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College Basketball Betting News and Notes 3-4-2012

03.04.2012     08:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are some news and notes for Sunday's college basketball action.

Purdue's 78-61 loss to Indiana back on February 4 has served as a turning point with the team going 5-2 since and playing itself into position for a postseason berth.


"I just got tired of begging people to play hard,'' said Painter, who was openly critical of the Boilermakers' effort after that game. "If you're not going to play hard, we're going to play other guys. That's just the way it is."



Florida tries to keep Kentucky from a perfect SEC season. The Gators lost a Rupp Arena 78-58 back on February 7.

Illinois head coach Read more


Tags: College Basketball




College Basketball Free Play: Wyoming Cowboys at UNLV Rebels

03.03.2012     07:26 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wyoming at UNLV -10.5 O/U 127
Recommendation: Over


In the war against meaningless games, scoring often wins out and that is where we will look for tonight’s UNLV-Wyoming matchup. While UNLV may apply on-ball pressure, after a few extra passes this defense is very susceptible. Just look what took place at Colorado State – the Rams just wore UNLV down with 40 points in the second half. Wyoming isn't that type of team but they'll get more that their fair share of open looks. As for UNLV's offense, we can certainly expect bigger things (it's Senior Night!) than what we saw in Fort Collins with a season long average of 82.8 ppg at the Thomas & Mack Center. The first time these two teams met, Wyoming was for the most part able to control tempo with only 63 possessions but the game still got to 134 points. These two teams could very well face one another in the opening round of the Mountain West Tournament which has Read more


Tags: College Basketball Wyoming Cowboys UNLV Rebels Andrew Lange




NCAA Basketball Gambling: Michigan a perfect 7-0 ATS following a loss

03.01.2012     06:44 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Michigan at Illinois -2.5 O/U 121

With Michigan State's loss at Indiana on Tuesday, Michigan still has a shot at owning a share of the Big Ten title. The Wolverines are off a disappointing senior night loss to Purdue and travel to face Illinois. UM has played extremely well after a loss this season with a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS record. Illinois meanwhile snapped a six-game losing streak with a win over Iowa on Sunday.


“We know there’s a chance,” Beilein said. “Given the fact that we’re the No. 1 RPI league, we’re the No. 1 Sagarin league — would you like to win a conference championship outright? Yeah.

“But if you’re co-champs, or tri-champs or quad-champs, I don’t care. We’re champs, and that’s what we’re trying to get to.”

Read more


Tags: College Basketball Michigan Wolverines Illinois Fighting Illini




Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers ready for Arena Football

02.29.2012     12:06 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A quick reminder that the upcoming Arena Football League campaign starts Friday, March 9. That means another big season from Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Over the course of his career as a public handicapper Teddy has consistently beaten the AFL with multiple Documented No. 1 seasons to his credit at the monitor.

Overall his AFL has returned a profit in five of the last six seasons with a lifetime record unmatched by any at 147-106 58.1%.

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He is currently offering two ways to get on board: A trial package at $199 will feature the first four weeks of the season. The full season package at $799 will include all 20 weeks of the regular season plus all playoff action!



Tags: Arena Football Teddy Covers




Big East Betting Notes: Pitino want Cardinals to run, tough to do vs. South Florida

02.29.2012     11:40 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
South Florida at Louisville -9 O/U 119

Louisville head coach Rick Pitino is upset that his team continues to get involved in grind-it-out, half court games. With the exception of an overtime result against DePaul, the Cardinals haven't topped 70 possessions since a 80-59 win over UConn on February 6. The problem is they may have to wait another game to get that type of pace. South Florida hasn't played a Big East game with over 65 possessions. Their fastest game to date was in large part due to the margin; a 30-point loss to Georgetown. In games against fast-paced Marquette, Villanova and DePaul, the average game score for the Bulls was 123.8. And when you account for Louisville's defensive prowess (86.7 points per possession allowed, 7th nationally), getting up over 120 tonight could be difficult. Perhaps buying Read more


Tags: College Basketball Louisville Cardinals South Florida Bulls




College Basketball Handicapping: Tracking close ATS results

02.29.2012     07:25 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Back in early February some Fairway Followers requested updated information on college basketball ATS results, and I provided them in the Sportsmemo posting forum. With the regular season coming to a close this week, I thought it was a good time to update the results and see how this season compares to historical college basketball results. I reviewed box scores, stats and documented and tracked these results every night and the following mornings during the season.

Using historical data since the advent of the 3-point shot 25 years ago, approximately 40% of college basketball games and final scores will land within five points of the betting line. Approximately 10% of games and final scores will land within one point of the line (11% this season). This is slightly subjective with opening/closing line moves, but a good guide and indicator.

Using the closing lines as your guide for this college basketball season, here are the results month by month.  Again, nearly 40% of the college basketball games and final scores landed within five points of the betting line (39.3%) with nearly 3,200 games and results.

College Basketball results within 5 points of the line as of 2/29/2012
Month
# Games
Within 5 points of line - %
November
586
203 - 34.6%
December
665
275 - 41.4%
January
952
382 - 40.1%
February
995
398 - 40.0%
Total
3,198
1,258 - 39.3%


While the Read more


Tags: College Basketball __




College Basketball Free Play: Florida Gators at Vanderbilt Commodores

02.28.2012     07:29 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Florida at Vanderbilt -3.5 O/U 140.5
Recommendation: Vanderbilt


Obviously I'd like to see Florida off of a win rather than an embarrassing 76-62 loss at Georgia but I still feel like this is a prime spot for Vanderbilt. It is senior night for the Commodores as a group of six players (86 career wins) will play their final home game at Memorial Gym. The key to this game though is not senior night or the revenge factor but in fact an injury. The Gators will be without forward Will Yeguete who is out for the rest of the season with a foot injury. Yeguete doesn't get much attention because he is one of the team's last options on offense (4.4 ppg). But his impact on the defensive end of the floor cannot be understated. In Florida's win over Vandy earlier this season, the Gators unleashed a full court press and forced 17 turnovers in large part because of Yeguete. Without him, and on the road, I don't think Billy Donovan will be able to apply the amount of pressure Read more


Tags: College Basketball Vanderbilt Commodores Florida Gators Andrew Lange




Who has what it takes to win the 2012 National Championship Part I

02.27.2012     10:58 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
History shows us many things about what it takes to be a champion. I write this article every year, and just about every year, I have been able to identify the eventual NCAA national champion among my elite level teams. Last year, however, was an exception, with UConn coming from the middle of the pack to win the Big East title, followed by an impressive run to the National Championship.
 
Past predictions do not necessarily indicate future success, but I’ll stand by my track record in this article. Remember, as always, this gets written at the tail end of February. That’s before the regular season is over for the major conferences, before the conference tournaments, before the seedings are announced and before a single tournament game has been played.

So as I pen this article for the 2012 campaign, I do have some concerns about whether my long term statistical model still holds juice in the modern era. Not to brag, but I’ve nailed the winner of the NCAA tournament three times in the last five years, correctly predicting Florida in ‘07, Kansas in 2008 and North Carolina in ‘09. I did NOT predict Duke in ‘10, and Read more


Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




Big Ten Gambling Notes: Ohio State-Wisconsin total steamed OVER

02.26.2012     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wisconsin at Ohio State -9 O/U 121

Rematch of a bloodbath that took place in Madison back in early February with Ohio State (-3.5) winning 58-52. The total in that game closed 118. Today's total opened 117.5 but has been bet up to as high as 121.5. OSU has played a handful of high scoring games within conference play but against better competition (i.e. teams that defend), the results have been very Big Ten-esque: vs. Michigan L 51-56, vs. Michigan State L 48-58, at Wisconsin W 58-52, vs. Michigan W 64-49. The Badgers obviously out for redemption for the loss but the Buckeyes will be primed for Senior Day with underrated William Buford playing his final home game. Read more


Tags: College Basketball Wisconsin Badgers Ohio State Buckeyes




The Fundamentals of College Basketball Handicapping: A short list for success

02.24.2012     08:43 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Every basketball bettor knows the importance of defense and rebounding, but many are not capable of combining other important credentials to deliver consistent pointspread prognosis winners. I’ve written numerous articles on college basketball and have noted many fundamental facets in reviewing match-ups and stats. When shots are not falling, teams that lack strength in defense and rebounding will suffer. And when three-point shots are hitting the rim and not the net, it’s often disaster for many teams. Witness some of our recent last second and close ATS losses in which our teams were terrible shooting from beyond the arch, DePaul (6-of-31, 19%) vs. St. John’s and Texas A&M (5-of-17, 29%) vs. Missouri.  A closer examination shows these teams have deficiencies in the areas discussed.

You can make other arguments following a game as to why your team did not cover. However, if you can combine solid defense stats, specifically field goal defense, along with strength in rebounding and add in the ability to handle and take care of the basketball with a solid assist-to-turnover ratio, you have quality teams than can compete against the Read more


Tags: College Basketball __



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 25, 2014 10:05 PM.