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NFL Handicapping: Pace Factor Averages Week 8

10.25.2013     06:50 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Won’t have time to update these every single week. Will aim for every other week. I think most teams settled into their preferred styles pretty quickly.

If this is your first visit, we’re trying to paint the picture of pace styles by counting up total plays, penalties, punts, and field goal attempts per game…then tabulating team-by-team averages for the games that they play. This approach has confirmed what everyone had been assuming about up-tempo teams. Philadelphia is up near the top with their “Oregon” approach. Buffalo also brought in a college head coach and talked about playing at a fast pace. New England tends to play very fast unless it’s late in a game and they’re sitting on a lead. Those guys are in your top three. Cleveland told everyone in the offseason they would be emphasizing pace. They’re fourth.

To the degree we’ve been able to find something new and interesting…it’s down at the bottom. I Read more



Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




College Football Handicapping: UCLA braces for Oregon's speed

10.24.2013     01:58 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UCLA at Oregon -23.5 O/U 71

UCLA talks about what it'll take to keep pace/slow down Oregon.  From a value perspective, note that UCLA was as low as +3.5 at Stanford and now +23.5 at Oregon. The Ducks won the last meeting, 49-31 (2011), in Eugene.


"You play with them," said linebacker Jordan Zumwalt. "There's nothing you can really do to slow them down. They tend to speed up their tempo when they get success so we'll keep their success to a minimum and it will slow them down. But other than that, you just kind of have to keep up with them.
 
"That's no problem for us because we run with an up-tempo team every day. It's our own team."







Tags: College Football UCLA Bruins Oregon Ducks PAC-12




College Football Gambling: CRIS vs. Rob Veno's Power Ratings Week 9

10.24.2013     12:48 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno has been creating his own Power Ratings for nearly two decades. His numbers are very well respected and an excellent tool for discovering value. Rob’s PRs are a baseline and do not include key injuries or situations but they also don't overreact as much as the betting markets do week to week. Below is a chart of CRIS's current lines and Rob's College Football Power Ratings for Week .

2013 College Football CRIS Lines vs. Rob Veno Power Ratings - Week 9
Away Team
Home Team
CRIS Current
Veno Power
Kentucky
Mississippi State
Mississippi State -12
Mississippi State -8.5
Marshall
Middle Tennessee State
Marshall -9.5
Marshall -11.5
BYU
Boise State
BYU -6.5
BYU -3
Georgia Tech
Virginia
Georgia Tech -10
Georgia Tech -8.5
Connecticut
Central Florida
Central Florida -23
Central Florida -22
Ball State
Akron
Ball State -8
Ball State -11.5
Miami (OH)
Ohio
Ohio -25.5
Ohio -24.5
Buffalo
Kent State
Kent State -1
Buffalo -3.5
Western Michigan
Massachusetts
Massachusetts -3
Massachusetts -1
Houston
Rutgers
Rutgers -6.5
Rutgers -4
Boston College
North Carolina
North Carolina -6.5
North Carolina -10
Clemson
Maryland
Clemson -14
Clemson -13.5
Duke
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech -13
Virginia Tech -13
Pittsburgh
Navy
Pittsburgh -5.5
Pittsburgh -3
UAB
UTSA
UTSA -7
UTSA -5.5
Temple
SMU
SMU -14
SMU -10
Eastern Michigan
Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois -30.5
Northern Illinois -30.5
Arizona
Colorado
Arizona -12.5
Arizona -12
Vanderbilt
Texas A&M
Texas A&M -17
Texas A&M -14
Florida Atlantic
Auburn
Auburn -23.5
Auburn -24.5
Tennessee
Alabama
Alabama -27.5
Alabama -28.5
UCLA
Oregon
Oregon -23
Oregon -20
Utah
USC
USC -6.5
USC -5.5
Tulsa
Tulane
Tulsa -2.5
Tulane pk
California
Washington
Washington -27
Washington -21.5
West Virginia
Kansas State
Kansas State -11.5
Kansas State -11
Michigan State
Illinois
Michigan State -10
Michigan State -9.5
Wake Forest
Miami (FL)
Miami (FL) -24.5
Miami (FL) -22
NC State
Florida State
Florida State -32.5
Florida State -28.5
Texas Tech
Oklahoma
Oklahoma -6.5
Oklahoma -6
Texas
TCU
TCU -2.5
TCU -1.5
Northwestern
Iowa
Iowa -3.5
Iowa -0.5
UNLV
Nevada
Nevada -5
Nevada -9
Wyoming
San Jose State
San Jose State -8
San Jose State -5.5
Stanford
Oregon State
Stanford -4
Stanford -5
Troy
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky -9.5
Western Kentucky -9
Notre Dame
Air Force
Notre Dame -20
Notre Dame -19.5
Georgia State
Louisiana-Monroe
Louisiana-Monroe -11.5
Louisiana-Monroe -16
South Alabama
Texas State
South Alabama -1.5
South Alabama -3
Idaho
Mississippi
Mississippi -41
Mississippi -43
North Texas
Southern Miss
North Texas -12
North Texas -13
Louisiana Tech
Florida International
Louisiana Tech -6
Louisiana Tech -7
South Carolina
Missouri
Missouri -2
Missouri -2.5
Oklahoma State
Iowa State
Oklahoma State -11.5
Oklahoma State -14
Baylor
Kansas
Baylor -33.5
Baylor -28.5
Nebraska
Minnesota
Nebraska -10
Nebraska -9.5
Louisville
South Florida
Louisville -20
Louisville -19
Toledo
Bowling Green
Bowling Green -3.5
Bowling Green -5
Penn State
Ohio State
Ohio State -14.5
Ohio State -12
UTEP
Rice
Rice -18
Rice -16.5
Fresno State
San Diego State
Fresno State -7.5
Fresno State -7.5
Colorado State
Hawaii
Colorado State -3
Colorado State -4.5





Tags: College Football Rob Veno




NFL Gambling Preview: Washington Redskins at Denver Broncos

10.24.2013     12:24 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington at Denver
Sunday, 1:25 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Denver -12 O/U 55
CRIS Current: Denver -11.5 O/U 57.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Denver -12
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Over

As the Broncos continue to show the betting public that you can mechanically play over in every one of their games, oddsmakers don’t seem to be posting a price tag high enough to deter that. This week, the Washington-Denver total was opened too low according to the early money and it’s been pushed from 55 all the way to the key number of 58 and in some shops, beyond. It’s important to note that on all occasions this season, Denver has had an opponent with at least one attribute which helped greatly in producing final scores totaling 58 or higher in six of seven contests. This week is no different as Washington rolls into Sports Authority Field at Mile High with a sieve of a defense (389.0 ypg, 30.7 ppg) and an offense Read more



Tags: NFL Washington Redskins Denver Broncos Rob Veno




Sports Betting Podcast 10-24-2013 College Football Every Game on the Board

10.24.2013     11:24 AM     Printer Friendly
copy_cfb_podcast_bar.jpg

Week 9 of our College Football Every Game on the Board Podcast. Ian Cameron, Teddy Covers, and Brian Edwards joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show - College Football Every Game on the Board

Ian Cameron - College Football Every Game on the Board Part I

Teddy Covers - College Football Every Game on the Board Part II

Brian Edwards - College Football Every Game on the Board Part III

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes Read more



Tags: College Football Ian Cameron Teddy Covers Brian Edwards




College Football Gambling: Clemson offense not clicking

10.24.2013     08:13 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Clemson -14 at Maryland O/U 60

Clemson voicing some concerns about its offense which was held to 326 yards in last week's loss to Florida State. In ACC play last season, Clemson posted point totals of 37, 45, 47, 38, 42, 56, 45, and 62. This year, it hasn't come as easy with 26 vs. NC State, 24 vs. Boston College and 14 vs. FSU.


“We’ve got one guy playing well and 10 not,” he said. “We’re what seven games into it? That’s what’s disheartening right now.”

“We’re about as simple as we can be on offense right now. We’re unable to really push the envelope forward,” Morris said.

“We’re not playing well. We’re not playing well at key positions,” he said. “We’re consistently inconsistent and that’s

Read more



Tags: College Football Clemson Tigers Maryland Terrapins ACC




College Football Betting Preview: Stanford Cardinal at Oregon State Beavers

10.24.2013     07:38 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Stanford at Oregon State
Saturday, 7:30 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Stanford -6.5 O/U 55.5
CRIS Current: Stanford -4 O/U 56
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Stanford -5
Ian Cameron's Recommendation: Oregon State

I’ve been able to cash in back-to-back weeks using Oregon State as part of my client card and although this is a major step up in class for the Beavers, I’m still inclined to look toward them as a home underdog.

Stanford has been excellent at shutting down the run ranking 18th in the nation but its pass defense hasn’t been quite as stout and throwing the football is pretty much what makes up the entire Oregon State offense. Stanford is allowing 247.1 passing yards per game which ranks 87th nationally. Quarterback Sean Mannion has had a stellar season as the nation’s leader in a number of passing categories, including yards (2,992) and touchdown passes (29). Read more



Tags: College Football Stanford Cardinal Oregon State Beavers PAC-12 Ian Cameron




College Football Handicapping: Week 9 Injury Report

10.24.2013     07:17 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kentucky QB Max Smith will get the starting nod Thursday at Mississippi State. Jalen Whitlow sprained his ankle in a 48-7 loss to Alabama two weeks ago and is ‘doubtful’ against the Bulldogs. Smith is more of a pocket passer, while Whitlow is a dual-threat option who averages 4.9 yards per carry and has three rushing touchdowns. Smith, a third-year sophomore who had eight TD passes before suffering a season-ending shoulder injury in Week 3 last year, has a 5-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio in 2013.

Vanderbilt quarterback Austyn Carta-Samuels is ‘out’ Saturday at Texas A&M. Carta-Samuels, who has a 10-7 TD-INT ratio this season, left last week’s 31-27 win over Georgia with a knee injury in the first half. Patton Robinette, a redshirt freshman, replaced Carta-Samuels and had a TD run early in the fourth quarter of the comeback win over UGA. Robinette will make his first career start against the Aggies.

Maryland might have been the biggest overall loser coming out of Week 8. The Terrapins got smashed 34-10 at Wake Forest and lost two of their best players to broken legs. Wide receiver Stefon Diggs is done for the season after Read more



Tags: College Football Brian Edwards




College Football Handicapping: Week 9 Bye Teams

10.23.2013     12:08 PM     Printer Friendly
Below is a list of college football teams coming in off of a bye week...

2013 College Football Week 9 Bye Teams
Team
Opponent
CRIS Opener
CRIS Current
Mississippi State
vs. Kentucky
Mississippi State -10
Mississippi State -10
Kentucky
at Mississippi State
Kentucky +10
Kentucky +10
Penn State
at Ohio State
Penn State +14.5
Penn State +14.5
Nebraska
at Minnesota
Nebraska -8.5
Nebraska -10
Texas
at TCU
Texas +3
Texas +2.5
Kansas State
vs. West Virginia
Kansas State -7.5
Kansas State -10
NC State
at Florida State
NCF State +27.5
NC State +31.5
Boston College
at North Carolina
Boston College -10
Boston College -7
Virginia Tech
vs. Duke
Virginia Tech -13.5
Virginia Tech -13
Rutgers
vs. Houston
Rutgers -9.5
Rutgers -7
South Florida
vs. Louisville
South Florida +21
South Florida +20
San Diego State
vs. Fresno State
San Diego State +9.5
San Diego State +8
San Jose State
vs. Wyoming
San Jose State -3.5
San Jose State -7
Hawaii
vs. Colorado State
Hawaii +5
Hawaii +3.5
Air Force
vs. Notre Dame
Air Force +19.5
Air Force +20
Marshall
at Middle Tennessee
Marshall -8.5
Marshall -8
Middle Tennessee
vs. Marshall
Middle Tennessee +8.5
Middle Tennessee +8
UAB
at UTSA
UAB +3.5
UAB +7
UTSA
vs. UAB
UTSA -3.5
UTSA -7
Florida Atlantic
at Auburn
Florida Atlantic +28
Florida Atlantic +23.5
Florida Int'l
vs. Louisiana Tech
Florida Int'l +6
Florida Int'l +5
Tulsa
at Tulane
Tulsa -3
Tulsa -2.5
Tulane
vs. Tulsa
Tulane +3
Tulane +2.5
UTEP
at Rice
UTEP +18
UTEP +17.5
Idaho
at Ole Miss
Idaho +40
Idaho +41
Bowling Green
vs. Toledo
Bowling Green -2.5
Bowling Green -3.5
UL-Monroe
vs. Georgia State
UL-Monroe -11.5
UL-Monroe -11.5
Troy
at Western Kentucky
Troy +7.5
Troy +10.5





Tags: College Football




College Football Betting Podcast 10-23-2013 with Handicapper Erin Rynning

10.23.2013     10:37 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Erin Rynning. ER recapped Week 8 College Football (PAC-12, Big Ten).

Today's segments
Erin Rynning - CFB Week 8 Recap: PAC-12, Big Ten

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: College Football Erin Rynning



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