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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Cleveland Indians at Houston Astros

04.20.2013     08:10 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Cleveland (Kazmir) -105 at Houston (Humber) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Cleveland

I've watched enough of Philip Humber over the years to know that it's going to be extremely hard for him to have sustained success. When you are right-handed and your average fastball (which is down a tick or two from last season) hovers in the high 80's in becomes very difficult to turn over lineups in the American League. Humber also has a horrible track record vs. Cleveland (22.2 IP, 22 ERs, 8.74 ERA) in part because the Tribe has a ton of lefties and Humber has strong lefty/righty splits: 2013 - vs. L .387, vs. R .122; 2012 - vs. L .400, vs. R .238; 2011 - vs. L .266, vs. R .200. The Tribe hasn’t exactly been ripping the ball of late but this serves as a good opportunity to turn things around.

Cleveland's Scott Kazmir is getting one last chance to prove he can be a MLB pitcher. I've heard less than flattering stuff about Kazmir's off-the-field habits in the past but in reading about his Read more

Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians Houston Astros Andrew Lange

Sports Betting Podcast 4-19-2013 with Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning

04.19.2013     10:26 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Ian Cameron, and Erin Rynning. Ian and Erin went through every game on the MLB card.

Today's segments
Full Show

Ian Cameron - National League

Erin Rynning - American League

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Ian Cameron Erin Rynning

MLB Gambling Free Play: Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles

04.18.2013     12:24 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Tampa Bay (Price) at Baltimore (Gonzalez) +123 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Baltimore

The Rays entered last night’s game in Baltimore in the midst of a 1-7 slide.  They had scored a grand total of 14 runs and hitting .160 as a team; shut out twice and held to two runs or less on four other occasions during that span. 

Yes, the Rays got a couple of clutch hits in their 6-2 win over the Orioles yesterday, but this is still very much a struggling lineup these days. That’s bad news against emerging Orioles starter Mike Gonzalez, who shut down this Tampa lineup repeatedly last year and dominated them again in a 6-3 win at Tampa in his 2013 debut less than two weeks ago. And Baltimore’s bullpen remains an elite level unit just as they were last year; far more effective through the first few weeks of the season than Tampa’s suspect bullpen. 

The Orioles have hit southpaws better than righties in early season play, and they’ve had Read more

Tags: MLB Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays Teddy Covers

Sports Betting Podcast 4-18-2013 with Handicappers Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning

04.18.2013     10:35 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning. Teddy broke down the MLB card while Erin gave his initial thoughts an opinions on the first round of the NBA Playoffs.

Today's segments
Full Show

Teddy Covers - MLB

Erin Rynning - NBA Playoffs

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA Teddy Covers Erin Rynning

MLB Handicapping: Wind and rain in forecast for Rangers-Cubs

04.18.2013     07:37 AM     Printer Friendly
Texas (Ogando) -145at Chicago Cubs (Villanueva) O/U 10.5

Wind expected to be blowing out to left field at nearly 20 mph this afternoon at Wrigley Field. Oddsmakers opened the game's total at 12.5 but it was quickly bet down to 10.5. Totals of 10.5 or more at Wrigley are on a 42-46-1 O/U run. Note that the game may be delayed or even canceled due to the likelihood of rain. If the rain passes and they resume the game, the wind could shift directions.


Tags: MLB Chicago Cubs Texas Rangers

MLB Handicapping: Cincinnati Reds call up stud lefty Cingrani

04.18.2013     07:20 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Miami (Hernandez) at Cincinnati (Cingrani) -160 O/U 7.5

With Johnny Cueto on the DL, the Cincinnati Reds called up highly touted left-hander Tony Cingrani for a spot start against Miami. Cingrani was a third round pick in 2011. He's posted some unbelievable numbers in the minor leagues (206 IP, 271 Ks, 59 BBs, 1.40 ERA) and currently the third-rated prospect in the organization.

"He's been down there to work on getting secondary stuff over. Most pitchers work off of their fastball," Baker said. "The best pitch in baseball is a well-located fastball. There have been guys that throw everything and can't get [anything] over -- they have eight pitches, all of them bad. Then there are some guys like Mario Soto -- he had two pitches, a changeup and fastball."

Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Miami Marlins

MLB Gambling Free Pick: Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners

04.17.2013     01:49 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Detroit (Scherzer) at Seattle (Hernandez) +100 O/U 6.5
Recommendation: Seattle

There’s obviously unlimited backlash against this anemic Seattle Mariners offense as money pours in against Felix Hernandez today. Analysis of the statistical facts early on suggests that this Seattle offense can’t generate enough offense to support Hernandez in this matchup. They could only muster three runs in each of King Felix’s last two starts versus lesser opposing starters Dylan Axelrod (Chicago WS) and Justin Grimm (Texas). Those games resulted in Seattle losses and in the Texas game, Hernandez simply didn’t pitch well enough to win allowing 10 hits (15 total bases) and two walks in 6.2 innings.

After a pair of subpar outings, expect Hernandez to bounce back with a prime effort tonight. With nothing wrong physically or mechanically and Hernandez saying his stuff was pretty good last game and he just made a couple mistakes, it seems he’s ready to go in this spot. Read more

Tags: MLB Detroit Tigers Seattle Mariners Rob Veno

Sportsmemo Handicapper Andrew Lange gives the scoop on betting baseball

04.17.2013     01:05 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Someone on Twitter sent me a direct message asking how I go about handicapping baseball so I figured I'd share some of my methods here in the blog.

For starters, I try to keep things as simple as possible. Yes, that's a broad statement but there are a ton of factors when it comes to breaking down a baseball game and in my opinion if you try to include them all you inevitably end up with legitimate arguments for both sides – something that can be extremely frustrating. So I’m basically looking to isolate two or three things that I feel with have the biggest impact on the game – one of which is starting pitching which we’ll get to here in a bit.

In terms of price, I tend to stick with short favorites, underdogs, and totals. Value is value whether the price is -105 or -180 but it takes a while for oddsmakers and the betting markets to figure out a lot of these pitchers and teams. In some instances, there is no real mystery – Clayton Kershaw is pretty damn good, and the Houston Astros are awful. But for the first month of so of the season there are a lot of unknowns and as a result a lot of games are mispriced. I see pitchers and teams Read more

Tags: MLB Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Kansas City Royals at Atlanta Braves

04.16.2013     12:16 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Kansas City (Guthrie) +165 at Atlanta (Medlen) O/U 7
Recommendation: Kansas City

I may be in the minority but I think Atlanta's Kris Medlen is going to struggle at times this season. Last season's numbers were outrageous and while Medlen did pitch well, he was also fortunate – very fortunate in fact with a .261 BABIP and 85% left on base rate. He's back at it again this season with a 1.50 ERA through two starts but I thought he struggled some against the Phillies (5 IP, 4 BBs, 3 Ks, 2 ERs) and like a lot of starters was able to cruise past the woeful Marlins. I know the Braves are the hottest team in baseball but to see Medlen as high as -180 vs. an American League team and a viable arm in Jeremy Guthrie seems a little steep. It's early but I like that the Royals have shown a decent amount of plate discipline (5.5 Ks per game vs. 6.7 in 2012). They've hit an AL-low four home runs but the power production will eventually come – it's the offensive approach that will Read more

Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves Kansas City Royals Andrew Lange

Sports Betting Podcast 4-16-2013 with Handicappers Sammy P, Ian Cameron, and Erin Rynning

04.16.2013     10:49 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Sammy P, Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning. Sam talked NHL while Ian and Erin went through every game on the MLB card.

Today's segments
Full Show

Sammy P - NHL (Free Play)

Ian Cameron - National League

Erin Rynning - American League

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NHL MLB Sammy P Ian Cameron Erin Rynning


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