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College Basketbal Betting Free Play: Alabama Crimson Tide at Missouri Tigers

01.08.2013     06:59 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Alabama at Missouri -9 O/U 133
Recommendation: Missouri


If you look at Alabama's in SEC play last year, they didn't lose a game by more than 10 points despite going 9-7. But the Crimson Tide were a different team in part because they had JaMychal Green and Tony Mitchell on the front line. Even on off shooting nights, Bama's defense always kept them in the games. Green and Mitchell are obviously gone and while Alabama still defends, they simply aren't as strong. Tonight they go on the road to face Missouri with six freshmen and sophomores. We saw this team absolutely wilt under the pressure of VCU's press (16 turnovers, 39% FGs). They return guard Andrew Steele who will certainly help but reports indicate that he is not 100%. Missouri isn't as frenetic as VCU but they'll undoubtedly extend their pressure and they also have the size up front to force Alabama to shoot from the outside. It is a long season, but Alabama's home losses to Mercer and Tulane are big red Read more



Tags: College Basketball Alabama Crimson Tide Missouri Tigers Andrew Lange




College Basketball Handicapping: Oddsmakers, bettors overvalue Pittsburgh Panthers

01.07.2013     01:38 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Everyone knows Ken Pomeroy has a huge impact of the betting markets. Rarely do we see pointspreads or totals stray too far from Pomery's "predictions" unless there is a significant injury. But one ranking in particular has caught my eye. Last season, Pittsburgh finished 63rd (22-17, 5-13 Big East) in Pomeroy's rankings. Given Pitt's history of success and returning talent, the Panthers opened the year ranked 22nd – a mark that seemed fairly reasonable. But for whatever reason, Pitt skyrocketed up the rankings despite playing a soft, home friendly schedule. Heading into December 19th's game against Delaware State, the Panthers were 5th, despite playing one legitimate opponent; Michigan, on a neutral court and the Wolverines won 67-62. There were a handful of decent foes like Lehigh, Delaware and Detroit, but those games were at home and Pitt as expected won rather easily.

So then Big East play started and despite its very limited resume, Pitt closed as a 6-point home favorite over Cincinnati – a game the Bearcats won outright 70-61. Then last weekend, the Panthers took to the road to face Rutgers and were getting bet like people already knew the Read more



Tags: College Basketball Pittsburgh Panthers Georgetown Hoyas Andrew Lange




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Analyzing the AFC's Final Four

01.07.2013     08:02 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With three more NFL playoff weekends still ahead of us, there are eight teams still standing; the top quartile of the league. This week, I’m going to write about all eight of those teams; assessing their respective chances for a trip to the Super Bowl. But first, it’s time for a brief history lesson for the Divisional Round of the playoffs.

If you’re looking for active trends for next weekend’s round of the playoffs, you’re not going to find much when it comes to sides. Over the past ten years, the rested team has only gone 17-23 ATS in this round, but we’ve seen some dramatic swings. From 2006-2008, the teams coming off a bye went only 2-10 ATS in this round. In 2009, the teams coming off their bye went 3-1 ATS. In each of the last two years, it’s been a 2-2 ATS split. In other words, there’s not much of a trend.

It’s a similar story with totals. Over the last ten years, there’s no prevailing trend to report, with 21 Unders compared to 19 Overs. But over the last two years, it’s 7-1 to the Over. In the two years before that, it was 6-2 to the Under. In the two years prior to that, Overs and Unders Read more



Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Houston Texans Denver Broncos New England Patriots Teddy Covers




Big weekend for Las Vegas bettors and sportsbooks

01.04.2013     12:59 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Las Vegas sportsbooks gear up for a big weekend starting with Saturday's two NFL Wild Card matchups and ending Monday with the BCS National Championship.


“The national championship game will be equivalent to the pro games for us,” Wynn Las Vegas Race and Sports Director John Avello said. “Normally, the pro games are bigger, but this year they’re all going to be big writes.”

“I’d suggest that game will be the biggest turning point of the weekend,” Vaccaro said. “I’m almost sure we’ll need Minnesota, but not because of straight bets. The Packers will be tied into every parlay and teaser.”

“People who are betting Alabama are going to lay the 9.5 points,” Vaccaro said. “But there are a lot of people who would just rather root for Notre Dame to win. We’ve gotten a little attacked on the Notre Dame moneyline. That’s what we’re seeing so far, and I think that could be what we keep seeing.”






Tags: College Football NFL Las Vegas




GoDaddy.com Bowl Betting Preview: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Kent State Golden Flashes

01.04.2013     12:14 PM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

copy_bowl_preview_2011.jpg

GoDaddy.com Bowl - Mobile, Ala.
Sunday, January 6, 6 pm PT - ESPN
Arkansas State vs. Kent State
CRIS Opener:
Arkansas State -3 O/U 61
CRIS Current: Arkansas State -4 O/U 61
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Arkansas State -0.5

The last of the mid major bowls kicks off on Sunday, the final game of what should be an exciting day’s worth of football. While it’s definitely not as exciting as the NFL Playoffs, as a standalone primetime game it should garner some attention. The GoDaddy.com Bowl takes place in Mobile which is notorious for its rain —in fact it’s the wettest city in the United States—but the preliminary forecast calls for a dry evening so totals bettors shouldn’t have to worry about poor conditions.

Both Arkansas State and Kent State like to run the football. The Golden Flashes rank 15th in the country in rushing yards per Read more



Tags: College Football Arkansas State Red Wolves Sun Belt Kent State Golden Flashes MAC Otto Sports




College Basketbal Betting Free Play: Northern Colorado Bears at Weber State Wildcats

01.03.2013     08:16 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Northern Colorado at Weber State -13
Recommendation: Weber State


Northern Colorado has played a brutal schedule; one a lot of Big Sky teams would struggle with. But unfortunately for the Bears, traveling to Weber State tonight isn't much of a step down in class. I've been chomping at the bit to step in and support UNC but they've been on the road for nearly the entire non-conference and aren't good enough to compete with strong teams on the highway. The storyline for Northern Colorado is really a simple one. Yes, they were extremely young last year but they led the  country in three-point shooting at a staggering 45.1% and seventh in effective FG% at 55.1% and despite all that, they won nine games and were 5-11 in Big Sky play. This year, they are shooting only 30.5% from three and as a result have beaten only one DI team. Now they aren't going to shoot 30% all season but they just so happen to be facing one of the best three-point shooting Read more



Tags: College Basketball Northern Colorado Bears Weber State Wildcats Andrew Lange




College Football Handicapping: Ole Miss offense struggles in practice

01.03.2013     07:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi -3 O/U 52

A couple of notes on Ole Miss as it prepares for Saturday's Compass Bowl against Pittsburgh. It sounds as if the cold weather hindered the offense in practice, in particular the quarterbacks. The mid-week forecast calls for game time temps in the high 40s to low 50s. It was also pointed out that Bo Wallacce’s shoulder and arm strength still was not 100 percent despite some extended rest.


“Bo (Wallace) was not himself today, Barry (Brunetti) and all the quarterbacks,” coach Hugh Freeze said. “The ball is a little harder, slicker and for receivers and specialists it certainly was a different game.”

“I think it’s about the same,” Freeze said. “I think you’ll see the same guy hopefully you saw against State.

Read more



Tags: College Football Ole Miss Rebels SEC Pittsburgh Panthers Big East




College Basketball Handicapping: Midseason conference title probabilities

01.02.2013     08:10 AM     Printer Friendly
Using 2012's results, Ken Pom ran a bunch of simulations to come up with the probability of each regular season conference champ.

ACC - Duke 87.97%
America East - Stony Brook 44.43%
Atlantic-10 - VCU 63.64%
Atlantic Sun - Florida Gulf Coast 44.99%
Big East - Louisville 57.85%
Big Sky - Weber State 74.81%
Big South - NC Asheville 38.30%
Big Ten - Read more



Tags: College Basketball




Rose Bowl Gamling Preview: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Stanford Cardinal

12.31.2012     11:43 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

copy_bowl_preview_2011.jpg

Rose Bowl - Pasadena, Calif.
Tuesday, January 1, 2 pm PT - ESPN
Wisconsin vs. Stanford
CRIS Opener:
Stanford -6 O/U 47.5
CRIS Current: Stanford -6 O/U 47
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Stanford -3.5

Wisconsin’s season might seem never ending to some.  They’ve gone through three starting quarterbacks, fired their offensive line coach after a couple of games, lost three games in overtime, and somehow played in the Big Ten title game, blowing out Nebraska 70-31.  Oh yeah, head coach Brett Bielema left for Arkansas shortly after their Big Ten title win, and now program granddaddy, Barry Alvarez, is back to coach the ‘Granddaddy of Them All’, the Rose Bowl.  Of course, Alvarez is the one with all the Rose Bowl wins for the Badgers in 1994, 1999 and 2000.  This will be the Badgers’ third straight trip to the Rose Bowl, while Bielema Read more



Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten Stanford Cardinal PAC-12 Erin Rynning




Gator Bowl Betting Preview: Northwestern Wildcats vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

12.31.2012     11:29 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

copy_bowl_preview_2011.jpg

Gator Bowl - Jacksonville, Fla.
Tuesday, January 1, 9 am PT - ESPN2
Northwestern vs. Mississippi State
CRIS Opener:
Mississippi State -3 O/U 52
CRIS Current: Northwestern -2 O/U 53.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Mississippi State pk

Northwestern overachieved this season getting to a January 1st bowl game.  They were expected to be a middle of the pack Big Ten team, while trying to replace many starters from last year’s team.  However, times have changed for the Wildcats as they’ll play in their fifth straight postseason.  The Wildcats will certainly be motivated as they’ve lost nine straight bowl games with their last win coming in 1949.  The current bowl run is evident in their recruiting and talent on the football field.  This is an athletic team and while not quite on the SEC’s level, a player like Kane Colter is a Read more



Tags: College Football Northwestern Wildcats Big Ten Mississippi State Bulldogs SEC Erin Rynning



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