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NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 8

10.30.2013     07:38 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Welcome to a sportsbooks worst nightmare
This was not the week to be a bookmaker. The public, which tends to bet favorites and overs, had a grand time in Week 8. Favorites went 8-5 ATS and totals were also 8-5 O/U. Thankfully, sportsbooks got the desired result on Monday night when the Rams and under both cashed but it still didn’t prevent an overall tough week for the books. Four of the biggest public teams in the NFL – all favorites – overcame sluggish starts to grab pointspread covers: New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, Green Bay Packers and Denver Broncos – and three of the four games involving those teams sailed over the total. This is just more proof that it is no longer safe nor practical to simply fade the public. The public doesn’t always lose and it is something that bettors must understand as they attempt to beat the NFL.

The risk of overreacting
It’s easy to overreact to results in the NFL. It happens all the time and even I find myself guilty of doing so. I’ve singled out the Monday night game that likely shocked many bettors when the Seattle Seahawks not only failed Read more

Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks St. Louis Rams New England Patriots Ian Cameron

NFL Gambling News: Steelers' o-line goes from bad to worse

10.28.2013     11:11 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Pittsburgh at New England -7 O/U 44

An already bad offensive line got hit with a bunch of injuries as Pittsburgh lost three linemen during Sunday's loss at Oakland. Amazingly, the Steelers have gone 15 straight games without a 100-yard rusher.

Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers New England Patriots

NFL Handicapping: Ravens tried to open up offense vs. Steelers

10.22.2013     07:46 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Desperate to get their run game going, the Baltimore Ravens tried to spread things out during last week's game against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Joe Flacco worked out of the shotgun and ran the no-huddle for a majority of the game. The change didn't do much as the Ravens finished with 287 totals yards and 82 yards on the ground (3.2 ypc). They were fairly efficient in between the 20-yard lines but settled for four field goals. Baltimore is on a bye and plays host to Cincinnati the following Sunday.

“We wanted to do a little of that and see if we could keep them on the field and run them around a little bit,” Flacco said.

“We wanted to see if we could run the ball still with some good looks rather than just sticking it up in there,” Flacco said. “We wanted to see if we could get ourselves some advantageous looks to run against. I thought we moved the ball pretty well.”

Tags: NFL Balimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers Cincinnati Bengals

NFL Handicapping: Second half betting trends for Week 7

10.18.2013     01:26 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
This week’s blog is a bit different than the previous weekly writings. I decided to go more specific this week and focused in on five Sunday NFL games that have some strong early season first half and second half betting trends. Let’s see if these continue to be money makers this weekend:  

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS and 0-5 O/U in second half play this year. The Buccaneers have only had one 2H total score more than 13 points. Tampa has scored one field goal in their last three second halves combined. They lost the 2H 6-0 three weeks ago at New England, 13-0 two weeks ago at home vs. Arizona and 17-3 last week at home against Philadelphia. 

Atlanta is 1-4 ATS and 4-1 O/U in the 2H this season. All four pointspread losses are either as pick ‘em or an underdog, their lone cover was as a favorite. In the Falcons last four games, the 2H totals have resulted in 27 or more points.

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh
Baltimore has been a tremendous second half team rattling off five consecutive straight up and ATS wins. Until last week’s 17-13 2H win and cover against Green Read more

Tags: NFL Rob Veno

NFL Gambling Preview: Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

10.15.2013     01:23 PM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Baltimore at Pittsburgh
Sunday, 1:25 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Pittsburgh -2.5 O/U 40.5
CRIS Current: Pittsburgh -2.5 O/U 40.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Baltimore -0.5
Marty Otto's Recommendation: Use Baltimore +8.5 at part of a 2-team, 6-point teaser

These AFC North rivals must be disappointed with the way they’ve started their seasons. The Ravens came into 2013 fresh off a Super Bowl victory having signed Joe Flacco to a monster deal while shuffling up plenty of faces both on offense and defense. For the Steelers there was guarded optimism that with a little luck in the health department their 8-8 season from 2012 could be improved upon to get back into the playoffs in 2013. So far it hasn’t all gone to plan for either side.

The Steelers used their bye week to good effect putting together a game plan and executing at a high level. The defense held the Jets to just six points and forced a Read more

Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers Otto Sports

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC News and Notes from Week 6

10.14.2013     07:09 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: AFC thoughts and opinions from Week 6.

Denver Broncos - This offense does NOT take downfield shots; arguably the best 'dink and dunk' attack I've ever seen. The passing game is just lots and lots of well executed short passes thrown by a remarkably accurate quarterback. Even on a day where the Broncos were clearly a little bit flat in a legitimate sandwich spot against the worst team in the league, the Broncos still had five offensive touchdowns compared to only three punts and zero field goal attempts.

But this secondary is officially a problem area, even with Champ Bailey active today. We all saw what Tony Romo did to them last week. Here, Chad Henne was converting on 3rd and 25’s and Justin Blackmon was catching 14 balls for 190 yards. Rahim Moore was dropping sure interceptions, they were getting gashed on the ground, and the pass rush wasn't there. To make matters worse, Denver has a cluster injury Read more

Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Jacksonville Jaguars New York Jets New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers Houston Texans Teddy Covers

LVH SuperContest consensus bets remain the best fade in town

10.14.2013     06:59 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Even with one game pending, the top six consensus plays for Week 6's LVH SuperContest failed yet again to produce a winning mark. Things got off to a good start when the most popular pick, the Pittsburgh Steelers, nabbed their first win of the season. But the Raiders, Redskins, and Texans all got steamrolled and the Saints decided they didn't want to win and handed the game to the Patriots. The top six thorough six weeks are now 8-26-1 ATS (Colts pending on MNF).

Tags: NFL

NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 5

10.09.2013     07:41 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Breaking Down the Undefeated and Winless ATS Teams
The list of winless and undefeated ATS teams continues to shrink after Week 5 of the season. Denver and Seattle were the two remaining undefeated teams but both came up short from an ATS perspective. However, there are still four teams looking for their first pointspread win of the season as we head into Week 6. Those teams are Houston, Jacksonville, and the New York Giants at 0-5 ATS along with Pittsburgh at 0-4 ATS.

The Giants, Jaguars, and Steelers have all failed to win a game straight up while the Texans are 2-3. New York will attempt to snap their SU and ATS winless streak in Chicago playing on a short week against a Bears team that has dropped their last two games. It doesn’t help the Giants have three major flaws right now. They can’t take care of the football, they can’t block up front, and their secondary has been ripped apart by each opponent they’ve faced.
Jacksonville finds itself involved this week in the largest pointspread in NFL history as they opened as 28-point underdogs against the Denver Broncos. The next largest spread was when the Pittsburgh Read more

Tags: NFL Ian Cameron

NFL Handicapping: Pittsburgh's offense not the only issue

10.01.2013     11:31 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Offense isn’t the only thing letting the Pittsburgh Steelers down these days. It's been well documented that Pittsburgh's defensive numbers from a year ago were a bit fraudulent due to the favorable nature of their schedule. Most metrics pointed towards the Steelers being slightly above league average. This year more of the same as the team ranks 17th against the pass and 20th against the run according to Football Outsiders. Amazingly Pittsburgh has yet to force a turnover – an unlucky but also telling statistic. When a team with a pedigree for defense comes out and says it just needs to play fundamental football and tackle better it typically indicates much bigger issues.

"I can't put my hands on it," said cornerback Ike Taylor. "We're just not getting the job done. You got to accept reality, and the reality is there are two or three games you're going to get your butt whipped in a season.

"Of course, you don't want it to happen; you want to be dominant. But I know going into the season there are

Read more

Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers

NFL Gambling Alert: Vikings to start Cassel vs. Steelers

09.27.2013     06:11 AM     Printer Friendly
Pittsburgh -3 vs. Minnesota O/U 42

With Christian Ponder sidelined with a broken rib, the Minnesota Vikings will give Matt Cassel the starting nod for Sunday's game against the Pittsburgh Steelers (in London). Cassel played in nine games last season for the Kansas City Chiefs with a 6-12 TD-to-INT ratio.

Come at me, bro...

Tags: NFL Minnesota Vikings Pittsburgh Steelers


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