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NCAAF Handicapping: Buckeyes go with true frosh QB Miller
09.22.2011 11:23 AM
Printer Friendly
Colorado
at
Ohio State
-16.5 O/U 44.5
Ohio State head coach Luke Fickell announced that true freshman quarterback
Braxton Miller will start
Saturday’s game against Colorado. The Buckeyes went with senior Joe Bauserman their first three contests, but his 2-for-14, 13-yard performance against Miami (FL) gave the team little choice. Note that OSU will still be without the services of three starters. Following the announcement by Fickell, bettors bumped the Buckeyes up from -15 to -16.5. Jazz and Greek have the Buckeyes as 17-point favorites.
Tags:
College Football
Ohio State Buckeyes
Big Ten
Colorado Buffaloes
PAC-12
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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers
09.22.2011 09:15 AM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
Baltimore (Britton) +130 at Detroit (Turner) O/U 9
Recommendation: Baltimore
The betting markets are simply too hot on the Tigers these days. Detroit has won 15 of their last 18 overall and 25 of their last 32, including last night’s come-from behind win at Kansas City. But don’t expect maximum intensity from the Tigers on their final homestand of the season following their latest successful road trip. Manager Jim Leyland brought Doug Fister in for a relief role last night, looking to set up his rotation for the playoffs already.
“We have to get everything lined up for the playoffs.”
Slugger Miguel Cabrera echoed that sentiment:
“It’s going to be nice going home and getting ready for the playoffs.”
This team is, quite simply, not fully focused on tonight’s affair.
Meanwhile, the Orioles are playing inspired baseball down the stretch. In the last two weeks, they’ve beaten the Yankees twice, the Rays twice, the Angels twice and the Red Sox three times. Baltimore has a 7-2 mark in its last nine games, cashing as a big underdog in
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Tags:
MLB
Baltimore Orioles
Detroit Tigers
Teddy Covers
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NCAAF Handicapping: Vanderbilt Commodores at South Carolina Gamecocks
09.22.2011 07:45 AM
Alatex Sports
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports
Vanderbilt
at
South Carolina
(4 pm PT – ESPN2)
CRIS Opening Line:
South Carolina -15 O/U 51.5
CRIS Current Line:
South Carolina -16 O/U 50
Rob Veno Power Rating:
South Carolina -19
Teddy Covers Power Rating:
South Carolina -19.5
Brent Crow’s Betting Take:
Both teams enter 3-0 but you’ll likely find two completely different levels of satisfaction. Vanderbilt is absolutely thrilled with its start under first-year head coach James Franklin – even if the wins came against FBS Elon and two sub-par BCS teams, UConn and Ole Miss. At Vandy, 3-0 is 3-0, and the confidence among the coaches and players is soaring. On the other hand, South Carolina has been very sloppy in its three wins over East Carolina, Georgia and Navy. They’ve yet to play a full four quarters because of mistakes and squander
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SEC
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College Football ATS Notes: Washington's Price producing but banged up
09.21.2011 02:44 PM
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California
at
Washington
-1 O/U 58
Washington quarterback Keith Price has up until this point exceeded expectations with 691 yards passing, 11 touchdowns and three interceptions through three games. Unfortunately, he's
taken somewhat of a beating
and doesn't appear to be 100 percent heading into this week's PAC-10 home opener against California. The Huskies opened as 3-point favorites were bet down to as low as a pick 'em at some sportsbooks.
Price said this week his right knee is 90 percent healed, but that his left knee was just 40 or 50 percent healthy.
"I didn't know I was going to be this banged up," Price said. "And it hasn't even been on really big hits. I'm injuring myself."
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California Golden Bears
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PGA Tour FedExCup Playoffs Gambling Preview
09.21.2011 02:33 PM
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Submitted by
The final leg of the FedEx playoff tees off Thursday with The Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. Thirty players remain in the running for a massive payday; $1.44 million for winning the tournament, and a $10 million bonus for winning the FedExCup.
The math is simple for the top-5 players in the FedExCup playoff points standings: Win the tournament and you win the FedExCup and over $11.4M.
The top-5 players entering the tournament are below, along with their odds to win (Pinnacle)
Webb Simpson – 13-1
Dustin Johnson – 19-1
Justin Rose – 19-1
Luke Donald – 7-1
Matt Kuchar – 19-1
East Lake Golf Club plays up to 7,340 yards and is Par 70. A
hole-by-hole description
shows a distinguishing characteristic of the course in that it ends with a Par 3 of 235 yards; one of the most difficult closing holes on the PGA Tour. The 2009 and 2010 events were won with scores of 9-under and 8-under par, as the course has played tougher with more difficult greens since the conversion to Bermuda grass in 2008. Key stat for
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NCAAF Gambling Preview: Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas A&M Aggies
09.21.2011 01:39 PM
Otto Sports
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Submitted by Otto Sports
Oklahoma State
at
Texas A&M
(12:30 pm PT – ABC)
CRIS Opener:
Texas A&M -3
CRIS Current:
Texas A&M -5
Rob Veno Power Rating:
Texas A&M -0.5
Marty Otto’s Betting Take:
The Aggies certainly haven’t forgotten last year’s loss to Oklahoma State and it appears the betting markets haven’t either. Texas A&M has been bet up to as high as a 5-point favorite this week after opening -3. The revenge angle can be a bit overstated and overused in sports betting but I put some stock in it this week after reading some of these quotes:
"We've lost to them three games in a row, and that's a key game on our schedule," A&M head coach Mike Sherman said. "We've put a lot of effort into that in the offseason, to see exactly what they're doing, and how we can play better and coach
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Marty Otto
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NFL Handicapping: Fairway Jay Week 2 Betting Recap
09.21.2011 11:42 AM
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For over a decade, Fairway Jay has kept a proprietary database of statistical information and utilized relevant rushing numbers and statistical guidelines to better assist him in sports investing and providing pointspread winners
.
Week 2 NFL favorites went 13-3 SU and 8-7-1 ATS. For the season, betting favorites are 15-15-2 ATS. Last season betting favorites went 123-128-7 ATS (48%). A few close wins or losses could have the overall records slightly different based on closing lines and sportsbook. No division games in Week 2, and home underdogs went 2-4 SU and 3-2-1 ATS. For the season, home underdogs are 4-5 SU and 5-3-1 ATS. Totals had another big week for over bettors, going 10-5-1 O/U and for the season 22-8-2 O/U.
Teams that had a meaningful rushing advantage over their opponent (30 or more yards) went 3-6 ATS for the worst week in a decade of my keeping records. It was just the fifth losing week the last 10 years where teams with a meaningful rushing advantage posted a losing week overall. In Week 1, this rushing advantage resulted in a 9-0 ATS week, making the season 12-6 ATS. In fact, even more rare was the ATS record when rushing for at least
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College Football ATS Preview: Nebraska Cornhuskers at Wyoming Cowboys
09.20.2011 02:57 PM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Nebraska
at
Wyoming
(4:30 pm PT, Versus)
CRIS Opening Line:
Nebraska -23.5 O/U 56.5
CRIS Current Line:
Nebraska -23.5 O/U 59
Rob Veno Power Rating:
Nebraska -24
Andrew Lange’s Betting Take:
The past two weeks, my analysis on Nebraska has centered on focus or lack thereof. The team looked awfully stagnant in their Week 2 win over Fresno State and I chalked it up to testing out new schemes and trying to find an identity. But after last week’s lackluster non-spread covering win over Fresno State, my concerns are more than just the team’s mindset. Despite some so-so play from quarterback Taylor Martinez, the offense has at times looked sharp. Some of that was because they were able to just
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Wyoming Cowboys
Mountain West
Andrew Lange
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College Football ATS Notes: Dantonio says Michigan State will pound football
09.20.2011 12:27 PM
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Central Michigan
at
Michigan State
-24 O/U 49.5
Michigan State will be without
three offensive linemen
for Saturday's game against Central Michigan. Starting right tackle Skyler Burkland (ankle) is out for the year and starting center Blake Treadwell and reserve tackle Jared McGaha are both out with knee sprains.
Despite the injury concerns, head coach Mark Dantonio is not making any excuses. After rushing for 29 yards on 23 carries in the loss to Notre Dame, Dantonio made it clear that the Spartans are going to get back to pounding the football. Central Michigan's numbers look decent against the run (125.3 ypg) but none of its first three
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NCAAF Pointspread Preview: Central Florida Knights at BYU Cougars
09.20.2011 10:23 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Central Florida
at
BYU
(Friday, 5 pm PT – ESPN)
CRIS Opening Line:
BYU -3.5 O/U 43.5
CRIS Current Line:
BYU -2.5 O/U 43
Andrew Lange’s Betting Take:
BYU’s stock to a huge hit following last week’s blowout loss to rival Utah. The Cougars were outscored 40-0 in the second half and as a result, we are seeing what appears to be a heavily discounted price on Saturday’s matchup. Central Florida is a good team with athletes and speed, but traveling cross country to a tough environment where an outright win will likely be needed to cover the spread won’t be easy. Had BYU won or at least been competitive against Utah, I think we’d be seeing a -6 or even a full -7 on this game. But the reality
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Central Florida Knights
C-USA
Andrew Lange
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