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September

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NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 5

10.09.2013     07:41 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Breaking Down the Undefeated and Winless ATS Teams
The list of winless and undefeated ATS teams continues to shrink after Week 5 of the season. Denver and Seattle were the two remaining undefeated teams but both came up short from an ATS perspective. However, there are still four teams looking for their first pointspread win of the season as we head into Week 6. Those teams are Houston, Jacksonville, and the New York Giants at 0-5 ATS along with Pittsburgh at 0-4 ATS.

The Giants, Jaguars, and Steelers have all failed to win a game straight up while the Texans are 2-3. New York will attempt to snap their SU and ATS winless streak in Chicago playing on a short week against a Bears team that has dropped their last two games. It doesn’t help the Giants have three major flaws right now. They can’t take care of the football, they can’t block up front, and their secondary has been ripped apart by each opponent they’ve faced.
Jacksonville finds itself involved this week in the largest pointspread in NFL history as they opened as 28-point underdogs against the Denver Broncos. The next largest spread was when the Pittsburgh Read more



Tags: NFL Ian Cameron




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC News and Notes from Week 5

10.07.2013     07:09 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: NFC thoughts and opinions from Week 5.

Chicago Bears - Chicago entered the game with only six sacks on the season, a notable weakness on a defense that's heavily reliant on creating turnovers. They got a little bit of pressure on Drew Brees here, but not enough. The Bears played a lot of Cover-2 today and it gave the Saints fits for a while, forcing Brees into dink-and-dunk’ mode. But Sean Payton made play calling adjustments, and Chicago’s defense didn’t adjust back, leaving Jimmy Graham in store for a huge afternoon.

Marc Trestman was a pointspread monster during his tenure with the Montreal Alouettes in one role in particular: coming off a loss. In his first NFL try in that same role, that success did not translate.

For the second straight week, this rebuilt offensive line got eaten up for extended stretches. Jay Cutler was under constant pressure and Matt Forte had no room to run. Even Read more



Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Arizona Cardinals Green Bay Packers Dallas Cowboys New Orleans Saiints Seattle Seahawks Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: First half over/under totals trends

10.02.2013     01:57 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Three weeks ago this blog was used to discuss the popularity of first half and halftime betting with the focus being placed on individual college team totals results. Here, I’m going to re-visit the first half/halftime theme but this will be an examination NFL team results. With one fourth of the season completed for 30 of the 32 teams, there are three that have been extreme moneymakers in first half over/under wagers posting perfect 4-0 records. While the perfection may not continue for an entire season, these teams may be indicating early on how their results are going to tilt for the majority of this season. Maybe a shift is in the works, but either way, here’s a look at what has occurred and what might be on the horizon.

Chicago Bears – The Bears have rewarded any and everybody who has played them to go over the total in the first half of each of their contests. The perfect 4-0 first half O/U record can be partially attributed to the success of their new offense implemented by first year head coach Mark Trestman. Chicago has scored at least 13 points in three of their first halves and averaged 17.75 per game. That’s a recipe Read more



Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Minnesota Vikings New York Giants Rob Veno




NFL Gambling Preview: Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions

09.29.2013     07:14 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Chicago at Detroit
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Detroit -3 O/U 47
CRIS Current: Detroit -3 O/U 47.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Chicago -0.5
Erin Rynning's Recommendation: Under

So far, so good for the 3-0 Chicago Bears and new head coach Marc Trestman.  It hasn’t exactly been pretty with come from behind wins against the Bengals and Vikings and outgained by the Steelers by over 200 yards last Sunday night.  However, with their perfect record the Bears are buying what Trestman is selling.  A big key has been the look of their quick hitting West Coast offense under the direction of quarterback Jay Cutler. While many Chicago coordinators have failed this year’s offense has given the offensive line an opportunity for success.  At their most efficient this offense will keep the clock and chains moving and chew up yards.  The Bears o-line has continued to shine, which is Read more



Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Detroit Lions Erin Rynning




NFL Handicapping Trends: Non-Conference Totals

09.25.2013     01:17 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The natural order of game importance in the NFL is one of the first things any handicapper/bettor has to learn and subsequently apply. Divisional games are by far the most important to all teams followed by conference and then non-conference. That being known, the general theories are as follows: 1) division games will be hotly contested and potentially lower scoring because of team familiarity, 2) conference action will be intense but maybe not quite as intense as division rivalries and 3) non-conference tilts are the games where letdowns and lesser focus can enable abnormal scores to occur. Of course this knowledge is simply a starting point and nothing more than one of many ingredients to be considered in each individual game handicap. Because there are eight of them this week, I’m going to use this article to look at handicapping non-conference totals.

So far this season, there have been 13 non-conference games played and the record sits at 8-5 61.5% to the over. All 13 games have had final score differentials of at least 3.5 points from the closing total and 10 of the 13 (76.9%) have ended 11.5 points or more off of the closer. Those are 10 very easy wins Read more



Tags: NFL Rob Veno




NFL Handicapping: Pace Factor through Week 2

09.17.2013     07:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

With all the talk about teams trying to speed up their pace this year, I thought it might be a good idea to make an effort to monitor NFL pace as manageably as possible. A quick and dirty way to do that is to count up all the plays for each team from the boxscores (including possession-enders like field goals, punts, and turnovers), then look at the full game totals. Do that for a few weeks…and you can tell the fast from the slow just by their averages, medians, and how the numbers cluster.

I know there are ways to estimate individual offenses differently. The problem with that for me is that you have to dig into the play-by-play to figure out which penalties were offensive and which were defensive. Start doing that for every single game (while also tinkering on the side with college games), and it becomes time prohibitive. Current boxscores only show total penalties. Using full game totals includes those, and eventually helps paint the picture for you well enough.

Here now Read more



Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Handicpaping: Week 2 Betting and Statistical Recap

09.16.2013     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Let’s run the numbers…

(If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15. Sloppiness is a quickfire stat to measure execution…the formula is 5 times giveaways plus the number of incomplete passes…lower is better because you want to avoid sloppiness)

San Diego 33 (+7.5), Philadelphia 30

S-Diego: 539 yards, 6.8 per-play, 2 turnovers, 67% third downs

Philadel: 511 yards, 8.7 per-play, 1 turnovers, 45% third downs

(Whoever had the ball last was going to win, because both offenses were getting enough YPP at will to move the ball into scoring position. First glaring sign of Philly’s defensive weaknesses this Read more



Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC News and Notes from Week 1

09.09.2013     07:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: NFC Tidbits from Week 1.

Chicago Bears – Sure, the Bears didn't make the playoffs last year, but they won ten games and were one of the league's better teams. This defense can still make plenty of big plays, as evidenced by Charles Tillman's huge game and their complete domination against the run here. Jay Cutler did a great job finding open receivers on third and long. He connected on a pair of third and longs into very tight windows on Chicago's first touchdown drive. The revamped offensive line didn't do much for run blocking, but they gave Cutler all the time he needed all afternoon.

Cutler can still scramble out of pressure and his mobility created several opportunities that wouldn't have been there otherwise. But Cutler's propensity for making mistakes at crucial times was on display here, a horrible pass on first down as the Bears were driving in the fourth quarter. However, he made the most of his next Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Chicago Bears Minnesota Vikings San Francisco 49ers Arizona Cardinals New Orleans Saints




NFL Gambling Preview: Cincinnati Bengals at Chicago Bears

09.07.2013     06:05 PM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cincinnati at Chicago
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Chicago -3 O/U 43.5
CRIS Current: Chicago -3 (-105) O/U 41.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Chicago -2.5
Erin Rynning's Recommendation: Under

The Bengals have become the popular sleeper pick to win the rough and tumble AFC North and even more so following the Ravens debacle on Thursday night.  To win the AFC North it all starts on the defensive side of the football and the Bengals can answer that question with a roster deep on talent.  Head coach Marvin Lewis made his name on the defensive side of the football while defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer has done a standout job.  Of course, it’s about the players as Geno Atkins is finally receiving accolades along the defensive line.  And there’s plenty more with cornerback Leon Hall, linebacker Vontaze Burfict, and now the addition of James Harrison.  The Bengals defense has the Read more



Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Chicago Bears Erin Rynning




NFL Preseason Betting: Browns may play starters some vs. Bears

08.28.2013     08:18 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cleveland -2.5 at Chicago O/U 39.5

Following last week's dismal showing vs. Indianapolis, Cleveland head coach Rob Chudzinksi said the starters could see time in the team's preseason finale. It may have been just a knee-jerk reaction however as Chudzinksi has yet to commit to anything. The Bears meanwhile are not expecting to play any starters hence the market move from Chicago -2.5 to Cleveland -2.5.


"We’re going to approach this next game that those guys are going to play,'' he said. "And then I’ll make that determination later in the week as it goes on.”

“We’re going to practice all three days,” Trestman said. “We’ll have a shorter practice on Wednesday, but we’re

Read more



Tags: NFL Cleveland Browns Chicago Bears



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 25, 2016 01:49 PM.