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Teddy Covers' NFL Top 5 Hidden Pointspread Plays of the Year

12.31.2012     08:14 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I made my end of the year Top 7 Pointspread Plays of the Year for the NFL; a look back at some of the wackiest and nerve-wracking ATS outcomes, regardless of which side you had. This week, I’m taking something of a different tack, writing about my Top 5 Hidden Pointspread Plays of the Year. These plays had massive repercussions – repercussions that were felt by the betting markets for weeks, even months after the games were played. What’s a “hidden” pointspread play? Read on to find out!

No. 5 – Week 12, Miami sack vs. Seattle
The Seahawks led throughout the second half, but a late Dolphins TD had the game tied 21-21 at the two minute warning. Seattle was driving, facing a first and ten at the Dolphins 40 yard line, needing only a few more yards to put them in position for a game winning field goal try from kicker Stephen Hauschka. But they lost yardage on their first down running attempt, then lost yardage again on a quick pass behind the line of scrimmage on second Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: How NFL Playoff Contenders fared in Week 15

12.17.2012     08:27 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I've been concentrating on playoff contenders for the last few weeks. Here are my thoughts as I was watching Sunday's games about eight squads that all faced off against other potential playoff foes.

Chicago - What's wrong with the Bears? Simple – the NFL is a pass-first league and Chicago has a bottom-tier passing game. Jay Cutler doesn't have time to throw the football. He got leveled on three of the first five times he dropped back to pass, and had happy feet in the pocket thereafter. He spent most of the game targeting Brandon Marshall almost exclusively (other than dump off passes to Matt Forte), but only on short routes – Cutler once again, didn't compete a single pass of longer than 20 yards. Throw in a series of costly penalties on both sides of the football and, even on a day where the defense stepped up, the Bears came up short in front of a very hostile home crowd. Forget their 7-1 start. The positive team chemistry from September and October has evaporated.

Denver - Strong pass rush! I'm not sure there's a defense in the NFL that has improved more since September than these Broncos. They are Read more



Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Minnesota Vikings Green Bay Packers Baltimore Ravens Denver Broncos Dallas Cowboys. St. Louis Rams Pittsburgh Steelers Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Trends: Packers have won and covered eight of last 10 vs. Bears

12.13.2012     06:32 AM     Printer Friendly
Green Bay -3 at Chicago O/U 43

The Green Bay-Chicago rivalry continues on Sunday at Soldier Field. From a betting perspective, the Packers have dominated of late, winning and covering eight out of the late 10 in the series. Also note that of those 10 meetings, nine went UNDER the total.

Green Bay Packers-Chicago Bears Betting History 2008-present
Date
Away
Home
Score
SU
ATS
9/13/2012
Chicago
Green Bay
GB 23, CHI 10
Green Bay
Green Bay -5
12/25/2011
Chicago
Green Bay
GB 35, CHI 21
Green Bay
Green Bay -13
9/25/2011
Green Bay
Chicago
GB 27, CHI 17
Green Bay
Green Bay -4
1/23/2011
Green Bay
Chicago
GB 21, CHI 14
Green Bay
Green Bay -3.5
1/2/2011
Chicago
Green Bay
GB 10, CHI 3
Green Bay
Chicago +11
9/27/2010
Green Bay
Chicago
CHI 20, GB 17
Chicago
Chicago +3
12/13/2009
Green Bay
Chicago
GB 21, CHI 14
Green Bay
Green Bay -4
9/13/2009
Chicago
Green Bay
GB 21, CHI 15
Green Bay
Green Bay -4.5
12/22/2008
Green Bay
Chicago
CHI 20, GB 17 OT
Chicago
Green Bay +4
11/16/2008
Chicago
Green Bay
GB 37, CHI 3
Green Bay
Green Bay -3.5






Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Chicago Bears




NFL Gambling Notes: Chicago Bears defense starting to regress

12.07.2012     12:15 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Chicago -3 at Minnesota O/U 39

Injuries and perhaps age have contributed to some of the Chicago Bears' recent defensive shortcomings.


The changes could make it tough for a defense that has been struggling against the run. No one rushed for more than 106 yards against the Bears in the first six games. No one has rushed for less than 114 against them in the last six and Peterson is coming off a 210-yard performance against Green Bay, his sixth straight 100-yard game.







Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Minnesota Vikings




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Northwestern Wildcats at Baylor Bears

12.04.2012     11:27 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Northwestern at Baylor -10.5 O/U 133.5
Recommendation: Baylor


Northwestern was overwhelmed by Baylor’s size and athleticism last year, thoroughly whipped in a 69-41 home loss to the Bears.  Don’t expect a dramatically different result in tonight’s rematch – the Wildcats deficiencies are likely to be on full display once again this evening.

The Wildcats were annihilated on their home floor by Maryland in the ACC-Big Ten showdown last week, losing by 20.  It didn’t get any better last weekend, when Northwestern held Illinois-Chicago to 31% shooting, won the rebounding battle by 13 and STILL lost at home by six as double-digit favorites.  Head coach Bill Carmody has limited depth once again, bad news against an athletic, fast paced squad like Baylor.  And the Bears have seen (and defended) Carmody’s Princeton offense before – don’t expect the Wildcats scoring woes to end against this Read more



Tags: College Basketball Northwestern Wildcats Baylor Bears Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Preview: Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans

11.30.2012     02:43 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Houston at Tennessee
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Tennessee
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Houston -4.5 O/U 48
CRIS Current: Houston -6.5 O/U 47

Houston is in their single worst spot of the entire season.  The Texans played an OT barnburner in Detroit last week, escaping with a hard fought three point win.  The previous week, the Texans pulled a ‘refuse-to-lose’ at home against the Jags, rallying from two TD’s behind in the fourth quarter for another OT win.  The week before that, the Texans were in a tough, physical game at Chicago in nasty, cold conditions that also was a one score game throughout.  That’s three consecutive ‘max effort’ games in a row.

Up next for Houston?  An AFC showdown at New England on Monday Night Football, with a chance to put themselves firmly in position for homefield edge throughout the playoffs.  In between those previous games and the Monday Read more



Tags: NFL Tennessee Titans Houston Texans Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Update: Cutler cleared to start, Bears open -6.5 vs. Vikings

11.25.2012     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

A Chicago Bears spokesman announced that Jay Cutler (concussion) will start today against Minnesota. Cutler was able to practice Thursday and Friday. After keeping the game off the board the entire week, CRIS finally posted a line earlier this morning with the Bears opening -6.5. Small action on the Vikings has the current line -6 across the board. The total opened 38.5. The weather is supposed to be mild; 40 degrees and 10-15 mph winds.





NFL Handicapping: Chicago's Cutler upgraded to probable vs. Minnesota

11.23.2012     07:20 AM     Read more



Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Minnesota Vikings




NFL Handicapping: Chicago's Cutler upgraded to probable vs. Minnesota

11.23.2012     07:20 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota at Chicago

Reports indicate that Chicago's Jay Cutler is likely to play this Sunday against Minnesota. Still no line on the game as of Friday morning.


"I know you all want to know about Jay Cutler. He was able to do some things on a limited basis," Bears coach Lovie Smith said. "So it's looking better for (him) to get him back on the football field."






Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Minnesota Vikings




NFL Gambling: San Fran's Smith ruled out, sportsbooks and bettors scramble

11.19.2012     08:05 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Chicago at San Francisco -4 O/U 34.5

Sportsbooks got thrown for a loop when San Francisco quarterback Alex Smith, who was listed as "probable" for tonight's Monday Night Football game against the Chicago Bears, was ruled out due to a concussion earlier this morning. Everyone knew Jay Cutler would be out so oddsmakers went with San Francisco -6.5 under the assumption there would be a Smith-Jason Campbell matchup. Bettors thought it was a bit cheap and pounded it from -6.5 to -7.5. But once Smith was ruled out and Colin Kaepernick ruled in, the line has since plummeted to -4. The total has also seen plenty of action; bet down to as low as 34.5.





Tags: NFL Chicago Bears San Francisco 49ers




NFL Gambling Notes: Four back-up QBs could start Week 11

11.14.2012     08:01 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Back-up quarterbacks abound for Week 11. Let's take a look at the quarterback situations for these teams.

Pittsburgh - Ben Roethlisberger has been rules out and Byron Leftwich will start in his place. Baltimore has been bet up to a 3-point road favorite and could be headed to -3.5.

San Francisco - Alex Smith is questionable with concussion-like symptoms. If he can't go, Colin Kaepernick would get the start. No line on Monday Night's game vs. Chicago.

Chicago - Jay Cutler is also dealing a concussion and according to Sports Options is doubtful. Jason Campbell is expected to start.

Philadelphia - Michael Vick is listed as doubtful with rookie Nick Foles listed as the probable starter. Washington is holding as a 3.5-point home favorite.





Tags: NFL Chicago Bears San Francisco 49ers Philadelphia Eagles Pittsburgh Steelers



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