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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles

06.24.2012     07:43 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Washington (Detwiler) at Baltimore (Arrieta) -125 O/U 9
Recommendation: Over

The Orioles bats have gone to sleep in their last eight games scoring only 15 runs and hitting a meager .174. Prior to the slump, Baltimore had torn the cover off the ball scoring 44 runs in the six games previous to this skid. The extended slump is something every team encounters during the 162 game season but the O’s have good reason for this one as they’ve faced outstanding pitching during this stretch. New York’s R.A. Dickey and Johann Santana, Atlanta’s Brandon Beachy (prior to his injury) and Tommy Hanson and Washington’s Jordan Zimmerman and Edwin Jackson have all thrown gems against Baltimore but today things should change. Washington starter Ross Detwiler was hit hard by the Orioles last month allowing 10 base runners and six earned runs in five innings. It was part of a three-game span which saw Detwiler post a 1.56 WHIP and 7.31 ERA against light hitting Pittsburgh Read more

Tags: MLB Washington Nationals Baltimore Orioles Rob Veno

MLB Gambling Free Play: Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox

06.24.2012     07:37 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports blog entry.
Atlanta (Minor) at Boston (Cook) -110 O/U 10.5
Recommendation: Boston

The Braves and Red Sox play the rubber match of a three-game set in Fenway Park Sunday afternoon. Atlanta sends southpaw Mike Minor to the hill and he’s found trouble at just about every turn this season, while showing a 6.04 ERA. The road has been tough sledding for Minor with a 6.55 ERA and 12 home runs allowed. The long ball figures to provide the left-hander with issues once again today. Pitching in Fenway against a patient and deep Red Sox lineup is simply too much for Minor to overcome with confidence a real issue. Meanwhile, Aaron Cook is expected to climb the bump for the Red Sox. Cook is looking forward to this opportunity after a dismal start for the Sox back on May 5. No question the groundballing Cook has toiled at the major league level going back to last season. However, he recently Read more

Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox Atlanta Braves Erin Rynning

MLB Betting News: Oakland sends McCarthy back to DL, Griffin to make debut

06.24.2012     07:00 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
San Francisco (Cain) at Oakland (Griffin)

With Brandon McCarthy heading back to the DL, Oakland will ask righty AJ Griffin to make his MLB debut this afternoon vs. San Francisco. Griffin is already 24 years old and has no trouble putting up good numbers in the minors (255.3 IP, 3.17 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 46 BBs, 240 Ks). He reportedly doesn't throw very hard; 88-91 mph with a good change-up and cutter. One prospect rankings list has Griffin 19th in the A's organization (Jarrod Parker No. 1 and Tom Milone No. 8).    

Tags: MLB Oakland A's San Francisco Giants

MLB Handicapping: White Sox send Humber to DL, recall Axelrod

06.23.2012     07:17 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Milwaukee (Wolf) at Chicago WS (Axelrod) -125 O/U 9.5

Add Chicago's Philip Humber to our list of starting pitchers on the DL. The way he was throwing of late, it may not be that big of a loss. In his place, at least for today, will be Dylan Axelrod. Axelrod made one spot start back in early May (4.1 IP, 2 ER at Detroit) and since then has been pitching in Triple-A (3.18 ERA, 68 IP, 66 Ks).

Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox Milwaukee Brewers

MLB Betting Notes: Positive signs for Seattle's Felix Hernandez

06.23.2012     07:01 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Seattle (Hernandez) -140 at San Diego (Marquis) O/U 6.5

Seattle’s Felix Hernandez had a rough month-long stretch with back problems and only one quality start. It wasn't until his last outing that he finally looked like his old self: 7 IP, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 Ks vs. San Francisco. According to one team blog, it appears that King Felix made some minor mechanical adjustments. Also note that in comparison to earlier this year, his velocity was up.

Felix made a tweak to his position on the mound, he got comfortable with it, and he says he felt terrific. Before that, he didn't feel terrific, and his performance wasn't terrific. If Felix used to face the catcher right on, I don't know what would've made that change, but now it looks like it's changing back. After one start, signs are positive.

Tags: MLB Seattle Mariners San Diego Padres

MLB Handicapping: Oddsmakers and bettors adjust to hot weather

06.22.2012     01:36 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
A lot of talk about warm temperatures throughout the Midwest and East and the impact it has had on home runs. Over the last three days, there were 83 home runs in 36 games. Yet from a betting perspective totals were 15-19-2 Over/Under (13-14 O/U if you eliminate games on the West Coast). The heat without question helps produce more home runs but the results show that with adjustments by oddsmakers and the betting markets, blindly playing games in hot temps over the total is far from automatic. It is my belief that games involving pitchers that are prone to fly balls that provide the optimal situation to bet Overs. Jake Wesbrook, Justin Masterson, Rick Porcello, and Dillon Gee all have groundball tendencies and fared well in recent starts whereas flyballers Phil Hughes and Bronson Arroyo were pounded for a combined six home runs. There were however some grounballers who struggled (Derek Lowe) and some flyballers who had success (Jake Peavy, James McDonald) so each game still requires a good old fashion handicap.

If you are looking for a scientific Read more

Tags: MLB

MLB Free Gambling Play: Minnesota Twins at Cincinnati Reds

06.22.2012     10:29 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Minnesota (Blackburn) at Cincinnati (Bailey)
Recommendation: Cincinnati R/L -1.5 +105

The Twins have lost each of their last three series; outscored 17-5 in their three game set at Pittsburgh earlier this week.  Their lineup is slumping again, managing only 16 runs scored in their last seven games.  Their pitching staff is nothing short of a disaster area – opponents have scored 8, 7, 9, 6, 5, 6, 4, 7, 1 and 9 runs against them in their last ten games, while the Twins starters, as a group, have recorded a grand total of two outs past the sixth inning during that entire span.  That leaves an overworked bullpen behind struggling Minnesota starter Nick Blackburn this evening, opening the door for a big Reds blowout!

Blackburn would have the worst ERA among full time major league starting pitchers if he had enough innings to qualify.  But he’s been knocked out of the box so early so often that he’s averaged less than five innings per start, Read more

Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Cincinnati Reds Teddy Covers

Sports Betting Podcast 6-22-2012 with Handicapper Erin Rynning

06.22.2012     10:23 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Erin Rynning. ER broke down the MLB card from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Erin Rynning - MLB Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Erin Rynning

MLB Handicapper Free Pick: New York Yankees at New York Mets

06.22.2012     10:20 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
NY Yankees (Pettitte) at NY Mets (Niese)
Recommendation: Mets +120 1st 5 innings

We’re swinging a big bat the past week going 8-1 on our MLB plays and posting over +12 units of profit following our Interleague Game of the Year winner as the Indians pounded the Reds 8-1. June has produced solid profits and we’ll take a shot tonight in the Subway Series at Citi Field. The Mets (38-32) play with redemption following a series sweep to the Yankees June 10th. The Yankees (41-27) lead the Majors with 105 home runs, but the Bronx Bombers won’t have their favorable hitter’s park this series. Yankee Stadium is tied for the MLB lead yielding 2.88 HR per game, while Citi Field is no. 25 at 1.57 HR per game.

But note that the Yankees continue to struggle with men in scoring position; ranking among the worst in the Majors with a .218 batting average with RISP. Mets starter Jon Niese did not allow an earned run over seven innings against the Yankees June 10th, and Read more

Tags: MLB New York Yankees New York Mets __

MLB Handicapping: Toronto's pitching staff will be up against it

06.22.2012     08:27 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Update on Toronto's starting pitching situation. If the last two games were any indication, the Blue Jays are going to need to score five runs or more per game to even compete. Joel Carreno was pounded for five runs and three dingers against Milwaukee. A similar outcome from Jesse Chavez (2.2 IP, 4 ERs) prior to that. Add in fringe starter Brett Cecil and Mr. Borrowed Time Henderson Alvarez and you can see things are likely to get worse before they get better. And then there is Ricky Romero who takes the ball tonight in Philadelphia. Romero is somehow 7-1 but he too may be on borrowed time considering his strikeout, walk, BABIP, and FIP numbers all suggest upcoming struggles. Note that the Jays recently aquired Sean O’Sullivan and David Pauley.

Tags: MLB Toronto Blue Jays


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