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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC News and Notes from Week 6

10.14.2013     07:09 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: AFC thoughts and opinions from Week 6.

Denver Broncos - This offense does NOT take downfield shots; arguably the best 'dink and dunk' attack I've ever seen. The passing game is just lots and lots of well executed short passes thrown by a remarkably accurate quarterback. Even on a day where the Broncos were clearly a little bit flat in a legitimate sandwich spot against the worst team in the league, the Broncos still had five offensive touchdowns compared to only three punts and zero field goal attempts.

But this secondary is officially a problem area, even with Champ Bailey active today. We all saw what Tony Romo did to them last week. Here, Chad Henne was converting on 3rd and 25’s and Justin Blackmon was catching 14 balls for 190 yards. Rahim Moore was dropping sure interceptions, they were getting gashed on the ground, and the pass rush wasn't there. To make matters worse, Denver has a cluster injury Read more



Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Jacksonville Jaguars New York Jets New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers Houston Texans Teddy Covers




LVH SuperContest consensus bets remain the best fade in town

10.14.2013     06:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Even with one game pending, the top six consensus plays for Week 6's LVH SuperContest failed yet again to produce a winning mark. Things got off to a good start when the most popular pick, the Pittsburgh Steelers, nabbed their first win of the season. But the Raiders, Redskins, and Texans all got steamrolled and the Saints decided they didn't want to win and handed the game to the Patriots. The top six thorough six weeks are now 8-26-1 ATS (Colts pending on MNF).




Tags: NFL




NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 5

10.09.2013     07:41 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Breaking Down the Undefeated and Winless ATS Teams
The list of winless and undefeated ATS teams continues to shrink after Week 5 of the season. Denver and Seattle were the two remaining undefeated teams but both came up short from an ATS perspective. However, there are still four teams looking for their first pointspread win of the season as we head into Week 6. Those teams are Houston, Jacksonville, and the New York Giants at 0-5 ATS along with Pittsburgh at 0-4 ATS.

The Giants, Jaguars, and Steelers have all failed to win a game straight up while the Texans are 2-3. New York will attempt to snap their SU and ATS winless streak in Chicago playing on a short week against a Bears team that has dropped their last two games. It doesn’t help the Giants have three major flaws right now. They can’t take care of the football, they can’t block up front, and their secondary has been ripped apart by each opponent they’ve faced.
Jacksonville finds itself involved this week in the largest pointspread in NFL history as they opened as 28-point underdogs against the Denver Broncos. The next largest spread was when the Pittsburgh Read more



Tags: NFL Ian Cameron




NFL Handicapping: Pittsburgh's offense not the only issue

10.01.2013     11:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Offense isn’t the only thing letting the Pittsburgh Steelers down these days. It's been well documented that Pittsburgh's defensive numbers from a year ago were a bit fraudulent due to the favorable nature of their schedule. Most metrics pointed towards the Steelers being slightly above league average. This year more of the same as the team ranks 17th against the pass and 20th against the run according to Football Outsiders. Amazingly Pittsburgh has yet to force a turnover – an unlucky but also telling statistic. When a team with a pedigree for defense comes out and says it just needs to play fundamental football and tackle better it typically indicates much bigger issues.


"I can't put my hands on it," said cornerback Ike Taylor. "We're just not getting the job done. You got to accept reality, and the reality is there are two or three games you're going to get your butt whipped in a season.

"Of course, you don't want it to happen; you want to be dominant. But I know going into the season there are

Read more



Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers




NFL Gambling Alert: Vikings to start Cassel vs. Steelers

09.27.2013     06:11 AM     Printer Friendly
Pittsburgh -3 vs. Minnesota O/U 42

With Christian Ponder sidelined with a broken rib, the Minnesota Vikings will give Matt Cassel the starting nod for Sunday's game against the Pittsburgh Steelers (in London). Cassel played in nine games last season for the Kansas City Chiefs with a 6-12 TD-to-INT ratio.

Come at me, bro...






Tags: NFL Minnesota Vikings Pittsburgh Steelers




NFL Handicapping Trends: Non-Conference Totals

09.25.2013     01:17 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The natural order of game importance in the NFL is one of the first things any handicapper/bettor has to learn and subsequently apply. Divisional games are by far the most important to all teams followed by conference and then non-conference. That being known, the general theories are as follows: 1) division games will be hotly contested and potentially lower scoring because of team familiarity, 2) conference action will be intense but maybe not quite as intense as division rivalries and 3) non-conference tilts are the games where letdowns and lesser focus can enable abnormal scores to occur. Of course this knowledge is simply a starting point and nothing more than one of many ingredients to be considered in each individual game handicap. Because there are eight of them this week, I’m going to use this article to look at handicapping non-conference totals.

So far this season, there have been 13 non-conference games played and the record sits at 8-5 61.5% to the over. All 13 games have had final score differentials of at least 3.5 points from the closing total and 10 of the 13 (76.9%) have ended 11.5 points or more off of the closer. Those are 10 very easy wins Read more



Tags: NFL Rob Veno




NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 3

09.25.2013     06:15 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Breaking Down The Undefeated and Winless ATS Teams
Like I did last week, I will take a look at the groups of winless and undefeated ATS teams after Week 3 of the season. Dallas, Miami, Seattle and the New York Jets are 3-0 ATS. Houston, St. Louis, Jacksonville, New York Giants, Pittsburgh, and Washington are 0-3 ATS.

Dallas had a dominant showing on both sides of the football against St. Louis. Miami was heavily outgained by Atlanta but put together a last minute game winning touchdown drive to get the win. Seattle crushed lowly Jacksonville. The NY Jets won the battle of rookie quarterbacks against Buffalo. I think the team most likely to fall out of the undefeated ATS ranks in Week 4 is Miami who will be taking a step up in class on the road against a New Orleans Saints team that has played solid defense for the first time in ages to go along with their potent offense.

The New York Giants and Pittsburgh Steelers are two teams that have been very good for nearly a decade yet they here they sit, 0-3 ATS. And I’m not sure either one has it in them to turn things around and get back on track. Both teams’ struggles show how Read more



Tags: NFL Ian Cameron




NFL Gambling Trends: Betting favorites have covered four straight in London series

09.23.2013     12:38 PM     Printer Friendly
The first of two London games goes on Sunday with Pittsburgh taking on Minnesota. San Francisco and Jacksonville (huh?) are slated to play in late October. Below is the betting history of the London series. Slight lean towards favorites (4-2 ATS) and unders (2-4 O/U).

NFL Betting Results in London 2007-present
Year
Team
Team
Final
Side ATS
Total
2013
Pittsburgh
Minnesota
???
???
???
2012
New England (-7.5)
St. Louis
NE 45, STL 7
Favorite
Over 46
2011
Chicago (-1.5)
Tampa Bay
CHI 24, TB 18
Favorite
Under 44.5
2010
Denver
San Francisco (-2)
SF 24, DEN 17
Favorite
Under 41
2009
New England (-15.5)
Tampa Bay
NE 35, TB 7
Favorite
Under 44.5
2008
San Diego
New Orleans (+3)
NO 37, SD 32
Underdog
Over 45.5
2007
NY Giants
Miami (+10)
NYG 13, MIA 10
Underdog
Under 47.5





Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers Minnesota Vikings




NFL Handicapping: Minnesota Vikings the top play for Week 3's SuperContest

09.22.2013     07:45 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Hasn't been a strong start to the NFL season for the LVH’s SuperContest consensus picks. The top six plays in Weeks 1 and 2 went a combined 2-9-1 ATS. And to no surprise we see Minnesota (who opened -3 and is now as high as -7) as the most popular selection for Week 3. Rounding out the top six are the New York Giants, Green Bay Packers, St. Louis Rams, Atlanta Falcons, and Pittsburgh Steelers.




Tags: NFL Minnesota Vikings




NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 2

09.17.2013     02:46 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A “Total” Stalemate
Unders and Overs split right down the middle in Week 1 going 8-8 and it was more of the same in Week 2 with another 8-8 record. That 16 Overs and 16 Unders through the first two weeks of the season – give or take a few due depending on what sportsbook you play at. Those results suggest that oddsmakers are starting to catch up to how much the league has changed and how favorable everything is for offenses. Three games saw more than 60 points scored in Week 2 but on the flip side, there were also three games with fewer than 30 points scored. My best advice with totals is to disregard a lot of the trends floating around in the betting community – especially those that go back three or more years. The game has evolved and each one deserves its very own handicap with pace and situation two of many factors to consider.

Proof that Rookie Starting Quarterbacks Can Be Perfect
Raise your hand if you thought that E.J. Manuel and Geno Smith would be a combined 4-0 ATS through the first two weeks of the season. Manuel and Smith have had their flickers of solid play but neither has been consistent Read more



Tags: NFL Ian Cameron



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Aug 25, 2016 02:46 AM.