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December

21

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Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: A look back at NFL Week 6 action

10.15.2012     12:00 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
This week, I focused on five NFL teams that can only be described as disappointments through the first six weeks of the season. Here are my notes from their respective performances.

Tampa Bay - This pass defense spent the first month of the season getting torched. Now that secondary gets even weaker without their top playmaker, Aqib Talib, suspended for the next four games after violating the league's drug policy. The run defense, however, was stellar, lots of penetration up front, holding the NFL's leading rusher coming in to eight yards on seven carries in the first half and 40 yards for the game. It’s certainly helped that they were facing a bottom tier QB, allowing their defensive focus to be on stopping the ground game.

At times, it seems as is Josh Freeman is a weaker QB now than he was two years ago, when he inspired his teammates with a series of impressive, gutty, fourth quarter comebacks. This was the first game where Freeman really connected with his big play wideouts Mike Williams and Vincent Jackson, throwing a trio of touchdown passes. Love Read more


Tags: NFL Tampa Bay Buccaneers Kansas City Chiefs Oakland Raiders New York Jets Dallas Cowboys Teddy Covers




NCAAF Gambling Trends: Oregon is rare role of single-digit favorite vs. PAC-12

10.15.2012     11:42 AM     Printer Friendly
Oregon -9 at Arizona State

It isn't too often we see Oregon favored by single-digits in PAC-12 play. In fact, Thursday's game at Arizona State will mark just the fourth time since 2010. Dating back to 2009, the Ducks have a strong track record in this role at 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS.

Oregon Betting Results at -9.5 or less vs. PAC-12 2009-present
Date
Opponent
Score
Oregon Line
Oregon SU
Oregon ATS
9/26/09
vs. California
42-3
5.5
W
W
10/10/09
at UCLA
24-10
-4.5
W
W
10/24/09
at Washington
43-19
-9.5
W
W
10/31/09
vs. USC
47-20
+3
W
W
11/7/09
at Stanford
42-51
-6.5
L
L
11/21/09
at Arizona
44-41
-6
W
L
12/3/09
vs. Oregon State
37-33
-9.5
W
L
10/2/10
vs. Stanford
52-31
-7
W
W
10/30/10
at USC
53-32
-6.5
W
W
11/12/11
at Stanford
53-30
+3
W
W
10/18/12
at Arizona State
???
-9
???
???
Results
 
 
 
9-1
7-3

 



Tags: College Football Oregon Ducks Arizona State Sun Devils PAC-12




College Football Betting Update: Nevada's Fajardo downgraded to doubtful

10.12.2012     01:23 PM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Nevada at UNLV

According to Sports Options, Nevada quarterback Cody Fajardo has been downgraded to "doubtful" for Saturday's rivalry game against UNLV. Devin Combs would start in his place. Not one offshore sportsbook has posted a line on the game. In Vegas, it appears that the Wynn was willing to toss out a number, opening with Nevada -9.5 on Sunday night. Today we've seen the line drop from -8.5 to -7 as a result of Fajrado's status.





College Football Gambling: Nevada QB Fajardo remains questionable

10.10.2012     08:13 AM     Read more


Tags: College Football Nevada Wolf Pack UNLV Rebels Mountain West




College Football Gambling Preview: Tennessee Volunteers at Mississippi State Bulldogs

10.12.2012     07:39 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tennessee at Mississippi State
Brent Crow's Recommendation:
Mississippi State
Saturday, 6 pm PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
Mississippi State -2.5 O/U 53
CRIS Current: Mississippi State -3 O/U 57
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Mississippi State -4

Through five games, unbeaten Mississippi State has yet to be challenged but gets its biggest test of the season against Tennessee. The Bulldogs have beaten up on some weak teams this year; Kentucky, Auburn, South Alabama, Troy and Jackson State – none of which hold a candle to Tennessee offensively. MSU has forced 15 turnovers while committing just four, but that should be expected given the competition. They have been good but not great on offense, averaging just over 400 ypg despite playing two Sun Belt squads and FCS Jackson State.

The good news for Mississippi State is that Tennessee if far from a defensive juggernaut. The Vols’ Read more


Tags: College Football Tennessee Volunteers Mississippi State Bulldogs SEC Brent Crow




College Football Betting: Using ACCU-Stats in your weekly handicap

10.12.2012     06:50 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Around this time of year, Sportsmemo's ACCU-Stats become a big part of my handicapping arsenal. I won't make a bet or release a play to my clients without taking a peak at the matchup numbers. This week, I found three instances where I was interested in a particular side but the ACCU-Stats where not in my favor and I ended up passing. Let's take a look at what I discovered.

There are plenty of games each and every week where "spot/situation" wins out over "stats." And to me, Florida isn’t in the best of spots having to come up to Nashville to face Vanderbilt after defeating LSU. The strength of schedule for both teams is similar (Florida, 11th; Vanderbilt, 3rd) so I can put a bit more trust in the ACCU-Stats. As you can see, the Gators not only have an advantage in the run-game but a significant one. I'm not laying the -8.5 but those numbers kept me off the home underdog.

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Basic math got me intrigued with this game. Stanford beat USC and went up to Seattle laying -7 and lost outright to Washington. The Trojans meanwhile are laying nearly two touchdowns. Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




NFL Gambling Preview: Dallas Cowboys at Baltimore Ravens

10.11.2012     02:41 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Dallas at Baltimore
Teddy Covers' Recommendation:
Dallas
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Baltimore -4 O/U 45
CRIS Current: Baltimore -3.5 O/U 44

We last saw the Cowboys getting embarrassed at home on Monday Night Football in a turnover filled debacle of a loss against Chicago.  Tony Romo threw a career worst five interceptions in that ballgame; completely out of sync with big play receivers Dez Bryant, Kevin Ogletree and Miles Austin.  DeMarco Murray gained only 24 yards on eleven carries and the Cowboys defense couldn’t stop Jay Cutler.

At 2-2, the Cowboys certainly haven’t quit on their coach or their season.  Pro Bowl tight end Jason Witten: “This has to be a wake-up call for us…We're not going to quit. We're going to stay together. I believe we have the right people. Great leadership in Jason (Garrett). We'll get it turned around.”  The Cowboys should be much healthier off Read more


Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Baltimore Ravens Teddy Covers




NFL Betting Preview: New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks

10.11.2012     06:24 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New England at Seattle
Erin Rynning’s Recommendation:
Seattle
Sunday, 1 pm PT – CBS
CRIS Opener:
New England -4 O/U 44
CRIS Current: New England -3 O/U 44.5
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: New England -6

The Seahawks and Patriots will present an intriguing clash of styles on Sunday afternoon.  The 2012 Patriots offense is looking as good as ever, which is saying something considering how potent the unit has been over the years.  Quarterback Tom Brady is still the straw that stirs the drink running the fast paced unit with immense precision.  Importantly, the Patriots have found their running game averaging 165 yards per game on the ground.  However, the Seattle defense, and especially on their loud home turf, will create disruption for the Patriots offense.  Athletically the Seahawks defense can man-up not only up-front, but with their secondary as well.  The Seahawks own Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots Seattle Seahawks Erin Rynning




College Football Gambling Update: FIU's Medlock practiced on Tuesday and Wednesday

10.11.2012     06:00 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Middle Tennessee State -3 at Florida International O/U 57.5

Here's the most recent update on Florida International quarterback Jake Medlock. Medlock practiced on Tuesday and one beat writer used Fred G. Sanford as a way of describing his mobility. But after yesterday's practice, there was a far more positive outlook.


Quarterback Jake Medlock practiced Tuesday. Not much and, watching him come off the field as we waited to Read more



Tags: College Football Florida International Panthers Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Sun Belt




Not satisfied with 4-1 start and a healthy QB, Chicago Bears consider no-huddle

10.10.2012     07:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
You're 4-1 with wins by 20, 17, 16, and 38. Why mess with a good thing? Well for one, we're dealing with the Chicago Bears so common logic has a way of not always prevailing. Heading into the bye week, there are rumblings that the offense wants to use more no-huddle.


‘‘They give me two or three plays — a list of plays — and we have a package for each game that we like to go to,’’ Cutler said. ‘‘But you can catch defenses off guard, you really can, and you get into a rhythm if you’re a little stale, if you have a lot of three-and-outs, stuff like that, or you’re coming out of the half or after a turnover.’’

“[Quarterbacks] try to operate the game plan,” Tice said. ‘‘We did have some no-huddle the other day where we gave Jay some really, really good chances to do either-or, and I thought he did a great job with the no-huddle. We like him managing the no-huddle.”






Tags: NFL Chicago Bears




College Football Gambling: Florida International offense may return key players

10.09.2012     01:28 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Middle Tennessee State -3 at Florida International O/U 57

A few reports indicate that Florida International could get back starting quarterback Jake Medlock for Saturday's game against Middle Tennessee. Sports Options has Medloock’s status as “doubtful” but one FIU blog said that he practiced today and head coach Mario Cristobal said, “...looks like he’s got a good chance to be ready to go.” The Panthers could also return running backs Jeremiah Harden and Kendrick Rhodes.


“We haven’t found a way to overcome injuries,” coach Mario Cristobal said. “This game won’t slow down for you. That’s a new hurdle for us. In our body of work as a program, we’re always Read more



Tags: College Football Florida International Panthers Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Sun Belt



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