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MLB Betting News: Doubront's a better pitcher despite dip in velocity

07.10.2013     07:52 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Boston (Doubront) -130 at Seattle (Harang) O/U 8

It is no secret that Felix Doubront's velocity is significantly down from last season. But this year's version has up until this point been far more effective. Doubront's strikeout rate is still a very respectable 8.51 per 9 and his FIP is a very healthy 3.74. What Doubront has done is avoid the long ball with only eight allowed through 92 innings. According to his catcher Jarrod Saltalamacchia Doubront's success has come from far better command of his secondary pitches.

"He's got more command with his off-speed stuff," catcher Jarrod Saltalamacchia said. "The changeup's a big pitch, 3-2 counts, 3-1 counts on big hitters. He's definitely become more of a complete pitcher, you can't really sit on one pitch. As far as just being able to throw the ball over the plate, get these hitters aggressive and

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Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox Seattle Mariners

Sports Betting Podcast 7-9-2013 with Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning

07.09.2013     10:04 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning. Ian and Erin went through every game on the MLB card.

Today's segments
Full Show

Ian Cameron - American League (Free Play)

Erin Rynning - National League

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Ian Cameron Erin Rynning

MLB Handicapping: Los Angeles Dodgers Dominating Division Lately

07.09.2013     07:51 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Lost amidst all the Puig-headed arguing about how great six-week stats have to be to earn an All-Star invitation…is the message that the Los Angeles Dodgers have been sending lately to the rest of the NL West.

After Monday Night’s 6-1 victory in Arizona, the Dodgers are 7-4, with a 59-38 run differential in their last 11 ROAD games in the division. Not 7-4 with a split schedule. Seven of 11 with a big run differential only counting games away from home against the teams they need to beat to reach the playoffs. Strong stuff.

The offense has been lethal lately with both Puig and Ramirez putting up monster numbers (they were 5 of 10 combined tonight with 2 runs scored and 2 RBI). Kershaw is the ace of the league. Greinke was back in form tonight. If recently acquired Nolasco from Florida can settle down the back end of the rotation…we could have a rags to riches story that moves very quickly. The Dodgers play two more games in Arizona before hosting Colorado Read more

Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers Stat Intelligence

Sports Betting Podcast 7-8-2013 with Handicappers Rob Veno and Teddy Covers

07.08.2013     09:55 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Teddy Covers. Rob went through the MLB card and provided a free play. Teddy talked College Football Regular Season Over/Under Wins.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - MLB (Free Play)

Teddy Covers - College Football Season O/U Wins

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB College Football Rob Veno Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins

07.08.2013     08:23 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Atlanta (Minor) -155 at Miami (Slowey) O/U 8
Recommendation: Over

After opening the season with 10 quality starts in his first 13 outings, Atlanta’s Mike Minor is now in the midst of one of those rough patches that have plagued his young career. Minor’s recent four game stretch has totaled 24 innings, 37 hits, 58 total bases, 5.63 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. He’s had difficulty getting through innings as evidenced by the fact that he’s averaged facing 4.5 batters per inning in four of his last five starts after averaging only 3.84 in his 12 prior starts. Minor’s track record indicates he’s not a pitcher who quickly snaps out of funks which could bode well for Miami which has scored four or more runs in 10 of its last 15 games. Atlanta’s offense has supported Minor well all season scoring 5.35 runs per game while batting .282 and recording an .816 OPS. Those numbers indicate the Braves could have success against Miami’s Kevin Slowey who’s now Read more

Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves Miami Marlins Rob Veno

MLB Handicapping: Analyzing Offenses Over the Past Four Weeks

07.08.2013     08:19 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Because a lot of the “four-max” data that we’ve been presenting on Sunday nights has become fairly locked in halfway into the season, I wanted to focus instead today on what’s been happening the past month. There are some fairly established surges and collapses that you should be aware of if you’re reporting on baseball as a writer or betting on baseball in Las Vegas.

If this is your first time reading about the four-max approach (always some newbies popping in), here’s what we’re doing.

*Only recording offense in the first five innings

*Cutting off scoring at a maximum of four runs

*Tabulating full season averages from that 0-1-2-3-4 scale

This was started as a way to have a framework for handicapping “first half” betting propositions in the markets (you can pick the winner or bet Over/Unders for just the first five innings of baseball games). But, it was clear pretty quickly that the numbers Read more

Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence

MLB Betting Notes: Philadelphia Phillies offense starting to produce

07.08.2013     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly

Some numbers of note regarding the Philadelphia Phillies offense.

April 1-May 31
Record: 26-29
Batting Average: .244
On-Base: .302
OPS: .691
Runs Per Game: 3.49
Over/Under: 27-26-1

June 1-July 7
Record: 17-17
Batting Average: .279
On-Base: .329
OPS: .762
Runs Per Game: 4.64
Over/Under: 22-12

MLB Gambling News: Phillies close but not ready to quit on season

07.06.2013     08:12 AM     View Original Blog

At 7.5 games out in the National League East, the Philadelphia Phillies are at a crossroads in their season. It is an aging team that has Read more

Tags: MLB Philadelphia Phillies

MLB Gambling News: Streaks abound in the National League West

07.08.2013     07:43 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The National League West has officially become a handicapping nightmare. Arizona lost eight of nine but bounced back with five straight wins. Los Angeles has crawled back into the division race having won 12 of 15. San Diego was hovering around .500 but just wrapped up a 1-9 road trip. San Francisco has lost five straight series to fall 6.5 games back of the D-Backs. And Colorado has lost six of seven and had two more players go down with injuries as Roy Oswalt left Sunday's start with a bum hamstring and Carlos Gonzalez hurt a finger.

"We have to figure it out. We are banged up, but a lot of teams are. We have to find a way to win games, that's the bottom line," Weiss said. "We have to put together better at-bats. I don't care who's pitching. You can only give credit to the pitcher so much."

"We are in a bad situation right now. We have to play better. We don't look the same. It's been a bad time. They totally played better than us," said Gonzalez, whose finger X-Ray didn't reveal a break,

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Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies San Diego Padres San Francisco Giants Arizona Diamondbacks Los Angeles Dodgers

MLB Betting Free Play: Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians

07.06.2013     08:39 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Detroit (Sanchez) at Cleveland (Carrasco) +135 O/U 9
Recommendation: Cleveland

Detroit's Anibal Sanchez was having an incredible season before a shoulder issues forced him onto the DL a few weeks back. Since joining the Tigers, he's managed to stay healthy but it is important to note that he does have a history of arm ailments including shoulder surgery. And he's been worked pretty hard this season with six starts of 113 pitches or more including 130 back in late May. In his last start before being placed on the DL, Sanchez's velocity was way down – how many times have we seen a pitcher placed on the DL and then return only to suffer another setback? To me, Sanchez is being priced today as if he was dialed in and 100% healthy which I don't think is the case. At home against Houston or Kansas City would be a more ideal situation compared to on the road vs. Cleveland's left-handed heavy lineup. I'm of the thinking that Carlos Carrasco will at some point figure things out. He's got Read more

Tags: MLB Detroit Tigers Cleveland Indians Andrew Lange

MLB Gambling News: Phillies close but not ready to quit on season

07.06.2013     08:12 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
At 7.5 games out in the National League East, the Philadelphia Phillies are at a crossroads in their season. It is an aging team that has had a difficult time staying healthy and some folks would argue that now is the time to start looking towards next year and beyond. General Manager Ruben Amaro came out yesterday and essentially said that if the team doesn't get after it during its upcoming 10-game home stand then break out of the white flags. So far so good as they beat the Braves 5-4 last night.

“This homestand is very important,” general manager Ruben Amaro Jr. said before Friday night’s game. “We’ve got to play well to stay in contention, clearly. I think we’ll know a lot more about this team after this homestand.”

“It could,” Amaro admitted. “It could. I hope we’re adding to this club rather than subtracting. That’s the goal, but as I always say and I’ve been saying, the players will dictate it.

“These next 10 days are

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Tags: MLB Philadelphia Phillies


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