEC NC State Wolfpack ACC Brent Crow




Sports Betting Podcast 8-31-2012 with Brent Crow, Erin Rynning and Alf Musketa

08.31.2012     10:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Brent Crow, Erin Rynning and Alf Musketa.  All three cappers broke down this weekend's College Football card from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show

Brent Crow - College Football 

Erin Rynning - College Football Big Ten

Alf Musketa - College Football, Tennis and PGA

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Football Brent Crow Erin Rynning Alf Musketa




College Football Betting: Added game previews by Handicapper Rob Veno

08.30.2012     02:16 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Towson at Kent State -7 - Lot of respect for Towson who unexpectedly took the CAA by storm last year. Kent State has a strong defense and feels it’s a bit better offensively this season but still, don't see a real talent gap here. Towson's balanced and explosive offense with eight of its pieces back plus more experienced defense makes them a threat. Power Ratings made this a pick-em. Recommendation: Took a small piece of Towson +7

Southeast Missouri State at Central Michigan -26 - No real interest here but do think that CMU will rise up and become competitive again in MAC this year behind QB Radcliff and receiving weapons (bumped them +2.5 in my PR this year). SEMO is not OVC trash and they have Ohio U. sophomore transfer Kyle Snyder at QB so his knowledge of Chippewas will help in game prep. They are run heavy and decent at it so if they have success, clock grinding makes +26 look large. Think their defense may get toasted through the air early and often though. Recommendation: None

Northern Colorado at Utah -42 - Northern really optimistic about this season based on more Read more


Tags: College Football Rob Veno




College Football Betting Preview: Michigan Wolverines vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

08.30.2012     12:47 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Michigan vs. Alabama
Teddy Covers' Recommendation:
Alabama
Saturday, 5 pm PT @ Arlington, Texas - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Alabama -11 O/U 46
CRIS Current: Alabama -14 O/U 46.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Alabama -15

Michigan enjoyed one heck of a first season for Brady Hoke, finishing their 11-win season with a thrilling overtime victory over Virginia Tech in the Sugar Bowl.  But it’s not going to be an easy task for the Wolverines to repeat that level of performance in 2012.  Michigan suffered significant graduation losses on both the offensive and defensive lines; bad news for ultra-hyped senior quarterback Denard Robinson.
 
Nor can the Wolverines expect to win every close game like they did last year; undefeated in games decided by a touchdown or less.  And make no mistake about it – this is a step up in class game for the Wolverines.  Michigan’s last Read more


Tags: College Football Michigan Wolverines Big Ten Alabama Crimson Tide SEC Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Preview: Boise State Broncos at Michigan State Spartans

08.29.2012     10:49 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Boise State at Michigan State
Erin Rynning's Recommendation:
Under
Friday, 5 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Michigan State -4.5 O/U 51.5
CRIS Current: Michigan State -6.5 O/U 46
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Michigan State -6

It’s difficult to write off Boise State in this contest as a +7 underdog.  All they’ve done over the seven year tenure of head coach Chris Petersen is produce a 73-6 record.  Keep in mind they’ve also beaten Oregon, Virginia Tech and Georgia in their last three season openers.  Of course, the immense question in this clash is what Boise will bring to the table after huge losses on both sides of the football.  No question, this is a much, much different team than at any time under Petersen.  The Broncos have to replace quarterback Kellen Moore who posted the best record of any signal caller in college football history, along with five Read more


Tags: College Football Boise State Broncos Moutain West Michigan State Spartans Big Ten Erin Rynning




NCAAF ATS Notes: No A/C, secret game planning highlight Northwestern-Syracuse

08.29.2012     07:04 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Northwestern -1.5 at Syracuse O/U 53.5

Northwestern has been limited in its game planning for Week 1's opener against Syracuse because the Orange closed spring practices to the public. Also note that the Carrier Dome (named for a company which makes air conditioners) is not air conditioned.


“Obviously they’re changing some things,” Fitzgerald said, “or else they would not have closed practice.”

“Game-plan wise we could take the whole dang thing, potentially, and throw it out after the first quarter,” Fitzgerald said Monday. “We’ll try to be as prepared as we can be but be Read more



Tags: College Football Northwestern Wildcats Big Ten Syracuse Orange Big East




College Football Gambling Trends: How team fare without a bye week

08.29.2012     06:42 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Revisiting a blog from last year that tracked the results of college football teams without a bye week during the regular season. The theory is that these teams will eventually wear down both physically and mentally. The results (last three games SU and ATS) aren’t mind-blowing, but the 37% SU winning percentage does stands out. Note that in 2009, virtually the entire Big Ten didn’t have a bye so the numbers are somewhat skewed with “none bye teams” often playing one another. If you completely eliminate the ’09 Big Ten, the overall numbers are even stronger at 23-49 SU and 30-41-1 ATS.

Like most of our studies, we aren’t necessarily looking for a formula to bet blind – they rarely if ever exist. Rather, we find schedule situations that can put teams at an advantage or disadvantage. In the case of not having a bye week, it certainly isn’t helpful and a factor worth adding to your handicap.

Some schools (marked with asterisks) had their bye in Week 1 and played continuously for the remainder of the season. We included them because it really doesn’t serve as an advantage.

This year, California, Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 02, 2014 04:35 AM.