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Who has what it takes to win the 2012 National Championship Part I

02.27.2012     10:58 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
History shows us many things about what it takes to be a champion. I write this article every year, and just about every year, I have been able to identify the eventual NCAA national champion among my elite level teams. Last year, however, was an exception, with UConn coming from the middle of the pack to win the Big East title, followed by an impressive run to the National Championship.
 
Past predictions do not necessarily indicate future success, but I’ll stand by my track record in this article. Remember, as always, this gets written at the tail end of February. That’s before the regular season is over for the major conferences, before the conference tournaments, before the seedings are announced and before a single tournament game has been played.

So as I pen this article for the 2012 campaign, I do have some concerns about whether my long term statistical model still holds juice in the modern era. Not to brag, but I’ve nailed the winner of the NCAA tournament three times in the last five years, correctly predicting Florida in ‘07, Kansas in 2008 and North Carolina in ‘09. I did NOT predict Duke in ‘10, and Read more


Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




Big Ten Gambling Notes: Ohio State-Wisconsin total steamed OVER

02.26.2012     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wisconsin at Ohio State -9 O/U 121

Rematch of a bloodbath that took place in Madison back in early February with Ohio State (-3.5) winning 58-52. The total in that game closed 118. Today's total opened 117.5 but has been bet up to as high as 121.5. OSU has played a handful of high scoring games within conference play but against better competition (i.e. teams that defend), the results have been very Big Ten-esque: vs. Michigan L 51-56, vs. Michigan State L 48-58, at Wisconsin W 58-52, vs. Michigan W 64-49. The Badgers obviously out for redemption for the loss but the Buckeyes will be primed for Senior Day with underrated William Buford playing his final home game. Read more


Tags: College Basketball Wisconsin Badgers Ohio State Buckeyes




The Fundamentals of College Basketball Handicapping: A short list for success

02.24.2012     08:43 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Every basketball bettor knows the importance of defense and rebounding, but many are not capable of combining other important credentials to deliver consistent pointspread prognosis winners. I’ve written numerous articles on college basketball and have noted many fundamental facets in reviewing match-ups and stats. When shots are not falling, teams that lack strength in defense and rebounding will suffer. And when three-point shots are hitting the rim and not the net, it’s often disaster for many teams. Witness some of our recent last second and close ATS losses in which our teams were terrible shooting from beyond the arch, DePaul (6-of-31, 19%) vs. St. John’s and Texas A&M (5-of-17, 29%) vs. Missouri.  A closer examination shows these teams have deficiencies in the areas discussed.

You can make other arguments following a game as to why your team did not cover. However, if you can combine solid defense stats, specifically field goal defense, along with strength in rebounding and add in the ability to handle and take care of the basketball with a solid assist-to-turnover ratio, you have quality teams than can compete against the Read more


Tags: College Basketball __




College Basketball Betting News and Notes 2-22-2012

02.22.2012     12:46 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Nebraska at Purdue – The dismissal of guard Kelsey Barlow from the team puts Purdue in a “by committee” situation at the two-guard spot. Previously suspended junior D.J. Byrd will return to the lineup tonight and likely start in Barlow’s absence. Byrd has been better than Barlow almost across the board in offensive categories and with his minutes bumped, should be able to fill that void. The problem will be on the defensive end where, as star F Robbie Hummel said “he was our lock down guy, when the other team had a hot hand we looked to Kelsey to shut him down.” Against Nebraska’s backcourt tonight, having a defensive stopper may not hurt the Boilermakers but with Michigan and Indiana on the horizon, Purdue will need their “committee” to provide an answer.

West Virginia at Notre Dame – The first time around in Morgantown, ND walked out with a slim 55-51 upset as a +6.5 point underdog. The number one reason for the loss from West Virginia’s standpoint was its 2-of-16 12.5% three-point shooting and 0, yes ZERO points scored from their second leading scorer (16.7 ppg) Darrell Read more


Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno




NCAA Basketball Betting Update: Efficiency margins in league play

02.21.2012     11:48 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Basketball Prospectus' updated breakdown of conference-by-conference points per possession scored and allowed in league play. Below are this week's leaders. Full listing here.

Top efficiency margins (PPP-Opponent PPP)
ACC - North Carolina +0.15
Big XII - Kansas +0.19
Big East - Syracuse +0.17
Big Ten - Ohio State/Michigan State +0.19
PAC-12 - California +0.16
SEC - Kentucky +0.26
Atlantic-10 - Temple/Saint Louis +0.14
Colonial - Drexel +0.16
C-USA - Memphis +0.19
Horizon - Cleveland State +0.13
Missouri Valley - Wichita State +0.20
Mountain West - New Mexico +0.20
West Coast - Gonzaga +0.17
WAC - Nevada +0.13






College Basketball Handicapping: Efficiency margins in league play

02.07.2012     11:15 AM Read more


Tags: College Basketball




College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Kansas State Wildcats at Missouri Tigers

02.21.2012     10:19 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas State +9 at Missouri O/U 137.5
Recommendation: Kansas State


When Kansas State and Missouri met last month in Manhattan, the Wildcats were able to take away one of the Tigers’ biggest strengths by avoiding turnovers that would have inevitably lead to fast break buckets the other way.  K-State was also able to dominate the glass, with a 36-22 rebounding edge.  The result was a 75-59 KSU win as a one-point underdog; an easy “right side” cash for anyone who supported Frank Martin’s squad.

In the rematch tonight, the Wildcats are nine-point underdogs.  Yes, Missouri is in revenge from that earlier defeat.  And yes, Missouri is a perfect 16-0 in Columbia this year, cashing pointspread at a 70% clip on their home floor.   That still doesn’t mean that the Tigers are likely to win this game by a double-digit margin.  Let’s not forget that if the Tigers don’t force Read more


Tags: College Basketball Kansas State Wildcats Missouri Tigers Teddy Covers




College Basketball Free Play: New Mexico Lobos at Colorado State Rams

02.21.2012     07:49 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New Mexico at Colorado State +6 O/U 135
Recommendation: Colorado State


Following a pair of convincing redemption wins over San Diego State and UNLV, the New Mexico Lobos (22-4) have taken control of the Mountain West Conference at 8-2. They hold a two-game lead over SDSU and UNLV, and tonight’s contest is their toughest remaining conference game. Tough to step in front of the red hot Lobos when they are playing so well: 7-0 SU and ATS run with every win by at least 10 points. 

Consider that the Lobos are winning with a dominating defense that has held six opponents to 54 or fewer points the last seven games. They also lead the league in rebounding margin which gives them a sound formula for success. The league’s top two FG shooters are on the Lobos with their inside/outside combination of Drew Gordon (52%) and Kendal Williams (53%). Gordon also leads the league in rebounding at over 11 per game. Add in the top field goal and Read more


Tags: College Basketball Colorado State Rams New Mexico Lobos __




College Basketball Handicapping: Last home games and motivational situations

02.21.2012     07:16 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Some of the strongest situations involving revenging home teams playing their last home game are on the schedule the next two weeks. While many of these focused favorites will deliver wins on senior day in emotional environments, the most powerful profiles often involve those home teams with winning records that have the talent and ability to get redemption over an opponent which beat them earlier in the year. Clearly we have to evaluate the betting line along with stats, injuries, recent results, opponents and the situations surrounding these last home games.

I’ve done the research for you and provided the teams that will be playing their last home game with single season revenge over the next week. These are all winning home teams.  Last year on the last Saturday in February, the winning and revenging home teams playing their final home game went 8-1 ATS. So some strong situations to support over the next two weeks over and above the ones I review in this article.

If you don’t have the time, energy or ability to determine how to use strong or weak home courts, last home games (LHG), emotional components or other stats and situations to your Read more


Tags: College Basketball __




NBA Handicapping: Against the Spread impact players

02.20.2012     07:49 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I wrote about the pointspread impact of the numerous key injuries around the NBA. This week, I’m going to shift my focus to specific players, in an effort to identify and isolate the influence of individuals on their respective teams’ ATS results.

Spencer Hawes, Philadelphia
Hawes was considered a first round bust in Sacramento, failing to develop into an impact player after the Kings took him with the 10th overall pick back in 2007. Last year, in a backup role with the Sixers, Hawes was certainly not an impact player on either end of the court. But as a starter this year, the Sixers rode his solid defense and rebounding a lot early in the season: 13-1 ATS with him in the lineup. But Hawes has been battling a lingering Achilles injury, and the Sixers just aren’t the same team without him: 6-12 ATS in the 18 games that he’s missed. At 13-1 against the spread with him and 6-12 without him, Hawes is exactly the type of under-the-radar pointspread influencer that I’m looking to spotlight!

Marcus Thornton, Sacramento
The Kings are an NBA afterthought –rarely on TV, never in the Read more


Tags: NBA Teddy Covers




College Basketball Handicapping: Last Home Game situations

02.20.2012     07:01 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
As we near the conclusion of another winning and profitable college basketball season, I often isolate some solid Last Home Game situations that have proven profitable for many seasons.  These are not just plays on home teams, but also against lesser or “towel tosser” teams playing on weaker home courts.

Many of these LHG’s bring a level of emotion and effort from both the players and fans as the seniors make their final appearance for the home faithful.  Three seasons ago, Indiana lost its last nine regular season games and had just one senior, five freshman and six walk-ons. One of those freshmen was Verdell Jones lll who will play his final game at Assembly Hall as a senior on March 4. Indiana was a 14-point home underdog to top-10 Michigan State, but battled hard to the end to cash the ticket in a five-point loss.

Those kind of efforts and situations are prevalent throughout the final weeks of the season, and it gives you an idea of the emotion and meaning of these late season contests in front of their home fans.  While some teams are pushing for conference titles, others are just trying to finish above .500 or prepare Read more


Tags: College Basketball __



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 29, 2014 07:57 PM.