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College Football Handicapping: Where the money is headed Week 7
10.10.2011 12:16 PM
Andrew Lange
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange
A lot of movement on the college football board today as we take a look at what the betting markets are up to.
Florida State
at
Duke
CRIS Opener: Florida State -9.5
CRIS Current: Florida State -13
I remember hearing about how Florida State's defense was supposed to be Alabama-like this season. Then why did they allow 35 points in back-to-back weeks? I gave them somewhat of a pass at Clemson because let's face it, the Tigers are this year's version of Auburn. But allowing 391 yards at 6.5 ypp to Wake Forest? The same Wake Forest squad you shutout and held to 185 yards last season? FSU's five turnovers obviously helped Wake's cause, but this doesn't look like the type of team that can just flip a switch and win by margin on the road off a bad performance. The Seminoles have faced a great team (Oklahoma), good team (Clemson), average team (Wake Forest), and two bottom feeders (UL-Monroe and Charleston Southern). They are 2-3 SU/ATS. I'll let
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College Football
Andrew Lange
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NCAAF Betting Notes: Vols replace injured Bray with former starter Simms
10.10.2011 11:18 AM
Printer Friendly
LSU
-15 at
Tennessee
Tennessee quarterback
Tyler Bray will miss 4-6 weeks
with a broken thumb suffered in last week's loss to Georgia. Bray’s replacement, Matt Simms, started early last season before being pulled in favor of Bray. The injury to Bray marks the second blow to the offense after big play wide receiver Justin Hunter (knee) was lost for the season.
Even with a decent amount of experience, Simms is simply not in Bray's class in terms of passing ability. Prior to the injury, Bray had a 14-to-2 TD-to-INT ratio and was 11th in the country in quarterback rating. To make matters worse, the real season is about to start for the Vols with games against LSU, Alabama, South Carolina and Arkansas four of the next five weeks. Expect opposing teams to key on Simms, especially with UT unable to effectively run the
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College Football
Tennessee Volunteers
LSU Tigers
SEC
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College Football ATS Notes: Things continue to go downhill for Maryland
10.10.2011 08:24 AM
Printer Friendly
Clemson
-9 at
Maryland
As if Maryland needed anymore drama. For the second straight week, quarterback
Danny O'Brien was pulled
due to a lack of effectiveness. O'Brien entered the season as one of the ACC's top signal callers after throwing for 2,438 yards, 22 TDs and 8 INTs as a freshman. Through five games, the sophomore has already thrown six picks and doesn't appear even remotely comfortable with what head coach Randy Edsall and offensive coordinator Gary Crowton are running. O'Brien was replaced by sophomore CJ Brown who didn't fare much better; he failed to complete a pass on his first 10 attempts.
The only positive for the Terps is that technically, they didn't quit. Down 21-3 heading into the fourth quarter, they sprung for two touchdowns and had the ball with a chance to take the lead. They also rushed for 246 yards but couldn't overcome a 5-for-23, 53
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NCAAF Gambling Notes: Marshall's schedule softens defensively
10.10.2011 08:04 AM
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Rice
at
Marshall
-4.5
Good article on how
Marshall's schedule
is about to take a complete 180-degree turn. Through the first six games of the season, the Thundering Herd (5-1 ATS) never played a team not currently ranked 39th or better in total defense. With the meat of the C-USA slate upcoming, that is about to change in a big way. The best stop unit Marshall will face based on the current numbers is Houston (71st) who by no means should be considered even mediocre.
While Marshall's offense (271.7 ypg, 115th) is not as explosive as a majority of the league, expect an increase in production upcoming. Also note that the Herd's own defense is much better than a most of its upcoming foes.
Marshall's First Six Opponents (Total Defense Ranking)
Central Florida - 2nd
Virginia Tech - 13th
Louisville - 16th
West Virginia - 19th
Ohio - 25th
Southern
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College Football Betting Trends: Virginia faces Georgia Tech off of bye week
10.10.2011 07:04 AM
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Georgia Tech
-8 at
Virginia
Note that Virginia will mark the first opponent for Georgia Tech that comes in off a true bye week. Under Paul Johnson, the Yellow Jackets are 24-6 SU against teams on regular rest and 6-8 SU vs. FBS foes who had
more than a week to prepare
. NC State played the previous Thursday, allowing two extra days of prep time – which didn't matter as injury-riddled Wolfpack defense was torched.
After starting the season 4-0 ATS, Tech’s value may have peaked with ATS losses each of the last two weeks. GT won last season's meeting over the Cavaliers, 33-21, as 10-point favorites. They produced a season-high 477 yards rushing in that contest.
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College Football Handicapping: Week 6 Bye Week Teams
10.10.2011 06:47 AM
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College football bye week teams heading into Week 7. Last week's group went 3-8 ATS.
College Football Bye Week Teams - Week 7
Bye Week Team
Opponent
CRIS Line
Tulsa
vs. Rice
N/L
New Mexico
at Nevada
Nevada -29.5
Ole Miss
vs. Alabama
Alabama -25.5
Wisconsin
vs. Indiana
Wisconsin -39
Michigan State
vs. Michigan
Michigan State -3
Virginia
vs. Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech -8
Duke
vs. Florida State
Florida State -12
Washington
vs. Colorado
Washington -14
USC
at Calfornia (Thursday)
USC -3
South Florida
at UConn
South Florida -6.5
Cincinnati
vs. Louisville
Cincinnati -14.5
Colorado State
vs. Boise State
Boise State -31.5
SMU
vs. Central Florida
SMU -2.5
UTEP
at Tulane
Tulane -1
Hawaii
at San Jose State
Hawaii -6.5
New Mexico State
vs. Idaho
New Mexico State -3.5
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College Football LIVE In-Game Betting Blog 10/8/2011
10.08.2011 07:07 AM
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Second half kick-off list
That will wrap up today's action. Thanks for following. Good luck with tonight's games.
(3:45 PT) Remember how Virginia Tech's "easy" schedule was going to lead to a 11-1 or 12-0 record. Hokies down 35-31 to Miami with 2 and change left. When was the last time VT lost two straight home games?
(3:36 PT)
Rob Veno recommends Idaho Over 24.5 2nd half.
(3:15 PT) NFL line move alert: Bengals getting hammered, now favored -1 at Jacksonville.
(2:55 PT) Arizona scores two TDs in 8 seconds to cut lead to 30-20 at Oregon State.
(2:50 PT) As just as we say that, McGloin tosses a pick in the end zone. Awful.
(2:43 PT) Penn State opens second half with Boldin, which results in nothing. McGloin, who is 11-of-16, then comes in and all of a sudden the Nittany Lions are moving the football. Makes no sense.
(2:33 PT)
Rob Veno recommends Nevada/UNLV Over 28
1st half
.
(2:08 PT)
Teddy Covers recommends Arizona -2 2nd half.
(2:06 PT)
Rob Veno recommends Missouri -3.5 2nd half.
(2:03 PT)
Teddy Covers recommends Arizona State -0.5 2nd half.
(2:02 PT)
Erin Rynning recommends Penn State Over 21 2nd half.
(2:00 PT) Greatest
box score
EVER...if you have favorite/over parlay.
(1:52 PT) Central Michigan 15-of-17 passing in first half vs. NC State. 8.3 yards per play. Wolfpack lead 21-17.
(1:49 PT) NFL line move alert: Jets hit fairly hard, down
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Week 6 College Football 2nd Half Kick-Off List
10.08.2011 07:04 AM
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We'll be updating the list throughout the day to help you with your second half wagers.
Week 6 College Football 2nd Half Kick-Off List
Game No
Home Team
Away Team
Receive 2nd Half Kick
307
Texas
Oklahoma
Texas
309
Indiana
Illinois
Illinois
311
Alabama
Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt
313
Clemson
Boston College
Clemson
315
West Virginia
Connecticut
West Virginia
317
UAB
Mississippi State
Mississippi State
319
Penn State
Iowa
Penn State
321
Rutgers
Pittsburgh
Rutgers
323
Purdue
Minnesota
Purdue
325
North Carolina
Louisville
North Carolina
327
NC State
Central Michigan
Central Michigan
329
Rice
Memphis
Memphis
331
Miami (OH)
Army
Army
333
Western Michigan
Bowling Green
Western Michigan
335
Ball State
Temple
Temple
337
Utah
Arizona State
Utah
339
BYU
San Jose State
341
Toledo
Eastern Michigan
Toledo
343
Buffalo
Ohio
Ohio
345
Northern Illinois
Kent State
Kent State
347
Arkansas
Auburn
Auburn
349
Georgia Tech
Maryland
Georgia Tech
351
Stanford
Colorado
Stanford
353
Tennessee
Georgia
Tennessee
355
Virginia Tech
Miami (FL)
Virginia Tech
357
Notre Dame
Air Force
Air Force
359
Navy
Southern Miss
Southern Miss
361
Nevada
UNLV
UNLV
363
Central Florida
Marshall
Marshall
365
Idaho
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech
367
Oregon State
Arizona
Arizona
369
Oklahoma State
Kansas
Oklahoma State
371
Northwestern
Michigan
Michigan
373
Houston
East Carolina
East Carolina
375
Baylor
Iowa State
Iowa State
377
South Carolina
Kentucky
Kentucky
379
Wake Forest
Florida State
Florida State
381
Texas Tech
Texas A&M
Texas Tech
383
Kansas State
Missouri
Kansas State
385
Tulane
Syracuse
Syracuse
387
Utah State
Wyoming
Utah State
389
LSU
Florida
LSU
391
Nebraska
Ohio State
Nebraska
393
UCLA
Washington State
395
San Diego State
TCU
397
Akron
Florida International
Florida International
399
Louisiana-Lafayette
Troy
Troy
401
Louisiana-Monroe
Arkansas State
Louisiana-Monroe
403
North Texas
Florida Atlantic
North Texas
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NCAAF Betting Alert: Louisville offensive coordinator doesn't travel with team
10.07.2011 02:29 PM
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Louisville
at
North Carolina
-13.5 O/U 47
Well this can't be good. Louisville offensive coordinator Mike Sanford reportedly had a run in with a few fellow coaches and
did not travel with the team
to North Carolina. He was not present at the end of practice Tuesday or at Wednesday’s press conference. The Cardinals rank 105th in scoring offense.
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NCAAF Handicapper Podcast: Every Game on the Board 10/7/2011
10.07.2011 01:08 PM
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On today's Sportsmemo Radio Show,
Rob Veno
and
Teddy Covers
were in charge of handicapping every game on Week 6's college football card with host Tim Trushel. You can listen to the two-part Podcast
here
and
here
.
For more college football betting analysis, check out our
Radio Show Archive Page
which is loaded with past segments from all of the Sportsmemo Handicappers.
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