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January

31

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NBA Handicapper Free Play: Los Angeles Lakers at Cleveland Cavaliers

12.11.2012     10:50 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
LA Lakers -6 at Cleveland O/U 203.5
Recommendation: Over


Well, it hasn't taken long for the Lakers to start playing Mike D'Antoni style basketball. D'Antoni failed to win at all with the Knicks and he failed to reach the Finals during his extended tenure in Phoenix because his teams simply couldn't get stops. D'Antoni's teams play consistently poor defense in every aspect of the game – bad transition D, bad halfcourt D, bad low post D, bad perimeter D – you name it, it's been bad. The Lakers have lost four of their last five, while allowing 113 points per game on better than 47% shooting in those defeats. LA has been particularly bad in transition, allowing 19 points per game on fast breaks over their last four contests. Kobe Bryant: "(We're") just giving up too many transition points."

The Cavaliers certainly aren't defensive juggernauts either, allowing more than 100 points per game on 48% shooting so far this season. That 48% shooting allowed is Read more


Tags: NBA Los Angeles Lakers Cleveland Cavaliers Teddy Covers




College Basketball ATS Analysis: Buy low on Northern Colorado

12.11.2012     07:14 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It's college basketball finals week which gives us a chance to catch our breath and analyze the first quarter of the season. Throughout the week we'll be taking a look at ATS successes and failures and trying to project whether or not the trend will continue.

Northern Colorado: I really liked Northern Colorado heading into the season but thus far they've really disappointed. They have yet to win a game against a DI opponent and more importantly are 0-6 ATS. The program won 21 games in 2010, lost a host of key seniors in 2011 and dropped to 9-19, but returned practically everyone for 2012. As mentioned, it hasn't worked out but I'm not going to give up on this squad just yet.

Will it continue? I don't think so and here is why. For starters, UNC has always had a strong home/road dichotomy. Greeley is at elevation and a difficult place to get to. Remember that 21-win campaign? They didn't lose a single game at Butler Hancock Pavillon. So far this season, they've played one lined game at home and it came against a very strong Wyoming club. UNC actually had a lead in that contest before Wyoming pulled off yet another incredible second half Read more


Tags: College Basketball Northern Colorado Bears Andrew Lange




Larry King: Talk Show icon and (successful) NFL gambler

12.10.2012     02:00 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
So Larry King – yeah, that Larry King – is a bettor. And he crushes the NFL. And bets a nickle, sometimes a dime a game. Seriously, WTF.


“New England is favored by 4,” King says. He shakes his head. “I rode the Texans early on, when they were under the radar. They are a wonderful team. But in Foxboro against Brady? This line seems about right.” He staying away from this one. “And anyway, my fans expect me to pick on Thursday.”

“I won yesterday,” he says. “The Giants were favored by five at home over the Saints. The Giants were coming off a bad loss on Monday night to the Redskins. The Saints have the worst defense in the league. The line should have been eight. The biggest shock yesterday was San Diego. I listened to [ESPN’s] Colin Cowherd this week. He said the one sure thing is that Pittsburgh is the best team in the NFL, and they will run the table starting with San Diego at home. And San Diego killed them.”






Tags: NFL




Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: Looking at the contenders in the NFC

12.10.2012     07:57 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I spent my Sunday focusing on a handful of AFC playoff contenders, gauging their respective chances for a run to the Super Bowl. This week, it was the NFC's turn to go under the microscope.

Tampa Bay: At the start of the day, the Bucs were legitimate playoff contenders, despite their two game losing streak. By the end of the afternoon, four teams had jumped them in the NFC standings (Dallas, Washington, Minnesota and St Louis), leaving the Bucs as the #11 team in a conference that will send only six teams to the postseason.

Tampa was done in by two failures against the Eagles. First, Josh Freeman spent the entire first half in a nasty funk, completely out of sync with his receivers. Freeman is on pace for his lowest completion percentage since his rookie season and the fewest rushing yards of his career. He's no dual threat these days. Freeman's yards per pass attempt numbers are solid, and he's on track to finish the season with only half as many interceptions as he threw last year. But elite level quarterbacks – playoff quarterbacks – aren't supposed to spend 30 minutes struggling to find any sort of rhythm against a Read more


Tags: NFL Tampa Bay Buccaneers San Francisco 49ers New York Giants Seattle Seahawks Atlanta Falcons Teddy Covers




College Basketball ATS Analysis: Charlotte 49ers are making noise

12.10.2012     07:40 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It's college basketball finals week which gives us a chance to catch our breath and analyze the first quarter of the season. Throughout the week we'll be taking a look at ATS successes and failures and trying to project whether or not the trend will continue.

Charlotte 49ers: Head coach Alan Major's third season is off to a great start at 9-0 SU, 6-1 ATS. Expectations were modest heading into the campaign with a handful of newcomers and second-year players expected to contribute. The key for the 49ers has been depth with 8-10 guys seeing consistent minutes. That has allowed Major to play more pressure defense and the results have showed with no opponent topping 69 points despite all but one contest featuring 65 possessions or more.

Will it continue? The level of competition hasn't been great but the 49ers did win outright at Davidson as 9-point underdogs. Of course they beat the Wildcats by 13 last year, started A-10 play off 2-0 with wins against Richmond and St. Joe's, but crashed hard the second half of the season (4-12 SU, 5-9-1 ATS). This year's edition is clearly more talented so we don't project that big of a slide. The benefit Read more


Tags: College Basketball Charlotte 49ers Andrew Lange




NBA Handicapping: New York Knicks travel to Miami to take on the Heat

12.06.2012     08:12 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New York at Miami -7.5 O/U 201

Big showdown on TNT tonight as the Knicks travel to South Beach to take on the Heat. Carmelo Anthony is listed as questionable with a finger injury to his non-shooting hand. The Knicks defeated Miami 104-84 at home in the season opener as 6-point underdogs. The Heat beat the Knicks 4-1 in last year's Eastern Conference quarterfinals. Ten of the last 13 games in the series have gone UNDER the total (one push).


How good it will feel Thursday remains to be seen. Anthony received five stitches for the laceration, though the injury is on his non-shooting hand.

"Right now it's numb, so I don't know," Anthony, averaging 28.4 points in his last 13 regular-season matchups with Miami, said of his chances to play against the Heat.






Tags: NBA New York Knicks Miami Heat




College Football Gambling: Quick takes on bowl game motivation Part I

12.04.2012     01:29 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It's bowl season and that means motivation becomes a big factor in our handicap. One thing bettors must realize is a lot can happen from now until game day. Teams off disappointing regular seasons have plenty of time to lick their wounds whereas the excitement of reaching the postseason for others can easily wear off. Let's have a little fun and try and forecast the current state of mind of these bowl bound squads. Part I today, Part II tomorrow.

Nevada vs. Arizona - Rich Rod has to be pleased to be bowling in his first year. And Nevada – who somehow owns the weaker defense in this matchup – is no doubt excited it doesn't have to play in the Military Bowl in DC. Edge: Arizona

Toledo vs. Utah State - Win the WAC, get shipped to the Potato Bowl...yippee! Finished tied for second in the MAC West, get shipped to the Potato Bowl...yippee! Edge: None

BYU vs. San Diego State - BYU has been locked into the Poinsettia Bowl for nearly a month. SDSU played in this same bowl back in 2010 and beat Navy 35-14. Edge: None

Ball State vs. Central Florida - Lose the C-USA Championship Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Northwestern Wildcats at Baylor Bears

12.04.2012     11:27 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Northwestern at Baylor -10.5 O/U 133.5
Recommendation: Baylor


Northwestern was overwhelmed by Baylor’s size and athleticism last year, thoroughly whipped in a 69-41 home loss to the Bears.  Don’t expect a dramatically different result in tonight’s rematch – the Wildcats deficiencies are likely to be on full display once again this evening.

The Wildcats were annihilated on their home floor by Maryland in the ACC-Big Ten showdown last week, losing by 20.  It didn’t get any better last weekend, when Northwestern held Illinois-Chicago to 31% shooting, won the rebounding battle by 13 and STILL lost at home by six as double-digit favorites.  Head coach Bill Carmody has limited depth once again, bad news against an athletic, fast paced squad like Baylor.  And the Bears have seen (and defended) Carmody’s Princeton offense before – don’t expect the Wildcats scoring woes to end against this Read more


Tags: College Basketball Northwestern Wildcats Baylor Bears Teddy Covers




More proof that college football players know the pointspread of their games

12.03.2012     01:44 PM     Printer Friendly
This appears to be Purdue quarterback Robert Marve's actual Twitter account. So we found it pretty cool that he re-Tweeted someone who mentioned that the Boilermakers are currently the biggest betting underdog on the card for the upcoming college football bowl season.

copy_marve.JPG

 



Tags: College Football Purdue Boilermakers Big Ten Oklahoma State Cowboys




Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: Looking at the contenders in the AFC

12.03.2012     09:49 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I spent the last few Sunday’s concentrating on some pretty bad football teams. It’s December now; time to shift my focus towards the other end of the spectrum. This week, I focused on four AFC Playoff contenders. Which teams have the potential to do some damage when January rolls around and which are frauds? Read on to find out!

Indianapolis - Indy is certainly not a Super Bowl contender. But given that they were seven point underdogs at 4-7 Detroit, the betting markets aren’t even calling the Colts a playoff caliber team. Even with starting cornerback Vontae Davis back in the lineup following a four game injury absence, the pass defense spent all afternoon getting torched. Where's the pass rush? Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis were non-factors here.

The offensive line got dominated by Detroit’s front four for most of the afternoon. Andrew Luck was beaten up, taking one big hit after the next. Coming into the game with four fumbles and 10 INTs in five previous road games, Luck's emphasis was on ball security here. That emphasis didn’t work. He hit seven different receivers in the first half, but also threw a pair Read more


Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots Baltimore Ravens Houston Texans Teddy Covers



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