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NCAA Tournament Odds: Nate Silver says Louisville has best shot to cut down nets
03.18.2013 12:20 PM
Printer Friendly
Filling out your
NCAA Tournament
bracket
Nate Silver style
. Silver has Louisville at 22.7% to win the Big Dance followed by Indiana (19.6%) and Florida (12.7%). Interesting that the Gators have the third-best odds yet are only the No. 3 seed in the South Region.
Tags:
College Basketball
Louisville Cardinals
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Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers takes a look at 28 NCAA Tournament matchups
03.18.2013 10:19 AM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
With the madness that is March now in full swing, it’s time to take a look through the brackets. Today, I’ll offer a quick take on the 28 matchups already set for Thursday and Friday. Games are listed in rotation order.
Missouri
spent the entire season losing close games on the road, falling in OT at UCLA and Kentucky, while dropping games by three points or less at Tennessee, Arkansas, Texas A&M, LSU and to Ole Miss in the SEC Tournament. Larry Eustachy got the most he could out of
Colorado State’s
talent level this year, but the Rams, too, lost nearly every step-up game on the highway.
As a No. 3 seed,
Marquette
is only a 3.5-point favorite over No. 14 seed
Davidson
. The betting markets clearly respect the Wildcats five upperclassmen starters that started 30 of their 33 previous games together this season.
Butler
has won at least the first two games of every single postseason tournament they’ve played since 2010, including runs in the Horizon League and A-10 conference tourney’s, two runs to the championship
Read more
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College Basketball
Teddy Covers
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Sports Betting Podcast 3-18-2013 with Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning
03.18.2013 10:08 AM
Printer Friendly
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning. Rob gave his initial thoughts on the NCAA Tournament while ER broke down the NBA.
Today's segments
Full Show
Rob Veno - NCAA Tournament
Erin Rynning - NBA
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
Tags:
College Basketball
NBA
Rob Veno
Erin Rynning
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NCAA Tournament Gambling Odds: Louisville and Duke top picks in Midwest Region
03.18.2013 08:32 AM
Printer Friendly
Below are Pinnacle's Odds to Win the Midwest Regional. No. 1 seed Louisville is the top pick at +125 followed by No. 2 Duke (+350) and No. 3 Michigan State (+588). You can also wager "no" (-150) on Will Louisville Win the Midwest Region? Early analysis has the Midwest as the
toughest region
. Based on Ken Pom's ratings, it features three teams in the top ten (No. 2 Louisville, No. 6 Duke, and No. 10 Michigan State) as well as four others than reside in the top 20.
ODDS TO WIN MIDWEST REGION
Louisville +125
Duke +350
Michigan State +588
Saint Louis +640
Oklahoma State +2125
Memphis +2125
Creighton +3184
Missouri +3393
Cincinnati +4504
Middle Tennessee State +6363
Saint Mary's +6363
Oregon +7953
New Mexico State +7953
Colorado State +7953
Valparaiso +10601
Albany +10601
North Carolina A&T +10601
Liberty +10601
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NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings
03.18.2013 08:08 AM
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Submitted by
Stat Intelligence
Had some time to throw down numbers after the first set of Vegas lines went up. These are based on early numbers, and could change over the next few days. If you’re new to the website, these are my estimates of how “the market” has its Power Ratings heading into the Big Dance. They’re based on the estimates we’ve been updating continually through the season, and the current numbers in Tuesday/Thursday/Friday action.
Note that the market loves Florida, Arizona, and Pittsburgh more than the polls or selection committee did…which has been true or several weeks. And, for you regulars, the ACC may be getting more respect in the market that I had been guessing in recent days based on the early prices for NC and NC State, and possibly the Mountain West too the way things are shading with some of those teams.
First, by seed.
1…Louisville 87, Indiana 87, Gonzaga 85, Kansas 84
2…Duke 86, Ohio State 84, Miami 83, Georgetown
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NCAA Tournament Betting Odds: Top seed Indiana favored to win East Region
03.18.2013 07:56 AM
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Below are Pinnacle's Odds to Win the East Region. No. 1 seed Indiana is the top pick at +117 followed by No. 2 Miami (+343) and No. 4 Syracuse (+579). You can also wager "no" (-136) on Will Indiana Win the East Region?
ODDS TO WIN EAST REGION
Indiana +117
Miami +343
Syracuse +579
UNLV +1257
Marquette +1362
Butler +1466
NC State +1883
Illinois +2823
California +3136
Davidson +3658
Bucknell +4703
Temple +6269
Colorado +6269
Montana +7834
Pacific +10445
Long Island +10445
James Madison +10445
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Indiana Hoosiers
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NCAA Tournament Handicapping: UNLV short favorites in rematch vs. California
03.18.2013 07:44 AM
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California
vs.
UNLV
-3
The Mountain West Conference is well represented in this year's NCAA Tournament with
five teams
making the field. Of those five teams, four are currently favored in their first round matchups including UNLV (-3) vs. California (at San Jose). The Rebels won in Berkeley earlier this season, 76-75, and 1.5-point underdogs.
“Any time when you have a game like that where it was very close, I think the advantage goes to the loser of the first matchup,” said LVH Superbook Executive Director Jay Kornegay. “I think Cal will be a little more motivated to beat UNLV than the other way around. UNLV is going to have to overcome that.”
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UNLV Running Rebels
California Golden Bears
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College Basketball Gambling: NCAA, NIT, CBI and CIT brackets
03.18.2013 07:35 AM
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In case you missed the unveiling of the much coveted CBI Tournament, we have you covered. In fact, start your Monday morning with links to all four tournament brackets. Action gets underway tomorrow including NCAA Tournament play-in games: Liberty-North Carolina A&T and Middle Tennessee State-St. Mary's.
NCAA
NIT
CBI
CIT
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College Basketball Betting News and Notes: Conference Tournament Title Games
03.17.2013 07:13 AM
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New and notes for today’s conference tournament title games.
North Carolina's recent surge (8-2 SU/ATS) was in part due to a switch to a
smaller lineup
– right after losing to Miami 87-61 back on Feb. 9. Both of UNC's ACC Tournament games went OVER the total after it closed the regular season with six straight UNDERS.
“The smaller lineup has helped us,’’ Williams said Saturday after his team beat Maryland in the semifinals. “We’re a better basketball team. Is it a world-beater, is it the newest thing that ever happened, the best thing that ever happened? No. ... But [going small] was the best thing for this team.
Ole Miss head coach Andy Kennedy feels confident that by reaching today's SEC finals that his squad has
earned a berth in the NCAA Tournament
. The latest Bracketology projection has the Rebels among the "last four
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North Carolina Tar Heels
Miami Hurricanes
Ole Miss Rebels
Florida Gators
VCU Rams
Saint Louis Billikens
Wisconsin Badgers
Ohio State Buckeyes
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NCAA Basketball Betting Recap: Syracuse disintegrates, Kansas and New Mexico cut down nets
03.17.2013 06:45 AM
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Submitted by
Stat Intelligence
If you ever wondered by handicappers should pay attention to fatigue, the last 15 minutes of tonight’s Syracuse/Louisville game should have made it crystal clear. Syracuse hit a wall…a bit more than midway through their fourth game in four days. A 16-point lead evaporated in a finger snap. Another finger snap, and Louisville was up by that much!
Syracuse 45-29 in the first 25 minutes
Louisville 49-16 in the last 15 minutes
The treys stopped falling for Syracuse (the laws of math only let you tempt fate for so long), the legs stopped moving in their zone defense…which allowed Louisville to either pass for easy buckets or rebound misses for easy buckets. One team hit a wall just as the other finally found the right gear. Amazing to behold.
Louisville 78, Syracuse 61
2-Point Percentage: Syracuse 41%, Louisville 45%
3-Point Shooting: Syracuse 9/22, Louisville 6/19
Free Throws: Syracuse 12/26,
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