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August

26

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MLB Handicapping: Are the Washington Nationals Really 80% to Miss the Playoffs?

05.24.2013     08:09 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It’s only May 23, but ESPN’s standings page is showing that the preseason favorite to win the National League is now 80% to MISS the playoffs entirely.

NL East Chance to Make Playoffs (typed up moments before posting)
Atlanta 90%
Washington 19.9%
Philadelphia 11.4%
NY Mets 3.4%
Miami 0.1%

Can that be true?

In favor of the skepticism:

*Washington has a run differential of -26, even though they’re won-lost record is 24-23. I think the sabermetric world pays way too much attention to that particular number. But…the Nats really are WAY off the pace for what a championship contender should be doing.

*Washington is 5-1 against the horrible Miami Marlins, a virtual expansion team in their own division. That means they’re 19-22 against the rest of the league. Washington was +16 in run differential in those wins, which means they’re Read more



Tags: MLB Washington Nationals Stat Intelligence




MLB Betting News: Chicago's John Danks makes his return

05.24.2013     07:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Miami (Koehler) at Chicago WS (Danks) -175 O/U 7.5

Chicago's John Danks is only 28 years old yet as he prepares to make his first start in over a calendar year the consensus is that Danks will need to reinvent himself in order to survive at the MLB level. The Chicago Tribune essentially said Danks is going for the Mark Buehrle 2.0 look. Velocity isn't as vital coming from the left side but bouncing back from shoulder surgery is no easy task. We strongly recommend bettors take a wait-and-see approach.


"His cut fastball was effective against right-handed hitters, and he also used it against lefties," Phegley said. "He also mixed in his curve and changeup.

"He threw his curve for strikes, although he wasn't completely satisfied with it at times. His changeup always has been a big pitch for him, and he was very

Read more



Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox Miami Marlins




MLB Betting Notes: Different year, similar results for Minnesota's starting pitching

05.23.2013     02:03 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We talked about Minnesota's crappy pitching on today's Sportsmemo Podcast (listen here). Hardball Talk to a closer look at the numbers compared to last year. The team’s 4.2 strikeouts per 9 innings rate is one that stands out as horrendous/comical. Tomorrow they send Samuel Deduno to the hill who unlike Pelfrey, Worley, and friends, has legitimate MLB stuff. The only problem is Deduno doesn't know where it's going and last season admitted as such. In 84.2 big league innings, he's walked 57 batters.

Also funny is in mid-May of last year we posted a blog on how bad Minny's starting pitching had Read more



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins




College Football Betting: Odds to Win the Conference

05.22.2013     01:39 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Never too early for some college football. The Greek posted a few numbers on Odds to Win the Conference. Here are the top contenders...

ACC
Miami +175
Clemson +175
Florida State +250

Big XII
Texas +200
Oklahoma +250
Oklahoma State +250

Big Ten
Ohio State +125
Nebraska +350
Wisconsin +350
Michigan State +350

PAC-12
Oregon +150
USC +250
Arizona +500
Stanford +500

SEC
Alabama -125
Georgia +300
South Carolina +500




Tags: College Football Big XII ACC SEC Big XII Big Ten




NBA Handicapping: Statline Data for Indiana-Miami series

05.22.2013     08:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Here are the numbers for the Eastern Conference finals, using the data that’s helped us throughout the college and NBA postseasons. If you’re new to the blog, there are regular season numbers in:

*Two-Point Defense

*Rebounding Differential

*Turnover Differential

*Made Treys per Game

*Ranking in Pace

This helps paint a picture for how the games are likely to play out given the strengths, weaknesses, and preferences of each team. Conference seedings are in parenthesis…

(3) Indiana: 44% two-point defense, +5.0 rebounding, -1.6 TO’S, 6.9 treys, #25 full season pace

(1) Miami: 47% two-point defense, -1.5 rebounding, +1.7 TO’S, 8.7 treys, #23 full season pace

Indiana was fantastic inside the arc defensively. A lot of very good teams were right at 47%, so that’s kind of off-the charts in a stat category that’s usually lumped together very tight. Indiana has a huge edge in Read more



Tags: NBA Indiana Pacers Miami Heat Stat Intelligence




Stanley Cup Playoffs Gambling Free Pick: Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks

05.21.2013     10:42 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Los Angeles at San Jose -135 O/U 4.5
Recommendation: San Jose


San Jose has received new life in the Western Conference Semifinals after their enormous Game 3 OT win at home on Saturday night. I expect that momentum to carry over to tonight's Game 4 as the Sharks look to even up this series against the Kings. I'm not quite sold on LA being the better team in this series just yet. LA leads the series 2-1 but have been outshot in two of the first three games by a significant margin and are being outshot 106-78 overall in the series by the San Jose Sharks. San Jose's biggest issues in the first two games were finding ways to score against Jonathan Quick who has been the difference maker to this point but San Jose got two goals past him in Game 3. He was venting a ton of anger and frustration at the referees following a questionable call in OT which led to San Jose's game winning goal and I have a feeling San Jose will have more success against Quick moving forward in this series after we saw him visibly rattled. San Jose's power play came to life going 2-for-5 with the man advantage in Game 3 after not scoring in seven opportunities in the first two Read more



Tags: NHL San Jose Sharks Los Angeles Kings Ian Cameron




MLB Gambling News: A Unique Look at Offenses

05.20.2013     10:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As you probably know, I’ve been playing around with 5-inning options in Major League Baseball this year. Part of the fun of that is doing record-keeping that you know nobody else is doing. Helps you see things from different perspectives.

I’ve been logging all the results by hand because there aren’t any websites I know of that go in-depth with this stuff. That’s GREAT, because it’s easier to gain and maintain an edge over the market when information isn’t widely available. Don’t think I’ll be giving away anything to vital in this post…though creative readers may find a way to use the data.

Here’s the percentage of time that each offense has reached at least two runs in the first five innings this year, through the games of Sunday afternoon…

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Detroit 76%

Baltimore 73%

LA Angels 68%

Boston 68%

Tampa Bay 67%

Cleveland Read more



Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Breaking down the NBA's Final Four

05.20.2013     08:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Only four teams remain standing in the NBA Playoffs; one of whom will bring home the title less than a month from now.  With both Conference Finals getting underway, I’ll take a look at the two series, looking for hidden nuggets pointing towards future pointspreads success.
There’s no question that predicting series success correlates strongly with predicting pointspread success when it comes to the NBA Playoffs.  This year’s results stand out in that regard.  In the West, Memphis went 10-1 ATS through the first two rounds of the playoffs.  San Antonio covered the spread in seven out of ten through the first two rounds. 

In the East, Indiana went 8-4 ATS, including a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS mark at home in Indianapolis; five of those six wins coming by a double-digit margin.  And the defending champion and prohibitive favorite to win the title, Miami, despite their public nature, has gone 6-3 ATS in their first two series, including a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS mark on the highway – the mark of a strong, veteran championship contender.

When we add it up, we’re talking about 67% or better ATS results here Read more



Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Vegas Wiseguy Report: Attacking Cantor's Opening NFL Lines

05.13.2013     11:06 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve got to give Cantor Gaming a boatload of credit this week. While the vast majority of other sportsbooks around the globe collectively twiddled their thumbs following the NFL Draft, Cantor was the first major book to market with both season win totals and with pointspreads for every regular season game through Week 16. And Cantor released all of those numbers in their unique style – confident, aggressive, high limit bookmaking, exactly what the industry needs more of these days.

Of course, my job isn’t to praise Cantor. Like any bettor here in Las Vegas, my job is to beat Cantor! Over the course of the hot, summer months (the first 100 degree day of the year in Vegas comes this week, with many more to follow), I’ll spend a handful of articles discussing those 2013 NFL season win totals as the markets begin to mature. But this week, I’m going to write about Cantor’s ‘every game, every week’ pointspreads for an NFL season that won’t even kick off until September! There certainly aren’t many opportunities in the sportsbetting world to get down significant wagers on regular season games that won’t be played Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants

05.10.2013     11:13 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Atlanta (Hudson) +109 at San Francisco (Cain) O/U 7
Recommendation: Atlanta


The Braves are hitting significantly better than the Giants right now.  Tim Hudson is in better current form than Matt Cain.  Atlanta’s bullpen is every bit as good as that of the Giants, and they’re the fresher of the two pens following yesterday’s short outing from Ryan Vogelsong  and the Giants extra inning affair the night before.  Put it all together and we’ve got a ‘wrong team favored’ scenario in play tonight!

Atlanta has been scoring runs in bunches; 38 of them in their last six games, with previously slumping guys like Brian McCann (finally healthy), Dan Uggla and BJ Upton showing signs of life (five hits, four RBI and three runs scored last night), while Andeltron Simmons  has delivered eleven hits in the last five games as an emerging table setter.  Meanwhile, the Giants season long struggle to plate runs hasn’t Read more



Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves San Francisco Giants Teddy Covers



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August

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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Aug 26, 2016 04:23 PM.