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NBA Betting: Los Angeles Clippers Pass, Houston Rockets Flunk Battle of Gut Checks

01.16.2013     11:51 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Tuesday night’s LA Clippers/Houston Rockets game was very important for NBA analysts because it represented a “battle of the gut checks.”

*The Clippers were on night two of a road back-to-back, after blowing out Memphis Monday night. And, they were playing once again without star point guard Chris Paul.

*The Rockets were starting up their second four-game-in-five-night challenge within a two-week period, knowing it was imperative to get a home win before going on the road the rest of the week.

LA Clippers 117, Houston 109

Two-Point Pct: LA Clippers 53%, Houston 62%

Three-Pointers: LA Clippers 11/19, Houston 13/37

Free Throws: LA Clippers 22/26, Houston 14/25

Rebounds: LA Clippers 35, Houston 34

Turnovers: LA Clippers 16, Houston 15

Not exactly a defensive struggle. You can see the signs of fatigue in those two-point shooting categories. Neither stop unit put up much of a fight Read more

Tags: NBA Los Angeles Clippers Houston Rockets Stat Intelligence

College Basketball Handicapping: Scoring has been down nation-wide

01.16.2013     07:00 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
It looks like scoring in college basketball is on pace for an historical low this season. Since 1952, only once have we seen the national average below 68 ppg. We're currently at that mark with it expected to dip now that conference play is underway. There are some theories. One would be departures to the NBA – something that has been taking place for years. Next, and this makes a little more sense, is technology with teams able to quickly and efficiently put together film on the opposition. Due to the crazy totals market it's hard to get an accurate number on nation-wide results. One site claims 53.5% of games have gone under the total in regulation.

"There's so much more film now than there was when I first started in the mid 1990s," Groce said Monday on the Big Ten teleconference. "I could go right now to the office and say, 'I want every underneath out-of-bounds play that Northwestern ran in the last 30 games,' and my video guy could get me that in 15 minutes.

"There are a

Read more

Tags: College Basketball

College Basketball Handicapping: Louisville Cardinals win again with defense

01.15.2013     11:15 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It’s time for our semi-annual reminder that Rick Pitino is one of the best defensive coaches in college basketball. The media is doing a better job of recognizing this. But, the sentiment you’re hearing now is about how great THIS particular Louisville defense is…rather than how great Louisville is on defense every year.

Ken Pomeroy’s adjusted defensive ratings…which account for both tempo and quality of opposition…currently have Louisville as the #1 defense in the country. Just like Read more

Tags: College Basketball Louisville Cardinals Stat Intelligence

Mountain West Betting News and Notes 1-15-2013

01.15.2013     06:59 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Wyoming Suspends Second-Leading Scorer Luke Martinez

Luke Martinez has been suspended indefinitely from the Wyoming basketball team as the result of a bar fight last month that left him with a broken finger.

According to the Star-Tribune, there were charges filed against Martinez this weekend as a result of the incident.

Martinez is the second-leading scorer for the Cowboys, a team that remained undefeated until last week and that has set themselves up nicely for a run at an NCAA tournament berth. There is no doubt that this injury — and the suspension — puts a dent into those plans.

Head coach Larry Shyatt has said that Martinez will not return to the team until the legal system has taken its course. For now, the Cowboys are going with a starting lineup consisting of three point guards and a pair Read more

Tags: College Basketball Wyoming Cowboys Air Force Falcons Colorado State Rams Nevada Wolf Pack Rob Veno

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC Championship News and Quotes

01.14.2013     07:51 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
We’re down to the Final Four in the NFL Playoffs, with two compelling championship game matchups set for next Sunday.  I’ve spent all year writing about these teams using my own words.  This week, I thought it would make an interesting read to focus on the numerous quotes offered by various players and coaches.  Who’s saying what heading into the biggest games of the season?  In Part I, we take a look at the NFC Championship with San Francisco a 3.5-point favorite at Atlanta.

Atlanta Falcons – The Falcons finally got the monkey off their backs with their first playoff victory in the Mike Smith/Matt Ryan era.  And Atlanta has one advantage that the Packers didn’t have facing a mobile QB in Colin Kaepernick on Sunday – they’ve already faced Cam Newton (twice), Robert Griffin and Russell Wilson.  However, former 49ers head coach and current Falcons defensive coordinator Mike Nolan saw his defense get picked apart in three of those four games (allowing 28+ points), and the one that they didn’t (against the Redskins) was a game where RGIII left early due to a Read more

Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Atlanta Falcons Teddy Covers

College Basketball Betting: How long with Arizona's good fortunes last?

01.10.2013     06:15 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Good college basketball teams have a tendency to win more close games than bad teams – a theory that pretty much everyone subscribes to. However, throughout and entire season, even the elite at some point will fall victim to things not going their way late in a close contest. That brings us to Arizona who is undefeated despite playing a slew of close games over the last month.

vs. Florida: Florida has a 64-58 lead with less than a minute to go in Tucson. The Gators foul and Arizona hits two free throws to cut it to 4. Florida turns it over and Arizona races down and cuts it to Read more

Tags: College Basketball Arizona Wildcats

NFL Handicapping: A history of how quarterbacks fare in cold weather

01.09.2013     12:51 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
If you want to take your NFL handicapping to the next level, here is a comprehensive breakdown of quarterbacks in cold weather courtesy of It looks as if Denver is going to be the only cold weather situation for this weekend – temps in the low 30s with a chance of snow. Peyton Manning is 3-3 SU in cold weather situations (sub-freezing and/or snowing) in the postseason. Foxboro, Mass is slated for a rather balmy 57 degrees for Sunday.

Tags: NFL

College Basketball Betting: West Virginia considers lineup changes

01.09.2013     07:05 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
West Virginia at Texas -4.5 O/U 125.5

No shortage of topics when it comes to West Virginia basketball these days. Beat writers have already worn out the lack of toughness/no leadership angles. Now they’re going the potential lineup change route. The Mountaineers' big men have vastly underachieved and as a result, the team has been killed on the boards. Head coach Bob Huggins, who may or may not punch someone or something before the year is out, is considering going the small-ball route. The only problem is the team is shooting 28.7% from three. The Mountaineers have shot better than 50% eFG twice this season (vs. Marist and Oakland). Tonight they face one of the best defenses in the country in Texas (0.84 points per posession allowed).

''You sit here and you think, 'maybe we play smaller,'

Read more

Tags: College Basketball West Virginia Mountaineers Texas Longhorns

College Basketbal Betting Free Play: Alabama Crimson Tide at Missouri Tigers

01.08.2013     06:59 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Alabama at Missouri -9 O/U 133
Recommendation: Missouri

If you look at Alabama's in SEC play last year, they didn't lose a game by more than 10 points despite going 9-7. But the Crimson Tide were a different team in part because they had JaMychal Green and Tony Mitchell on the front line. Even on off shooting nights, Bama's defense always kept them in the games. Green and Mitchell are obviously gone and while Alabama still defends, they simply aren't as strong. Tonight they go on the road to face Missouri with six freshmen and sophomores. We saw this team absolutely wilt under the pressure of VCU's press (16 turnovers, 39% FGs). They return guard Andrew Steele who will certainly help but reports indicate that he is not 100%. Missouri isn't as frenetic as VCU but they'll undoubtedly extend their pressure and they also have the size up front to force Alabama to shoot from the outside. It is a long season, but Alabama's home losses to Mercer and Tulane are big red Read more

Tags: College Basketball Alabama Crimson Tide Missouri Tigers Andrew Lange

College Basketball Handicapping: Oddsmakers, bettors overvalue Pittsburgh Panthers

01.07.2013     01:38 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Everyone knows Ken Pomeroy has a huge impact of the betting markets. Rarely do we see pointspreads or totals stray too far from Pomery's "predictions" unless there is a significant injury. But one ranking in particular has caught my eye. Last season, Pittsburgh finished 63rd (22-17, 5-13 Big East) in Pomeroy's rankings. Given Pitt's history of success and returning talent, the Panthers opened the year ranked 22nd – a mark that seemed fairly reasonable. But for whatever reason, Pitt skyrocketed up the rankings despite playing a soft, home friendly schedule. Heading into December 19th's game against Delaware State, the Panthers were 5th, despite playing one legitimate opponent; Michigan, on a neutral court and the Wolverines won 67-62. There were a handful of decent foes like Lehigh, Delaware and Detroit, but those games were at home and Pitt as expected won rather easily.

So then Big East play started and despite its very limited resume, Pitt closed as a 6-point home favorite over Cincinnati – a game the Bearcats won outright 70-61. Then last weekend, the Panthers took to the road to face Rutgers and were getting bet like people already knew the Read more

Tags: College Basketball Pittsburgh Panthers Georgetown Hoyas Andrew Lange


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