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College Football Betting: Fat ex-QB gives Florida excuse to score 50 on Kentucky

09.18.2012     11:45 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
This probably shouldn’t be used in your handicap but you'll still chuckle. Remember former Kentucky quarterback Jared Lorenzen, who judging by a recent picture (see: left), remains committed to food? During the summer he blasted Florida for hiring offensive coordinator Brent Pease. The two are apparently familiar with one another as Pease coached in Lexington during Lorenzen's illustrious career. So Pease responds by saying Lorenzen's comments are worth a couple extra deep balls and the Gators are going to try and score 50 against the Cats. That would be quite an accomplishment considering the total for Saturday's game is currently 51.5. Nevertheless, the Gators did open things up last week with 37 points and 555 yards of offense in their win over Tennessee.

“I coached Jared,” Pease said in Ocala. “Jared is one of those guys that was talking trash when I took this job. So that's good for about two extra launch plays, trying to get to 50 points on those guys when they come

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Tags: College Football Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats SEC

College Foobtall Betting: SEC News and Notes Week 3

09.17.2012     11:22 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
It wouldn’t have mattered if Tyler Wilson had played for Arkansas this week against Alabama, as the Crimson Tide overwhelmed the Razorbacks, 52-0. Wilson might have kept the goose egg off the scoreboard, but that’s about it. Arkansas now faces questions about whether or not it quit at the end of the game and the beleaguered defense has allowed 1,300 yards in three games. Alabama gave up just 137 yards and pitched its second straight shutout.

Also impressing this week was the Florida Gators, earning their first win over a ranked team in the Will Muschamp era. Florida piled up 555 yards and outscored Tennessee 27-6 in the second half en route to a 37-20 win. Jeff Driskel played his best game as a Gator and appears to be settling into the job. It will be interesting to see if the Gators build on this offensive performance. They still ran the ball 68% of the time and have attempted only 58 passes in three games.

South Carolina and Georgia remained unbeaten and the Gators’ principle competition in the SEC East. Carolina hammered UAB, 49-6, with Connor Shaw and Dylan Thompson splitting time at quarterback. Georgia pasted Florida Atlantic, Read more

Tags: College Football SEC Brent Crow

College Football Betting: SEC News and Notes Week 1

09.04.2012     07:23 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
South Carolina escaped with a 17-13 win at Vanderbilt last Thursday night, but took some hits in doing so. Starting quarterback Connor Shaw can barely lift his right arm and will miss 3-4 days of practice and possibly the East Carolina game this week. Starting guard Brandon Shell hurt his ankle and is in a walking boot, so he is also questionable as well. South Carolina had trouble protecting Shaw all night and the Commodores wound up outgaining the Gamecocks. The South Carolina coaches were not upset at how the Gamecocks played; they recognized that Vandy is a pretty good team and were happy to get out of Nashville with a win. Vandy is a road favorite at Northwestern this week.

Tennessee unveiled its new up-tempo offense against NC State and the results were impressive. The Vols ran 79 plays from scrimmage, the most since notching 82 in a quadruple overtime game against Kentucky in 2007. Tennessee gained 524 yards of offense in the35-21 win and quarterback Tyler Bray looked like a sure-fire NFL prospect. JC wide receiver transfer Cordarrelle Patterson showed some awesome speed and it certainly looks like Da’Rick Rogers, who was booted off the team last week, will Read more

Tags: College Football SEC Brent Crow

Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: Recapping College Football Week 1

09.03.2012     06:33 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
As I Tweeted (@teddy_covers) this past Sunday, it’s all NFL from here on out for the rest of 2012 – the time for leisurely Sunday’s has come and gone. With my writing focus turning to the NFL as well, I thought this week’s column should be about something else. And with the opening weekend of college football in the books, I figured a random college football observations column made perfect sense at this juncture. So here goes!

There’s an old sports betting adage about not overreacting to the results of a single game. In the middle of the season, I agree 100% – after a team’s mo. is clearly defined. But in Week 1, I think it’s just as important not to underreact either!

When Houston loses at home 30-13 to Texas State as 34.5-point favorites, that’s a meaningful result. It’s meaningful when Oklahoma can’t move the football for extended stretches against UTEP, punting eight times on 13 drives. It’s meaningful when San Jose State outscores Stanford 17-6 after the first quarter and outgains the Cardinal for the full 60 Read more

Tags: College Football Teddy Covers

College Football Betting: Tennessee Volunteers Season Over/Under Wins

08.21.2012     01:58 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
I haven’t made up my mind yet on Tennessee. On one hand you see two “wheelhouse” attributes that indicate improvement is on the way – head coach in his third year and 19 returning starters. But on the other hand, I remain leery that Derek Dooley is capable of taking the team/program to new heights and whether or not they have enough talent to help him in his efforts.  But beyond the coaching and personnel, what I’m most intrigued with is their season over/under win total.

Pinnacle doesn’t like to move its raw number on these totals, but instead adjusts the juice. Two prime examples of this are Ole Miss and Kentucky. Both schools opened 5.5 wins and have seen nearly all of the money come in on the UNDER. The Rebels are currently 5.5un-487 while the Wildcats are 5.5un-377. Do a little bit of reading on both teams and a quick glance at the schedule, and on the surface it appears very unlikely either team will reach six wins – they might not combine for six wins! But for some bettors, chasing a line and tying up three or four units until December to win one unit isn’t worth it. Not to mention, no matter how Read more

Tags: College Football Tennessee Volunteers SEC Andrew Lange

NCAA Championship ATS Notes: Oddsmaker's power rating came out Kentucky -4.5

04.02.2012     02:39 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wynn oddsmaker John Avello noted that his power rating for tonight's NCAA Championship came out Kentucky -4.5. Anticipating the betting love for the Wildcats, he opened the game -5.5. The game is currently -6.5 across the board.

"My power ratings actually had this game at minus-4.5, but I pumped it up a little because we've seen nothing but Kentucky money anytime they play," Avello said. "I knew if I hung that number that it would be a landslide, so I went with 5.5."

Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Kansas Jayhawks

NCAA Championship Handicapper Preview: Kansas Jayhawks vs. Kentucky Wildcats

04.02.2012     08:55 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Kansas vs. Kentucky
Recommendation: Kentucky -3.5 1st half

I feel like Kentucky is the better team and should win this game, but to me, laying -3.5 in the first half in better than -6.5 for the game. We have seen Kansas struggle in first halves the entire tournament, going 0-4 ATS since its opening round win over Detroit. Kentucky has been the opposite, leading by 3, 7, 11, 19 and 20 at the break in its five games (4-1 ATS). The only real weakness we have seen out of Kentucky on defense is giving up some threes and transition, something that only Indiana was able to take advantage of. That is not really the strength of Kansas, and they have definitely not been a fast starting team, so I expect Kentucky to cover the small halftime number. However, based on KU’s first half/second half dichotomy, don’t forget to consider supporting them after the break if the price is right.

Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Kansas Jayhawks Brent Crow

NCAA Championship Gambling Preview: Kansas Jayhawks vs. Kentucky Wildcats

04.02.2012     07:03 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Kansas vs. Kentucky -6 O/U 137.5
Recommendation: Kentucky

Last game of what has been an absolutely remarkable season. From a service perspective, I produced my third straight winning season with 59% winners and +33.65 units of profit on 185 documented plays. I thank all of the clients that got on board and look forward to continued winning success in the NBA, MLB, and beyond.

As for tonight's National Championship, I don't have a super-strong opinion but have made a personal wager on Kentucky. Most of you know that I prefer underdogs and when I do back a favorite, I don't lay more than a bucket it or two – my clients haven't received a recommendation on a favorite over -4 since way back in November. But this is a tricky price range and one that you have to ask yourself: Do you think Kentucky is going to win the game? I believe they will based on what I've seen the last two or three weeks. Obviously, Kansas is more than capable of covering the +6 as Read more

Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Kansas Jayhawks Andrew Lange

Sportsmemo's Teddy Covers offer last minute opinions on betting the Final Four

03.31.2012     07:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Sportsmemo's Teddy Covers was featured in Chad Millman's ESPN Final Four preview. Below is what Teddy had to say about both matchups.

Covers says: "I actually thought Louisville-Kentucky would be a little shorter at about seven. Betonline opened at 9.5, 5Dimes opened at 8. I honestly think that number is a little bit high. With Kentucky you are talking about four or five guys that could start in the NBA next year. The problem with that side is I don't think they can play any better than they did recently -- they were just lights out. And yet against Indiana and Baylor, there we were at the end and sweating it out. As good as they were and as well as they played, there is not a lot of value on the Kentucky side. Louisville is a great dog, 8-3 catching points this year. Look at the first game these two played: The fact that Louisville held Kentucky under 30 percent shooting in that game tells us that team has the potential to keep the game in check. I haven't bet it yet because I think we might see 9.5 in Vegas before we tip off."

Covers says: "In February, before the brackets, I wrote that I thought these two teams would play for the

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Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Louisville Cardinals Ohio State Buckeyes Kansas Jayhawks Teddy Covers

Final Four Betting Stats: Kentucky struggles ATS vs. better defenses

03.30.2012     08:49 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Taking a look at Kentucky's results against the top five defenses on its schedule. I used Ken Pom's defensive efficiency ratings. Louisville is currently the no. 1 team in the country at 0.84 points per possession allowed. Of the six games, the Wildcats went 6-0 SU but 2-4 ATS. Four of the six games went UNDER the total.

No. 1 Louisville (0.84 ppp allowed)
Result: Kentucky 69, Louisville (+10) 62; Under 136

No. 4 Kansas (0.86)
Result: Kentucky (-6.5) 75, Kansas 65; Under 147.5

No. 8 Alabama (0.88)
Result: Kentucky 77, Alabama (+10) 71; Over 130

No. 10 North Carolina (0.88)
Result: Kentucky 73, North Carolina (+6.5) 72; Under 156.5

No. 30 Vanderbilt (0.93)
Result: Kentucky (-4.5) 69, Vanderbilt 63; Under 135.5
Result: Kentucky 83, Vanderbilt (+11.5) 74; Over 138.5

Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Louisville Cardinals Andrew Lange


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