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December

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC Super Bowl Contenders

11.25.2013     07:54 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I took a break from the typical team notes column that I’ve been writing here in the Vegas Wiseguy Report since the start of the NFL season, focusing on NFC Playoff Contenders. I’ll finish that thought process this week, turning my focus towards the AFC.

I had a spirited debate with a fairly well known professional bettor on Sunday Night after the games were finished. We were both having the same problem; trying to figure out somebody – anybody – in the AFC worthy of support down the stretch as a Super Bowl contender. Frankly, there aren’t a whole lot of choices, and our debate primarily consisted of finding fatal flaws in whatever team the other guy brought up.

My power rating numbers have seven of the top ten teams in the NFL residing in the NFC (Seattle, New Orleans, San Francisco, Carolina, Arizona, Dallas and Detroit). An eighth team could join that group after Aaron Rodgers gets healthy for Green Bay.  And all three of those supposedly elite level AFC teams have problems, which is why I included a fourth contender in my discussion below.

Six AFC teams sit at 5-6 right now, tied for the final Wild Card Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling: Buffalo's Manuel may play vs. Pittsburgh

11.06.2013     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Buffalo at Pittsburgh -3 O/U 43.5

Buffalo quarterback EJ Manuel has been cleared to play following a sprained knee. Manuel however has yet to be officially named the starter for Week 10's matchup at Pittsburgh. Back-up Thad Lewis remains questionable with bruised ribs.





Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills Pittsburgh Steelers




NFL Gambling Preview: Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots

10.31.2013     12:06 PM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh at New England
Sunday, 1:25 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
New England -7 O/U 43
CRIS Current: New England -6 O/U 43
Rob Veno's Power Rating: New England -8
Brent Crow's Recommendation: Pittsburgh

In years past this would have likely been the marquee game of the week with the success these two franchises have had. In fact, of the last ten AFC championship games, nine have featured Pittsburgh, New England or both.

This year, they are both trying to rebuild and do not resemble the high powered teams the NFL is used to seeing. New England has somehow managed to win six of its eight games with Tom Brady having his worst season ever thanks mostly to a lack of experienced weapons. The Steelers meanwhile have struggled to a 2-5 mark and have had trouble on both sides of the ball, with their trademark defense being the biggest culprit, especially against the run.

Steelers’ coach Mike Tomlin Read more



Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers New England Patriots Brent Crow




NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 8

10.30.2013     07:38 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to a sportsbooks worst nightmare
This was not the week to be a bookmaker. The public, which tends to bet favorites and overs, had a grand time in Week 8. Favorites went 8-5 ATS and totals were also 8-5 O/U. Thankfully, sportsbooks got the desired result on Monday night when the Rams and under both cashed but it still didn’t prevent an overall tough week for the books. Four of the biggest public teams in the NFL – all favorites – overcame sluggish starts to grab pointspread covers: New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, Green Bay Packers and Denver Broncos – and three of the four games involving those teams sailed over the total. This is just more proof that it is no longer safe nor practical to simply fade the public. The public doesn’t always lose and it is something that bettors must understand as they attempt to beat the NFL.

The risk of overreacting
It’s easy to overreact to results in the NFL. It happens all the time and even I find myself guilty of doing so. I’ve singled out the Monday night game that likely shocked many bettors when the Seattle Seahawks not only failed Read more



Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks St. Louis Rams New England Patriots Ian Cameron




NFL Gambling News: Steelers' o-line goes from bad to worse

10.28.2013     11:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh at New England -7 O/U 44

An already bad offensive line got hit with a bunch of injuries as Pittsburgh lost three linemen during Sunday's loss at Oakland. Amazingly, the Steelers have gone 15 straight games without a 100-yard rusher.





Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers New England Patriots




NFL Handicapping: Ravens tried to open up offense vs. Steelers

10.22.2013     07:46 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Desperate to get their run game going, the Baltimore Ravens tried to spread things out during last week's game against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Joe Flacco worked out of the shotgun and ran the no-huddle for a majority of the game. The change didn't do much as the Ravens finished with 287 totals yards and 82 yards on the ground (3.2 ypc). They were fairly efficient in between the 20-yard lines but settled for four field goals. Baltimore is on a bye and plays host to Cincinnati the following Sunday.


“We wanted to do a little of that and see if we could keep them on the field and run them around a little bit,” Flacco said.

“We wanted to see if we could run the ball still with some good looks rather than just sticking it up in there,” Flacco said. “We wanted to see if we could get ourselves some advantageous looks to run against. I thought we moved the ball pretty well.”







Tags: NFL Balimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers Cincinnati Bengals




NFL Handicapping: Second half betting trends for Week 7

10.18.2013     01:26 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
This week’s blog is a bit different than the previous weekly writings. I decided to go more specific this week and focused in on five Sunday NFL games that have some strong early season first half and second half betting trends. Let’s see if these continue to be money makers this weekend:  

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS and 0-5 O/U in second half play this year. The Buccaneers have only had one 2H total score more than 13 points. Tampa has scored one field goal in their last three second halves combined. They lost the 2H 6-0 three weeks ago at New England, 13-0 two weeks ago at home vs. Arizona and 17-3 last week at home against Philadelphia. 

Atlanta is 1-4 ATS and 4-1 O/U in the 2H this season. All four pointspread losses are either as pick ‘em or an underdog, their lone cover was as a favorite. In the Falcons last four games, the 2H totals have resulted in 27 or more points.

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh
Baltimore has been a tremendous second half team rattling off five consecutive straight up and ATS wins. Until last week’s 17-13 2H win and cover against Green Read more



Tags: NFL Rob Veno




NFL Gambling Preview: Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

10.15.2013     01:23 PM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore at Pittsburgh
Sunday, 1:25 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Pittsburgh -2.5 O/U 40.5
CRIS Current: Pittsburgh -2.5 O/U 40.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Baltimore -0.5
Marty Otto's Recommendation: Use Baltimore +8.5 at part of a 2-team, 6-point teaser

These AFC North rivals must be disappointed with the way they’ve started their seasons. The Ravens came into 2013 fresh off a Super Bowl victory having signed Joe Flacco to a monster deal while shuffling up plenty of faces both on offense and defense. For the Steelers there was guarded optimism that with a little luck in the health department their 8-8 season from 2012 could be improved upon to get back into the playoffs in 2013. So far it hasn’t all gone to plan for either side.

The Steelers used their bye week to good effect putting together a game plan and executing at a high level. The defense held the Jets to just six points and forced a Read more



Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers Otto Sports




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC News and Notes from Week 6

10.14.2013     07:09 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: AFC thoughts and opinions from Week 6.

Denver Broncos - This offense does NOT take downfield shots; arguably the best 'dink and dunk' attack I've ever seen. The passing game is just lots and lots of well executed short passes thrown by a remarkably accurate quarterback. Even on a day where the Broncos were clearly a little bit flat in a legitimate sandwich spot against the worst team in the league, the Broncos still had five offensive touchdowns compared to only three punts and zero field goal attempts.

But this secondary is officially a problem area, even with Champ Bailey active today. We all saw what Tony Romo did to them last week. Here, Chad Henne was converting on 3rd and 25’s and Justin Blackmon was catching 14 balls for 190 yards. Rahim Moore was dropping sure interceptions, they were getting gashed on the ground, and the pass rush wasn't there. To make matters worse, Denver has a cluster injury Read more



Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Jacksonville Jaguars New York Jets New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers Houston Texans Teddy Covers




LVH SuperContest consensus bets remain the best fade in town

10.14.2013     06:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Even with one game pending, the top six consensus plays for Week 6's LVH SuperContest failed yet again to produce a winning mark. Things got off to a good start when the most popular pick, the Pittsburgh Steelers, nabbed their first win of the season. But the Raiders, Redskins, and Texans all got steamrolled and the Saints decided they didn't want to win and handed the game to the Patriots. The top six thorough six weeks are now 8-26-1 ATS (Colts pending on MNF).




Tags: NFL



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