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NFL Handicapping: Elo Ratings vs. Market Prices Week 8

10.24.2014     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Link to FiveThirtyEight.com's Elo Ratings and spreads for NFL Week 8. Some of the biggest discrepancies include...

Chicago at New England
Elo: New England -9
Market: New England -6

Seattle at Carolina
Elo: Seattle -1.5
Market: Seattle -5


Houston at Tennessee
Elo: Tennessee -3
Market: Houston -3

Indianapolis at Pittsburgh
Elo: Indianapolis -1
Market: Indianapolis -3

 



Tags: NFL




College Football Betting Preview: Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans

10.23.2014     02:13 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Michigan at Michigan State
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Michigan State -17 O/U 51.5
CRIS Current: Michigan State -17 O/U 48.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Michigan State -15.5
Ian Cameron's Recommendation: Over

After years of having to rely on defense to win games, Michigan State is now being carried by its offense. The Spartans are averaging 47 ppg including 27+ points in each of their three Big Ten games behind a balanced attack of 260 ypg on the ground and 265 ypg passing. Michigan’s defense is a solid unit but have had very noticeable struggles against the better offensive teams. The Wolverines allowed 26 points to Rutgers, 26 points to Utah, 30 points to Minnesota and 31 points to Notre Dame. Michigan State’s offense is arguably better than all four of those offenses. MSU put up 29 points is last year’s meeting despite still being in the infant stages of Read more


Tags: College Football Michigan Wolverines Michigan State Spartans Big Ten




NFL Gambling Preview: Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals

10.22.2014     01:16 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore at Cincinnati
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Cincinnati -2.5 O/U 46
CRIS Current: Cincinnati pk O/U 45.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Cincinnati -1.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Baltimore

My clients and I cashed a winning Big Ticket bet supporting the Bengals in Week 1 on the road at Baltimore.  Cinci dominated that game early, but settled for five first half field goals.  After halftime, the Ravens scored 17 unanswered to take the lead.  But a 77 yard bomb from Andy Dalton to AJ Green in the final minutes allowed the Bengals to escape with a victory on Baltimore’s home field; their first road win over the Ravens since 2009.

But the Bengals team that we saw on opening day is not the same Bengals team that Marvin Lewis is fielding right now.  AJ Green has a bad toe, unable to suit up in their last two ballgames.  TE Tyler Eifert is out as well.  That duo Read more


Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Baltimore Ravens Teddy Covers




College Football Gambling: Wisconsin stays with two-quarterback gameplan

10.22.2014     09:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Maryland at Wisconsin -11 O/U 57.5

Expect more quarterback shuffling from Wisconsin (1-5 ATS) this weekend as Tanner McEvoy and Joel Stave will split snaps. McEvoy played only one series in UW's most recent win over Illinois. The Badgers finished with 97 yards through the air. They need to thank whoever drew up this year's schedule. Penn State, Michigan, Michigan State all rank in the top ten nationally in rush defense and not one of them is on UW's regular season slate.


"You'll see both quarterbacks play in this football game and Tanner will play more," offensive coordinator Andy Ludwig said. "He'll play more often than he did in the last game."





Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Maryland Terrapins Big Ten




College Footbal Betting Preview: Ohio State Buckeyes at Penn State Nittany Lions

10.22.2014     08:24 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Ohio State at Penn State
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Ohio State -13 O/U 51.5
CRIS Current: Ohio State -14 O/U 51.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Ohio State -11.5
Andrew Lange's Recommendation: Over

Penn State comes in off of back-to-back losses and a bye week as it plays host to red-hot Ohio State. Behind a young offensive line, the Nittany Lions have struggled mightily to move the football with just 32 points scored in three games vs. mediocre power conference competition.

Penn State wants to run the football and says it won't quit trying to do so but through six games, the Nittany Lions are averaging only 2.84 ypc. You could argue that stubbornness cost them the game against Michigan. The Wolverines allowed 402 passing yards to Rutgers and Gary Nova the previous week. PSU meanwhile decided to run right into the teeth of Michigan's fourth-ranked rush defense and it obviously Read more


Tags: College Football Ohio State Buckeyes Penn State Nittany Big Ten Andrew Lange




College Football Betting: Penn State refuses to abandon poor run game

10.22.2014     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Ohio State -14 at Penn State O/U 51.5

Despite averaging only 2.84 ypc as a team, Penn State says it won't give up on the run game.


"We worked on it [balancing the offense] really hard all last week, and we're going to do that again this week, and that's not going to change," Franklin said. "We're going to stay positive.

"We're going to stick to that, stick to the running game and keep committing to that, finding creative ways to help our guys and put them in position to be successful."





Tags: College Football Penn State Nittany Lions Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC News and Notes

10.20.2014     11:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Atlanta Falcons
Since blowing out Tampa Bay on national TV in Week 3, the Atlanta Falcons have looked nothing short of awful.  A team that made it to the NFC Championship Game two years ago is now entrenched in a four game skid; picking up right where they left off last year when they went 4-12 and ranked among the most disappointing teams in football.

All four losses during this SU and ATS skid have come by double digit margins.  The Falcons certainly aren’t going to win many defensive struggles – their stop unit has allowed 24+ six times in seven ballgames this year, a mediocre defense on a good day.  But many pundits thought the Falcons would be good enough to trade points with most of their foes.  That simply hasn’t been the case, in large part, due to cluster injuries on the offensive line, with backup center Peter Konz the latest to go down.

Matt Ryan was sacked five times and hit nine times in Atlanta’s loss to Baltimore on Sunday, while throwing for a season low in yards. "When you go out there and get beat soundly, I think everybody knows we've got to play better across the board. Read more


Tags: NFL Atlanta Falcons Seattle Seahawks Chicago Bears Washington Redskins Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Preview: Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Florida State Seminoles

10.17.2014     09:04 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Notre Dame at Florida State
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Florida State -12.5
CRIS Current: No Line
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Florida State -12.5
Ian Cameron's Recommendation: Notre Dame

We have no line posted as of yet for Saturday’s showdown between Notre Dame and Florida State due to the status of Jameis Winston. Winston, who has already been in his share of off the field distractions, is now being investigating whether he accepted payment for signing memorabilia. Winston claims he wasn’t paid. FSU coach Jimbo Fisher maintains that he believes his quarterback. Either way, Winston is “expected” to play but no confirmation has been made as of this writing.

Notre Dame has not had many problems moving the football this season, with the Irish averaging 444.3 yards per game. Everett Golson is completing 62.5% of his passes, for 1,683 yards and 16 TDs to Read more


Tags: College Football Notre Dame Fighting Irish Florida State Seminoles ACC Ian Cameron




NFL Handicapping: Elo Ratings vs. Market Prices Week 7

10.17.2014     07:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Link to FiveThirtyEight.com's Elo Ratings and spreads for NFL Week 7. Some of the biggest discrepancies include...

Arizona at Oakland
Elo: Arizona -9
Market: Arizona -3.5

San Francisco at Denver
Elo: Denver -3.5
Market: Denver -6.5/-7


Carolina at Green Bay
Elo: Green Bay -3
Market: Green Bay -7

Tennessee at Washington
Elo: Tennessee -0.5
Market: Washington -5.5

Houston at Pittsburgh
Elo: Pittsburgh -6.5
Market: Pittsburgh -4



Tags: NFL




College Football Betting Preview: Texas A&M Aggies at Alabama Crimson Tide

10.16.2014     01:44 PM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas A&M at Alabama
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Alabama -12.5 O/U 58.5
CRIS Current: Alabama -13.5 O/U 63.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Alabama -6
Brent Crow's Recommendation: Texas A&M

This matchup consists of two teams that are being widely hailed as major disappointments by the media and even their own fans. Texas A&M has dropped its last two games and needed overtime to edge Arkansas three games back. Alabama has just one loss (vs. Ole Miss) but was very lucky to win last week at Arkansas thanks to a missed PAT by the Razorbacks.

So what is the reality of these teams? To me Texas A&M is about what I expected them to be. Not quite as good offensively as they were in the Johnny Football years, but still pretty good. Any Kevin Sumlin offense is going to move the ball and light up the scoreboard. They just happened to face the top two teams in the country Read more


Tags: College Football Texas A&M Aggies Alabama Crimson Tide SEC Brent Crow



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