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MLB Handicapper Free Play: New York Mets at Minnesota Twins

04.13.2013     07:38 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
NY Mets (Harvey) -130 at Minnesota (Diamond) O/U 7
Recommendation: New York

So the word is out on New York's Matt Harvey being one of the premier young arms in the game. In two starts, the big right hander racked up 19 strikeouts and allowed only four hits. I wasn't big fan of the Mets extending him last time out – they were up 7-1 and Harvey was at 95 pitches prior to sending him out for the seventh inning. This is not the type of arm you want to mess with. But for the time being we have a premium arm that in a few more starts will be commanding a premium price. Minnesota sends Scott Diamond to the hill. He had off-season surgery and was brought along slowly during spring training. With cold weather and a pitch count I'm not expecting a top notch performance from Diamond. Also note that shadows have a big impact on early season mid-afternoon games at Target Field. It is expected to be partly cloudy but if the sun peaks in, hitting Harvey could be damn near impossible. Read more

Tags: MLB New York Mets Minnesota Twins Andrew Lange

LVH oddsmaker Jeff Sherman gears up for the Masters

04.11.2013     07:07 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Cool article on LVH golf oddsmaker Jeff Sherman. Sherman has been doing it for 20 years and claims that he does not copy or shade lines from other sportsbooks.

“A tremendous amount of number-crunching and researching goes into any kind of oddsmaking, but especially in golf,” Kornegay said. “Golfers tend to play certain courses differently. It’s not just the same basketball dimensions like our court back in Hickory. It’s different every week, so you’ve got to start over every week because of the changes.”

Tags: PGA

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Betting on or against NBA bottom feeders

04.08.2013     07:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
I’ve been writing about college basketball fairly consistently since the Super Bowl.  Now that the calendar has shifted to April, it’s time to shift focus and start writing about the NBA.  With less than ten days remaining in the regular season, most of the prevailing focus is on playoff teams.  That’s why I’m writing this week’s column about the bottom feeders that have already been eliminated from playoff contention. 

Can we make money betting on or against these squads down the stretch?  Read on to find out my thoughts on a handful of lottery bound teams before I shift my focus towards playoff squads next week and beyond!  Teams are listed in alphabetical order.

In the 2012 season, the Charlotte Bobcats set a record for NBA futility, finishing the season 7-59 SU.  Their pointspread futility made headlines here in Las Vegas as well, as the Bobcats finished as the single biggest money loser in the league by a wide margin, a woeful 23-43 ATS. 

In 2013, the Bobcats didn’t set any records for futility, but they’ve still got the single worst SU record in the Read more

Tags: NBA Teddy Covers

Las Vegas oddsmakers gear up for Final Four

04.04.2013     07:47 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Las Vegas oddsmakers comments on some of their liabilities with futures bets on the Final Four and NCAA Championship. At one point Wichita State was 300-1 to win the title.

“The liability we have on Wichita State in the futures, we’ve already covered that with what we’ve made on them in their other games,” Malinowski said. “If I had to paint the picture overall of what Wichita did for us in the tournament, it would be positive.”

“You have a handful of people who will throw $5 or $10 here and there on teams like Wichita State,” Malinowski said. “A few of those add up real quickly.”

Tags: College Basketball

MLB Handicapping: Lincecum and Beckett try to regain form

04.03.2013     06:53 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
San Francisco (Lincecum) at LA Dodgers (Beckett) -122 O/U 7

Pitchers are fragile creatures and when decline hits it is tough to stop. Take Josh Beckett who in 2011 posted a 2.89 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in Boston. Tim Lincecum won back-to-back Cy Young awards in 2008 and 2009 and as recently as 2011 was considered one of the most dominant pitchers in baseball. Beckett is only 32 but has already racked up nearly 1,900 innings. He pitched well following last year's trade to LA (43 IP, 2.93 ERA) but no longer has top-tier stuff. Heading into 2013, Beckett has essentially been forced to reinvent himself.

Like most pitchers, he chased the lost velocity for a good while and got beat up doing it. Then he accepted it, or tried, and got beat up some anyway. So there'll be days like Sunday when he's a few inches right or left of guile, far from perfect, and the

Read more

Tags: MLB San Francisco Giants Los Angeles Dodgers

NBA Gambling Update: Miami Heat rest James and Wade vs. New York Knicks

04.02.2013     02:02 PM     Printer Friendly

New York at Miami -2 O/U

Looks like Miami will rest LeBron James, Dwyane Wade, and Mario Chalmers tonight against the New York Knicks. The trio missed Sunday's game at San Antonio – the Heat won 88-86. On yesterday's overnight lines the Heat opened -8 and were bet down to -7 before sportsbooks took the game off the board. They reopened Miami -1.5, it was bet down to pick 'em, and then up to as high as -2.5 before settling in at -1.5/-2.

NBA Betting Recap: Heat rest James and Wade, take down Spurs

04.01.2013     07:36 AM     Read more

Tags: NBA Miami Heat New York Knicks

NBA Handicapping: Utah Jazz win fifth in a row, hold half game lead over Lakers

04.02.2013     07:22 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

For those of you (us) who have only been half-paying attention to the NBA during the crush of March Madness, it’s time to get caught up on the race for the #8 spot in the Western brackets. I’ve been trusting glances at the mainstream media to keep me informed, which led to a couple of surprises.

*Utah has had trouble shedding its “choker” label, even though they’ve now won five games in a row by margins of 16-15-10-9-10. They’re either 7-0-1 or 8-0 against market prices their last eight depending on when Jazz backers hit the Monday line. Some choke job!

*Dallas is seen as a hard-charging team making a run even though they were just crushed at home by Brooklyn and Indiana, and needed a heroic last second shot from Dirk Nowitzki to survive a home game with Chicago. They are playing better than they had been. But, Western Conference playoff caliber teams don’t get spanked at home by Brooklyn and Indiana.

The one thing that has been Read more

Tags: NBA Utah Jazz Stat Intelligence

NCAA Tournament Gambling: Consensus bets for Sunday's Ellite Eight

03.31.2013     07:18 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here are the consensus bets for today's Elite Eight according to Bookmaker. Note that the percentages represent the number of bets (not total handle) placed on each given wager.

Louisville -3.5 - 68.5%
Michigan +2.5 - 54.4%

Michigan +130 - 67.1%
Duke +165 - 58.0%

Michigan-Florida OVER 132.5 - 83.3%
Duke-Louisville OVER 137 - 67.7%


Tags: College Basketball Louisville Cardinals Duke Blue Devils Michigan Wolverines Florida Gators

NCAA Tournament Betting Recap: Wichita State headed to Final Four

03.31.2013     07:04 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intellience

There was a lot of chatter this year that parity in college basketball had set up a great possibility that another mid major was going to make it to the Final Four. Then it happened, the 11th most likely mid major team did it!

Mid-Major Seeds


3…New Mexico

4…Saint Louis

5…VCU, UNLV (how did UNLV get a #5 seed again??!!)

6…Memphis, Butler

7…Creighton, San Diego State

8…Colorado State

9…Wichita State, Temple

And, you can’t say it came cheap. Wichita State beat Pittsburgh as a dog…beat Gonzaga as a dog…and beat Ohio State as a dog…teams the computers had loved all season.

Current Computer Composite of “Shocked” Favorites

Gonzaga 5 in Kenpom, 7 in Sagarin, 5 in BPI

Ohio State 6 in Kenpom, 5 in Sagarin, 7 in BPI

Pittsburgh 11 in Kenpom, 14 in Sagarin, 15 in BPI

Going from Read more

Tags: College Basketball Wichita State Shockers Stat Intelligence

NCAA Tournament Betting Recap: Duke dispatches Sparty, Florida sends Cinderella packing

03.30.2013     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The first half of Duke/Michigan State went pretty much the way you would expect. Duke had to hit treys to compete. Seth Curry was 6 of 7 all by himself in the first 20 minutes. Michigan State dominated the inside. Duke led thanks to their big edge in treys.

In the second half, Duke played very good inside defense while Michigan State kept forcing up bad shots. That led to a 13 minute dry spell that saw the Spartans only make one field goal from about 17 minutes left to about 4 minutes left. Academic after that. I usually blast Duke’s inside defense. They really did a good job here of blocking shots and denying good looks when it mattered down the stretch.

Duke 71, Michigan State 61

2-Point Percentage: Michigan State 45%, Duke 42%

3-Point Shooting: Michigan State 3/12, Duke 7/18

Free Throws: Michigan State 18/24, Duke 24/26

1’s and 2’s: Michigan State 52, Duke 50

Rebounds: Michigan State 33, Duke Read more

Tags: College Basketball Duke Blue Devils Michigan State Spartans Florida Gators Florida Gulf Coast Eagles Stat Intelligence


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