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Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: AFC Contenders and Pretenders

11.12.2012     11:47 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
November is the time in the NFL where we separate contenders from pretenders. Last week, I focused on the NFC; this week, I’ll turn to the AFC. Unfortunately, the Colts and Steelers didn’t play on Sunday, and the Texans’ Sunday Night game was played in weather conditions that affected the game (and the game plan) significantly. Who among the rest can challenge for AFC supremacy? Read on to find out.

Denver Broncos - Another slow start for a West Coast team traveling East; certainly not unusual. Slow starts have been a consistent problem for Denver all year. We saw them fall behind by three scores when they faced Atlanta, Houston and San Diego – three of the tougher foes they've faced. But slow starts are about the only fault I can find with this team right now.

We already know how good Denver’s offense can be, and they score touchdowns : 22 TDs in 32 red zone possessions. The Broncos have an elite quarterback, a strong running game and playmaking WR's - they can trade points with anybody. This team's postseason future rests on the strength (or weakness) of their stop unit; a unit that has stepped up at times and Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots San Diego Chargers Baltimore Ravens Denver Broncos Miami Dolphins Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: Pre- and Post-Bye Week Teams

10.29.2012     11:45 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I wrote about the three strongest prevailing angles for the 2012 NFL season. Let me update the numbers from a week ago.

NFC Underdogs – any underdog in any game – have gone 37-12-2 ATS this season. But that angle has now suffered back-to-back losing weeks, looking like it’s come and gone as the market has adjusted to reflect the NFC’s dominance – just 3-5 ATS in Week 8 after a 2-3-1 ATS mark in Week 7.

Teams heading into the bye week are now 1-14 ATS, discounting the games where one pre-bye team faced off against another. The Jets were the only team to fall into this category on Sunday, with the 49ers pending on Monday Night. This trend is still very live; 0-3 ATS over the past two weeks.

And teams coming out of the bye are on a 9-5 ATS streak; again discounting the games where one post-bye team faced another. But that trend seems to e flat lining: 2-2 ATS in Week 7 followed by another 2-2 ATS performance in Week 8.

What’s really going on with these pre-bye or post-bye squads? For the second straight week, I focused my attention on five teams in one of these two roles.

Miami Read more


Tags: NFL Atlanta Falcons New York Jets New England Patriots Miami Dolphins Philadelphia Eagles Teddy Covers




NFL Betting News and Notes Week 7

10.23.2012     12:44 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
If the Washington Redskins learned anything after Sunday’s loss to the New York Giants, it would be not to allow Eli Manning the chance to have the football with his team trailing by one score in the final minutes. Robert Griffin III had a miraculous scramble play on a fourth down to keep a late fourth quarter drive alive en route to a terrific touchdown throw to Santana Moss which gave the Redskins a brief lead. It didn’t last long as Manning hit Victor Cruz for a 73-yard touchdown pass to give the Giants the win in a back and forth 27-23 affair. Despite the straight up win for New York, Washington got the ATS win and continue to cash tickets for their backers against their NFC East rivals. Washington is now 4-0 ATS against the G-Men dating back to January 2011.

I don’t think the term “right side winner” can be any more accurate than it was with the Houston Texans on Sunday. It was a dominant 43-13 win and easy 6.5-point home chalk cover for the Texans in which they outgained the Baltimore Ravens 420-176, had a huge 27-12 edge in first downs, and a +2 TO margin. Quarterback Joe Flacco and the Baltimore no-huddle offense continues to Read more


Tags: NFL Ian Cameron




NFL Handicapping: Jets are concerned about Patriots' up-tempo offense

10.18.2012     07:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New York Jets at New England -10.5 O/U 47.5

The New York Jets are in awe of how fast the New England Patriots are playing offensively. The Pats have run a league-high 497 plays including 94 against the Broncos.


"It's borderline illegal because sometimes the guys aren't always set when they snap the ball," Pace said Wednesday. "But it's smart. Why not hurry a team up? I wish we would do it. For a defense, it just puts pressure on you."

"It's very difficult," linebacker David Harris said. "You'll see defenses not even lined up and they're already running a play. They get a lot of extra yardage because of it. It causes guys to lose their mind. You can see it on film."





Tags: NFL New York Jets New England Patriots




College Football Gambling Preview: Tennessee Volunteers at Mississippi State Bulldogs

10.12.2012     07:39 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tennessee at Mississippi State
Brent Crow's Recommendation:
Mississippi State
Saturday, 6 pm PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
Mississippi State -2.5 O/U 53
CRIS Current: Mississippi State -3 O/U 57
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Mississippi State -4

Through five games, unbeaten Mississippi State has yet to be challenged but gets its biggest test of the season against Tennessee. The Bulldogs have beaten up on some weak teams this year; Kentucky, Auburn, South Alabama, Troy and Jackson State – none of which hold a candle to Tennessee offensively. MSU has forced 15 turnovers while committing just four, but that should be expected given the competition. They have been good but not great on offense, averaging just over 400 ypg despite playing two Sun Belt squads and FCS Jackson State.

The good news for Mississippi State is that Tennessee if far from a defensive juggernaut. The Vols’ Read more


Tags: College Football Tennessee Volunteers Mississippi State Bulldogs SEC Brent Crow




NFL Gambling Preview: Dallas Cowboys at Baltimore Ravens

10.11.2012     02:41 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Dallas at Baltimore
Teddy Covers' Recommendation:
Dallas
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Baltimore -4 O/U 45
CRIS Current: Baltimore -3.5 O/U 44

We last saw the Cowboys getting embarrassed at home on Monday Night Football in a turnover filled debacle of a loss against Chicago.  Tony Romo threw a career worst five interceptions in that ballgame; completely out of sync with big play receivers Dez Bryant, Kevin Ogletree and Miles Austin.  DeMarco Murray gained only 24 yards on eleven carries and the Cowboys defense couldn’t stop Jay Cutler.

At 2-2, the Cowboys certainly haven’t quit on their coach or their season.  Pro Bowl tight end Jason Witten: “This has to be a wake-up call for us…We're not going to quit. We're going to stay together. I believe we have the right people. Great leadership in Jason (Garrett). We'll get it turned around.”  The Cowboys should be much healthier off Read more


Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Baltimore Ravens Teddy Covers




College Football Gambling Preview: Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooners

10.11.2012     02:25 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas vs. Oklahoma
Ian Cameron's Recommendation:
Texas
Saturday, 9 am PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Oklahoma -3.5 O/U 63
CRIS Current: Oklahoma -3.5 O/U 58.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oklahoma -2.5

The Red River Rivalry gets renewed on Saturday and this time around, Texas has a good chance to snap their two-game losing streak. Two injuries for Texas you will want to keep an eye on are RB Malcolm Brown and LB Jordan Hicks.  Both are listed as questionable at this time. Brown has 245 rushing yards on 40 carries this season and Hicks is the leading tackler on this Longhorns defense.

Texas comes into this game a little bit undervalued after last week’s home loss to West Virginia. The Longhorns have been forced to deal with two potent offenses the last two weeks with Oklahoma State and WVU and are certainly battle tested. Keep in mind the Sooners’ offensive line is still a concern. Read more


Tags: College Football Texas Longhorns Oklahoma Sooners Big XII Ian Cameron




College Football Betting Preview: TCU Horned Frogs at Baylor Bears

10.11.2012     01:01 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
TCU at Baylor
Andrew Lange's Recommendation:
Baylor
Saturday, 4 pm - FSN
CRIS Opener:
Baylor -6 O/U 66.5
CRIS Current: Baylor -7 O/U 68
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Baylor -4

Teddy Covers mentioned on today's Sportsmemo Podcast that TCU is prime fade material. I agree 100%. There's the suspension of quarterback Casey Pachall and an upcoming schedule that ranks among the toughest in the country (at Baylor, vs. Texas Tech, at Oklahoma State, at West Virginia, vs. Kansas State, at Texas, vs. Oklahoma). Even with Pachall, based on how the Horned Frogs have looked this season, two wins out of the group would be quite the accomplishment.

Some may point to last week's home loss to Iowa State as being a bit unlucky (TCU had five turnovers, and outgained the Cyclones by over 100 yards) but Read more


Tags: College Football TCU Horned Frogs Baylor Bears Big XII Andrew Lange




NFL Betting Preview: New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks

10.11.2012     06:24 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New England at Seattle
Erin Rynning’s Recommendation:
Seattle
Sunday, 1 pm PT – CBS
CRIS Opener:
New England -4 O/U 44
CRIS Current: New England -3 O/U 44.5
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: New England -6

The Seahawks and Patriots will present an intriguing clash of styles on Sunday afternoon.  The 2012 Patriots offense is looking as good as ever, which is saying something considering how potent the unit has been over the years.  Quarterback Tom Brady is still the straw that stirs the drink running the fast paced unit with immense precision.  Importantly, the Patriots have found their running game averaging 165 yards per game on the ground.  However, the Seattle defense, and especially on their loud home turf, will create disruption for the Patriots offense.  Athletically the Seahawks defense can man-up not only up-front, but with their secondary as well.  The Seahawks own Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots Seattle Seahawks Erin Rynning




NFL Betting News and Notes Week 5

10.09.2012     11:23 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
You can forgive Pittsburgh Steelers backers for being a little upset after Sunday’s game. The Steelers defeated the Eagles 16-14 but failed to earn the pointspread cover as 3-point home favorites. Pittsburgh outgained Philadelphia 343-246, had a 136-78 on the ground, and were +2 in turnovers but still could not get the ATS win. It was a frustrating instance where statistical domination did not take the cash.

Imagine the surprise for Denver Broncos supporters who might have turned off the game when New England led 31-7 thinking a +6 pointspread cover was impossible. Sure enough two consecutive Denver touchdowns followed by a New England turnover and it was suddenly 31-21 with the Broncos inside the red zone looking for more points. The air was then taken out of the balloon when Broncos running back Willis McGahee fumbled inside the 10 and it was recovered by New England. This was another version of an NFL teaser. New England ran its no-huddle offense at a pace that would have made coaches like Chip Kelly and Dana Holgorsen proud. New England ran 77 offensive plays in the game and if they can finish off drives as efficiently in the red zone as they did on Sunday, Read more


Tags: NFL Ian Cameron



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 01, 2014 04:20 AM.