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NCAA Championship Handicapper Preview: Kansas Jayhawks vs. Kentucky Wildcats

04.02.2012     08:55 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas vs. Kentucky
Recommendation: Kentucky -3.5 1st half

I feel like Kentucky is the better team and should win this game, but to me, laying -3.5 in the first half in better than -6.5 for the game. We have seen Kansas struggle in first halves the entire tournament, going 0-4 ATS since its opening round win over Detroit. Kentucky has been the opposite, leading by 3, 7, 11, 19 and 20 at the break in its five games (4-1 ATS). The only real weakness we have seen out of Kentucky on defense is giving up some threes and transition, something that only Indiana was able to take advantage of. That is not really the strength of Kansas, and they have definitely not been a fast starting team, so I expect Kentucky to cover the small halftime number. However, based on KU’s first half/second half dichotomy, don’t forget to consider supporting them after the break if the price is right.




Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Kansas Jayhawks Brent Crow




NCAA Championship Gambling Preview: Kansas Jayhawks vs. Kentucky Wildcats

04.02.2012     07:03 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas vs. Kentucky -6 O/U 137.5
Recommendation: Kentucky


Last game of what has been an absolutely remarkable season. From a service perspective, I produced my third straight winning season with 59% winners and +33.65 units of profit on 185 documented plays. I thank all of the clients that got on board and look forward to continued winning success in the NBA, MLB, and beyond.

As for tonight's National Championship, I don't have a super-strong opinion but have made a personal wager on Kentucky. Most of you know that I prefer underdogs and when I do back a favorite, I don't lay more than a bucket it or two – my clients haven't received a recommendation on a favorite over -4 since way back in November. But this is a tricky price range and one that you have to ask yourself: Do you think Kentucky is going to win the game? I believe they will based on what I've seen the last two or three weeks. Obviously, Kansas is more than capable of covering the +6 as Read more



Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Kansas Jayhawks Andrew Lange




Sportsmemo's Teddy Covers offer last minute opinions on betting the Final Four

03.31.2012     07:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sportsmemo's Teddy Covers was featured in Chad Millman's ESPN Final Four preview. Below is what Teddy had to say about both matchups.


Covers says: "I actually thought Louisville-Kentucky would be a little shorter at about seven. Betonline opened at 9.5, 5Dimes opened at 8. I honestly think that number is a little bit high. With Kentucky you are talking about four or five guys that could start in the NBA next year. The problem with that side is I don't think they can play any better than they did recently -- they were just lights out. And yet against Indiana and Baylor, there we were at the end and sweating it out. As good as they were and as well as they played, there is not a lot of value on the Kentucky side. Louisville is a great dog, 8-3 catching points this year. Look at the first game these two played: The fact that Louisville held Kentucky under 30 percent shooting in that game tells us that team has the potential to keep the game in check. I haven't bet it yet because I think we might see 9.5 in Vegas before we tip off."

Covers says: "In February, before the brackets, I wrote that I thought these two teams would play for the

Read more



Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Louisville Cardinals Ohio State Buckeyes Kansas Jayhawks Teddy Covers




Final Four Betting Stats: Kentucky struggles ATS vs. better defenses

03.30.2012     08:49 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Taking a look at Kentucky's results against the top five defenses on its schedule. I used Ken Pom's defensive efficiency ratings. Louisville is currently the no. 1 team in the country at 0.84 points per possession allowed. Of the six games, the Wildcats went 6-0 SU but 2-4 ATS. Four of the six games went UNDER the total.

No. 1 Louisville (0.84 ppp allowed)
Result: Kentucky 69, Louisville (+10) 62; Under 136

No. 4 Kansas (0.86)
Result: Kentucky (-6.5) 75, Kansas 65; Under 147.5

No. 8 Alabama (0.88)
Result: Kentucky 77, Alabama (+10) 71; Over 130

No. 10 North Carolina (0.88)
Result: Kentucky 73, North Carolina (+6.5) 72; Under 156.5

No. 30 Vanderbilt (0.93)
Result: Kentucky (-4.5) 69, Vanderbilt 63; Under 135.5
Result: Kentucky 83, Vanderbilt (+11.5) 74; Over 138.5





Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Louisville Cardinals Andrew Lange




Final Four Gambling: John Calipari tells everyone to bet the OVER Saturday

03.29.2012     12:25 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Louisville vs. Kentucky -8.5 O/U 137.5

This is either the greatest bit of sports betting information EVER or just another basketball coach telling the media what it wants to hear.


John Calipari: “I think our game Saturday is going to be in the 90s. We don't want to be in a hurry to score, but we want to play fast. I think the games are going to be a little more jumbled up (in the Final Four) and the teams are going to go up and down. It should be exciting.”







Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Louisville Cardinals




NCAA Tournament: Final Four pointspread and betting statistics

03.27.2012     07:10 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NCAA Tournament pointspread numbers for the Final Four.

Strength Of Schedule
1: Louisville – 52.3
2: Kansas – 51.6
3: Ohio State – 51.4
4: Kentucky – 48.4

Against The Spread
1: Louisville 4-0 (2-0 Favorite / 1-0 Underdog / 1-0 Pick ‘em)
2: Ohio State 3-1 (3-1 Favorite)
3: Kentucky 3-1 (3-1 Favorite)
4: Kansas 2-2 (2-2 Favorite)

Totals – Over/ Under
1: Kentucky 4-0
2: Ohio State 4-0
3: Kansas 1-3
4: Louisville 1-3

First Half Score Averages
1: Kentucky - 43.8 / Opponents - 30.5 / Total 1H - 74.3
2: Kansas - 35.8 / Opponents - 35.0 / Total 1H - 70.8
3: Ohio State - 36.8 / Opponents - 30.5 / Total 1H – 67.3
4: Louisville – 28.8 / Opponents – 27.3 / Total 1H – 56.1

Second Half Score Averages
1: Kentucky – 44.3 / Opponents – 43.3 / Total 2H – 87.6 (allowed 40+ second half points in all four games)
2: Ohio State – 40.5 / Opponents – 34.8 / Total 2H – 75.3 (4-0 ATS in second Read more



Tags: NCAA Tournament Ohio State Buckeyes Kentucky Wildcats Kansas Jayhawks Louisville Cardinals Rob Veno




NCAA Tournmanet Betting: Final Four Against the Spread Notes

03.27.2012     06:37 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Final Four in New Orleans is set as no. 1 seed Kentucky, no. 2 Ohio State, no. 2 Kansas and no. 4 Louisville light up the Superdome. The Elite Eight had some super finishes and tight contests with three of the four games landing within five points of the poinspread.  The Kansas–North Carolina game had a one-point margin with 3+ minutes to go before the Jayhawks finished the game on a 12-0 run to pull away for the win.

The Sweet Sixteen also had many close contests with all four games last Friday landing within five points of the pointspread. Of the 12 games last week, eight landed within five points of the line. During the course of the college basketball season, 40% of all games landed within five points of the betting line, so you can see how tight the numbers are as the tournament progresses.

With that said, here are some Final Four Against-the-Spread (ATS) notes. Since 1998, the better seeded team is 21-8 SU and 22-7 ATS. Teams seeded no. 4 or worse are 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS if they are playing a better seeded team. Top-seeded no. 1 teams taking on a worse seed are 15-4 SU and 14-5 ATS the past 14 years including 11-3 ATS if favored by -8 or Read more



Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Kansas Jayhawks Ohio State Buckeyes Louisville Cardinals __




Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers' NCAA Tournament Final Four Betting Preview

03.26.2012     10:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Over the last two weeks we’ve seen 64 NCAA Tournament teams get eliminated from the field, leaving only the Final Four remaining with a chance to cut down the nets in New Orleans next Monday.

College hoops statistical guru Ken Pomeroy breaks down the four teams chances to win the title as follows: Kentucky 42%, Ohio State 34%, Kansas 17% and Louisville 7%. From my perspective, if John Calipari’s Wildcats play as well next weekend as they did this past weekend, that 42% chance of a title looks pretty darn low.

That being said, it’s going to be very hard for Kentucky to match their near flawless offensive performances in wins over Baylor and Indiana. The Wildcats have scored a ridiculous 220 points in their last 163 possessions; a 1.35 points per possession ratio. Those are not sustainable numbers, even for a team that closed out the weekend ranked #2 in the country (behind only Missouri) with 1.17 points per possession average.

Both Final Four games are rematches of non-conference affairs from earlier in the season. The talking heads on TV are sure to bring up this angle ad nauseum, but the bottom line is that neither affair had a Read more



Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Louisville Cardinals Kansas Jayhawks Ohio State Buckeyes Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament Odds: Kentucky a -128 favorite to win championship

03.26.2012     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly
Saturday's Final Four in New Orleans is set and not surprising, Kentucky is the betting favorite to win it all.

Current Lines
Louisville vs. Kentucky -8.5 O/U 138.5
Ohio State -2.5 vs. Kansas O/U 136.5

Pinnacle Championship Futures
Kentucky -128
Ohio State +281
Kansas +499
Louisville +1150





Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Kansas Jayhawks Ohio State Buckeyes Louisville Cardinals




NCAA Tournament Betting Notes: Kentucky playing up-tempo in postseason

03.25.2012     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baylor vs. Kentucky -8 O/U 147.5

Article discussing how both Baylor and Kentucky prefer to play at a fast pace. After averaging only 62 possessions per game in SEC play, the Wildcats have played to 70, 67and 73 possessions in the NCAA Tournament.


"Do you want to play slow or fast?'' he asked them on the podium during Saturday's news conference.

"Fast,'' Kentucky senior guard Darius Miller said.

"Huh. If they play the way they enjoy playing, they're going to play better,'' Calipari said. "They just are. They're going to be more comfortable. I trust these players. We had six turnovers and we scored 102 points. I know they're going to make good decisions. The only time they don't is when I leave them on the court too long.''

Read more



Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Baylor Bears



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