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College Basketball Free Play: Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats

02.07.2012     01:54 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Florida +9 at Kentucky O/U 141.5
Recommendation: Florida


The Florida Gators have just about everything I like to look for out of a road underdog.  We’ve seen the Gators in this role twice already this season at Ohio State and at Syracuse; two teams – like the Kentucky squad they’ll face tonight – with legitimate national championship potential.   Florida was in both games right through the final buzzer, losing by four and seven points while covering the pointspread in both instances.

This is nothing new or different for Billy Donovan’s Gators.  This team has the type of veteran leadership we love to see in the backcourt, with senior guard Erving Walker and junior guard Kenny Boynton combining for 191 career starts between them.  No surprise then, that in the Walker-Boynton era, Florida is 16-5-1 ATS as underdogs.  And this year’s Gator team might be the best of the bunch! Read more


Tags: College Basketball Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Teddy Covers




College Basketball Handicapping: SEC schedule favors Kentucky

01.25.2012     01:08 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Interesting article on the SEC's schedule heavily favoring golden child Kentucky. Because of wanting to get them in the national spotlight as much as possible, the Wildcats have typically received more preparation time in between conference games compared to the rest of the league. The SEC’s coaches aren't too thrilled with the set up.


"If you're trying to get more teams into the NCAA Tournament, don't put the teams inside your league into a competitive disadvantage," Donovan said. That's not too much to ask, but that's exactly what the SEC schedule did last week to Alabama and will do to the Crimson Tide again next month.

"Go figure that out for me, would you?" Stallings said. "We all agreed to do it (play Thursday-Saturday for television), so if you have one (of those weeks), like we have one, I'm not going to complain. To not have any and to be able to play four teams that have to do it to play you ... that's not right."






Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats




NCAA Basketball Betting: Kentucky not facing enough adversity according to Calipari

01.24.2012     06:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kentucky -12.5 at Georgia O/U 130

Kentucky head coach John Calipari is a smart man and during a recent interview basically said that his team actually needs to lose in order to better prepare themselves for the postseason. Unfortunately for Calipari, that has only occurred once this year; back on December 10 at Indiana. Since then, UK has ripped off 11th straight including five in the SEC. Last year, there were points during the SEC season where the Cats were 2-2, 4-4 and 5-5. They peaked at the right time though and didn't lose a game from February 26 until a one-point loss to eventual champ UConn in the Final Four.


I like our will to win down the stretch. In all these close games you're gonna start getting nipped. You know what I told them last night Tony? We met at my house. I said ‘we probably need to get beat so you guys will Read more



Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Georgia Bulldogs




SEC Basketball Betting News and Notes 1-20-2012

01.20.2012     01:33 PM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The SEC race is shaping up as a two-team sprint after the first three weeks of conference play. Kentucky and Vanderbilt are the front runners with everyone else falling back into the pack. The Wildcats and Commodores could not be any more different, with Kentucky made up of all freshmen and sophomores while Vandy gets its production from upperclassmen.  Vanderbilt also does not get the respect from bettors and oddsmakers that Kentucky does, although that may change after the Commodores dominated Alabama in Tuscaloosa last night. I doubt that we will see Vandy getting five points on the road anymore unless it is at Kentucky.  On the other hand, Kentucky continues to struggle as road chalk in conference play, winning but failing to cover at Auburn and Tennessee.

I expect more of the same from Kentucky this season. Last year, they had a different group of freshmen, but they displayed the same characteristics on the road in SEC play. Everyone in the league gets up to play Kentucky, so they always get their opponents’ best effort. Freshmen are still freshmen, whether they are future first round picks or not, and I’ll be looking for chances to play against Read more


Tags: College Basketball Brent Crow




College Basketball Betting: Kentucky Wildcats struggle to cover pointspreads

01.16.2012     02:17 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Typically, the best teams in college basketball post against the spread records around the .500 mark. They obviously win a lot which is correlated with covering spreads but on the same token, the extra "tax" and attraction to bettors often keeps them from putting up great ATS numbers. Take last year from example. North Carolina (16-17 ATS), Duke (20-16 ATS), Kansas (18-17 ATS), Pittsburgh (15-14 ATS), Syracuse (15-18 ATS), Ohio State (18-16 ATS) and Kentucky (16-16 ATS) were all right around the .500 mark. There were some expectations, most notably UConn (23-12 ATS), but the Huskies came from way off the grid to go 10-1 ATS during the postseason.

But this year, something odd is taking place. Kentucky, which is considered to be one of the best teams in the country, is a horrific 3-13-1/4-12-1/4-13 ATS (depending on what numbers you go by). Based on one set of numbers I saw, the Wildcats haven't covered a game since November 19 – after starting the season 3-0 ATS. So why has Kentucky been such a poor spread team? No question, there is a tax tacked onto the Cats – but the same can be said about a lot teams. But unlike those teams, Kentucky is young, Read more


Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Play: Kentucky Wildcats at Auburn Tigers

01.11.2012     07:32 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kentucky at Auburn +18 O/U 135.5
Recommendation: Auburn


Even though Kentucky is a completely different team from a year ago, the make-up of the team is very similar – a load of talent and not a lot of experience. Going on the road with freshmen can be difficult on any team and Kentucky is no exception. Last season, the Wildcats went 2-6 SU on the highway in SEC play – a group that was two points from playing for the National Championship. Despite back-to-back horrendous road showings (29-point loss to Florida State and 30-point loss to Vanderbilt), I trust that Auburn is going to play much better at home against an opponent that won't be difficult to get up for. The Tigers weren't very good last season yet in SEC play, their home losses were by margins of 7, 5, 10, 13, 17 and 2. Over the past week we've seen both Georgia Tech (vs. Duke) and Illinois (vs. Ohio State) perform better than they have all season – at home vs. a top rated opponent. With Read more


Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Auburn Tigers Andrew Lange




NCAA Basketball Betting Trends: Kentucky continues its run of UNDERS

12.12.2011     03:12 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Dating back to last season, Kentucky has been one of the strongest "under" teams in the country and yet for whatever reason, oddsmakers continue to post their totals 4-6 points higher than where they should be and the betting markets add to it with heavy action on the over in a majority of their games.

During last year’s postseason, including the SEC Tournament, Kentucky went 1-6-1 O/U -- the lone over was by a mere point. This year, we are seeing more of the same with the Wildcats 2-6 O/U. The two games that went over were because the competition was so weak that Kentucky couldn’t help but score 87 and 108. But even in games where UK scored 81 (vs. St. John's) and 85 (vs. Penn State) they still failed to go over the total. Against Kansas? Not even close as the game closed 147.5 and Kentucky won 75-65. Last week against North Carolina, it looked as if we might see a high profile game involving Kentucky cash an over ticket with 81 points in the first half. Instead, the game bogged down and landed 145 with a closing total of 156.5 (it opened 150.5!).

The theme in all of this is not pace -- Kentucky is actually playing much faster this season Read more


Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting News: Breaking down the Big Ten Conference

12.12.2011     08:18 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With finals exams upon us, the college basketball card is light so I'll be providing conference breakdowns throughout the week.

Big Ten - Even with the loss at Kansas (no Sullinger), Ohio State is unquestionably the class of the league. The one thing I don't like Wisconsin is its current offensive blueprint. In terms of point distribution, 41.4% of their points come from beyond the three-point line while only 11.9% of their points come from the charity stripe. That ratio was 36.1%/18.9% last year. Now on the flip side, Wisconsin defends the three-point line extremely well (24.6%) and doesn't foul but how is this team going to win on a consistent basis if they don't shoot 40% from three – a tough thing to do in Big Ten play. Add in the lack of free throw attempts (12 per game) and you can already sense there are going to be a lot of game scores in the low 100's. Ultimately, defense and good coaching will keep the Badgers at the top of the standings though I think it is going to be more of a struggle this year. Michigan State isn't going to be nearly as bad as the offseason losses suggested. I was really impressed with their win at Gonzaga. Purdue is Read more


Tags: College Basketball Big Ten Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Trends: Taking a look at Over and Under teams

12.08.2011     07:57 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A quick glance at teams that have trended over and under the total thus far and whether or not it will continue.

UNDER TEAMS

Virginia (1-5 O/U) - After being lined 123 against TCU and the game landing 114 back in mid-November, UVA's game have routinely been in the 113-118 price range. The capabilities of opposing offenses will improve once ACC play starts but the Cavaliers play great defense and are more than comfortable playing games with 60 possessions or fewer.

Kansas (1-6 O/U) - Bill Self noted earlier this week that the Jayhawks are going to be forced to win a lot of "ugly games" due to a drop-off in offensive talent. They went flying over the total last time out against Long Beach (145.5, 88-80 final) but the fact remains that KU is relying more on defense and no longer has as much scoring punch.

UConn (1-4 O/U) - The Huskies only "over" came in overtime against Florida State. There would have been some more overs had the games been lined. This small trend seems to be random as UConn is playing at a fairly normal pace and looking to run when given Read more


Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting News: Fourteen teams remain undefeated

12.08.2011     07:03 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It’s early December and there are 14 college basketball teams that remain undefeated and 11 of those teams are ranked in the top 25. I’ve posted some weekly CBB Poll thoughts noting how some voters are fairly clueless about ranking teams. But since we’re talking about big time college sports (football and basketball) and big money is involved, it’s not surprising to see some voters not in tune (informed, incompetent) when it comes to watching the games, researching teams and doing their homework. That’s why rankings are mostly irrelevant, and certainly not of much importance when it comes to handicapping and betting the games. Perhaps some voters like to create controversy and conflict to generate comments, which creates more viewers, sales and money for the people that pay them; the newspapers and networks. That’s another story for another day, but here are some thoughts on undefeated teams.

College basketball has not seen a team go undefeated since Bobby Knight's Indiana Hoosiers went 32-0 in 1975-76. The closest we have seen since then was a St. Joseph's team that went 27-0 in the 2003-04 season before losing to Xavier in the Read more


Tags: College Basketball __



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