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College Football Betting: Utah not sure how Harbaugh's Michigan squad will look

09.01.2015     07:24 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Bettors aren't the only ones left guessing on how Michigan will look in Thursday's opener at Utah. The Wolverines have been fairly quiet in the media though the Utes are leaning towards a similar identity to that of last season under Brady Hoke. Note that UM was one of slowest paced teams in the country at around 63 plays per game in 2014. In last year's meeting, Utah won 26-10 in Ann Arbor. Both teams combined to run the football 73 times. The total in that game closed 53. The total for Thursday's game is currently 46.

"We matched up pretty good against them physically, we stood in there and slugged it out toe to toe," Whittingham said. "(Former U-M coach) Brady Hoke was a coach that liked physical football as well. So if nothing else, maybe the confidence we played these guys toe to toe last year and came out alright."

Tags: College Football Michigan Wolverines Big Ten Utah Utes PAC-12

College Football Gambling: Illinois goes with OC Cubit following Beckman's departure

09.01.2015     07:07 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
By now you've heard the Illinois fired head coach Tim Beckman. The reason at this point is irrelevant as the Illini open their season Friday at home vs. Kent State. Offensive coordinator Bill Cubit has been named the interim HC for the season. Not surprising, the player quotes regarding the move were positive: 

"He's like a father to most of us," Lunt said. "He's a really good football coach but he truly cares about his players. We're behind him because we believe in him."

Say what you will about Beckman - and we routinely do on the Podcast - he did improve by two wins each of the last two seasons and somehow got the Illini to a bowl game. However, last year's 3-5 Big Ten mark was perhaps fortunate as Illinois was outgained by 1.65 yards per play vs. the Big Ten.

There are potential wins to be Read more

Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten Kent State Golden Flashes MAC

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Preseason impacts Season Over/Under Win Totals

08.31.2015     08:24 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
At this late stage of the preseason, it’s very clear which NFL teams are attracting sharp money prior to the start of the regular season.  In addition, it’s very clear which teams the wiseguys are betting against, early and often.  How do we measure and quantify this support (or the lack thereof)?  Simple – a thorough analysis of the Season Win Totals marketplace.

The markets don’t lie when it comes to measuring wiseguy support, because the results are easy to quantify.  For the purposes of this article, I’m going to focus on the Season Win Total numbers from the Westgate Superbook, where the Supercontest Weekend just brought together bettors from across the Las Vegas Valley as well as across the country.

Rather than use opening numbers from the Superbook, I think the more accurate way to measure the effect of the preseason is to look at post-draft numbers from early June.  When we compare those early June numbers with the bettable numbers that are on display on the last day of August (following the first three weeks of preseason action), we get a fairly accurate picture of market support.

The Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers

NFL Preseason Free Betting Pick: Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys

08.29.2015     08:10 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alex Smith blog entry.
Minnesota +1 at Dallas O/U 41.5
Recommendation: Minnesota

The Minnesota Vikings have been very dominant in the preseason under second-year head coach Mike Zimmer with near flawless marks of 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS. In watching this team it is very clear that Zimmer's attention to detail has rubbed off on his players all the way down to the third and fourth strings. It's a big reason why they've been so successful in these "meaningless" games. Tonight will mark their first true road game this preseason against the injury bitten Dallas Cowboys who return home after back-to-back road games. Defensive back Orlando Scandrick (ACL) is the latest casualty in a long list of key injuries. At this point, the squad can ill-afford another loss. You could see there was little to no interest in competing hard for 60 minutes the first two weeks as Dallas was outscored a combined 40-13. Reports indicate that more focus and effort will be placed on tonight's "dress rehearsal" but I just don't trust this squad will perform for an entire game. We've seen nothing but Minnesota money but still some value at the small underdog price.

Read more

Tags: NFL Minnesota Vikings Dallas Cowboys

Meet the world's best card counter

08.27.2015     08:49 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Cool article on a gentleman billed as the world's best card counter.

“If I’m gonna play, the first thing I do is grow my beard,” he says. “Then I dye it. Then I add earrings. Then a hat.” Once he put his arm in a sling and pretended to be one-armed. “Halloween is the greatest,” he says, estimating that he’s made $300,000 on the holiday where identities are fully obscured.

“The casinos are very hip to that. You have to camouflage a big play in various ways,” says Blaine. “Most card counters play consistent, predictable, they’re like robots. I try to use instincts when I sense I’m being watched. I hit them big, get out of there, and they just think I got lucky.”

College Football Betting Update: Kansas married to up-tempo attack

08.27.2015     06:52 AM     Printer Friendly

Update on Kansas' rebuilding project. Yesterday the Jayhawks named Montell Cozart the team's starting quarterback. Cozart completed only 50% of his passes with a 5-to-7 TD-to-INT ratio last season. And it sounds as if head coach David Beaty is fully committed to running his up-tempo offense from the get-go. Beaty says they won't try to shorten the game despite being at a significant disadvantage both talent and depth wise.

“We won’t shorten the game,” Beaty says. “That’s not how we play the game. We’re going to continue to stay who we are because that’s how we practice every day.”

College Football Betting: Kansas Read more

Tags: College Football Kansas Jayhawks Big XII

College Football Handicapping: Wisconsin o-line is in shambles

08.27.2015     06:37 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Early season injuries for power conference teams aren't always a factor when you're laying three touchdowns against a Sun Belt school. But what happens when you face one of the top teams in the country? Wisconsin's offensive line is currently in disarray with as many as four players on the team's injury list. They are talking about having to start three freshmen. The Badgers are +10 underdogs to Alabama for Week 1's game in Arlington.

“I can’t remember (having so many guys hurt in camp), but it’s the camp at hand,” said Badgers offensive coordinator and line coach Joe Rudolph, according to “That’s all right, just keep going. It’s neat seeing guys jump into different spots and make it work. No one’s alarmed when their name gets called, that’s for sure.”

Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten Alabama Crimson Tide SEC

Sports Betting Podcast 8-25-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Alex B. Smith and Rob Veno

08.25.2015     09:43 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Alex B. Smith and Rob Veno. Our newest handicapper, Alex, previewed the Big Ten East division while Rob talked MLB.

Today's segments
Alex B. Smith - Big Ten East Preview

Rob Veno - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football MLB Big Ten Alex B. Smith Rob Veno Andrew Lange

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Preseason Week 2 Betting Recap

08.24.2015     08:14 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
In the NFL Preseason, when coaches almost never play for a late game tie to force overtime, there’s an enormous difference between laying -1 and -2.5.  Games decided by final margins or 1 or 2 points are relatively rare once September rolls around.  In August, they are commonplace.   Three games were decided by a single point this past weekend, in Week 2 of the preseason, with the Bills beating the Browns 11-10, the Chiefs beating the Seahawks 14-13 and the Panthers beating the Dolphins 31-30.

Both Kansas City-Seattle and Carolina-Miami produced a win, loss or push based on betting skills, not handicapping skills, with lines on both games moving up throughout the course of the week.   In addition, the Patriots pulled off the comeback of the weekend to beat New Orleans 26-24, a two point margin.  Meanwhile, there was only one game finishing with a final margin of three points; the Chargers 22-19 win at Arizona. 

It was a similar story in Week 1, with more games finishing with 1 or 2 point final margins than games that were decided by exactly three points.   With two more weeks of these meaningless Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers

College Football Handicapping: Penn State looks to shore up offensive line

08.19.2015     07:43 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The fact that Penn State won seven games last season is somewhat of a miracle considering how poor the team's offensive line play was. Between their inability to protect the quarterback and run the football, the Nittany Lions had one of the worst power conference offenses in the country. As a result, shoring up the o-line has been a top priority during fall camp.

Penn State by the numbers (Overall)
101.92 ypg rushing - 120th nationally
2.94 yards per carry - 125th nationally
44 sacks allowed - 124th nationally

Penn State by the numbers (vs. Big Ten)
74.8 ypg rushing - 14th Big Ten
2.21 yards per carry - 14th Big Ten
35 sacks allowed - 14th Big Ten

“Obviously, it was a very frustrating season,” sophomore tackle Andrew Nelson. “You put in a bunch of time, and you want to perform at the highest level possible. And I don't think any of us are gonna use the excuse that we were a young and inexperienced offensive line. We wanted to perform at a

Read more

Tags: College Football Penn State Nittany Lions Big Ten


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