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Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: Early betting notes on college and pro football

08.06.2012     11:15 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Betting on the upcoming football season during the summer months is a long, drawn out process. The NFL lines begin the process beginning with odds posted just days after the Super Bowl for the next team to win it all.

Then come Week 1 NFL pointspreads and totals, NFL season Over/Under wins, NFL lines for Games of the Year and from the brave bookmakers at Cantor Gaming, every single game on the board for the entire season. Last to market come the NFL season long proposition wagers and Week 1 preseason lines.

The process in college football takes a bit longer; no surprise in that regard with 124 teams on the regular betting board compared to only 32 NFL teams. The process begins, like in the NFL, with the future book – odds to win it all – that come out soon after the BCS Championship Game has been played.

College football Game of the Year pointspreads and Over/Under win totals come next. Last, but not least, we see those Week 1 lines come out – the lines that signify that yes, summer is almost over!

Over the course of the past week, just about every major sportsbook both here in Las Vegas and offshore has posted their Week 1 Read more

Tags: College Football NFL Teddy Covers

College Football Gambling: Arizona State Sun Devils Season Over/Under Wins

08.06.2012     07:31 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Arizona State Sun Devils
Recommendation: Under 5 wins (-135 @5Dimes)

The Dennis Erickson era ended with a thud last season as Arizona State’s lofty preseason expectations eroded into a 6-7 record which culminated with an embarrassing 56-24 loss to Boise State in the Las Vegas Bowl. Ex-Tulsa and Pittsburgh head coach Todd Graham takes over the program which is heading into this fall camp much differently than last season. Unlike last August, when droves of college football followers were jumping on the ASU bandwagon and proclaiming them top 25 material, this summer is filled with skeptics and zero talk of a PAC-12 South title.

There are numerous reasons for the mass exodus of national support for this team but there are four in particular that have me feeling the Sun Devils will likely win even less games than last season.

Offensively it seems as if Arizona State is trying to jam the old square peg into a round hole by currently listing sophomore Mike Bercovici as their no. 1 quarterback heading into this campaign. Bercovici is a pure pocket passer in Graham’s run oriented spread option which obviously Read more

Tags: College Football Arizona State Sun Devils PAC-12 Rob Veno

NCAAF Handicapping: Florida Atlantic should be improved under Pelini

08.02.2012     01:12 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Let's be honest, if you need a stadium built Howard Schnellenberger is your guy. If you need to win football games and maintain a moderate level of success, it’s probably best to search elsewhere. Under Schnellenberger, Florida Atlantic transitioned quickly to the Sun Belt and peaked in 2007 and 2008 with back-to-back bowl berths. But then the program took a huge nose dive going 5-7, 4-8 and last season a woeful 1-11. Schnellenberger has since retired and the Owls scored former Nebraska defensive coordinator Carl Pelini. It doesn't take a genius to figure out that Pelini is looking for a quick turnaround so he can parlay it into a better coaching gig. As Schnellenger proved, there’s no better conference to do that than the Sun Belt. No question there is a lot of stink still left on the program but in the Sun Belt, playing hard and having discipline – two things FAU didn't do last season – is half the battle. New offense, new defense, new system to learn but FAU will be underdogs in nearly Read more

Tags: College Football Florida Atlantic Sun Belt

Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers' AFC South Gambling Preview

08.02.2012     12:43 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Houston Texans
After nearly a decade of trying to get over the hump, the Texans finally broke through last year, going 10-6, winning the AFC South and even winning a playoff game. All that despite an injury plagued season that saw many of their top players go down for extended stretches. 

Houston was a money winner for their supporters, thanks to a 9-5-2 ATS mark.  They outgained their opponents by 0.9 yards per play, tied for second best in the NFL, and finished with a +7 turnover margin.  The Texans were an Under team in 2011, cashing at a 10-6 clip.

But before we get carried away with all of the success, let’s not ignore that the Texans beat up on a very weak slate of opponents.  Houston faced third easiest schedule in the NFL based on my numbers – numbers based on my power rating of their opponents for the week that the game was played.

2012 Issues: Houston has fairly good continuity from last year to this year.  Head coach Gary Kubiak and both coordinators return, most notably defensive coordinator Wade Phillips.  Phillips took a defense that had been ranked dead Read more

Tags: NFL Houston Texans Jacksonville Jaguars Indianapolis Colts Tennessee Titans Teddy Covers

NFL Handicapping: Chicago Bears looking forward to post-Martz era

08.02.2012     07:40 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
So the Chicago Bears got rid of Mike Martz and the media is having a field day with all of the heavy petting going on between quarterback Jay Cutler and offensive coordinator Mike Tice. Check out these headlines...

Mike Tice's flexibility proves hit with Bears players‎

Tice, Cutler maintain open dialogue‎

Jay Cutler praises Mike Tice for open-mindedness‎

No Martz convinced TE Davis to return‎

Bears' flexible offense gets to work‎

In a comfort zone, Cutler poised for breakout season‎

We admit that things do look positive for Chicago’s offense heading into this season. Getting rid of Martz was probably a good move. A happy/healthy Jay Cutler is a potentially effective Jay Cutler. And Tice should be able to get more out of the Read more

Tags: NFL Chicago Bears

Betting Update: CRIS posts odds on entire Week 1 NFL Preseason card

07.30.2012     02:13 PM     Printer Friendly

Update: CRIS posted the entire Week 1 NFL preseason card. Here are the openers:

Washington at Buffalo -2 O/U 35 (dropped to Buffalo -1.5)
New Orleans at New England N/L
Pittsburgh at Philadelphia -3 O/U 34 (dropped to Philly -2.5)
Baltimore at Atlanta -2.5 O/U 34
Green Bay at San Diego -2.5 O/U 36.5 (total up to 37)
Denver at Chicago -2.5 O/U 34

Tampa Bay at Miami -3 O/U 33 (dropped to Miami -2.5)
NY Jets at Cincinnati -1.5 O/U 33
Cleveland at Detroit -4.5 O/U 36
NY Giants at Jacksonville -1 O/U 33.5
Arizona at Kansas City Read more

Tags: NFL

Offshore sportsbooks open New Orleans -3 for Sunday's Hall of Fame game

07.30.2012     01:22 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Over the weekend, most major offshore sportsbooks posted odds on this coming Sunday's NFL Hall of Fame Game between Arizona and New Orleans.

CRIS and Pinnacle opened New Orleans -3. In Las Vegas, LVH posted New Orleans -2.5 earlier today. Vegas newcomer William Hill opened New Orleans -3 (ev). Totals range from 34.5 to 35.

Tags: NFL New Orleans Saints Arizona Cardinals

Sunday MLB Free Betting Pick: New York Mets at Arizona Diamonbacks

07.29.2012     07:52 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports blog entry.
NY Mets (Dickey) at Arizona (Saunders)
Recommendation: New York 1st 5-inning and Game

New York will try to even the series in Arizona Sunday afternoon against the Diamondbacks. The Mets will send knuckleball master RA Dickey to the mound in this contest. We all know the motivating story by now, as Dickey will continue with his storybook season. The numbers speak for themselves with the right-hander showing a gaudy 13-2 record with a sweet 2.97 ERA to match. Of course, there’s nothing fluky about the number with Dickey striking out a batter per inning, and also garnering groundballs by the bushel full. Importantly, the roof at Chase Field will be closed for this game, which coincides with the perfect controlled environment the knuckleball specialist can thrive in. Finally, Dickey isn’t well known for these Snake batters. Meanwhile, left-handed Joe Saunders will climb the hill for the Diamondbacks. Saunders is what he is; a southpaw innings eater with a 5-6 record. He’s Read more

Tags: MLB New York Mets Arizona Diamonbacks Erin Rynning

Offshore sportsbooks begin offering Week 1 College Football odds

07.26.2012     12:04 PM     Printer Friendly
SBGGlobal decided the time was right to post Week 1 college football odds. Note that their opening day (Thursday, August 30) lines are the exact same as BetOnline (click the link for those lines). Here's what SBG has so far.

Friday, August 31
Tennessee -7 vs. NC State (@ Atlanta)
Boise State at Michigan State -7.5

Saturday, September 1
Notre Dame -14 vs. Navy (@ Dublin, Ireland)
Marshall at West Virginia -22
Southern Miss at Nebraska -17.5
Colorado vs. Colorado State -6 (@ Denver)
Clemson -3.5 vs. Auburn (@ Atlanta)
Michigan at Alabama -11

Sunday, Septmeber 2
Kentucky at Louisville -13

Monday, September 3
Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech -7.5


Tags: College Football

College Football Betting: Arizona State starting from scratch

07.25.2012     08:02 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
A lot of change this offseason for the Arizona State Sun Devils. After just one season, Todd Graham decided Pittsburgh wasn't for him. He takes over for Dennis Erickson who was fired at the end of the regular season. ASU is projected to have only eight returning starters (4 off, 4 def). Heading into fall camp, Graham seems eager to find a starting quarterback to run his new system. The Sun Devils are lined at 5un-135 wins according to 5Dimes.

"Here's the issue," Graham said. "We're running a new system. We got certain routes we're going to throw to certain guys. A lot of times, you can't (give reps to) more than one quarterback (in that situation), let alone three."

"And the other thing, too, is who can lead the troops down the field?" Graham said. "Those guys are good, all three of them. I'm not BS'ing. It doesn't do us any good to say it's a three-man race if it's not. They've trained their tails off over the summer. We're going to see what happens."

Tags: College Football Arizona State Sun Devils PAC-12


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