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January

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NFL Gambling Preview: San Diego Chargers at Philadelphia Eagles

09.13.2013     08:03 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Diego at Philadelphia
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Philadelphia -7 O/U 51.5
CRIS Current: Philadelphia -7 (-120) O/U 55
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Philadelphia -5.5
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Philadelphia

There’s no doubt that the Eagles offense is the flavor of the week this week. Head coach Chip Kelly’s innovative, extreme tempo system figures to be a lot for San Diego to handle, especially on a short work week. Couple those tasks with a cross country fight, an early 1:00 local time start, and their heart breaking season home opening loss to Houston and you instantly have a strong case for a fade. Defensive fatigue could also be a valid argument against the Chargers since Philadelphia is conditioned for their style and the entire nation saw Washington’s defense gassed in the first quarter last Monday night. A reenergized and rabid Eagles fan base will pack Lincoln Financial Field Read more



Tags: NFL San Diego Chargers Philadelphia Eagles Rob Veno




NFL Betting Stock Watch: Expect Dallas' mediocre ways to continue

09.13.2013     07:53 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sell the Dallas Cowboys – The Cowboys have been the poster boys for mediocrity in the NFL in each of the last two seasons with identical 8-8 records.  Obviously much more is expected but the franchise continues to underachieve.  Their underachieving ways are clearly noted in their ATS record of 12-20 over the prior two campaigns.  This season has much the same feel as the Cowboys are expected to fight for a playoff spot, however their leadership will fail to lead the way.  The management of the franchise continues to lack the cohesiveness and foresight to put things together on Sundays whether it’s the failings in the player personnel department or their in-game strategy.  The offense remains a question without an front five that can control the line of scrimmage over the course of the season.  The unit looked adequate Sunday night against the Giants, but a commanding lead eased the Giants' pass rush, which looked to be a notch down to begin with.  Other questions loom about 73-year-old defensive coordinator Monte Kiffin.  This was the strangest hire in the NFL off-season to begin with.  There’s Read more



Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Erin Rynning




College Football Betting Preview: Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Oklahoma Sooners

09.13.2013     07:11 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tulsa at Oklahoma
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN 2
CRIS Opener:
Oklahoma -28 O/U 49
CRIS Current: Oklahoma -24.5 O/U 49.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oklahoma -23
Andrew Lange's Recommendation: Oklahoma -14 1st half

Oklahoma's offense has looked pretty pedestrian thus far following the departures of quarterback Landry Jones and key wide receivers Kenny Stills and Justin Brown to the NFL. Trevor Knight was named the team's Week 1 starter but has been ruled out leaving Blake Bell in charge for Saturday's game against Tulsa. I'm not expecting the Sooners to march the ball up and down the field like we've seen in years past but I think this serves as good opponent and situation (bye week upcoming) for some offensive success. Tulsa currently has only two returning starters on its stop unit and we saw both Bowling Green (233 yards) and Colorado State (178) have success against the Golden Hurricane on the ground. Read more



Tags: College Football Tulsa Golden Hurricane C-USA Oklahoma Sooners Big XII Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Preview: Ole Miss Rebels at Texas Longhorns

09.12.2013     07:57 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Mississippi at Texas
Saturday, 5 pm PT
CRIS Opener:
Texas -3.5 O/U 65
CRIS Current: Texas -2.5 O/U 64.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Texas -1
Brent Crow's Recommendation: Mississippi

Much has been made of the firing of Texas defensive coordinator Manny Diaz and the hiring of Greg Robinson to fill his post. Obviously, Mack Brown has a problem with his defense and the hiring of Robinson, who we last saw having terrible results as Michigan’s defensive coordinator under Rich Rodriguez, isn’t likely to fix things. Texas allowed 29.2 ppg last year, giving up 404 yards per game, which was an increase of 7 ppg and 98 ypg over 2011. After BYU ran through them for 559 yards on the ground last week, the decision was made to fire Diaz and hire Robinson, who has supposedly been watching video of the Horns from his home in Los Angeles.

Robinson will have all of three practices to get the Horns Read more



Tags: College Football Ole Miss Rebels SEC Texas Longhorns Big XII Brent Crow




NFL Gambling Preview: Denver Broncos at New York Giants

09.11.2013     12:13 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Denver at New York Giants
Sunday, 1:25 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Denver -6 O/U 52.5
CRIS Current: Denver -4 O/U 54.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Denver -3
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Over

The betting markets aren’t used to NFL totals in the mid-50’s.  And there’s a significant sentiment among sharp bettors that NFL totals this high are one-way-only bets – they’re either taking the Under, or passing on the total.  A decade ago, I was one of those bettors who wouldn’t touch anything Over 52 in this league.  But in the modern NFL, that’s a flawed strategy, in my opinion.
Look no further than the TV games from last week.  We had five national TV games on opening weekend: Broncos – Ravens, 49ers – Packers, Giants – Cowboys, Redskins – Eagles and Chargers – Texans.  All five FLEW over the total, by 27, 15, 17, 8 and 15 Read more



Tags: NFL Denver Broncos New York Giants Teddy Covers




College Football Betting: Week 3 Injury Report

09.11.2013     11:59 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Louisiana Tech sophomore running back Kenneth Dixon enjoyed a banner freshman campaign, rushing for 1,194 yards and 27 touchdowns while averaging 6.0 yards per carry. Dixon sustained a knee injury in last week’s 27-14 win over Lamar and he’s questionable Thursday night vs. Tulane. Even if Dixon can’t go, I don’t know that bettors should downgrade Tech’s offense. Before Dixon became the starter last season, fellow freshman Tevin King started three games and rushed for 369 yards and five TDs. King, who averaged 8.0 ypc before suffering a season-ending injury, replaced Dixon when he went down last week. He responded by exploding for 182 yard rushing on 20 carries. As of early Wednesday, most books had the Bulldogs favored by -7.5 over the Green Wave.

TCU senior quarterback Casey Pachall is out until at least late October with a forearm injury. Therefore, sophomore signal caller Trevone Boykin will get the starting nod Thursday night at Texas Tech. Boykin started nine games as a redshirt freshman in 2012. He threw for 2,054 yards with a 15/10 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Boykin also rushed for 417 yards and three TDs. In relief of Pachall in Read more



Tags: College Football Brian Edwards




College Football Gambling: USC's issues may also be in the locker room

09.11.2013     08:25 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Every year, there are always one or two teams that have issues with players and coaching staffs (often lame duck head coaches) not being on the same page. This typically doesn't occur however until late in the season following a bad loss or when preseason expectations fall way short. It is well documented that USC has had on-field issues, particularly at the quarterback position, but considering last year's debacle, this is a potentially toxic situation that could – or has – lead to a divided locker room. News recently came out that following the loss to Washington, star wide receiver Marqise Lee told reporters that there would be a "players only" meeting. Lane Kiffin denied it took place and later said those types of things are essentially a waste of time. As bettors we're trained to err on the side of caution when it comes to stories that are often inflated by the media – this perhaps being an example. But we're dealing with a very opinionated coach at a school where expectations are very high. The loss Read more



Tags: College Football USC Trojans PAC-12




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings Week 3

09.11.2013     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I think we’re getting closer to capturing the market. Not quite there yet. There were fewer head scratchers this week when comparing the transitions from last week.

It may be a mess for awhile in the 45-65 range because of volatility. A 55 may play like a 48 against quality but a 57 against other mid-50 teams. College sports are always messy because of the sheer volume of teams, and the fact that kids are inconsistent from week to week.

If you’re new to the site, these aren’t my “personal” ratings for all the teams. I’m not following college football nearly closely enough to have any real sense of probably the bottom 80 yet. This is my guess at how the market has the teams rated. I create “couplets” each week that match the Vegas spread (allotting 3 points for home field advantage), then I try to figure out where that couplet goes within the big scale. Over a few weeks, it’s not hard to hone in on a fairly good Read more



Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




NFL Handicapping: Kelly wants Eagles to play faster

09.11.2013     06:52 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
According to Philadelphia Eagles head coach Chip Kelly, the offense was slow during Monday night's win over Washington. In the first half, Philadelphia ran a staggering 53 plays (a snap every 22.5 seconds) before slowing down with a lead after the break. The betting markets are buying into Kelly's wishes: The total for Sunday's game vs. San Diego went from 51.5 to as high as 55. Two telling quotes from Kelly and his quarterback Michael Vick. Kelly says the offense needs to go faster whereas Vick flat out said it was going to be a "long season" – not sure if he means the ups and downs of adjusting to Kelly's style or that he's mentally prepared to be on injured reserve by Week 4.


"I've never been a part of anything like this," Michael Vick said, via TheMMQB.com. "When the first quarter was over, I thought we were about to go into halftime. Unreal. The only thing I could tell myself was, 'It's going to be a long season.'"

"I felt like it was slow, to be honest with you,"

Read more



Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles




NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 1

09.10.2013     03:11 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cause for concern for the defending champs
Most people knew there would be an adjustment period for the Baltimore Ravens after many changes during the offseason but the holes were very much evident following their humbling 49-27 season opening loss in Denver. The Ravens offense had a solid first half but simply died from the moment that both starting right tackle Michael Oher and receiver Jacoby Jones left the game with injuries. Oher’s injury isn’t serious but Jones will be sidelined for approximately 4-6 weeks with a sprained MCL. From that point of the game, the Ravens offense stalled repeatedly. Denver keyed in on the ground game and shut down running backs Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce. Meanwhile, players like Dallas Clark and Ed Dickson proved they were not ready to step up and fill the production void left by the injuries to Jones and Dennis Pitta as well as the departed Anquan Boldin. That allowed Denver to focus their attention defensively on Torrey Smith and nobody else was able to step up for the Ravens in the receiving corps. Clark and Dickson both dropped multiple passes thrown to them by Joe Flacco. Baltimore’s secondary also Read more



Tags: NFL Ian Cameron



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