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College Basketball Betting Free Pick: California Golden Bears at Arizona State Sun Devils

02.07.2013     06:41 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
California at Arizona State -3.5
Recommendation: Arizona State

Arizona State is the better team here and despite getting tons of backing in their last game at Washington, they might be priced cheaply here. They opened +5.5 at Washington and were bet all the way down to +3, losing the game 96-92 to the Huskies. It was not a great effort defensively for the Sun Devils as they trailed by double-digits most of the game while allowing Washington to hit 36 of 68 from the field. However, they never quit, and shot 37-58, 64% from the floor themselves in making a valiant comeback. They catch a Cal team off two home wins over Oregon and Oregon State, and one that is not as efficient on the road as they are at home. Cal is 2-3 SU and ATS on the road this year, and they lack the inside game to hurt the Sun Devils like Washington did. Arizona State is 4-1 SU at home this year, smashing UCLA by 18 in its last game on this court. Herb Sendek will shore up the defense Read more

Tags: College Basketball California Golden Bears Arizona State Sun Devils Brent Crow

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Iowa Hawkeyes at Wisconsin Badgers

02.06.2013     11:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Iowa +9 at Wisconsin O/U 124.5
Recommendation: Iowa

My clients and I cashed a winner with Iowa as road underdogs at Ohio State last week, when the Hawkeyes rallied back from a 24-point deficit to make things verrrry interesting in the final minute in Columbus before falling short – despite an awful game from leading scorer Roy Devyn Marble. 

We cashed another winner supporting the Hawkeyes on Super Bowl Sunday as they led for extended stretches of the second half, an easy wire-to-wire pointspread cover as double-digit underdogs.  And there’s absolutely no reason to think that the Hawkeyes won’t be able to cash another winning bet for us tonight as they travel to Madison to take on a Badgers team that the Hawkeyes have beaten in each of the last three meetings.

Iowa hasn’t lost a game by ten points or more since getting blown out at Michigan on January 6th, hanging tough with quality Big Ten foes like the Ohio Read more

Tags: College Basketball Iowa Hawkeyes Wisconsin Badgers Teddy Covers

NBA Handicapping: Phoenix 1-10 on the road vs. Western Conference

02.05.2013     10:00 AM     Printer Friendly
Phoenix at Memphis -8.5 O/U 183

Quick look at Phoenix's struggles on the road this season vs. Western Conference teams.

Phoenix Suns on road vs. Western Conference
PHX Line
ATS Margin
LA Lakers
LA Clippers
Oklahoma City
San Antonio
Golden State

Tags: NBA Phoenix Suns Memphis Grizzlies

Super Bowl XLVII produces record handle for Nevada sportsbooks

02.05.2013     07:53 AM     Printer Friendly
The Nevada Gaming Control Board announced that a record $98,936,798 was wagered on Super Bowl XLVII. Nevada sportsbooks took home $7.2 million (7.3% hold).

Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVII

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: College Basketball's best against the spread

02.04.2013     11:06 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
The Super Bowl is in the rear view mirror after Sunday’s wild Baltimore victory, which can only mean one thing – college hoops is on center stage for the next eight weeks.  I’ve been writing game previews for for the last month, but I’ve yet to write a true ‘college basketball overview’ column for any publication so far this season.  That streak ends here.

I’m going take a look at the very best pointspread ‘regular board’ teams in the country in this week’s column.  The list of ATS juggernauts is likely to surprise many people due to its diversity.  Elite level teams aren’t necessarily pointspread winners, and bottom feeders can cash ticket after ticket if the betting markets set numbers that allow them to hang within the number as big underdogs.  Look no further than the single best ATS team in the nation so far this season. 

I’ll wager that less than a dozen people in the country knew that Fordham is the #1 ATS team in all of DI basketball this year; 14-5 against the number.  The Rams are 6-16 SU, just 2-5 in Atlantic-10 play.  Read more

Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers

NBA Handicapping: Orlando Magic short on bodies vs. Philadelphia

02.04.2013     10:58 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Orlando at Philadelphia -9 O/U 190.5

According to Sports Options, this is what the Orlando Magic's injury report looks like heading into tonight's game at Philadelphia.

Arron Afflalo (calf) OUT
Glen Davis (foot) OUT
Jameer Nelson (forearm) OUT
JJ Redick (shoulder) OUT
Maurice Harkless (nose) PROBABLE
DeQuan Jones (football) DOUBTFUL

The Magic have lost nine straight. Sunday's 107-98 loss at Milwaukee snapped an eight-game winless streak against the spread.

Tags: NBA Orlando Magic Philadelphia 76ers

Nevada sportsbooks turn small profit from Super Bowl XLVII

02.04.2013     06:27 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Now that the smoke has cleared, it looks as if Baltimore's outright win and the game going over the total helped Nevada sportsbooks turn a small profit. Had San Francisco punched in six late and won by two or three, the books reportedly would have crushed.

“We’re a small winner,” reported Jimmy Vaccaro, the spokesman for William Hill sports books. “We ended up with some Ravens moneyline late, so that took some of our steam out. But we did OK.”

“If everyone did what we did, then I would expect we’d break the record,” MGM Resorts sports book director Jay Rood said. “We fared pretty well, but it’s difficult to say how everyone else did. There’s a strong possibility that some of the local places could have seen more Ravens money.”

“The props were a very small winner,” Vaccaro said. “The Kaepernick kid didn’t help. The safety and touchdown were two of the bigger ones of the day and we lost both of them, but we beat most of the other

Read more

Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl XLVII

Super Bowl XLVII Gambling: Let's Talk About the 49ers' Defense

02.02.2013     09:21 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I’m starting to hear a lot of chatter about how San Francisco’s defense is going to be the deciding factor in Sunday’s Super Bowl meeting with the Baltimore Ravens. While the team certainly has a top-notch defense, it may not be quite as dominating as you were thinking.

It’s easy to remember the highlights from the past season…where the Niners embarrassed teams like the Jets, Bills, and even the Bears in a big TV game. But, when facing elite offenses, it’s been a slightly different story.

Here’s what opposing offenses from PLAYOFF teams did against San Francisco’s defense this season starting with their season opener at Green Bay, and ending with their NFC Championship win over Atlanta. If you’re new to the blog, drive points are those scored or allowed on drives of 60 yards or more. The average this year was around 13 per offense per game. Note that the chart below deletes non-offensive scoring (for example...Green Bay had a Read more

Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl XLVII Stat Intelligence

Super Bowl XLVII Prop Bet Recommendation: Kobe Bryant points vs. 49ers points

02.01.2013     02:19 PM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports blog entry.
Kobe Bryant Points vs. San Francisco Points
Recommendation: San Francisco +0.5 (-110 @ LVH)

Tired of losing, grasping at straws, desperate for a change...whatever it was, over the last week Kobe Bryant has transformed from gunner to facilitator. How long this lasts, no one knows. But what we do know is Kobe started passing and the Lakers started winning. They’ve won three of their last four (heading into Friday) and could of made it four straight had Dwight Howard not re-injured his shoulder during Wednesday's game at Phoenix. In those four games, Kobe attempted 51 shots (12.8 per game) and dished out 48 assists. In LA's previous four games to that (all losses), Kobe jacked up 102 shots (25.5 per game). On Sunday, the Lakers play at Detroit, one of the slower paced teams in the league. With a total of 47 and a line of -4, San Francisco is projected to score around 25 points which is close to where I made my numbers. So long as new Kobe doesn't morph back into old Kobe, this one cashes.

Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl XLVII Erin Rynning

Super Bowl XLVII Prop Bet Recommendation: Michael Crabtree total receptions

02.01.2013     07:55 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Michael Crabtree Total Receptions
Recommendation: Over 6 (-140 @ CRIS)

Instead of using the entire 16-game season to analyze the San Francisco 49ers box scores for making our prop bets, we really only need about half the season. This is due to the change at quarterback, with Colin Kaepernick taking over for Alex Smith midseason. As a result, looking at games with Smith as the starting quarterback is useless, and there is a much smaller sample size than usual to base our wagers. One thing that really stands out in the games with Kaepernick under center is how much he targets his top receiver, Michael Crabtree. Crabtree has caught six or more passes in six of the last seven games, and will no doubt be targeted heavily on Sunday. The game plan shouldn’t change that much, and the number and price here offers us plenty of value that he will hang on to the majority of balls thrown his way.

Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl XLVII Brent Crow


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