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ACC Tournament Betting Preview

03.14.2013     07:48 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
ACC Tournament Preview

The return of sharp shooting forward Ryan Kelly has most of the country believing that this is Duke’s tournament to lose. The bracket setup has the Blue Devils likely headed for a semifinal matchup with arch rival North Carolina who Duke dismantled at Chapel Hill last Saturday and then a potential showdown with Miami. Before we look too far ahead, there appears to be quite a bit of competitive basketball played between today’s first round and Friday’s quarterfinals. Youth will be in play as Wake Forest, Georgia Tech, Maryland, Virginia Tech and Clemson all have an abundance of underclassmen who are major contributors. With that in mind, results could be a bit random since there’s no real way of telling how players will react to this huge spotlight. Virginia and Maryland fit the “desperate team” bill here as they are both fighting to get into the Big Dance so expect fully focused efforts from each. Last season this tournament was played in Atlanta’s Phillips Arena but this year it is back in Greensboro Coliseum where in 2011, the tourney favorites went 8-3 against the spread. Of that 8-3 Read more

Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno

Big Ten Tournament Betting Preview

03.13.2013     04:08 PM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports blog entry.
Big Ten Tournament Preview

Michigan State cut down the nets last year in Banker’s Life Fieldhouse as the winner of the Big Ten Tournament. The Spartans were the No. 1 seed which marked the fifth time in the last six years the top team won.  This year’s event moves to the United Center in Chicago and the bullseye will fall on the Indiana Hoosiers who won the regular season crown and earned the No. 1 seed after knocking off Michigan last Sunday.  However, this is as deep a tournament field as I can remember since the inaugural event in 1998.  For much of the regular season you could throw a blanket over Indiana, Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State and even Wisconsin.  Keep in mind in late December Minnesota and Illinois were respectively ranked 11th and 12th in the country and then play in the No. 8 vs. No. 9 game tomorrow. 

First Round Pick/Darkhorse:  Iowa 
The Hawkeyes are a longshot to get to the Big Dance, but a rapidly improving basketball team, with a 20-11 record.  The Hawkeyes showed improvement down the stretch by winning six of their last eight games outright, Read more

Tags: College Basketball Erin Rynning

Big West Tournament Betting Preview

03.13.2013     02:30 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Big West Tournament Preview

The 2013 Big West Conference Tournament will take place March 14-16 at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California. The top eight teams qualified. In the semifinals, the highest seed will play the lowest seed, while the remaining two teams match up. Riverside is ineligible for postseason play, and thus will not compete in the tournament. Northridge finished 9th and also didn’t qualify.

Quarterfinal Pick: Cal Irvine
Hawaii enjoyed a nice 9-4 start to Big West play but stumbled down the stretch losing four of its last six. Their only conference win during that time came by just 4 points at home against bottom-tier Santa Barbara. Hawaii ended the season playing dreadful basketball on the highway going 0-4 SU/ATS and I’m not sure they have any momentum going into this tournament against an Irvine squad that went 6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS in its last seven games. These teams split the regular season series with each team winning at home but Irvine is the more talented team and in much better form entering this tournament. They also have the situational edge playing in their home state and facing a team Read more

Tags: College Basketball Ian Cameron

SEC Tournament Betting Preview

03.13.2013     08:31 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
SEC Tournament Preview
This year’s SEC Tournament is being played at the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tenn. All 14 teams are in action including SEC newcomers Texas A&M and Missouri. Of the 14 teams, only top seeded Florida is assured of a spot in the NCAA Tournament. There are currently no fewer than six SEC teams are on the bubble for the Big Dance – Kentucky, Alabama, Missouri, Tennessee, Arkansas and Ole Miss. Of those teams, all of them have at least one bye, with only Arkansas playing before the quarterfinals. Kentucky has dominated the SEC tournament recently and historically, winning 27 times and reaching the finals in each of the last three years with two titles. Top-seed Florida hasn’t won since 2007, reaching the finals just once in the past five years.
First Round pick: Arkansas
This is a huge game for the Razorbacks, who will still have work to boost their résumé should they get past the Commodores. Arkansas, like many SEC teams, played well at home but struggled on the highwat. Their series with Vandy was typical of their results; they beat Vandy 56-33 at Read more

Tags: College Basketball Brent Crow

College Basketball Handicapping: Hybrid Power Ratings

03.13.2013     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Updated these today. If you’re new to the blog….what you see below are a combination of:

*The team’s average margin in conference play ONLY

*Adjusted for conference strength based on Jeff Sagarin’s conference ratings (scroll way down)

Sagarin has the Big 10 as the best conference in the nation. So, I just used the normal margin averages for Big 10 teams. For the other teams:

Big East: margin average -1.5

Big 12: margin average -2.4

ACC: margin average -3.5

Mountain West: margin average -3.8

Pac 12: margin average -4.2

SEC: margin average -4.5

Atlantic 10: margin average -5.9

Missouri Valley: margin average -7.7

West Coast: margin average -9.2

Conference USA: margin average -10.3

Horizon: margin average -11.8

Metro-Atlantic: margin average -12.1

Colonial: margin average -13.5

Sun Belt: margin -15.1

Ohio Read more

Tags: College Basketball Stat Intelligence

Atlantic-10 Tournament Betting Preview

03.12.2013     02:04 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Atlantic-10 Tournament Preview

The Atlantic-10 Conference Tournament has moved from Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City to the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, home of the Nets for the 2013 season.  This conference got four Big Dance bids last year (Xavier, who made a run all the way to the Sweet 16, along with Saint Louis, St. Bonaventure and Temple).  They should get four teams into the mix this year – Saint Louis, VCU, Temple and Butler – and a fifth team, LaSalle, is live to get an at large bid if it doesn’t earn an auto-bid from winning the tourney title.

Last year the top seeds didn’t bring much intensity to the A-10 tournament, knowing that their Big Dance bids were already secure.  No. 1 seed Temple lost in their first game, as did No. 2 Saint Louis, and No. 4 seed St Bonaventure won the title in an 11-point win over Xavier on Selection Sunday.  I wouldn’t be surprised in the slightest if we saw a similar no-show from some of the top seeds this year!

First Round Pick: Xavier
The bottom three teams in the standings – Rhode Island, Fordham and Duquesne – Read more

Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers

Mountain West Tournament Betting Preview

03.12.2013     01:44 PM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Mountain West Tournament Preview
The Mountain West Conference Tournament features nine teams, with five of them in position to earn an NCAA berth. As a result, this year’s tournament should be a wide open affair. The contenders include top seed New Mexico, No. 2 Colorado State, No. 3 (and host) UNLV, No. 4 San Diego State and No. 5 Boise State. The Aztecs have had the most success in the tournament in recent years with four straight championship game appearances and two titles including last year.
First Round Pick: Air Force
Air Force had a surprising 8-8 finish in the conference, just two games behind UNLV’s 10-6 mark. They also played UNLV very tough, beating the Rebels by 15 on their home court and falling in overtime here back in January. UNLV was 7-1 SU on its home court in conference play, but covered just twice and won by more than 10 just twice, against bottom feeders Nevada and Wyoming. They lost their last home game to Fresno State and also struggled to beat Boise State in their next to last game, winning by just four. Air Force did have some poor efforts away from home this year, but Read more

Tags: College Basketball Brent Crow

PAC-12 Tournament Betting Preview

03.12.2013     01:27 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
PAC-12 Tournament Preview

The PAC-12 received only one at-large bid from the tournament selection committee last year.  That was at least partially the result of the numerous upsets in the PAC-12 tournament, where No. 6 seed Colorado beat No. 4 seed Arizona 53-51 in the Final. This year, UCLA, Oregon and Arizona are “locks” to make the Big Dance, and both Cal and Colorado are in good shape to get a bid as well.  As a result, the PAC-12’s first tournament here at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas isn’t as crucial for many of the top seeds as it was last year.

The PAC-12 lacks elite teams, but they don’t have any true bottom feeders in the conference either.  Arizona spent most of the season as the highest ranked PAC-12 team in the polls, but the Wildcats slumped down the stretch, losing four of their last eight games, including three out of four away from home.  UCLA enters the postseason near the bottom of the top 25.  Oregon spent a good portion of the season ranked, but the Ducks’ 5-6 SU mark down the stretch has left them in the “others receiving votes” category as Read more

Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers

Big Sky Tournament Betting Preview

03.12.2013     11:08 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Big Sky Tournament Preview

The format of the Big Sky Tournament changes seemingly every year. Last year, only six teams made the field and the first round were at campus sites. The semifinals were at top seed Montana and the Grizzlies defeated second seed Weber State, 85-66, in the finals. This year sets up for an identical scenario with Montana hosting and Weber once again the No. 2 seed. After the first round they reseed the teams with Montana playing the lowest remaining seed in the semifinals.

First Round Pick: Southern Utah/North Dakota OVER
I'm not usually looking to play neutral site conference tournament games over the total but both teams have obviously played in Montana's gym – which is normal in terms of back drop and depth perception – and I'm confident that pace of the game will be fairly high. In the two regular season meetings, SUU and ND hit 72 and 70 possessions. Both teams score and allow about a point per possession which gives us a raw score around 140. In the first meeting, SUU won 79-67 and like a lot of lower-level Big Sky games – because a lot these teams don't defend particularly Read more

Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange

Big XII Tournament Betting Preview

03.12.2013     07:26 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Big XII Tournament Preview

The Big XII Tournament will get under way Wednesday evening at the Sprint Center in Kansas City, MO. Arrivals and departures over the past couple of seasons have transformed the conference entirely. Once a solid top two or three power conference I’d say they’ve dropped a few spots with their current roster. Texas and West Virginia’s struggles this season have certainly been a big reason for the drop but losing solid contributors like Texas A&M, Missouri and Colorado while adding TCU really hurts (at least for basketball). Still there is some quality here with Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Iowa State and Oklahoma all ranked in the top 50 in KenPom’s rankings and all five having a legit claim at a berth in the NCAA Tournament. One more team, Baylor, could potentially sneak in to the Big Dance with a deep run to the finals. I don’t see any of the bottom four – Texas, WVU, Texas Tech or TCU – making a championship run so at max I see the Big XII as a five- or six-bid league. Kansas has been a historically dominant force in this tournament having won five of the last seven Read more

Tags: College Basketball Otto Sports


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