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September

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFL Draft has little impact on betting markets

05.12.2014     07:35 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL draft is a thing of beauty for those who appreciate hype without substance.   After months of hype – literally, months of it, more hype than we see for any Super Bowl – the first round of the NFL draft attracted 32 million viewers to the coverage on ESPN and the NFL Network. 

That’s a massive 28 percent increase over the 25 million that watched the draft in 2013.  On digital media platforms, the draft drew more than 14 million visits, a 54 percent increase from 2013.  And I’m not convinced the ratings gold were all the result of Johnny Manziel‘s crossover publicity.  Fans and bettors alike seem to think that the draft is important.

The pre-draft hype is a series of smokescreens, with GM’s and personnel directors around the league unwilling to divulge any meaningful information to media types and those who communicate with media types.  We see mock drafts for weeks leading up to the real draft, with the likes of Todd McShay, Mel Kiper, Pete Prisco and Mike Mayock offering their informed predictions. 

And yet despite multiple revisions of those mock drafts – even Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NHL Handicapper Free Play: Anaheim Ducks at Los Angeles Kings

05.08.2014     09:47 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Anaheim at Los Angeles -140 O/U 5
Recommendation: Los Angeles


The Anaheim Ducks played fairly well in Games 1 and 2 of this series yet they trail the Los Angeles Kings 2-0 heading into the Staples Center in for tonight’s Game 3. Anaheim held the lead for most of Game 1 but Marian Gaborik scored the tying goal with several seconds left in the third period to force OT where eventually the Kings won. In Game 2, Anaheim poured on the pressure and outshot the Kings 37-17 but could not score the timely goal required to tie the game in the third and LA was able to pull away 3-1. Anaheim didn’t play very well on the road in its first round series against Dallas going 1-2 – the lone win was fortunate as the Stars coughed up a late 4-2 lead with less than two minutes left. Los Angeles is a veteran team with Stanley Cup winning experience and I trust them to step on the throat of the opposition. The Kings jumped out to four straight 3-0 series leads in the 2012 Playoffs. They did the same in the first round last year against St. Louis. LA is the better of these two teams and it has shown in the fact they’ve won two games without playing Read more


Tags: NHL Anaheim Ducks Los Angeles Kings Ian Cameron




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians

05.06.2014     11:29 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota (Deduno) +125 at Cleveland (Tomlin) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Minnesota


There’s not much respect for Twins starter Samuel Deduno in the betting markets.  Deduno pitched a handful of gems as a part time starter in both 2012 and 2013, but he really tailed off after the All Star break last year. Following shoulder surgery in the offseason,  he opened the 2014 campaign in the bullpen, and got hit hard in his first start of the season against the powerful LA Dodgers lineup just last week.

But for as inconsistent as Deduno has been, he’s got a solid track record against the Indians (.192 batting average against and 31 strikeouts in 36 innings).  And with the extended slump this Cleveland lineup is in right now, even mediocre pitching is shutting this team down.  
The Indians scored 12 runs last Friday against the White Sox, but have combined for a grand total of 18 runs while losing eight of their other nine games over the past ten Read more


Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Cleveland Indians Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies

05.04.2014     08:52 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington (Gonzalez) -135 at Philadelphia (Hernandez) O/U 8
Recommendation: Under


Gio Gonzalez will take the hill for the Nationals today. He continues to be a consistent force in the National League with a 3.25 ERA and extremely strong 38-13 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Those numbers fall right in line with the 3.11 ERA he owns since being from the Oakland a’s back in 2012. Of course, coming from the left-handed side Gonzalez is the perfect match-up against the likes of Chase Utley and Ryan Howard, while Domonic Brown will rest. Meanwhile, the enigmatic Roberto Hernandez will start for the Phillies. The big time groundball hurler will be making a rare start against the Nationals, last facing them in 2010 when he was on Cleveland. His overall numbers don’t impress but with the exception of a poor outing in Colorado – where his sinker has a tendency not to sink – he’s been serviceable. The Nationals continue to feature a beat-up lineup with Bryce Harper Read more


Tags: MLB Washington Nationals Philadelphia Phillies Erin Rynning




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins

05.02.2014     07:45 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore (Jimenez) at Minnesota (Nolasco) -110 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Minnesota


Ubaldo Jimenez remains an easy fade due to his reduced velocity and lack of command. In 27.1 innings, Jimenez has walked 17 batters and he's averaged only six swinging strikes per game (a 6% rate vs. 8% in 2013). And if walks are going to be an issue, Minnesota isn't a good matchup as the Twins lead the American League with 133 walks and rank second in on-base percentage. Meanwhile Ricky Nolasco toes the rubber for the Twins. Nolasco's overall numbers would make most bettors squirm but his groundball rate is actually a career best 50.5% – he's suffered some due to a sky-high .355 BABIP. Also note that of Nolasco's five starts only one has been in the pitcher friendly confines of Target Field and it was without question his best start of the year (8 IP, 1 ER vs. Kansas City). Also in our favor is the potential fatigue factor with Baltimore playing a double-header at home yesterday – the last Read more


Tags: MLB Baltimore Orioles Minnesota Twins Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Free Play: New York Mets at Colorado Rockies

05.01.2014     01:53 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NY Mets (Colon) at Colorado (Nicasio) -125 O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Colorado


The Rockies suffered a deflating loss in Arizona last night, blowing a ninth inning lead with  two outs and two strikes, wasting a scoring chance in the tenth, then losing on a walk-off home run.  But bullpen meltdowns have not been a habitual problem for this team, and normal closer LaTroy Hawkins is now rested after notching back-to-back saves earlier in the series. 

Forget the starting pitching matchup for a moment.  The disparity between these two lineups is worthy of a -200 price tag, if not higher.  Colorado leads the majors in runs scored, hits, doubles, home runs, total bases, batting average, slugging percentage and OPS.  Sox of their eight position players are hitting .300 or higher, including Troy Tulowitzki, Justin Morneau and Charlie Blackmun, all hitting above .350.  D-backs manager Kirk Gibson: “They are a good-hitting ball club. They are hard to Read more


Tags: MLB New York Mets Colorado Rockies Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins

04.30.2014     08:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Atlanta (Harang) at Miami (Eovaldi) +100 O/U 7
Recommendation: Miami


Just about every advanced metric stat in existence tells us very clearly that Aaron Harang’s MLB leading ERA is just a mirage; a hurler primed to return to earth following an exceptional April.  Harang has held opponents to a .143 batting average and his .409 opponents OPS is the best in baseball.  He’s the first pitcher since Pedro Martinez back in 1997 to allow a single run or less while lasting six full innings or more in each of his first five starts.  And Aaron Harang is no Pedro Martinez!

The advanced metric stats show us how lucky Harang has been.  Opponents’ batting average on balls in play (BABIP) is just .200, an unsustainable number.  Harang has an 89% strand rate, another unsustainable number.  His xFIP of 3.77 is a looooong way off from his 0.85 ERA.  And he’s put up those stats despite the lowest ground ball rate of his career, in large part Read more


Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves Miami Marlins Teddy Covers




The man behind online poker's Black Friday

04.29.2014     07:20 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A few years ago we blogged about Daniel Tzvetkoff who was played a big role in online poker's infamous Black Friday. The dude's back story is pretty incredible and not surprising someone wrote a book about it. You can almost guarantee it will at some point be made into a move. Hopefully it'll be more watchable than the absolutely awful Runner, Runner.


Faced with the prospect of up to 76 years in jail for money laundering, bank fraud and conspiracy charges, Tzvektoff became an informant whose testimony led directly to Black Friday - the day online gambling in the US was shut down.






Tags: Poker




NHL Playoffs Handicapper Free Play: Boston Bruins at Detroit Red Wings

04.22.2014     07:39 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Boston -140 at Detroit O/U 5
Recommendation: Boston


Boston heads to Detroit tonight with the series knotted up at one game apiece. The Bruins played their typical grind it out game throughout Game 1, but couldn't seem to break through offensively.  It took a great individual effort from Detroit's Pavel Datsyuk late in the third period to get the Red Wings the 1-0 win.  Game 2 was much different as Boston was able to take advantage of its chances and put some goals on the board.  They went to the net hard and they were rewarded.  They didn't deviate from their plan and they stifled Detroit's offense once again allowing just one goal in a 4-1 win. Detroit's home ice advantage has been virtually nonexistent the past two seasons as they were a meager 18-13-10 at Joe Louis this regular season and just 4-4 over the past two postseason. Boston owned the best road record in the Eastern Conference this season at 23-12-6 and in the past three postseason the Bruins are 6-3 away from home in the first round.  Going into Detroit will be just another day at the job for the big bad Bruins.  Boston has the confidence and swagger back Read more


Tags: NHL Boston Bruins Detroit Red Wings Sammy P




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Recapping NBA Playoff Game 1's

04.21.2014     08:00 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
There were eight opening round NBA Playoff Series that started this past weekend.  The lower seeded road teams – all underdogs in Game 1 – went 6-2 ATS, including five outright upset winners.  There were four games that flew Over the total, three that stayed Under and one (Miami-Charlotte) that finished right in between the opening and closing total.

This is just the start of a two month NBA Playoff marathon, and those Game 1’s may not be indicative of how these opening round series are likely to play out.  Here are some key note and quotes for each series following those Game 1’s.

Miami looked sluggish and lethargic for extended stretches of their opener against Charlotte, but took over the game with an 18-4 run in the fourth quarter when LeBron James was sitting on the bench.  Head coach Erik Spoelstra:  “We were flat to start. I think our guys were just anxious."  LeBron: “That group that was in once I took that break at the 10-minute mark in the fourth quarter, they just bumped the lead. Obviously, to have three Hall of Famers in the game when I'm out of the game, CB, D-Wade and Ray Read more


Tags: NBA Miami Heat Charlotte Bobcats San Antonio Spurs Dallas Mavericks Atlanta Hawks Indiana Pacers Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Clippers Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 18, 2014 12:38 AM.