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December

8

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NFL Betting Recap: More ugly TNF as San Francisco rolls over St. Louis

09.27.2013     07:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

There was a lot of talk in cyberspace today about how lousy Thursday Night NFL games have been. Figured I’d spend some time during a lousy first half logging what’s been happening in recent years. How do you define a “good” game for TV purposes? Everybody loves high scoring thrillers…but that shouldn’t be the standard every game has to live up to. I settled on these:

*Decided by one score (final margin is 8 points or less)

*Goes Over the Las Vegas total

*Ignore season openers because those have extended preparation time

NY Jets/New England two weeks ago was a close game at 13-10. But, it was still a pretty horrible game in terms of offensive execution. Entertainment usually means points on the board. So, I was looking for a combination of drama and production in a Thursday Night NFL game where teams only had three days to prepare. General run-of-the-mill Thursday Night football games on the NFL Read more



Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers St. Louis Rams




College Football Gambling: West Virginia to start Trickett vs. Oklahoma State

09.27.2013     07:07 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oklahoma State -19 at West Virginia O/U 58

West Virginia will start its third different quarterback in four weeks with Clint Trickett getting the nod for Saturday's home tilt against Oklahoma State. Trickett transferred from Florida State. He last saw extended time during the 2011 campaign when he filled in for an injured EJ Manuel. It's pretty apparent that Ford Childress wasn't the answer so the move to Trickett is perhaps a welcomed sight for a struggling WVU offense.




Tags: College Football West Virginia Mountaineers Oklahoma State Cowboys Big XII




College Football Handicapping: Week 5 Injury Report

09.26.2013     12:27 PM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Florida senior defensive tackle Dominique Easley was lost for the season when he tore his ACL at Tuesday’s practice on a non-contact play. Easley was en route to garnering first-team All-American honors and a spot early in the first round of the NFL Draft. His loss will certainly hurt but if there’s a bright side, UF’s defensive line has incredible depth. This injury comes on the heels of starting quarterback Jeff Driskel’s season-ender in the win over Tennessee. Driskel underwent successful surgery on his broken tibia Wednesday and will most likely be granted a medical redshirt. Tyler Murphy, a junior who was a two-star recruit and saw five different quarterbacks take snaps before him during his career, played well against the Vols. He will make his first career road start Saturday at Kentucky.

Arkansas quarterback Brandon Allen, who has a 5/1 touchdown-to-interception ratio, sat out last week’s 28-24 loss at Rutgers. As of Thursday morning, Allen remained ‘doubtful’ (bruised shoulder) for Saturday’s home date vs. Texas A&M. Due to his uncertain status, there still wasn’t a line available. A.J. Derby is expected Read more



Tags: College Football Brian Edwards




NFL Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings - Week 4

09.26.2013     06:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Updating our estimate of how “the market” currently has NFL teams rated on a Power Rating scale…

Estimated NFL Market Power Ratings

87: Seattle, Denver

85: Green Bay

84: New Orleans (at home)

83: San Francisco, New Orleans (road)

82: New England

81: Houston, Atlanta, Cincinnati, Dallas

80: Chicago, Miami, Baltimore, Indianapolis

79: Philadelphia, Kansas City, Detroit

78: Carolina, Washington

77: Tennessee, St. Louis, Arizona, NY Giants

76: San Diego, Pittsburgh, NY Jets, Tampa Bay (with Glennon)

75: Minnesota

74: Cleveland (with Hoyer)

73: Buffalo (seemingly docked because Spiller is hobbled)

72: Oakland (with Flynn)

69: Jacksonville

I think some of the goofy things we talked about a week ago have been rectified. Some of those were rectified over the weekend when sharps hit Baltimore hard late vs. Read more



Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Preview: Wisconsin Badgers at Ohio State Buckeyes

09.25.2013     01:25 PM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wisconsin at Ohio State
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Ohio State -7.5 O/U 53.5
CRIS Current: Ohio State -6.5 (-120) O/U 54.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Ohio State -6.5
Marty Otto's Recommendation: Over

It will be 8 pm local time in Columbus when the Buckeyes and Badgers play in front of 100,000 screaming fans at “The Shoe” in what shapes up as one of the biggest games of the weekend. ABC will have the coverage as these two Big Ten heavyweights look to take an early stronghold on the Leaders Division.

Wisconsin’s Gary Andersen is in his first year at the helm having come in from Utah State. His Aggies teams were stellar against the number when installed as road dogs going 14-2 ATS in that role during his tenure. He seems like a great fit here for the Badgers and his blue collar approach and willingness to lean on a three-headed monster of a running game should Read more



Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten Otto Sports




College Football Betting Preview: Oklahoma Sooners at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

09.25.2013     01:12 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oklahoma at Notre Dame
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - NBC
CRIS Opener:
Oklahoma -2.5 O/U 48.5
CRIS Current: Oklahoma -3 (-120) O/U 48.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oklahoma -1.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Notre Dame

Last year, Notre Dame’s 30-13 upset win at Oklahoma as 13-point underdogs set the stage for its impressive run through November into the BCS Championship.  It was a tight game most of the way, with Notre Dame taking advantage of a pair of Sooner penalties that wiped potential touchdowns off the board. The Fighting Irish defense hung tough in the red zone, forcing field goals as opposed to allowing touchdowns.  And Oklahoma suffered a couple of bad snaps from center that killed key drives, not atypical of the miscues that plagued them in both regular season losses.

Now Oklahoma gets their chance for revenge in South Bend, and the betting markets clearly expect them Read more



Tags: College Football Oklahoma Sooners Big XII Notre Dame Fighting Irish Teddy Covers




Sports Betting Podcast 9-25-2013 with Handicappers Sammy P and Erin Rynning

09.25.2013     10:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Sammy P and Erin Rynning. Sam preview the upcoming NHL campaign and gave out a special offer for his Full Season Package. ER recapped Week 4 College Football (Big Ten, PAC-12).

Today's segments
Full Show

Sammy P - NHL Preview (Special Offer)

Erin Rynning - CFB Week 4 Recap: Big Ten, PAC-12

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: NHL College Football PAC-12 Big Ten Sammy P Erin Rynning




College Football Handicapping: Early line moves for Week 5

09.25.2013     07:36 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Let’s take a look at some of the early line moves for this week’s college football action.

UConn at Buffalo
CRIS Opener: UConn -2.5
CRIS Current: Buffalo -1
Comment: Buffalo comes in off of a bye week. UConn hung tough against Michigan but a lot of it had to do with the Wolverines committing four turnovers.

UAB at Vanderbilt
CRIS Opener: Vanderbilt -23
CRIS Current: Vanderbilt -19.5
Comment: Oddsmakers and bettors don't seem to be on the same page when it comes to the Commodores. Last week against UMass, Vandy opened -36, closed -29 and the Minutemen covered rather easily.

Iowa at Minnesota
CRIS Opener: Minnesota -3.5
CRIS Current: Iowa -1
Comment: Gophers off to a strong 4-0 start but have yet to be tested. If Minny goes off as the favorite it will mark the first time doing so vs. a Big Ten opponent since 2009.

Arizona at Washington
CRIS Opener: Washington -7
CRIS Current: Washington -10
Comment: Arizona comes in off a bye week but has played arguably the softest schedule in the country: Northern Arizona, Read more



Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Power Ratings as of 9/24/2013

09.24.2013     12:02 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I think most of you reading this know the drill by now. What you see below is my estimate of how “the market” has college football teams rated at this point in the season. And, by “the market,” I mean the combination of oddsmakers and sharps (leaving out the often-misguided public as best as possible). These are based on the current pointspreads at writing time, allotting 3 points for home field advantage.

This isn’t how I personally rate the teams. It’s my estimate of “market Power Ratings” if they existed in a tangible form.

An early number came up in Las Vegas last week for a hypothetical matchup between Alabama and Oregon. That line was Alabama -3, which represents how oddsmakers would rate the game. What would sharps do once big limits were available on a game like that? My scale estimates that sharps would take Oregon. They seem to be betting Oregon hand over fist this year…and Alabama is struggling to play Read more



Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




NFL Betting Recap: Denver Broncos drill Oakland Raiders

09.24.2013     07:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Numbers and notes from Denver’s easy win over Oakland…

Denver 37 (-16), Oakland 21

Oakland: 342 yards, 6.7 per-play, 1 turnovers, 42% third downs

Denver : 536 yards, 7.3 per-play, 3 turnovers, 56% third downs

Other Numbers

Rushing Yards: Oakland 49, Denver 164

Passing Stats: Oakland 21-31-0-293, Denver 32-37-0-372

Drive Points: Oakland 14, Denver 21

Stat Score: Oakland 17, Denver 31

Sloppiness: Oakland 15, Denver 10

Pace Factor: 147 (offensive plays…plus penalties…plus punts…plus FG attempts)

You can tell that Peyton Manning was doing whatever he wanted to. What a passing line! His teammates kept fumbling the ball away. That plus some relaxation from the defense is how a 30-7 third quarter clubbing turned into a finish that put the game near the Vegas spread. Oakland’s offensive numbers were helped by that extended garbage time. Read more



Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Denver Broncos Stat Intelligence



79

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December

8


 
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