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January

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Oddsmakers say that Kentucky to win it all is a bad bet

03.12.2012     06:37 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Local Las Vegas oddsmakers weigh in on this year's NCAA Tournament. A few noted that there is little to no value in supporting tournament favorite Kentucky. The Wynn has the Wildcats at 9-to-5. Offshore, The Greek has +185 and Pinnacle +240.


“It’s an awful price,” said Johnny Avello, director of Wynn’s race and sports book. “I want to raise it, but we’ve taken money on this team the entire year. They bet them at the beginning, they bet them in the middle and they bet them at the end.”

“They are definitely deserving as the top team,” said Jay Rood, sports book director for MGM Resorts. “(Kentucky coach) Calipari has mastered the system of getting top young talent and getting them to buy in by playing impactful and meaningful games right off of the bat. This is one of his best teams yet.”





Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Las Vegas




SEC Tournament Gambling Preview: Kentucky the overwhelming favorite

03.08.2012     05:35 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Obviously Kentucky is the overwhelming favorite in the SEC Tourney, and despite coach John Calipari’s disdain for the tournament, if anyone else wins it will be a major upset.


"Three games in three days doesn't prepare you for anything," Calipari said Tuesday as UK began preparations for the SEC Tournament later in the week. "We just played a whole league schedule." Calipari, who has long made no secret of his lukewarm, at best, attitude about league tournaments, acknowledged how the SEC Tournament (Thursday through Sunday in New Orleans) appeals to UK fans who can't attend a game in Rupp Arena.

"Fans spend their vacation money, their rent money, their cigarette money, and they go to this tournament," Calipari said. "... You almost feel an obligation. Let's go play."



If the Cats were not head and shoulders above the rest of the league, such statements might be an automatic green light to look to fade his team. However, as we have seen in road games at Florida, Vanderbilt and Mississippi State, Kentucky can sleepwalk through 30 minutes of a game and then use its shutdown defense to pull Read more


Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Brent Crow




PAC-12 Tournament Gambling Preview

03.07.2012     12:56 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Of all the major conference tournaments in play this week, the PAC-12 has the weakest field and the least fan support.  It’s been a second consecutive down year for the PAC-12.  Last year, the league sent only three teams to the Big Dance, all seeded #5 or higher.  This year, the at-large bid situation is even worse.  The PAC-12 doesn’t have a single team that is comfortably in the Big Dance, with Cal, Oregon and Washington still needing wins to secure potential bids.  So while the Staples Center will be half empty for most of the weekend, in a league without a clear favorite to win the title, the PAC-12’s automatic bid from winning the conference championship title just might be the only bid this league gets in 2012.

The odds clearly show how deep this field is, and how weak the top teams truly are.   Cal and Washington are the two favorites, despite both teams coming up short in their ‘must win’ games for the conference title last weekend.  The Bears lost back-to-back games at Colorado and Stanford, negating their chance to win the regular season title.  Meanwhile, the Huskies lost at UCLA, Read more


Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




Sportsbooks don't give SEC much of a chance against Kentucky

03.06.2012     07:43 AM     Printer Friendly
While every league has a full listing of team odds, a few sportsbooks are daring bettors to fade the Kentucky Wildcats in the upcoming SEC Tournament. Check out of the plus prices The Greek and Pinnacle are offering on the field.  

copy_UK_greek.JPG

copy_UK_pinnacle.JPG

 



Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats




Who has what it takes to win the 2012 National Championship Part I

02.27.2012     10:58 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
History shows us many things about what it takes to be a champion. I write this article every year, and just about every year, I have been able to identify the eventual NCAA national champion among my elite level teams. Last year, however, was an exception, with UConn coming from the middle of the pack to win the Big East title, followed by an impressive run to the National Championship.
 
Past predictions do not necessarily indicate future success, but I’ll stand by my track record in this article. Remember, as always, this gets written at the tail end of February. That’s before the regular season is over for the major conferences, before the conference tournaments, before the seedings are announced and before a single tournament game has been played.

So as I pen this article for the 2012 campaign, I do have some concerns about whether my long term statistical model still holds juice in the modern era. Not to brag, but I’ve nailed the winner of the NCAA tournament three times in the last five years, correctly predicting Florida in ‘07, Kansas in 2008 and North Carolina in ‘09. I did NOT predict Duke in ‘10, and Read more


Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




SEC Betting Notes: Mississippi State tries to take down Kentucky

02.21.2012     06:44 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kentucky -8.5 at Mississippi State O/U 139.5

If you can't beat Georgia, LSU and Auburn, then how do you expect to take down the best team in the nation? That is what currently slumping Mississippi State must deal with tonight in Starkville as Kentucky comes strolling to town. We know the Bulldogs are capable and the Wildcats are due for a loss – aren't they?. But if both teams bring their "B" game, the road side wins by double-digits.


"I've seen a lot of Kentucky teams and this may be as good as I've Read more



Tags: College Basketball Mississippi State Bulldogs Kentucky Wildcats




College Basketball Handicapping: Schedule toughens for top teams

02.08.2012     07:04 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
For those that follow college basketball scheduling and like to note strength of schedule, RPI and more, here is an update on top team Kentucky’s schedule along with others of note.
Between Kentucky and Louisville, their combined 15 remaining regular season games include nine against the top 35 teams in the RPI.

Kentucky is No. 3 in RPI and passed its test Tuesday with a big home win over Florida. The Wildcats have four of their remaining six home games against teams currently ranked in AP Top 25. Kentucky’s strength of schedule ranked 83rd in the RPI prior to playing Florida, and is projected by Statsheet.com to be No. 50 nationally at the end of the regular season.

Ohio State held off Purdue yesterday and the Buckeyes are projected to go from No. 34 to No. 12 in SOS by season’s end and join Kentucky and Syracuse as projected No. 1 seeds in the NCAA Tournament. Ohio State is No. 4 in RPI currently.

North Carolina plays Duke tonight in a key ACC showdown with first place at stake, and the Tar Heels are projected to go from No. 42 to No. 12 by seasons end while Read more


Tags: College Basketball __




College Basketball Free Play: Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats

02.07.2012     01:54 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Florida +9 at Kentucky O/U 141.5
Recommendation: Florida


The Florida Gators have just about everything I like to look for out of a road underdog.  We’ve seen the Gators in this role twice already this season at Ohio State and at Syracuse; two teams – like the Kentucky squad they’ll face tonight – with legitimate national championship potential.   Florida was in both games right through the final buzzer, losing by four and seven points while covering the pointspread in both instances.

This is nothing new or different for Billy Donovan’s Gators.  This team has the type of veteran leadership we love to see in the backcourt, with senior guard Erving Walker and junior guard Kenny Boynton combining for 191 career starts between them.  No surprise then, that in the Walker-Boynton era, Florida is 16-5-1 ATS as underdogs.  And this year’s Gator team might be the best of the bunch! Read more


Tags: College Basketball Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Teddy Covers




College Basketball Handicapping: SEC schedule favors Kentucky

01.25.2012     01:08 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Interesting article on the SEC's schedule heavily favoring golden child Kentucky. Because of wanting to get them in the national spotlight as much as possible, the Wildcats have typically received more preparation time in between conference games compared to the rest of the league. The SEC’s coaches aren't too thrilled with the set up.


"If you're trying to get more teams into the NCAA Tournament, don't put the teams inside your league into a competitive disadvantage," Donovan said. That's not too much to ask, but that's exactly what the SEC schedule did last week to Alabama and will do to the Crimson Tide again next month.

"Go figure that out for me, would you?" Stallings said. "We all agreed to do it (play Thursday-Saturday for television), so if you have one (of those weeks), like we have one, I'm not going to complain. To not have any and to be able to play four teams that have to do it to play you ... that's not right."






Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats




NCAA Basketball Betting: Kentucky not facing enough adversity according to Calipari

01.24.2012     06:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kentucky -12.5 at Georgia O/U 130

Kentucky head coach John Calipari is a smart man and during a recent interview basically said that his team actually needs to lose in order to better prepare themselves for the postseason. Unfortunately for Calipari, that has only occurred once this year; back on December 10 at Indiana. Since then, UK has ripped off 11th straight including five in the SEC. Last year, there were points during the SEC season where the Cats were 2-2, 4-4 and 5-5. They peaked at the right time though and didn't lose a game from February 26 until a one-point loss to eventual champ UConn in the Final Four.


I like our will to win down the stretch. In all these close games you're gonna start getting nipped. You know what I told them last night Tony? We met at my house. I said ‘we probably need to get beat so you guys will Read more



Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Georgia Bulldogs



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