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College Football ATS Analysis: Sun Belt has struggled as bowl game betting favorites

12.04.2012     11:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Some rarified air for the Sun Belt this bowl season with three favorites of -5 or more. UL-Lafayette, playing in its second bowl game in school history, is a 5.5-point favorite over East Carolina in the New Orleans Bowl. Western Kentucky is a 6-point favorite over Central Michigan in the Little Caesars Bowl. It marks the first-ever bowl for the Hilltoppers. Sun Belt champ Arkansas State is 5-point chalk over Kent State in the GoDaddy.com Bowl. And also making its first-ever postseason appearance in UL-Monroe who is a touchdown favorite over Ohio in the Independence Bowl.

Now is all four instances, on paper, the Sun Belt teams are deserving of being the chalk. The New Orleans is practically a home game for ULL. Central Michigan has to be the worst of all of the bowl entrants. Arkansas State outscored its last five opponents 218-103. And Monroe is playing an Ohio squad that lost four of five after starting the season 7-0. However, history shows us that the Sun Belt hasn't had a lot of success as postseason chalk. Dating back to 2008, SB schools have been favored six times and only once did they manage to cover the pointspread. And of those six games, the highest Read more



Tags: College Football UL-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Arkansas State Red Wolves UL-Monroe Warhawks Sun Belt




Las Vegas sportsbook betting kiosks compromised

12.04.2012     07:51 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Looks like some bettors took advantage of a few glitches in Leroy's betting kiosks.


The scheme, discovered during the NCAA men's basketball tournament in March, involved exploitation of a weakness in the kiosks. The schemer or schemers would repeatedly hit the deposit button on the kiosks immediately after inserting cash, causing the wagering account to be credited for twice the amount of cash inserted. This resulted in ''cash on hand'' shortages in the accounting journals for the affected kiosks, the regulatory complaint says.







Tags: Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: Looking at the contenders in the AFC

12.03.2012     09:49 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I spent the last few Sunday’s concentrating on some pretty bad football teams. It’s December now; time to shift my focus towards the other end of the spectrum. This week, I focused on four AFC Playoff contenders. Which teams have the potential to do some damage when January rolls around and which are frauds? Read on to find out!

Indianapolis - Indy is certainly not a Super Bowl contender. But given that they were seven point underdogs at 4-7 Detroit, the betting markets aren’t even calling the Colts a playoff caliber team. Even with starting cornerback Vontae Davis back in the lineup following a four game injury absence, the pass defense spent all afternoon getting torched. Where's the pass rush? Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis were non-factors here.

The offensive line got dominated by Detroit’s front four for most of the afternoon. Andrew Luck was beaten up, taking one big hit after the next. Coming into the game with four fumbles and 10 INTs in five previous road games, Luck's emphasis was on ball security here. That emphasis didn’t work. He hit seven different receivers in the first half, but also threw a pair Read more



Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots Baltimore Ravens Houston Texans Teddy Covers




Parlay bettor crushed following Eagles' meaningless punt return touchdown

12.03.2012     08:25 AM     Printer Friendly
We don't know whether these "bad beat" stories are true or not, but if this one is indeed accurate, it has to rank up there with one of the year’s worst. So this dude supposedly hits the first seven games of his eight-teamer heading into Sunday night's Dallas-Philadelphia game. For starters, it is one of the kookiest parlays we’ve ever seen; littered with point buying and two random moneyline underdogs. Anyway, he had Dallas -9.5, and the Cowboys were up 38-27 and punting with 40 seconds remaining in the game. Of course with this being the NFL (and Week 13), the Eagles took the punt to the house – Dallas won 38-33. The bettor stood to win $18K.




Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Dallas Cowboys




NFL Gambling Preview: Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans

11.30.2012     02:43 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Houston at Tennessee
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Tennessee
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Houston -4.5 O/U 48
CRIS Current: Houston -6.5 O/U 47

Houston is in their single worst spot of the entire season.  The Texans played an OT barnburner in Detroit last week, escaping with a hard fought three point win.  The previous week, the Texans pulled a ‘refuse-to-lose’ at home against the Jags, rallying from two TD’s behind in the fourth quarter for another OT win.  The week before that, the Texans were in a tough, physical game at Chicago in nasty, cold conditions that also was a one score game throughout.  That’s three consecutive ‘max effort’ games in a row.

Up next for Houston?  An AFC showdown at New England on Monday Night Football, with a chance to put themselves firmly in position for homefield edge throughout the playoffs.  In between those previous games and the Monday Read more



Tags: NFL Tennessee Titans Houston Texans Teddy Covers




College Football Handicapping: Bettors not eager to support Notre Dame

11.29.2012     07:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Las Vegas oddsmakers weigh in on the potential matchups for the BCS National Championship. The Wynn is offering lines on both Alabama-Notre Dame and Georgia-Notre Dame with little support coming in on the Irish. The Crimson Tide were bet up to a 10-point favorite while the Bulldogs moved from -1 to -3.5.


“Four days from now, we’ll be rooting for Georgia to upset the Alabama Crimson Tide,” William Hill sports books spokesman Jimmy Vaccaro predicted.

“After talking to some of the people who bet a lot on football, they don’t think that team is for real,” Wynn race and sports director Johnny Avello said of Notre Dame. “That’s their opinion. A lot of people just don’t believe in them. That’s the problem.”







Tags: College Football Alabama Crimson Tide Georgia Bulldogs SEC Notre Dame Fighting Irish




Tulsa AD named in sports betting investigation

11.28.2012     06:05 AM     Printer Friendly
Tulsa Atheltic Director Ross Parmley's name was brought up in association with the upcoming trial of Oklahoma City bookmaker Teddy Mitchell. Parmley reportedly made bets at an off-screen sportsbook and paid out and collected from Mitchell. According to the feds, Mitchell cashed a check from Parmley in 2009 for the eye-popping amount of $1,782. Parmley says he hasn't made a wager since early 2010.


Adams told The Oklahoman on Sunday that Mitchell “on the bookmaking aspect of it ... was just simply telling people to go on a particular website over in Costa Rica that in our opinion was legal.”

Adams said Tuesday, “It was all legal. Every bit of it was all legal.”












NFL Handicapping: Pittsburgh's Tomlin says Roethlisberger may play

11.27.2012     02:29 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Whoa.


"Right now, Charlie Batch is our quarterback."



Relax, Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin countered by saying that there is a chance Ben Roethlisberger – who threw at practice on Monday – will play Sunday against the Ravens. List him questionable all you want Steelers, you know damn well he’s playing.


"Ben threw the ball," Tomlin said. "He'll take steps maybe toward playing this week. We'll leave that door open. He's got a chance."

"It was a failure," he said. "Very rarely do you lose a game and can point to a few ares of failure for why you lost, but we turned the ball over and were penalized on offense. We talked all week about being backup quarterback friendly.

"Those things aren't quarterback friendly. I chiefly accept responsibility for the lack of ball security. That eliminated any chance for rhythm and success.

Read more



Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers Baltimore Ravens




NBA Betting Trends: San Antonio Spurs in tough spot after last night's OT win

11.26.2012     11:17 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Antonio -5.5 at Washington O/U 192.5

Strong betting trend at work tonight in the NBA with the San Antonio Spurs traveling to Washington. Since 2000, teams off overtime wins are 31-21 SU and 21-41-1 ATS when playing the following night as a favorite. On Sunday, the Spurs beat Toronto 111-106 in double OT. Tonight also marks San Antonio's four road game in six days. Head coach Gregg Popovich is noted for giving some of his veterans rest when fatigued. Tony Parker played 46 minutes against the Raptors while Tim Duncan logged 41 minutes (he played 40+ minutes only twice last season). The Spurs opened as an 8-point favorite but have been bet down to -5.5. 





Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Washington Wizards




College Football Handicapping: Conference championship early line moves

11.26.2012     08:03 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Taking a quick look at the early lines moves for this weekend's college football conference championships.

Big East - Louisville at Rutgers (Thursday)
After both teams lost last weekend, Thursday's matchups becomes the de facto title game. Rutgers opened -2.5 but was quickly bet up to -3 across the board.

MAC - Northern Illinois vs. Kent State (Friday at Detroit)
No regular season meeting as both teams finished unblemished in league play. Combined the two squads were 20-4 against the spread. Interesting to see if the market pushes this game off the dead number of 5. CRIS opened NIU -5 but a small move towards Kent bumped it down to -4.5. The rest of the market has held firm at -5.

PAC-12 - UCLA at Stanford (Friday)
Both teams met last week as Stanford jumped out to an early lead and cruised to a 35-17 victory. Note that the Bruins had already wrapped up the PAC-12 South prior to the contest – and are probably happy to be facing the Cardinal as oppose to Oregon. Stanford appears to be much improved since the move to quarterback Kevin Hogan who in four games has connected on 73% of Read more



Tags: College Football SEC PAC-12 Sun Belt C-USA Big Ten SEC Big East MAC



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